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2025 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Preview

Cam Ward Tennessee Titans

2025 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Preview Those sweet Oilers throwbacks were about the only positive thing to happen to the Tennessee Titans in 2024. Sadly, ditching those duds is part of the new vision in Tennessee, where the franchise will attempt to move forward with second-year head coach Brian Callahan and a new franchise signal-caller. Selected first overall in the 2025 NFL Draft, Cam Ward will be sporting Warren Moon’s old No. 1 and represents a much-needed franchise reset for the Titans. Ward has a talented arm who thrives outside structure and has the clutch gene. He’s very accurate in the short and intermediate parts of the field, which will be a huge upgrade over erratic Will Levis. Tennessee finished 26th in passing last season but should be markedly improved with Ward under center. The club was better on the ground, averaging 109.1 rushing yards per contest. Tony Pollard produced 1,079 rushing yards on a career-high 260 carries and caught 41 passes. Tyjae Spears showed well down the stretch, but is firmly the RB2 when Pollard is healthy. Pollard is a good mid-round target for fantasy managers who attack pass-catchers early on draft day. Last year, the Titans ranked 26th in passing. 71.7 percent of that production came when they were trailing. However, they ranked 9th in time of possession. Expect Callahan to ease his rookie in and rely on the rushing attack. While the passing attack projects to be significantly improved with Ward under center, the receiving room looks shallow. Calvin Ridley is the unquestioned No. 1. Ridley got 120 targets last season and surpassed 1,000 receiving yards for the second straight season. However, lack of touchdown upside keeps him in WR3 territory. Ridley is the only receiver for fantasy managers to consider. The club signed Tyler Lockett, but the soon-to-be 33-year-old veteran is on a four-year decline in production and metrics. Van Jefferson and 2022 bust Treylon Burks have legitimate shots at contributing this season. That shows the lack of depth in Tennessee. Chigoziem Okonkwo was a popular breakout target last summer but essentially mirrored his 2023 output. Okonkwo ranked 21st in target share (13.8 percent), 22nd in yards (479), and 23rd in yards per route run (1.62). There is hope that Okonkwo will see more targets as the rookie QB’s safety valve, but he’s a middling TE2 with little upside. Fantasy Grade: D QB Ward, Cam, TEN [QB1]  The No. 1 overall pick, Cam Ward, steps into a starting role with QB2 fantasy upside. His performance at Miami showcased a pro-ready arm and improvisational flair. Advanced metrics highlight his clean-pocket efficiency (30:3 TD-to-INT, 5.9 percent big-time throws). Ward also displayed maturity, poise, and pocket presence, and he offers good rushing upside. The Titans have the eighth-easiest schedule, and Ward’s introduction comes against a manageable early slate (Bears, Jets, Colts). However, a limited supporting cast beyond Calvin Ridley may cap consistency, making him a volatile weekly starter. ADVICE: There will be highs and lows, but Ward has mid-range QB2 potential in Year One. RB Pollard, Tony, TEN [RB1]  In 2025, Tony Pollard is poised for another quality fantasy season. After a 2024 campaign averaging 4.2 yards per carry and 1,317 total yards, Pollard’s dual-threat ability shines. His 57 targets in 2024 highlight his PPR value, but he fell to just five touchdowns in Tennessee’s 26th-ranked offense. With Tennessee’s revamped offensive line and playcaller Brian Callahan’s pass-heavy scheme, Pollard’s touches should climb to 250+. Advanced metrics like a 0.25 missed tackles forced per attempt and 3.8 yards after contact signal elite elusiveness. Draft Pollard as a mid-range RB2. ADVICE: Fairly safe and consistent RB2 who is durable and reliable. RB Spears, Tyjae, TEN [RB2]  Tyjae Spears had a modest 2024 season, finishing as the RB35 in PPR formats with an average of 9.5 fantasy points per game over 12 appearances. He logged 84 carries for 312 rushing yards and four touchdowns, chipping in 30 receptions for 224 receiving yards and an additional score. While Tony Pollard dominated the Titans’ backfield, Spears showcased his potential late in the season, notably scoring two touchdowns in Week 15 against the Bengals. With Tennessee’s offense expected to improve in 2025, Spears could see increased opportunities, especially if he capitalizes on his pass-catching abilities. ADVICE: Handcuff to Tony Pollard, who will see 8-10 touches per week. WR Ridley, Calvin, TEN [WR1] Sleeper  The Titans ranked 26th in passing last season, but Ridley was the team’s top (only) target. He surpassed 1,000 yards for the second consecutive season thanks to the nature of his high-impact 120 targets (18th). Ridley was one of the top deep threats in football last season, leading the league in air yards (1,883). and finishing top five in ADOT (15.7) and deep targets (32). No. 1 overall pick Cam Ward is a massive upgrade under center, and Tennessee still has a lesser supporting cast (Tyler Lockett, Treylon Burks). ADVICE: The 120 targets Ridley drew last season look like his floor, setting him up to be an undervalued WR2. WR Lockett, Tyler, TEN [WR2] Over the Hill  After 10 productive seasons in Seattle, Tyler Lockett moves on to the rebuilding Titans. There, Lockett will compete for WR2/3 duties in a revamped offense. 33 this year, Lockett is a declining slot receiver who no longer gets open downfield or creates yards after contact. Last year, Lockett’s 1.10 yards per route run was the lowest mark of his career. He could become Cam Ward’s safety valve underneath, but Lockett has very little big-play ability, which seriously caps his fantasy appeal. ADVICE: Declining veteran who should see a decent number of targets, but no longer has the big-play ability that made him a quality bench option. WR Ayomanor, Elic, TEN [WR3] Super Sleeper  ADVICE: A fourth-round rookie WR out of Stanford, Ayomanor has good size (6-2, 206) and ran a 4.44. He should have the inside track to emerge as Tennessee’s No. 3 wideout. Don’t be surprised if he ends up as the team’s No.

Week 7 NFL Player Props

Week 7 NFL Player Props For the fifth time in six weeks, we had a profitable weekend of wagering. We were three Dalton Schultz yards away from an even better week. Still, in Week 6, we turned out a 4-3

Week 7 NFL Player Props

For the fifth time in six weeks, we had a profitable weekend of wagering. We were three Dalton Schultz yards away from an even better week. Still, in Week 6, we turned out a 4-3 record. Due to our triple-unit bet on Jayden Daniels, we finished Week 6 up 1.85 units. On the season, we are now 25-16 (+8.85 Units). Let’s keep the momentum rolling with our Week 7 NFL Player Props!

Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 7 NFL prop bets!

Geno Smith OVER 24.5 Pass Completions (+100)

The Seattle Seahawks’ defense has been struggling, and this Sunday they’ll try to contain an Atlanta Falcons offense that’s been on fire, scoring 74 points in the last two games. Spoiler: I don’t expect Seattle to pull it off, which means Geno Smith will be airing it out to keep the Seahawks in the game.

Falcons’ opponents have completed 26+ passes in three of their last four games, and Atlanta’s defensive strategy seems to be: bend, don’t break. They play zone coverage at the third-highest rate in the league, allowing the highest completion percentage, but also limiting teams to the fifth-lowest yards per attempt and sixth-lowest air yards per attempt.

On top of that, Atlanta’s pass rush is almost non-existent, generating pressure at the second-lowest rate in the NFL (14%), which means Geno Smith should have plenty of time to sit back and dink-and-dunk his way down the field.

Smith, by the way, leads the NFL in pass attempts and completions, even though he ranks 27th in average depth of target among starting QBs. He’s more than happy to chip away methodically, and it’s working—he’s topped this completion mark in five straight games, averaging 31 per game during that stretch.

At even money, I’m all in on Geno topping this number again.

Derrick Henry…

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2024 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Preview

2024 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Preview A new era dawns in Tennessee. The Titans’ surprising dismissal of Mike Vrabel opens the door for Brian Callahan to begin his NFL coaching career. It’s a daunting challenge for Callahan, who takes over a

2024 Tennessee Titans Fantasy Preview

A new era dawns in Tennessee. The Titans’ surprising dismissal of Mike Vrabel opens the door for Brian Callahan to begin his NFL coaching career. It’s a daunting challenge for Callahan, who takes over a team that bottomed out in 2023. Tenneesse ranked 29th in passing last season and allowed their star RB to leave.

The process begins with sophomore signal caller Will Levis.”My relationship with (Will), his relationship with me and Nick (Holz) and (QBs coach) Bo (Hardegree) is going to be really a critical factor in our success,” Callahan said about Levis. Having the confidence of your new head coach is promising, but Levis struggled as a rookie.

After a monumental NFL debut, Levis went 2-6 as the starter, averaging 207 passing yards per game. Levis completed just 58.4% of his attempts and tossed four touchdowns in his final seven starts. These weren’t unexpected growing pains for the 2023 second-rounder, but Levis has a lot to prove before he becomes a fantasy option.

Fortunately, the Titans made significant investments to surround their young QB with a talented supporting cast. The biggest splash was signing WR Calvin Ridley to a four-year $92 million deal. Ridley (76/1,016/8) was a top-20 fantasy wideout last season and gives Tennessee a pair of outstanding perimeter wideouts with DeAndre Hopkins.

Callahan’s offenses in Cincinnati were productive enough to field a pair of solid receivers annually. If Callahan can coach up Levis, Hopkins, and Ridley should each command a target share north of 25% and contend for WR2 numbers.

Treylon Burks has been limited to 22 games in two seasons and his career arch is trending toward bust. Only 31% of Burks’s routes came from the slot in 2023, making it hard to envision him making an impact there. Kyle Phillips (89% slot rate) and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 52%) will mix in as auxiliary pieces.

TE Chigoziem Okonkwo ranked 15th with 54 grabs a year ago. However, Okonkwo was featured far closer to the line of scrimmage and only scored one TD. His volume should be fine but the third-year tight end is merely a solid TE2 for fantasy purposes.

With Derrick Henry in Baltimore, the Titans signed Tony Pollard to take over. Pollard was a significant disappointment in 2023 and it is difficult to foresee him improving his fantasy output behind a transitioning offensive line. Additionally, Pollard will split touches with second-year runner Tyjae Spears, who ranked ninth at the position with 70 targets last season in a reserve role.

Tennesse’s rebuild is just beginning and Will Levis is still a major question mark. Despite the presence of some solid players, that makes the Titans a risky bet on draft day.

Quarterbacks

Outside of his monumental debut in Week 8, Will Levis had a forgettable rookie season. In his other eight starts, Levis threw for four touchdowns, four interceptions, and finished outside of the weekly top 20 five times. The good news is that the Titans have fully invested in Levis as their starter and spent significant draft capital and free-agent money surrounding him with supportive talent. Levis led the NFL with an 11.1 average depth of target, so expect the new regime to scheme up ways to improve his efficiency. Tennessee has a favorable schedule, so a Year Two jump isn’t out of the question. However, Levis is well off the fantasy starting radar. ADVICE: Low-end QB2…

Week 10 DFS: Running Back Report

Week 10 DFS: Running Back Report The top-tier running backs were a major disappointment last week, partly due to the top two options (Christian McCaffrey and Travis Etienne) being on a bye. Alvin Kamara (11.00), Breece Hall (10.00), and DeAndre

Week 10 DFS: Running Back Report

The top-tier running backs were a major disappointment last week, partly due to the top two options (Christian McCaffrey and Travis Etienne) being on a bye. Alvin Kamara (11.00), Breece Hall (10.00), and DeAndre Swift (9.4) fell short of expectations in fantasy points. Rachaad White took advantage of his favorable matchup to post his best outing (20/73/2 and 4/46) of his young career. Only four other backs (Rhamondre Stevenson – 22.90, Josh Jacobs – 21.80, Austin Ekeler – 21.00, and Keaton Mitchell – 20.80) scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average in PPR formats after nine weeks:

  • Christian McCaffrey (25.30)
  • Travis Etienne (20.49)
  • Raheem Mostert (19.07)
  • Derrick Henry (15.34)
  • Josh Jacobs (14.56)

Gus Edwards has been the top-scoring back over the last three weeks (21.40, 29.40, and 17.20).

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 9 DFS QB Report and TE Report.

Elite Options

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,200/FD – $10,500)

For any daily gamer starting their roster with McCaffrey, they tied up 18.4% of the salary at DraftKings and 17.5% at FanDuel. He averages 26.43 and 23.05 fantasy points at those sites, giving him a floor of 2.87X and 2.19X if McCaffrey hits his scoring average. His only impact game (48.70 fantasy points) came in Week 4 vs. the Cardinals at home. He scored at least 22.50 fantasy points in five other matchups, with his second-highest output (29.80) coming in Week 8.

McCaffrey gains his edge by scoring touchdowns (13 over eight games). He reached paydirt in 17 consecutive contests. Over his last two starts, the 49ers had him on the field for 98.2% of their snaps.

The Jaguars are about league average in running back defense (15th – 19.68 FPPG), with their down games in fantasy points allowed coming in Week 6 (29.40) and Week 7 (30.70). Over the last three games, running backs have been productive in catches (1IND – 11/84, NO – 12/91, and PIT – 9/61) while receiving 38 combined targets. Jacksonville allowed 3.6 yards per rush (16.9 attempts per game by running backs). No team has scored more than one rushing touchdown in a game (four total by running backs).

For McCaffrey to pay off in Week 10, the Jaguars’ defense would have to have their worst day of the season. Also, the 49ers’ top back would have to score almost all of the team’s fantasy points. On the positive side, he could have his best day catching the ball based on the direction of Jacksonville’s defense in this area over the past three weeks. McCaffrey has the highest floor in the game while forcing a DFS player to be creative when filling out the backend of their roster.

 

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NFL DFS Monday Night Football: Cowboys vs Chargers Draftkings Fantasy Lineup Advice From High-Stakes Winner

NFL DFS DraftKings Monday Night Football Chargers Cowboys Projections

NFL DFS Monday Night Football: Cowboys vs Chargers This article will help you build your NFL Draftkings DFS Monday Night Football lineups for tonight’s Cowboys-Chargers matchup. The 2023 Week 6 NFL schedule comes to a close with Monday Night Football. The 2-2 Los Angeles Chargers host the 3-2 Dallas Cowboys. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium. Today we analyze from a DFS perspective the fantasy player projections from Shawn Childs. WHO IS SHAWN CHILDS? Quite simply, Shawn is the brains behind many of the metrics and projections at FullTime Fantasy. He has an extensive history in the fantasy industry, including being enshrined into the NFBC Baseball Hall of Fame. Shawn was previously the No. 2 most accurate DFS ranker and boasts several big DFS wins including over $200,000 last season at Draftkings. Shawn has the proven history and versatility you won’t find ANYWHERE else. Let’s dive right into the projections typically reserved for Fulltime Fantasy members, by team and by position: Chargers-Cowboys Projections KICKERS & DEFENSE/ST DAL, Brandon Aubrey 9.0 projected points $5,000. LAC, Cameron Dicker 8.0 projected points $4,400. DAL DST 6.8 projected points $3,800. LAC DST 5.3 projected points $3,200. Dak Prescott appears to slightly edge out Justin Herbert tonight. Prescott is cheaper ($10,000 to $10,800) and has a higher projected finish (23.89 to 22.15). At RB, Tony Pollard is the big winner here with a 3-point bonus for 100 yards rushing and 27 projected fantasy points. Ekeler is still in for a solid night but his salary essentially prices him out of play. Pollard is the most valuable RB tonight at $9,600, however for the Captain spot that provides a 1.5X boost, even he takes a back seat to teammate and WR CeeDee Lamb who is also projected for 27 fantasy points but at only a $9,000 price tag. For that reason, Lamb should be your choice at Captain in Showdown slates. Michael Gallup appears to be the top-value play of the night. He’s projected to produce 9 fantasy points at a mere $2,800. That leaves us with $14,100 to spend allowing us to squeeze in the services of Justin Herbert who boasts a 2.05 value score, higher than that of Keenan Allen (1.85). Obviously, feel free to mix and match all of the higher-value players for your own contest selections tonight. For a contrarian build, Pollard or Prescott are acceptable Captains. However, you’ll have to pivot down from Herbert to Keenan Allen to afford the Chargers Defense in the last flex spot. Happy Lineup Building! Finally, are you a Die-Hard Fantasy Football Player? CLICK HERE to Start Your Road to the 2023 Fantasy Football World Championships.

Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report

Tony Pollard

Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report Last week we had some breakout performances. That included running backs, with five rushers eclipsing 20 points. A pair even topped 40. Oddly, they were on the same team. Our Week 4 DFS: Running

Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report

Last week we had some breakout performances. That included running backs, with five rushers eclipsing 20 points. A pair even topped 40. Oddly, they were on the same team. Our Week 4 DFS: Running Back Report looks for the next huge game to insert into your daily lineups.

Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 3 DFS QB Report.

 

Top Tier Options

 

Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,200/FD – $9,700

Over the first three games, McCaffrey scored between 22.50 and 25.90 fantasy points in each matchup with PPR scoring. He extended his touchdown streak to 12 games but scored twice in only one contest. In addition, McCaffrey gained more than 100 yards in each of his starts (152, 116, and 119) while averaging 3.7 catches. Last season, he had 108 combined yards with one touchdown and nine catches vs. the Cardinals while playing with Carolina. With San Fran against Arizona in other matchups, McCaffrey gained 185 yards with one score and 10 catches.

The Cardinals sit 25th defending running backs (75/325/1 with 15 catches for 82 yards and three touchdowns on 17 targets). The Cowboys ran the ball well against them in Week 3 (33/185 – 5.6 yards per rush). Their pass rush (11 sacks) has been better than expected out of the gate, and Arizona played from the lead in all three of their games through the third quarter. 

McCaffrey is an absolute beast on a path to being the best running back in the game in 2023. The 49ers will ride him hard when needed (100% of their snaps in Week 2) while resting him when playing from a big lead. His floor has been three times his salary, putting him a second touchdown away from 30.00 fantasy points. The second half could be in the hands of Elijah Mitchell on many plays, so McCaffrey will need to get his scoring and yards early in the game. He is rated as the top running back…

 

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2023 Dallas Cowboys Outlook

dak prescott ceedee lamb dallas cowboys

2023 Dallas Cowboys Outlook The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview

2023 Dallas Cowboys Outlook

The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview of all 32 teams from football legend Shawn Childs.

Also, check out Jody Smith’s NFL offensive line rankings and exclusive 2023 Strength of Schedule analysis.

Up next in our extensive NFL and fantasy football preview series is Shawn’s deep dive into the 2023 Dallas Cowboys Outlook.

— Quarterback —

Dak Prescott

In 2019 and 2021, Prescott attempted 596 passes in both seasons over 16 games. He improved by 22 completions in 2021 but regressed by 453 passing yards. Prescott finished with the best completion rate (68.8) of his career with a new high in passing touchdowns (37). He ended the year with a step back in running value (48/146/1) after being much more productive in this area over his first 64 games (241/1,221/21). When at his best, Prescott had a floor of three touchdowns in nine starts (416/3, 244/3, 223/4, 308/3, 455/3, 301/3, 351/4, 246/3, and 295/5). He delivered 1,864 passing yards and eight touchdowns in his other seven matchups. 

After an off game in Week 1 (134/0 with one interception) last season, Prescott missed five starts with a broken right thumb. His year ended with the most interceptions (15) of his career over 12 matchups, with further regression in his yards per pass attempt (7.3). Prescott only had a slight fall off in his completion rate (66.2 – 68.6 over his previous 21 contests) while repeating his value in the run game (45/182/1). Over his final 13 games (including the postseason), he had a completion rate of 70% or higher in eight matchups, but Prescott only passed for more than 300 yards in two starts (347/3 and 305/4). He averaged 33.1 passes over his 14 games, compared to 37.3 in 2021.

Fantasy Outlook: Other than an excellent growth season by CeeDee Lamb (107/1,359/9), the Cowboys’ receiving corps failed to match preseason expectations. Michael Gallup (39/424/4) was a shell of his previous self, and rookie Jalen Tolbert (2/12) didn’t develop into a viable receiving option. Adding Brandin Cooks gives Prescott a proven veteran wideout, but he also lost his top tight end threat (Dalton Schultz). My early thought is that Dallas should average close to 250 passing yards per game, with Prescott finishing with a floor of 30 combined touchdowns (on pace for 34 in 2021). He is the 12th ranked quarterback in early June in the high-stake market.

Cooper Rush

Over his first four seasons with Dallas, Rush was only on the field for eight games, leading to him completing 31 of his 50 passes for 424 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. He kept the Cowboys in the playoff hunt by winning four of his five starts when Dak Prescott was out with his thumb injury.

Despite his winning success, Rush was only a game manager over his first four contests (775/4 with no interceptions). When facing the Eagles, he was overmatched in Week 6 (18-for-38 for 181 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions).

Fantasy Outlook: Rush remains the top backup quarterback for Dallas, but he will see minimal time again in 2023.

Other Options: Will Grier

— Running Backs —



The combination of Ezekiel Elliott (968 combined yards) and Tony Pollard (1,378 combined yards) gave Dallas plenty of production in overall yards (2,346) while adding 24 combined touchdowns. Their backs set three-year highs in rushing attempts (477), rushing yards (2,110), and touchdowns (26), but they were less active in the passing game (62/526/3 on 85 targets). The Cowboys running backs averaged 28.33 FPPG in PPR formats.

Tony Pollard

Dallas gave Pollard 169 touches in 2021, but he did leave some stats on the table by missing two games with a December left foot injury (plantar fascia). Over his final three games (including the postseason), he struggled to run the ball (15/57) with seven catches for 77 yards. Pollard broke loose in Week 2 (140 combined yards with one score and three catches) while gaining over 100 combined yards in one other matchup (14/75 and four catches for 28 yards). From the Cowboys’ second game to Week 15 (12 contests), he averaged 12.2 touches, leading to 905 yards with two touchdowns and 30 catches or 11.04 fantasy points in PPR formats.

Pollard was frustrating to manage over the first five games last season due to his up-and-down usage by the Cowboys. He had empty production in Week 1 (22 combined yards and two catches) and Week 4 (eight combined yards and one catch) while flashing his explosiveness over his other three contests (289 combined yards with two touchdowns and four catches on 34 touches). When given a chance to start in two games midseason, Pollard played at a high level (14/131/3 and 22/115/1) with four combined catches and 29 yards. Dallas gave him an uptick in chances over the next six weeks (83/367/3 with 24 catches for 237 yards and three scores), but ankle and leg injuries led to a missed game and a step back in play over his final three contests (28/118 with five catches for 23 yards). 

Fantasy Outlook: The excitement for Pollard is brewing in the early fantasy draft season based on his ranking (10th). He finished last season as the ninth-highest-scoring running back (248.80) in PPR formats despite averaging 14.5 touches. Dallas will rotate in a second running back, but Pollard should see his opportunity improve by at least 15%. I’ll set his early bar at 225 rushes for 1,100 yards with a dozen scores and 50 catches for 450 more yards. His only negative is back-to-back late-season injuries, with the latter requiring surgery to repair a broken left leg last January.

Deuce Vaughn

Over three seasons at Kansas State, Vaughn gained 4,371 combined yards with 47 touchdowns and 116 catches over 37 games. He had a high-volume opportunity in 2021 (284 touches) and 2022 (335 touches), showcasing his durability…

 

 

WHAT CAN WE EXPECT OUT OF THE COWBOYS IN 2023?

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Fantasy Football: Week 1 Start ‘Em / Sit ‘Em

Mark Deming and co-manager Ian Ritchie were early participants in the WCOFF and the FPPC. Their success, and the high winning percentage in the high-stakes world led them to be named the No. 1 fantasy owners in the world according to FootballDieHards.com. Now Deming is proving his start and sit plays of Week 1!