2025 Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Preview
2025 Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Preview The Chiefs won another AFC title, but the humiliating blowout loss to the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX. Andy Reid somehow got 17 wins out of a team that regressed to 17th in total offense and scored just 22.6 points per game. Kansas City’s defense, however, was exemplary. For fantasy football, the main concern is if this regression is permanent or if the Chiefs can rebound after two ‘down’ seasons for Patrick Mahomes. After posting overall QB1 numbers in 2022, Mahomes barely qualified as a QB1 in 2025. He posted his fewest passing yards (3,928) and touchdowns (26) since becoming a starter. With a promising second-year class of signal-callers, Mahomes is no longer a locked-in top-5 fantasy option. Instead, he should be viewed as a solid QB1, but no longer one for fantasy managers to go out of their way to target early on draft day. Kansas City’s backfield will be productive, but not necessarily in a predictive manner for fantasy purposes. Kareem Hunt re-signed, which indicates the committee backfield with Isiah Pacheco will continue. Additionally, the addition of Elijah Mitchell adds another player to the mix. Pacheco’s stock has plummeted, making him and Hunt mere late-round fliers. Overall, Kansas City’s receiving corps has three fantasy options worth targeting and offers some hope that the powerhouse offenses we’re accustomed to can return. The Chiefs re-signed Marquise Brown, who missed most of the 2024 campaign. Rashee Rice got off to a fast start before tearing his LCL in Week 4. Rice is expected to be fully recovered and ready to resume his role as KC’s No. 1 wideout. 2024 first-rounder Xavier Worthy produced nine touchdowns but never hit 80 receiving yards in a regular-season tilt. Rookie Jalen Royals and veteran Juju Smith-Schuster will vie for reserve roles. Gone are the days of TE Travis Kelce carrying fantasy squads to titles. Kelce, who turns 35 in October, is on a three-year slide in receptions, yards, touchdowns, and yards after catch. He should still be viewed as a fantasy TE1, but the days of dominating with Mahomes/Kelce stacks appear firmly in the past. No. 2 tight end Noah Gray has made strides in each of his four NFL seasons and could factor into Kansas City’s weekly game plan. Gray offers plenty of late-round sleeper appeal for fantasy managers with deeper rosters. Fantasy Grade: B- QB Mahomes, Patrick, KC [QB1] One down season is a coincidence, but Patrick Mahomes has now had two rather disappointing campaigns. Granted, he set the bar incredibly high, but we’re starting to wonder if this is who Mahomes is now. His yardage, touchdowns, adjusted completion rate, and yards per attempt have all declined in three consecutive years. Despite an improved supporting cast, Mahomes bottomed out in 2024, finishing as QB11. With most of the same group back, it’s now hard to see Mahomes rebounding to his previous glory days. Instead, view him for what he has been recently: a decent QB1 who lacks a path to top-5 numbers. ADVICE: Decent QB1 well behind the top tier. QB Minshew, Gardner, KC [QB2] If Patrick Mahomes misses time, Minshew will be in a prime position to throw three touchdowns and two interceptions a week. A name to keep in mind in really deep Superflex formats. RB Pacheco, Isiah, KC [RB1] Isiah Pacheco was a hot commodity last summer but had a forgettable, injury-marred season (fractured fibula, 310 rushing yards, one TD in seven games). He got 41 touches in KC’s first two games before sitting out until Week 13. Once he returned, Pacheco was clearly behind Kareem Hunt. With Hunt back in Kansas City, Andy Reid will resort to a committee backfield, with Elijah Mitchell also in play. Pacheco’s high-energy style gives him the most potential, but Hunt’s presence means fantasy managers should approach this backfield with caution. ADVICE: Has the highest ceiling in Kansas City’s backfield, but Pacheco looks like an RB4/Flex option at best. RB Hunt, Kareem, KC [RB2] Hunt took over as Kansas City’s main back after Isiah Pacheco fractured his fibula in Week 2. Andy Reid re-signed Hunt fairly early in the off-season, indicating that he will have a role with the Chiefs in 2025. Hunt has lost his burst, accounting for just 2.86 yards created per touch (51st) and ranking 41st in explosive play rate (71.4). But he did rack up 50 red-zone touches and will play valuable snaps in a high-octane Chiefs’ offense. That gives Hunt RB4/flex value. ADVICE: The Chiefs seem destined to use multiple backs, and Andy Reid likes what Hunt offers. He’s got week-to-week flex value. RB Smith, Brashard, KC [RB3] Sleeper As for the question of which KC back fantasy zealots should target, take a late-round stab on Brashard Smith. Smith’s usage in the passing game is intriguing, and he’s been seen throughout OTAs lining up in the slot. He racked up 1,659 yards and 18 scores last year and caught 108 passes in college. He also blazed a 4.39 40, making him an interesting weapon in Andy Reid’s offense. Read more about Smith in Jody Smith’s Preseason Pro. RB Mitchell, Elijah, KC [RB4] ADVICE: After three injury-marred seasons in San Francisco, where he averaged 4.7 yards per carry, Mitchell has an opportunity to carve out a valuable role in a Kansas City backfield that is decidedly unsettled. Solid late-round target in deeper leagues. WR Rice, Rashee, KC [WR1] Rashee Rice was off to a blistering start in 2024 before a knee injury ended his second season in Week 3. The good news on that front is that Rice did not tear his ACL and is already participating in OTAs. Before the injury, Rice looked like a WR1, averaging 96 receiving yards per game and scoring twice. Year Three breakouts are a popular target for fantasy managers, and Rice is shaping up to have his first 1,000-yard season. UPDATE: Rice is looking at a 4-6 game suspension THIS YEAR, which complicates his fantasy outlook.
Super Bowl LIX Preview
Super Bowl LIX Preview This is it—one final game in New Orleans. FullTime Fantasy‘s Super Bowl LIX breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective for Sunday’s Eagles vs. Chiefs showdown. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) Time: 6:30 Eastern from New Orleans, LA Line: Chiefs -1 Total: 49.5 Money Line: Eagles EVEN, Chiefs -120 Chiefs Offense It felt like the Chiefs were sleepwalking through games for a chunk of the regular season. They infamously were one of only four teams to not score more than 30 points all season. The other three teams are all near the top of the 2025 NFL Draft. However, Kansas City’s defense stepped up, allowing the fourth-fewest points. Our RDA* projections for Patrick Mahomes are similar to the current Vegas lines. Vegas projects Mahomes to have 251.5 passing yards, three more than RDA*. There may be some value in the under 1.5 touchdown passes at (+142). Mahomes has been under in both playoff games and five of his last seven overall. Vegas only projects Isiah Pacheco to garner 21.5 rushing yards- an appallingly low total. Our RDA* projections have him over 45. On the other hand, we see a split backfield, with Kareem Hunt also projected to top 45 rushing yards. This is more in line with the Vegas totals, which have Hunt forecasted to top 52 scrimmage yards. Here are the projected Vegas receiving totals for the Chiefs’ wideouts: Xavier Worthy – 56.5, +165 to score a TD Hollywood Brown – 41.5, +270 DeAndre Hopkins – 32.5, +650(!) Finally, here are the RDA* projections: Xavier Worthy – 52.7, 39% Hollywood Brown – 45.3, 30% DeAndre Hopkins – 40.3, 30% Travis Kelce always comes up big. And there’s a chance this is his final Super Bowl and there will undoubtedly be plenty of media attention. Vegas has Kelce’s total at 61.5 yards and +135 to score. Our numbers are 60.1 yards with 43% TD odds. Eagles Offense Jalen Hurts played well against the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII before a late fumble. His shot at redemption is here but it will be a much tougher Kansas City defense. The Chiefs are particularly potent against the run, which will force Hurts to go to the air. Hurts’ pass attempts prop of 27.5 is the highest it’s been since December 1. Only one running back rushed for more than 75 yards this season against Kansas City’s stout run D. However, Saquon Barkley exceeded 2,000 for the season and is no ordinary rusher. Still, his over/under of 110.5 rushing yards seems too high. Our RDA* projections are significantly lower, making the UNDER 110.5 one of the best values of this slate. A.J. Brown (6.4/86/.56) is our No. 1 wide receiver this week, and DeVonta Smtih (5.9/70.8/.44) comes in at No. 2. Conversely, the Chiefs were merely average defending wide receivers, allowing over 33 fantasy points per game to the position. Finally, at tight end, Dallas Goedert has an RDA* projection of four grabs for 45.3 yards and a solid 46% chance of scoring. The NFL season is almost over but it’s not too late to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES AND UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site updates! Like and share our new Facebook page! Be sure to pay attention to our giveaways for your shot at some sweet prizes!
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: SB LIX
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: SB LIX FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is
FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 22.
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Injury Report: Super Bowl
Injury Report: Super Bowl The 2024 football season concludes the way many people envisioned, a Super Bowl LIX between the Philadelphia Eagles and the two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs. However, with so much on the line playing Playoff Fantasy Football, monitoring injuries is as important as ever. Our Injury Report: Super Bowl will update you on the latest from both teams. Also, don’t forget to check out weekly rankings before you finalize this week’s lineups. Bookmarking our NFL Injury Report is also a great way to stay updated on the latest injuries. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Note: Andy Reid indicated the Kansas City Chiefs are fully healthy, with no players officially carrying an injury destination. However, WR Skyy Moore (core) was designated for return from IR and could be activated ahead of the game. Once again, Andy Reid said the Chiefs have no injuries ahead of their on-field preparation this week for the Super Bowl. — Nate Taylor (@ByNateTaylor) February 4, 2025 Kareem Hunt (RB) Kansas City Chiefs – A quad injury kept Hunt limited in practice. However, he is listed as a full participant and will play. Kenneth Gainwell (RB) Philadelphia Eagles – Questionable (concussion). Dallas Goedert (TE) Philadelphia Eagles – Goedert has missed practice time. However, it is considered veteran rest. He will be in the starting lineup. DeVonta Smith (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Smith (hamstring) was limited in last week’s practices. Smith was also limited on Wednesday. Cam Jurgens (LB) Philadephia Eagles – Jurgens is playing through a back injury. However, he told the media that he is “good to go” for Sunday. Cam Jurgens says he is good to go for Super Bowl LIX Credits the trainers for getting him ready #Eagles pic.twitter.com/3yuAAkCJUz — Eliot Shorr-Parks (@EliotShorrParks) February 4, 2025 Landon Dickerson (OL) Philadelphia Eagles – Dickerson has missed practice time with a knee but is fully expected to be ready to roll for the Super Bowl. Brandon Graham (DE) Philadelphia Eagles – Graham has been out since tearing his tricep in Week 12. Graham will need to be activated off IR to play. The star pass rusher indicates he’s on track to play in what is expected to be his final NFL game. Britain Covey (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Limited with a neck injury. Jalen Carter (DE) Philadelphia Eagles – Missed the media portion of Wednesday with an undisclosed illness. The 2025 NFL season is just getting started and it’s time to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES AND UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site updates! Like and share our new Facebook page! Be sure to pay attention to our giveaways for your shot at some sweet prizes!
Injury Report: Conference Championship (Updated)
Injury Report: Conference Championship We are down to the final four, so the reported injuries have cooled significantly. However, with so much on the line playing Playoff Fantasy Football, monitoring injuries is as important as ever. Our Injury Report: Conference Championship will update you on the latest from around the NFL. Also, don’t forget to check out weekly rankings before you finalize this week’s lineups. Bookmarking our NFL Injury Report is also a great way to stay updated on the latest injuries. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Jalen Hurts (QB) Philadelphia Eagles – There was no setback last week for Hurts (knee), who participated in Wednesday’s walk-thru practice. He will be good-to-go against Washington. UPDATE: Hurts will start. A.J. Brown (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Listed as limited, but it was a veteran rest day. No concerns. UPDATE: Brown will start, as expected. Dallas Goedert (TE) Philadelphia Eagles – Goedert missed a pair of practices with an ankle ailment. However, he will start on Sunday. Zach Ertz (TE) Washington Commanders – Veteran rest day on Wednesday. UPDATE: Ertz is good to go. Dalton Kincaid (TE) Buffalo Bills – Kincaid (knee) participated fully in Wednesday’s walk-through. Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – No injury designation. Britain Covey (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Covey (neck) returned to practice, opening the 21-day window in which he can be activated from IR. Mecole Hardman (WR) Kansas City Chiefs – Andy Reid said that Hardman (knee) will not play again this season. Every other Kanas City player practiced in full. Christian Benford (CB) Buffalo Bills – Benford is in the NFL’s concussion protocol but was able to practice in a limited capacity Wednesday. That’s a good sign that he is trending toward playing this week. LB Matt Milano (hamstring) and S Taylor Rapp (hip) are also questionable. Sam Cosmi (RG) Washington Commanders – Big loss for Washginton’s offensive line. Cosmi tore his ACL in Detroit and will miss the rest of the season. Sam Cosmi suffered a torn ACL in last night’s game Here’s to a quick recovery, 76 💪 pic.twitter.com/xobue5uupy — Washington Commanders (@Commanders) January 19, 2025 Quinyon Mitchell (CB) Washington Commanders – Mitchell is dealing with a shoulder injury but is expected to play. Dion Dawkins (LT) Buffalo Bills – Missed Wednesday’s walk-through with an undisclosed illness. Bobby Wagner (LB) Washington Commanders – Missed Wednesday’s practice with an ankle ailment. However, there is no concern he will miss Sunday’s game. FullTime Fantasy’s Playoff Fantasy Football Contests Play 1 or play all 3! YOU decide! Emil Kadlec Memorial Playoff Pick ‘Em — A FREE Single-Entry Contest. Maui Madness Playoff Pick’Em — ($25 or a 5-pack for $100) Playoff Draft World Championship $229 with NEW and improved league prizing! Maui Madness is still accepting entries until Conference Championship Weekend. The contest determines the winner by using your highest two weekly scores. While most fantasy football leagues have already concluded, that does not mean the fun is over. In fact, the best is yet to come for one skilled fantasy player! That person who can build the best fantasy lineup for the playoffs will win the grand prize of: A Trip for Four to Maui! The Grand Prize includes: • Resort Accommodations for 6 nights in Maui’s Five-Star Kaanapali Alii Resort (2BR-2BA) • Airfare for Four anywhere in the continental U.S. (up to $1000 for each person roundtrip airfare* • Grand Prize package worth an estimated $10,000! *certain date restrictions may apply 1 ENTRY = $25 5-PACK = $100 (that’s a $25 savings!) Find full scoring here.
AFC Championship Preview
AFC Championship Preview We are down to the final four. FullTime Fantasy‘s AFC Championship Preview breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective for Sunday’s Bills vs. Chiefs showdown. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Buffalo Bills (15-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (16-2) Time: 6:30 Eastern Line: Chiefs -2 Total: 47.5 Money Line: Bills +110, Chiefs -125 Bills Offense The Buffalo Bills have come up short in their quest to return to the Super Bowl for the first time since losing four straight to open the 1990s. Unfortunately, their biggest obstacle has been the two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs, who have appeared in seven consecutive AFC title games. Is this the year that the Bills go on the road and finally do it? For that to happen, Josh Allen must play like he did in Week 11, when the Bills beat KC 30-21. Buffalo outgained Kansas City 366-259 in that game and forced a pair of interceptions. Allen sealed the victory with a 2-yard TD run on fourth down. Buffalo has defeated Kansas City four straight times in the regular season. However, the Chiefs have eliminated Buffalo from the playoffs three times. Allen must avoid turnovers to give his team a shot at toppling Goliath. RDA* projections for the week like RB James Cook. However, the Chiefs boasted the stingiest defense in the league for opposing running back. KC held Cook to 20 yards on nine carries in Week 11. However, Cook punched in two touchdowns to salvage his fantasy outing. Ray Davis and Ty Johnson will spell Cook, with Johnson playing more of a role in the passing game. Both are in ‘DFS dart throw’ territory. Khalil Shakir leads Buffalo’s receiving corp. Shakir caught eight balls for 70 yards against the Chiefs and our RDA* projections have Shakir as our WR5 for the week. He’ll mostly be facing off against Kansas City slot corner Chamarri Conner, who allows the most fantasy points per route (0.36) in the secondary. It’s hard to trust Buffalo’s other wideouts. Amari Cooper has caught two balls for eight yards in the postseason. Rookie Keon Coleman plays future snaps but has also done next to nothing in the playoffs. Expect the Bills to utilize a ton of ’12’ sets with Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox. Defending the tight end position has been problematic for the Chiefs, who surrendered the fourth-most fantasy points to the position. Knox caught four for 40 against Kansas City previously, a game that Kincaid missed. Our RDA* projections have the duo combining to catch seven passes for 71 yards with a 38-percent shot at a score. Chiefs Offense Chiefs’ fatigue is real. Just open up your favorite social media source and look for the ubiquitous referee/Patrick Mahomes memes. With seven straight appearances in this game, people are over it. And Vegas thinks the Bills have a real shot in this game. It should be an instant classic. Speaking of Patrick Mahomes, he averages 260.4 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and seven INTs in five career regular-season meetings against the Bills. However, in the postseason, Mahomes jumps up to 306 yards with eight TDs and no interceptions in three postseason outings. His passing prop is 252.5 yards with a stellar -154 line on the OVER 1.5 TDs. Any Reid will employ a committee backfield. We keep waiting for Isiah Pacheco to take the lead but it’s just not happening. Kareem Hunt continues to be a major factor and seems to be the preferred short-yardage option. Our RDA* projections came out higher on Pacheco, but Hunt seems like the better value. Isiah Pacheco’s post-injury productivity raises questions for the Chiefs’ ground game. (via @ShowMeFB) https://t.co/Sh5sNMt3UL — Arrowhead Addict (@ArrowheadAddict) January 24, 2025 It’s also difficult to decipher who is Kansas City’s No. 1 receiver. The matchup is a good one for the group, though. Buffalo allowed the 13th-most fantasy points to the position. Xavier Worthy is the best bet and has been surging. He’s averaged eight targets per game since putting a 4/61/1 line on Buffalo in Week 11. Vegas has Worthy’s scrimmage yard total at 56.5 yards. However, our RDA* projections are higher, so we like the value this week. While Worthy has excelled, DeAndre Hopkins has eroded. Nuk hasn’t scored double-digit fantasy points since Week 14 and didn’t even catch a pass against Houston last week. He only caught three balls for 29 yards against the Bills in Week 11. This week’s total looks inviting but Hopkins’s lack of production over the last month is concerning. Vegas favors Hollywood Brown to be a better start than Hopkins. Brown’s receiving prop (39.5) and TD odds (+260) are higher. Also, our RDA* projections agree, projecting Hollywood to outscore Nuk 10.4 to 8.4 in PPR. It’s January, so expect Travis Kelce to play out. Our No. 1 tight end for Week 21, Kelce has scored in back-to-back games and is coming off his highest yardage total of the season. Conversely, the Bills were middle-of-the-pack, allowing 12.0 fantasy points per game to opposing TEs. Notable AFC Championship Preview betting takeaways per Ben Fawks and ESPN Bet: 71.4% of bets and 73.5% of handle are on Bills (+2, opened +1) 67.7% of bets and 50.5% of handle are on Bills ML (+110) 72.6% of bets and 59.3% of handle are on OVER (47.5, opened 48.5) FullTime Fantasy’s Playoff Fantasy Football Contests Play 1 or play all 3! YOU decide! Emil Kadlec Memorial Playoff Pick ‘Em — A FREE Single-Entry Contest. Maui Madness Playoff Pick’Em — ($25 or a 5-pack for $100) Playoff Draft World Championship $229 with NEW and improved league prizing! Maui Madness is still accepting entries until Conference Championship Weekend. The contest determines the winner by using your highest two weekly scores. While most fantasy football leagues have already
Saturday Playoff Preview
Saturday Playoff Preview The NFL Divisional Round kicks off Saturday with a pair of high-profile matchups. FullTime Fantasy‘s Saturday Playoff Preview breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Houston Texans (11-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) Time: 4:30 Eastern Line: Chiefs -9 Total: 41.5 Money Line: Houston +395, Kansas City -500 Texans Offense Houston’s offense has been stagnant for a while. However, DeMeco Ryans’s D stepped up huge in the Wild Card round, leading the Texans to a 20-point victory. Things won’t be as easy in the Divisional round, as a trip to frigid Missouri to face the defending champs is on deck. It will take a near-perfect game from C.J. Stroud to give the Texans any chance. Stroud and company played in this building five weeks ago, and Stroud threw a pair of interceptions in a 27-19 loss. His play has regressed in Year Two, and facing a well-rested KC defense will be tough in freezing conditions. Although there is some optimism about Houston covering, Stroud is a lesser option in this four-game slate. RB Joe Mixon has cooled after a torrid start. He did rush for 106 yards and a score last week against a formidable Chargers defense. However, facing the Chiefs will be much more difficult. Opposing running backs averaged a league-low 16.2 fantasy points per game versus Kansas City. Mixon will play a high snap share and can contribute as a receiver but he’ll have to score a touchdown to pay off as a DFS option. It’s Nico Collins or bust at receiver for Houston. Collins has an over/under of 83.5 yards and is +180 to score per Vegas. However, our RDA* projections have Collins as the WR3 in this slate thanks to volume. Also, if Houston falls behind by multiple scores, that only favors Collins. Additionally, the Chiefs were below average in terms of surrendering fantasy points to enemy wideouts, so we’re signing off on Nico. After that, Houston offers up little more than DFS dart throws. Robert Woods caught three balls for 19 yards against KC in Week 16. John Metchie and Xavier Hutchinson also don’t inspire a ton of confidence and Jared Wayne was just called up from the practice squad. At tight end, Dalton Schultz had a nice game against KC, snagging five balls for 45 yards and a touchdown. And only three teams allowed more fantasy points to the position than the Chiefs, so our RDA* projections (4.6/43/.33) have Schultz as a top-4 PPR option in Week 20. Chiefs Offense Houston ceded the sixth-fewest passing yards in 2024 and they did a solid job on Patrick Mahomes in Week 16. In that contest, Mahomes threw for 260 yards and one touchdown. However, Mahomes did run for 33 and an additional score to post good fantasy numbers. Vegas has Mahomes projected to total 277.5 yards (23.5 rushing) and he’s -144 to go OVER 1.4 touchdowns. KC’s backfield has resolved into a frustrating committee. However, there is a chance that the club has been saving Isiah Pacheco for another Super Bowl run. Vegas has Pacheco projected to produce 51.5 scrimmage yards and he’s +150 to score. However, our RDA* projections have Pacheco at 62 yards with a 37% chance of hitting pay dirt. Kareem Hunt will also be involved. However, the question remains how much? Hunt out-touched Pacheco against Houston previously and found the end zone. But Vegas has Hunt projected to have fewer yards and be less likely to score than Pacheco. Xavier Worthy has been Kansas City’s leading receiver, including catching a team-high seven balls (11 targets) for 65 and a TD versus Houston last month. Our RDA* projections are just under that but Worthy remains a solid start in Playoff Fantasy Leagues. Week 16 was Hollywood Brown’s first game with the club and he immediately commanded a healthy eight targets. As good as Houston’s pass defense was, they did allow opposing wideouts to score 21 touchdowns, so we like Brown and DeAndre Hopkins as quality options. Houston also allowed eight touchdowns to tight ends. While Travis Kelce has been quiet of late (at least by his standards), he tends to show up big in the postseason. Our RDA* projections have Kelce posting 14.2 PPR points, putting his as the TE2 in the slate. Washington Commanders (13-5) at Detroit Lions (15-2) Time: 8:00 Eastern Line: Detroit -9 Total: 55.5 Money Line: Washington +400, Detroit -550 Commanders Offense The AFC kicks off the day but it’s the NFC game that has the fantasy appeal. The upstart Commanders fly into Detroit to take on the conference’s top seed. And Vegas is expecting fireworks with that outrageous 55.5-point total. That puts Jayden Daniels near the top of the Week 20 QB rankings. However, that is not exactly new territory for Daniels, who finished his rookie season as fantasy’s QB5. Detroit has had issues slowing down opposing QBs all season. The Lions allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to the position, including the fourth-most rushing yards (454) and second-most rushing TDs (6). Therefore, Daniels is our QB3 for the week and worth every bit of his lofty DFS price tag. The matchup for the ground game isn’t as appealing. Detroit surrendered the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs even with myriad injuries. Washington will utilize two backs, but it’s Austin Ekeler who leads the way in RDA* projections, mainly due to his pass-catching prowess. Brian Robinson can also factor in as a receiver and is just as likely to punch in a short-yardage score. However, Vegas projects Ekler to have one more scrimmage yard, 51-50. Proceed with caution. As explosive as Washington’s offense is, Terry McLaurin has been the only reliable wide receiver. McLaurin posted WR7 numbers in the regular season, averaging 15.9 PPR points per contest.
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1 What a way to kick off a new season! After seven months, a rematch of last year’s AFC title game opens the 2024 season. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1 breaks
What a way to kick off a new season! After seven months, a rematch of last year’s AFC title game opens the 2024 season. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1 breaks down the fantasy and sports betting prospects for the season opener.
Andy Reid’s Kansas City Chiefs were able to squeeze by the Ravens with a 45-yard field goal with three seconds left. That set up the club to win their second consecutive title. However, winning a third gets off to an ominous start against that same Baltimore team thirsting for revenge.
The Ravens enter the 2024 season with the third-highest Super Bowl odds. Only the 49ers and these Chiefs rank higher. These teams are familiar with one another and match up well. But if the Ravens want to prove they can make it back to the big game, they must find a way to win at Arrowhead.
Vegas sees these two teams as evenly matched. The Ravens are the standard three-point underdogs on the road. Additionally, the total of the game has risen to 47.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 15 |
These teams are fairly evenly matched on both sides of the ball. While Baltimore employs a run-first approach, the Chiefs will attack through the air.
On the other side of the ball, these two teams allowed the fewest points in the NFL in 2023. Baltimore ranked sixth overall and led the NLF with 31 turnovers. Conversely, Kansas City surrendered the second-fewest points and ranked fourth versus the pass.
For Baltimore, sticking with their strength should be the game plan. Instead of attacking through the air, the Ravens will attempt to slow down the pace and stick to what they do best. Run the ball.
There are lots of new elements to Kansas City’s offense. Expect Reid to take plenty of downfield shots. However, Baltimore’s secondary is stacked and received reinforcement in the first round with CB Nate Wiggins.
Baltimore Offense
How will Thursday’s Ravens vs. Chiefs game go?
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Running Back Surging Up Draft Boards
Emerging Running Back Surging Up Draft Boards As the calendar flips to August, the fantasy football landscape begins taking shape. Players are moving up and down draft boards based on training camp performances, coach-speak, or injuries. Despite scoring 14 touchdowns in 31 career NFL games, fantasy managers often overlook Kansas City’s Isiah Pacheco due to his lack of production in the passing game. Following the departure of veteran back Jerrick McKinnon that is all about to change in 2024. Betting vs Fantasy Movement Series: Big Expectations For Rookie RB | Elite RB Vegas is Fading | RB Ascending Up Early Draft Boards | WR Who May Struggle To Fulfill ADP Value A major component of my success playing high-stakes fantasy football at the FFWC is incorporating player projections of oddsmakers into my NFL model. I began creating my model back in 2010 when I created the only over-the-counter DFS program offered to date in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Here at FullTime Fantasy, we’ve assembled the very best high-stakes players in the world; 5 of the Top 10 World-Ranked players, and one of the top RANKERS in the country — to help you win your Fantasy Football league. Nobody else in the industry can bring you this type of information. Also, we host the Fantasy Football World Championships and these players are gracious enough to lend us a hand to help promote the very best content in the industry. Profile Fresh off career highs in rushing yards (935, rushing touchdowns (7), receptions (44), receiving yards (244), and receiving touchdowns (2) the hard-nosed back is poised to have career-highs in his third season playing with Patrick Mahomes & Co. Isiah Pacheco is the first running back in NFL history to start and win two Super Bowl titles in his first two seasons! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/XFkUhAfe0V — Brad Henson Productions (@BradHensonPro) July 30, 2024 Subsequently, the former Rutgers standout, who was being drafted in the fourth round of early July Circa Championships, is flying up recent draft boards. The powerful talent currently owns an ADP of 18,7 / RB7 being grabbed in the middle of the second round. VEGAS ODDSMAKERS & FANTASY OWNERS LISTENING TO ANDY REID Kansas City head coach Andy Reid recently shared that Pacheco is ready to fill the club’s third-down role – making him a potential bell-cow back. “Pacheco is ready to be able to do all that,” said Reid. “He’s good with the protections, he’s good with the technique and fundamentals, he can run all the routes, he’s got great hands.” #Chiefs HC Andy Reid on which RB will fill the 3rd-down role, with Jerick McKinnon gone: “[Isiah Pacheco]’s ready to be able to do all that. He’s good with the protections, he’s good with the technique and fundamentals, he can run all the routes, he’s got great hands.” Reid… pic.twitter.com/zQmPg0TkNI — The Coachspeak Index (@CoachspeakIndex) August 2, 2024 Oddsmakers, who initially installed Pacheco with a rushing yard betting projection of 850.5, have raised the tailback up to a betting demand of 900.5 at DraftKings. A solid investment for bettors involves his receiving yards market of 250.5 – a number he will go beyond with ease in an expanded role as the third-down back. “In Circa Championship drafts held in late July, Pacheco was an absolute steal in the late third/early fourth round. That ADP value is a thing of the past as the starting RB for the defending Super Bowl champion is now a high second-round pick. ” – Frankie Taddeo Isiah Pacheco gets some big blocks and finds the end zone. 😤 @isiah_pachecoRB 📺: #KCvsNYJ on NBC⁰📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/cLJQ8MOopx pic.twitter.com/Kggr7MHXay — NFL (@NFL) October 2, 2023 Finally, in the Chiefs’ postseason run to a third championship in the last four years, Pacheco was on the field for 74% of the snaps. That heavy workload will carry over to this season. With a dangerous quartet of Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, Hollywood Brown, and Xavier Worthy at the disposal of three-time Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes, opposing defenses will not be able to stack the box to stop Pacheco. Expect the hard-running back to continue his upward career trajectory – becoming a sure-fire top-end RB1 in fantasy football in 2024. Get on the Road to the World Championships for just $50 by visiting the FFWC Draft Lobby today! Here’s how it works: Entering and winning a $50 Starter League will earn you a seat at the 2025 Las Vegas Fantasy Championships ($349 entry). Winning that league will win you a seat at the 2026 World Championships. –OR– Skip the line and directly enter the 2024 World Championships ($1,925 entry) today by securing your spot with a $200 deposit! GET THE LATEST FANTASY TIPS AND CONTEST UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter to win Weekly Prizes + Breaking Fantasy news & updates!
2024 Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Preview
2024 Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Preview Having won 3 of the past 5 Superbowls, including going back-to-back, the Kansas City Chiefs went into the offseason with their eyes set on becoming the first NFL team to three-peat. Patrick Mahomes and
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