FullTime Fantasy

PGA DFS: Dell Tehnologies

Brooks Koepka

This event is one in which, I think, we probably need to avoid anyone below $7000 if you’re focusing on cash games. But, if you are a GPP playe…..

Canadien Open PGA DFS

The Brittish Open was nothing short of a disaster week for me (and many) but me specifically.  Being dead early Friday on a major is never fun but we take it and move in. This week is the Canadien Open at Glen Abbey Golf Club on Ontario, Canada.   Jhonnathan Vegas has won the tournament two years straight and should gain a ton of chalk because of that and he has really good odds this week despite having not really played well lately.  Full 100% fade for me.   Based on the course most are going to target golfers who rank near the top in Driving Distance and who do well on Par 5’s (normally the long hitters).   core plays to focus on in each tier are in BOLD   STUDS Dustin Johnson … I think he has a good round this week and is the bomber I want to target the most Brooks Koepka … I prefer DJ Tony Finau … One of my core plays this week, good on par 5’s. Joaquin Niemann Gary Woodland It is looking like Finau is going to be the chalk in this range and is someone to really consider in cash, but in tournaments with the volatility of PGA he’s a decent tournament fade.  I kinda like the idea of a stars and scrubs build this week so pairing DJ and Finau is still my preferred route.   MID RANGE Jamie Lovemark Keith Mitchell … Consistently a bomber and will likely be low owned this week. Keegan Bradley Ollie Schneiderjans Beyong Hun-An Kevin Tway VALUE / PUNT Nick Watney J.T. Poston Chez Reavie Brandon Harkins Tom Lovelady Benjamin Silverman If you go with two of the top tier guys (specifically DJ) then you gotta get 3+ down in this range  

The Open – DFS Cheat Sheet

The Open Championship will be back to Carnoustie, without a doubt one of the best courses in the World — dont @ me…   The story this week is how dry and quick the course is going to be and there’s a ton of focus on how drives are going to roll forever where we’ll see players hitting middle irons off the tee box and still driving it 300+ yards.  So there’s some thought that you want bombers here, but with the conditions aiding everyone I don’t think bombers is as important as players who are accurate in their short game.  The greens are going to be just as bad with the roll in my mind and so accuracy to the pin is going to be key.   Favorite plays in each tier are bolded STUDS Dustin Johnson Justin Thomas Rory McIlroy Justin Rose Brooks Koepka … Will be very popular given price and recent major success. UPPER MID RANGE Sergio Garcia Hideki Matsuyama Francesco Molinari … Faded last week was a bad move, playing extremely well right now Henrik Stenson Marc Leishman Phil Mickelson MID RANGE Brendan Grace Adam Scott Patrick Cantlay Shane Lowry Ian Poulter Louis Oosthuizen Chris Wood LOW RANGE Tony Finau Ryan Armour Kevin Na Matthew Southgate Ryan Fox Gary Woodland   Tournament Winner:    Justin Thomas Favorite Core:    Thomas, Matsuyama, Oosthuizen    

John Deere Classic – PGA DFS Cheat Sheet

The John Deere Classic does not draw a huge crowd and is a course that plays well to those who have been on it before and also have good short games. The field is smaller due to the British Open being next week and the Scottish Open is this week. You should not have any problem getting a good lineup in on FD this week based on pricing and DK isn’t that much tighter either with the smaller field.

PGA DFS Picks – Quicken Loans National Picks

Whats up ScoutArmy — it’s a quiet PGA DFS week but its a special tournament to me as the PGA is at the TPC Avenel this week in Potomac, MD.   Prior to them re-doing the course I used to caddy there back in high school for the pro-am when it was the Kemper Open.  And the pro the last year I did it won the tournament — Justin Leonard — so he always has a special place in my heart. Anyways, here’s some of the picks I have for this week’s field which is not that top heavy.   CORE PICKS Rickie Fowler … Rickie is reportedly only here to honor a sponsorship commitment, but I still think he will play well and I prefer him over Woods in the higher priced tier this week. Jamie Lovemark … Has been consistent of late and will be a popular/chalk play this week.  He’s a core chalk play for me this week. Beyong Hun-An … Beyonce as I call him is someone who feels like a boom or bust play, but I’ll have plenty of him/her this week.   Vegas odds are good considering the DK price this week.   OTHERS TO CONSIDER 10k+:   Mac Leishaman, Kyle Stanley 8k – 10k:  Kevin Streelman, Beau Hossler, Chesson Hadley < 8k:  Billy Horschel, Si Woo Kim, Sung Kang, Brian Gay, Jason Kokrak   LONGSHOT WINNER PREDICTION Bill Haas … This is not a long course and Haas should play well here this week.   In recent years this tournament always being after the US Open and before “The Open” it typically has drawn off the top tier winners and Haas is my guy in that spot this week.      

US OPEN PGA DFS – Visionary Picks

Dr. Roto’s Visionary U.S. Open Cheat Sheet It’s time for another lucky person to become a millionaire in DraftKings’ Millionaire Maker. If you are the one person to have the highest score out of $205K teams, you will become my rich friend! That said, you have a better chance of being hit by lightning than you do to win the million bucks. I am not suggesting you don’t play, as much as I am suggesting that you don’t go spending your life savings in trying to become a millionaire.     THE COURSE Shinnecock Hills is a VERY hard and demanding course. My best guess is that about 20 golfers will be under par for the entire tournament. So, if you don’t have players who can be T20 or better, you probably are not going to win.   THE FIELD Dustin Johnson—No better player when he is playing at his best Rory McIlroy—The sharps in Vegas are fading him Justin Thomas—I will have about 20% exposure to him Jordan Spieth—His current form is awful, but do you really think he has a bad US Open? Jason Day—Love him and hope that he goes a bit under the radar Rickie Fowler—Just got engaged (Fade??) but loves the links style courses Justin Rose—Top current form on tour and I will own a lot of shares Jon Rahm—Will use sparingly Tiger Woods—If he can control his driver he will be playing late on Sunday Brooks Koepka—Wish there were more par 5’s on this course for him Hideki Matsuyama—Might be overlooked and could contend Henrik Stenson—Don’t trust him here. Prefer him in Europe. Sergio Garcia—Will fade Phil Mickelson—Will be under exposed, but he could surprise Patrick Reed—Masters winner could be a T10 here Branden Grace—Always seems to play well on links style courses     Others Who I Like a Lot to be in the Top 25: Tommy Fleetwood Paul Casey Patrick Cantlay Matt Kuchar Tony Finau Keegan Bradley Brandt Snedeker Jimmy Walker Louie Oosthuizen Marc Leishman Francisco Molinari Ian Poulter     Cheap Guys to fill out your rosters if you use stars and scrubs: E. Grillo Trey Mullinax S. Sharma L. Herbert S. Im R. Fox D. Burmeister   Good luck and I hope that a member of the Scout Army becomes my rich friend!      

Dr. Roto Podcast – Wednesday, May 30

Dr. Roto discusses strategy when it comes to cashing in PGA DFS while pointing out a few players to build your lineup around on DraftKings and FanDuel for this week’s Memorial Tournament!

Fort Worth Invitational – DraftKings PGA DFS

Brooks Koepka

Daily and weekly fantasy sports have become all the rage. Battling it out over an entire season is fun, but sites like DraftKings offer a quicker payoff and big payouts for winners! Not only do they offer daily action in the four major professional sports (MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL) as well as college basketball and football but also the PGA Tour. Your DraftKings lineup is made up of six golfers you select from within the $50,000 salary cap. Each week DraftKings offers a wide selection of games to enter at a variety of price points. You can even get a feel for the game in a freeroll contest. Before you put your cash on the line, I’ll offer my Top Values and Steals in this space every week, specifically geared to help build a winning DraftKings squad. I’ll also give you my Overpriced golfers to avoid and a couple of “Vegas Says…” tips to help you find those players for GPPs. Tournament Stop Let’s move on to the Fort Worth Invitational, which I’ll just call Colonial. Kevin Kisner is our defending champion, holding off Jordan Spieth and Jon Rahm a year ago. The venue is a narrow par-70 course which features many doglegs, overhanging trees, and other characteristics that will place a premium on ball placement and accuracy. Although it measures over 7,200 yards on the scorecard, the firm and windy conditions usually render this a ball-striker’s course. Most of the players in the field will be able to hit drives near 300 yards if the rain stays away. Accurate approach shots and elite scrambling should get the job done this week, and I’ll be targeting some of the usual suspects. Colonial features bentgrass greens, which means we should see plenty of putts falling this week. Guys are usually able to putt the lights out on pure, bentgrass greens. For course comparison, look at Valspar and RBC Heritage leaderboards, or just look at the same names that have popped up here over the past few seasons. Think more Zach Johnson, and less Dustin Johnson. I’m not huge into comparing courses, but you can look at the Valspar Championship and the RBC Heritage leaderboards to get an idea of what to expect this week. Recent Tournament History Colonial has been the longtime host of this event, so we have plenty of reliable data to look back upon. Here are the leaderboards from the last three installments of the Fort Worth Invitational at Colonial:     Current Form Review Each week, we’ll look backward at the last three tournaments on the PGA Tour. Here are the leaderboards from the past three stroke-play events: the Wells Fargo Championship, the Players Championship, and last week’s Byron Nelson. Statistical Report Strokes Gained Approach (SG:APP): There’s no denying that Colonial lends itself to ball-striking, as precise iron play into the green is a major factor. If a player is off by even a yard or two, they’ll face tough rough and bunkers, leading to bogeys. In terms of recent play, the players to target in strokes gained approach are Bryson DeChambeau, Joaquin Niemann, Jordan Spieth, J.J. Spaun, Emiliano Grillo, Tyler Duncan, Stewart Cink, Steve Stricker, Scott Piercy, and Webb Simpson. Strokes Gained Around-the-Green (SG:ARG): Because the green complexes are fairly small at Colonial, I’m adding extra emphasis on the short game. I want elite scramblers who can save pars when they miss approach shots. The best around-the-green players in recent weeks are Patrick Cantlay, Jonathan Byrd, Alex Cejka, Webb Simpson, Wesley Bryan, Jimmy Walker, Jim Furyk, Ben Crane, Louis Oosthuizen, and Ollie Schniederjans. Birdie or Better % (BoB%): There are really not many weeks where we aren’t going to target birdie or better percentage, because that’s what fantasy golf scoring is all about. This is a difficult course, but much of the fantasy scoring will come from birdies and occasional eagles. The best players in this field in recent birdie or better percentage are Jordan Spieth, Bryson DeChambeau, Aaron Wise, Jon Rahm, Justin Rose, Russell Henley, Jimmy Walker, Grayson Murray, and Chesson Hadley. Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green on Par-4s (SGT2G:P4): Par-4 scoring is always important, but I’m adding even more emphasis this week with strokes gained tee-to-green on par-4s. Colonial is a par-70, so there’s added emphasis on the par-4s. Some of the leaders in terms of strokes gained on par-4s over the last ten events are Patrick Cantlay, Pat Perez, Kevin Streelman, J.J. Spaun, Adam Scott, Grayson Murray, Jordan Spieth, Bryson DeChambeau, Rickie Fowler, and Sean O’Hair. Studs *In order of my rankings Jordan Spieth ($11,700) – Back to the well! I think most DFS players will go balanced this week, or take savings to start their teams with Rickie Fowler or Webb Simpson. That means that Spieth shouldn’t be over 25% owned, which is silly in a field like this. He loves Colonial, posting a win in 2016 and a runner-up last season. Spieth putts best on bentgrass greens, and hopefully the familiar surfaces will help him channel his success of the past. Even during these recent struggles, he continues to be one of the best tee-to-green players. Don’t give up yet. Jon Rahm ($11,000) – Rahm dazzled with a runner-up finish here last year, but there’s pause for concern. He chose to blast drivers around Colonial which is usually a bad plan, but he was dialed in with his wedges. This season, he’s struggled with irons and wedges, so I expect some regression. He had another bad weekend at TPC Sawgrass, and clearly needs to work on dialing back his game on these less-than-driver courses. But, Rahm has proven he’s a world-class player, so there wouldn’t be anyone surprised to see him winning on Sunday. Justin Rose ($10,600) – It’s strange to see Rose here, and it’s also strange to see him skipping the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth. Rose is one of Europe’s biggest stars, so it’s a gut-punch for them not to have him. However, Colonial fits his game well and he’s been trending towards a win all season.