Fantasy Football Bust of the Year (2025)
Fantasy Football Bust of the Year (2025) Targeting the next sleeper or breakout is more popular. But avoiding the next player who has the potential to derail your entire draft is just as important. Avoiding this season’s bust can put
Targeting the next sleeper or breakout is more popular. But avoiding the next player who has the potential to derail your entire draft is just as important. Avoiding this season’s bust can put your lineup in a better position to avoid those land mines and increase your playoff odds. There were several candidates we’re fading, but the FullTime Fantasy staff has nominated our Fantasy Football Bust of the Year (2025).
FullTime Fantasy’s world-famous Fantasy Football Draft Kit is loaded with exclusive content. This includes our unique Preseason Pro series that dives deep into the minds of some of the most successful high-stakes veterans and fantasy experts in the world. Part of the Preseason Pro includes players these insiders are avoiding in 2025.
FullTime’s Fantasy Football Bust of the Year is…
WHO IS THE EARLY-ROUND WIDE RECEIVER YOU SHOULD AVOID?
FIND OUT WHO IS FULLTIME FANTASY’S BUST OF THE YEAR…
USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!
DEADLINE THIS FRIDAY.
GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.
2025 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Preview
2025 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Preview Despite having the easiest schedule in the NFL in the last 25 years, the Miami Dolphins sputtered to an 8-9 record and missed the playoffs. Now, pressure may be mounting for GM Chris Grier and head coach Mike McDaniel, who must quickly rebuild the trenches on both sides and navigate injury and off-the-field woes. The chief concern for the Dolphins is keeping QB Tua Tagovailoa healthy. Tagovailoa has a well-chronicled concussion history and can ill afford to put himself in a position to take another big hit. Worse, a Dolphins’ offensive line that ranked 20th in pass protection also lost LT Terron Armstead, who retired. Tagovailoa has missed 3-plus games in four of his five seasons and ranked just 16th in fantasy points per game last season. There is too much risk to consider Tagovailoa anything more than an adequate fantasy QB2 with modest week-to-week streaming appeal. A popular breakout pick last summer, RB De’Von Achane stayed healthy and lived up to those lofty expectations. The second-year dynamo ranked 5th in PPR scoring and led all running backs in receptions (78) and touchdown grabs (6). Raheem Mostert departed in free agency, leaving Jaylen Wright and Alexander Mattison as the only competition for touches. Achane should be viewed as an elite fantasy option who will command a second-round price tag in redraft formats. Miami led the league with 401.3 yards of offense per game in 2023 but fell to 20th last year, averaging 75 fewer yards per contest. Injuries played a big part in that, as Jaylen Waddle missed a pair of games and Tyreek Hill battled a wrist injury all season. Now, Hill is rumored to be on the trade block after some bizarre social media posts and on domestic incident clouded his future. A healthy Hill is still one of the most dynamic weapons in football, but he’s a risky WR2 in fantasy. Waddle failed to accrue 100 targets for the first time in his career, resulting in his worst fantasy performance. There’s some rebound potential here, especially if Hill is absent. Waddle is an upside WR3 in PPR formats. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine will be a WR3 upgrade over Odell Beckham and Malik Washington, who slides down to this year’s WR4 role. At tight end, Jonnu Smith proved to be a savvy late-round target, finishing as the overall TE4 on a career-high 111 targets. We don’t expect Smith to repeat that production, but the Dolphins will see plenty of fantasy-friendly game scripts and return more-or-less intact. Smith is a solid second-tier TE1 to target in the middle rounds. Fantasy Grade: B- QB Tagovailoa, Tua, MIA [QB1] Tua Tagovailoa’s 2025 fantasy outlook hinges on health and efficiency in Miami’s high-octane offense. In 2024, he posted a league-best 72.9% completion rate, 2,867 yards, 19 TDs, and 7 INTs in 11 starts, with a 2.36-second time-to-throw and 5.1 air yards per attempt, showcasing quick, precise decision-making. However, his injury history—missing six games (concussion, hip)—makes him a high-risk QB2. There are also concerns about Hill’s status on the roster, which increases the risk. Tagovailoa adds little as a runner, which caps his upside. It’s hard to envision a path to top 12 numbers, making him a mid-range QB2. ADVICE: Risky QB2 that may have already peaked. RB Achane, De’Von, MIA [RB1] After a dynamic rookie season, De’Von Achane again was one of the most efficient fantasy options. Despite seeing a middling 59.1 percent opportunity share (24th), Achane finished as the RB6, averaging 17.6 PPR points per game. The main catalyst for that production came via his high-volume role in Miami’s passing attack. Achane was essentially the Dolphins’ WR3. He led all RBs in receptions (78), receiving yards (592), and TD grabs (6). Raheem Mostert is gone, and Miami didn’t add any real competition to reduce Achane’s touches. He looks primed to post another top-5 season in 2025. ADVICE: Elite pass-catching potential keeps Achane in top-5 fantasy territory. RB Mattison, Alexander, MIA [RB2] ADVICE: Mattison has averaged under four yards per carry in four consecutive seasons. He’s not taking carries away from De’Von Achane. He can, however, play in short-yardage or give Achane a breather. Mattison profiles as a middling handcuff in deeper leagues. RB Wright, Jaylen, MIA [RB3] Had his moments as a rookie, but Wright will compete with Alexander Mattison for backup duties. WR Hill, Tyreek, MIA [WR1] Last season, Hill started strong (7/130/1) but struggled midseason (48/571/3), hampered by wrist and foot injuries. He rebounded in Weeks 14 and 17 but ended weakly. His 11.8 yards per catch was a career low. Even in a down season (by his standards), Hill still ranked 16th in targets (122) and caught 81 balls for 959 yards and half a dozen scores. Quarterback woes were the biggest factor in the drop-off, but off-the-field concerns also hold down his potential. At 31, Hill’s 2024 decline ranks him as a mid-tier WR2, with his value tied to Tagovailoa’s health. ADVICE: Boom/Bust WR2 with a massive ceiling. WR Waddle, Jaylen, MIA [WR2] After Tyreek Hill joined Miami, Jaylen Waddle’s explosiveness grew, though his 2022 targets dropped to 117 from 141. He recorded 75 catches for 1,356 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 18.1 yards per catch. In 2023, injuries limited him to 14 games, with 72 catches for 1,014 yards and four touchdowns, his lowest marks in three years. Last season, Waddle’s yards per catch fell to 12.8, with 58 catches and two touchdowns, underperforming in 10 of 15 starts. His best games (5/109, 8/144/1, 9/99) were at home. As a mid-tier WR3, Waddle’s high ceiling offers value in 2025 drafts. ADVICE: Declining output makes him a solid value, dependent on his QB staying healthy. WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick, MIA [WR3] Don’t overreact to last season’s gaudy TD numbers. NWI won’t get many targets as Miami’s WR3. WR Washington, Malik, MIA [WR4] Mike McDaniel tends not to incorporate his ancillary receivers into the weekly game plan often. Washington had some early offseason hype, but
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2 After a sluggish Week 1, this week’s AFC East showdown has some potential. The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins are loaded with fantasy football talent. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2
After a sluggish Week 1, this week’s AFC East showdown has some potential. The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins are loaded with fantasy football talent. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2 looks at all the fantasy-relevant players to forecast the game.
Miami predictable moved the ball at will against Jacksonville. However, the Dolphins were held to 20 points. Now, there are health concerns and a formidable opponent to deal with on short rest.
Meanwhile, the Bills overcame a two-score early deficit to beat the Cardinals at home. Only six teams allowed more yards per carry in Week 1 than the Bills. That’s potentially troublesome against a Miami offense that leads the league in passing and has an imposing backfield. However, the Dolphins are short-handed with Raheem Mostert.
This game opened with Buffalo being half-point road favorites. However, the line has flipped. Miami is now favored by two. The total also dipped from 51.5 to 49 points.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Buffalo Bills | 12 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 4 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 18 |
Buffalo Offense
After one week, Josh Allen finds himself in his usual spot as the leading fantasy signal caller. The volume wasn’t there but Allen…
How will Thursday’s Bills vs. Dolphins game go?
To get Jody’s BEST BET and finish reading this content…
USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!
DEADLINE THIS FRIDAY.
GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.
2024 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Preview
2024 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Preview The Dolphins had a fantastic 2023 season but fell apart in the postseason after losing to the eventual champs. However, Tua Tagovailoa had a strong campaign with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle at his disposal, not to mention one of the best running games in the league with Raheem Mostert and Devon Achane. Plus, the Dolphins just signed Odell Beckham Jr. to a one-year deal. Miami’s success in 2024 hinges on the continued growth of Tagovailoa, whose precision and astute decision-making suggested undeniable potential. While questions persisted regarding his arm strength and leadership when facing adversity, he proved a lot of neighsayers wrong with his deep-ball accuracy. Tyreek Hill was the second-best wideout in fantasy football after finishing with 119 receptions, a league-high 1,799 yards, and 13 trips to the end zone. Waddle finished as the WR34, corralling 72 receptions for 1,014 yards and four scores in 14 games. Miami’s passing attack will be full throttle again in 2024 and both key members of the backfield return. Raheem Mostert led the league with a whopping 21 touchdowns and surpassed 1,000 rushing yards for the first time in his career. Devon Acahne showed flashes of dominance in 2023 and should build upon his impressive rookie season. Despite missing six games, Achane managed to finish as the RB24 in PPR leagues and was a top-five running back in FPPG (17.3). Achane is positioned as a mid-range RB1 heading into the 2024 season, which reflects the scarcity of dependable running back choices. Weighing in at 188 pounds, he may not shoulder a workload of 300 touches, but he could still make a significant fantasy impact if he remains efficient and contributes in the passing game. The Phins also added Tennessee speedster Jaylen Wright to the fold in Round Four. Last season, Tyreek Hill said, “I’ve won a Super Bowl and I feel like this is the better team than when I was in Kansas City.” With a healthy Tagovailoa, championship aspirations aren’t outlandish. Achane averaged a ridiculous 7.8 yards per carry and if he can even come close to that, Miami’s offense will be difficult to defend. Pick your poison but no matter what, a member of the Dolphins is going to burn you– be it Tyreek, Achane, Waddle, or Beckham. And if there is a coach I have confidence in getting the ball to his playmakers, it’s Mike McDaniel, a football genius. Quarterback QB TUA TAGOVAILOA – QUALITY BACKUP The issue with Tua Tagovailoa was never talent, but health. He finally played a full season and dwarfed his previous career-best totals. PFF graded Tagovailoa as their top passer last season after he threw for 4,624 yards and 29 scores. But most of that production occurred in Weeks 1-8. In the second half of the season, Tagovailoa averaged just 240.7 passing yards and 1.2 touchdowns per game down the stretch. The Dolphins added even more speed to their already impressive arsenal, so there is hope he can sustain those early numbers for a full slate. He offers nothing as a runner but Tagovailoa will contend for QB1 numbers as a pure passer in a high-octane offense. ADVICE: Solid starter with QB1 upside Running Backs RB DE’VON ACHANE – SOLID/SAFE PICK Achane burst onto the scene as a rookie, leading the NFL in breakaway rate, second in yards after contact per attempt, fourth in fantasy points per game, and averaging an insane 7.8 yards per carry. All of that came on 107 carries- which is the only issue. Raheem Mostert is back and the Dolphins added speedster Jaylen Wright to the mix. Achane was given double-digit carries just five times but averaged 27.4 fantasy points per game in those contests. We often see running backs break out in their second year. Achane has top 5 upside, with usage being the only concern. ADVICE: League-winning upside RB RAHEEM MOSTERT – SOLID/SAFE PICK Drafted as a middling flex option last summer, Raheem Mostert became a fantasy league-winner with his NFL-leading 21 touchdowns in Miami’s top-ranked offense. Mostert thrived in the red zone, out-carrying De’Von Achane inside the five-yard line 20-5. But he wasn’t a one-trick pony. Mostert was also top 10 in yards after contact and missed tackles forced. He’s 32 but has plenty of tread left on the tires. Achane and Jaylen Wright make it a crowded backfield, but Miami will live in the red zone, and Mostert’s short-yardage role puts him in a good position to contend for strong RB2 numbers at a discounted price. ADVICE: Don’t Count on 21 TDs but Mostert is still a high-value pick. RB JAYLEN WRIGHT – SUPER SLEEPER (HIGH RISK/POTENTIAL) Josh McDaniels continues to build his roster like a kid experimenting with the fastest possible players on Madden GM mode. Wright rushed for over 1,000 yards and Tennessee while ranking ninth in yards after contact per attempt (4.35) and posting a top-15 PFF Elusive Rating. Wright also fared well as a receiver. But he will have a difficult time competing for touches behind the explosive De’Von Ahcane and Raheem Mostert. However, the skill set is a great fit for McDaniels and makes Wright one of the top late-round stash-and-cash options in drafts. ADVICE: Intriguing skill set to target in the final rounds of drafts, with RB2 upside if the Dolphins have an injury Wide Receivers WR TYREEK HILL – STUD (LOW RISK) Despite missing a game, Hill led the league in receiving yards (1,799), touchdown receptions (13), yards per route run (3.82), and average depth or target (11.3). Hill had a career-high 171 targets and 119 receptions in Miami’s top-ranked offense. Now 30, Hill has shown no signs of slowing down and has the best Vegas odds to lead the league in yards once again. He remains the NFL’s most potent deep threat and is one of the most consistent (WR 1/2 in 12-of-16 games) and prolific wideouts in the league. Hill should be the No. 1 wideout selected in every draft and should not fall out
Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Last week, no wide receiver scored more than 25.50 fantasy points in PPR formats. Tyreek Hill (9/104/1) won the Gold Medal, followed by Mike Evans (6/70/2) and Rashee Rice (8/107/1). Eleven other wideouts scored
Last week, no wide receiver scored more than 25.50 fantasy points in PPR formats. Tyreek Hill (9/104/1) won the Gold Medal, followed by Mike Evans (6/70/2) and Rashee Rice (8/107/1). Eleven other wideouts scored between 20.00 and 24.00 fantasy points. Over the previous three weeks, Keenan Allen (30.57) was the top player. Here are the top five wide receivers by scoring average after 12 weeks of action:
- Tyreek Hill (25.57)
- Keenan Allen (23.34)
- CeeDee Lamb (21.18)
- A.J. Brown (20.00)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (19.24)
Also, before we get into the Week 13 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Tyreek Hill, MIA (DK – $9,600/FD – $10,000)
The Dolphins gave Hill double-digit targets in each of the last six matchups, leading to him having a floor of eight catches in five consecutive starts. He’s gained over 100 yards in seven of his 11 games while adding a score in nine different weeks (10 total TDs). Hill’s best showing in fantasy points came in Week 1 (44.50), and he has three other outcomes with at least 30.00 fantasy points at home.
Washington has the second-worst wide receiver defense (155/2,355/18 on 238 targets), with wideouts gaining 15.2 yards per catch. Six teams (DEN – 13/274/3, PHI – 17/264/2, CHI – 8/230/3, PHI – 17/242/4, SEA – 21/256/1, and DAL – 13/245/3) gained over 200 yards from their wide receivers. Their quarterbacks passed for more than 300 yards in each of these failures. D.J. Moore (8/230/2) and A.J. Brown (8/130/2 and 9/175/2) had the most success. CB Benjamin St. Juste (56/741/4 on 56 targets per PFF) has been a weak link in coverage, along with CB Emmanuel Forbes (27/490/3 on 42 targets).
The Dolphins do an excellent job getting Hill easy catches close to the line of scrimmage, with some coming out of the backfield. He has the speed and quickness to beat any defender one-on-one, pointing to an impact game vs. the Commanders. He comes into this week with a slight ankle issue that limited his playing time in practice. Over his final six starts, Hill needs 676 receiving yards to reach 2,000 yards.
A.J. Brown, PHI (DK – $8,800/FD – $8,400)
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!
DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.
GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.
Week 13 NFL Player Props
Week 13 NFL Player Props We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks
Week 13 NFL Player Props
We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. After our first losing streak of the season in back-to-back weeks, it’s time to get back into the winning column. Have some faith as lady luck is about to shine some light on some juicy plays for us to exploit with these Week 13 NFL Player Props.
As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 13’s slate of NFL matchups. Unlike last week when every one of the 32 teams was in action, six teams will get some rest on their bye weeks. The Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, New York Giants, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Las Vegas Raiders will not suit up in Week 13. That said, we still have 13 competitive matchups this week with only three games that have a spread of more than a touchdown.
Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 13 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.
Brock Purdy OVER 254.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The San Francisco 49ers have done an excellent job surrounding Purdy with immense talent. With Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and of course Christian McCaffrey, Purdy has all the weapons in his arsenal to continue to move the ball effectively, even if this may be his toughest test to date.
In a preview of what many expect to be the NFC Championship, the Niners draw the 10-1 Philadelphia Eagles on the road in Week 13. Although Philly’s defensive front tends to get a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, this defense has struggled at limiting yardage through the air. The Eagles rank 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.
In San Francisco’s 31-13 thrashing of the Seattle Seahawks on Thanksgiving Day, Purdy only mustered 209 passing yards. But that’s because the team didn’t need him to sling it as they dominated in every facet of the game and had a double-digit lead most of the game after a 17-point second quarter. However, prior to last week’s outing, Purdy has topped 260 passing yards in four straight contests.
It’s also important to note that the Eagles have the third-ranked rushing defense in the NFL. Although Kyle Shanahan would love to employ a run-heavy approach utilizing superstar Christian McCaffrey in the trenches and Deebo Samuel on the edge, the running game may not be so effective against this high-caliber defensive front. If the Niners are going to keep pace with Jalen Hurts and the Eagles, Purdy will have to air it out.
The Eagles are coming off an impressive 37-34 overtime victory over the Buffalo Bills but they did allow a whopping 339 passing yards from Josh Allen. And although they held Patrick Mahomes in check, yielding just 177 passing yards from him in Week 11, Dak Prescott lit this secondary up to for 374 yards back in Week 9 before Philly’s Week 10 bye. Want more evidence? Sam Howell produced 397 passing yards against the Eagles back in Week 8 and Howell isn’t as talented as Purdy nor does he have the same caliber of weapons at his disposal. It’s clear that although Philly is finding ways to win (sometimes in ugly fashion), they are very beatable in the passing game.
In what should be a very tightly contested battle, San Francisco will have to throw the ball often to move the chains and put points up on the board. Given Purdy’s recent form, the weapons around him, expected gameflow, and Philly’s recent struggles against the pass, Purdy should eclipse this line easily. I’m throwing multiple units on this one. Take the Over!
Jordan Love…
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— If you just lost Joe Burrow or Mark Andrews, USE CODE: BADLUCK for 90% off the REST OF SEASON!!!
DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.
GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.
Week 11 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 11 DFS: Wide Receiver Report The wide receiver story from last week had two chapters. The first was the high-scoring battle between the Lions and Chargers, leading to Keenan Allen (11/175/2) posting his second monster showing of the year
The wide receiver story from last week had two chapters. The first was the high-scoring battle between the Lions and Chargers, leading to Keenan Allen (11/175/2) posting his second monster showing of the year while Amon-Ra St. Brown (8/165/1) finished fourth in fantasy points (30.50). The second verse came via the right arm of Dak Prescott. CeeDee Lamb (11/165/2) fell ten yards behind Allen, giving him the runner-up prize for the week. The rise of the Cowboys’ passing attack led to Brandin Cook (9/173/1) finishing third for the week. Six other wideouts scored between 21.00 and 26.50 fantasy points in PPR formats. Here are the top five wide receivers by scoring average after 10 weeks:
- Tyreek Hill (25.03)
- Keenan Allen (22.84)
- A.J. Brown (22.61)
- CeeDee Lamb (22.13)
- Stefon Diggs (20.28)
Also, before we get into the Week 11 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.
Elite Options
Tyreek Hill, MIA (DK – $9,300/FD – $9,800)
The Dolphins’ passing offense sputtered in two challenging road games vs. Philadelphia (216/1) and Kansas City (193/1) in Week 7 and Week 9. But Hill still had a floor of eight catches while working closer to the line of scrimmage (11/88/1 and 8/62 – one 20-yard catch ~ 7.9 yards per reception). From Week 5 to Week 8 (8/181/1, 6/163/1, 11/88/1, and 8/112/1), he scored in each game, leading to 30.10 FPPG in DraftKings scoring. His top three scores in fantasy points (44.50, 30.70, and 32.10) came in odds weeks of the NFL schedule. Hill has double-digit targets in four consecutive starts (10, 15, 13, and 10).
Las Vegas continues to play better than expected defending wide receivers (6th – 109/1,318/7 on 173 targets). No team gained more than 175 yards from their wideouts. Their defense allowed 22 touchdowns (11 passing) over 105 possessions, with quarterbacks gaining 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Their success has been helped by a favorable pass schedule (Kenny Pickett, Jordan Love, Mac Jones, Tyson Bagent, Tommy DeVito, and Zack Wilson). Amon-Ra St. Brown (6/108) is the only wide receiver to gain more than 100 yards.
The Raiders will have their hands full defending the run vs. Miami, inviting some winning big plays off play-action passes for Hill. Their top three cornerbacks for Las Vegas allowed a high catch rate. But they’ve minimized the damage in big plays. Hill’s quickness and ability to get open should shine through in this matchup. I expect a minimum of one long score, most likely against Marcus Peters (29/287/3 on 32 targets – per PFF) due to his gambling mentality. On the downside, Hill must score 37.00 fantasy points to fill his salary bucket. Bet on his floor (26.70 fantasy points) while understanding that Miami is a much better offense at home.
CeeDee Lamb, DAL (DK – $9,200/FD – $9,200)
Over the past three weeks, Dak Prescott upped his passing game, leading to 1,082 yards and 11 touchdowns while averaging 36.7 passes per game (31.7 over his first six starts). As a result, Lamb has three consecutive elite games (12/170/2, 11/191, and 11/165/2), thanks to a spike in his targets (14, 16, and 14). He finished 1st, 2nd, and 2nd in wide receiver scoring over this span. That lifted him to fourth (199.20 fantasy points) for the year. He is on pace to catch 128 passes for 1,981 yards and nine touchdowns. Last year, 24 of his 107 catches gained at least 20 yards. Lamb already gained 20 yards on 22 receptions in 2023.
Carolina has the fourth-best…
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!
DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.
GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.
NFL DFS Sunday Night Football: Eagles vs Dolphins Draftkings Fantasy Lineup Advice From High-Stakes Winner
NFL DFS Sunday Night Football: Eagles vs Dolphins This article will help you build your NFL Draftkings DFS Sunday Night Football lineups for tonight’s Eagles-Dolphins matchup. The 2023 Week 7 NFL Sunday comes to a close with Sunday Night Football. Two high powered offenses will square off as the 5-1 Philadelphia Eagles host the 5-1 Miami Dolphins. Dolphins vs. Eagles Date, Time, and Where to Watch Date: October 23, 2023 Game Time: 8:20 pm ET Where to Watch: NBC Dolphins vs. Eagles Odds Spread: Dolphins +2 (-110), Eagles -2 (-110) Total Odds: O/U 51.5 (-110) Moneyline Odds: Dolphins (+115), Eagles (-125) Today we analyze from a DFS perspective the fantasy player projections from Shawn Childs. WHO IS SHAWN CHILDS? Quite simply, Shawn is the brains behind many of the metrics and projections at FullTime Fantasy. He has an extensive history in the fantasy industry, including being enshrined into the NFBC Baseball Hall of Fame. Shawn was previously the No. 2 most accurate DFS ranker and boasts several big DFS wins including over $200,000 last season at Draftkings. Shawn has the proven history and versatility you won’t find ANYWHERE else. Let’s dive right into the projections typically reserved for Fulltime Fantasy members, by team and by position: Dolphins vs Eagles Projections Two big-time value plays allow you to mix and match your studs to chase down that epic GPP tonight. The returning Dolphins RB Jeffrey Wilson $200 and newly signed Eagles WR Julio Jones $2,000 have double digit value returns with 6-10 point range production. A surprising captain? You don’t have to use them both but if you do, you can basically take any 4 of the top players tonight you want. Jalen Hurts, not the favored Tyreek Hill, is projected by our award-winning RDA* projections to be the top CAPTAIN on the slate, with 47.09 fantasy points. Coming in second is the cheetah Tyreek Hill with 40.52. Third is PHI WR AJ Brown with 39.93. It’s a pretty steep drop after that down to the 32 point range with both Tua and Swift available options. Mostert and Waddle round out the top seven with 30 and 27 points respectively. Obviously, feel free to mix and match all of the higher-value players for your own contest selections tonight. Example #2: Example #3 For a contrarian build, our projections determined that AJ Brown, is the only other acceptable captain play tonight. When you do, you may find that pivoting to Eagles defense over Julio is the preferred lineup. Happy Lineup Building! Finally, are you a Die-Hard Fantasy Football Player? CLICK HERE to Start Your Road to the 2023 Fantasy Football World Championships.
Week 6 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 6 DFS: Wide Receiver Report D.J. Moore had a sensational game (8/230/3 on 10 targets) against the Commanders in Week 5, but he was outdone by Ja’Marr Chase (15/192/3 on 19 targets). Both players moved into the top 10
D.J. Moore had a sensational game (8/230/3 on 10 targets) against the Commanders in Week 5, but he was outdone by Ja’Marr Chase (15/192/3 on 19 targets). Both players moved into the top 10 in wide receiver scoring in PPR formats. Tyreek Hill (8/181/1) was the only other wideout to score more than 30.00 fantasy points. Eight wide receivers finish with 20.00 to 28.00 fantasy points. DeAndre Hopkins posted his best game (8/140), but he ranks 37th after his five starts with the Titans. Here’s a look at the top five wide receivers after five games:
- Tyreek Hill (132.50)
- Keenan Allen (103.45 – four games)
- Stefon Diggs (120.00)
- Puka Nacu (115.60)
- Justin Jefferson (109.80)
Also, before we get into the Week 6 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Tyreek Hill, MIA (DK – $9,300/FD – $9,800)
Hill has been on the winning Millionaire Maker ticket at DraftKings in Week 1 (11/215/2), Week 3 (9/157/1), and Week 5 (8/181/1). He delivered lower results (5/40/1 and 3/58) in his other two matchups vs. division opponents. He is on pace to catch 122 passes for 2,213 yards and 17 touches, which would be career-highs in all categories. His rhythm last season over the first eight games and his start in 2023 leads to his best outputs coming every other week. Hill already has four completions of 40 yards or more.
The Panthers rank seventh in wide receiver defense (49/642/4 on 74 targets). Justin Jefferson (6/85/2) posted the best game against them, while DK Metcalf (6/112) is the only wideout to gain more than 100 receiving yards. Carolina’s success vs. wide receiver is somewhat masked by their poor run defense, leading to quarterbacks averaging only 27.6 passes. CB Donte Jackson has risk defending the long field (11 catches allowed for 202 yards and one touchdown on 17 targets ~ 18.1 yards per catch per PFF), and CB CJ Henderson (13/173/1) allows a high catch rate (81.3).
Hill brings a double jeopardy skill set for defenses to defend. His quickness is elite, setting up many easy catches over the short areas of the field. In addition, he can beat a secondary over the top in a blink of an eye. So far this year, I haven’t had Hill enough or used him in the correct team build. He is the player with the highest ceiling in many weeks, meaning a ride without him can lead to losing tickets more often than not. Rinse and Repeat.
Ja’Marr Chase, CIN (DK – $8,300/FD – $9,300)
The success of Chase in Week 5 (15/192/3 on 19 targets) was the first game in his career where he paired volume of chances with a long scoring play. In his two impact games (8/201/1 and 11/266/3) in his rookie season, he had 10 and 12 targets in those matchups while gaining 20 yards or more on eight plays. His only two catches of 20 yards or more this season went for 43 and 63 yards. Chase is now on pace to catch 150 passes for 1,618 yards and 10 touchdowns. His one strike is his yards per catch (10.8 – 12.0 in 2022 and 18.0 in 2021).
Seattle has the worst defense in the league against…
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!
DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.
GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.
Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 5 NFL Player Props Week 4 was an interesting one from a prop betting perspective. After starting the season 10-4, last week was the first time this season that we didn’t hit over 50% of our prop bets. Fortunately,
Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 4 was an interesting one from a prop betting perspective. After starting the season 10-4, last week was the first time this season that we didn’t hit over 50% of our prop bets. Fortunately, since we tripled up on the Justin Fields over, our 3-4 Week 4 record doesn’t tell the full story; We actually profited cash for a third consecutive week. Just about a quarter of the way through the regular season, we are now 13-8 (+6.9 units).
After a surprising first few weeks to the season where studs weren’t performing and there were some unfamiliar names leading certain position groups, things are finally beginning to shake out as one would expect. Justin Herbert has been the top quarterback, Christian McCaffrey has been the top running back, Justin Jefferson has been the top wideout, and T.J. Hockenson has been the top tight end (Travis Kelce missed the season opener but is averaging more points per game than Hock). The cream always rises to the top.
Fantasy football owners definitely have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 5 NFL Player Props and continue our trend of profitable NFL weekends.
Josh Allen OVER 258.5 Passing Yards (-115)
After a disappointing season-opening performance against the New York Jets in which Allen turned the ball over four times in an upset loss, Buffalo’s signal-caller has turned it around and has been the QB1 over the last three weeks. Over that span, Allen has racked up 812 passing yards (270.7 per game) while going 72-for-94 (76.6% completion percentage) and throwing eight touchdowns and one interception.
He has risen to the top of the MVP race in large part due to his dominant performance in the Bills’ Week 4 thrashing of the Miami Dolphins in which he tallied 320 passing yards and four touchdowns, while also running one into the end zone. Allen has eclipsed this line in two of his previous three outings and faces a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranks 22nd in pass defense.
Also, the Bills are averaging 6.1 yards per play this season, which bodes well for Allen in this London-based contest. Allen doesn’t have a particularly good history against the Jaguars. But one of his previous two games came against them back in 2018 when they had an elite defense. Back in 2021, he surpassed this line against Jacksonville. Look for Allen to continue his MVP campaign…
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
USE CODE: BLITZ50 FOR 50% OFF your first TWO MONTHS! —OR— Use save20 for 20% off our 6-month package!
DEADLINE THIS SUNDAY.