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MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 9/1

In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally one pitcher on FD and two on DK with a three-player stack and one to two one-off bats) that will find their way into 100% of my lineups. The idea of locking in a core is to limit, for lack of a better term, “randomness” across our lineups. By mixing and matching a few bats around our core across all lineups, we’re able to rule out some tough lineup decisions we may face while not getting completely overwhelmed with a large pool of players. Below I’ve outlined the pitchers, stacks, and one-offs that I’m considering incorporating into my core for tonight. Top Pitchers Jon Gray (COL) Gray has seen the Padres quite a bit being an NL West Division foe and has had success against them, especially in San Diego. Over six starts, spanning 35 innings pitched, Gray has 47 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA. The Padres offense has been a disaster all year long and Gray, who went seven innings with seven strikeouts and no earned runs allowed in his last start in San Diego should bounce back after a rough outing his last time out. Dylan Bundy (BAL) Bundy has been a fucking disaster in his last four starts and quite frankly hasn’t had a good year at all. However, at 6.2K on FD and 7K on DK you’re getting great value here if none of the guys in the upper echelon of salaries excite you. The Royals offense has not been good all season, Bundy sees a positive park shift, and I’m sure he hasn’t forgotten how the Royals demolished him earlier this season (don’t look at this box score). Bundy pitches well tonight and lets you pay up for bats on FD and slides in as an SP2 option on DK. Kevin Gausman (ATL) Gausman is in play on both FD and DK against the Pirates who simply are just not hitting right now, and quite frankly I think they’ve run out of gas. Gausman, who the Braves fleeced the Orioles for at the trade deadline for as far as I’m concerned, has pitched well in three of his last four starts, one of which came against the Pirates. In that outing, he went eight innings with five strikeouts, four hits against, and no earned runs allowed. The Pirates have a team wOBA of .288 (sixth-worst in baseball) and a .101 ISO (third-worst) over the last two weeks. Core Stacks Twins Jorge Polanco, Miguel Sano, Max Kepler The Twins take on Yovani Gallardo and the Rangers in Texas again tonight where the warm weather should help put runs on the board as it did last night as these two teams combined for 17 runs. Sano, who hits righties well, should feast on Gallardo who allows a .393 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Kepler has hit 13 of his 18 home runs against righties to go along with a 39 percent hard-hit rate. Polanco will have the benefit of the platoon-split for the duration of the game being a switch hitter putting him in a good spot, especially while Gallardo is in the game with his .373 wOBA against righties. Cardinals Matt Carpenter, Yadier Molina, Paul DeJong Yes, I’m going back to the well tonight as I LOVE this spot for the Cardinals. Luis Castillo has given up five earned runs in two of his last three starts and has been throttled by left-handed hitters. Insert, Matt Carpenter. He homered last night, he homers tonight, next player. Yadi Molina. One for five last night, but he’s generally as steady as they come in the two-spot for the Cardinals right behind Carpenter. DeJong hit a home run last night against Donger Bailey (shocker) as he continues to hammer right-handed pitching. Castillo has struggled, the Reds bullpen has been trash, the Cards put up the runs against tonight. Top One-off Bats More often than not these are value/underpriced high upside bats, otherwise, they could be bats that I simply have to have in all of my lineups. At times they’ll serve as salary relief allowing you to mix and match some exposure with higher-priced bats throughout our lineups. Trey Mancini (BAL) Mancini, who hits righties well with 16 of his 20 home runs coming against the reverse-split faces Heath Fillmyer who has allowed 2.39 HR/9 and a .357 wOBA against righties. Mancini has multiple hits in four of his last six games with four doubles, a triple, and three home runs over that span. Kole Calhoun (LAA) Calhoun started off this season horribly but has started to pick up the pace a bit in the second half. On the season he has just a .305 wOBA against righties but has a .204 ISO and an 18.4 HR/FB rate to go along with a 44 percent hard-hit rate. Calhoun has multiple hits in two of his last four games and at 2.4K on FD and 3.8K on DK he stands out as a value bat to look at. GOOD LUCK!

MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/31

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MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/29

We have a short three-game slate on both sites this afternoon which obviously limits our options, specifically when building multiple lineups. In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally one pitcher on FD and two on DK with a three-player stack and one to two one-off bats) that will find their way into 100% of my lineups. The idea of locking in a core is to limit, for lack of a better term, “randomness” across our lineups. By mixing and matching a few bats around our core across all lineups, we’re able to rule out some tough lineup decisions we may face while not getting completely overwhelmed with a large pool of players. Below I’ve outlined the pitchers, stacks, and one-offs that I’m considering incorporating into my core for tonight. Top Pitchers Michael Fulmer (DET) Fulmer is priced at 7.2K on both sites this afternoon and is the guy that I’m locking in on both FD and DK. Simply put, I don’t trust Danny Duffy against a Tigers team that hit lefties well and I don’t feel the need to pay up for Dallas Keuchel, a guy who in my mind has limited upside, specifically against a dangerous A’s team. Those reasons mainly are what make me lean on Fulmer. The righty was limited to 77 pitches in his last start, his first start in over a month after a DL stint but should be a full go in this outing tonight. At his salary, he will help you pay up for some appealing bats while being productive against a Royals team that he’s had success against. Alec Mills (CHC) Mills is the SP2 play I’m locking in on DK. He’s priced at 5.8K and is coming off of a good outing against the Reds in which he went 5.2 innings, allowed three hits, one earned run, and struck out eight. The wind will play a bit of a factor here blowing in from left at 10-plus miles-per-hour. The Mets have scored 24 runs in their last 9 games and in two of those they scored six and five respectively. The offense is atrocious on a day to day basis. Mills will pitch well and should go five-plus again and earn a win at a great salary. Core Stack Cubs Javy Baez, Anthony Rizzo, David Bote Jason Vargas is a disaster and has been just that of late other than a good start against the Nationals who have pretty much quit as a team, outside of beating the fuck out of the Mets bullpen this past weekend and beating the Phillies bullpen last night. Vargas has been killed by the Orioles and Phillies with a 6.49 and 4.47 FIP respectively. Righties have a .393 wOBA against Vargas and he’s allowed 2.02 HR/9 along with a 17.5 HR/FB rate. Baez has a .397 wOBA, .288 ISO, 31.8 percent HR/FB rate, and a 39 percent hard-hit rate against lefties. Bote, who’s burst onto the scene, has a .428 wOBA, .273 ISO, 48 percent hard-hit rate, and a 25 percent hard-hit rate against southpaws. Rizzo slides in here hitting the ball well over his last 13 games with a 41 percent hard-hit rate and a 37 percent fly-ball rate. Over this stretch, Rizzo has six doubles, five home runs, and seven multi-hit games. God knows what the lineup Joe Maddon throws out here, but ideally, these three bats will be in the top five of the order this afternoon and be productive. Top One-off Bat More often than not these are value/underpriced high upside bats, otherwise, they could be bats that I simply have to have in all of my lineups. At times they’ll serve as salary relief allowing you to mix and match some exposure with higher-priced bats throughout our lineups. Nick Castellanos (DET) Castellanos has been a lefty killer all season and faces one whom he’s had some moderate success against in the past. While he’s 10-36 against Duffy (.278 average for the people that still care about batting average) four of those hits have gone for extra bases (two doubles, one triple, and one home run). Against lefties, this season Castellanos has posted a .460 wOBA, .225 ISO, 51 percent hard-hit rate, and a 23 percent HR/FB rate. Castellanos will be the first outfielder I lock in today. GOOD LUCK!

Fantasy Baseball: Week 23 Closer Report

Senior Fantasy Baseball Expert Shawn Childs takes a look at each team’s bullpen to help you find the next closer to provide saves. Get ready to DOMINATE!

MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/27

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MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/25

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MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/24

In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally one pitcher on FD and two on DK with a three-player stack and one to two one-off bats) that will find their way into 100% of my lineups. The idea of locking in a core is to limit, for lack of a better term, “randomness” across our lineups. By mixing and matching a few bats around our core across all lineups, we’re able to rule out some tough lineup decisions we may face while not getting completely overwhelmed with a large pool of players. Below I’ve outlined the pitchers, stacks, and one-offs that I’m considering incorporating into my core for tonight. Top Pitchers Mike Clevinger (CLE) Clevinger is coming off a great start against the Orioles and faces another pathetic offense tonight in the Royals. Clevinger’s numbers have been good all season and especially good on the road. He’s gone at least six innings in three of his last four outings and outside of a start against the Reds has kept his walk rate very low over his last five outings. The Indians will come back off of a shutout loss yesterday against the Red Sox and give Sunshine adequate run supports propelling him to a quality start and win at a fair price on both sites. Mike Foltynewicz (ATL) Folty has been fantastic in his last two starts, one of which came against the Miami Marlins. He’s gone seven and eight innings in his last two outings with nine and seven strikeouts. Walks are always a worry with Folty, but against a Marlins team that has walked just 6.4 percent of the time over the last month, it becomes somewhat of a mute point. Over that same month’s span, Miami has just a .278 wOBA and a .115 ISO and this park shift will be in Folty’s favor. He’s the highest priced pitcher on DK, as he was in his last start when I said he would pitch well, and I was right. He’ll pitch well tonight again and is in play on both sites. Michael Fulmer (DET) Fulmer is almost certainly my guy at SP2 tonight if I’m playing DK taking on the White Sox at 7.7K. He faces the White Sox for the second time this season after pitching well against them on July 7th. Chicago continues to be without Jose Abreu helping Fulmer who will be pitching for the first time since July 14th. With a strong groundball rate and great salary Fulmer is at the top at SP2 for me. UPDATE: Fulmer may be limited to around 70 pitches tonight which diminishes his upside a little bit. Core Stacks Athletics Khris Davis, Matt Chapman, Matt Olson The A’s have been one of the hottest, if not the hottest team in baseball over the last month and I don’t see them slowing down anytime soon against Jake Odorizzi. Not so much this season, but Odorizzi has a history of being susceptible against the reverse-split and in a ballpark like Target Field, a park that caters to right-handed power hitters, is in a bad spot against Matt Chapman and Khris Davis. Chapman has a .250 ISO, .378 wOBA, and 44.6 percent hard-hit rate against righties. Davis is no slouch either with a .327 ISO, .387 wOBA, and 46.3 percent hard-hit rate. Matt Olson has killed righties all season long with a .239 ISO and .342 wOBA. The A’s get the guaranteed extra at-bat on the road and have a positive park shift to deal with putting them at the top for me tonight. Diamondbacks David Peralta, Eduardo Escobar, Daniel Descalso The Dbacks have scored 14 runs in their last three games and face Erasmo Ramirez who’s due to get beat up a bit. He’s allowed a 45 percent hard-contact rate over his four starts this season but has allowed just one earned run over his last two, against the Astros and Dodgers, two solid offenses. Tonight he takes on another solid offense in the Dbacks who as I said are scoring runs at a high rate right now. Peralta continues to destroy the baseball out of the three hole, Eduardo Escobar has hammered righties all season, and Descalso has a 92-mile-per-hour exit velocity and 62 percent fly-ball rate over his last nine games. I like the lefties in this spot. Top One-off Bats More often than not these are value/underpriced high upside bats, otherwise, they could be bats that I simply have to have in all of my lineups. At times they’ll serve as salary relief allowing you to mix and match some exposure with higher-priced bats throughout our lineups. Starling Marte (PIT) Over the last two seasons, Wade Miley has allowed nearly two HR/9 to right-handed hitters. Marte has hits in nine of ten games against the Brewers this season, including two doubles, five home runs, and two stolen bases over that stretch. With his ability to steal bases (28 on the season) and power upside (17 home runs, .186 ISO which is a career high), Marte is priced well as a good one-off to plug into your lineups. Ender Inciarte (ATL) In a game in which the Braves should score some runs, Inciarte comes in as a nice value play and should be hitting second in the batting order once again. He has hits in each of his last six games including a 2-4 effort with a home run last night against these same Marlins. What separates Inciarte here is his ability to steal bases. He has 24 steals on the season and Dan Straily, the Marlins’ starter has allowed a 62 percent success rate to opposing base stealers over the last two seasons. GOOD LUCK!