Thursday Night Football Preview, Fantasy Tips, DFS & Best Bets
While Week 10’s Thursday Night Football game doesn’t appear to be one of the season’s best slates on paper, there is still plenty of fantasy football and DFS ramifications on deck for Baltimore’s trip to Miami. The 6-2 Ravens emerged
The 6-2 Ravens emerged from their Week 8 bye with an exciting 34-31 overtime victory over Minnesota, while the Dolphins got their second victory of the 2021 campaign with a home victory over the hapless Houston Texans.
Let’s break down this AFC battle to determine what sports betting, DFS, and fantasy football fans can expect from Week 10’s Thursday Night Football matchup
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Thursday Night Football Preview, Fantasy Tips, DFS & Best Bets
Thursday Night Football games sometimes involve losing teams that are forced to trot out an abbreviated playbook. This often leads to sloppy, low-scoring games that leave a little something to be desired. That won’t be the case in Week 6
That won’t be the case in Week 6 as the 4-1 defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers bring their high-octane offense into Lincoln Financial Field to take on the 2-3 Philadelphia Eagles in a game that featured the third-highest over/under (52.5) total on the Week 6 slate.
So what can fantasy football and sports betting fans expect to see in tonight’s matchup?
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NFL DraftKings Bargains: Week 5
If you’re spending your Saturday night watching sports and setting DK lineups this piece may help you find the missing component for those trying to fill the cheap DK spot. Let’s not overthink these calls but below identify a few reasons why the following players may work in your cash and tournament lineups. Good luck!! Running Backs Brandon Bolden (New England Patriots) $4000 His week 4 performance vs. Tampa (six grabs for 51) can’t be ignored. The veteran RB continues his pursuit of becoming the Pats receiving RB with James White on IR. The Pat’s should continue this trend vs the Texans. Khalil Herbert (Chicago Bears) $4000 A wild card play for those looking for a profitable gamble. Herbert is a dynamic pass-catcher who flashed during the preseason. Williams will be the primary ball carrier but enters the game dinged and Herbert could pair well with Fields skill set. Samaje Perine (Cincinnati Bengals) $4000 Mixon’s injury history plays into Perine’s favor. Perine is a capable receiver in a game that could be higher scoring than the Vegas total of 50.5. Wide Receivers Randall Cobb (Green Bay Packers) $4000 With Marquez Valdes-Scantling on IR, Cobb found the fountain of youth last week with two TDs. As mentioned above this contest could be loose and players in this game could be difference-makers. The playing surface in Cincinnati favors the athletic veteran WR. Kadarius Toney (New York Giants) $4000 The Giants’ first-round draft pick is starting to pay dividends. Toney, the third WR taken in the 2021 draft, has a diverse skillset and is naturally athletic. The nine targets and 13 yards per reception average from Week 4 could be a repeat in Week 5 vs the Dallas pass defense that ranks bottom three in the league in yards allowed. Amon-Ra St. Brown (Detroit Lions) $3500 St. Brown is starting to get the snaps and the rookie WR from USC doesn’t lack confidence. St. Brown saw season-highs in snaps, targets, receptions, and yards last week vs. Chicago. The Lions will be playing catch up vs the Vikes affording the rookie potential opportunities in positive game scripts and potential garbage time. John Ross (New York Giants) $3400 Another first-round talent in the Giants WR core Ross is a great contrarian play based on metrics, injuries, and momentum. Josh Reynolds (Tennessee Titans) $3300 Reynolds always showed flashes on the Rams and is now healthy at getting playing time with injuries to Titan WR’s. Reynolds saw 9 targets last week. Tight Ends Hunter Henry (New England Patriots) $3700 New England’s offense is committed to featuring TE’s under Josh McDaniels game planning. The Texans rank 2nd worst in the league defending TEs. Henry’s fantasy production has increased each week consecutively and he faces a ripe 5 matchup. Zach Ertz (Philadelphia Eagles) $3400 Ertz saw season highs in targets, receptions, and yards last week vs the Chiefs. He also has a TD reception nullified. The Eagles will be throwing often in Week 5 and Hurts continues to value the veteran TE come game day. Maxx Williams (Arizona Cardinals) $3400 Williams has been active in the Cardinal offense and would see more looks if Chase Edmonds is ruled out. Jonnu Smith (New England Patriots) $3300 The Patriots feature the TE position, and Smith has a chance for a big game against the Texas defense. Cameron Brate (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) $3300 QB Tom Brady and Brate missed on several occasions vs. the Patriots in week 4. Week 5 could be a get-right game for Brate as Brady values the TE in the red zone. THESE DFS PICKS ARE FREE THIS WEEK BUT IS TYPICALLY RESERVED FOR PREMIUM MEMBERS. Are you seriously still on the sidelines? Proven track record to help you win. Join the fun and Become a FULLTIME MEMBER! We’re chatting 24/7 in our Discord and when you join, you get access to exclusive Member Only perks such as: Access to our customized rankings and projections, deep-dive downloads, waiver wire suggestions, private Who Do I Start Advice, our WR/CB Matchups report, a Survivor Contest, Member area chat in our Discord and to top it all off, 5 free monthly drafts into our Weekly Draft Contests! That’s just the tip of the iceberg! JOIN the Fun, and Get Yourself to the Championship. The TD30 coupon code to save 30% expires this Sunday. It’s your last chance to save 30%! Do it now! ENTER OUR WEEK 5 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Try to stack the team with players you think will do well in Week 5! The highest Week 5 Score wins! (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 5 Player Rankings to help. It’s a bestball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one! Just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard! Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! The Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 5 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Week 4 NFL DraftKings Bargains
Oftentimes we build that monster Draftkings lineup for Sunday and the most challenging final roster spot is the cheap or undervalued flex position. When it comes to season-long leagues, you might be the team with Tee Higgins, Jerry Jeudy, and Dalvin Cook and need to play your bench options now. That’s not an issue in DFS games. Let’s look at Draftkings pass-catchers priced at $4000 and under that could be difference-makers. Don’t underestimate ten points when trying to win a Draftkings contest or a seasonal head-to-head game. This week you’ll see many opportunities and values with tight ends, an emerging position in NFL play-calling, but still quite affordable pricing on Draftkings. Wide Receivers Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Tennessee Titans) $3200 – Would you be surprised if Ryan Tannehill features the second-year WR against a raw Jets defense? His underrated Week 3 stat line (4/56/1 on 4 targets) can’t be ignored in this particular matchup vs the Jets. The chunk yards and red-zone looks along with the $3200 price make Westbrook appealing. Westbrook picked up via high-stakes waivers from many successful players so sometimes you should follow the trail. Van Jefferson (Los Angeles Rams) $3900 – Van Jefferson’s DNA bolds well for success given the fact his father (an NFL wide receivers coach for 10-plus years) and he’s finally getting significant playing time. I’ve heard a lot of enthusiasm from players who hold large shares of Jefferson in high stakes. This game should be loose with Stafford vs. Kyler Murray potential and Jefferson could surprise. Coming off of a game where he played 77% of his team’s snaps, Jefferson is in a great spot to produce for minimal cost. K.J. Osbourne (Minnesota Vikings) $3700 – Keep an eye on the injury to Vikings’ tight end Tyler Conklin. In Week 3, Minnesota found a hole in the Seattle secondary and exposed it with Conklin, who took opportunities away from Osborne. Conklin has been dinged up this week. I think the Browns, roster-wise, trump the Vikings and envision Cousins playing catch up. That should lead to ample targets for Osbourne, and a profitable return on investment. DeSean Jackson (Los Angeles Rams) $3800 – In Week 3, Matthew Stafford missed D-Jax twice on long throws that could have been TDs or huge gains. On one of the misconnections, Jackson burned Tampa’s secondary, confirming he still has world-class speed left in his game. Stafford finally connected for a 75 -ard TD and the veteran WR ended with a solid 3/120/1 line. If your league rewards long TDs or you seek the upside DK player in your lineup, roll the dice on D-Jax Braxton Berrios (New York Jets) $3700 – If you like the targets, then Berrios could be a crafty play, especially if Jamison Crowder is out. Throw away last week’s game vs Denver and Berrios is averaging six targets from rookie Zach Wilson. Couple this with a Tennessee pass defense that distinctly ranks in the bottom-4 worst defenses vs. opposing wideouts with 680 yards surrendered so far, and you might have a solid sleeper here in Berrios. Tight Ends Mike Gesicki (Miami Dolphins) $4000 – If you look into Giseicki’s games from last year, you’ll notice he was quite streaky. This week you’ve probably seen Twitter blowing up with “Jacoby Brissett feeds tight ends” examples. The veteran Brissett prefers the check-down game and Giseicki’s 12 targets from Week 3 could be in play, plus Giseicki has a history of big home games. Dawson Knox (Buffalo Bills) $3600 – For just $3600, you should put some thought into inserting Knox into your lineups versus Houston. Only Baltimore and Miami have allowed more yards to TEs and the Texans’ 21 receptions to the position thus far is tied for second-most. With thunderstorms expected at Highmark stadium, I think this gives Knox an advantage to the TE who has scored TDs in two straight and his a ripe matchup. Austin Hooper (Cleveland Browns) $3700 – At the conclusion of the 2020 season, when the Browns were thin at WR, Baker Mayfield started to lean on Austin Hooper and that formula is back in play in Week 4. Once again these types of player selections have a goal of 10-plus points, which can be the difference. Hooper has hit this mark consecutive weeks and the matchup with the Vikings bolds well, as Minnesota has allowed 222 yards to TEs, 7th most. Zach Ertz (Philadelphia Eagles $3500 – Ertz is coming off a Week 3 performance that demonstrated his potential in three phases: targets (7), yards (53), and a touchdown. When considering a lower-end TE, not being TD-dependent helps mitigate risk. Kansas City has allowed 232 receiving yards to TEs through three games, fifth-most in the league. If you value game script data, then Ertz is also appealing. The matchup with the Chiefs should see plenty of scoring potential and has an over/under of 54.5, the highest of the Week 4 slate. Dalton Schultz (Dallas Cowboys) $3400 – For my money, Dalton Schultz was definitely keyed in with Dak Prescott in his Monday Night Football breakout game- an outing that won people lots of money. Talk about riding the hot hand as Schultz emerged as one of Dallas’ main receiving threats in the absence of Michael Gallup. Both Dallas and Carolina are hot and have aggressive play-calling, which gives the game a leg up in terms of desired players in specific matchups in Week 4. The $3400 price is kinda disrespectful to boot. The 2021 NFL season is well underway but it’s not too late to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! 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NFL Wide Receiver Report – Week 17
Wide Receivers Michael Thomas, NO (DK – $9,900/FD – $9,200) Last week Thomas set the NFL record for receptions (145) after his third straight impact game (11/134/1, 12/128/1, and 12/136/1). Over his previous 11 games, he gained over 100 yards in nine games and eight contests with ten catches or more. His catch rate (82.4) is elite while averaging 11.7 targets per game. Thomas beat the Panthers for ten catches for 101 yards and one TD on 11 targets in Week 12. Carolina fell to 24th in WR defense (37.61 FPPG – 218/2703/12 on 335 targets). Seven WRs gained over 100 yards against the Panthers (Chris Godwin – 8/121/1, D.J. Chark – 8/164/2, Chris Godwin – 10/51, Davante Adams – 7/118, Calvin Ridley – 8/143/1, Michael Thomas – 10/101/1, and Tyler Lockett – 8/120/1). CB James Bradberry will give up plenty of yards with only one TD allowed. The Saints will move Thomas around in formation, and he will get open while catching almost everything thrown his way. His only negative in Week 17 is hand issue that limited his practice time this week. Exceptional floor with an explosive ceiling if the Saints need to throw. Julio Jones, ATL (DK – $8,500/FD – $8,500) Over the last two games, Jones played at a high-level (13/134/2 and 10/166), pushing him to fourth in WR scoring (259.70 Fantasy points). He gained over 100 yards in six games in 2019 with six TDs. With Calvin Ridley injured, Matt Ryan looked his way 35 times over the previous two games. In Week 12, Jones caught five passes for 68 yards against the Bucs. Tampa allows the most Fantasy points to WRs (44.02 FPPG – 220/2954/21 on 355 targets). Nine WRs gained over 100 yards receiving against the Bucs (Sterling Shepard – 7/100/1, Robert Woods – 13/164, Cooper Kupp – 9/121/1, Michael Thomas – 11/182/2, Tyler Lockett – 13/152/2, D.K. Metcalf – 6/123/1, Christian Kirk – 6/138/3, Michael Thomas – 8/114/1, Marcus Johnson – 3/105/1, and Danny Amendola – 8/102). CB Carlton Davis continues to improve, leading to WRs catching only half of their chances while allowing too many TDs. Makes sense, but Tampa will rush the QB while the Falcons can have risk pass protection. Davante Adams, GB (DK – $8,000/FD – $8,400) The rhythm between Aaron Rodgers and Adams picked up over the last two games (7/103/1 and 13/116) while receiving 29 combined targets. Over his previous eight games, he has 61 catches for 706 yards and four TDs on 93 targets (11.6 per game). His recent pace puts Adams on a higher path than 2018 (111/1386/13) except for TDs. He needs 96 yards to reach 1,000 for the second time in his career. The Lions rank 29th in WR defense (40.30 FPPG – 206/2830/18 on 336 targets) with seven WRs (Larry Fitzgerald – 8/113/1, Stefon Diggs – 7/142, Michael Gallop – 9/148, Randall Cobb – 4/115/1, Anthony Miller – 9/140, Chris Godwin – 5/121, and Breshad Perriman – 5/113/3) gaining over 100 yards receiving. CB Darius Slay should cover Adams on most plays, which will control his explosiveness. Green Bay has no choice but to throw Adams the ball, and he does have upside in scoring. Tyreek Hill, KC (DK – $7,700/FD – $8,200) With KC playing better defense and not being forced to throw, Hill only has 28 targets over his previous four games. His only game came in Week 10 (11/157/1) while three other contests of value (5/80/2, 6/140/1, and 5/67/2). Hill has 52 catches for 783 yards and seven TDs on 82 targets over his previous nine full games. The Chargers remain third in WR defense (28.05 FPPG – 167/1951/10 on 232 targets) despite struggling to defend WRs in Week 15 (14/203/1). One WR (Kenny Golladay – 8/117/1) gained over 100 yards vs. LA. CB Michael Davis will allow a high catch rate with minimal damage in TDs, but he’ll have a tough time covering Hill in this matchup. Possible impact game if the Chargers put up a fight on the scoreboard. Julian Edelman, NE (DK – $7,300/FD – $7,500) Edelman continues to battle multiple minor injuries, leading to a couple of quiet games (2/9 and 5/72). On the year, he has five 20-point Fantasy games (8/110/1, 9/113, 8/78/2, 6/106/1, and 8/95/1) while having a floor of 12.20 Fantasy points over ten of his previous 11 starts. The Patriots have looked his way 146 times (9.7 targets per game) in 2019 with ten contests with double-digit targets. In Week 2, he had four catches for 51 yards on four targets vs. the Dolphins. Miami allows the second-most Fantasy points to WRs (41.10 FPPG – 189/2735/27 on 317 targets). They’ve allowed two TDs or more to WRs in six straight games with four of their previous five opponents gaining over 200 yards. Nine WRs gained over 100 yards against Miami (Marquise Brown – 4/147/2, Terry McLaurin – 4/100/2, Juju Smith-Schuster – 5/103/1, John Brown – 9/137/2, Jarvis Landry – 10/148/2, Alshon Jeffery – 9/137/1, Robby Anderson – 7/116/1, Sterling Shepard – 9/111, and Tyler Boyd – 9/128/2). Edelman has a winnable matchup, and Tom Brady should look his way earlier in the game. Allen Robinson, CHI (DK – $7,200/FD – $7,800) The Bears looked Robinson’s way 12 times last week, but he only caught six balls for 53 yards while missing on a long TD after an overthrown ball by Mitchell Trubisky. Robinson played well over his previous five games (32/443/4 on 56 targets) while adding three other contests of value (7/102, 7/97/2, and 10/87/1) earlier in the season. The Vikings held him to seven catches for 77 yards in Week 4. Minnesota slipped to 27th in WR defense (38.97 FPPG – 215/2564/18 on 321 targets). Seven WRs gained over 100 yards vs. the Vikings (Davante Adams – 7/106, Danny Amendola – 8/105, Tyreek Hill – 6/140/1, Amari Cooper – 11/147/1, Randall Cobb – 6/106/1, Courtland Sutton – 5/113, and Davante Adams – 13/116). Minnesota will rest their starters,
The Ambush – Week 17 DFS
The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.