Monday Playoff Preview
Monday Playoff Preview The 6-game NFL Wild Card Weekend continues Sunday with a full day of games. FullTime Fantasy‘s Sunday Playoff Preview breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Minnesota Vikings (14-3) at Los Angeles Rams (10-7) Time: 8:00 Eastern from Glendale, Arizona Line: Vikings -2.5 Total: 47.5 Money Line: Minnesota -145, Los Angeles +125 Vikings Offense This is another rematch of a regular-season game. In Week 8, the Rams defeated Minnesota 30-20 at SoFi Stadium. For the Vikings to even the score, they can’t allow Matthew Stafford to sit in the pocket and pick them apart for another four scores. Sam Darnold was fine in that game, throwing for 240 yards and two touchdowns. Vegas is predicting Darnold will be better in the rematch. His Week 19 passing yard prop is 265.5 yards and he’s -168 to be OVER 1.5 touchdowns. The Rams allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, so this looks like a plus matchup for Darnold and company. RB Aaron Jones was held to 58 yards on 19 rushes in Week 8. However, he did catch a pair of passes for 37 yards. Jones’s yardage prop of 82.5 with +125 odds of finding pay dirt looks promising but the Rams were above-average against running backs in the regular season. LA allowed only 10 total RB touchdowns in 17 games. Cam Akers will mix in behind Jones and will have some drives to himself. Additionally, Jones was dealing with a quad injury down the stretch that could result in more opportunities for Akers. However, Jones is not listed on the injury report. Los Angeles wasn’t as good against the pass, which bodes well for Minnesota’s receivers. Justin Jefferson caught eight for 115 yards in Week 8. Meanwhile, the Rams allowed an opposing receiver to surpass 90 receiving yards nine times in the regular season. Additionally, LA surrendered 20 touchdown receptions to the position. Our RDA* projections favor another huge outing for Minnesota’s superstar WR1. Jordan Addison didn’t do much (2/22/0) in the previous game. However, Addison has been hot, scoring seven of his nine touchdowns since Week 11. He also averaged 8.25 targets per game during that stretch. Our RDA* projections view Addison as a solid option in this slate, projected to catch 4.2 balls for 58.7 yards, and a 50/50 shot at scoring. We don’t have much interest in Minnesota’s ancillary wideouts. However, TE T.J. Hockenson looks like a good target. In PPR leagues, the Rams allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, who averaged a healthy 15.2 fantasy points per game. Rams Offense Although this is a Rams’ “home” game, the NFL moved it to State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, due to the destructive wildfires in and around the LA area. Since getting picked apart by Matthew Stafford in Week 8, the Vikings have shored up their pass defense. In fact, the Vikings allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to enemy signal-callers in the final five weeks of the regular season. This game’s 47.5-point total looks inviting. However, our RDA* projections are cool on Stafford. Only the Ravens allowed fewer rushing yards than Minnesota, so it’s a lousy matchup for RB Kyren Williams. However, Williams led all running backs with an 87% snap share, assuring he’ll have ample opportunities to contribute on the ground, via the pass, and in short yardage. He’s -125 to score and has a scrimmage yard prop of 97.5 yards. WR Puka Nacua returned to the lineup against Minnesota in Week 8 and made an immediate impact. As good as the Vikings have been against the run, they’ve struggled versus the pass. Minnesota allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers. Additionally, we see a favorable game script for Nacua, who comes in as our No. 1 wide receiver in this slate. Cooper Kupp’s play tailed off down the stretch. He only had three targets in each of LA’s final three contests and never topped 30 receiving yards. Kupp caught five balls for 51 yards and a score against this secondary in Week 8. However, our RDA* projections (5/62/.33) are quite a bit higher than Vegas projects. WR3 Demarcus Robinson had a DUI arrest this week. There’s no indication if that will impact his role in this game but we recommend avoiding the Rams’ ancillary receivers. That includes the tight end position. Tyler Higbee is still working his way back and should lead the way. However, the Rams don’t feature the position prominently and will use multiple players. 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Monday Night Preview
Monday Night Preview: Lions vs. 49ers There is one final game left on this Championship Week 17 slate. And from a fantasy football perspective, it’s a huge one. The Detroit Lions are traveling to San Francisco to face the 49ers and the rosters are loaded with fantasy talent. However, with rumors that the Lions could rest starters in the game, the fantasy title implications are huge. Although the 14-2 Vikings have temporarily moved into first place, the NFC North title will officially be on the line Sunday night when Minnesota travels to Detroit. The winner of that game will secure the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage in the NFC playoffs. That makes next week’s primetime contest a must-see TV event for football fans. However, it will also impact tonight’s game. This game is largely meaningless for Detroit. Additionally, the Niners have already been eliminated from postseason contention. Therefore, there are rumors that Dan Campbell could elect to sit his key starters at some point tonight. That will greatly impact any remaining fantasy championship games that are still to be decided by this final contest of the week. Of course, Campbell is known for being unconventional and could easily choose to keep his foot on the gas. It all adds some intrigue to a game that was already vital. Here are some thoughts on how fantasy managers could approach this Monday Night Preview between the 49ers and Lions San Francisco 49ers The formula for the Niners is simple. Eliminated from the playoffs last week, San Francisco is playing for pride. Kyle Shanahan will not rest starters and will look to conclude a disappointing campaign on a positive note. Expect the starters to play their normal roles and allotment of snaps. QB Brock Purdy will be a QB1 facing a defense that is allowing the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Additionally, Detroit’s defense has been decimated by injuries. Also, if Campbell does limit his defensive starter’s snaps, Purdy could rack up some solid production. There is also good news in the backfield as starter Issac Guerendo is expected back after missing Week 16. Guernedo (hamstring/foot) was removed from the injury report. Detroit’s elite run-stopping defense is starting to fall apart. That sets up Guerendo to see a lot of volume as a strong RB2 play. Jauan Jennings and Deebo Samuel are also strong options against a defense that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to the position. Both are solid top-20 options in our Week 17 projections. And at tight end, George Kittle remains an every-week elite starter. However, no team has allowed fewer fantasy points to tight end than these Lions, so expectations should be somewhat tempered. Fanduel line: 5/65 (11.5 pts.) Detroit Lions Things are more complicated for fantasy managers who have been riding Detroit players to their fantasy championship matchup. Unfortunately, unless you have pivots on San Francisco’s roster, there isn’t a lot you can do. However, daily fantasy players might want to take note of some of the recent player lines and odds movements. QB Jared Goff doesn’t run much and avoids hits. He has less chance of getting hurt and could easily play the entire game. Especially if Campbell stays true to his aggressive nature and wants to exact some revenge for last year’s NFC Championship Game defeat at the hands of Shanahan and the Niners. Goff’s passing line (247.5) hasn’t decreased notably and he is still -192 to go OVER 1.5 touchdown passes. At running back, Jahmyr Gibbs‘s rushing prop has dropped five yards down to 79.5. He remains an elite option and can make an impact in just a half. Even if there is some risk of Gibbs being limited, fantasy managers have no choice but to stick with a top-3 back in this slate. Even if Gibbs was limited, there isn’t much clarity behind him. Craig Reynolds is the next man up but isn’t anywhere near the talent that David Montgomery was. Reynolds has some size and could be used in short-yardage, but he has only recorded one catch all season. Fanduel line: 83 rushing yds., 4/22 receiving (14.5 pts.) After Reynolds, Sione Vaki has mostly played special teams and has nine touches all season. Jermar Jefferson out-touched Vaki last week and could be an interesting (and inexpensive) DFS dart throw. Amon-Ra St. Brown is too good to sit. Even if there were viable replacements. St. Brown’s receiving prop has only dipped three yards, down to 73.5. Fanduel line: 7/71 (14.1 pts.) Jameson Williams also remains a decent option but the matchup isn’t great. San Francisco plays disciplined defense and has surrendered just 12 touchdowns to enemy wideouts all season. Fanduel line: 4/52 (9.2 pts.) If available, Tim Patrick would make a savvy waiver add as insurance to St. Brown or Williams. Allen Robinson and Tom Kennedy are next in line but are well off the fantasy radar except as DFS dart throws. Tight end Sam LaPorta has been hot lately and has a fantasy score prop line of 11 PPR points. That puts him in TE1 range. Fantasy managers looking for other options could consider Brock Wright, who has flashed some red-zone chemistry with Goff. TL;DR – We’re skeptical that the Lions will rest starters enough to justify taking your studs out of championship lineups. Thanks for reading our Monday Night Preview! The 2024 NFL season is almost over but it’s not too late to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! 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NFL DFS Monday Night Football: Cowboys vs Chargers Draftkings Fantasy Lineup Advice From High-Stakes Winner
NFL DFS Monday Night Football: Cowboys vs Chargers This article will help you build your NFL Draftkings DFS Monday Night Football lineups for tonight’s Cowboys-Chargers matchup. The 2023 Week 6 NFL schedule comes to a close with Monday Night Football. The 2-2 Los Angeles Chargers host the 3-2 Dallas Cowboys. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium. Today we analyze from a DFS perspective the fantasy player projections from Shawn Childs. WHO IS SHAWN CHILDS? Quite simply, Shawn is the brains behind many of the metrics and projections at FullTime Fantasy. He has an extensive history in the fantasy industry, including being enshrined into the NFBC Baseball Hall of Fame. Shawn was previously the No. 2 most accurate DFS ranker and boasts several big DFS wins including over $200,000 last season at Draftkings. Shawn has the proven history and versatility you won’t find ANYWHERE else. Let’s dive right into the projections typically reserved for Fulltime Fantasy members, by team and by position: Chargers-Cowboys Projections KICKERS & DEFENSE/ST DAL, Brandon Aubrey 9.0 projected points $5,000. LAC, Cameron Dicker 8.0 projected points $4,400. DAL DST 6.8 projected points $3,800. LAC DST 5.3 projected points $3,200. Dak Prescott appears to slightly edge out Justin Herbert tonight. Prescott is cheaper ($10,000 to $10,800) and has a higher projected finish (23.89 to 22.15). At RB, Tony Pollard is the big winner here with a 3-point bonus for 100 yards rushing and 27 projected fantasy points. Ekeler is still in for a solid night but his salary essentially prices him out of play. Pollard is the most valuable RB tonight at $9,600, however for the Captain spot that provides a 1.5X boost, even he takes a back seat to teammate and WR CeeDee Lamb who is also projected for 27 fantasy points but at only a $9,000 price tag. For that reason, Lamb should be your choice at Captain in Showdown slates. Michael Gallup appears to be the top-value play of the night. He’s projected to produce 9 fantasy points at a mere $2,800. That leaves us with $14,100 to spend allowing us to squeeze in the services of Justin Herbert who boasts a 2.05 value score, higher than that of Keenan Allen (1.85). Obviously, feel free to mix and match all of the higher-value players for your own contest selections tonight. For a contrarian build, Pollard or Prescott are acceptable Captains. However, you’ll have to pivot down from Herbert to Keenan Allen to afford the Chargers Defense in the last flex spot. Happy Lineup Building! Finally, are you a Die-Hard Fantasy Football Player? CLICK HERE to Start Your Road to the 2023 Fantasy Football World Championships.