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Tag: NFL DFS

NFL DFS: Week 11 Cash Breakdown

Winning in DFS is fun. Dominating in NFL DFS Cash is even better! Dive into the week 10 NFL Cash breakdown and dominate using our projections.

NFL Week 10 DFS Recap

Accountability and Credibility go hand and hand and here at Scout we need to recap the recommendations each week so that not only can we properly assess and evaluate the results of a week but also help you identify going forward where the recommendations are coming from and how to best use the winners on a week to week basis. QUARTERBACKS Top Recommended Plays:   Tom Brady, Mitchell Trubisky and Philip Rivers Mitchell Trubisky (4th and GOAL) ended up stealing the show at Quarterback yesterday finishing as QB1 overall for the day going 23-30 for 355 yards 3 TD and 1 rush TD (which he seems to do every week at home) against the Lions.  Trubisky was documented not only on the 4th and AMBUSH podcast by Chris Rose but was listed as his top overall QB of the week. “Trubisky – He’s been great at home, and gets a Detroit defense that’s giving up over 350 yards per game. Detroit should be able to score and keep this game close, giving Mitch plenty of opportunities to throw this week. He gets Robinson back as well this week, so he has healthy set of skill guys. ” — 4th & GOAL Top Overall Finishers:  Trubisky (39), Brees (28.9), Wilson (27.24), Bortles (24.6), Ryan (24.5) Of the top five overall picks only two (Trubisky and Brees) came from winning Quarterbacks and only Mitchell was the home Quarterback in these spots.  Proving that with Quarterbacks it often pays to have a QB who is going to have to play from behind to amass yardage stats as best possible and unless a QB is going to get a rushing TD like Brees and Trubisky both did then they’re likely going to have a hard path to getting stats via touchdowns since they only get 4 points per passing TD. The difference between the 4th overall QB (Bortles) and the 14th overall QB (Barkley) was only 7 points.  That 7 point difference is equal to a 10 yard rushing touchdown from RB.  While we want to find the #1 overall QB, what we really need to remember is that the majority of the Quarterbacks are going to finish within the same relative range each week and thus the QB spot is not one to overthink many weeks. Bad Recommendations:  Alex Smith & Tom Brady (Both in the AMBUSH) It was not a good QB week for me in the AMBUSH article at QB as both Brady and Alex Smith failed to have big days.  With Smith I was looking for a 2nd or 3rd TD but the offense was set back 10 years between Washington and Tampa.  There’s no explaining the Brady performance as he was able to get 40 passing attempts but only 254 passing yards and zero TD last week against a Titans defense coming off a short week.   RUNNING BACKS Top Recommendations:   David Johnson, Aaron Jones, Mark Ingram, Melvin Gordon As bad as The AMBUSH was at Quarterback this week, we outlined a few solid Running Back options — especially in the mid range outlining David Johnson’s matchup against the Chiefs on the 4th and AMBUSH podcast and jumping on Mark Ingram and Aaron Jones as plays in the top overall RB recommendations this week.  One big miss was going Duke Johnson over Nick Chubb in the Browns ground game, but the Mark Ingram bounce back pick ended up being one of the better plays on the board “MARK INGRAM … Yes, I am going RIGHT back to my boy Ingram this week, on the road he will be the lead back this week with Kamara being the PPR target that we know and love, but I don’t see the TD upside for either guy this week to feel that they are must plays.” — The AMBUSH Top Overall Finishers:   Chubb (38.9), Da.Johnson (37.3), Jones (35.2), Ingram (28.2), Gurley (28) Paying up for Todd Gurley continued to be a safe way to get solid points into your lineup but we saw three RB dominate in match-ups that were ideal for the ground game with Ingram, Jones and Chubb all finishing at the top and being the best value plays on the board.  Ingram and Jones combined cost only $100 more than Gurley himself on DraftKings this week and both outscored Gurley.  In the case of Mark Ingram he did it without a rushing TD as he got that screen pass TD that I predicted a week ago. Bad Recommendations:  James White It was just a terrible day all around for most of the Patriots as the entire ground game was whiped out as well with the team trailing most of the game but Sony Michel being active didn’t help here either.     WIDE RECEIVERS Top Recommendations:   Allen Robinson II, Michael Thomas, Davante Adams, Kenny Golladay Wide Receiver is always very spread out but two things that we like to encourage is correlating with your QB in tournaments and Allen Robinson II came through big time with Trubisky yesterday while Mike Thomas and Davante Adams both dominated with 2 TD each and in the case of Adams he came in at very low ownership.  Neither player had huge yardage games but getting in the box twice is worth their price any week. Top Overall Finishers:   Hill (35.7), Robinson II (34.3), Cooks (29.9), Davis (28.5), Thomas (27) Bad Recommendations:   Mike Evans TIGHT ENDS It’s hard to say that anyone dominated Tight End yesterday outside of Eric Ebron and Austin Hooper.  Both went over 20 total points and in the case of Ebron he had 3 total targets converted into 28 fantasy points.  Ebron did benefit greatly from a 2 yard rushing TD as well, and the tilt got even higher when Mo Alie-Cox got a receiving TD as well and Jack Doyle wasn’t getting in on the endzone action for the Colts yesterday.  Hooper was the main beneficiary of Matt Ryan airing the ball out a ton yesterday and went overlooked int he Falcons

NFL DFS: Week 10 Cash Breakdown

Winning in DFS is fun. Dominating in NFL DFS Cash is even better! Dive into the week 10 NFL Cash breakdown and dominate using our projections.

NFL DFS: Week 10 Dr Roto and Willie Walls

  Dr. Roto and Willie Walls give you all the information you need to win big in DFS. Also check out FullTime DFS.com and use the promo code Roto70 to get 70% off your first month of DFS info.

NFL DFS: Week 10 TE Report

FAVORABLE MATCHUPS (CASH/GPP) Jared Cook (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,500): Cook has been up and down all season leading to two impact games (9/180 and 8/110/2), one steady game (4/74/1), and five boring showings (4/49, 5/31, 4/20, 2/10, and 2/20). Jared averages 6.25 targets per game while being on pace to set career highs in catches (76), yards (988), TDs (6), and targets (100). With Amari Cooper no longer on the roster, Cook will be a top two receiving option for Derek Carr going forward. The Chargers held him to a short game (4/20) in Week 5. LA ranks 15th in the NFL vs. the TE position (37/369/4 on 61 targets) with the 49ers (6/125/1) and the Browns (8/63/1) having the most success. A TE has scored a TD against the Chargers in four of their last five games. Oakland’s passing game appears to be dead in the water, but they will play better at home. I expect a nice showing this week plus LA has some talent at CB forcing Carr to look for his TE more often. Trey Burton (DK – $3,900/FD – $6,100): Burton is the 7th highest scoring TE in PPR leagues after nine weeks despite only have one elite game (9/126/1). Trey has a TD in five of his last seven games while being on pace for 58 catches for 742 yards and ten TDs on 80 targets. The Lions are league average defending TEs (33/417/3) with no team scoring over 17.0 Fantasy points at the TE position. Chicago has the talent to have success running the ball in close, but a play action TE seems very likely in this game. Not a bad swing at this level due to his scoring ability and the Lions may at least push the issue on the scoreboard.   MATCHUP RISK / AGAINST THE GRAIN (GPP) O.J. Howard (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,500): Howard doesn’t have an elite opportunity in targets (five per game) or snaps (59.8 percent in his eight games played), but his value has been rock solid in his last six games (18.6, 13.2, 16.2, 11.7, 16.8, and 21.3) in the season-long contests. His best outing of the year came last week (4/53/2) while scoring four TDs in his last four games. This season Tampa TEs have 48 catches for 635 yards and eight TDs on 65 targets. Washington sits 12th in the league vs. TEs (37/333/3 on 58 targets) with no TE scoring over 16.0 Fantasy points. Only a low-teen Fantasy option this week unless he hits on a long play.   BAD MATCHUP (AVOID) C.J. Uzomah (DK – $3,700/FD – $5,400): Cinci expected to have Uzomah back in the starting lineup this week after having a bye week to recover from a chest issue. In his last game, C.J. didn’t have a catch vs. a porous Bucs’ defense. Over the last four games, he has ten catches for 110 yards and one TD on 15 targets. The Saints are 6th in NFL vs. TEs (30/338/1 on 48 targets) with seven teams scoring fewer than ten Fantasy points. Easy avoid in all formats.     NEUTRAL (ALL FORMATS) Travis Kelce (DK – $7,000/FD – $8,000): Last week Kelce had his second impactful game (7/99/2) of the season while falling one yard short of the three-point bonus for 100 yards at DraftKings. Travis has five catches or more in eight straight games with three games with over 100 yards receiving (7/109/2, 8/114, and 5/100) and six TDs. He averages 8.8 targets per game. The Cardinals are 7th in the NFL defending TEs (28/332/2 on 39 targets) with no TE scoring over 16.0 Fantasy points. Most teams haven’t had to pass to beat the Cardinals plus the best TE they’ve faced in 2018 is George Kittle (5/83 and 5/57). I expect a TD and steady production, but the lack of a battle on the scoreboard should leave him short of delivering an impact score needed to fill his salary bucket. Ron Gronkowski (DK – $5,600/FD – $6,900): Gronkowski has already hurt Fantasy owners in two games in 2018 by not playing. The Patriots have scored 25 TDs over their six-game winning streak, but Rob hasn’t scored a TD since Week 1 when he delivered his only impact game (7/123/1). His yards per catch (15.4) remain strong, but Gronk only averages 6.1 targets per game this season. He’s listed as questionable for this week’s game with back and ankle issues. The Titans have the second best TE defense (30/268/0 on 45 targets) in the league, but they did falter when matched up with the Eagles’ stud TEs (12/125 on 16 targets). Rob has a sliding salary, but a Fantasy owner won’t know his status until just before kickoff on Sunday. Jimmy Graham (DK – $4,600/FD – $6,300): With eight games of work in 2018, a Fantasy owner can easily see that Graham isn’t the player that he once was. He’s on pace for 64 catches for 850 yards and four TDs on 108 targets, which is respectable while offering no impact game this year. His best game came in Week 6 (5/104). Miami fell to 22nd in TE defense (42/453/5 on 59 targets) after allowing five TDs to TEs over the last four games. The Dolphins allowed fewer than 60 yards receiving to TEs in seven of their last eight games with their biggest failure in catches (7) and yards (101) coming in Week 1 vs. the Titans. Possible TD, but he falls more in the steady category in Week 10. His ace in the hole is Aaron Rodgers playing at home and needing a win in the worst way. Jordan Reed (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,200): Reed landed on the injury report this week with a back issue, but the Redskins expect him to play. Just like Rob Gronkowski, Jordan hasn’t scored a TD since Week 1. He has fewer than 45 yards receiving in five straight games while averaging 6.6 targets per game on