NFL DFS Running Back Report – Week 15

Running Backs Christian McCaffrey, CAR (DK – $10,000/FD – $10,400) With no touchdowns in his stat line over the previous two games, McCaffrey posted only two steady games (17.20 and 24.50 Fantasy points) despite plenty of chances in the passing
NFL DFS Quarterback Report – Week 15

Quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes, KC (DK – $7,100/FD – $8,300) Mahomes hasn’t been seen at the top QB rankings at the end of any of the previous three weeks. Over this span, he posted 18.00, 21.25, and 17.75 Fantasy points while combining for 730 yards with four TDs and two Ints. Mahomes scored over 30.0 Fantasy points in four contests (31.10, 37.15, 31.60, and 34.30) in 2019 while leaving his Week 7 matchup vs. the Broncos after completing ten of 11 passes for 76 yards with one TD ad two Ints. Denver slipped to 6th in QB defense (17.52 FPPG) after struggling a bit against Deshaun Watson (33.00 Fantasy points). Only one other QB scored over 22.0 Fantasy points. They allow 6.8 yards per pass attempt with QB tossing 15 TDs. Not as sexy as Fantasy owners expected in 2019, but he still has upside in his receiving core even with a below-par matchup. Russell Wilson, SEA (DK – $7,000/FD – $8,100) There is no doubt that Wilson is a great QB who knows how to win late in games when the ball is in his hands. As the Fantasy calendar turned to the championship rounds, a big game was a must. Unfortunately, the Rams dominated the lineup scrimmage on passing downs, which led to no TDs for Wilson with 273 combined yards. LA sacked him five times while forcing him to run for his life on many other plays. Despite ranking fourth in QB scoring coming into the week, Wilson has not been an edge in Fantasy points six of his previous seven games (17.75, 17.50, 19.90, 13.50, 20.30, and 14.30). His high ranking falls on five qualify games (28.20, 45.40, 32.60, 31.85, and 43.00 Fantasy points) over the first nine weeks. Carolina sits 10th in QB defense (19.18 FPPG) with no team scoring over 30.0 Fantasy from the QB position. The Panthers allowed over 300 yards passing in six of their previous nine games with WRs delivering five big games (17/277/2, 23/296, 16/244, 19/283/1, and 14/271/2). Wilson is due for a big game, and I expect Carolina to at least push the issue on the scoring board. Possible 300-plus yards with a floor of three TDs. Jameis Winston, TB (DK – $6,900/FD – $8,200) Over the last 11 games, Winston passed for over 300 yards in nine contests with 24 TDs and 20 Ints. His best value came in three games (380/3, 385/4, and 456/5), putting him on pace for 5,341 combined yards with 33 TDs. Winston came out of last week’s game with a right thumb injury, which he’ll play through this week. Tampa lost Mike Evans in Week 13, which does hurt the explosiveness of the Bucs passing game. Detroit has risk vs. RBs (30th) and QBs (25th – 23.56 FPPG). Three opponents scored over 30.0 Fantasy points from the QB position. They allow 7.8 yards per pass attempt with 26 TDs. His passing yards should be there, but Tampa will score a TD or more on the ground, plus the loss of Evans will make their WRs easier to defend. Deshaun Watson, HOU (DK – $6,800/FD – $8,200) After 13 weeks, Watson remains the second-highest scoring QB (25.70 FPPG) in four-point passing TD leagues. Last week he struggled to make plays, but a pair of rushing TDs and volume of pass attempts (50) led to his second straight games with over 30 Fantasy points (31.30 and 33.00). Watson had five other games of value (34.40, 30.35, 46.00, 34.20, and 30.55 FPPG). His floor is helped by his value as a runner (68/344/7). The Titans are league average defending the QB position (20.48 FPPG) with one team scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. Tennessee allows 7.2 yards per pass attempt with 19 TDs. This game could be played at a fast pace, creating possible upside for Watson and the Texans’ passing game. Ryan Tannehill, TEN (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,600) Twice over the last three weeks, Tannehill delivered impact games (35.95 and 32.45 FPPG) despite attempting only 45 combined passes in there two outings. In his seven starts, he averaged 26.42 Fantasy points with 18 TDs and four Ints. Tannehill passed for over 300 yards three games. Houston ranks 28th in QB defense (25.03 FPPG), with two teams scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. Over the past nine games, seven QBs have three TDs or more vs. the Texans, with five teams passing for more than 300 yards. Tennessee continues to improve offensively, giving Tannehill another chance at over 300 yards with three TDs or more. Baker Mayfield, CLE (DK – $6,400/FD – $7,700) Momentum hasn’t been a friend of Mayfield in 2019 as his accuracy and mistakes outweigh any gains in his rookie season (27 TDs in 14 games). After this week, he’ll match 2018 in games played while falling short in TDs (18 in 13 contests) while making too many mistakes (16 Ints). Over the previous two games, he passed for only 388 yards with one TD and three Int. His only game of value in 2019 came in Week 12 (327/3). The Cardinals remain the worst defense in the league vs. QBs (27.98 FPPG), with six teams scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. Arizona allows 8.0 yards per pass attempt with QBs tossing 24 TDs. A favorable matchup, but Mayfield averages only 13.25 FPPG game on the road. Aaron Rodgers, GB (DK – $6,300/FD – $8,000) Rodgers has been worthless in all Fantasy formats in four (161/1, 233/0, 104/1, and 195/1) of his previous five games. Despite his regression, he still ranks eight in QB scoring (21.75 FPPG) thanks to four impact games (31.70, 48.05, 30.15, and 30.55 Fantasy points). This season Rodgers averages only 33.9 passes per game compared to 37.3 in 2018. The Bears held him to 203 passing yards with one TD. Chicago sits 7th in QB defense (20.80 FPPG), with only one team scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. The Bears allow 6.6 yards per attempt with no team tossing more than two
The Ambush – Week 14 DFS

The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
NFL Running Back DFS Report – Week 14

Running Backs Christian McCaffrey, CAR (DK – $10,300/FD – $11,000) The Panthers struggled to run the ball over the last two games (49/186/1 – 3.80 yards per rush), which led to a short showing in Week 13 by McCaffrey (17.20
NFL TNF Showdown: Cowboys vs Bears

WEEK 14 Kicks off with the Cowboys and Bears both off a full week of rest from their Thanksgiving games and both being in spots where if they lose this game their playoff hopes are impacted. For Chicago they are
NFL Quarterback Report – Week 14

Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson, BAL (DK – $7,400/FD – $9,000) Even with a tougher matchup in Week 13 vs. the 49ers, Jackson still scored 24.35 Fantasy points, which was better than the fifth-highest scoring average for the QB position in 2019.
The Ambush – Week 13 DFS

The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
The Ambush – Thanksgiving DFS

The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
Thanksgiving DFS Podcast

The Dawghouse man himself Dennis Roy and Steve Renner from the AMBUSH joined up for a rare DFS NFL podcast with plenty of thoughts on the previous week, lineup sharing or overlay of lineups and the upcoming three game NFL DFS slate on Thanksgiving.
The Ambush – Week 12 DFS

The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.