NFL Player Prop Bets Week 1
Because there is little to go on, Week 1 is always the most difficult week to forecast. Both from a fantasy and betting perspective. Still, it’s one of the busiest slates, and our NFL Player Prop Bets Week 1 looks
Like forecasting, the early lines available have been erratic. They’ll stabilize once the season begins. For this week, we’re looking at touchdown player props that offer large returns. Just hitting one of these bets brings a huge return on investment.
Let’s take a look at some of those favorable NFL Player Prop Bets Week 1 to target on this glorious first weekend of football.
All lines courtesy of DraftKings.
Tom Brady (QB) Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Rush TD +800
Brady is famous for his one-yard QB dives into the end zone. He’s good for about three a year. There is a good chance he falls in for a score because he does it a handful of times every year. Despite his age, he continues to try the sneak on the goal line. Brady is also +8000 to punch in two scores.
Damien Williams (RB) Atlanta Falcons – Anytime TD +550
Everything we’ve heard out of Atlanta points to Williams having a shot to lead the Falcons in carries. However, the odds have Tyler Allgeier is the more likely to score a TD, which he is not. Williams will have a prominent role in this offense and has a shot at goal-line carries. Gambling on a pair of scores returns a huge +5500.
What other player props do we like this week?
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2022 Fantasy Football Busts
While it’s always popular to target fantasy football sleepers, avoiding those trap players is just as vital. FullTime’s 2022 fantasy football busts will help you avoid targeting those potential disappointments on the final draft weekend. In addition to helping you
In addition to helping you recognize specific players to draft or avoid, FullTime’s 2022 staff predictions and high-stakes advanced ADP are also valuable tools to utilize on draft day.
We’re finally into September and Week One can’t kick off soon enough! Here are our 2022 fantasy football busts to help you prepare for this final week before another glorious season of NFL football begins. Also, don’t forget to check out reigning No. 1 draft ranker Billy Muzio’s 2022 fantasy football fades 2.0.
Bookmark FullTime Fantasy’s Customizable 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings
Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) – Burrow is a great real-life quarterback, but is being overdrafted in fantasy leagues. He is going to run into three issues; the offensive scheme, an improved defense, and the division he plays in. The Bengals run a slow offense and with an improved defense will look to run even more this year, and being in the AFC North he will run into bad weather and grind it out games…
What other players should you avoid in 2022 fantasy football drafts?
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2022 Fantasy Football Team Outlooks
Welcome to our 2020 Fantasy Football Team Outlook series. Check out our statistical and in-depth analysis for EVERY player on EVERY NFL roster!
2022 Fantasy Strength of Schedule: QB
The 2022 quarterback group seems as deep as ever. This will lead to a lot of waiting to address the most important position. FullTime Fantasy’s 2022 Fantasy Strength of Schedule: QB tools can help give you a significant edge on draft day. Strength of schedule is an important tool in the arsenal of well-prepared fantasy football drafters. By knowing what players have easier schedules you’ll be able to make the hard decisions between multiple starters. It can be particularly useful in best ball, where the fantasy playoff slate is crucial. Here is the 2022 fantasy strength of schedule for QBs, with analysis on how it will impact fantasy football this season. Charts show average fantasy points allowed to QBs in 2021 Easiest QB Schedule Daniel Jones (New York Giants) – 2022 is a pivotal year for Jones. New York’s new regime declined the embattled signal caller’s option so he’s set to enter free agency next spring. If Jones is ever going to make it, now is the time. In addition to a solid supporting cast, the Giants have the league’s easiest schedule for a quarterback. Of course, Jones has not proven he can stay healthy, nor has he been a consistent NFL or fantasy option. New York’s porous offense line also doesn’t build confidence. Still. Jones has plus rushing ability and some fantasy upside but his value should be restricted to mediocre QB2 in Superflex formats. Jones and the Giants also boast the league’s easiest QB schedule in the playoff Weeks 14-17 for those of you in best-ball leagues. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) – Undoubtedly, Lawrence’s rookie campaign was a huge disappointment, which will make a lot of drafters avoid the sophomore signal caller. A lot of those first-year struggles can be attributed to the disastrous decision to hire Urban Meyer. With Meyer exiled and Doug Pederson now in town, Lawrence and the revamped Jaguars’ offense are looking up. Jacksonville spent big bringing in Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram. While we can’t project a rejuvenated Lawrence to compete for QB1 numbers, there’s enough potential there that we’re interested in him as a weekly streamer or solid QB2. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) – The Eagles and most of the fantasy world are all in on Hurts. In terms of pure fantasy points per game, Hurst was a top-10 option in 2021 and things should only get better in 2022. In addition to the shocking draft-day trade for A.J. Brown, Hurts also gets the third-easiest QB schedule. The slate looks particularly appealing down the stretch as the Eagles only face one team that ranked in the top-10 a year ago after the club’s Week 7 bye. There are still some experts skeptical of Hurts, but 2022 sets up to be a top-5 overall season. Russell Wilson (Denver Broncos) – Wilson was s top-5 fantasy quarterback in both 2019 and 2020 before missing four games in 2021. Now, he finds himself on a contending roster with a deep and talented supporting cast and elite offensive line. Additionally, Wilson should feast off of a schedule ranked 4th for quarterbacks and 5th in the playoffs (14-17). Wilson has worked all offseason with his new wideouts, who have a ton of potential. Jerry Jeudy is an elite route runner, while Courtland Sutton has the tools to excel outside. Regularly drafted outside of the top-10 in early ADP, Wilson looks poised to rebound in a big way. Jameis Winston (New Orleans Saints) – There are major red flags on Winston as a viable quarterback. Despite the nifty 14-3 TD-to-INT ratio in 2021, Winston had the lowest fantasy points per game number of his career. He also was held under 200 passing yards in five of his seven starts. Nine of those 13 TD tosses came in two games. Not to mention, Winston is also recovering from a torn ACL. Losing Sean Payton is also a major concern, but the Saints do have some intriguing weapons. Michael Thomas is back running routes and the addition of Jarvis Landry and first-round rookie Chris Olave gives New Orleans a deep and talented receiving corps. A top-5 schedule also awaits Winston, but fantasy drafters would be wise to approach with extreme caution. Most Difficult Schedules Zach Wilson (New York Jets) – No truth to the rumors that Wilson spent the offseason hiding out from Steve Stifler, but he remains a polarizing prospect. Accuracy was a big concern in Year One and will need to improve in a hurry for Wison’s career to stay (get) on track. Fortunately, there is some good news. The Jets have compiled some intriguing young skill position talent to surround Wilson. Elijah Moore is a favorite of the community and the 2022 NFL Draft brought even more reinforcements. The Jets nabbed Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall, but they’ll need Wilson to play far better. Unfortunately, that may be difficult in 2022 as Wilson faces the league’s toughest QB schedule. Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) – Clearly we’re not fading Lamar Jackson this year. He’s simply got too much upside. However, it will be interesting to see how the muscle Jackson reportedly added this offseason affects his game. 2022 is also a contract season for Jackson, who is poised to command the highest quarterback contract in the NFL next year. Overall, the Ravens have the second most difficult schedule for their quarterbacks. In addition to six games against the tough AFC North foes, Jackson will face seven opponents that allowed 17 or fewer fantasy points to the position last season. Jackson is an obvious QB1 but being wary of a tough schedule might help undecided fantasy managers choose between Jackson or players with an easier slate. Like Russell Wilson, Jalen Hurts, or even Tom Brady. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) – Speaking of elite passers with a tough slate, Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid will have to revamp the Kanas City offense without Tyreek Hill. Mahomes should be fine the schedule is another reason to be wary. Mahomes is expected to be more of a dink-and-dunk passer in 2022. The Chiefs also have a
Fantasy Football News & Notes
It might only be the beginning of summer but there are plenty of fantasy football news & notes brewing. Staying up-to-date on these happenings is an important part of being prepared. Our customizable 2022 fantasy football rankings are constantly being updated as news breaks on and off the field. The FullTime Fantasy Podcast is also an integral part of the process. Here are some of the current NFL happening that the well-informed fantasy football fan should be aware of this week. 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings Update Our initial rankings have been published for a while but part of maintaining solid projections is constant updates. Be assured that this is part of the process, as the FullTime staff is in constant communication and working together to present the most accurate rankings available anywhere. Here are some of the big movers in our projections from early July and other fantasy-relevant news & notes. Quarterbacks Baker Mayfield (Carolina Panthers) – The Panthers sent a conditional fifth-round pick to Cleveland for the disgruntled former starter. This is a great deal all around for both squads, but especially for Carolina. Mayfield now comes in as our QB16 while Sam Darnold has been relegated back to anonymity. Mayfield is a significant upgrade for all of Carolina’s receivers. Especially Rashard Higgins, who had a solid rapport with Baker in Cleveland. D.J Moore is now right outside WR1 territory. Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) – We’ve been 2-3 spots higher on Prescott than the general consensus. Prescott had his best season as a passer in 2021 and finished as the overall No. 7 QB. That production came with his worst showing on the ground- running for a career-low 146 yards and one score. A year removed from surgery and reportedly in the best shape of his life, Prescott should contend for top-5 fantasy numbers. Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns) – It is almost certain that Watson will be suspended for a minimum of one year, so he’s been removed from our projections. Jacoby Brissett is now Cleveland’s presumptive starter but that’s a downgrade for most of the Browns’ pass catchers. Jameis Winston (New Orleans Saints) – Winston was able to make some throws without a brace on his injured knee this week. While that is an encouraging development, Winston continues to be a big fade for me. Check out the FullTime Fantasy Podcast for some of my reasons why I’m avoiding the Saints’ signal-caller in 2022. Running Backs Alvin Kamara (New Orleans Saints) – Pro Football Talk indicated that the Saints are expecting a suspension of “at least” six games for their star running back. Kamara was arrested and faces charges in an assault case from this year’s Pro Bowl. The hearing was moved to August 1st, so we may have more clarity before the draft season really kicks off. for now, Kamara looks like a fade, while Mark Ingram could be poised to be an excellent late-round target. Cam Akers (Los Angeles Rams) – Akers continues to be a guy I’m fading because I just don’t see him producing many touchdowns with his minimal red-zone contributions. He also looked awful in the postseason. Granted, he’ll be healthier entering 2022, but the addition of WR Allen Robinson and RB Kyren Williams are also factors. I’m very interested to see how many looks Williams gets this summer and to see if Sean McVay gives Akers those valuable red-zone looks. For now, I’m approaching with extreme caution. Ronald Jones (Kansas City Chiefs) – There was a report that Jones is a legitimate contender to lead the Cheifs in carries but we remain skeptical. Jones didn’t attract much attention on the open market and had to settle for a one-year deal with the Chiefs. Part of the problem is that Jones is prone to mistakes, fumbles, and is a poor receiver. That doesn’t sound like the kind of back that will thrive in Andy Reid’s system. For now, we expect Reid to employ a frustrating committee that will be led by Clyde Edwards-Helaire. I suppose there is little downside to targeting Jones at his current ADP but he remains pretty low for now until we see how things shake out in August. Wide Receivers Mike Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) – It is looking more likely that Chris Godwin is going to open the season on the PUP list. Then, TE Rob Gronkowski announced his retirement. That means Evan, who has caught 27 touchdowns from QB Tom Brady in the past two seasons, is poised to see an even larger target share. Evans now comes in as our WR5, while Davante Adams slides down to WR7. Michael Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) – With some adjustments, Pittman has moved into our top 10. Last year, Pittman ran the third-highest route rate of any wideout and boasted an impressive 1.95 yards per route run. Plus, the addition of QB Matt Ryan can’t be understated. From 2008-2020, the No. 1 receiver in a Ryan-led offense averaged over 159 targets. Pittman checks all the boxes to be this season’s third-year WR breakout, and we’re all-in. Jaylen Waddle (Miami Dolphins) – I’m interested to see how the Dolphins divide up targets this summer. For now, I’m cool on Waddle because I don’t see any way that QB Tua Tagovailoa can support a pair of WR2s. Miami brought in Tyreek Hill and Cedrick Wilson who combined to command some 221 targets in 2021. Additionally, the club signed RB Chase Edmonds to take more ‘safety valve’ targets away from Waddle. I was impressed with Waddle’s rookie campaign, but with it being some volume-driven, I’m skeptical if he can repeat it. Rondale Moore (Arizona Cardinals) – Math indicated I’m back for another run at my boy Rondale. The formula Christian Kirk + the league’s 8th-highest slot rate – DeAndre Hopkins for 6 games = Moore sophomore breakout. TIL there are a significant portion of fantasy football leagues that didn’t have Rondale Moore rostered in Week 2 and I’m all kinds of hurt/bitter/concerned. Like- do you even read what I’ve written? pic.twitter.com/5akX6JMskn — #TagsStrong💪#SFB12 (@JodySmithNFL) September 23, 2021 If you have time to prepare, make
2022 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
FullTime Fantasy presents our 2020 Fantasy Football Draft Kit that will have you DOMINATING your competition all season long!
2022 Fantasy Free Agency Tracker (Player Movement)
Welcome to the 2022 fantasy Player Movement tracker! Get up to date with everything that’s gone on this off-season. The list below is fantasy friendly, if you want the deep dive full list by position, check out our Player Movement on FFToolbox. Our fantasy Depth Charts are always kept up to date. Also check out our free-agent rankings for QB, RB, WR, and TE. THIS LIST WILL BE CONTINUOUSLY UPDATED Quarterbacks Deshaun Watson – Cleveland Browns (via trade) Russell Wilson – Denver Broncos (via trade) Matt Ryan – Indianapolis Colts (via trade) Carson Wentz – Washington Commanders (via trade) Jameis Winston – New Orleans Saints – re-signed 2 year/$28M Marcus Mariota – Atlanta Falcons – 2 years/ Mitchell Trubisky – Pittsburgh Steelers – 2 years/$14.25M Teddy Bridgewater – Miami Dolphins – 1 year Andy Dalton – New Orleans Saints – 1 year/$6M Case Keenum – Buffalo Bills (via trade) Tyrod Taylor – New York Giants – 2 years/$11M Drew Lock – Seattle Seahawks (via trade) Jacoby Brissett – Cleveland Browns – 1 year/ Trevor Siemian -Chicago Bears – 2 years/ Kyle Allen – Houston Texans – 1 year/$2.5M Matt Barkley – Buffalo Bills – one year/ Blaine Gabbert – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Josh Johnson Denver Broncos – Nick Mullens – Las Vegas Raiders – 1 year/ Garrett Gilbert – Las Vegas Radiers – Running Backs James Conner – Arizona Cardinals – re-signed 3 years/$21M Leonard Fournette – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – re-signed 3 years/$21M Rashaad Penny – Seattle Seahawks – re-signed 1 year/$5.75M Chase Edmonds – Miami Dolphins – 2 years/$12.6M Cordarrelle Patterson – Atlanta Falcons – re-signed 2 years/$10.5M Ronald Jones – Kansas City Chiefs – 1 yea J.D. McKissic – Washington Commanders- re-signed 2 years/$7M Raheem Mostert – Miami Dolphins – 1 year/$3.125M Marlon Mack – Houston Texans Duke Johnson – Buffalo Bills – 1 year/ Damien Williams – Atlanta Falcons -1 year/ D’Onta Foreman – Carolina Panthers – 1 year/$2M Dontrelle Hilliard – Tennessee Titans – re-signed Brandon Bolden – Las Vegas Raiders – Matt Breida – New York Giants – Jeff Wilson – San Francisco 49ers – re-signed Giovani Bernard – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – re-signed – 1 year/ Ty Montgomery – New England Patriots 2 years/$4M Ameer Abdullah – Las Vegas Raiders – Dare Ogunbowale – Houston Texans – 2 years/$3.3M Trenton Cannon – Tennessee Titans – Alec Ingold – Miami Dolphins – 2 7ears/$7.5M Mekhi Sargent – Jacksonville Jaguars – 1 year/ Andy Janovich – Houston Texans – 1 year/ Jakob Johnson – Las Vegas Raiders – 1 year/ Wide Receivers Davante Adams – Las Vegas Raiders (via trade); 5 years/$141M extension Tyreek Hill – Miami Dolphins (via trade); 4 years/$120M Amari Cooper – Cleveland Browns (via trade) Robert Woods – Tennessee Titans (via trade) Devante Parker – New England Patriots (via trade) Allen Robinson – Los Angeles Rams – 3 years/$45M Juju Smith-Schuster – Kansas City Chiefs 1 year/$10.75M Christian Kirk – Jacksonville Jaguars – 4 years/$72M Russell Gage – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 3 years/$30M Cedrick Wilson – Miami Dolphins – 3 years/$22.8M D.J. Chark – Detroit Lions – 1 year/$10M Marquez Valdes-Scantling – Kansas City Chiefs – 3 years/$30M Jamison Crowder – Buffalo Bills – 1 year/$4M Braxton Berrios – New York Jets – re-signed 2 years/$12M Zay Jones – Jacksonville Jaguars – 3 years/$30M James Washington – Dallas Cowboys – 1 year/ Tre’Quan Smith – New Orleans Saints – 2 years/$6M Jakeem Grant – Chicago Bears – 3 years/$13.8M Byron Pringle – Chicago Bears – 1 year/$4M Laquon Treadwell – Jacksonville Jaguars – Damiere Byrd – Atlanta Falcons – 1 year/ Zach Pascal – Philadelphia Eagles – 1 year/ Demarcus Robinson – Las Vegas Raiders – 1 year/ Trent Sherfield – Miami Dolphins – 1 year/ Richie James – New York Giants – 1 year/ Preston Williams – Miami Dolphins – re-signed – 1 year/ up to 1.99M Equanimeous St. Brown – Chicago Bears – Auden Tate – Atlanta Falcons – 1 year/ Khadarel Hodge – Atlanta Falcons – 1 year/ Ray-Ray McCloud – San Francisco 49ers – 2 years/ Daesean Hamilton – Houston Texans – 1 year/ Stanley Morgan Jr. – Cincinnati Bengals – re-signed 2 years/ Gunner Olszewski – Pittsburgh Steelers – 2 years/ Corey Coleman – Kansas City Chiefs – 1 year/ Tight Ends Dalton Schultz – Dallas Cowboys – re-signed 1 year/$10.9M Mike Gesicki – Miami Dolphins – re-signed 1 year/$10.8M Evan Engram – Jacksonville Jaguars – 1 year/$9M Gerald Everett – Los Angeles Chargers 2 years/$12M Austin Hooper – Tennessee Titans – 1 year/$6M C.J. Uzomah – New York Jets – 3 years/$2 Hayden Hurst – Cincinnati Bengals – Robert Tonyan – Green Bay Packers – re-signed 1 year/$3.75M Ricky Seals-Jons – New York Giants Tyler Conklin – New York Jets – O.J. Howard – Buffalo Bills – one year/$3.5M Eric Tomlinson – Denver Broncos – 1 year/ Jacob Hollister – Las Vegas Raiders – 1 year/ Garrett Griffin – Detroit Lions – J.P. Holtz – New Orleans Saints – Johnny Mundt – Minnesota Vikings – Place Kickers Nick Folk – New England Patriots – re-signed 2 years/$5M Younghoe Koo – Atlanta Falcons – re-signed 5 years/$24.25M Randy Bullock – Tennessee Titans – re-signed Chris Naggar – Dallas Cowboys – Greg Zuerlein – New York Jets – 1 year/ Eddy Pineiro – New York Jets – 1 year/$2.4M March Madness is here! Don’t forget to join our free-to-play Vegas Whispers Bracket Challenge to win your choice of 1 year of Vegas Whispers Betting (valued $360) or 3 years of Fulltime Fantasy Premium. (valued $350).
Fantasy Football Trade Targets: Running Backs
There is no offseason in dynasty football. In fact, the lull between the Super Bowl and the upcoming NFL Draft is the perfect time to improve your roster by trading for under-valued players and parting with declining assets. Before you can maximize your return on investment, it is important to know which players to sell high on and which players make savvy trade targets. In Part 3 of our dynasty fantasy football trade targets series, we will focus on running backs. Be sure to also check out our look at tight ends and quarterbacks. Buy Low Christian McCaffrey (Carolina Panthers) – A ton of dynasty insiders are recommending now is the ideal time so “sell” McCaffrey after another injury-marred season. If you’re a fantasy manager with a contending roster, take advantage of the potential market. Despite the shortened season, McCaffrey still looked like one of the best backs in the league, ranking 2nd in yards per route run and 5th with 18.2 PPR points per game. Winning championships comes with an acceptable amount of risk-reward. If your roster is an elite RB away from seriously contending, see if you can sell a first in this underwhelming rookie class and acquire a player with true difference-making ability. Khalil Herbert (Chicago Bears) – Although stuck behind incumbent starter David Montgomery, Herbert performed well in a featured role last season. When Montgomery was sidelined from Weeks 5-8, Herbert averaged 97 scrimmage yards per game with a pair of contests producing north 0f 18 PPR points. The sixth-round rookie also outperformed Montgomery in several advanced metrics. EVADED TACKLE/ATT YDS CREATED/ATT BREAKAWAY RATE PPR PTS/ATT PLAYER YPC YDS/TGT JUKE RATE Khalil Herbert 4.2 6 28.20% 0.32 2.21 3.9% 0.66 David Montgomery 3.77 5.9 24% 0.28 2.08 3.1% 0.71 Montgomery is also in the final year of his rookie contract, meaning he’s set to enter free agency after the 2022 season. While Montgomery is still the back to target in 2022 redraft leagues, it’s not inconceivable that the new regime will let Montgomery walk if they feel Herbert, who is younger, cheaper, and looked quite promising in 2021, can be an effective option. That makes Herbert an intriguing dynasty buy who can probably be acquired as a trade throw-in. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) – With Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones set to enter unrestricted free agency, Vaughn is currently the only running back under contract in Tampa Bay. Upon Tom Brady’s retirement, we may see the Bucs choose to go full rebuild. That would mean little to no money spent on a position like running back, which would give Vaughn a legitimate shot at entering camp as the starter. Although a bust through his first two seasons, Vaughn did produce 13-plus PPR points and score a touchdown in three of Tampa’s final four games when finally given double-digit touches. He also posted an impressive 89.1 Elusive Rating at PFF- 14th among all running backs. Eno Benjamin (Arizona Cardinals) – Like the Buccaneers, Arizona’s top two running backs are currently unrestricted free agents. That leaves Benjamin as the only running back on the roster. The 2020 seventh-rounder only got 40 touches last season but looked decent in Week 18 when thrust into action. He also showed promise as a pass-catcher, where he was graded out at 83.3 by Pro Football Focus, the No. 5 receiving grade among all running backs. Benjamin is also probably widely available on the waiver wire, making him the ideal no-risk acquisition. Sell High Cordarrelle Patterson (Atlanta Falcons) – After a mostly middling career as a wideout, Atlanta unlocked the secret to Patterson’s first-round pedigree by moving him almost full-time into the backfield. That resulted in a career-best season out of Patterson, who accumulated 1,166 scrimmage yards and 11 TDs. But now 31 and set to enter free agency, there is no guarantee that Patterson will continue to be utilized in such a prominent role, particularly if he signs with a new team. Further, Patterson ranked just 46th in juke rate and breakaway rate while ranking 5th in fantasy points per opportunity. Those aren’t sustainable figures and paint the picture of a “one-hit wonder” type of performance. Aaron Jones (Green Bay Packers) – Jones just restructured his contract so he’ll be back in Green Bay for at least one more season, but he doesn’t even look like the best back on the team. That honor goes to A.J. Dillon, who began to take over a bigger share of the touches in the second half of last season. Dillon averaged 14.6 PPR points per game in Green Bay’s final nine contests and was given the third-highest rushing grade overall by PFF. Dillon also had more red-zone rushing yards (112) and touchdowns (5) than Jones (92,4). At 6-feet at 247 pounds, that’s a role Dillon should continue to be featured in. With the status of QB Aaron Rodgers also up in the air, now is a good time to see what Jones can bring in return. Alvin Kamara (New Orleans Saints) – Mired with the worst salary cap situation in the league, breaking in a new coach, and missing a legitimate quarterback, the Saints could be in for a precipitous fall. While that alone is a poor situation for a starting running back, Kamara also could be facing severe consequences for a battery charge incurred at the Pro Bowl. This could include a rather length suspension even if the case is settled before the summer. There’s just an awful lot of risk involved with Kamara right now and if you can get anywhere near his value to a desperate league-mate, it might be a good time to move on from a potential headache.
Fantasy Football Trade Targets: Tight Ends
Complacency is not a desirable trait in fantasy football, particularly in dynasty formats. The weeks after the Super Bowl and before the NFL Draft are prime times to shore up rosters by sending out trade offers. Knowing which players make solid value buys and which are at or near their peak values is integral towards shoring up your roster in the offseason. After already breaking down quarterbacks to target, here are the tight ends that dynasty fantasy football enthusiasts should consider buying or selling in the early part of the 2022 season. Buy Low Kyle Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) – “Buy Low” is a bit of a misconception, here. Pitts is generally considered the top tight end in dynasty formats but off the heels of a disappointing one-score showing, do your due diligence and see if the manager in your league that invest the 1.03 or 1.04 on Pitts last spring is willing to listen to offers. Even if you’re paying the fair-market value for Pitts, he’s a player you want to try to target if at all possible. Irv Smith Jr. (Minnesota Vikings) – A popular breakout candidate last summer, Smith missed the entire 2021 campaign with a knee injury. With Smith absent, Tyler Conklin managed to haul in 61-of-87 targets and produce a solid TE17 showing. Smith offers far more downfield ability and scoring upside than Conklin, and with the Vikings’ offense returning mostly intact, Smith will once again offer TE2 value and his price should be steeply discounted. Cameron Brate (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) – With both Rob Gronkowski and O.J. Howard slated to hit free agency, Brate currently sits atop Tampa’s depth chart. Brate easily surpassed Howard in the pecking order last year and posted a respectable 30/245/4 line as the No. 2 tight end. Tampa’s roster is loaded with skill-position talent that could depart this offseason, so there’s a chance Brate could be in-line for a fairly significant role in 2022. Blake Jarwin (Dallas Cowboys) – Injuries have torpedoed each of Jarwin’s last two seasons but with Dalton Schultz currently set to break the bank as our top-ranked free-agent tight end, there’s a small chance Jarwin reclaims the starting job in Dallas. Schultz is also a candidate for the franchise tag, but he’s essentially free right now, and acquiring him wouldn’t involve much dynasty capital. Sell High Travis Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) – Kelce’s run as the undisputed No. 1 PPR tight end came to an end in 2021, with Mark Andrews taking top honors. As good as Kelce has been, it would be unprecedented for a tight end that will be 33 in October to continue to put up elite numbers. There is a notable drop-off in production for most tight ends when they turn 32, and Kelce’s receiving yards, yards per catch, and fantasy points per game figures from 2021 were his lowest in five years. Having Kelce as your fantasy starter has been a cheat code for most of eight seasons, but father time catches up to everyone, even the goats. Dynasty managers would be wise to be proactive now while Kelce will still bring a considerable asset haul. Hunter Henry (New England Patriots) – Among top-10 PPR tight ends from 2021, Henry had the fewest targets (75), yards (603), and receptions (55.) A full 32.8% of Henry’s total points came from his nine touchdown grabs. That’s not a sustainable number in a low-volume New England passing attack that should look vastly different sans Josh McDaniels. Among tight ends last season, Henry ranked 6th with 17 red-zone targets and second with 12 looks in the end zone. Even a small correction, which should be expected, could cause Henry’s fantasy production to drop precipitously. C.J. Uzomah (Cincinnati Bengals) – Uzomah had a career-best showing in 2021 but still only posted overall TE19 numbers. While an appearance in the Super Bowl is fresh on the minds of many football fans, Uzomah will likely fetch more in return than he will this summer. A free-agent who just turned 29, the Bengals will have no trouble finding a better option via the draft or could simply choose to push forward with Drew Sample, who was the club’s second-round selection three seasons ago.
Week 17: Def vs WR Matchups Report (yardage allowed to WR1s, WR2s, WR3s)
This Fantasy Football tool shows you how well (or how poorly) each pass defense is performing against each position this NFL season.