Week 15 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 15 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Deebo Samuel (34.00) led last week in fantasy points after taking home the runner-up prize the previous week (35.80). Drake London (29.20) posted his best game of the season to finish second, followed by
Deebo Samuel (34.00) led last week in fantasy points after taking home the runner-up prize the previous week (35.80). Drake London (29.20) posted his best game of the season to finish second, followed by D.J. Moore (26.80) and Cooper Kupp (25.50). Only four other wideouts scored 20.00 fantasy points or more. Eight of the top 10 wide receivers for the week ranked outside the top 20 in scoring in PPR formats coming into Week 14. Here are the best five players by scoring average after 14 weeks:
- Tyreek Hill (24.93)
- CeeDee Lamb (21.90)
- Keenan Allen (21.57)
- A.J. Brown (19.75)
- Ja’Marr Chase (18.49)
Also, before we get into the Week 14 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report and RB Report
Elite Option
CeeDee Lamb, DAL (DK – $9,200/FD – $9,200)
Over his last five games at home, Lamb had 45 catches for 605 yards and seven touchdowns on 64 targets, highlighted by his play in Week 8 (12/170/2), Week 10 (11/165/2), and Week 13 (12/146/1). He has a touchdown in five straight games (six totals). He is on pace to catch 126 passes for 1,748 yards and 12 touchdowns on 171 targets.
Buffalo sits 13th vs. wideouts (156/1,741/12 on 224 targets), with only two teams (JAC – 20/223/1 and CIN – 16/216) gaining more than 200 yards. CB Taron Johnson (42/364/3 on 53 targets per PFF) handles most of the Bills’ coverage out of the slots, where Lamb lines up on about 60% of his snaps.
The Cowboys’ top wide receiver has been tremendous over his last eight games. Lamb’s matchup isn’t ideal. But he should have an edge over all of the Bills’ cornerbacks. His salary is now top-shelf, requiring almost 37.00 fantasy points to be in the DFS mix in Week 15. Finally, this matchup has a chance of rain with temperatures in the high 40s.
Second-Tier Options
Cooper Kupp, LAR (DK – $7,800/FD – $8,200)
Kupp played better in Week 13 (6/39/1), followed by an elite outcome the following game (8/115/1) vs. the Ravens. From Week 7…
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Week 15 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 15 DFS: Running Back Report The running back position remains inconsistent from week to week in all markets. Ezekiel Elliott seized his starting opportunity to lead the NFL in scoring (27.00 fantasy points) in Week 14. Breece Hall (26.60)
The running back position remains inconsistent from week to week in all markets. Ezekiel Elliott seized his starting opportunity to lead the NFL in scoring (27.00 fantasy points) in Week 14. Breece Hall (26.60) took home the silver medal, followed by James Cook (25.10) and Saquon Barkley (24.10). All four players ranked outside the top 10 at running back before last week. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 14 weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (24.11)
- Raheem Mostert (18.34)
- Travis Etienne (17.45)
- Rachaad White (15.80)
- Alvin Kamara (15.59)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 15 DFS QB Report.
Elite Option
Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,300/FD – $10,500)
Last week, McCaffrey busted a 72-yard run on the 49ers’ first play. Unfortunately, San Francisco gave him the next play off, leading to Jordan Mason sniping the touchdown on the next play. He finished with a productive day in yards (153) but only one catch and no scores. His streak of scoring at least 20.00 fantasy points ended at six games. The 49ers had him on the field for 89% of their plays. McCaffrey’s best outing came in Week 4 (20/106/3 with seven catches for 71 yards and one touchdown) against the Cardinals. After 13 games, he has 17 touchdowns.
Arizona ranks 31st in running back defense (27.93 FPPG), with two disaster showings (SF – 53.70 and LAR – 52.70 fantasy points). Backs scored 18 touchdowns, with some success catching the ball (61/382/6). Four teams rushed for more than 175 yards. Opponents average 31.4 rushes per game while gaining 4.4 yards per carry.
The scoring in the 49ers is all about the cycle of their four best players. McCaffrey has an elite opportunity in snaps and touches, and this matchup points to multiple touchdowns. He looks poised to score 30+ fantasy points while being challenging to fit into a winning lineup.
Top Tier Options
Kyren Williams, LAR (DK – $7,500/FD – $9,600)
Since returning from the injured list, Williams has been a beast in the Rams’ offense. Los Angeles had him on the field for 90%…
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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 15
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 15 Congratulations on making it to Week 15- the fantasy playoffs. Now isn’t the time to get cute and overthink lineups. However, knowing which players have favorable and rough matchups can help give you a big edge in a must-win matchup. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 15 has the starts and fades you’ll need to maximize your postseason lineup. Additionally, FullTime Fantasy has some of the top tools of the trade and accurate rankings. Quarterbacks Start ‘Em Matthew Stafford (Rams) vs. Commanders Matthew Stafford is currently one of the most in-form quarterbacks in fantasy football. Having accumulated 71.1 fantasy points in the last three weeks, he stands as the second-highest scorer in his position during this period. Notably, Stafford achieved this despite his top receivers and tight end facing injuries. Stafford’s upcoming match against the Washington Commanders presents a favorable opportunity, as they have surrendered the most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. While there’s a chance Stafford may be without Tutu Atwell and Tyler Higbee, having Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua should be sufficient for him to continue his strong performance streak. Russell Wilson (Broncos) at Lions Russell Wilson had another consistent performance last week, securing a safe floor game. Though his recent scores have tended closer to 15 fantasy points, this week’s matchup against the Detroit Lions offers potential upside. Detroit has allowed the sixth-highest yards and the third-highest passing touchdowns in 2023. Previous quarterbacks facing the Lions have often exceeded 21 fantasy points, making Wilson a viable option for Week 15. Sit ‘Em Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) vs. Jets Tua Tagovailoa’s recent performance against the Jets in Week 12, coupled with his average of 16.3 fantasy points per game in three career meetings with the Jets, suggests caution for Week 15. Also, with the uncertainty surrounding Tyreek Hill’s ankle injury and the Dolphins’ offensive line struggles, Tagovailoa faces a challenging matchup against the Jets, who boast the fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. Trevor Lawrence (Jags) vs Ravens While Trevor Lawrence has accumulated over 100 fantasy points in the last four weeks, caution is advised due to a challenging matchup against the Ravens. Despite facing the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this season, Baltimore’s defense has been tested through high volume, allowing some fantasy success. Lawrence may face challenges if the Ravens dominate time of possession, potentially making him a risky fantasy quarterback for Week 15. Running Backs Start ‘Em D’Andre Swift (Eagles) at Seahawks D’Andre Swift, despite recent struggles, enters Week 15 against the Seattle Seahawks with an opportunity for redemption. Swift, with only 17.3 PPR points in his last three games, aims for a healthier workload after limited touches in his previous two outings. The Seahawks rank fifth in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs, with nine running backs scoring at least 12.9 PPR points against them in the last seven games. This game presents a favorable setting for Swift to potentially break out. Ty Chandler (Vikings) vs. Bengals If Alexander Mattison is sidelined in Week 15, Ty Chandler becomes a viable option as a second-tier running back in all leagues. The Bengals have been lenient on running backs, allowing at least 15.9 PPR points in four of their last five games. With a potential for 20-plus touches as the starter, Chandler, supported by new Minnesota starter Nick Mullens, offers promise. Especially with his recent involvement in the passing game. Sit ‘Em James Conner (Cardinals) vs. 49ers James Conner’s stellar performance this season is overshadowed by potential obstacles for Week 15. Despite consistent yards per game, Conner’s low touchdown rate and reduced receiving production pose concerns. Facing the 49ers, who have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to running backs this season, and being two-touchdown underdogs, the Cardinals may shift away from utilizing Conner early on. Kenneth Walker (Seahawks) vs. Eagles Kenneth Walker faces a challenging matchup against the Eagles in Week 15. Despite a notable role in the passing game, Walker’s upside is capped by competition with Zach Charbonnet. The Eagles rank fourth in the fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs, making Walker a flex option at best for Week 15. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Courtland Sutton (Broncos) at Lions Courtland Sutton, a consistent touchdown contributor throughout the season, enters Week 15 against the Detroit Lions with a noteworthy track record. Despite a low reception total, Sutton has been a top-20 fantasy wide receiver over the past four weeks. Also, the Broncos, facing the sixth-best matchup for wide receivers, are expected to pass more than usual. That increases Sutton’s chances for a strong performance. Jayden Reed (Packers) vs. Buccaneers Even with the potential return of Christian Watson, Jayden Reed remains a solid choice as a high-end No. 3 fantasy receiver. With impressive performances in five of his last seven games, Reed’s recent involvement (12 total touches) against the Giants positions him well against the Buccaneers, who rank fifth in fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers. Additionally, Romeo Doubs is worth considering as a No. 3 fantasy receiver in this matchup. Sit ‘Em Adam Thielen (Panthers) at Falcons Adam Thielen’s early-season success has dwindled since the Week 7 bye. Since then, he’s averaging 9.7 fantasy points per game. That ranks 34th among wide receivers. With fewer targets and a matchup against the Falcons, who allow the third-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers, Thielen is a risky fantasy starter for Week 15. Tee Higgins (Bengals) vs. Vikings Tee Higgins, in his past two games, has shown limited production and faces a tough matchup against the Vikings. With just one touchdown this season and a challenging defensive opponent, Higgins is a questionable start, particularly in three-receiver leagues for Week 15. Tight Ends Start ‘Em Isaiah Likely (Ravens) at Jaguars Isaiah Likely has demonstrated both a floor and ceiling in recent games. Likely’s involvement in the Ravens passing attack makes him a reliable option. Especially in a potentially high-scoring game against the Jaguars, who rank
Week 15 Quarterback Report
Week 15 NFL Quarterback Report Lamar Jackson (35.80) led the league in fantasy points in Week 15, lifting him to fourth in quarterback scoring (295.10). Desmond Ridder (29.85) posted his best game of the season, placing him second for the
Lamar Jackson (35.80) led the league in fantasy points in Week 15, lifting him to fourth in quarterback scoring (295.10). Desmond Ridder (29.85) posted his best game of the season, placing him second for the week, followed by Jake Browning (27.45) and Justin Fields (26.95). Eleven other quarterbacks scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five quarterbacks by scoring average after 14 weeks:
- Josh Allen (27.60)
- Jalen Allen (26.05)
- Dak Prescott (24.22)
- Lamar Jackson (22.70)
- Brock Purdy (22.66)
Using our Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings, let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 15 NFL Quarterback Report.
Top-Tier Options
Jalen Hurts, PHI (DK – $8,100/FD – $8,800)
The Eagles completed a challenging five-game stretch (DAL, @KC, BUF, SF, and @DAL), where they went 3-2. Over this span, Hurts averaged 210 passing yards with six touchdowns. He helped his floor with success in the run game (48/180/6). His best value in fantasy points came in Week 4 (31.35), Week 8 (31.55), and Week 12 (38.50). When at his best, Hurts attempted more than 35 passes (six times).
The Seahawks rank 22nd defending quarterbacks (20.75 FPPG), with one team scoring more than 30.00 fantasy points (DAL – 322/3). Five teams (LAR – 334/0, DET – 323/3, CAR – 361/2, WAS – 312/3, and SF – 368/2) passed for more than 300 yards. Their defense has risk at times vs. running quarterbacks (NYG – 10/66, ARI – 7/43/1, and BAL – 14/68). In addition, running backs scored 16 of their 36 offensive touchdowns allowed. Seattle’s defense gave up 13 touchdowns and three field goals over 35 possessions by their opponents.
The Eagles have risk defending the pass, pointing to a competitive game on the scoreboard. Hurts has a winnable matchup, and Philadelphia needs to regain the bounce in their offense after being held to 32 points over the past two weeks.
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Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 15
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 15 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 15. Ranking You Can Trust Our staff was ranked No. 1 last season, with not one but TWO analysts inside the top 10. With projections powered by NFBC Hall-of-Fame writer Shawn Childs and former FantasyPro’s Most Accurate Expert Jody Smith, FullTime Fantasy Members get instant access to reliable and trustworthy weekly rankings. Additionally, Jody and Adam Krautwurst co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live-streamed weekly on YouTube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries. Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 15 ENTER OUR WEEK 15 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: First, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Second, try to stack the team with players you think will do well in Week 15! The highest Week 15 Score wins! (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 15 Player Rankings to help. It’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one! Finally, just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard! Also, the Grand Prize Winner (the highest individual week of the season) can choose from the amazing prizes below. Also, if you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! Finally, MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 15 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 15
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 15 Easton Stick vs. Aidan O’Connell. This is, uh…., not what we signed up for. After 14 up-and-down Thursday contests, this week’s offering is the NFL version of going through the motions. It is what
Easton Stick vs. Aidan O’Connell. This is, uh…., not what we signed up for. After 14 up-and-down Thursday contests, this week’s offering is the NFL version of going through the motions. It is what it is. Regardless, the FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 15 breaks down this week’s contest from a fantasy and sports betting perspective.
After losing Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, the Chargers are now riding out the clock. A new regime now seems inevitable for Los Angeles. Additionally, Easton Stick will make his first NFL start on streaming TV against an equally moribund Raiders franchise.
As for Vegas, they hit rock bottom last week, losing their third consecutive game by a paltry 3-0 score. Both teams sit at 5-8 in the mediocre AFC West.
However, on the bright side, there’s no way these two teams will score fewer points than last week. Right?
The Chargers opened as 3-point favorites. However, when news of Herbert’s season-ending injury hit, the line shifted oppositely. Las Vegas now stands as a field-goal favorite. Conversely, the total plummeted 8.5 points from its opening of 42.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 17 | 10 | 26 | 14 | 16 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 29 | 22 | 32 | 26 | 28 |
Both of these teams have faced more than their fair share of adversity.
Brandon Staley faces a lot of scrutiny as the Chargers have been one of the most under-achieving teams in the AFC. The addition of offensive coordinator Keelen Moore from Dallas has not panned out as expected. The Chargers have been an average offense that will surely plummet without Herbert under center.
Meanwhile, the Raiders have a brief resurgence under interim head coach Antonio Pierce. However, after three consecutive defeats with three total touchdowns scored, that success is a distant memory.
Las Vegas has rushed for an NFL-worst 1,048 yards. A struggling offensive line plays a big part in the struggles. But making matters worse, the Raiders will be without star RB Josh Jacobs, who will miss this game with a quad injury.
Las Vegas Offense
Further hampering the offense is QB Aidan O’Connell. The fourth-round rookie has thrown just four touchdowns in seven games…
How will Thursday’s Chargers vs. Raiders game go?
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Fantasy Football Injury Report
Fantasy Football Injury Report The fantasy football playoffs are here. Congrats on making it through a trying regular season. Unfortunately, the injury hits just kept on coming in Week 14. FullTime Fantasy‘s Fantasy Football Injury Report will keep you up-to-date on the latest injury news and how you should react. Also, a great starting point for staying updated on the latest injuries is to bookmark our NFL Injury Report. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Now, let’s break down all the latest fantasy-relevant injury news in this week’s Fantasy Football Injury Report for Week 15. We will continually update this list. Justin Herbert (QB) Los Angeles Chargers – Another damaging blow to an already decimated quarterback position. Herbert fractured his index finger on his throwing hand and will miss the remainder of the 2023 season. Easton Stick is next man up for the Chargers, who look destined for an offseason reboot with a new staff. Josh Jacobs (RB) Las Vegas Raiders – A knee injury forced Jacobs to leave the Raiders’ Week 14 loss early. Also, with the club on a short week, Jacobs is unlikely to practice at all. Therefore, he should be considered questionable to doubtful to play on Thursday. We will have updates in Discord as soon as news breaks. Alexander Mattison (RB) Minnesota Vikings – Mattison injured his ankle on Sunday and is looking doubtful for Week 15. Therefore, Ty Chandler is a top waiver wire target. Alexander Mattison with a right high ankle sprain. He’s had this exact injury before. Week 15 looking grim. pic.twitter.com/WgbMs8M6V8 — Edwin Porras, DPT (@FBInjuryDoc) December 11, 2023 C.J. Stroud (QB) Houston Texans – Stroud took a late hit and had his head bounce off the notorious MetLife Stadium turf. He is now in the NFL’s concussion protocol, which puts his Week 15 status in doubt. Nearly two-thirds of players who are diagnosed with a concussion miss at least one week. However, Stroud will have the full week to prepare for the Titans if he can be cleared. Justin Jefferson (WR) Minnesota Vikings – After a long stint on IR, Jefferson’s highly anticipated return was brief. A chest injury forced him from last week’s game. However, there was some good news after the game. Jefferson is day-to-day. Vikings’ HC Kevin O’Connell considers WR Justin Jefferson day-to-day with the chest injury he suffered Sunday vs. the Raiders and the team believes he has a chance to play Saturday vs. the Bengals. — Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) December 11, 2023 Nico Collins (WR) Houston Texans – The Texans were decimated by injuries in New York. Collins suffered a calf ailment in the first half and was unable to return. With QB C.J. Stroud and WR Tank Dell absent, Houston desperately needs Collins to be healthy to have any shot at earning an AFC Wildcard. Dalton Schultz (TE) Houston Texans – Schultz practiced last week, but he was held out. Therefore, Schultz should return to face the Titans. Jonathan Taylor (RB) Indianapolis Colts – The Colts host Minnesota on Saturday. That gives Taylor less of a chance of returning this week. Shane Steichen indicated that he expected Taylor to return at some point this season. Could be coachspeak, but doesn’t sound overly optimistic for Week 15. Brian Robinson (RB) Washington Commanders – A hamstring injury forced Robinson from Washington’s last game. However, the Commanders had a bye last week, which gave Robinson an extra week to recover. There have been no reports out of Washington. Therefore, we will update Robinson’s status in Discord as the week progresses. Josh Palmer (WR) Los Angeles Chargers – The Chargers activated Palmer from IR. He should play this week. Christian Kirk (WR) Arizona Cardinals – The groin/core injury that knocked Kirk out of Jacksonville’s Week 13 game resulted in Kirk being placed on IR. Therefore, his fantasy season is over. Kenny Pickett (QB) Pittsburgh Steelers – Mike Tomlin already announced that Pickett will not play in Week 15. Accordingly, Mitchell Trubisky will nab the start in Indianapolis. Devin Duvernay (WR/KR) Baltimore Ravens – The Ravens put Duvernay on IR with a back injury. Finally, thanks for reading the Fantasy Football Injury Report. The 2023 NFL season is underway but it’s not too late to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES AND UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site updates! Like and share our new Facebook page! Be sure to pay attention to our giveaways for your shot at some sweet prizes!
Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 15
Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 15 Congratulations on persevering through a challenging 2023 regular season and making the playoffs! It’s now do or die, with FAAB no longer applicable. However, more costly injuries have undoubtedly derailed many championship hopefuls. Our
Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 15
Congratulations on persevering through a challenging 2023 regular season and making the playoffs! It’s now do or die, with FAAB no longer applicable. However, more costly injuries have undoubtedly derailed many championship hopefuls. Our Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 15 will help you identify the players to add ahead of the first round.
Also, a friendly reminder there are three Saturday games this week, in addition to Thursday Night Football.
D’Onta Foreman (RB) Chicago Bears – Returning from a two-game absence, Foreman dominated touches and playing time out of Chicago’s backfield. Foreman rushed 11 times for 50 yards while Roschon Johnson and Khalil Herbert combined to accumulate 14 yards on four totes. For now, it looks like Foreman is Chicago’s lead back. And that makes him quite fantasy-releveant where he can be added on the fantasy football waiver wire: Week 15.
Ty Chandler (RB) Minnesota Vikings – It looks like Alexander Mattison is poised to miss some time with an ankle injury. That will put Chandler in a position to…
To see the rest of this week’s waiver wire and FAAB targets…
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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 15
The 2022 fantasy football regular season has come to a close with the playoffs looming. The must-win games are here. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 15 picks help you identify values to target and fades to avoid. It is also crucial to know which waiver wire pick to make and to stay up-to-date on the injury report. Here are our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 15. Also, as a friendly reminder, there are 3 NFL games this Saturday. Editor’s note: This article is written by Bradley Stalder. QUARTERBACKS Start ‘Em Ryan Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) Tannehill’s a matchup-dependent start, as he’s finished as a top-12 QB against the Giants, Raiders, Packers, Broncos, and Jaguars defenses. And this week is an underrated matchup. The LA Chargers give up about 17 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks and will be looking to push the ball down the field against the Tennessee secondary which gives up the most WR fantasy points on the season. The projected game total for Sunday’s matchup is a respectable 47 points. While Derrick Henry should be able to move the ball well against the porous Chargers’ run defense, this will also put the Titans into scoring position. Tannehill is on the streaming radar for the first week of the fantasy playoffs, especially with many other fringe QB1s with tougher matchups this week. Matt Ryan (Indianapolis Colts) Start your quarterbacks against the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have been the 6th best Pass DVOA matchup on the year and allow the 6th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Jared Goff just finished as the QB4 overall and threw for 330 yards, 3 TDs, and 0 INTs. The Colts- Vikings matchup is the 2nd highest projected game total on the week, and Matt Ryan has two top-5 finishes on the season Sit ‘Em Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks) Geno has been absolutely sensational this season. But if there was a matchup to bench him, it’s against the 49ers. The first meeting between Smith and San Francisco did not end well. Smith didn’t throw a TD, and only earned 7 fantasy points, finishing as the QB30 on the week. San Francisco has continued to torch opposing QBs. On the season, the 49ers have allowed the 5th fewest fantasy points to QBs and have the 5th toughest pass DVOA. Even Tom Brady was only able to muster 12 fantasy points against SF in Week 14, throwing 1 TD and 2 INTs, finishing as the QB18 (there were only 26 starting QBs). Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) It’s clear that Tua isn’t right out there. Whether teams are adjusting to coaching schemes or the lingering effects of the sprained ankle from a few weeks ago, Tagovailoa has finished as the QB17 or worse each of the last three weeks. Jaylen Waddle is still dealing with a leg injury and Tyreek Hill picked up a pesky ankle injury in Week 14’s matchup. Buffalo only allows 13.4 fantasy points to opposing QBs on the season, and this week’s matchup only has a projected O/U of 42 points– with the Bills 7.5 home favorites. RUNNING BACKS Start ‘Em Isiah Pacheco (Kansas City Chiefs) Yes, backfield mate Jerick McKinnon finished as the RB1 overall in Week 14 (to the chagrin of many managers who benched him), but Pacheco has been consistently solid over the past 4 weeks. Pacheco finished no worse than the RB21 during that span. In fact, Pacheco’s targets have increased each of the last three weeks– a clear sign that the coaches trust his role. The most obvious part of this matchup is that the Houston Texans allow the most rushing yards to RBs on the season, and Pacheco has led the Chiefs in rushing yards each of the last five weeks. JK Dobbins (Baltimore Ravens) Dobbins showed exactly what we wanted to see from him– vision and burst down the field. While he received criticism for finishing his long 50-yard run on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Dobbins still showed he has breakaway speed. He finished 15-120-1 in his return from the knee injury. In Week 15, he faces a Browns defense that allows the 3rd most fantasy points to running backs on the season and has been the 3rd most favorable run defense, per Football Outsiders DVOA metric. Confidently fire up JK Dobbins as an RB2. Sit ‘Em Kenneth Walker/ Travis Homer/ DeeJay Dallas (Seattle Seahawks) This situation is probably worse than last week when fantasy managers knew in advance that Kenneth Walker would most likely sit due to his injury. Fast forward to Week 15, and Walker got in a limited practice on Monday and is trending toward playing Thursday night’s game against the 49ers. And, while San Francisco’s defense has been tough against opposing quarterbacks, they’ve been even stingier against running backs. The 49ers give up the fewest fantasy points, have a defensive line projected advantage of 56% over Seattle’s offensive line, and are Football Outsiders’ 2nd toughest Rush Defense, per their DVOA metric. It’s even worse if Walker can’t go or is limited. You should have a low level of confidence starting a Seattle Seahawks backfield in Week 15. Raheem Mostert (Miami Dolphins) We haven’t seen Mostert carry the ball more than 11 times since Week 8 against Detroit. Even then, he went 14-64 on the ground and finished as the RB36. Although Jeff Wilson is trending to miss Week 15, Mostert is a risky start. The Buffalo Bills give up the 10th fewest fantasy points to running backs, rank as the 3rd toughest rush DVOA matchup, and are projected by PFF to have a 53% advantage over the ailing Miami offensive line. WIDE RECEIVERS Start ‘Em Chris Olave (New Orleans Saints) Olave’s been on a bit of a cold streak as he headed into his bye week. He’s finished as the WR39 or worse in 3 of his last 4 games. Despite that, the impressive rookie is still WR6 in air yards, WR5 in air yards share,
Dr. Roto Podcast – Tuesday, December 18
Dr. Roto recaps Week 15’s biggest moments from a Fantasy Football perspective!