NFL DFS: Week 7 QB Report
Shawn Childs NFL Week 7 QB Report and Cheat Sheet
Week 7 NFL GPP Plays – Fuego Steve
The Fuego Pit I am slightly changing the format for my write up this week. I will narrow down players to more of a core group of guys. If players aren’t listed here it doesn’t necessarily mean they are bad plays. It just means I will not have a ton of exposure to them. Obviously, studs like Antonio Brown, Kareem Hunt and Le’Veon Bell are always in play. If I really don’t like a high-end player this week, I will mention I am fading them. I will list some of the top tiered options and a few value plays or players I may have a few shares of. These are the players I will have the most exposure to in my main GPP lineups. QUARTERBACKS Matt Ryan and Tom Brady on Fanduel main slate – Think you have to get a piece of the night game if on the slate. These two are my favorite high-priced options. Lower priced options Tyrod Taylor – $7000 FD, $5100 DK – has decent floor and good ceiling versus a banged-up Tampa Bay defense Brett Hundley – $6500 FD, $5100 DK – I like his running ability and the Saints defense, although improved, still can be scored on. RUNNING BACKS LeSean McCoy – This is the week he finally breaks out. Price still dropping as well. Ezekiel Elliott – Don’t think you can go wrong with Zeke vs San Fran. Play him while you still have the chance. Jay Ajayi – He did nothing against them the first game this year. Hopefully people will look at that and stay away. If they continue to feed him the rock he will do well. He gets in the end zone finally this week. Lower priced options Adrian Peterson – $6300 FD, $5800 DK – Trusting Dr. Roto here that the Cardinals will keep giving him the ball. Looked spry last week. Hard to count out one of the greatest running backs of all time. He didn’t fit the Saints offense nearly as well as Arizona. Derrick Henry – $5600 FD, $5500 DK – Feel like he is almost a must play if Demarco Murray sits. Still a good play even if Murray is active. Chris Ivory – $5900 FD, $4800 DK – Already involved in the offense with Leonard Fournette healthy. He caught 9 passes on 10 targets last week. If Fournette sits great running back value. WIDE RECEIVERS Adam Thielen – Still like him this week with no Diggs Michael Thomas – Favorite high end wide receiver this week. Julio Jones and Brandin Cooks on Fanduel – One or both should have good games in what could be a shootout in primetime. Jarvis Landry – (more on DK) – Has double digit DK points in every game this season. Huge floor. Lower priced targets Kenny Stills, Eric Decker, Rishard Matthews – Not many low-priced options I like this week. TIGHT ENDS Jimmy Graham – My number one tight end this week. He will be in most of my lineups. Think he could have a huge game against the Giants who aren’t good at stopping the tight end. Evan Engram – Same as last week “no one else to throw to for the Giants”. Hunter Henry – In the three games he has seven or more targets, he has 13-15 DK points. Maybe they are finally making the shift away from Antonio Gates. Lower priced targets George Kittle – $3600 on DraftKings – Has 17 targets the past two games. DEFENSE Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincy – Don’t mind them at home in a divisional game. The Bengals offense is improved but still nothing special. Minnesota Vikings vs Ravens – Joe Flacco is always good for a pick or two. Tennessee Titans at Browns– Will be popular facing the Browns. Still don’t mind them. Lower priced targets Miami Dolphins vs Jets – Only $4300 on Fanduel. They should score more than the 5 points they put up against them a month ago. KICKERS – Fanduel only Pick one that fits your lineup. Usually pick kickers from games with good weather or in domes and with high over/unders. Who the heck knows. If I must… Adam Vinatieri is still min price and has been kicking well. Mason Crosby is $4600 and could get opportunities if Hundley and the offense stall. Justin Tucker as usual. Matt Bryant and Steven Gostkowski in the night game.
The Fuego Pit – NFL Week 7 with Dr. Roto
NFL Week 7 TE Report
DraftKings Week 7 TE Report Codes: Favorable Matchup Neutral Matchup Risk/Against the Grain Tough Matchup with Limited Upside Delanie Walker (DK – $5,800/FD – $5,900): Walker still doesn't have a receiving TD in 2017 while his role in the Titans' offense has been lower than previous years. Over his last five games, Delanie has 18 catches for 185 yards on 30 targets (six targets per game). He has fewer than 55 yards receiving in his last four games. Last season Walker had one catch for 21 yards on two targets against the Browns. Cleveland can be beat at TE (43/418/5 on 56 targets) with three backend TEs having success (Jesse James – 6/41/2, Ben Watson – 8/91, and Tyler Kroft – 6/68/2). Overpriced for his 2017 path, but he should score this game. His catches and yards may fall short of the require amount to satisfy his salary bucket. Austin Seferian-Jenkins (DK – $5,000/FD – $5,900): Over four games, Seferian-Jenkins has 23 catches for 152 yards and two TDs on 29 targets. This is more production than New York had from the TE position for the whole season in 2015 (8/95/1 on 23 targets) and 2016 (18/173 on 28 targets). Austin has a TD in his last two games with 19 combined targets. His yards per catch (6.6) is extremely low. Last week he was robbed of a second TD. In his first game in 2017 in Week 3 vs. the Dolphins, ASJ had five catches for 31 yards on six targets. TEs have 35 catches for 276 yards and two TDs on 45 targets against Miami with two teams having ten catches (LAC – 10/101/1 and TEN – 10/62/1). Seferian-Jenkins is the top scoring option in the passing game at the goal line for the Jets with a very good opportunity. If he hits on big play, he could easily payoff at the level. I expect him to be a higher percentage own this week. Jimmy Graham (DK – $4,900/FD – $5,800): Graham has been a much better player over his last three games (17/170/1 on 25 targets) after delivering two empty games to start the year (3/8 and 1/1 on nine combined targets). He's on pace in catches (67) with his 2016 success (65) while trailing in yards (projected for 573 yards compared to 923 yards last year). The Giants allowed a TD to the TE position in each game in 2017 (seven total) with TEs catching 38 passes for 432 yards on 56 targets. This is a favorable matchup plus Graham has a reasonable salary. Not quite the opportunity of Austin Seferian-Jenkins, but Jimmy’s career resume is much higher. Graham has the talent to produce 100+ receiving yards if he gets a bump in targets. Cameron Brate (DK – $4,700/FD – $6,200): At this point of the season, Brate should just be a plug and play in the daily games. He has a TD in four straight games with his best success coming over the last three games (4/80/1, 5/68/1, and 6/76/1). Game score led to him having 17 targets over the last two games. The Bills haven't allowed a TD to the TE in 2017 with the Falcons having the most success (8/71 on ten targets). On the year, TEs have 25 catches for 248 yards on 33 targets vs. Buffalo while playing no team with a strong TE options (NYJ – no Austin Seferian Jenkins, CAR – Greg Olsen hurt in the game, DEN, ATL, and CIN). Tough to ignore Brate's scoring ability, but he can't be in play without a TD. Jason Witten (DK – $4,500/FD – $5,300): Witten returned to the Fantasy stat sheet in Week 5 when he caught eight of his ten targets for 61 yards. He now has two playable games (7/59/1 and 10/97) and two black holes (1/3 and 1/9). In his best three games, Jason has 32 combined targets compared to only six combines chances in his two bad contests. Last year he had seven catches for 47 yards on nine targets against the 49ers. TEs have 21 catches for 209 yards and no TDs on 32 targets vs. San Fran. The Redskins did use the TE last week (7/102 on nine targets) to help defeat the 49ers. It really comes down to game score here. Dallas will try to control the clock with the run game. If they play from the lead, Jason can't be in play. Not the right matchup for me. Evan Engram (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,500): Engram was pretty much a layup in Week 6 (5/82/1 on seven targets) with the Giants having weak WRs vs. a team with strength at CB. Evan was active in the Giants passing game in five of six games (shutout in Week 5 vs. the Chargers on four targets). He's averaged 6.8 targets per game, which is a number that will rise dramatically going forward. TEs have 25 catches for 303 yards and a TD on 42 targets against the Seahawks. Seattle has two talented safeties and they will be able to shift coverage toward Engram when needed to lower his upside. Favorable salary, but he will have a tough time scoring in this matchup. If Eli Manning gives him double digit targets, Engram could still post a winning scoring for his salary. In my thoughts, but not a slam dunk. Hunter Henry (DK – $4,200/FD – $5,200): After six games, Hunter is now the 12th highest scoring TE in PPR leagues despite posting a zero in two games. For the second time this season, Henry had a big game in yards (7/80 and 5/90). Over his last three games, Hunter had ten catches for 148 yards and two TDs on 18 targets, which works out to 12.27 Fantasy points per game in PPR leagues. The Broncos shut him out in Week 1 with no targets. Over the last two games, Hunter has been on the field for 113 of 143 plays compared to 78
NFL Cheat Sheet Week 7
