Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 5 NFL Player Props Week 4 was our first unprofitable week of the season. After beginning the year with three consecutive successful betting weekends, a 2-5 record last week brought us down to +3.2 Units. Let’s see if we
Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 4 was our first unprofitable week of the season. After beginning the year with three consecutive successful betting weekends, a 2-5 record last week brought us down to +3.2 Units. Let’s see if we can get back in the winning column with our Week 5 NFL Player Props. We are now 16-11 in the young season.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 5 NFL Player Props!
Jordan Love OVER 257.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The Los Angeles Rams’ defense has struggled across the board, but their pass defense is especially concerning. They’ve allowed the most yards per completion (12.6) and air yards per attempt (10.3) in the league, and now they face Jordan Love, who ranks fourth among all quarterbacks in average depth of target.
After missing Weeks 2 and 3, Love returned last Sunday, shaking off a slow first half to rack up 389 passing yards by the end of the game—following up his 260-yard performance against the Eagles in Week 1. Love and the Packers are primed for another big outing, and they get a bonus boost from the Rams’ defensive scheme. According to Pro Football Focus, the Rams run zone defense at the eighth-highest rate in the NFL, but they rank 28th or worse in defensive success rate, yards per reception, and yards allowed per coverage snap when in zone.
Green Bay excels against zone defenses, and their wide receivers—Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, and Romeo Doubs—are thriving. All three are in the Top 25 in yards per catch vs. zone and in the Top 30 in yards per route run against zone coverage, making them a dangerous trio for this matchup.
The only real threat to this passing total is if the Packers open up a huge lead and go run-heavy, but with their defense also struggling, this game could stay competitive enough for Love to keep airing it out all four quarters…
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Circa Survivor Report: Week 4
Circa Survivor Report: Week 4 CIRCA SURVIVOR LESSON: NEVER TRUST THE NY JETS! Another week of NFL action, another popular selection takes out a large contingent of Circa’s Survivor NFL $1,000 entry fee contest. Contestants learned the hard way that the NY Jets franchise should NEVER be trusted. Despite being a touchdown-plus home favorite the Jets burned 110 entrants. Denver Broncos QB Bo Nix made history yesterday in their win vs the New York Jets: Nix became the 1st QB since 1970 to win a game when averaging less than 2.5 yards/attempt on 25+ attempts 😂 pic.twitter.com/9Au3Q3vxLA — NFL Retweet (@NFLRT) September 30, 2024 After winning two consecutive games, 17.1% of the pool backed Aaron Rodgers and Gang Green. However, the inept franchise was upset by rookie QB Bo Nix who set a dubious NFL record (see tweet above) 10-9 at MetLife stadium. Arizona was the fifth-most selected team as 36 entries selected Kyler Murray and the Cardinals to beat the Commanders at home. Jayden Daniels the last two weeks: 🪖 90.6% adjusted completion % 🪖 574 total yards 🪖 5 total TDs pic.twitter.com/RBO6vgS4hs — PFF (@PFF) September 29, 2024 However, the Red Birds were unable to contain the red-hot Jayden Daniels as the Commanders crushed the hopes of 5.6% of the contest thumping Arizona 42-14 After four weeks, only 480 (3.4%) of the starting 14,266 entries enter the month of October still alive. Detroit wins so nothing changes! That’s a wrap for Week 4! If you’re one of the 480 remaining entries congrats!#CircaSurvivor #CircaSports #SurvivorSweat pic.twitter.com/fmKpYi6TrW — Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) October 1, 2024 The nervous tension will intensify for the 480 dreamers as team byes commence in Week 5. This creates more pitfalls in the battle for $14,266,000 – the biggest Survivor prize in history. The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest that forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. In an early look-ahead to Week 5, it is expected that: San Francisco (-7 ) vs Arizona and Seattle (-6) vs. the New York Giants will be the two most heavily chosen teams in the contest. However, a deeper dive reveals that week has the potential to knock another large number of entrants as 9 of the 14 games (64%) on the slate have a point spread of a field goal or less! Buckle up. Circa Hotel and Resort in Las Vegas is the proud home of FullTime Fantasy‘s renowned Fantasy Football World Championship! ENTER OUR WEEK 5 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 5 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 5 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 5 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 4
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 4 Another slate, another round of underwhelming scoring, and major injuries. At this point, every fantasy football manager has had to reach out for reinforcements to field a competitive lineup. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 4 will help you determine which players make good fill-ins, and which ones to avoid. Subsequently, our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 4 will help you navigate that turbulence to pick a winning lineup this week. Additionally, FullTime Fantasy has some of the top tools of the trade and accurate rankings. Quarterbacks Start ‘Em Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks) at Detroit Geno Smith came out firing in Week 3, but after that, he didn’t have to do much as the Seahawks cruised past a Dolphins team missing Tua. The game was in hand, so Smith’s workload eased off. Detroit’s defense has already allowed over 300 yards to Matthew Stafford and a top-five fantasy finish to Baker Mayfield. While Kyler Murray didn’t light up the scoreboard last week, he missed plenty of chances. With the game indoors, Smith will likely have to keep pace with the Lions’ offense, making him a solid start. Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) vs. LA Rams Kyler Murray and Brock Purdy have shredded the Rams’ defense over the past two games, putting up huge numbers. Williams is coming off a 21.3-point fantasy performance against the Colts and should have another opportunity to shine at home against the Rams. He’s a low-end starter you can confidently plug into lineups across all formats. Sit ‘Em Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) vs. Philadelphia After tossing six touchdowns in the first two weeks against Washington and Detroit, Mayfield came back to earth against Denver in Week 3. Now, he faces the Eagles, who boast the stingiest pass defense in the league, allowing a completion rate of just 57.3% to quarterbacks in 2024. Mayfield is a clear sit this week. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) at Houston Lawrence’s rough start to the season continued in Monday night’s blowout loss to Buffalo, where he put up just 9.4 fantasy points. With only two touchdowns and a season-high 220 passing yards so far, he’s been a disappointment. Even though the Texans were shredded by the Vikings last week, Lawrence struggled against them in two games last season, throwing just two touchdowns with two picks. Until we see more, he’s not a trustworthy option. Running Backs Start ‘Em Chuba Hubbard (Carolina Panthers) vs. Cincinnati Hubbard has been a steady contributor this season, ranking 19th among running backs with 40.9 fantasy points. His best showing came last week with Andy Dalton under center. Hubbard’s role has been consistent, playing over 54% of the snaps and seeing a solid share of touches. Once rookie Jonathon Brooks is fully healthy, Hubbard’s value could take a hit, but for now, expect him to be the lead back for at least one more week. Najee Harris (Pittsburgh Steelers) at Indianapolis It says a lot about Harris’ season that his 13.6-point showing against the Chargers was his best so far. But this week, he’s worth your trust. Harris has been getting plenty of volume, with at least 17 carries in every game this season and nine total targets. Plus, he faces a Colts defense being torched by running backs. Joe Mixon and Josh Jacobs both rushed for over 150 yards against Indianapolis. If you can’t start Harris in this matchup, then why even have him on your roster? Sit ‘Em D’Andre Swift (Chicago Bears) vs. LA Rams Swift has been a non-factor so far, tallying just 37 carries for 68 yards and 10 targets for 46 yards through three games. The Bears might start increasing Roschon Johnson’s workload, further cutting into Swift’s opportunities. Swift has done nothing to warrant trust, and even in good matchups, he’s a low-end flex option at best until he proves otherwise. Javonte Williams (Denver Broncos) at NY Jets Denver’s backfield is a headache for fantasy managers, with three different running backs involved last week. Williams led in snaps and targets, but Jaleel McLaughlin punched in a touchdown, while Tyler Badie outpaced them both in rushing yards. And with QB Bo Nix using his legs more—he scored the other rushing TD—there’s simply too much uncertainty to start Williams in Week 4. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Diontae Johnson (Carolina Panthers) vs. Cincinnati The switch at quarterback meant everything for Diontae Johnson in Week 3, as he exploded against the Raiders with eight catches for 122 yards and a touchdown on 14 targets. Andy Dalton’s replacing Bryce Young seems to have unlocked something for Johnson, who’s in line for more heavy usage with Adam Thielen sidelined. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed at least 18.5 PPR points to the top opposing receiver in back-to-back games. Johnson looks like a strong start for Week 4 in all formats. D.J. Moore (Chicago Bears) vs. LA Rams D.J. Moore has been a consistent target magnet, tied with Amari Cooper at 27 targets this season. His fantasy stock has climbed every week, and his quarterback Caleb Williams earned his best PFF grade of the year in Week 3. Facing a Rams’ defense that’s been generous to wide receivers, Moore is in a great spot to continue producing. The Rams have given up the third-most fantasy points to WRs this season. Sit ‘Em Michael Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) vs. Pittsburgh Pittman has struggled through a lackluster season with few yards and no touchdowns. His deep-ball production has been nonexistent, and with the return of Josh Downs, Pittman’s target share could shrink further. The Colts face a Steelers’ defense that has been tough on wide receivers, making Pittman a risky play. Until he shows a bounce-back, it’s best to keep him benched. Jaylen Waddle (Miami Dolphins) vs. Tennessee Without Tua Tagovailoa under center, Waddle managed just four catches for 26 yards on five targets in Week 3 against Seattle. Until we know who will be starting for the Dolphins in Week 4,
Week 4 NFL Player Props
Week 4 NFL Player Props Week 3 is in the books and we are cooking after a third consecutive profitable week. After beginning the season 9-4 (+6.3 Units), we produced a 5-2 record in Week 3 (+2.6 Units) due to
Week 4 NFL Player Props
Week 3 is in the books and we are cooking after a third consecutive profitable week. After beginning the season 9-4 (+6.3 Units), we produced a 5-2 record in Week 3 (+2.6 Units) due to a double-unit bet on Jauan Jennings after a pivot from George Kittle (who was a surprise inactive on Sunday). On the season, we are now 14-6 (70% conversion rate) and +8.9 Units! Let’s see if we can keep the momentum going with our Week 4 NFL Player Props.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 4 NFL prop bets! Like last week, I’ll be featuring one Thursday Night Football wager since our Week 3 TNF Anytime Touchdown bet cashed!
Lamar Jackson OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Coming off a heavy workload, Derrick Henry may take a bit of a backseat this week, with Lamar Jackson poised to steal the spotlight—just like we saw in Baltimore’s season opener. And given the context of this matchup, it makes sense. The Bills’ front seven has shown some vulnerability, especially when it comes to stopping the run, despite their impressive 3rd-place rank in Run Defense Win Rate. A closer look reveals they sit at a lowly 26th in PFF’s Run Defense Grade, signaling potential cracks in their armor.
Lamar has cleared this line in two of three games this season. The two times he did it, he decimated the line with 122 rushing yards in Week 1 and 87 rushing yards in Week 3. He’s averaging 84.6 rushing yards per game through three weeks of the season and is going to need to use his legs to keep the chains moving.
#Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is rushing at a RECORD PACE after three games⚡️
Jackson could shatter his record if he keeps it up📈#RavensFlock #NFL pic.twitter.com/UUe3jsom4q
— Football Forever (@fballforeverhq) September 25, 2024
What makes this matchup even more intriguing is Buffalo’s defensive scheme. Their tendency to anchor linebackers in coverage while relying heavily on just their front four to generate pressure leaves them exposed, especially against mobile quarterbacks like Jackson. Baltimore’s offensive line, which ranks above league average in both Run Block Win Rate and PFF Grade, is well-positioned to keep Buffalo’s pressure at bay. With minimal resistance up front, Lamar Jackson should have plenty of opportunities to take advantage of open rushing lanes…
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Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 In Week 3, the AFC East let us down with a non-competitive drubbing. This week, things have more potential with the Dallas Cowboys traveling to New Jersey to face the Giants. Hopefully, the second
In Week 3, the AFC East let us down with a non-competitive drubbing. This week, things have more potential with the Dallas Cowboys traveling to New Jersey to face the Giants. Hopefully, the second week in a row in this venue has more scoring. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 looks at all the fantasy-relevant players to forecast the game.
It’s always entertaining to watch these two NFC East rivals square off. The Cowboys are reeling after dropping two straight home games. Conversely, they had won their previous 17 at AT&T Stadium. Therefore, they’re probably welcoming a change of scenery. And a game against a foe they’ve defeated in 11 of their last 12 matchups.
Conversely, the Giants are coming off of an upset win in Cleveland. New York’s offense has been more competent after their opener. With some momentum, they’re trying to get to 500 while simultaneously delivering a knockout punch to their hated rivals.
This game opened with Dallas favored by four. However, the line quickly jumped up to Dallas -6. The total stands at 45, up a meager half-point from its opening total.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 1 | 30 | 16 | 6 |
| New York Giants | 22 | 21 | 19 | 25 | 29 |
The Dallas offensive ranks look good on paper. However, a big chunk of that production came in futile comeback attempts in their past two losses. The lack of balance and inability to run the ball has hurt the Cowboys.
Additionally, the Dallas defense has crumbled.
The Cowboys currently rank 28th in overall defense and have allowed the third-most points. Dallas ranks dead last against the run and has allowed 28-plus points in every game.
New York is surrendering 318 yards of offense per game, which is middle of the pack. However, only three teams have scored fewer points. Look for the Giants to try to slow things down and exploit that struggling defense.
On defense, the Giants rank 13th against the pass. They’re worst against the run (23rd) but don’t expect Dallas to be able to exploit that.
The real question here is can the Cowboys stop the bleeding to cool off Mike McCarthy’s hot seat?
Dallas Offense
Dak Prescott leads the league with 851 passing yards. However, touchdowns have been hard to come by. Prescott has only thrown…
How will Thursday’s Cowboys vs. Giants game go?
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Week 4 Sleepers & Emerging Players
AllenWeek 4 Sleepers, Potential-Emergent Players, and Opportunistic Plays This article is contributed by Brad Kruse This column is NOT intended to provide week 4 waiver claims lists. Instead, the purpose is to look at young players whose opportunities could be emerging and should be monitored. These are the Week 4 Sleepers and Emerging players to monitor moving forward. My goal is to help look around corners for the season which might give some ideas for pre-emptive adds to your roster. Young Running Backs and Their Opportunity Status Braelon Allen: Allen didn’t match his week 2 output, but his usage was again strong. Allen played 23 of the 73 snaps in the game and got 11 carries and 3 targets. He averaged 5.0 yards per carry to lead the team with 55 rushing yards. Also, Allen added three receptions for 13 yards and demonstrated his premium handcuff appeal if Breece Hall were to go down plus a playable emergency RB2 or flex alternative in leagues. Bucky Irving: The story with Irving continued into week 3. He is outperforming Rachaad White on the ground as he received nine carries to White’s six and gained 78 yards (7.8 yards/carry) to White’s 17 (2.8 yards/carry). White plays a lot more snaps and garners more targets. But the Bucs have to get Irving into the action more. His time is near. Roschon Johnson: A new edition to this list is the Bears 2nd year RB. Swift has disappointed fantasy managers. With Travis Homer’s injury, Johnson regained his third-down back role from last year and earned eight carries and five targets for the Bears. He also led Chicago’s backfield with 30 yards rushing and 32 yards receiving on 4 receptions. I wouldn’t look for Swift to disappear, but you have to like the passing game usage for Johnson. For him to be startable, however, the Bears will need to increase the output of the offense. Jaylen Wright: Another week without Raheem Mostert and another ho-hum day for Wright. This entire offense looks like a disaster until Tua Tagovailoa returns (likely after his 4-week IR stint). Tua is reportedly symptom-free, so I’d lean toward him returning when eligible. However, that’s still three weeks where the Dolphins will look to be run-heavy. But they need to figure out a way to be more efficient with the run. Wright’s looking like a disappointment so far as he’s had a few opportunities in the last two weeks but hasn’t flashed yet. Blake Corum: Corum has devolved into strictly a handcuff. He’s had no action and it’s somewhat inexplicable that they drafted him for someone who they could trust to relieve Kyren Williams and so as not to wear Williams down. Williams is handling a monster workload just like last year. He’s tough to hold in leagues right now, but the appeal of playing for the Rams’ fantasy juicy offense will probably keep fantasy managers loyal to their draft pick another week. Tank Bigsby: Bigsby played in week 3 on a questionable tag, but only received nine snaps, two carries and no targets in the blowout loss to the Bills. D’Ernest Johnson out-snapped Bigsby. Bigsby still appeared to be the primary backup before garbage time, but he’ll need better matchups or an injury to Étienne who is dominating snaps right now. Ray Davis: Davis chopped up the snaps behind James Cook with Ty Johnson then picked up the garbage time carries which yielded a TD. However, Davis doesn’t appear to be trusted on third downs, yet which is a disappointment that if Cook were to go down, Davis would likely be the between-the-tackles runner and Ty Johnson would get 3rd downs. Marshawn Lloyd: Lloyd is on IR, but the role behind Josh Jacobs is fruitful and Emanuel Wilson showed in Week 3. Wilson is playing well, and Lloyd may be able to secure the backup job if he can stay healthy when he returns. Lloyd is a player to keep in mind for a fresh-legged runner down the stretch but don’t sleep on Wilson in the meantime. Carson Steele: We didn’t get a lot of clarity this week on Steele. He did get the start and was used a bit in the passing game, however Samaje Perine was used more in the passing situations (3rd down and 2-minute drill). Plus, we might see Kareem Hunt enter the scene next week, so this is a fragile situation. Right now, Steele is probably the RB to own, but as soon as it sorts itself out, Pacheco could return. Breakout Wide Receivers Jalen McMillan: McMillan was quiet again, but the skillset is there. He’s behind solid veterans in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. He’s out there consistently running routes. Hopefully, it won’t take an injury for him to get involved more. Adonai Mitchell: With Josh Down’s return, Mitchell’s snap share plummeted. For now, he seems behind Pierce, but Ashton Dulin also played twice as many snaps (14:7) as Mitchell. Mitchell is back in wait-and-see mode. Malik Washington: Washington’s opportunity will have to wait until Tua’s healthy. He’s likely on the waiver wire and should stay there until this offense gets on track. Alec Pierce: The Bears have a strong secondary and they essentially shut down the passing attack for the Colts, who relied on the running game to bulldoze the Bears in Week 3. Pierce’s one reception on two targets did lead the Colts with 44 receiving yards demonstrating his deep-threat role on the team. But this time he didn’t get in the end zone. Regardless, his skill set seems to match Richardson’s strong arm. He’s flexible against lesser secondaries and games that figure to be negative game scripts for the Colts. Ja’Lynn Polk: Polk’s role seemed to shrink in week 3 after getting only 26 snaps and was outtargeted by DeMario Douglas (9:2). Polk will likely be a fine wide receiver, but he’ll need this offense to perform better and open up. That might not happen until Drake Maye takes over. Jordan
Injury Report: Week 4
Injury Report: Week 4 Another week with scoring down and injuries up. At this rate, teams that make the championship might have 100% turnover from their Week 1 startling lineups. Our Injury Report: Week 4 takes you through another week of big fantasy news. Also, a great starting point for staying updated on the latest injuries is to bookmark our NFL Injury Report. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Jordan Love (QB) Green Bay Packers – Love (MCL) returned to practice last week and was “close” to playing. He is expected to be limited this week in practice. However, there is a 70% chance Love will return to face the Vikings in Week 4. We will keep the FullTime Fantasy Discord updated with news all week. DeVonta Smith (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – A vicious hit resulted in a concussion for Smith. He must clear the league’s protocol before he can suit up. Typically, that takes 1-2 weeks, so consider him questionable for Week 4. Austin Ekeler (RB) Washington Commanders – Ekeler is also in the concussion protocol. Ekeler did not fly home with the team, which complicates his Week 5 status. Trey McBride (TE) Arizona Cardinals – Yet another premier fantasy player sidelined with a concussion. Adam Thielen (WR) Carolina Panthers – Just when Andy Dalton restored some credibility to Carolina’s fledgling offense, Thielen injured his hamstring on his TD grab and will miss at least four games. Check out Week 4 waiver wire for who to target to replace Thielen. Panthers placing WR Adam Thielen (hamstring) on IR. (via @RapSheet) pic.twitter.com/gUGQgV5cuD — NFL (@NFL) September 24, 2024 Justin Herbert (QB) Los Angeles Chargers – Herbert aggravated his ankle injury and exited LA’s Week 3 loss. However, there is some optimism that Herbert will play in Week 4 with some mobility limitations. Ken Walker (RB) Seattle Seahawks – Reportedly, Walker (oblique) is progressing well. However, with Zach Charbonnett filling in nicely, the Seahawks have the luxury of letting Walker get close to 100% before they start him. Sam LaPorta (TE) Detroit Lions – Low-ankle sprain. We will update his status throughout the week. However, it should be noted that the Lions have a Week 5 bye. Skylar Thompson (QB) Miami Dolphins – Thompson is day-to-day with a chest injury. Despite his availability, Superflex fantasy managers should be prepared for Tyler Huntley to start for the Dolphins this week. Jaylen Warren (RB) Pittsburgh Steelers – A knee injury forced Warren from Sunday’s game. He had an MRI and is questionable for Week 4. UPDATE: Warren is week-to-week. Britain Covey (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Sent to IR with a shoulder injury. ENTER OUR WEEK 4 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 4 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 4 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 4 TEAM and enter the REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Waiver Wire: Week 4
Waiver Wire: Week 4 The only thing we know after three weeks is that we don’t know. The 2024 season is off to a wild start. And more injuries and ineffective players are piling up. Our Waiver Wire: Week 4
The only thing we know after three weeks is that we don’t know. The 2024 season is off to a wild start. And more injuries and ineffective players are piling up. Our Waiver Wire: Week 4 has the top adds to target ahead of the one-quarter mark.
Along with knowing who to pick up, FullTime Fantasy‘s Matchup Analyzer Tool will help you get the most out of your lineup.
Here are the low-rostered players you should consider adding ahead of the season’s third week.
Roschon Johnson (RB) Chicago Bears – D’Andre Swift ranks 82nd out of 93 running backs graded by PFF in 2024. Swift is averaging a putrid 1.7 yards after contact and has been the third-least elusive back in football. Therefore, it feels like it’s only a matter of time before Swift is benched. Johnson got 13 touches in Week 3, just three fewer than Swift. Also, Johnson produced more yards on fewer touches and was far more efficient as a runner and receiver. A proactive bid on Johnson now might secure you the Bears’ starter sooner rather than later. Subsequently, Khalil Herbert also makes sense as a proactive target in deeper leagues.
Bucky Irving (RB) Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Irving highlighted last week‘s waiver wire piece. Rachaad White continues to struggle and the rookie out-snapped him in Tampa’s humiliating loss to Denver. If Irving is still available, he’s a primary add this week.
Braelon Allen (RB) New York Jets – The Jets are firmly committed to utilizing both of their outstanding young backs. Allen is still available in about 65% of leagues. However, that will change this week. Allen is among the best handcuffs in football. Additionally, he’s had standalone value in the past two games. Allen is a top-30 fantasy back through three games and needs to be a priority add where he’s un-rostered.
Jauan Jennings (WR) San Francisco 49ers – It’s important to have realistic expectations. Jennings blew up in Week 3 but…
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Week 4 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 4 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Keenan Allen (45.95) and Davante Adams (42.20) posted the two impact fantasy point games at wide receiver in Week 3. Adam Thielen (31.50) built on his success in Week 2 (20.40), while Tyreek Hill
Keenan Allen (45.95) and Davante Adams (42.20) posted the two impact fantasy point games at wide receiver in Week 3. Adam Thielen (31.50) built on his success in Week 2 (20.40), while Tyreek Hill (9/157/1) and Justin Jefferson (7/149/1) closed out the five scoring in PPR leagues. Seven other wideouts scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here’s a look at the top five wide receivers after the three games:
- Keenan Allen (91.25)
- Tyreek Hill (90.20)
- Justin Jefferson (77.80)
- Davante Adams (75.20)
- Mike Evans (64.70)
There have been eight wide receiver games with at least 30.00 fantasy points.
Here is the Week 4 DFS: Wide Receiver Report. Also, check out this week’s QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Justin Jefferson, MIN (DK – $9,600/FD – $9,400)
The most consistent elite wide receiver after three weeks has been Jefferson (9/150, 11/159, and 7/149/1), highlighted by his 38 targets (12, 13, and 13). The Vikings have had him on the field for 97.5% of their 204 plays. He’s gained over 100 yards in 13 of his last 21 starts while having a floor of seven catches in 14 of those games.
The Panthers have the fourth-best defense against wide receivers (31/396/1 on 49 targets). DK Metcalf (6/112) is the only wideout to gain over 100 yards. In Week 1, Carolina faced a Falcons offense that attempted only 18 passes. That led to only three catches for 31 yards by their wide receivers. Last year, the Panthers finished 28th defending wide receivers.
Jefferson is the most explosive ticket on the board each week. Especially if he adds impact touchdowns to his electric production. In addition, the Vikings have averaged 46 passes in 2023. It’s all about finding enough value to fit Jefferson in your DFS lineup.
Tyreek Hill, MIA (DK – $9,200/FD – $9,600)
Over his three starts in 2023, Hill has two difference-maker showings (11/215/2 and 9/157/1) while scoring in each matchup. Last year, he struggled to get open in both games (2/33 and 7/69) against the Bills, one without Tua Tagovailoa behind center. In the postseason in 2021, Hill excelled in the postseason (11/150/1) with Kansas City at home vs. Buffalo.
The Bills rank third in wide receiver defense (24/303/2 on 36 targets), allowing 6.6 yards per pass attempt with 12 sacks (nine in Week 3). Buffalo gave up only three touchdowns over the first three games (@NYJ, LA, and @WAS). In 2022, the Bills were about league average against wideouts (32.38 FPPG).
This matchup for Miami isn’t ideal for Hill based on the…
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Week 4 DFS: Tight End Report
Week 4 DFS: Tight End Report Heading into Week 4, there have been 25 touchdowns scored by tight ends. Donald Parham leads the way with three scores despite only having six catches for 32 on seven targets on the season.
Heading into Week 4, there have been 25 touchdowns scored by tight ends. Donald Parham leads the way with three scores despite only having six catches for 32 on seven targets on the season. He’s been on the field for about 50% of the Chargers’ snaps. T.J. Hockenson leads tight ends in targets (28), followed by Sam LaPorta (22).
In Week 3, only LaPorta (22.40) scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in PPR formats, thanks to a 45-yard touchdown. Nine tight ends finished between 10.90 and 19.90 fantasy points. Only two tight ends scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in a week.
Here are the top five tight ends after three weeks:
- T.J. Hockenson (51.90)
- Sam LaPorta (42.60)
- Hunter Henry (37.50)
- Evan Engram (35.30)
- Travis Kelce (32.50)
These are the only tight ends averaging more than 10.00 fantasy points per week.
Here are the top plays this week via the Week 4 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 4 DFS: QB Report and RB Report.
Top Tier Options
Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $7,400/FD – $7,800)
After three games, Kelce averaged 16.25 FPPG in PPR formats in PPR formats over his two starts. Last year, his season average was 18.88 fantasy points. That puts him about 14% behind his pace in 2022. The Chiefs had Kelce on the field for 61% of their plays last week due to a blowout game, down from 64% in Week 2. On the positive side, his light workload did make him look swifter versus the Bears. Kelce has done more of his work close to the line of scrimmage (8.6 yards per catch – 12.2 in 2022 and 12.7 in his career before this season). Patrick Mahomes looked his way 8.5 times a game in his two starts.
The Jets fell to 30th in tight end defense (16.97 FPPG) after getting beat by New England’s tight ends in Week 3 (5/108/1). Most of the damage came on a broken play touchdown (58 yards) to the Patriots’ third tight end (Pharaoh Brown – 2/71/1). Tight ends have 16 catches for 169 yards and three touchdowns on 21 targets against New York.
Kelce remains an edge at tight end due to his upside potential. But it does come with a price in the DFS market due to his high salary. He must score 30.00 fantasy points at DraftKings to be viable. That’s an outcome Kelce reached twice in 2022 (33.50 and 35.50). I don’t see the Jets pushing the envelope on the scoreboard, costing Kelce the follow-through needed to be an edge in the daily games in Week 4.
George Kittle, SF (DK – $5,100/FD – $6,300)
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
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