2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Betting Odds: Fernando Mendoza Massive Favorite

2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Betting Odds: Fernando Mendoza Massive Favorite Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X With the Seattle Seahawks dominant Super Bowl LX victory in the books, it is now time for NFL fans and fantasy football managers to turn their attention to the 2026 NFL Draft. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, finished up +21.23 units on the 2025 NFL season! History tells us that quarterbacks typically have an advantage over other positions when it comes to being the top overall draft pick. Dating back to 2000, 19 quarterbacks have been selected No. 1 overall in the NFL draft. Quarterbacks selected No. 1 overall (2000–2025): 2001: Michael Vick (Falcons) 2002: David Carr (Texans) 2003: Carson Palmer (Bengals) 2004: Eli Manning (Chargers, traded to Giants) 2005: Alex Smith (49ers) 2007: JaMarcus Russell (Raiders) 2009: Matthew Stafford (Lions) 2010: Sam Bradford (Rams) 2011: Cam Newton (Panthers) 2012: Andrew Luck (Colts) 2015: Jameis Winston (Buccaneers) 2016: Jared Goff (Rams) 2018: Baker Mayfield (Browns) 2019: Kyler Murray (Cardinals) 2020: Joe Burrow (Bengals) 2021: Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) 2023: Bryce Young (Panthers) 2024: Caleb Williams (Bears) 2025: Cam Ward (Titans) Travon Walker (2022, Jaguars), Myles Garrett (2017, Browns), Jadeveon Clowney (2014, Texans), Mario Williams (2006, Texans) and Courtney Brown (2000, Browns) are the only defensive players to earn the distinguished honor over that span. On the offensive side of the ball, Eric Fisher (2013, Chiefs) and Jake Long (2008, Dolphins) are the only non-quarterback players to get tabbed No. 1 overall. The draft order for the first 30 picks are set ahead of #SBLX. NFL Scouting Combine: February 23 – March 2 (Indianapolis, IN) NFL Draft: April 23-25 (Pittsburgh, PA) pic.twitter.com/ED8GcdeMfJ — NFL Football Operations (@NFLFootballOps) January 26, 2026 As of now, the betting market for the 2026 NFL Draft’s No. 1 overall pick lists Indiana star signal-caller Fernando Mendoza as the top overall betting favorite at prohibitive odds of -7000. Current No. 1 Overall Betting Odds (DraftKings) Fernando Mendoza (QB, Indiana): -10000 Trinidad Chambliss (QB, Ole Miss): +4500 Rueben Bain Jr. (EDGE, Miami): +5000 Arvell Reese (LB/EDGE, Ohio State): +6000 Ty Simpson (QB, Alabama): +9000 Jordyn Tyson (WR, Arizona State): +10000 Keldric Faulk (DE, Auburn): +12000 David Bailey (LB, EDGE, South Carolina): +12000 Carnell Tate (WR, Ohio State): +12000 Caleb Downs (S, Ohio State): +12000 Overwhelming Prohibitive Betting Favorite QB, Fernando Mendoza (Indiana) The Heisman Trophy winner led Indiana to a historic national championship season. Mendoza’s 6-5, 225 lbs frame, combined with his accuracy, arm talent, and leadership have many pundits and oddsmakers convinced that the Las Vegas Raiders will select him first overall. New head coach Klint Kubiak’s biggest focus will be re-building a Raiders offense that finished last in total offense and scoring. In his first season with the Silver and Black veteran QB Geno Smith was a complete bust, throwing a league-high 17 interceptions. We will have a full breakdown of the fantasy impact of Mendoza joining a Raiders offense that already consists of young studs Ashton Jeanty and Brock Bowers here at Fulltime Fantasy leading up to the NFL Draft! The Raiders’ offense could look scary next season under new HC Klint Kubiak AND the No. 1 overall pick in the draft 😈 Will they select the Heisman and Natty winner Fernando Mendoza to team up with Ashton Jeanty and Brock Bowers? 🎰 pic.twitter.com/iNI3acR79d — Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) February 9, 2026 Respected Money Betting Breakdown Even if the Raiders trade the No. 1 overall pick to QB-needy teams like the Jets or Cardinals, Mendoza will still be the top pick, resulting in poor standalone betting value. The overwhelming prohibitive odds of -10000 make any investment involving Mendoza in this market, even as a leg in parlay investments a hard pass. We will have better spots to make NFL Draft investments in the weeks leading up to the 2026 NFL Draft which will take place on April 23. Be sure to be a Fulltime Fantasy premium subscriber! Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
2025 NFL Draft Order (Updated)

2025 NFL Draft Order Fantasy football has evolved into a 24/7, 365-day hobby. As one season ends, fantasy fanatics are already looking ahead to the next draft season. Knowing the 2025 NFL Draft Order is a good starting place before you begin prepping for the NFL Scouting Combine and dynasty draft season. Tennessee Titans Cleveland Browns New York Giants New England Patriots Jacksonville Jaguars Las Vegas Raiders New York Jets Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints Chicago Bears San Francisco 49ers Dallas Cowboys Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts Atlanta Falcons Arizona Cardinals Cincinnati Bengals Seattle Seahawks Tampa Bay Buccaneers Denver Broncos Pittsburgh Steelers Los Angeles Chargers Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings Houston Texans Los Angeles Rams Baltimore Ravens Detroit Lions Washington Commanders Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs Philadelphia Eagles Thanks for reading our 2025 NFL Draft Order! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES AND UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site updates! Like and share our new Facebook page! Be sure to pay attention to our giveaways for your shot at some sweet prizes!
NFL DRAFT POSITION BOARD

Here’s how I rank each position so I call it a NFL Draft Position Board. While best player available tends to be the way to draft the first round, often times teams draft based on positional need. When that happens, this draft board will help you understand why the decision was made. QUARTERBACKS RUNNING BACKS WIDE RECEIVERS TIGHT ENDS OFFENSIVE LINE 1 Caleb Williams 1 Jonathan Brooks 1 Marvin Harrison 1 Brock Bowers 1 Joe Alt 2 Drake Maye 2 Trey Benson 2 Malik Nabers 2 JaTavion Sanders 2 Taliese Fuaga 3 Jayden Daniels 3 Jaylen Wright 3 Rome Odunze 3 Ben Sinnott 3 Troy Fautanu 4 Michael Penix 4 MarShawn Lloyd 4 Brian Thomas 4 Theo Johnson 4 JC Latham 5 JJ McCarthy 5 Blake Corum 5 Adonai Mitchell 5 Cade Stover 5 Olu Fashanu 6 Bo Nix 6 Braelon Allen 6 Xavier Worthy 6 Jared Wiley 6 Amarius Mims 7 Jordan Travis 7 Will Shipley 7 Ladd McConkey 7 Jaheim Bell 7 Graham Barton 8 Joe Milton 8 Isaac Guerendo 8 Troy Franklin 8 Dallin Holker 8 Tyler Guyton 9 Spencer Rattler 9 Ray Davis 9 Xavier Legette 9 Tanner McLachlan 9 Jordan Morgan 10 Audric Estime 10 Ricky Pearsall 10 Tip Reiman 10 Jackson Powers-Johnson 11 Bucky Irving 11 Keon Coleman 11 Patrick Paul 12 Dylan Laube 12 Malachi Corley 12 Roger Rosengarten 13 Cody Schrader 13 Roman Wilson 12 Kingsley Suamataia 14 Rasheen Ali 14 Devontez Walker 13 Zach Frazier 15 Frank Gore 15 Ja’Lynn Polk 14 Cooper Beebe 16 Tyrone Tracy 16 Brenden Rice 15 Beaux Limmer 17 Javon Baker 18 Luke McCaffrey 19 Malik Washington 20 Bub Means DEFENSIVE LINE EDGE RUSHER LINEBACKERS CORNERBACKS SAFETIES 1 Byron Murphy 1 Dallas Turner 1 Payton Wilson 1 Terrion Arnold 1 Javon Bullard 2 JerZhan Newton 2 Jared Verse 2 Junior Colson 2 Quinyon Mitchell 2 Tyler Nubin 3 Darius Robinson 3 Laiatu Latu 3 Edgerrin Cooper 3 Cooper DeJean 3 Evan Williams 4 Braden Fiske 4 Chop Robinson 4 Nate Wiggins 4 Kamren Kinchens 5 Kris Jenkins 5 Bralen Trice 5 Kool Aid McKinstry 5 Sione Vaki 6 TVondre Sweat 6 Jonah Elliss 6 Khyree Jackson 6 Cole Bishop 7 Ruke Orhorhoro 7 Mohamed Kamara 7 Kamari Lassiter 7 Jaden Hicks 8 Maason Smith 8 Chris Braswell 8 Mike Sainristil 9 Michael Hall 9 Marshawn Kneeland 9 Renardo Green 10 McKinnley Jackson 10 Ennis Rakestraw 11 Decamerion Richardson 12 TJ Tampa 13 Kalen King
How to Play Dynasty Fantasy Football

I love playing fantasy football, but I prefer playing dynasty fantasy football. For those of you who are not familiar with dynasty leagues, the concept is very similar to a keeper league, but instead of keeping just one, three, or five players, you’re able to keep all of your players. The reason I play in a dynasty league is because of the additional strategy that is involved in these types of leagues. Many dynasty league players will cite the challenge, as most dynasty leagues have very serious owners. Dynasty leagues are basically a year-round league and are as close to owning an NFL franchise as most of us will ever come close to doing. After your league holds its yearly draft you have to decide whether the players you’ve just drafted are more valuable than those already on your roster because you have to cut players from your roster to get down to the roster limit prior to the first game of the season (or whenever your league has set the deadline). When making your player evaluations for the draft or roster cuts or free agent pickups, you have to be conscious of whether the decision you are making is a short-term solution or a long-term investment and then weigh the consequences of each. You do not want to fill your roster with aging veterans and cripple your team for years to come, (which you can do in a keeper league for instant success and still recover the following year with a good draft). Nor do you want to load up on first and second-year players, as this would hinder you from competing in the upcoming season. You need a nice blend of players that provide the best opportunity to succeed in both the short-term and long-term. You also want to be aggressive in trading away aging players prior to any dramatic decline in their value. And you want to have a continuum of developing players on your bench who can be a bye week fill-in today and potential future studs. It’s not easy to manage a dynasty league team as there are factors, and strategies, that you do not have to consider when making decisions in a keeper or redraft league. Even the best fantasy football players draft a bad team every now and then. While a bad draft often means a losing season in redraft leagues, owners of lousy teams can still build for the future in dynasty and keeper leagues. This article will focus on strategies for managing a dynasty league WIN NOW OR WIN LATER The first thing one must decide when rebuilding a dynasty team is whether to try to win now or later. If your team is loaded with promising rookies and second-year players then you may want to try to package some of those guys in trades with other owners for established stars. This is one obvious way to make your team an instant contender. However, trading away your youth may leave you hurting in future years. More importantly, it is unlikely that a bad team will have enough assets to trade for a solid starting lineup. Winning now is ideal, but it is not always a possibility and owners with truly awful teams are often better served by planning for the future. Losing can be frustrating, but rebuilding a franchise usually requires patience. And just like the NFL, it’s hard to win year in and year out, so you have to rebuild your franchise. PAY ATTENTION TO COLLEGE FOOTBALL AND KNOW THE TOP ROOKIES This is important in identifying which players will help you build your team. You should pay attention to the key players, and huge playmakers each week. By doing this you will have an idea of who the top players are before the NFL draft begins in April. Before the NFL draft actually rolls around, you should already know which players you want to target in your draft (know who are the top QBs, RBs, and WRs coming out). You can search the Internet for draft analysis and rumors, and get information on the top available rookies. Watch the draft or at least study post-draft analysis of where the player was drafted and the impact he will have on the team that drafted him. Having all this data allows you to compare the rookies to those players currently on your roster, and this will assist you in determining which players you might want to target in the draft or attempt trades to get on your team to help build your dynasty. WHEN TO TRADE THEM This is the hardest thing about a dynasty league: knowing when! When do you play for this year, or when do you play for the future? If before the season you think you have a quality team, go ahead and play for now, and if midseason rolls around finding you at the bottom, well it’s time to build for the future! Just the same, if before the season you can tell your team will not be very competitive, well it’s time to trade a few older marquee players for some future younger players or draft picks so you can rebuild for the long term. The first step to rebuilding your dynasty is deciding which players to keep and which players to let go, either by trading them or outright releasing them. It should be easy to identify the star players of your team and once you’ve identified them you’ll need to decide what to do with them. While a guy like Tom Brady, Ezekiel Elliott, Keenan Allen, or Zach Ertz might be nice to have this season, you could be better off trading either of them away for younger players. Why? Although they are great players they are aging players, and it’s unlikely they will be producing a few years down the line when your team is competitive. It is better to trade older guys now while they still have value. Your team
Scott Atkins 2021 NFL Mock Draft FINAL – How Far Will Justin Fields Fall?

It’s Christmas in April for NFL fans everywhere. Here’s our final 2021 NFL Mock Draft. NFL Draft Round 1: April 29, 2021 – 8:00pm eastern 1) Jacksonville Jaguars: QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson The easiest number one overall pick in years. 2) New York Jets: QB Zach Wilson, BYU I’m a believer in this player, even against lessor competition. 3) San Francisco 49ers (from HOU through MIA): QB Mac Jones, Alabama The shocker is confirmed. I can’t believe this is happening. Mac should instantly be considered as a number 3 overall pick in Superflex Dynasty leagues and actually makes a strong case for number one overall with the weapons Kittle, Samuel and Aiyuk. 4) Atlanta Falcons: TE Kyle Pitts, Florida Dynasty Rookie Tight Ends Outlook 5) Cincinnati Bengals: WR Ja’marr Chase, LSU For the record, I think this is a bad choice. Joe Burrow should be protected right here with this pick, but it’s the Bengals, and they decide to chase Chase. 2021 Rookie Wide Receivers Outlook – 1 of 2 6) Miami Dolphins (from PHI): WR Jaylen Waddle, Alabama Some think it’s Devonta Smith, but I think Waddle is the more impressive prospect. 7) Detroit Lions: OT Penei Sewell, Oregon 8) Carolina Panthers: OT Rashawn Slater, Northwestern 9) Denver Broncos: QB Justin Fields, Ohio State The Broncos decided they weren’t going to give up additional draft picks and decided to roll the dice on draft day, however if the plan were to backfire and teams did move up for Fields and Lance, they needed a plan B, knowing that the price for that backup plan (Teddy Bridgewater) would be more expensive post draft. So Teddy was insurance, nothing more. Fields becomes the number two overall prospect in Superflex Dynasty football rookie drafts. Dynasty and Superflex Rookie Quarterbacks Outlook 10) Dallas Cowboys: CB Patrick Surtain II, Alabama 11) New York Giants: WR Devonta Smith, Alabama 12) Philadelphia Eagles (from SF through MIA): LB Micah Parsons, Penn St 13) Los Angeles Chargers: OT Christian Darrisaw, Virginia Tech 14) Minnesota Vikings: OT Alijah Vera-Tucker, USC 15) New England Patriots: QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State I’m not buying the Garoppolo rumors. 16) Arizona Cardinals: CB Jaycee Horn, South Carolina 17) Las Vegas Raiders: OT Teven Jenkins, Oklahoma State Anything other than upgrading the woeful offensive line should result in immediate firing of everyone in charge. 18) Miami Dolphins: DE Kwity Paye, Michigan 19) Washington Football Team: LB Jeremiah Owusu Koramoah, Notre Dame 20) Chicago Bears: DT Christian Barmore, Alabama 21) Indianapolis Colts: DE Azeez Ojulari, Georgia 22) Tennessee Titans: CB Greg Newsome, Northwestern 23) New York Jets (from SEA): CB Caleb Farley, Virginia Tech Ultimate swing for the fences pick. 24) Pittsburgh Steelers: RB Najee Harris, Alabama – The sixth member of the Crimson Tide selected in the top 24 picks and the Steelers get their every down back to make things easier for Ben Roethlisberger and the wide receivers. 2021 Rookie Running Backs Outlook – 1 of 2 25) Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR): DE Jaelan Philips, Miami 26) Cleveland Browns: LB Zaven Collins, Tulsa 27) Baltimore Ravens: WR Rashod Bateman, Minnesota 28) New Orleans Saints: CB Asante Samuel Jr., Florida State 29) Green Bay Packers: WR Kadarius Toney, Florida 30) Buffalo Bills: DE Jayson Oweh, Penn St 31) Baltimore Ravens (from KC): DE Gregory Rousseau, Miami 32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Joe Tryon, Washington Discuss this mock and everything NFL, seasonal, dfs and dynasty fantasy football in our NEW Discord. It’s FREE to chat and open 24/7.
Dynasty and Superflex Rookie Quarterbacks Outlook

In fantasy, an anchor at the Quarterback position is underrated. Many think you can just get one off the waiver wire, but having an Andrew Luck on your team proved to be quite valuable in years’ past. Is Trevor Lawrence
Dynasty Rookie Tight Ends Outlook

Rookie tight end is a deeper than expected class this year which includes an elite can’t miss prospect, but what does that mean for dynasty rookie drafts in the Dynasty Football World Championships? Let’s take a deeper dive into the
Preview: 2021 Rookie Wide Receivers Outlook – 1 of 2

Members enjoy this outlook of 2021 Rookie Wide Receivers Outlook to prepare you for your upcoming rookie dynasty drafts by our NFL Scouting Analyst Riley Bymaster. This Rookie Profile Feature is MEMBER ONLY and designed to help dynasty fantasy players evaluate the incoming crop of NFL Rookies. We’ll be releasing rookie profiles for all the prominent dynasty rookies, including Dynasty ADP, Dynasty Rankings, draft boards and more. Subscribe today and use the Promo TD30 for 30% off your first two months! The play of the 2020 rookie wide receiver class quickly rivaled that of the loaded 2014 class that included Odell Beckham, Mike Evans, and Allen Robinson. Coming off of a season where the world was formally introduced to Ceedee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, and Tee Higgins, among others, there is another set of uber-high expectations for the incoming rookie class. Be careful with going all in on the so-called depth of this group of wideouts as there are several well-known players who carry higher bust potentials than the community may believe. However, these first six receivers carry the top-heavy class. Ja’Marr Chase – LSU / 6’0” – 201 lbs Having opted out of the 2020 season, Chase left us salivating about his phenomenal 2019 year where compiled a whopping 1,780 yards on 84 receptions and 20 touchdowns. His teammate at the time, Vikings’ soon-to-be sophomore Justin Jefferson, was the clear-cut second option for the 2019 Tigers. Chase brings his running back-like frame to the position and is likely headed for the title of first receiver off the board in this year’s draft. On the field, Chase leaves little to be desired as he shows game-in and game-out what he brings to the table as an alpha wide receiver. He shows incredible hands and the ability to snatch and tuck the ball away quickly and safely. Chase’s ability to high-point the football and play above the rim is the best in the class, which will immediately translate to the NFL. He is solid after the catch and will shake a good number of tackles with the ball in his hands. Chase needs to improve the quickness in and out of his breaks, but he brings a well-rounded, elite skillset to the table. Grade: Elite starter Draft Projection: Top 10 Projected DFWC ADP: 1.02 Comparison: AJ Brown with a sprinkle of DJ Moore Bottom Line: Chase will enter the league and immediately become one of the top receivers in all the NFL. He is a sure-fire top 5 pick in every fantasy format with the potential of being a perennial All-Pro. Don’t pass on Ja’Marr Chase. Rashod Bateman – Minnesota/ 6’0” – 190 lbs The Minnesota product sat out most of the 2020 campaign after being diagnosed with COVID and losing 10 pounds in the process. After breaking out as a freshman with 700 yards and six touchdowns, Bateman and teammate Tyler Johnson roasted the rest of the BIG 10 throughout the 2019 season. Totaling over 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns, Bateman proved to be a go-to receiver with significant room to grow. Bateman’s route running and ability to separate with ease will easily translate to the next level. He snags passes away from his frame and keeps his momentum in the process. He shows clean footwork in his releases off the line of scrimmage, which will give cover corners problems in the NFL. Bateman may struggle with fighting through contact with physical, handsy corner backs. He dominates in the short and middle areas of the field, but we would like to see him win vertically a bit more before he can take the next step into the elite group of NFL receivers. Grade: ???? Draft Projection: ???? Projected DFWC ADP: ???? Comparison: ???? Bottom Line: ???? This is reserved for our Premium Members. Click here to read the Member version or click here to subscribe. DeVonta Smith – Alabama / 6’1” – 170 lbs Deemed the “Slim Reaper” by many in the fantasy community, Smith is the newest product of the Crimson Tide wide receiver factory. After a Heisman-winning campaign in 2020 where he accounted for just under 1,900 yards, 117 catches, and 23 touchdowns, fewer concerns were raised about Smith’s razor-thin frame. He proved his worthiness of a first-round pick by dominating every single Saturday against tough SEC defenses. Smith is a fast player who likely falls between Jerry Jeudy and Henry Ruggs on the explosion scale. He holds the biggest catch radius in the class as he’s able to catch any pass within a 10-foot radius. Smith has elite body control and has no issues adjusting to back shoulder or poorly thrown balls. He is a shifty runner after the catch and was used quite often on smoke and tunnel screens. His run blocking vastly improved from 2019 to 2020. Smith’s only concern is slightly leaning into his breaks when running deep posts or digs, but his NFL receiver’s coach should be able to tighten the screws relatively easily. Grade: Solid starter Draft Projection: 1st Round Projected DFWC ADP: 1.04 Comparison: Calvin Ridley on theoretical steroids Bottom Line: Smith is a natural playmaker whose weight will matter less than many may believe. He is best suited to play opposite of another elite receiver and may take a season to develop into his full potential. He is no worse than a top-three receiver in the 2021 class. Jaylen Waddle – Alabama / 5’10” – 180 lbs One of the most debated prospects in recent years, Waddle’s best collegiate season came during his first year on campus where he totaled 848 yards and seven scores on 45 receptions. Keep in mind this came on a loaded offense with Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs, DeVonta Smith, and Josh Jacobs. He suffered a brutal ankle injury against Tennessee during the 2020 season, which kept him off the field for the majority of the year. He hobbled his way through the national championship game which likely provided ambivalent feelings from scouts and NFL personnel.
2021 Rookie Wide Receivers Outlook – 1 of 2

The play of the 2020 rookie wide receiver class quickly rivaled that of the loaded 2014 class that included Odell Beckham, Mike Evans, and Allen Robinson. Coming off of a season where the world was formally introduced to Ceedee Lamb,
2021 Rookie Running Backs Outlook – 1 of 2

Members enjoy this outlook of 2021 Rookie Running Backs Outlook to prepare you for your upcoming rookie dynasty drafts by our NFL Scouting Analyst Riley Bymaster. The influx of running backs from the 2020 draft class spoiled fantasy football owners