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Tag: TE Report

NFL DFS: Week 12 TE Report

FAVORABLE MATCHUPS (CASH/GPP) Rob Gronkowski (DK – $5,100/FD – $6,900): The Patriots expect to have Gronkowski back this week after missing three of the last four games with back and ankle issues. After an impact game in Week 1 (7/123/1),

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NFL DFS: Week 10 TE Report

FAVORABLE MATCHUPS (CASH/GPP) Jared Cook (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,500): Cook has been up and down all season leading to two impact games (9/180 and 8/110/2), one steady game (4/74/1), and five boring showings (4/49, 5/31, 4/20, 2/10, and 2/20). Jared averages 6.25 targets per game while being on pace to set career highs in catches (76), yards (988), TDs (6), and targets (100). With Amari Cooper no longer on the roster, Cook will be a top two receiving option for Derek Carr going forward. The Chargers held him to a short game (4/20) in Week 5. LA ranks 15th in the NFL vs. the TE position (37/369/4 on 61 targets) with the 49ers (6/125/1) and the Browns (8/63/1) having the most success. A TE has scored a TD against the Chargers in four of their last five games. Oakland’s passing game appears to be dead in the water, but they will play better at home. I expect a nice showing this week plus LA has some talent at CB forcing Carr to look for his TE more often. Trey Burton (DK – $3,900/FD – $6,100): Burton is the 7th highest scoring TE in PPR leagues after nine weeks despite only have one elite game (9/126/1). Trey has a TD in five of his last seven games while being on pace for 58 catches for 742 yards and ten TDs on 80 targets. The Lions are league average defending TEs (33/417/3) with no team scoring over 17.0 Fantasy points at the TE position. Chicago has the talent to have success running the ball in close, but a play action TE seems very likely in this game. Not a bad swing at this level due to his scoring ability and the Lions may at least push the issue on the scoreboard.   MATCHUP RISK / AGAINST THE GRAIN (GPP) O.J. Howard (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,500): Howard doesn’t have an elite opportunity in targets (five per game) or snaps (59.8 percent in his eight games played), but his value has been rock solid in his last six games (18.6, 13.2, 16.2, 11.7, 16.8, and 21.3) in the season-long contests. His best outing of the year came last week (4/53/2) while scoring four TDs in his last four games. This season Tampa TEs have 48 catches for 635 yards and eight TDs on 65 targets. Washington sits 12th in the league vs. TEs (37/333/3 on 58 targets) with no TE scoring over 16.0 Fantasy points. Only a low-teen Fantasy option this week unless he hits on a long play.   BAD MATCHUP (AVOID) C.J. Uzomah (DK – $3,700/FD – $5,400): Cinci expected to have Uzomah back in the starting lineup this week after having a bye week to recover from a chest issue. In his last game, C.J. didn’t have a catch vs. a porous Bucs’ defense. Over the last four games, he has ten catches for 110 yards and one TD on 15 targets. The Saints are 6th in NFL vs. TEs (30/338/1 on 48 targets) with seven teams scoring fewer than ten Fantasy points. Easy avoid in all formats.     NEUTRAL (ALL FORMATS) Travis Kelce (DK – $7,000/FD – $8,000): Last week Kelce had his second impactful game (7/99/2) of the season while falling one yard short of the three-point bonus for 100 yards at DraftKings. Travis has five catches or more in eight straight games with three games with over 100 yards receiving (7/109/2, 8/114, and 5/100) and six TDs. He averages 8.8 targets per game. The Cardinals are 7th in the NFL defending TEs (28/332/2 on 39 targets) with no TE scoring over 16.0 Fantasy points. Most teams haven’t had to pass to beat the Cardinals plus the best TE they’ve faced in 2018 is George Kittle (5/83 and 5/57). I expect a TD and steady production, but the lack of a battle on the scoreboard should leave him short of delivering an impact score needed to fill his salary bucket. Ron Gronkowski (DK – $5,600/FD – $6,900): Gronkowski has already hurt Fantasy owners in two games in 2018 by not playing. The Patriots have scored 25 TDs over their six-game winning streak, but Rob hasn’t scored a TD since Week 1 when he delivered his only impact game (7/123/1). His yards per catch (15.4) remain strong, but Gronk only averages 6.1 targets per game this season. He’s listed as questionable for this week’s game with back and ankle issues. The Titans have the second best TE defense (30/268/0 on 45 targets) in the league, but they did falter when matched up with the Eagles’ stud TEs (12/125 on 16 targets). Rob has a sliding salary, but a Fantasy owner won’t know his status until just before kickoff on Sunday. Jimmy Graham (DK – $4,600/FD – $6,300): With eight games of work in 2018, a Fantasy owner can easily see that Graham isn’t the player that he once was. He’s on pace for 64 catches for 850 yards and four TDs on 108 targets, which is respectable while offering no impact game this year. His best game came in Week 6 (5/104). Miami fell to 22nd in TE defense (42/453/5 on 59 targets) after allowing five TDs to TEs over the last four games. The Dolphins allowed fewer than 60 yards receiving to TEs in seven of their last eight games with their biggest failure in catches (7) and yards (101) coming in Week 1 vs. the Titans. Possible TD, but he falls more in the steady category in Week 10. His ace in the hole is Aaron Rodgers playing at home and needing a win in the worst way. Jordan Reed (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,200): Reed landed on the injury report this week with a back issue, but the Redskins expect him to play. Just like Rob Gronkowski, Jordan hasn’t scored a TD since Week 1. He has fewer than 45 yards receiving in five straight games while averaging 6.6 targets per game on

NFL DFS: Week 9 TE Report

FAVORABLE MATCHUPS (CASH/GPP) Travis Kelce (DK – $6,600/FD – $7,600): After eight games, Kelce is on pace for 88 catches for 1,284 yards and eight TDs on 140 targets. Even with a career-high pace, Travis slipped to second in TE scoring behind Zach Ertz. Kelce has three games with over 100 yards receiving (7/109/2, 8/114, 5/100) and one other 20-point game (7/78/1), but no impact game in his last four starts due to only one TD since Week 4. Cleveland is league average against TEs (44/443/2) with two teams (OAK – 11/133/2 and TB – 12/111) gaining over 100 yards from the TE position. In every other game, the Browns faced mid-tier TEs or below (NO, NYJ, BAL, LAC, and PIT X 2). Kelce sure seems like a matchup problem for Cleveland in Week 9 especially with Tyreek Hill having a slight injury issue. Possible 30+ Fantasy points with a pair of TDs. Greg Olsen (DK – $4,700/FD – $6,200): Last week Olsen had his best game (4/56/1) of the year, but he only received four targets. Over his last three games after returning from his injury, Greg has two TDs while averaging 5.3 targets per game. His opportunity will never be as high as it was in his prime, but the Panthers still have him on the field well over 95 percent of the time over the last three weeks. Tampa allows the fourth-most Fantasy points to TEs (42/564/4 on 52 targets) with three teams (PHI – 15/151, PIT – 5/119/1, and ATL – 9/71/1) scoring over 20 Fantasy points from the TE position. An excellent matchup with a chance to improve on last week’s output. Cam Newton has a great matchup, and Olsen has a reasonable chance of being part of the impactful ride. O.J. Howard (DK – $4,300/FD – $6,000): Howard has been a nice steady TE in his last five games (3/96/1, 6/72, 4/62/1, 5/67, and 4/68/) pushing him to 7th in TE scoring despite missing one game. His success in his six full games (24/419/3) would put him on pace for 64 catches for 1,117 yards and eight TDs if he played a full season. Over the last three games, O.J. has been on the field for about 60 percent of the time after being closer to 70 percent over the first three games of the season. The Panthers have had huge problems defending TEs (32nd – 48/545/4 on 65 targets) in 2018. They’ve allowed a TD to the TE position in three straight games leading to four games with 19 or Fantasy points allowed (CIN – 9/109, WAS – 8/84/1, PHI – 13/181/1, and BAL – 7/67/1). In their other three games, Carolina played three teams (DAL, ARI, and NYG) with weak TE options. Upside matchup, but Tampa has a lot of mouth’s to feed plus Cameron Brate may steal some of his explosiveness. Well worth his salary as 4 X his salary seems to be a pretty safe bet if he scores a TD. Kyle Rudolph (DK – $3,600/FD – $5,700): Rudolph continues to have a boring smell while extending his scoreless streak to five games as he watches Kirk Cousins feature his top two WRs in almost every game. Kyle gained fewer than 60 yards in seven of his eight games while averaging 5.4 targets per game. Last year Rudolph had one impact game (4/63/2) on the road against the Lions. Detroit is 23rd in the NFL defending TEs (31/389/3 on 45 targets). With Stefon Diggs a little banged up with a hip issue and CB Darius Slay scheduled to defend him, Cousins should look more toward Rudolph in this matchup. Also, Matt Patricia comes the Bill Belichick coaching tree, which points to the Lions coming up with a game plan to limit the catches and opportunity for Adam Theilen. Price in a favorable range and I expect Kyle to hit paydirt at least once in Week 9.   MATCHUP RISK / AGAINST THE GRAIN (GPP) Trey Burton (DK – $4,500/FD – $6,100): Burton was a game flow casualty in Week 8, which led to his shortest output (3/18 on four targets) since Week 1 (1/15). Trey has one impact game (9/126/1) and four TDs while averaging 5.3 targets per game. In six of his seven games, Burton has five targets or fewer. The Bills are 9th in the NFL vs. the TE position (31/343/3 on 57 targets) with one team gaining over 100 yards from the TE position (BAL – 9/103). I don’t see a fight on the scoreboard, which points to another shallow game by him in Week 9.   BAD MATCHUP (AVOID) Jordan Thomas (DK – $2,900/FD – $4,800): Thomas was awarded the start at TE over the last two games for the Texans with Ryan Griffin battling an illness. After an empty game in Week 7 vs. the Jaguars, Jordan had the best game (4/29/2) of his career vs. the Dolphins, but he only saw four targets. Griffin is due back this week, which will hurt the playing time of Thomas. Denver is 22nd in the league against the TE (35/513/3 on 54 targets) with much of the damage coming against the Chiefs (9/137/1 and 6/79/1). A weak piece to the puzzle with a minimal chance at follow through. Mike Gesiki (DK – $2,600/FD – $4,400): Over the last four games, Gesiki has 11 catches for 95 yards on 15 targets while receiving a lower percentage of snaps in each game (84, 47, 35, 29, and 24). Possible bye week filler in the season-long ability due to his pass catching ability, but his playing time is well below a winning play in the daily games.   NEUTRAL (ALL FORMATS) Jordan Reed (DK – $4,800/FD – $5,600): Reed ranks 12th at TE in PPR leagues (64.60) despite scoring less than half the Fantasy points of Zach Ertz (143.20) and Travis Kelce (132.20). Jordan doesn’t have a TD in his last seven games while failing to score over 12.0