Week 2 NFL Player Props: CeeDee Lamb, Brian Robinson Lead The Way!
Week 2 NFL Player Props Week 1 is in the books and if you read this column, you had a very profitable week! Last week, our picks absolutely crushed with a 6-1 record! And with multiple units on Brian Robinson Jr., we are up 4.85 Units to begin the 2023 NFL season. Let’s see if we can keep the momentum going with our Week 2 NFL Player Props. Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 2 NFL Player Props! Joe Burrow OVER 231.5 Passing Yards (-110) It appears everyone is jumping off the Joey B train and even with Tee Higgins looking questionable to suit up, I still think Burrow is poised for a bounceback effort against Cincinnati’s rivals, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. In Week 1, Burrow struggled against the New England Patriots, completing a solid 21 of 29 passes but for a measly 164 passing yards and 0 touchdowns. That didn’t cut it against New England and that definitely won’t cut it against the defending champs. With another week of practice with Ja’Marr Chase after his “hold in” and more reps with rookie Andreis Iosivas and Jermaine Burton, expect Burrow to get back on track and show us a different Bengals team in Week 2. Including the postseason, Joey B is 3-1 against the Chiefs over his career. And in his two regular season games against Kansas City, Burrow is averaging a whopping 366 passing yards per game with a monumental 78.6 completion percentage and a perfect six-touchdown-to-zero-interception ratio. If there was any matchup I thought would help Burrow get out of his rut, it’s this one against a team that seems to bring out the best in him. Look for the Burrow-Chase connection to be very strong in Week 2. Perhaps something similar to the Lamar Jackson-Isaiah Likely connection the Chiefs struggled to contain in their season-opening victory. This line is simply way too low so smash the over with multiple units. Brian Robinson Jr. OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards (-115) I’ve been very high on B-Rob the past year and he cashed in last week in Washington’s debut against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Although he was mostly bottled up, he still surpassed his rushing yards line and managed to punch in a touchdown. This week, the young stud faces a New York Giants run defense that was dominated by Minnesota’s Aaron Jones in Week 1 to the tune of 94 yards on just 14 carries. In three of four games against the Giants in his career, Robinson has eclipsed this line, averaging 14.5 carries for 70.3 rushing yards per game. New York surrendered the fourth-most rushing yards in the NFL last season and Week 1 did not indicate that they made enough improvements in that aspect of the game to change that trend based on Aaron Jones’ success running in the trenches. Whether or not the Commanders jump out to a big lead or not (though I think they will), game flow should favor Robinson. The Commanders will continue to rely heavily on the rushing game even after Jayden Daniels’ impressive debut. Robinson should continue to see a big workload despite Austin Ekeler’s presence and Daniels’ propensity to run. B-Rob will continue to be a Giants killer. Smash the Over. Jonathan Taylor Anytime Touchdown (+115) A running back who dominated 100% of the team’s carries in Week 1 at even money or better? That’s a jackpot, especially on a squad projected to score 21.5 points. JT was the undisputed workhorse in Week 1, handling all 16 running back carries, turning them into 48 yards, and punching in a touchdown from the 5-yard line. Sure, Anthony Richardson may vulture some goal-line glory, but Shane Steichen knows he’s got to protect his rookie QB from unnecessary hits this season if the Colts have any shot at winning this competitive division, especially after seeing what happened to Tua Tagovailoa on Thursday Night Football. The stars are aligning for Taylor in this looming matchup against a Packers defense fresh off a trip to Brazil, where they got gashed for 144 rushing yards and surrendered two rushing scores. Whether this game turns into a nail-biter or the Packers’ Malik Willis stumbles and the Colts grab the lead, both scenarios scream: run the ball with Taylor! I’m expecting a ton of volume and a breakout performance from the former Wisconsin man in Week 2. And here’s the kicker—when guys like Saquon Barkley have odds as short as -210 for a TD, getting Taylor at +115 feels like highway robbery. If Taylor finds the end zone again this week, expect those odds to shrink fast. Get in while the getting’s good! Stefon Diggs UNDER 57.5 Receiving Yards (-110) After Diggs’ modest six-catch, 33-yard performance (though he did score two touchdowns), the sportsbooks are starting to adjust. But not quite enough! Diggs is still a crucial piece of the Texans’ offense. He’s great at working the short and intermediate routes, and he’s become their go-to guy near the goal line. He’s perfectly fine stacking up those short catches like coins in a piggy bank. However, his longest grab in Week 1 was just 10 yards. To put that in perspective, the Bears managed to keep Will Levis’ longest completion to 15 yards, and even Calvin Ridley— the Titans’ top receiver—was held to 50 yards. And Diggs simply isn’t the deep-ball threat that he was in Buffalo or Minnesota. But let’s be real, C.J. Stroud and the Texans’ offense are a much scarier beast, with two other top-notch receiving options and a strong run game to boot. If Diggs stays heavily involved, I’m expecting a similar performance as Week 1 in which he’ll manage to catch five or six balls for 40 or 50 yards. Keep an eye on those shorter routes and goal-line targets—he’ll be busy! Just not
Week 1 NFL Player Props: Malik Nabers Leads the Way
Week 1 NFL Player Props Week 1 is officially underway and it’s that time of week to start pinpointing the best prop bets to exploit heading into Sunday’s slate of action. Last season, this column resulted in +12.6 Units so let’s have another profitable season. Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 1 NFL Player Props to target! Jared Goff OVER 265.5 Passing Yards (-114) Goff topped this line in each of his previous five games of the 2023 season, including in the Wild Card Round against these very same Los Angeles Rams in which he tallied 277 passing yards. With Amon-Ra St. Brown, a healthy Jameson Williams, Sam Laporta, and even Kalif Raymond, the sky is the limit for these Lions. Especially with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery in the backfield. Goff finished the 2023 campaign second in passing yards (4,575) and his home/away splits are eye-popping. He completed over 70% of his pass attempts with a 19:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 107.9 QBR at home. On the road, it was a different story as the signal caller completed just 64.8% of his throws with an 11:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and an 89.5 QBR. Against the Rams, the Lions will surely run the ball but given the weapons at Goff’s disposal, I think he’ll clear this line easily on his home turf. Expect at least one deep connection to Jameson Williams while St. Brown and Laporta will be peppered with targets. Smash the Over. Jordan Love OVER 255.5 Passing Yards (-110) WIN After his breakout season, Jordan Love is set to kick off this campaign against an Eagles team getting a ton of buzz for upgrading its secondary. However, that secondary was the league’s second-worst pass defense in 2023. And although the Eagles snagged two corners with their first two picks, I’m not so sure that they’ll be able to stick with Green Bay’s electric playmakers on the outside in Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, and even Luke Musgrave. If the Packers want to remain competitive in their season opener, the secondary is the area of the field that Love will need to exploit. Philly also swapped out Hassan Reddick for Michael Huff, but their front seven remains largely the same — a group that finished 10th in rushing defense last season. So, the ground game might be tough sledding, which means Love and his receivers will have the best shot moving the ball through the air. Love was a machine late last season, averaging 271 passing yards over his final nine regular season games, throwing for 255+ yards in seven of them. And while RB Josh Jacobs will get his touches, don’t be surprised if some of those handoffs turn into screen passes or dump-offs to keep the Eagles’ fierce front seven on their heels — boosting Love’s yardage even more. Brian Robinson Jr. OVER 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115) WIN Here’s a line that stands out — and not in a good way! It’s set way too low for a clear RB1 like Brian Robinson Jr. Let me break it down: Robinson is the main guy for the Commanders, handling the bulk of the carries. Meanwhile, Austin Ekeler, as talented as he is, plays more of a third-down role, meaning he’s not going to be pounding the rock a ton. Now, even if Robinson isn’t super efficient — let’s say he averages just 3.0 yards per carry — with the kind of volume he’s likely to get (around 13 carries), he’ll still end up pushing past 40 yards. So don’t let a low line fool you! I’ll be wagering multiple units on this one. James Conner OVER 12.5 Rushing Attempts (-120) WIN Get ready for a wild ride because I’m all in on the Cardinals surprising everyone this season! This bet is all about believing in them to rise above expectations. The Cardinals are 6.5-point underdogs heading into Buffalo, and if the Bills completely steamroll them, sure, this might not hit. But I think the Cardinals can hang tough! Last season, James Conner cleared 12.5 rush attempts in 9 of his 13 games. And the only times he didn’t? Those were brutal losses by 19, 14, 23, and 11 points. As long as Arizona doesn’t get blown out, Conner will be fed the ball. Rookie Trey Benson? He’s probably only getting a couple of carries, leaving Conner as the workhorse. So, unless this game turns into a total rout, expect Conner to smash that 12.5-rush-attempt mark! Blake Corum UNDER 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-120) Do we truly think Sean McVay is going to cut back Kyren Williams‘s workload that much? Perhaps later in the season but seven carries for a backup running back still seems like a lot. Especially given that the Lions are favored, the Rams may have to throw the ball late to complete a comeback. This game’s got the highest total of the week at 50.5, so we’re probably in for an exciting, pass-heavy shootout. With all that action, it’s hard to imagine Blake Corum — in his first game — squeezing in seven rush attempts. It’s going to be all about the air show in this one! Nico Collins OVER 65.6 Receiving Yards (-120) WIN Get ready for a big game from Collins! That standout receiver was the third-best in 2023 according to PFF. Sure, Stefon Diggs might take a chunk of the targets, but you can’t overlook what Collins did against Indy last season. He torched them, clearing 100 yards in both matchups, including a jaw-dropping 195-yard performance in Week 18! And it’s not just the Colts. Collins hit this yardage mark in eight games last season when he played over 60% of snaps. And the Colts’ defense hasn’t exactly leveled up. PFF ranked them 21st in coverage. Additionally, two of their worst games were against Houston. Now,