Week 4 NFL Player Props
Week 4 NFL Prop Bets Week 3 was another profitable weekend for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. We went 5-2 (+2.6 units) and are now 10-4 (+5.0 units) on the season. Garrett Wilson was a mere one yard away from
Week 4 NFL Prop Bets
Week 3 was another profitable weekend for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. We went 5-2 (+2.6 units) and are now 10-4 (+5.0 units) on the season. Garrett Wilson was a mere one yard away from us producing a 6-1 record last week. Let’s see if we can continue this trend of winning wagers in our Week 4 NFL Prop Bets.
Through three weeks of the season, there have been more injuries than usual and countless surprise performances. In the fantasy football world, not many people would have expected Kirk Cousins as the QB1, Raheem Mostert as the RB1, Keenan Allen as the WR1, and T.J. Hockenson as the TE1.
Perhaps some may have predicted Hock as a top tight end but Sam Laporta, Hunter Henry, and Evan Engram are just behind him before Travis Kelce rounds out the top-five tight ends. All this is to say that anything can happen on any given Sunday.
However, fantasy football owners definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below.
Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 4 NFL prop bets.
Justin Fields OVER 184.5 Passing Yards (-115)
I know, I know, how is it possible to put your trust in Fields’ arm after his less-than-mediocre start to the 2023 campaign? Well, Fields gets a juicy matchup against a Denver Broncos team that just allowed a whopping 70 points to the Miami Dolphins. The winless Bears will host the winless Broncos at Soldier Field and this is the perfect get-right game for Fields and the rest of the Chicago offense.
Although Fields only managed to throw for 99 yards last week against the Kansas City Chiefs, he did eclipse 200 passing yards in each of his first two contests of the season. With better weapons than he has had in previous seasons, particularly in D.J. Moore, look for Fields to right the ship in Week 4.
The Broncos are currently allowing…
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FFWC High-Stakes Recap: Week 3
Week Three, of the 2023 Fulltime Fantasy Football season, is now complete. Changes were plentiful, during a very high scoring week, and new weekly season-high scores were set across all four of our tournaments. Here is a look at the Top 20 Leaderboards in our FFWC High-Stakes Recap: Week 3. FFWC XI World Championship Tournament In the race to the $150K Grand Prize, the FFWC XI World Championship Top 20 Leaderboard is populated by ten new teams this week. Retaining first overall, for a second straight week, Team Just(in) Time (WC 4 SLOW) enjoyed another great week. Simeon Yarbrough and Brian Marzorini racked up 213.50 total points. That’s a new season-high weekly score for their squad and pushed their overall lead from 9.60 to 45.20 points. Moving up two positions, from fourth to second, Team Gipson posted 184.20 points. Danny Gibson’s Week 3 lineup was led by WR Keenan Allen (45.95), plus WR Tyreek Hill (30.70) and QB Kirk Cousins (30.35). Danny pushed his lead from 59.90 to 105.45 points in his WC 9/9 10 PM ET league. Jumping 12 spots, Team Winters Hurts McGood (WC 3 SLOW) moved from 15th to third overall. Rex Winters had four of his 11 players score at least 22.50 points and racked up 204.10 total points. Slipping two spots, Team Meyer fell from second to fourth overall. William Meyer’s squad finished the week with 172.15 points. On the bright side, Team Meyer posted the second-highest point total in his FFWC Online 9/9 1 PM ET league and now owns an 88.40-point overall lead. Rounding out the Top 5, and earning our “Shout Out of the Week” Fairways & Greens WC VI made a huge move from 88th to fifth place overall. Curtis Hirsch (FFWC Online 9/2 1 PM ET) piled up 229.85 points. That sets a new FFWC XI single-week high score, as the previous high was 219.85 points. Following the first week of head-to-head action, 89 of the 600 FFWC XI teams sit with a perfect 3-0-0 record. Overall, during a high-scoring week, 25 teams (nine last week) topped the 200-point plateau. 15 of those are new Top 20 FFWC single-week high scores. Circa Las Vegas Fantasy Championship Following Week 3 action, our inaugural Circa LVFC Tournament overall leaderboard is still tightly bunched at the top. Heading into Week 4 action, the Top 5 teams are separated by just 25.10 points. Several teams made big moves, and 13 new squads entered the Top 20 list. For the third straight week, there is a new Circa LVFC overall leader as Webslinger 23 (Circa LVFC 8/20 9 PM ET) jumped from eighth to first place. Led by WR Keenan Allen (45.95) and RB Raheem Mostert (45.20) Mike Weber’s squad piled up 248.60 points. That’s the third-highest single-week total through the first three weeks. Joining the LVFC Top 20, Trash Pandas (Circa LVFC Top Golf 9/8 7 PM PT) moved from 31st to second overall. Led by four players, who posted at least 27.90 points, Mark Sadler’s squad racked up 253.40 total points. That’s the second-highest LVFC single-week total through the first three weeks. For the second straight week, Mr. Yellow Stickers 1 retained third place overall. Mike Schlissberg’s Circa LVFC 6/8 10:30 PM ET squad posted 220.90 points. That impressive total moved Mike’s overall league lead to 136.70 points. Also new to the LVFC Top 20, Team Miller (Circa LVFC 8/27 5 PM ET) jumped from 29th to fourth place overall. Scoring the fourth-highest single-week total this season, Jason Miller’s squad posted 242.65 points. That moved Team Miller from 31.25 to just 19.95 points out of first place. Rounding out the Top 5, and also new to the Circa LVFC Top 20, Team Everything Must Go moved from 25th to fifth overall. Matthew Lyons’ squad posted 236.00 points and sits 25.10 points behind the Circa LVFC overall leader. That’s a second-straight big week for Matthew who was in 825th place following Week 1 action. After 17 teams cracked the 200-point barrier in Week 2, 50 squads topped that plateau during Week 3 action. Through three weeks, 154 of our 1056 Circa LVFC teams sit with a 3-0-0 record. For the second straight week, there are 20 different leagues represented on the LVFC Top 20 Leaderboard. Our “Shout Out of the Week” goes to Team Miss New Booty III. Oliver Dawoud’s Circa LVFC 8/19 10:00 PM ET squad racked up 265.50 points. That is a new single-week high score across all four of our tournaments. The impressive total moved Oliver from 381st to 12th place in the overall standings. Dynasty World Championship Tournament With our Week 2 leader as the lone exception, every position on the DFWC Top 20 Leaderboard changed following Week 3 action. That includes eleven new teams moving into the Top 20 overall standings. After posting 209.40 points last week, Team Mr. Two Thirty 33 surpassed that with 238.55 points during Week 3 action. That is the third most single-week points scored through the first three weeks of DFWC action. Including WR Keenan Allen (45.95), and RB Raheem Mostert (45.20), ten of Steve Moreau’s eleven players posted double-digit points. Steve pushed his overall lead from 31.65 to 50.10 points. Moving up three positions, House of Cards jumped from fifth to second place overall. Biplab Mandal’s DFWC 4 squad racked up 229.60 points, which is the seventh-highest single-week DFCW total this season. Entering the DFWC Top 20, for the first time this season, Team Yo Mama 32 jumped from 23rd to third place overall. Larry Ordet’s DFWC 32 squad piled up 247.25 points during Week 3 action. That is the second-highest DFWC single-week total so far this season. Team Tonawanda Kardex moved up four positions, from eighth to fourth place, following Week 3 action. Ray Flack, our Dynasty Orphan King, posted 221.80 points. That DFWC 38 squad has now moved from 82nd place, back in Week 1, to fourth overall. Rounding out the Top 5, Team Ehuds Sword slipped slightly; from second
Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 3 DFS: Running Back Report A late surge in the fourth quarter by Brian Robinson (two touchdowns) pushed him to the top of running back scoring in Week 2, edging out Kyren Williams (28.00), Saquan Barkley (27.20, and D’Andre
A late surge in the fourth quarter by Brian Robinson (two touchdowns) pushed him to the top of running back scoring in Week 2, edging out Kyren Williams (28.00), Saquan Barkley (27.20, and D’Andre Swift (27.10). Six other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five back in scoring in PPR leagues after two games:
- Christian McCaffrey (48.40)
- Kyren Williams (22.70)
- Brian Robinson (42.50)
- Tony Pollard (42.10)
- Bijan Robinson (20.75)
There have already been three significant injuries to running backs (Austin Ekeler, Nick Chubb, and Saquon Barkley), sending fantasy managers to an ultra-thin waiver wire to solve their injury woes.
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 3 DFS QB Report, WR Report, and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Tony Pollard, DAL (DK – $8,000/FD – $9,400)
Over the first two weeks of the season, the Cowboys have played from the lead for about 150 minutes while never trailing in a game. They’ve struggled to run the ball in other matches (4.1 and 3.0 yards per rush) despite averaging 37 carries. Pollard has been on the field for 64% of their snaps in both contests, leading to 191 combined yards with two touchdowns and nine catches (42.10 fantasy points in PPR formats). He is well behind last year’s pace in yards per rush (3.6 – 5.2 in 2022) and yards per catch (5.4 – 9.5 in 2022). Pollard scored eight of his 12 touchdowns at home last season.
The Cardinals defended running back well over the first two games (44/149/1 – 3.4 yards per carry). They’ve allowed two receiving scores to backs, with minimal damage in catches (8) and receiving yards (46). Arizona finished 27th in running back defense (27.39 FPPG) in 2022.
Pollard had seven rushes inside the five-yard line and 12 inside the 10 yards. I didn’t like to see Rico Dowdle on the field near the goal line last week on one series. But Dowdle failed to reach paydirt in his two chances. Pollard’s 32 touches in Week 2 were career-high. His salary in the DFS market requires an impact game. That is something he achieved only once in 2022 (149 combined yards with three touchdowns and one catch). I see a correct game coming in big plays, giving him a chance to be the top running back of the week.
Bijan Robinson, ATL (DK – $8,000/FD – $9,000)
The fantasy market got a taste of the potential in Week 2 vs. the Packers. Atlanta gave him 24 touches compared to 16 by Tyler Allgeier, leading to a wide edge in combined yards (172 to 48). His snap count rose from 63% to 72%. Robinson had 39 touches on the year while averaging 6.2 yards per rush. Two of his plays gained at least 20 yards.
His first road start comes in Detroit, matching him against the electric Jahmyr Gibbs. The Lions played well vs. the run over the first two games (23/90 and 25/82/2 – 3.6 yards per rush), with 37.8% of their yards allowed coming from…
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Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Thankfully, we saw an increase in scoring last week. Hopefully, that action led to a better outcome in your DFS lineups. This week, our Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report will help you make
Thankfully, we saw an increase in scoring last week. Hopefully, that action led to a better outcome in your DFS lineups. This week, our Week 3 DFS: Wide Receiver Report will help you make better lineup decisions in what looks like a challenging slate.
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 3 DFS: quarterback and tight end reports.
After two games, Justin Jefferson (9/150 and 11/159) and Puca Nacua (10/119 and 15/151) are the only two wideouts to score more than 20.00 fantasy points in both weeks. They also rank first and second in targets (25 and 35). Nine wide receivers have 20 targets or more.
Keenan Allen (8/111/2) led the Week 2, followed by Nacua (15/151) and Mike Evans (6/171/1). Seventeen wideouts scored between 20.00 and 30.00 fantasy points (eight in Week 1). In PPR formats, Tyreek Hill ranks first in wide receiver scoring (59.50).
Top Tier Options
Davante Adams, LV (DK – $7,800/FD – $7,900)
Jimmy Garoppolo looks Adams’ way 17 times over the first two weeks, leading to 12 catches for 150 yards and one touchdown. His ceiling has been limited due to the Raiders only attempting 50 passes. Last season, he had seven impact games (10/141/1, 3/124/2, 10/146/2, 9/126/1, 7/141/2, 8/177/2, and 7/153/2).
The Steelers showed risk vs. wide receivers in Week 1 (SF – 13/184/2). But a better pass rush (six sacks) and weaker quarterback play by Deshaun Watson led to a 50% catch rate on 28 targets with 160 yards vs. the Browns. In 2022, Pittsburgh finished seventh in wide receiver defense (29.60 FPPG) despite two disastrous games (BUF – 18/389/4 and PHI – 13/236/4). CB Patrick Peterson has already given up two touchdowns and multiple long plays.
Adams needs the Raiders to open up the passing game and do a better job moving the chains. He remains a volume pass-catcher with elite upside in scoring. Home cooking should treat him well on Sunday.
Justin Jefferson, MIN (DK – $9,300/FD – $9,700)
The game has been relatively easy for Jefferson over the first two weeks (20/309 on 25 targets). He’s gained 20 yards or more on 40% of his catches with an elite catch rate (80%). The structure of the Vikings’ receivers and their offensive game plan creates plenty of open field and opportunities. Last year, Jefferson scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in seven contests.
The Chargers have already allowed 32 catches for 565 yards and four touchdowns on 43 targets to wide receiver while allowing a dismal 17.7 yards per catch. Tyreek Hill (11/215/2) dominated their defense in Week 1. Last year, Los Angeles was slightly above the league average against wideouts (31.50 FPPG). CB J.C. Jackson made a couple of mistakes in Week 1, leading to a pair of long catches and a touchdown. Overall, he has held receivers to a low catch rate.
Minnesota attempts a high volume of passes in most games. However, they need to create…
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Week 3 NFL Player Props
Week 3 NFL Prop Bets The 2023 NFL season has been filled with surprises, on a team level and on an individual level. Through two weeks, Jordan Love has the top passer rating and Puka Nucua leads the league in
Week 3 NFL Prop Bets
The 2023 NFL season has been filled with surprises, on a team level and on an individual level. Through two weeks, Jordan Love has the top passer rating and Puka Nucua leads the league in receptions. Only Nostradamus would have predicted that. Speaking of predicting, the FullTime Fantasy Week 3 NFL Prop Bets will attempt to project more winners.
After a profitable Week 2 in which we went 5-2 (+2.4 units), it’s time to start pinpointing the top prop bets to exploit in Week 3’s slate of action. Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 3 NFL prop bets.
Tua Tagovailoa OVER 264.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Through two weeks of the season, Tagovailoa is averaging 307.5 passing yards per game and has been one of the most accurate and explosive quarterbacks in the NFL. Some believed Tagovailoa’s 2022 season was a bit of a fluke. But so far, he’s shown that he has the potential to be a top-five quarterback in this league. Especially given the weapons he has to work with. The offense has worked seamlessly under Mike McDaniel’s fast-paced scheme. And defenses are having all sorts of trouble trying to defend…
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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 3
Scoring rebounded last week, but more key injuries complicate lineups. After targeting the top waiver wire adds, knowing which players have appealing matchups this week can help you maximize your odds of winning. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 3 explores those players and others that should be avoided in Week 3. QUARTERBACKS Start ‘Em Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) Cousins delivered an impressive performance last week, accumulating 28.56 fantasy points. That ranked him as the second-best quarterback (QB2) for the week. Cousins, alongside Tua Tagovailoa, is one of just two quarterbacks to surpass 700 passing yards over the first two weeks of the season. He currently shares the league lead in passing touchdowns with six, tying with Jordan Love. Furthermore, Cousins is set to face the Chargers, a defense that has allowed the most passing yards in the league (666) so far. Considering the high-scoring potential of this home game, Cousins deserves a spot in your starting lineup. Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns) Watson has yet to experience his breakout moment in the 2023 season. But Week 3 presents a favorable opportunity in a great matchup with a scheme that will have to change after losing Nich Chubb on Monday. The Titans’ defense is notably more resilient against the run than the pass, ranking in the bottom 10 in pass DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) but in the top 10 for run DVOA. After two games, Tennessee ranks fourth against the run but plummets to 28th versus the pass. This could be a blowup spot for the Chub-less Browns passing attack. Sit ‘Em Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers) Love has posted top-5 fantasy numbers through two games, but he’s kind of doing it with smoke and mirrors. He ranks just 26th in attempts and 23rd with a meager 396 passing yards. That lofty touchdown rate that is supporting his fantasy value isn’t something that sustainable. This week, Love will be challenged at home facing a formidable New Orleans Saints defense. The Saints have allowed more than 20 points in a league-best 10 consecutive road contests. Overall, New Orleans boasts the NFL’s No. 4 defense and has surrendered the seventh-fewest passing yards. View Love as a modest QB2 in SupeFlex leagues, but one to avoid wherever possible. Running Backs Start ‘Em Gus Edwards (Baltimore Ravens) In their first game without J.K. Dobbins, the Ravens leaned on Justice Hill for most snaps (54% to Edwards’ 46%) and high-impact situations. However, Edwards made a significant impact, outgaining Hill on his 10 carries with 62 yards compared to Hill’s 11 carries and three catches for 53 yards. Hill hasn’t practiced all week and is considered unlikely to suit up. If Justice Hill sits with a toe injury expect the Gus Bus to roll against the Colts at home. Brian Robinson (Washington Commanders) Last week, Robinson commanded 55 percent of the snaps, received 18 out of 20 running back carries, ran 17 routes, and saw three targets. He amassed an impressive 129 yards, two touchdowns, and 28.9 fantasy points in the win, leading all running backs in fantasy points for the week. Facing the Bills in Week 3, a team that has struggled against inside runs, Robinson is poised for another strong performance. Also, Antonio Gibson has become an afterthought in Eric Bieniemy’s new offense. Robinson is quietly operating as a featured back and should be considered a “must start” until that changes. Considering how well he’s played, it might not. Sit ‘Em James Conner (Arizona Cardinals) While James Conner had a solid Week 2 against the Giants, the matchup against the Cowboys in Week 3 is awful. The Cowboys have demonstrated their ability to limit opposing running backs, and their defense could be one of the best in recent memory. It’s advisable to bench most running backs facing the Cowboys, who rank first against the pass and run. Conner’s snap rate and volume are appealing. However, he’s going to struggle in a game where the Cardinals have a league-worst implied total of just 15 points. Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) White’s performance is heavily reliant on volume, and he faces the Eagles in Week 3, a team that has allowed just 82 rushing yards to running backs this season. With an inefficient running style and a tough run defense, White is a player to avoid in this matchup. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Amari Cooper (Cleveland Browns) Cooper performed well in Week 2 despite being considered very questionable with a groin injury. He recorded seven catches for 90 yards on 10 targets. That performance solidified Cooper’s standing as a reliable No. 1 wideout who can be relied upon each and every week. This week, Cooper and the Browns face the Titans, who have struggled against opposing receivers in their previous two games. Only four teams have allowed more passing yards than the Titans so far in 2023. With a favorable home matchup, Cooper has the potential for a big outing. George Pickens (Pittsburgh Steelers) In the absence of Diontae Johnson in Week 3 against Cleveland, George Pickens enjoyed significant involvement in the offense. Pickens saw a career-high 10 targets from Kenny Pickett and came up big on Monday Night Football against the Browns. Pickens responded with a career-best 127 receiving yards and a touchdown. The Raiders’ defense has allowed three receivers to score at least 13.2 PPR points this season, making Pickens a strong start in all leagues for this road matchup. Sit ‘Em Marquise Brown (Arizona Cardinals) As mentioned with Conner, I am pretty much benching the Cardinals this week. Brown showed promise in Week 2 against the Giants, but his Week 3 matchup against Dallas is challenging. The Cowboys’ pass defense is the best in the NFL this season, ranking first in yards, points allowed, yards per attempt, and even sack rate. Arizona is the biggest underdog on the slate and also has the lowest implied total. At best, Brown is a marginal starter in three-receiver leagues for