2025 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview
2025 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview With an average age of 25.6, the Green Bay Packers are the NFL’s youngest team. Coming off an 11-6 season and postseason berth, Green Bay is poised to be a problem in the NFC for the foreseeable future. Head coach Matt LaFleur retained coordinators Adam Stenavich and Jeff Hafley, ensuring continuity. Momentum remains high, with a top-10 offense (377.2 YPG) and a defense (9th in DVOA) poised for growth. The draft brought reinforcements at receiver and inside the trenches. Jordan Love, extended through 2028, is the franchise cornerstone (4,159 yards, 32 TDs, 2024 PFF grade: 87.4). His 8.2 yards per attempt and 68.7 percent completion rate under pressure highlight his growth in LaFleur’s West Coast scheme. Love’s ability to extend plays (8.9% scramble rate) and deliver in clutch moments makes him a solid fantasy QB2. In his first year with the Packers, RB Josh Jacobs didn’t catch as many passes but still posted overall RB6 numbers thanks to 1,671 scrimmage yards and 16 scores. Green Bay ranked 5th with 30.8 rushing attempts per game. Jacobs also ranked 5th with 62 red-zone touches. That usage keeps him firmly in the RB1 category. The hope is that MarShawn Lloyd can win the change-of-pace role after an injury-marred rookie season. For the first time in 22 years, the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round. Texas speedster Matthew Golden ran the fastest 40 (4.29) of all wideouts in the class. However, Golden’s analytics profile is underwhelming, and a big chunk of his production came in a four-game stretch. He’s a bit of a boom-or-bust pick in redraft leagues. Godlen joins a crowded wideout room with Jayden Reed (55/857/6), Romeo Dobbs (46/601/4), and fellow rookie Savion Williams. Incumbent starter Christian Watson is expected to miss time with another knee injury. The influx of talent will help what was already a deep group, but the Packers need one of their young receivers to step up and become a true No. 1. Luke Musgrave (506 yards) and Tucker Kraft (405 yards, 7 TDs) form a dynamic duo in 12-personnel (25% usage). Kraft has become the clear starter on the heels of an overall TE10 finish. Among all tight ends, Kraft ranked 2nd in yards per route run (2.64), yards per target (10.1), and yards per catch (14.1). Kraft is in the second tier of tight ends, while Musgrave can be left on the waiver wire. Fantasy Grade: B QB Love, Jordan, GB [QB1] An MCL sprain in the season opener cost Jordan Love a pair of starts and hampered his mobility for most of the season. That resulted in an 18 percent dip in Love’s fantasy production. Love topped 300 passing yards once and failed to top 230 in Green Bay’s final six games. The injuries caused accuracy issues, and he only averaged 5.5 yards rushing per game. Love is now healthy, and the addition of WR Matthew Golden in Round One bodes well for Love’s chances at rebounding. The true Love is likely between 2023 and 2024, making him a fringe QB1. ADVICE: Love should bounce back and be a borderline QB1. RB Jacobs, Josh, GB [RB1] Following five seasons with the Raiders, Josh Jacobs’s first season in Green Bay was a success, culminating in a career-high 15 rushing scores and an overall RB6 fantasy finish. Jacobs was efficient, ranking 2nd in yards created (1,287), yards per route run (2.67), and tackles evaded (88). Green Bay’s RB2 role is still unsettled, so we expect Jacobs to remain heavily involved in a Green Bay offense that finished 5th in run plays per game (30.8). That usage gives Jacobs a high floor, making him a strong target in the 2nd or 3rd round. ADVICE: RB1 with a high-volume role that offers a high floor. RB Lloyd, MarShawn, GB [RB2] ADVICE: First, an ankle injury, then appendicitis, limited Lloyd to one game in his rookie season. The 2024 3rd rounder is healthy entering camp and should emerge as Green Bay’s RB2. WR Reed, Jayden, GB [WR1] Jayden Reed was a popular breakout pick last summer, but had a disappointing 2024 showing. Last season, he recorded 55 receptions, 857 yards, and six touchdowns, averaging 12.6 PPR points per game. His 2.20 yards per route run ranked 18th among WRs, with a team-leading 17% target share. Reed’s big-play ability shone with 6.9 yards after catch and three 100+ yard games, though inconsistency (four games under 10 yards) and 10 drops were concerns. With Christian Watson’s injury and first-rounder Matthew Golden in town, Reed is a WR3 who will have some boom weeks and bust performances. ADVICE: Lack of target volume and erratic week-to-week production make Reed a volatile WR3. WR Golden, Matthew, GB [WR2] With 4.29 speed, Matthew Golden brings excitement to a Green Bay receiving corps looking for an alpha threat. It’s been more than two decades since the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round. Golden still needs development in running a full NFL route tree, but he has the straight-line speed to fill in for Christian Watson, who will miss significant time. His numbers at Houston and Texas don’t pop, but Golden’s speed and landing spot dictate that he’s got the potential to be an appealing target in the middle rounds. ADVICE: Elite speed but still needs refinement. Potentially impactful WR3/4 if he starts in Week 1. WR Doubs, Romeo, GB [WR3] ADVICE: Doubs will enter camp as Green Bay’s No. 3 receiver, but he’s been plagued by inconsistency. A pair of draft picks, including first-round Texas WR Matthew Golden, will push Doubs for playing time. He’s a low-floor WR5/6. TE Kraft, Tucker, GB [TE1] While many anticipated Luke Musgrave emerging as Green Bay’s main tight end, it was Tucker Kraft who blossomed in his sophomore campaign. Kraft played 85.8 percent of the Packers’ snaps and ranked 2nd in yards per target (10.1) and yards per reception (14.1) among tight ends. After seeing 40 targets as
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14 The fantasy postseason push opens with a premiere game between NFC North contenders. Coincidentally, both teams played last Thursday and come off a full allotment of rest. This should be an exciting game, loaded
The fantasy postseason push opens with a premiere game between NFC North contenders. Coincidentally, both teams played last Thursday and come off a full allotment of rest. This should be an exciting game, loaded with fantasy-relevant players. FullTime Fantasy‘s Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14 covers all fantasy-relevant for the game.
The Green Bay Packers have won three straight and sit at 9-3. Matt LaFleur’s squad is 4-1 on the road but has struggled against NFC North foes, posting a 1-2 record in divisional play. One of those defeats came one month ago against these same Lions. Evening the score is crucial for the Packers to remain in the hunt for the top overall seed.
Meanwhile, the Lions keep rolling. Detroit has won 10 consecutive games and leads the NFL in scoring. The Lions have been particularly potent at home, where Dan Campbell’s team is averaging over 35 points per game.
Vegas is predicting a good one. Detroit is favored by just 3.5 points and the total of 51.5 is the highest figure of the Week 14 slate.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
These two NFC North rivals are closely matched. They have evenly split their last 10 meetings. Both teams are top-3 in overall offense, top-5 in rushing, and are among the three most potent big-play units.
They are also fairly even on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions allow the second-fewest points per game while Green Bay is 10th. Both squads are top eight against the run, which is a fascinating dynamic with both teams running the ball exceptionally well on offense.
In fact, in their last 10 matchups, these two teams are separated by just .1 yards per rush.
Green Bay and Detroit have a combined record of 30-6. Half of those losses came to NFC North foes.
Green Bay won 29-22 at Ford Field last season and the Lions are looking for payback in a statement game.
Should be a good one.
Green Bay Offense
The Packers lost at home to Detroit last month 24-14. However, the Packers largely beat themselves with a pick-6, six drops, and…
How will Thursday’s Packers vs. Lions game go?
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2024 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview
2024 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview They know what they’re doing with quarterbacks in Wisconsin. After following in the footsteps of redshirting behind Aaron Rodgers for two years, Jordan Love surpassed Rodgers and led the NFL’s youngest roster to a surprising playoff demolition of the Cowboys. These young Pacers won’t take anybody by surprise in 2024. Love was barely drafted last season. That won’t be the case in 2024 after he posted top-5 fantasy numbers and single-handedly carried many teams to titles with spectacular play down the stretch. Now playing for a lucrative long-term contract extension, Love and his emerging young supporting cast will be hot commodities in fantasy drafts. Speaking of youth, Green Bay added Josh Jacbos to take over as the team’s lead back. Jacobs is over three years younger than Aaron Jones, who was subsequently released. Jacobs also outweighs Jones, giving him more touchdown upside in this explosive offense. Additionally, Jacobs has posted higher PFF receiving grades than Jones in back-to-back seasons, giving Jacobs workhorse potential as an RB1 target. The club also added USC RB MarShawn Lloyd in the third round. Matt LaFleur praised Lloyd’s pass-catching chops and indicated the offense would continue to utilize multiple backs. Green Bay’s youth movement is even more apparent in the receiving corps. Christian Watson is penciled in as the WR1 but must prove he can stay on the field. Watson was limited to nine games with hamstring injuries but has the potential to be a solid value if he slides on draft day due to recency bias. Jayden Reed is just as likely to be the club’s top dog. The second-rounder debuted with 64 grabs for 793 yards and 10 total touchdowns. Starting in Week 7, Reed posted overall WR7 fantasy numbers for the rest of the season. He’s a strong WR2 and can easily be paired with Love in drafts. Romeo Doubs (59/674/8) also made a solid fantasy impact in his sophomore season. However, a lot of that production came from Watson’s absence. Green Bay deployed three-wide personnel on just 63.1% of their snaps, which ranked 18th. Doubs could be over-drafted. LaFleur utilized two tight end sets on 31.6% of Green Bay’s snaps- third-most in football. Tucker Kraft was more effective after missing most of the first half of the season with an ankle injury. Kraft topped double-digit fantasy points in the final four games of the fantasy season. Fellow rookie Luke Musgrave was sidelined with a lacerated kidney during that stretch. Both second-year tight ends will be involved, with Musgrave more likely to emerge as the 1A. This young Packers roster has all the pieces in place to be one of the top-5 fantasy offenses to target in 2024. Quarterbacks QB JORDAN LOVE – SOLID/SAFE PICK It wasn’t the traditional route but Jordan Love’s first season as an NFL starter resulted in a sensational QB5 finish. Love was tremendous down the stretch, posting 27 scores in Green Bay’s final 11 contests. The Packers scored a touchdown on 95% of their goal-to-go situations- a testament to Love’s efficiency. With a deep and versatile group of pass catchers and the addition of first-round OT Jordan Morgan, Love looks poised to continue Green Bay’s elite, long-time quarterback legacy. The Packers are also projected to make the playoffs, which bodes well for Love’s 2024 prospects. It’s also fairly easy to build a Packers stack in most drafts. ADVICE: Top 10 option with safe floor. Running Backs RB JOSH JACOBS – SOLID/SAFE PICK It was no surprise to see Josh Jacobs’s efficiency fall off a cliff after leading the NFL with 393 touches in 2022. Jacobs saw a 28.5% decline in yards per carry and plummeted from 90 missed tackles to just 28. Additionally, Jacobs missed the final four games of the season with a quad injury. Jacobs won’t be asked to do as much with the Packers but Green Bay offensive coordinator Adam Stenavich had glowing remarks about Jacobs’s versatility as a runner, receiver, and protector. Expect fewer touches for Jacbos, but he should rebound on a team with a far superior offense and quarterback. ADVICE: Borderline RB1 who should rebound. RB MARSHAWN LLOYD – FANTASY HANDCUFF Many NFL Draft analysts ranked MarShawn Lloyd as a top-3 running back in this class and his landing spot could hardly be better. The Packers love using multiple backs and Lloyd will fit right in as the change-of-pace option behind Josh Jacobs. Lloyd is an elusive runner with excellent breakaway ability and burst. He ranked third in FBS in PFF’s Elusive Rating in 2023 while averaging a healthy 1.22 yards per route run as a receiver. Lloyd’s profile is similar to Aaron Jones and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him have a significant role right away. ADVICE: Excellent mid-to-late-round sleeper who could see a fantasy-relevant role immediately. RB AJ DILLON – LOW POTENTIAL A solid mid-round sleeper target last summer, Dillon plodded his way to a career-worst 3.4 yards per carry and only cashed in two of his 10 carries inside the five-yard line. Through four seasons, his elusiveness and yards after contact have eroded. With the signing of Josh Jacobs and the drafting of MarShawn Lloyd, Dillon no longer has a viable path to a weekly role. Dillon didn’t draw much interest in free agency and returned to Green Bay where. he’ll have an uncertain role. ADVICE: Dillon has no viable path to touches in Green Bay’s backfield and can be ignored on draft day. Wide Receivers WR JAYDEN REED – SOLID/SAFE PICK Jayden Reed turned heads in his rookie season as the Packers’ go-to slot receiver. Even without a full-time role, he was a magnet for targets, boasting a 25% target rate per route run and 2.06 yards per route (27th). Reed topped all Packers wideouts with 10.6 points per game and 10 touchdowns. Impressively, he finished as a top-12 WR in 33% of his contests, placing 12th, and ranked fourth in fantasy points per snap. Reed has clearly built a rapport with QB
2023 Fantasy Football Fades
2023 Fantasy Football Fades Knowing which players to avoid is a vital part of any successful fantasy draft strategy. Being proactive means avoiding disappointments before they bottom out. In this case, my 2023 Fantasy Football Fades explores five highly-coveted players
Knowing which players to avoid is a vital part of any successful fantasy draft strategy. Being proactive means avoiding disappointments before they bottom out. In this case, my 2023 Fantasy Football Fades explores five highly-coveted players who are being over-drafted in 2023.
For me, the most challenging category each football season in the fantasy market is the fade/bust category. In most cases, a player underachieves expectations due to an injury. I’m looking for players coming off career years that look overpriced in drafts. In addition, some players will be ranked with more established options, putting them in a one-year wonder category.
Josh Jacobs (RB) Las Vegas Raiders
There is no doubt Jacobs has talent and upside, but he is coming off a massive workload (393 touches), leading to an exceptional season (2,053 combined yards with 12 touchdowns and 53 catches). Unfortunately, the Raiders failed to pick up his fifth-year option before last year, putting him in the “franchise tag category.”
Jacobs turned 25 in February, and he wants to get paid. When training camp opened in July, his flight left town. His holdout could be lengthy, creating a fantasy dilemma. His 2022 stats suggest a value in the second round. I expect regression in his output and some injury risk by not being at training camp. Jacobs was an excellent buy last year, but I sense a potential trap even if he slides to the third round in PPR formats.
Over the past seven seasons, a running back has led the NFL in combined yards, with each outcome resulting in…
WHAT PLAYERS SHOULD YOU AVOID THIS SEASON?
FIND OUT WHO SHAWN’S TOP-5 FANTASY FOOTBALL FADES IN 2023…
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2023 Las Vegas Raiders Outlook
2023 Las Vegas Raiders Outlook The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player
2023 Las Vegas Raiders Outlook
The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview of all 32 teams from football legend Shawn Childs.
Also, check out Jody Smith’s NFL offensive line rankings and exclusive 2023 Strength of Schedule analysis.
Up next in our extensive NFL and fantasy football preview series is Shawn’s deep dive into the 2023 Las Vegas Raiders Outlook.
— Quarterback —
Jimmy Garoppolo
In 2021, Garoppolo finished the season with strength in his completion rate (68.3) and yards per pass attempt (8.6). Over his final nine games (including the postseason), Garoppolo passed for 2,233 yards (248 per game) with only 10 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. In the playoffs, Garoppolo gained 540 yards in three matchups with two touchdowns and three interceptions. His completion rate (58.1) was a sign that his shoulder wasn’t healthy, leading to surgery in March of 2022. When at his best, he passed for over 300 yards in five contests while failing to deliver more than two scores in any game.
A season-ending injury to Trey Lance in the second game of last season gave Garoppolo the starting quarterback job for the 49ers. From Week 3 to Week 12, he passed for 2,227 yards over nine games with 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. His best output came in three contests (307/2, 305/2, and 225/4) while adding 19 rushes for 28 yards and one score over this span. Unfortunately, Garoppolo saw his season end in Week 13 due to a broken left foot. He has been a winning quarterback (40-17) for the Patriots and 49ers in the regular season, with success in the postseason (4-2).
Las Vegas signed Garoppolo in March for three seasons ($72.75 million) before having surgery on his left foot. If his healing process doesn’t progress as planned, the Raiders could release him without financial responsibility.
Fantasy Outlook: During his time in the NFL, Garoppolo played for two winning franchises. However, he has only once (2019) kept the job for an entire season. He has plenty of passing weapons with a top chain moving back, but Garoppolo will have a smaller window to throw the ball in 2023. In the early draft season in the high-stakes market, he ranks as a waiver-wire QB3. At best, a game manager with a chance at 4,000 passing yards and 25 touchdowns if Garoppolo can stay upright for 17 games.
Aidan O’Connell
Over 33 games at Purdue, O’Connell completed two-thirds of his passes for 9,218 yards with 65 touchdowns and 30 interceptions. His best year came in 2021 (3,711/28). He brings no value to the run game besides the occasional score and short runs for first downs.
Fantasy Outlook: O’Connell will compete for the backup quarterback job for the Raiders in 2023. Brian Hoyer has experience in this system, making the logical choice to get the first chance to start if Jimmy Garoppolo has an injury.
Other Options: Brian Hoyer, Chase Garbers
— Running Backs —
The outlier in the running back stats over the past three seasons for the Raiders has to be the yards per rush (4.8) achieved in 2022. Over the previous two years, Las Vegas gained 4.11 and 4.07 yards per rush by their running backs. Their backs finished with 2,551 combined yards with 15 touchdowns and 92 catches, which works to 25.71 FPPG. The Raiders threw less to the running back position in 2022 (92/678/2) than in 2021 (119/869/2) due to better wide receiver options.
Josh Jacobs
Las Vegas gave Jacobs the ball 306 times over 15 games in 2020. His opportunity fell by 11.4% in 2021, leading to 1,120 combined yards with nine touchdowns on 271 touches. He set a career-high in catches (54) and receiving yards (348). However, Jacobs gained only 4.0 yards per carry and 6.4 yards per catch while gaining 20 yards or more on only four plays (eight over his past 577 chances). He rushed for more than 100 yards in two games at home (27/129 and 26/132/1). Jacobs played the best over his final five games (97/459/2 – 4.7 yards per rush and 14 catches for 110 yards).
The Raiders worked Jacobs hard last season, leading to 393 touches (23.1 per game), while most fantasy drafters avoided him. He gained 2,053 combined yards with 12 touchdowns and 50 catches, ranking him third in running back scoring (329.30) in PPR formats. Jacobs gained more than 100 rushing yards in six matchups (28/144/2, 21/154/1, 20/143/3, 24/109, 33/229/2, and 26/144/1), which happened to come on two three-game stretches. The Raiders gave him a floor of five catches in five contests (5/31, 5/31, 5/39, 6/28, and 6/74), accounting for 54% of his season’s receptions (50).
Fantasy Outlook: Las Vegas didn’t re-up his fifth-year option before last season, creating a franchise situation heading into the summer. If Jacobs holds out, he will slide in drafts. His early ADP (22) ranks him sixth at running back in the high-stakes market. Running backs coming off career seasons rarely repeats, especially after a massive workload. Jacobs starts the season at age 25, so he has plenty of life still in his game. I’ll set his bar at 300 touches for 1,400 yards with double-digit scores and 40+ catches. His questionable offensive line suggests his yards per rush will be closer to the league average (4.3).
Zamir White
The Bulldogs tend to have a deep bench of talented running backs, leading to multiple runners getting chances each season. White played in 15 games in 2021, but he gained only 931 yards with 11 touchdowns and nine catches on 169 touches. Over his three seasons, White finished with success in the run game (382/2,043/25) with minimal chances to catch the ball (17/132). He had only one contest with over 100 yards rushing (14/105) and fewer than 15 touches in 13 games in his final year in college.
I feel for pro athletes who work hard to strengthen and build their bodies for success. Unfortunately, White has already blown out his right (2017) and left (2018) ACLs. Georgia used him as a north/south runner, which led to plenty of contact in tight quarters. White had a grinder feel but flashed quickness and elusiveness when breaking free at the second level of the defense. When asked to make plays on the outside, he showed the ability to make defenders miss, thanks to a shimmy in his running style. White will make yards after contact while being at his best in late games.
The Raiders only had him on the field for 40 plays in his rookie season, leading to 70 yards on 17 carries.
Fantasy Outlook: White gives the Raiders early-down insurance for Josh Jacobs. He comes off the early draft board as the 66th running back in early PPR formats. White could work as a goal-line runner with value…
WHAT CAN WE EXPECT OUT OF THE RAIDERS IN 2023?
To finish reading Shawn’s in-depth 2023 team outlook, with in-depth offseason reports, projections, and fantasy outlooks for all players
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Oakland Raiders Camp Questions
These important Oakland Raiders Training Camp Questions will help focus our attention on what’s needed from them this Fantasy Football season!
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In this Oakland Raiders Team outlook, take a free peek at our comprehensive coverage from the Fantasy Football guru Shawn Childs.