Running Back Regression After Leading the NFL in Rushing
Running Back Regression After Leading the NFL in Rushing Leading the NFL in rushing is a career highlight for most running backs. It also leads to banner fantasy football totals. However, most RBs see a precipitous decline in production the season after topping the league in rushing yards. This running back regression after leading the NFL in rushing has happened in 22 of the past 25 seasons and paints a worrisome fantasy outlook for the league’s reigning rushing king. Many different factors can lead to a sudden dropoff. As my friend Gary Davenport first divulged in his Curse of 370 and revisited for 2025, heavy usage is a key contributor to predicting running back regression. Other variables like coaching changes, strength of schedule, supporting cast, and age also play a role. Before I take a deep dive back through the past 25 seasons, let’s recap all the running backs that have led the NFL in rushing this century and find some key takeaways. NFL Rushing Leaders 2000-2025 Over the past 25 seasons, 20 different running backs led the NFL in rushing yards. Only LaDainian Tomlinson, Adrian Peterson, Ezekiel Elliott, and Derrick Henry have done it more than once. You could also doff your proverbial cap to Edgerrin James, who ascended the leaderboard in 1999, becoming the first player since Eric Dickerson (1983-1984) to lead the league in his first two pro campaigns. In all, league-leading backs averaged 340 carries for 1,716 rushing yards (4.98 yards per carry) and scored 15.7 total touchdowns. That averaged out to just under 349 fantasy points (PPR), or 21.9 points per game. The splits were 15 rushing champs from the AFC, while 10 represented the NFC. The NFC East produced five, while the NFC South is the only division that has not had an NFL rushing champ in the last 25 years, nor has there ever been one from that division. The Saints’ George Rogers led the league with 1,674 yards back in 1981, but New Orleans was then part of the NFC West. Leading the league in rushing is more than an individual honor. Coaching, schemes, quarterbacking, and the offensive line all play a pivotal role. There are also numerous other elements that play a role in a team’s ability to manufacture a rushing leader. Contributing Factors for Success Health One of the most important factors for posting big numbers is staying healthy. From 2000-2015, no running back who led the league in rushing missed a single game. Even the backs who missed one were rested by their team in the season finale. Derrick Henry is the only running back in the last 25 years to lead the league in rushing but miss a game due to injury. Henry missed Week 16 of the 2019 season with a hamstring injury and returned to action in the season finale to rush for a season-high 211 yards to top the league. Every other running back in the past 25 seasons to lead the league in rushing has stayed healthy for every game or sat out the regular-season finale to rest for the playoffs. Winning Team Speaking of playoffs, teams that produced the leading rusher averaged 9.96 wins versus 6.2 losses, making the postseason in 18 of the 25 seasons (72%). However, only three of those teams made the Super Bowl, and the only squad to win is the reigning champions, the 2024 Philadelphia Eagles. Having a winning record also leads to more friendly game scripts for the rushing attack. Teams nursing second-half leads tend to rely on their lead backs to grind down the clock. Age The wear and tear that NFL running backs accumulate takes a toll. 20 of the 25 (80%) rushing leaders were under 28 entering the season in which they finished first. Looking at the averages, RBs had a mean age of 25.4 in those seasons. They also averaged 4.6 years of experience. Only two backs (Curtis Martin in 2004, Adrian Peterson in 2015) were older than 28. No rusher who was 29 when the season started has led the NFL in rushing since Barry Sanders did it back in 1997. NFL RUSHING LEADER AGE DISTRIBUTION AGE OCCURANCES RATE 21-23 6 24% 24-26 10 40% 27-28 7 28% 29+ 2 8% Skill Set & Fantasy Production Volume is king in fantasy, and rushers who accumulate enough touches to post elite numbers are typically three-down workhorses. 24 of the 25 RBs posted top-5 fantasy finishes. The only back who did not, Adrian Peterson in 2008, caught only 21 passes for 125 yards in 16 games. In the other 24 seasons tracked, running backs averaged 44 receptions annually. Derrick Henry is an outlier, but part of the formula for RB success in today’s high-octane NFL is to stay on the field on passing downs. However, the inability to do just that, stay on the field, is one of the main reasons we see noteworthy running back regression the year after they lead the league in rushing yards. Immediate Regression in the Next Season While winning a rushing crown is a notable accomplishment for a pro running back, there is usually a staggering dropoff in play the following season. 88% have seen an immediate dip in effectiveness, and it is usually a significant decline. Only three running backs since the 2000 season have posted better fantasy numbers the year after they led the NFL in rushing yards. As for the other 22, they averaged a 36.8% decline in fantasy points the following season. Notable Declines Running backs have always been a hot commodity on draft day. Particularly three-down workhorse backs coming off a rushing crown who finished the previous campaign at an average rank of RB 2.76. But fantasy draft history is loaded with first-round RB busts who stumbled after they broke out the previous season. Running Backs who led the league in rushing in 2000-2024 finished as the RB 2.7 in PPR leagues, but plummeted to an average of RB22.3 the following season.
2025 NFL Free Agents: Running Backs
2025 NFL Free Agent Movement: Running Backs In fantasy football, there is no offseason. Before the NFL finalizes its year, fantasy football fans are preparing for the next draft season. That is especially true in dynasty football. Part of good preparation is knowing about the upcoming crop of NFL free agents. The draft can dramatically shake rosters. However, free agency begins in March and is the first major “new” season event. Therefore, it is important to note which veterans are signing and how that could impact the upcoming NFL draft. Next up in FullTime Fantasy‘s free agent analysis, we break down the 2025 NFL Free Agents: Running Backs. Also, check out our Free Agents: Quarterbacks. Player Pos. 2024 Team 2025 Team Type Age 2024 Salary Aaron Jones RB Vikings Vikings UFA 31 $7,000,000 Miles Sanders RB Panthers Cowboys UFA 28 $4,020,000 Najee Harris RB Steelers Chargers UFA 27 $3,261,861 A.J. Dillon RB Packers Eagles UFA 27 $2,742,500 Nick Chubb RB Browns UFA 30 $2,275,000 Gus Edwards RB Chargers UFA 30 $2,250,000 Javonte Williams RB Broncos Cowboys UFA 25 $2,216,439 Raheem Mostert RB Dolphins Raiders UFA 33 $3,692,353 Travis Homer RB Bears Bears UFA 27 $2,000,000 Alexander Mattison RB Raiders Dolphins UFA 27 $2,000,000 Ameer Abdullah RB Raiders Raiders UFA 32 $1,850,000 Jeff Wilson RB Dolphins UFA 30 $1,750,000 J.K. Dobbins RB Chargers UFA 27 $1,610,000 Samaje Perine RB Chiefs Bengals UFA 30 $1,500,000 Dare Ogunbowale RB Texans Texans UFA 31 $1,500,000 Chase Edmonds RB Buccaneers UFA 29 $1,500,000 Nyheim Hines RB Browns UFA 29 $1,495,000 JaMycal Hasty RB Patriots UFA 29 $1,450,000 Ty Johnson RB Bills Bills UFA 28 $1,292,500 D’Ernest Johnson RB Jaguars UFA 29 $1,275,000 Rico Dowdle RB Cowboys Panthers UFA 27 $1,255,000 Kareem Hunt RB Chiefs Chiefs UFA 30 $1,210,000 Cam Akers RB Vikings UFA 26 $1,175,000 Mike Boone RB Panthers UFA 30 $1,125,000 Jeremy McNichols RB Commanders Commanders UFA 30 $1,125,000 Trayveon Williams RB Bengals UFA 28 $1,125,000 Joshua Kelley RB Titans UFA 28 $1,125,000 Craig Reynolds RB Lions Lions RFA 29 $1,125,000 D’Onta Foreman RB Browns UFA 29 $1,125,000 Kene Nwangwu RB Jets Jets UFA 27 $1,055,000 Trey Sermon RB Colts UFA 26 $1,055,000 Darrynton Evans RB Bears Bills UFA 27 $1,055,000 John Kelly RB Browns RFA 29 $1,055,000 Patrick Taylor RB 49ers 49ers UFA 27 $1,055,000 Julius Chestnut RB Titans Titans RFA 25 $985,000 Raheem Blackshear RB Panthers RFA 27 $985,000 Ronnie Rivers RB Rams Rams RFA 26 $985,000 Kenneth Gainwell RB Eagles Steelers UFA 26 $953,881 Avery Williams RB Falcons Eagles UFA 27 $930,038 Elijah Mitchell RB 49ers Chiefs UFA 27 $915,893 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB Commanders ERFA 26 $915,000 Emanuel Wilson RB Packers ERFA 26 $915,000 Chris Evans RB Bengals UFA 28 $913,222 Khalil Herbert RB Bengals Colts UFA 27 $902,676 Jaylen Warren RB Steelers RFA 27 $857,333 Jordan Mason RB 49ers Vikings (via trade) RFA 26 $853,333 Owen Wright RB Ravens ERFA 26 $795,000 Ellis Merriweather RB Packers SFA 26 $256,667 Patrick Richard FB Ravens Ravens UFA 31 $3,750,000 Reggie Gilliam FB Bills Bills UFA 28 $2,300,000 Michael Burton FB Broncos Broncos UFA 33 $1,210,000 Adam Prentice FB Saints UFA 28 $1,130,000 Kristian Welch FB Ravens UFA 27 $1,125,000 Jakob Johnson FB Giants Texans UFA 31 $1,125,000 Robert Burns FB Falcons UFA 27 $795,000 Aaron Jones stayed healthy and finished as the RB19 in fantasy points per game. However, his efficiency has declined for three straight seasons and he’s nearing the end. UPDATE: Jones re-signed with the Vikings for two years. Najee Harris has been a consistent producer but lacks the three-down upside to attract a top-ten RB deal. He’ll have suitors but could easily wind up back in a timeshare with a rookie. Speaking of timeshare situations, Javonte Williams will look to move to a team that will allow him to be a lead back. Sean Payton is firmly committed to a rotation, so expect Williams to test the market. If he re-signs in Denver, Williams’s fantasy value takes a hit. J.K. Dobbins made the most of his one-year ‘prove it’ deal in Los Angeles. However, with a checked injury history, Dobbins will be viewed as a mid-level option as the potential lead in a rotational backfield. If he lands in an offense that is poised to cash in a bunch of short-yardage opportunities, Dobbins has middle-round fantasy value appeal. Position Grade: 2/10 The 2025 NFL season is starting and you can get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES AND UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site updates! Like and share our new Facebook page! Be sure to pay attention to our giveaways for your shot at some sweet prizes!
Top 10 Fantasy Football Handcuffs (2024)
Top 10 Fantasy Football Handcuffs (2024) No position is as volatile or susceptible to injuries as running backs. Part of building a competitive fantasy football roster is to include an insurance policy. Targeting those handcuff running backs is a viable
No position is as volatile or susceptible to injuries as running backs. Part of building a competitive fantasy football roster is to include an insurance policy. Targeting those handcuff running backs is a viable strategy and safety net.
With so many teams employing committee backfields, selecting your early-round running back’s direct backup makes sense. Whether you play in redraft, bestball, or in high-stakes leagues, knowing the fantasy-relevant handcuff running backs is crucial.
Here are the top 10 fantasy football handcuffs (2024) to target this summer.
David Montgomery (Detroit Lions)
Jahmyr Gibbs is now the top running back in Detroit. However, Montgomery has standalone value as a very good RB2. Montgomery will see 15-plus touches per week and will retain a healthy percentage of Detroit’s red-zone touches. The only problem for Gibbs managers would be ensuring their investment by having to target Montgomery in the fourth or fifth round. Subsequently, Montgomery is the ideal ‘anti-handcuff’ target for drafters trying to…
WHAT OTHER RUNNING BACK HANDCUFFS SHOULD FANTASY DRAFTERS TARGET IN 2024 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTS?
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2024 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule: RB
There is certainly no shortage of analytics and data available to fantasy football enthusiasts. One of the most useful tools available to the well-prepared fantasy drafter is to break down the strength of schedule for each position. FullTime’s 2024 Fantasy
While there is plenty of strength of schedule analysis out there, FullTime Fantasy breaks down the data in a unique way. In addition to season-long data, FullTime Fantasy Members get access to all positions including IDP. Also, the data can be sorted by remaining games and broken down into sections. This can be especially helpful for high-stakes and tournament drafters looking for the edge during the fantasy playoffs.
After breaking down quarterbacks previously, here is a deep dive into the 2023 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule: RB and how to take advantage of that data this draft season.
The numbers listed include Weeks 1-17.
Favorable Schedules
Kyren Williams (Los Angeles Rams) – A league-winner in 2023, Kyren Williams is still being discounted in 2024. The addition of Blake Corum factors into that, but Williams was the second-best running back in fantasy football last season in fantasy points per game. Additionally, Sean McVay prefers to…
WHAT OTHER RUNNING BACKS will be impacted by the 2024 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule?
To finish reading this in-depth schedule analysis
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Second-Year RB Ascending Early Draft Boards
Second-Year RB Ascending Early Draft Boards THIS RB1 WENT OFF THE BOARD NO. 1 OVERALL IN THE LATEST CIRCA CHAMPIONSHIP DRAFT! Long-time Las Vegas gambler and ranked high-stakes fantasy player Frank Taddeo (@RespectedMoney on X) is always watching Vegas oddsmakers to identify best bets and fantasy values. Thus far in our summer series here at Fulltime Fantasy, we have highlighted several players that have witnessed significant betting and fantasy football draft position movement. We dove into a rookie running back expected to make a major impact, a wideout who may struggle to return fair ADP value as well as an elite running back being faded by oddsmakers. A major component of my success playing high-stakes fantasy football at the FFWC is incorporating player projections of oddsmakers into my NFL model. I began creating my model back in 2010 when I created the only over-the-counter DFS program offered to date in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Year Two Breakout The latest installment leads us to second-year Falcons running back Bijan Robinson. The former Texas Longhorns standout gained 976 rushing yards (57.4 per game) in his rookie season while adding four rushing touchdowns. Bijan Robinson’s rookie season stats: • 17 games • 976 rushing yards • 4.6 yards per carry • 58 catches • 487 receiving yards • 86.1 scrimmage YPG • 8 TDs#Falcons pic.twitter.com/cepuXuVkGp — NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) July 13, 2024 In the air, Robinson hauled in 58 receptions for 487 receiving yards and four additional touchdowns. A deeper dive reveals that Robinson finished tied for second with New Orleans RB Alvin Kamara for the most RB Targets (86) behind only Jets RB Breece Hall (95). The dynamic threat accomplished the impressive feat of finishing ahead of the consensus No. 1 pick Christian McCaffrey (83) in this category – despite questionable usage by the Falcons coaching staff. Fantasy managers are investing premium draft capital in Robinson in early FFWC drafts. The former Doak Walker Award winner owns an ADP of 5.7 / RB2. In the latest Circa Championship draft on 7/13, Robinson was selected No. 1 overall for the first time this fantasy season. He lept over CMC and CeeDee Lamb for the coveted top spot. Vegas Oddsmakers & Early Drafters in Agreement New Falcons Offensive Coordinator Zac Robinson recently revealed Robinson will be featured in a “CMC role” in his sophomore campaign. Vegas insiders and the fantasy community both love the Falcons’ new staff. “Bijan’s such a talented player,” said Zac Robinson. “He’s gonna play running back, first and foremost — and then anyway we can find creative ways to get him the ball like the Niners do with Christian McCaffrey is exactly right.” #Falcons OC Zac Robinson on Bijan Robinson being used like CMC: “Bijan’s such a talented player. He’s gonna play running back, first and foremost — and then any way we can find creative ways to get him the ball like the Niners do with Christian McCaffrey is exactly right.” pic.twitter.com/6x01Gwp3Cv — The Coachspeak Index (@CoachspeakIndex) June 5, 2024 Oddsmakers, who initially installed Robinson with a rushing yard betting projection of 900.5, have raised the tailback up to a betting demand of 1000.5 at DraftKings. The boys behind the betting counter clearly view the comments by the new Falcons staff as more than just “Coach Speak”. “In Circa Championship drafts held in June, I was able to grab Bijan at the back end of Round 1. That late-round value is a thing of the past as the electric talent is now a near-consensus Top 5 pick. ” – Frankie Taddeo Despite the presence of Tyler Allgeier, who often vultured goal line work last season, oddsmakers believe Robinson will receive heavy red zone volume. Robinson, who came off the board No. 1 in the latest Circa Championship draft, has witnessed the juice on his rushing touchdown projection of 6.5 steam from -105 to -130. To infinity and BIJAN. 71 yards! 📺: #ATLvsNO on CBS 📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/X0vcyHUoyR pic.twitter.com/8rd1LDxUcL — NFL (@NFL) January 7, 2024 This headline posted on X by the NFL last season sums up my 2024 fantasy football outlook for Robinson in superb fashion: “To Infinity and BIJAN in 2024.” For the past 15 years, Football Contest Proxy has provided the leading service to submit picks in major Las Vegas football contests from anywhere in the world and built FootballContest.com into the top online destination for football contest info. All you need to do to enter is sign up in person sometime before football season kicks off. FCP does the rest as your proxy – it really is that easy. Simply plan your trip to Vegas and schedule a time with FCP to get signed up for whatever contest(s) you want to enter. As a proxy partner of FullTimeFantasy, you can also SAVE $50 through September 2 by clicking here. Just enter promo code FANTASY at checkout for instant savings, so make your best pick and go with the pros at FootballContest.com!
Elite Running Back that Vegas is Fading in 2024
Elite Running Back that Vegas is Fading in 2024. Long-time Las Vegas gambler and ranked high-stakes fantasy player Frank Taddeo (@RespectedMoney on X) is always watching Vegas oddsmakers to identify best bets and fantasy values. COULD THIS RB1 BURN FANTASY MANAGERS in 2024? In our initial series of highlighting players who are witnessing significant movement in their 2024 NFL betting markets here at Fulltime Fantasy, we dove into a rookie running back expected to make a major impact in 2024 as well as a wideout who may struggle to return fair ADP value. A major component of my success playing high-stakes fantasy football at the FFWC is incorporating player projections of oddsmakers into my NFL model. I began creating my model back in 2010 when I created the only over-the-counter DFS program offered to date in a Las Vegas sportsbook. The latest installment leads us to new Eagles star running back Saquon Barkley. The former Giants standout lands in Philadelphia after signing a three-year, $37.75 million contract in free agency. The expectations are the highest they have ever been for the two-time Pro Bowl back who has scored 47 touchdowns in his first six seasons in the NFL. Saquon Barkley just posted this edit on his Instagram 🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/AXcvVwLd6T — Luke Arcaini (@ArcainiLuke) March 12, 2024 Fantasy managers are investing premium draft capital in Barkley in early FFWC drafts. The 2018 OROY owns an ADP of 15.9 / RB6 after coming off the board as high as 13 with a low of 18. Due to the dynamic running ability of dual-threat QB Jalen Hurts, can Barkley yield enough production in his first season on Broad Street to reward those who invest high draft capital? VEGAS ODDSMAKERS FADING POTENTIAL PRODUCTION Over the last three seasons, three different Eagles players have led the club in rushing: 2023 D’Andre Swift (1,049); 2022 Miles Sanders (1,269), and 2021 Jalen Hurts (784). Oddsmakers, who initially installed Barkley with a rushing yard betting projection of 1125.5, have adjusted the tailback down to a betting demand of 1025.5 at DraftKings. While only shaving his production by 100 yards, the most alarming move is currently being witnessed in his overall total rushing touchdown projection sliced from 9.5 to 6.5. “A FULL three rushing touchdown fade may lead to a higher ADP in high stakes drafts held later this summer as word of this move spreads. ” – Frankie Taddeo Following the retirement of future HOF center Jason Kelce, many expected the Eagles to employ the “Tush Push” less frequently with Barkley now owning lead backfield duties. However, oddsmakers are now tempering their expectations for significant goal line volume. Barkley, who came off the board at 2.5 in the latest Circa Championship Draft held on June 30, has also seen his receiving yards betting projection reduced from 325.5 yards to 300.5. WR1 Saquon Barkley? 🤔 4 receptions 57 receiving yards 2 TDspic.twitter.com/BpnGkgnxxe — NFL Fantasy Football (@NFLFantasy) November 19, 2023 The move in his receiving yards market is perplexing as Barkley totaled 288 receptions for 2,100 yards and 12 touchdowns working out of the backfield – despite less-than-ideal QB play during his NY tenure. If we remove his 2020 campaign (torn ACL – played only two games), Barkley has averaged 408 receiving yards per season (721, 438, 263, 338, 280). In Philadelphia, Barkley will now play with one of the best signal-callers in the NFL in Hurts. Last season Eagles RBs hauled in 74 receptions, sans a back of Barkley’s pass-catching prowess. Despite the fade in betting markets, fantasy managers should not be afraid to invest second-round draft capital in the dynamic Barkley as he will be playing in a Top 5 NFL offense for the first time in his career. For the past 15 years, Football Contest Proxy has provided the leading service to submit picks in major Las Vegas football contests from anywhere in the world and built FootballContest.com into the top online destination for football contest info. All you need to do to enter is sign up in person sometime before football season kicks off. FCP does the rest as your proxy – it really is that easy. Simply plan your trip to Vegas and schedule a time with FCP to get signed up for whatever contest(s) you want to enter. As a proxy partner of FullTimeFantasy, you can also SAVE $50 through September 2 by clicking here. Just enter promo code FANTASY at checkout for instant savings, so make your best pick and go with the pros at FootballContest.com!
Vegas Just Went ALL-IN On This Rookie RB
Long-time Las Vegas gambler and ranked high-stakes fantasy player Frank Taddeo (@RespectedMoney on X) is always watching Vegas oddsmakers to identify best bets and fantasy values. This NFL rookie running back is projected to have a MAJOR IMPACT by Oddsmakers, making him a BIG VALUE for Zero RB builds A major component of my success playing high-stakes fantasy football at the FFWC is incorporating player projections of oddsmakers into my NFL model. I began creating my model back in 2010 when I created the only over-the-counter DFS program offered to date in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Over the next several months here at Fulltime Fantasy, I will be highlighting players that are witnessing significant movement in their 2024 NFL betting markets. In my first installment, I will be focusing on Carolina rookie running back Jonathon Brooks. The Panthers traded up in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft to draft the former Texas standout as the first running back off the board at No. 46 overall. Jonathon Brooks is one of the best RBs in College Football 💨 The #1 RB Prospect according to PFFs Big Board 🔥 pic.twitter.com/DS67d4q5nx — College Football Report (@CFBRep) February 1, 2024 While many fantasy managers may be hesitant to invest in a back coming off a torn ACL last November, it is wise to pay attention to new coach Dave Canales’ intent of his offense to focus on running the ball. Check out our detailed Rookie Scouting Profile of Jonathon Brooks here. VEGAS ODDSMAKERS RESPOND TO COACHES RECENT COMMENTS Dave Canales to Jonathon Brooks: “The intent of our offense is to run the ball.” — Joe Person (@josephperson) May 10, 2024 Oddsmakers are paying attention to Canales’s offensive game plan. The talented back, who was installed with a rushing yards betting projection of 500.5, has witnessed the biggest move of any running back in the rushing yards market. The 6-foot-1, 216-pound physical back now sits with a betting demand of 775.5 yards at DraftKings. “A MOVE THIS BIG IS ABSURD, YOU DON’T SEE IT VERY OFTEN.” -Frank Taddeo When oddsmakers make a move of 275 yards, fantasy managers need to take note. Brooks, who currently has an ADP of RB28, came off the board at 7.12 in a Circa Las Vegas Fantasy Championship Draft held on May 30. Due to playing behind Bijan Robinson in his first two collegiate seasons, Brooks only enjoyed one season as the featured call carrier for the Longhorns. In 2023, Brooks rushed for 1,139 yards and 10 touchdowns in just 10 games before suffering the season-ending knee injury. In Carolina, Brooks only finds veterans Chuba Hubbard, Miles Sanders, and Rashaad Penny on the depth chart. That is far from an imposing backfield which will easily result in Brooks taking over lead duties by the start of the season. Canales’s vow to focus on the rushing attack to help Bryce Young, combined with the sizable move by oddsmakers, means fantasy managers should not be afraid to invest in the powerful rookie as a viable RB2/Flex option this season with only middle-round draft capital demand. For the past 15 years, Football Contest Proxy has provided the leading service to submit picks in major Las Vegas football contests from anywhere in the world and built FootballContest.com into the top online destination for football contest info. All you need to do to enter is sign up in person sometime before football season kicks off. FCP does the rest as your proxy – it really is that easy. Simply plan your trip to Vegas and schedule a time with FCP to get signed up for whatever contest(s) you want to enter. As a proxy partner of FullTimeFantasy, you can also SAVE $50 through September 2 by clicking here. Just enter promo code FANTASY at checkout for instant savings, so make your best pick and go with the pros at FootballContest.com!
2024 NFL Free Agents: Running Backs
2024 NFL Free Agents: Running Backs In fantasy football, there is no offseason. Before the NFL finalizes its year, fantasy football fans are preparing for the next draft season. That is especially true in dynasty football. Part of good preparation is knowing about the upcoming crop of NFL free agents. The draft can shake rosters up dramatically. However, free agency begins in March and is the first major event of the “new” season. Therefore, it is important to take note of which veterans are signing and how that could impact the upcoming NFL draft. Next up in FullTime Fantasy‘s free agent analysis, comes an RB position with some decent names and depth. This is our 2024 NFL Free Agents: Running Backs. PLAYER POS TEAM AGE Saquon Barkley RB NYG 27 Josh Jacobs RB LVR 26 D’Andre Swift RB PHI 25 Derrick Henry RB TEN 30 Austin Ekeler RB LAC 29 Tony Pollard RB DAL 27 Antonio Gibson RB WAS 26 Devin Singletary RB HOU 27 J.K. Dobbins RB BAL 26 Ezekiel Elliott RB NE 29 Zack Moss RB IND 27 A.J. Dillon RB GB 26 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB KC 25 D’Onta Foreman RB CHI 28 Kareem Hunt RB CLE 29 Damien Harris RB BUF 27 Joshua Kelley RB LAC 26 Gus Edwards RB BAL 29 Rashaad Penny RB PHI 28 D’Ernest Johnson RB JAC 28 Ty Johnson RB BUF 27 Chase Edmonds RB TB 28 Rico Dowdle RB DAL 27 Jerick McKinnon RB KC 32 Cordarrelle Patterson RB ATL 34 Trayveon Williams RB CIN 27 Boston Scott RB PHI 29 Craig Reynolds RB DET 28 Melvin Gordon RB BAL 31 Matt Breida RB NYG 30 Ameer Abdullah RB LVR 31 Royce Freeman RB LAR 28 Ronald Jones RB DAL 27 Jonathan Williams RB WAS 30 Salvon Ahmed RB MIA 26 Myles Gaskin RB MIA 27 DeeJay Dallas RB SEA 26 Dare Ogunbowale RB HOU 30 Eno Benjamin RB NO 25 Marlon Mack RB ARZ 28 Larry Rountree RB HOU 26 Dwayne Washington RB DEN 30 Latavius Murray RB BUF 35 Brandon Bolden RB LVR 34 Position Grade: 6/10 Sign Up Before the “Big Game” & Double Your Bet Instantly With Edge Boost Offer is up for a limited time only! Special Offer For The FullTime Community: Users who sign up within the next 72 hours will start at $500 in advance limit from EDGE Boost (as opposed to $50). Claim this offer using EdgeBoost now if you sign up before the Texans–Browns game kicks off on Saturday! Click on this link Click “Sign Up Today” & Double Your Bet Instantly! What is EDGE Boost? EDGE Boost is the first Bet Now Pay Later (powered by VISA) provider that enables you to take out a responsible, no-interest advance that you can use to bet on games of your choice at any sportsbook, DFS site, or the FFWC! You are then given four weekly installment payments to repay your advance, and if your wager hits, you double your winnings with no fees. Think of it like Affirm, AfterPay, and other Buy Now Pay Later providers. They want you to win because EDGE makes their money from the VISA fees paid by the sportsbooks. Imagine this: you’re working hard and the paycheck hits just in time for a mini victory dance. But wait, the big leagues – like that playoff FFWC contest or that winning wager on DraftKings – they’re calling your name, and your wallet’s just not in sync. Enter EDGE Boost, your ultimate sidekick! They’ve got your back, matching your deposits akin to those incredible sign-up bonuses from sportsbooks. The best part? It’s a recurring thrill! Keep using it, over and over – it’s like having a superhero’s power at your fingertips. Didn’t hit the jackpot this time? No sweat! You’ve got a generous month to pay them back, no interest, no worries. But hey, when luck’s on your side and that bet strikes gold, imagine this: you’ve got the means to reinvest and double down with PlayFFWC! It’s like being on a perpetual winning streak. And here’s the kicker: the more you prove yourself as a reliable user, paying back your advances like clockwork, EDGE Boost unlocks new levels for you, allowing higher advances up to a whopping $2,500! Now that’s what I call leveling up in style! So, gear up, get consistent, and watch your wagering adventures soar to new heights!
Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only
Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only three other backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 16 weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (25.35)
- Raheem Mostert (17.91)
- Rashaad White (16.47)
- Travis Etienne (16.19)
- Breece Hall (15.59)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 17 DFS QB Report.
Elite Option
Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,600/FD – $11,000)
The 49ers had McCaffrey on the field for all of their plays last week, leading to his eighth consecutive game with more than 100 combined yards. He has a touchdown in 13 of his 15 starts with a combined 21 scores. His two impact games (48.70 and 41.70) came against the Cardinals. McCaffrey has a floor of 20.00 fantasy points in eight other matchups. He is on pace to gain 2,190 combined yards with 24 touchdowns and 71 catches on 364 touches.
Washington fell to 29th in running back defense (26.13 FPPG) after allowing more than 28.00 fantasy points to backs in their last eight games. The Jets and Breece Hall drilled the Commanders for 242 combined yards with two touchdowns and 12 catches. Running backs have 16 touchdowns with success in the passing game (82/587/5).
McCaffrey has an excellent matchup, with a high floor in fantasy points. The 49ers should score at will in this game, but they could give their star running back some snaps off if Washington doesn’t put up a fight on the scoreboard.
Second-Tier Options
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
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Week 16 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 16 DFS: Running Back Report Christian McCaffrey (41.70) led Week 15 in fantasy scoring, giving him 100.40 fantasy points in his two games vs. the Cardinals. James Cooks (36.10) posted the runner-up scores, followed by Kyren Williams (26.80). Six
Christian McCaffrey (41.70) led Week 15 in fantasy scoring, giving him 100.40 fantasy points in his two games vs. the Cardinals. James Cooks (36.10) posted the runner-up scores, followed by Kyren Williams (26.80). Six other running backs scored between 20.00 and 25.00 fantasy points in PPR scoring. Here are the top five backs by scoring average after 15 weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (25.36)
- Raheem Mostert (18.34)
- Travis Etienne (16.91)
- Rachaad White (16.24)
- Alvin Kamara (15.62)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 16 DFS QB Report.
Top Tier Options
Rachaad White, TB (DK – $7,400/FD – $7,700)
White comes into this week as the highest-priced running back due to the highest options not playing on the main slate on Sunday. He scored seven touchdowns over the past seven games, gaining 765 yards with 21 catches (20.79 FPPG in DraftKings scoring). White averaged 21.57 touches over this span. His only game with more than 20.00 fantasy points at home came in Week 2 (21.30).
The Jaguars slipped to 17th in running back defense (23.16 FPPG), with three teams scoring more than 30.00 fantasy points. Over the past six weeks, they allowed seven touchdowns to rushers with fading value defending the run (168/816 – 4.9 yards per carry). Running backs have 94 catches for 654 yards and one score on 115 targets.
The Bucs’ offense played better over the past two weeks (nine touchdowns and four field goals over 21 possessions) while playing six of their last eight games on the road. White comes off back-to-back 20+ fantasy points game while trending much higher in the run game over his previous four matchups (15/100, 20/84/1, 25/102, and 21/89 – 4.6 yards per rush). He has a solid floor and an untapped ceiling. The SHARPS will ride this BAMF to the winner circle in Week 16.
Bijan Robinson, ATL (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,100)
In the most crucial week in the season-long games in the high-stakes market, Robinson gave his fantasy supporters…
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
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