KBO DFS – Wed July 1st
OUCH! That’s all I can about the Hanwha-Kia PPD last night. Got up for my lineup and validated everyone was in and then went back to bed. Dagger as half my lineup was from that game and anyone who followed
KBO Dongers Club – Tue, June 9th
WEATHER No issues, all games play. PITCHING It really looks like a garbage slate in terms of pitching but most of that is due to a lack of strikeout potential today. I do think we’ll see the pitchers do alright today across the board but nobody is going off with a 25 or a 30 today. Doosan’s pitcher, Je Young Jo, is making his debut and is not in the DraftKings player pool. So given that I really don’t like anyone but I also don’t hate anyone, where should we go? Should we go with the $10,100 priced Hyun Jong Yang? He’s the best strikeout arm on the slate and faces a lineup that is heavy with lefties in it — but is getting back their cleanup bat in Baek Ho Kang? 10.1k? No thanks. How about Casey Kelley (Not Min Ho Lee as previously reported) starting against the lowly SK Wyverns? No thanks, he is coming off a rough start and I don’t see the heavy upside there. No, my friends. We are going full Dongers Club theories here. The Hanwha Eagles manager resigned which lead to North Korea saying today that they are cutting all ties with South Korea right now. Seems like a pretty drastic measure on North Korea’s part, but I got it on good intel that North Korea has put a kill out today if the “We screw the Dongers Club a” Lotte Giants beat Hanwha with an interim manager. So let’s drink a beer, go to sleep and wake up to a nice 6 inning performance from our Low Rider. Of course I am speaking of Warwick Saupold – $9500 – Hanwha Eagles Who gets to face our ole Eleanor the Lotte Giants in a stadium that I have been hyping up for the past few days despite getting constantly burned by it. This should go really well. Okay… So what’s next? Oh. You need me to pick a second pitcher? Fine, I’ll do the “smart” thing here and go with … no, you know what. We are going full fraud tout today. That’s right ladies and gentlemen. Hold the phone. We got an idea here. I’m telling you, all the crazies approve of this one… That’s right ladies and gentlemen and aliens who are about to invade America now that COVID is over and our short attention spans are wading from social justice. Obviously I am talking about a HEDGE play. And here’s how it’s gonna work. We roster BOTH pitchers in the Hanwha-Lotte game. Yes. Both Warwick Saupold and the pitcher on the other team. We play that on our main lineup and then we just do a second lineup which is a full game stack…. Nevermind that the other pitcher is Adrian Sampson, don’t sweat that part. This is the play folks. Eleanor (Lotte’s Stadium) can’t fail us here! HITTING So obviously we need good plays to pair for the main lineup and just go Hanwha/Lotte (what the fuck?) on our second lineup. KIA TIGERS … They’re my favorite play today and the Tucker-Woo Choi 3/4 combination is expensive but if you punt at pitcher today you can easily get them in a full bat heavy lineup. NC DINOS … The obvious chalk today. Usual suspects here with Sung Bum Na and Eui Ji Yang. Doosan Bears … They are heavy underdogs because they’re on the road and facing the mighty Dino’s with a pitcher making his debut, but they get an equally bad option on the hill on the other side and we shouldn’t ignore that no doubt they get that 9th inning at bat. Both sides in this game make sense, but Doosan 1-5 is the spot to go heavier on. Unfortunately it’s always hard to stack them because they play 3 positions. I love the price here on Jae Il Oh at $3800 and would make him 1B along with Joo Hwan Choi at 2B for only $2400. Take the value on the road getting that 9th inning AB. They will be extremely low owned against a LHP but have done ok vs southpaws. POSITIONAL TARGETS CATCHER Eui Ji Yang – Dinos Seung Taek Han – Tigers FIRST BASE Jae Il Oh – Bears Roberto Ramos – LG SECOND BASE Jin Hyuk No – Dinos … Value play today. Joo Hwan Choi – Bears THIRD BASE Tyler Saladino – Lions Suk Min Park – Dinos SHORTSTOP Sun Bin Kim – Tigers Ha Seong Kim – Heroes OUTFIELD Preston Tucker – Tigers Hyung Woo Choi – Tigers Ji Wan Na – Tigers Sung Bum Na – Dinos LINEUP CONSTRUCTION So obviously we need good plays to pair for the main lineup and just go Hanwha/Lotte (what the fuck?) on our second lineup. Saupold / Sampson + Mix of optimal plays Lotte/Hanwha gamestack with Hyun Jong Yang anchoring the pitching Completely punt on pitching and pay up for the studs at the hitting spots.
KBO: Dongers Club – Sat June 6th
Two games begin at 1:00 AM (afternoon games in S. Korea) while the others start at 4:00 AM. WEATHER All fine. PITCHING This is a pretty good slate for pitching on paper and it’s headlined by an ACE up top. Chang Mo Koo – $9,300 (Dinos) This is basically getting Gerrit Cole against the Detroit Tigers and getting him at a very affordable price. Complete snooze job on the part of DraftKings with regards to pricing as usual. Chang Mo Koo has posted a 28 or better in all five starts this season and now gets to face the worst team/offense in the league in an extremely good park for pitching. Someone with his solid strikeout rate over a large sample size should be about 98% owned today with the 2% thinking they are smart/cute if he somehow pulls a muscle yawning at the lack of competition on the other side. Yeah, it’s a day game and weird things can happen to ace pitchers in day games. I don’t care. He’s the play. Jong Hoon Park – $7,400 (Wyverns) Right back to picking on the Samsung Lions with another Wyverns pitcher. A guy who can give us 5-6 innings, and does fairly well keeping the ball in the park while facing a weak offense. Not much else to focus on here. Others who I don’t hate, but don’t love: Chris Flexen, Tyler Wilson, Chae Heung Choi TEAM STACKS (Teams to go 4+ players from) Giants … They have decent contact numbers and are facing a non strike-out arm. I like this combination and will go back to this game heavy again tonight on both sides where I think we can finally get away from the Bears and Dino’s dominating a slate. Really like Dixon Machado who has been good vs RHP and gets overlooked batting so low in the order, so he is a nice 4th player to stack here along with Son, Jeon and Lee. The Lotte Giants haven’t been tearing it up but the KT Wiz do possess the worst bullpen in the league. They’ll break through. Twins … In theory this is the chalk spot today. But it’s a little mixed going up against a LHP. None the less, it’s a Eun Sung Chae day if he does start but he was banged up last night. Don’t ignore the lefties in this lineup (Ramos/Kim) CONTRARIAN TEAM Wyverns … Like them vs a LHP. Jamie Romak/Jeong Choi heart of the order combination. Romak is a nice higher $ pivot play today who comes in usually around 10% owned. POSITIONAL TARGETS CATCHER Two really good options here today but if Kang Nam is starting I’ll pay down for him. Kang Nam Yoo – LG Eui Ji Yang – NCD FIRST BASE Roberto Ramos – LG … Has done fine LvL Jae Hwan Kim – DOO SECOND BASE Chi Hong An – LOT … It feels like chasing off a HR yesterday but really he’s in a good spot, too cheap as well. Jose Fernandez – DOO THIRD BASE Jeong Choi – SK … He and Hwang are the only two 3B doing anything right now. It’s here or punt. SHORTSTOP Dixon Machado – LOT Hye Sung Kim – KIW OUTFIELD Jun Woo Jeon – Giants … Has over .200 ISO this year vs RHP Jamie Romak – Wyverns Mel Rojas Jr – Wiz Hyun Soo Kim – Twins Value Ah Seop Son – Giants Eun Sung Chae – Twins … Questionable, start at own risk. 4PM Start time, so unless you are up, I’d be very cautious. Value is great though if he is in CHAIRMAN OF THE DONGERS CLUB Dixon Machado – Lotte Giants LINEUP CONSTRUCTION THOUGHTS Lock in a single 4 to 5 man stack with atleast 2 good value players from it (meaning sub 3600 or so) — Examples above Make sure you get one of the 5k+ studs who is always raking and chalky — Romak/Rojas/Yang/J.Fernandez top options today Your ownership pivot is either one of these three things daily Pivoting onto a lower owned STACK — Giants, Wyverns Leverage against the chalky SP — Use Chad Bell or Hanwha (seems stupid, but, fits the criteria) A lower owned/high upside SP2 — Jong Hoon Park Good luck!
KBO: Dongers Club – June 4th
WEATHER All fine PITCHING Erik Jokisch ($9500 – Kiwoom Heroes) … One of these days law of averages will strike on the Eagles doing well. Today is not that day. Jokisch has been one of the best arms so far in the KBO and he faces the worst team in the league offensively. Load him up for a big strikeout performance. Aaron Brooks ($8000 – Kia Tigers) … Brooks gets a team in Lotte who hasn’t been very good against RHP this season and his 20% strikeout rate for his price is far better in my mind than Rucinski in a worse spot for more money. Chan Heong Jung ($6500 – LG Twins) … Really like the Twins today and this would be taking a shot at locking up the W and correlating w/ the stack. TEAM STACKS LG Twins … I really don’t see them getting swept at home by Samsung. Through the first two games they’ve gotten shutout and whooped 12-6. Today they turn it around Doosan Bears … Can’t get too upset that they were shutout last night, but I sense some folks will shy away from them for other spots. Load up on the plethora of lefties they have 1-5 here. POSITIONAL TARGETS CATCHER Eui Ji Yang (NCD) Dong Won Park (KIW) FIRST BASE Roberto Ramos (LG) Jae Hwan Kim (DOO) SECOND BASE Min Woo Park (NCD) Hye Sung Kim (KIW) THIRD BASE Jae Gyun Hwang (KTW) Hyoung Min Hur (DOO) SHORTSTOP Ha Seong Kim (KIW) Sung Bin Kim (KIA) OUTFIELD – Tier 1 Aaron Altherr (NCD) Ji wan Na (KIA) Hyun Soo Kim (LG) Ho Ryung Kim (KIA)
KBO: Dongers Club – June 3rd
WEATHER No issues PITCHING Don’t say I didn’t warn you about yesterday’s slate. One lesson to remember is when we have a projected chalky pitcher that looks iffy like Despaigne (and Lee in hindsight) there’s a TON of upside in going the leverage route of simply doing a stack against that chalky pitcher. The numbers being what they are in KBO with higher chalk and less hitting competition (because of fewer teams), it really can pay off when we have spots like yesterday. Just something to always throw out there as an option building your lineups. Casey Kelly – $8,800 – LG Twins Samsung has almost no power. Kelly gives up almost no homers. He’s SP1 today. Geon Wook Lee – $6,300 – SK Wyverns Tough to pick on the Dino’s normally but this is the best mid range/value pitcher on the board and only Sung Bum Na — who has been hitting everyone — has hit lefties from the Dino’s this year consistently. Really strong consideration to play Lee tonight even on my main lineup. Warwick Saupold – $9,500 – Hanwha Eagles Saupold isn’t going to go out and strikeout 10 batters, but when you are going 6+ innings and normally giving up 3 or fewer runs that’s what we call a nice quality start and while the $9500 price may not feel like an easy thing to do without 30 point ceiling, it sure beats getting Despaigne’d with a -19 doesn’t it? TEAM STACKS DOOSAN BEARS The Bears come in as a heavy favorite in a game with a 12.5 total compared to the next highest game at 9.5 So yeah, this is where everyone will go without knowing a single thing about what has happened so far in this KBO season and it’s justified going up against Hyeong Jun So. SK Wyverns Jeong Choi moved down in the order and still had a big game. SK is rolling, hard to pass on them right now and facing a lefty gives the heart of the order a boost. POSITIONAL TARGETS CATCHER Eui Ji Yang (NCD) Kang Nam Yoo (LG) FIRST BASE Jose Fernandez (DOO) Jamie Romak (SK) SECOND BASE Kyung Soo Park (KTW) Jae Woh Oh (DOO) THIRD BASE Jeong Choi (SK) Jae Gyun Hwang SHORTSTOP Jae Ho Kim (DOO) Jin Nyuk Ho (NCD) OUTFIELD Mel Rojas Jr (KTW) Jae Hwan Kim (DOO) Kun Woo Park (DOO) Sung Bum Na (NCD) Value OF Eun Sung Chae (LG) Ji Wan Na (KIA)
KBO DFS – Fri May 8th
As we all continue to anxiously wait for MLB to return, we continue to have baseball in the form of the KBO, which I’ve actually enjoyed to be honest. The tricky aspect of our new-found DFS sport will continue to be lineup confirmation coming in the very early morning hours. With that said, here’s my view of the Friday, May 8th slate. Today’s Games Yellow Highlighted Team Is Favored Away Pitcher DK $ Home Pitcher DK $ KT Wiz Hyeong Jun So $4,000 Doosan Bears (-190) Hee Kwan Yoo $8,500 Hanwha Eagles Min Jae Jang $8,500 Kiwoom Heroes (-170) Seung Ho Lee $8,000 SK Wyverns (-120) Seung Won Moon $8,200 Lotte Giants Kyung Eun Noh $6,500 LG Twins (-115) Tyler Wilson $7,800 NC Dinos Jae Hak Lee $9,800 KIA Tigers (-145) Drew Gagnon $7,000 Samsung Lions Chae Heung Choi $5,000 Pitchers Tyler Wilson (LG Twins) We want pitchers that go deep and show damage control. Strikeout upside is a bonus, of course and Wilson has all of the above-mentioned traits. As long as Wilson doesn’t have a shortened pitch count (he was in quarantine for 14 days thus starting the season late), we can expect the righty to pitch deep. Last season in 30 starts Wilson tossed 185 innings with a 6.7 K/9. The season prior over 26 starts he posted a 7.9 K/9 over 170 innings. He’s kept the ball in the ballpark over his first two seasons in the KBO as well, thus, limiting damage. Seung Ho Lee (Kiwoom Heros) 20-year-old Seung Ho Lee had some rocky outings early on last season but ended up tossing 14 quality tarts an allowed just one earned run over his final 18 innings of the year. While the K upside might not jump off the page here, consider that Lee is in a good spot as a favorite for a good offensive team it seems in the Heroes. Drew Gagnon (KIA Tigers) Former Met “great” in the majors, Gagnon (was not actually great in the majors over his two seasons) is a 29-year-old who did have some success in the minor in the Mets’ organization. In 2019 at triple-A he held opponents to a .230 batting average in 15 starts spanning 88.2 innings with 107 strikeouts and 17 walks and had a WHIP of 1.07. The year prior at the triple-A level when the Mets’ affiliate was still playing in the Las Vegas (the PCL) where the ball flies and all of the stadiums are bandboxes, Gagnon’s numbers, although inflated considering the circumstances, were still respectable as far as peripherals go over 157.2 innings. At $7,800 for a pitcher, who’s team is favored, expect him to be somewhat popular but an arm to consider nonetheless. Batting Targets Doosan Bears The defending KBO champs facing an 18-year-old in his league debut seems like a good spot to start with bats on this slate. Doosan has scored 14 runs over there last two games while pounding out 14 hits in their last game. Jose Fernandez (1B/2B), Jae il Oh (1B), and Jae Hwan Kim (1B/OF) have all gotten off to good starts this season and are the projected 2, 3, and 4 hitters. Jae Ho Kim (SS) is a good value at $3,300, has five hits in his last nine at-bats, and was in the six-hole in the Bears’ last game. Kiwoom Heroes I’ve been on the Heroes train quite heavily early on and it’s been both successful and gut-wrenching. Facing Min Jae Jang who has some strikeout upside but the propensity to get into trouble with traffic on the bases as last year he suffered from a 5.43 ERA in 22 starts and was able to toss just seven quality starts. Kiwoom was the best offense in the KBO last year by far and I expect them to start flexing their muscles much as they did in their first game when the recorded 11 runs. Byung Ho Park (1B), Ha Seong Kim (SS), and Keon Chang Seo (1B/2B) are three bats to start with Seo being a great value near the top of the order. Jung Ho Lee (OF) is another bat in the middle of the lineup, but consider that he’s not a big power-bat rather a high-average doubles guy with some speed. Definitely someone worthwhile in a stack as he’s the three-hitter for Kiwoom. One-off Bats C: Sang Ho Chung (NC Dinos) 1B: Dae Ho Lee (Lotte Giants) 2B: Min Hyeok Kim (KT Wiz) 3B: Jeong Choi (KT Wiz) SS: Sun Bin Kim (KIA Tigers) OF: Sung Bum Na (NC Dinos), Hyung Woo Choi (KIA Tigers) Good Luck!!