2025 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview
2025 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview With an average age of 25.6, the Green Bay Packers are the NFL’s youngest team. Coming off an 11-6 season and postseason berth, Green Bay is poised to be a problem in the NFC for the foreseeable future. Head coach Matt LaFleur retained coordinators Adam Stenavich and Jeff Hafley, ensuring continuity. Momentum remains high, with a top-10 offense (377.2 YPG) and a defense (9th in DVOA) poised for growth. The draft brought reinforcements at receiver and inside the trenches. Jordan Love, extended through 2028, is the franchise cornerstone (4,159 yards, 32 TDs, 2024 PFF grade: 87.4). His 8.2 yards per attempt and 68.7 percent completion rate under pressure highlight his growth in LaFleur’s West Coast scheme. Love’s ability to extend plays (8.9% scramble rate) and deliver in clutch moments makes him a solid fantasy QB2. In his first year with the Packers, RB Josh Jacobs didn’t catch as many passes but still posted overall RB6 numbers thanks to 1,671 scrimmage yards and 16 scores. Green Bay ranked 5th with 30.8 rushing attempts per game. Jacobs also ranked 5th with 62 red-zone touches. That usage keeps him firmly in the RB1 category. The hope is that MarShawn Lloyd can win the change-of-pace role after an injury-marred rookie season. For the first time in 22 years, the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round. Texas speedster Matthew Golden ran the fastest 40 (4.29) of all wideouts in the class. However, Golden’s analytics profile is underwhelming, and a big chunk of his production came in a four-game stretch. He’s a bit of a boom-or-bust pick in redraft leagues. Godlen joins a crowded wideout room with Jayden Reed (55/857/6), Romeo Dobbs (46/601/4), and fellow rookie Savion Williams. Incumbent starter Christian Watson is expected to miss time with another knee injury. The influx of talent will help what was already a deep group, but the Packers need one of their young receivers to step up and become a true No. 1. Luke Musgrave (506 yards) and Tucker Kraft (405 yards, 7 TDs) form a dynamic duo in 12-personnel (25% usage). Kraft has become the clear starter on the heels of an overall TE10 finish. Among all tight ends, Kraft ranked 2nd in yards per route run (2.64), yards per target (10.1), and yards per catch (14.1). Kraft is in the second tier of tight ends, while Musgrave can be left on the waiver wire. Fantasy Grade: B QB Love, Jordan, GB [QB1] An MCL sprain in the season opener cost Jordan Love a pair of starts and hampered his mobility for most of the season. That resulted in an 18 percent dip in Love’s fantasy production. Love topped 300 passing yards once and failed to top 230 in Green Bay’s final six games. The injuries caused accuracy issues, and he only averaged 5.5 yards rushing per game. Love is now healthy, and the addition of WR Matthew Golden in Round One bodes well for Love’s chances at rebounding. The true Love is likely between 2023 and 2024, making him a fringe QB1. ADVICE: Love should bounce back and be a borderline QB1. RB Jacobs, Josh, GB [RB1] Following five seasons with the Raiders, Josh Jacobs’s first season in Green Bay was a success, culminating in a career-high 15 rushing scores and an overall RB6 fantasy finish. Jacobs was efficient, ranking 2nd in yards created (1,287), yards per route run (2.67), and tackles evaded (88). Green Bay’s RB2 role is still unsettled, so we expect Jacobs to remain heavily involved in a Green Bay offense that finished 5th in run plays per game (30.8). That usage gives Jacobs a high floor, making him a strong target in the 2nd or 3rd round. ADVICE: RB1 with a high-volume role that offers a high floor. RB Lloyd, MarShawn, GB [RB2] ADVICE: First, an ankle injury, then appendicitis, limited Lloyd to one game in his rookie season. The 2024 3rd rounder is healthy entering camp and should emerge as Green Bay’s RB2. WR Reed, Jayden, GB [WR1] Jayden Reed was a popular breakout pick last summer, but had a disappointing 2024 showing. Last season, he recorded 55 receptions, 857 yards, and six touchdowns, averaging 12.6 PPR points per game. His 2.20 yards per route run ranked 18th among WRs, with a team-leading 17% target share. Reed’s big-play ability shone with 6.9 yards after catch and three 100+ yard games, though inconsistency (four games under 10 yards) and 10 drops were concerns. With Christian Watson’s injury and first-rounder Matthew Golden in town, Reed is a WR3 who will have some boom weeks and bust performances. ADVICE: Lack of target volume and erratic week-to-week production make Reed a volatile WR3. WR Golden, Matthew, GB [WR2] With 4.29 speed, Matthew Golden brings excitement to a Green Bay receiving corps looking for an alpha threat. It’s been more than two decades since the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round. Golden still needs development in running a full NFL route tree, but he has the straight-line speed to fill in for Christian Watson, who will miss significant time. His numbers at Houston and Texas don’t pop, but Golden’s speed and landing spot dictate that he’s got the potential to be an appealing target in the middle rounds. ADVICE: Elite speed but still needs refinement. Potentially impactful WR3/4 if he starts in Week 1. WR Doubs, Romeo, GB [WR3] ADVICE: Doubs will enter camp as Green Bay’s No. 3 receiver, but he’s been plagued by inconsistency. A pair of draft picks, including first-round Texas WR Matthew Golden, will push Doubs for playing time. He’s a low-floor WR5/6. TE Kraft, Tucker, GB [TE1] While many anticipated Luke Musgrave emerging as Green Bay’s main tight end, it was Tucker Kraft who blossomed in his sophomore campaign. Kraft played 85.8 percent of the Packers’ snaps and ranked 2nd in yards per target (10.1) and yards per reception (14.1) among tight ends. After seeing 40 targets as
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14 The fantasy postseason push opens with a premiere game between NFC North contenders. Coincidentally, both teams played last Thursday and come off a full allotment of rest. This should be an exciting game, loaded
The fantasy postseason push opens with a premiere game between NFC North contenders. Coincidentally, both teams played last Thursday and come off a full allotment of rest. This should be an exciting game, loaded with fantasy-relevant players. FullTime Fantasy‘s Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14 covers all fantasy-relevant for the game.
The Green Bay Packers have won three straight and sit at 9-3. Matt LaFleur’s squad is 4-1 on the road but has struggled against NFC North foes, posting a 1-2 record in divisional play. One of those defeats came one month ago against these same Lions. Evening the score is crucial for the Packers to remain in the hunt for the top overall seed.
Meanwhile, the Lions keep rolling. Detroit has won 10 consecutive games and leads the NFL in scoring. The Lions have been particularly potent at home, where Dan Campbell’s team is averaging over 35 points per game.
Vegas is predicting a good one. Detroit is favored by just 3.5 points and the total of 51.5 is the highest figure of the Week 14 slate.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
These two NFC North rivals are closely matched. They have evenly split their last 10 meetings. Both teams are top-3 in overall offense, top-5 in rushing, and are among the three most potent big-play units.
They are also fairly even on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions allow the second-fewest points per game while Green Bay is 10th. Both squads are top eight against the run, which is a fascinating dynamic with both teams running the ball exceptionally well on offense.
In fact, in their last 10 matchups, these two teams are separated by just .1 yards per rush.
Green Bay and Detroit have a combined record of 30-6. Half of those losses came to NFC North foes.
Green Bay won 29-22 at Ford Field last season and the Lions are looking for payback in a statement game.
Should be a good one.
Green Bay Offense
The Packers lost at home to Detroit last month 24-14. However, the Packers largely beat themselves with a pick-6, six drops, and…
How will Thursday’s Packers vs. Lions game go?
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Injury Report: Week 2
Injury Report: Week 2 Week 1 was full of highs and lows- mostly lows. Scoring was down and key injuries played a factor. Some of those will carry over into Week 2. Our Injury Report: Week 2 breaks down all the key fantasy-relevant injuries to monitor. Also, a great starting point for staying updated on the latest injuries is to bookmark our NFL Injury Report. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Christian McCaffrey (RB) San Francisco 49ers – Minutes before Monday Night Football word broke that McCaffrey would be inactive. Shortly after, a report indicated that McCaffrey could also miss Week 2. McCaffrey is dealing with a calf and Achilles issue that prevented him from practicing all summer. Reportedly, he had a setback ahead of Week 1. Subsequently, this is terrible news for fantasy managers who had the 1.01. However, Jordan Mason managers can rejoice. “it was always bothering him to some degree. Sometimes it goes away, sometimes it comes back. & today it was bothering him a little too much to where we didn’t feel good about it.” That doesn’t sound great for Christian McCaffrey. This may linger well into the season.. pic.twitter.com/FGv36BSY6k — Jeff Mueller, PT, DPT (@jmthrivept) September 10, 2024 Puka Nacua (WR) Los Angeles Rams – Another devastating blow for an early 2024 fantasy target, Nacau aggravated the knee injury that hobbled him throughout the preseason. Unfortunately, Nacua has been placed on IR. That means he is destined to miss four-plus games. Cooper Kupp, Demarcus Robinson, and Tyler Johnson will see increased target shares. Jordan Love (QB) Green Bay Packers – Love was hurt in the waning moments of Green Bay’s Week 1 defeat. He hurt his MCL and is expected to miss 2-4 weeks. However, the good news is the Packers did not place Love on IR, so there is some optimism that he’ll return sooner than later. The absence of Love leaves Green Bay’s offense in Malik Willis’s hands. That’s a massive downgrade. De’Von Achane (RB) Miami Dolphins – Achane is dealing with an ankle injury. This injury isn’t considered serious. However, the Dolphins play on Thursday this week, which complicates Achane’s practice availability. We will update Discord when there is clarity. Raheem Mostert (RB) Miami Dolphins – Mostert is OUT with a chest injury. David Njoku (TE) Cleveland Browns – A high-ankle sprain is expected to hobble Njoku for multiple weeks. Jordan Akins will fill in for the Browns and is worth a modest waiver wire bid for desperate fantasy managers. Tee Higgins (WR) Cincinnati Bengals – Higgins missed Cincinnati’s opener with a hamstring injury. Adam Schefter already opined that he expects Downs to miss Week 2. We’ve lowered Higgins in our Week 2 projections. Rome Oduze (WR) Chicago Bears – Chicago’s rookie wideout is dealing with an MCL injury. Expect him to be sidelined for a week or two. UPDATE: He did not practice Wednesday. Bears WR Rome Odunze week-to-week with MCL sprain https://t.co/0QjpRNnmUa pic.twitter.com/PdrJz3GxL9 — Bears Wire (@TheBearsWire) September 10, 2024 Jake Ferguson (TE) Dallas Cowboys – Ferguson is dealing with a bone bruise and MCL ailment. The team said there is a chance Ferguson won’t miss any time. However, if he suits up, we imagine that Ferguson would be deployed in a decoy role. Luke Schoonmaker is the TE2 in Dallas. Russell Wilson (QB) Pittsburgh Steelers – Justin Fields did enough to garner another start. Meanwhile, Wilson is dealing with a calf injury. Our money is on Fields to retain the job. For now, at least. Jordan Addison (WR) Minnesota Vikings – Addison injured his other ankle in the opener. It isn’t a serious injury, but his status will need to be monitored ahead of this week’s game against San Francisco. Josh Downs (WR) Indianapolis Colts – Downs missed Indy’s opener with an ankle injury. We will update his practice participation throughout the week and update the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel. Jauan Jennings (WR) San Francisco 49ers – Jennings is day-to-day with an ankle injury. Audric Estime (RB) Denver Broncos – Placed on IR with an ankle injury. Will miss at least four weeks. Dalton Schultz (TE) Houston Texans – Did not practice Wednesday with an ankle injury. ENTER OUR WEEK 2 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 2 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 2 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 2 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Week 1 NFL Player Props: Malik Nabers Leads the Way
Week 1 NFL Player Props Week 1 is officially underway and it’s that time of week to start pinpointing the best prop bets to exploit heading into Sunday’s slate of action. Last season, this column resulted in +12.6 Units so let’s have another profitable season. Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 1 NFL Player Props to target! Jared Goff OVER 265.5 Passing Yards (-114) Goff topped this line in each of his previous five games of the 2023 season, including in the Wild Card Round against these very same Los Angeles Rams in which he tallied 277 passing yards. With Amon-Ra St. Brown, a healthy Jameson Williams, Sam Laporta, and even Kalif Raymond, the sky is the limit for these Lions. Especially with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery in the backfield. Goff finished the 2023 campaign second in passing yards (4,575) and his home/away splits are eye-popping. He completed over 70% of his pass attempts with a 19:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 107.9 QBR at home. On the road, it was a different story as the signal caller completed just 64.8% of his throws with an 11:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and an 89.5 QBR. Against the Rams, the Lions will surely run the ball but given the weapons at Goff’s disposal, I think he’ll clear this line easily on his home turf. Expect at least one deep connection to Jameson Williams while St. Brown and Laporta will be peppered with targets. Smash the Over. Jordan Love OVER 255.5 Passing Yards (-110) WIN After his breakout season, Jordan Love is set to kick off this campaign against an Eagles team getting a ton of buzz for upgrading its secondary. However, that secondary was the league’s second-worst pass defense in 2023. And although the Eagles snagged two corners with their first two picks, I’m not so sure that they’ll be able to stick with Green Bay’s electric playmakers on the outside in Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, and even Luke Musgrave. If the Packers want to remain competitive in their season opener, the secondary is the area of the field that Love will need to exploit. Philly also swapped out Hassan Reddick for Michael Huff, but their front seven remains largely the same — a group that finished 10th in rushing defense last season. So, the ground game might be tough sledding, which means Love and his receivers will have the best shot moving the ball through the air. Love was a machine late last season, averaging 271 passing yards over his final nine regular season games, throwing for 255+ yards in seven of them. And while RB Josh Jacobs will get his touches, don’t be surprised if some of those handoffs turn into screen passes or dump-offs to keep the Eagles’ fierce front seven on their heels — boosting Love’s yardage even more. Brian Robinson Jr. OVER 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115) WIN Here’s a line that stands out — and not in a good way! It’s set way too low for a clear RB1 like Brian Robinson Jr. Let me break it down: Robinson is the main guy for the Commanders, handling the bulk of the carries. Meanwhile, Austin Ekeler, as talented as he is, plays more of a third-down role, meaning he’s not going to be pounding the rock a ton. Now, even if Robinson isn’t super efficient — let’s say he averages just 3.0 yards per carry — with the kind of volume he’s likely to get (around 13 carries), he’ll still end up pushing past 40 yards. So don’t let a low line fool you! I’ll be wagering multiple units on this one. James Conner OVER 12.5 Rushing Attempts (-120) WIN Get ready for a wild ride because I’m all in on the Cardinals surprising everyone this season! This bet is all about believing in them to rise above expectations. The Cardinals are 6.5-point underdogs heading into Buffalo, and if the Bills completely steamroll them, sure, this might not hit. But I think the Cardinals can hang tough! Last season, James Conner cleared 12.5 rush attempts in 9 of his 13 games. And the only times he didn’t? Those were brutal losses by 19, 14, 23, and 11 points. As long as Arizona doesn’t get blown out, Conner will be fed the ball. Rookie Trey Benson? He’s probably only getting a couple of carries, leaving Conner as the workhorse. So, unless this game turns into a total rout, expect Conner to smash that 12.5-rush-attempt mark! Blake Corum UNDER 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-120) Do we truly think Sean McVay is going to cut back Kyren Williams‘s workload that much? Perhaps later in the season but seven carries for a backup running back still seems like a lot. Especially given that the Lions are favored, the Rams may have to throw the ball late to complete a comeback. This game’s got the highest total of the week at 50.5, so we’re probably in for an exciting, pass-heavy shootout. With all that action, it’s hard to imagine Blake Corum — in his first game — squeezing in seven rush attempts. It’s going to be all about the air show in this one! Nico Collins OVER 65.6 Receiving Yards (-120) WIN Get ready for a big game from Collins! That standout receiver was the third-best in 2023 according to PFF. Sure, Stefon Diggs might take a chunk of the targets, but you can’t overlook what Collins did against Indy last season. He torched them, clearing 100 yards in both matchups, including a jaw-dropping 195-yard performance in Week 18! And it’s not just the Colts. Collins hit this yardage mark in eight games last season when he played over 60% of snaps. And the Colts’ defense hasn’t exactly leveled up. PFF ranked them 21st in coverage. Additionally, two of their worst games were against Houston. Now,
2024 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview
2024 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview They know what they’re doing with quarterbacks in Wisconsin. After following in the footsteps of redshirting behind Aaron Rodgers for two years, Jordan Love surpassed Rodgers and led the NFL’s youngest roster to a surprising playoff demolition of the Cowboys. These young Pacers won’t take anybody by surprise in 2024. Love was barely drafted last season. That won’t be the case in 2024 after he posted top-5 fantasy numbers and single-handedly carried many teams to titles with spectacular play down the stretch. Now playing for a lucrative long-term contract extension, Love and his emerging young supporting cast will be hot commodities in fantasy drafts. Speaking of youth, Green Bay added Josh Jacbos to take over as the team’s lead back. Jacobs is over three years younger than Aaron Jones, who was subsequently released. Jacobs also outweighs Jones, giving him more touchdown upside in this explosive offense. Additionally, Jacobs has posted higher PFF receiving grades than Jones in back-to-back seasons, giving Jacobs workhorse potential as an RB1 target. The club also added USC RB MarShawn Lloyd in the third round. Matt LaFleur praised Lloyd’s pass-catching chops and indicated the offense would continue to utilize multiple backs. Green Bay’s youth movement is even more apparent in the receiving corps. Christian Watson is penciled in as the WR1 but must prove he can stay on the field. Watson was limited to nine games with hamstring injuries but has the potential to be a solid value if he slides on draft day due to recency bias. Jayden Reed is just as likely to be the club’s top dog. The second-rounder debuted with 64 grabs for 793 yards and 10 total touchdowns. Starting in Week 7, Reed posted overall WR7 fantasy numbers for the rest of the season. He’s a strong WR2 and can easily be paired with Love in drafts. Romeo Doubs (59/674/8) also made a solid fantasy impact in his sophomore season. However, a lot of that production came from Watson’s absence. Green Bay deployed three-wide personnel on just 63.1% of their snaps, which ranked 18th. Doubs could be over-drafted. LaFleur utilized two tight end sets on 31.6% of Green Bay’s snaps- third-most in football. Tucker Kraft was more effective after missing most of the first half of the season with an ankle injury. Kraft topped double-digit fantasy points in the final four games of the fantasy season. Fellow rookie Luke Musgrave was sidelined with a lacerated kidney during that stretch. Both second-year tight ends will be involved, with Musgrave more likely to emerge as the 1A. This young Packers roster has all the pieces in place to be one of the top-5 fantasy offenses to target in 2024. Quarterbacks QB JORDAN LOVE – SOLID/SAFE PICK It wasn’t the traditional route but Jordan Love’s first season as an NFL starter resulted in a sensational QB5 finish. Love was tremendous down the stretch, posting 27 scores in Green Bay’s final 11 contests. The Packers scored a touchdown on 95% of their goal-to-go situations- a testament to Love’s efficiency. With a deep and versatile group of pass catchers and the addition of first-round OT Jordan Morgan, Love looks poised to continue Green Bay’s elite, long-time quarterback legacy. The Packers are also projected to make the playoffs, which bodes well for Love’s 2024 prospects. It’s also fairly easy to build a Packers stack in most drafts. ADVICE: Top 10 option with safe floor. Running Backs RB JOSH JACOBS – SOLID/SAFE PICK It was no surprise to see Josh Jacobs’s efficiency fall off a cliff after leading the NFL with 393 touches in 2022. Jacobs saw a 28.5% decline in yards per carry and plummeted from 90 missed tackles to just 28. Additionally, Jacobs missed the final four games of the season with a quad injury. Jacobs won’t be asked to do as much with the Packers but Green Bay offensive coordinator Adam Stenavich had glowing remarks about Jacobs’s versatility as a runner, receiver, and protector. Expect fewer touches for Jacbos, but he should rebound on a team with a far superior offense and quarterback. ADVICE: Borderline RB1 who should rebound. RB MARSHAWN LLOYD – FANTASY HANDCUFF Many NFL Draft analysts ranked MarShawn Lloyd as a top-3 running back in this class and his landing spot could hardly be better. The Packers love using multiple backs and Lloyd will fit right in as the change-of-pace option behind Josh Jacobs. Lloyd is an elusive runner with excellent breakaway ability and burst. He ranked third in FBS in PFF’s Elusive Rating in 2023 while averaging a healthy 1.22 yards per route run as a receiver. Lloyd’s profile is similar to Aaron Jones and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him have a significant role right away. ADVICE: Excellent mid-to-late-round sleeper who could see a fantasy-relevant role immediately. RB AJ DILLON – LOW POTENTIAL A solid mid-round sleeper target last summer, Dillon plodded his way to a career-worst 3.4 yards per carry and only cashed in two of his 10 carries inside the five-yard line. Through four seasons, his elusiveness and yards after contact have eroded. With the signing of Josh Jacobs and the drafting of MarShawn Lloyd, Dillon no longer has a viable path to a weekly role. Dillon didn’t draw much interest in free agency and returned to Green Bay where. he’ll have an uncertain role. ADVICE: Dillon has no viable path to touches in Green Bay’s backfield and can be ignored on draft day. Wide Receivers WR JAYDEN REED – SOLID/SAFE PICK Jayden Reed turned heads in his rookie season as the Packers’ go-to slot receiver. Even without a full-time role, he was a magnet for targets, boasting a 25% target rate per route run and 2.06 yards per route (27th). Reed topped all Packers wideouts with 10.6 points per game and 10 touchdowns. Impressively, he finished as a top-12 WR in 33% of his contests, placing 12th, and ranked fourth in fantasy points per snap. Reed has clearly built a rapport with QB
Week 13 NFL Player Props
Week 13 NFL Player Props We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks
Week 13 NFL Player Props
We are back to make some cash on player props in Week 13. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, we are now 34-28 (+6.9 Units). Sports betting is about riding the hot streaks and surviving the cold spells. After our first losing streak of the season in back-to-back weeks, it’s time to get back into the winning column. Have some faith as lady luck is about to shine some light on some juicy plays for us to exploit with these Week 13 NFL Player Props.
As always, I will be listing my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 13’s slate of NFL matchups. Unlike last week when every one of the 32 teams was in action, six teams will get some rest on their bye weeks. The Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, New York Giants, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Las Vegas Raiders will not suit up in Week 13. That said, we still have 13 competitive matchups this week with only three games that have a spread of more than a touchdown.
Fantasy football players have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 13 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.
Brock Purdy OVER 254.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The San Francisco 49ers have done an excellent job surrounding Purdy with immense talent. With Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and of course Christian McCaffrey, Purdy has all the weapons in his arsenal to continue to move the ball effectively, even if this may be his toughest test to date.
In a preview of what many expect to be the NFC Championship, the Niners draw the 10-1 Philadelphia Eagles on the road in Week 13. Although Philly’s defensive front tends to get a ton of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, this defense has struggled at limiting yardage through the air. The Eagles rank 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.
In San Francisco’s 31-13 thrashing of the Seattle Seahawks on Thanksgiving Day, Purdy only mustered 209 passing yards. But that’s because the team didn’t need him to sling it as they dominated in every facet of the game and had a double-digit lead most of the game after a 17-point second quarter. However, prior to last week’s outing, Purdy has topped 260 passing yards in four straight contests.
It’s also important to note that the Eagles have the third-ranked rushing defense in the NFL. Although Kyle Shanahan would love to employ a run-heavy approach utilizing superstar Christian McCaffrey in the trenches and Deebo Samuel on the edge, the running game may not be so effective against this high-caliber defensive front. If the Niners are going to keep pace with Jalen Hurts and the Eagles, Purdy will have to air it out.
The Eagles are coming off an impressive 37-34 overtime victory over the Buffalo Bills but they did allow a whopping 339 passing yards from Josh Allen. And although they held Patrick Mahomes in check, yielding just 177 passing yards from him in Week 11, Dak Prescott lit this secondary up to for 374 yards back in Week 9 before Philly’s Week 10 bye. Want more evidence? Sam Howell produced 397 passing yards against the Eagles back in Week 8 and Howell isn’t as talented as Purdy nor does he have the same caliber of weapons at his disposal. It’s clear that although Philly is finding ways to win (sometimes in ugly fashion), they are very beatable in the passing game.
In what should be a very tightly contested battle, San Francisco will have to throw the ball often to move the chains and put points up on the board. Given Purdy’s recent form, the weapons around him, expected gameflow, and Philly’s recent struggles against the pass, Purdy should eclipse this line easily. I’m throwing multiple units on this one. Take the Over!
Jordan Love…
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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 9
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 9 We are now more than halfway through the 2023 fantasy football season. The playoffs are rapidly approaching, which means we have entered ‘must-win’ territory for many fantasy managers. But, complicating matters in Week 9 is a brutal bye week. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 9 will help you maximize your waiver wire adds and get the most out of your lineup. Week 9 Byes: Denver, Detroit, Jacksonville, San Francisco Quarterbacks Start ‘Em Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers) vs. Los Angeles Rams It’s desperation week at quarterback, with four teams on a bye and a multitude of injuries plaguing the position. Fantasy managers will have no choice but to deploy Love in their lineups. His recent performance has been lackluster, with three consecutive games yielding fewer than 16 points. However, the Rams’ defense has been porous against quarterbacks, with three of them exceeding 27 points since Week 4. Also, LA has given up a league-high four rushing touchdowns to the position. Meanwhile, Love has rushed for a score in two of his three games at Lambeau Field. It’s a gamble, but say a prayer and insert him into your starting lineup. Gardner Minshew (Indianapolis Colts) at Carolina Over the last three weeks, Minshew has maintained an average of 18.8 fantasy points per game. That ranks 10th among quarterbacks. He has thrown for at least 200 yards in each of these three games and has found the end zone seven times during that span. Also, Indianapolis has one of the most favorable matchups for quarterbacks this week, as Carolina’s defense has allowed touchdowns on 5.2% of pass attempts, the fifth-highest rate in the league. Additionally, the Colts tend to pass the ball 55.6% of the time when they have a lead, which is among the top 10 rates in the NFL. With several quarterbacks on a bye or unavailable due to injuries, Minshew is a viable option for fantasy managers facing tough decisions. Sit ‘Em Sam Howell (Washington Commanders) at New England Howell is coming off a remarkable game, throwing for 397 yards and four touchdowns in Philadelphia. However, his upcoming matchup against New England poses a greater challenge. The Patriots’ defense has been formidable against quarterbacks at home. Only one quarterback has thrown for more than 250 yards in New England. Also, the Patriots limited Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa to subpar fantasy outings at Gillette. Bill Belichick will be able to scheme up a way to limit the turnover-prone Howell. Running Backs Start ‘Em Darrell Henderson (Los Angeles Rams) at Green Bay Henderson took the field for 48% of the snaps in Week 8, accumulating 12 carries and two targets. Although he continued to share snaps with Royce Freeman, he led the team in carries and touches. Frustratingly, Freeman stole a goal-line touchdown from Henderson. Nonetheless, Henderson has demonstrated a consistent performance, surpassing 11 fantasy points in both of his 2023 appearances. This week, he could reach his fantasy ceiling against Green Bay. The Packers have allowed over 100 rushing yards per game and six rushing touchdowns to running backs in seven games. Also, they’ve given up a significant number of receptions to the position, making them the seventh-most generous defense to running backs in terms of fantasy points. Chuba Hubbard (Carolina Panthers) vs. Indianapolis Despite Miles Sanders’ return to full participation in practice, Hubbard retained his role as the primary early-down back in Week 8. He also took on the responsibility of third-down plays, while Sanders focused on running routes. Since taking over as the Panthers’ lead running back, Hubbard has averaged 11.7 fantasy points per game, ranking 26th among all running backs. The Colts provide an excellent matchup for running backs, as they’ve allowed the second-highest fantasy points per game to the position. Hubbard should be a consistent fantasy starter moving forward and is a must-start option in this game. Sit ‘Em Dameon Pierce (Houston Texans) vs. Tampa Bay Pierce had a lackluster outing with just 4.6 fantasy points against the Panthers. He shared snaps with Devin Singletary, and it was Singletary who handled passing-down duties. Additionally, Pierce struggled at the goal line and just popped up on Houston’s injury report. With his inconsistent performance and a matchup against the Bucs, who rank in the bottom 10 in rushing yards allowed to running backs, it’s advisable to avoid starting Pierce for the foreseeable future. Alexander Mattison (Minnesota Vikings) at Atlanta Mattison started the season well, finishing as a top-24 fantasy back in five of his first six games. However, he has fallen out of favor in recent weeks as Cam Akers has become more involved. The running back split between Mattison and Akers has been unpredictable, making it difficult to rely on either. Furthermore, the Falcons have one of the league’s stingiest defenses against running backs, allowing the second-fewest fantasy points per game. Given these factors, it’s best to consider alternatives to Mattison in this matchup. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Nico Collins (Houston Texans) vs. Tampa Bay In Week 8, the entire Houston offense, led by C.J. Stroud, struggled against the Carolina Panthers. Stroud only managed 140 passing yards in what should have been a favorable matchup, resulting in a disappointing performance for all receivers. However, Stroud will bounce back. And Collins, as his favorite target, should benefit. Collins has received at least six targets in all but two games and, despite only having three touchdowns this season, he has a promising opportunity against the Buccaneers, who allow the ninth-most fantasy points to wide receivers. Expect the Texans to come out aggressively, with Stroud targeting Collins frequently. Collins is a solid WR2 option this week. Amari Cooper (Cleveland Browns) vs. Arizona Cardinals Cooper has consistently seen at least six targets per game this season, and his target volume has increased to at least eight when P.J. Walker is under center. Also, Cooper has recorded 85 or more receiving yards in two of his last three games. While his performance has
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 There were some huge performances last week and Week 4 is getting off to a promising start as the Detroit Lions travel to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. FullTime Fantasy‘s Thursday
There were some huge performances last week and Week 4 is getting off to a promising start as the Detroit Lions travel to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. FullTime Fantasy‘s Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 breaks down this week’s NFC North battle.
The Lions had a quiet showing on Sunday but were able to move to 2-1 by topping Atlanta. Detroit is optimistic that both LT Taylor Decker and RB David Montgomery will return for this game. Both would be welcomed additions in fantasy football circles.
Meanwhile, the Packers are also looking at substantial reinforcements. WR Christian Watson and RB Aaron Jones are expected to play. Detroit enters this game as 1.5-point favorites and the over/under has risen to 46.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| Green Bay Packers | 22 | 18 | 23 | 15 | 8 |
Similar to last season, Detroit boasts a potent and balanced offense. The Lions are capable of moving the ball on the ground or through the air quite well. They also protect the quarterback well and avoid turnovers.
However, Detroit tends to be much more potent at home. Also, the Packers have dominated this series at Lambeau, winning 21 of the last 25.
Green Bay’s offense stands out in one key area. Scoring touchdowns. The Packers rank fifth in the NFL in third down conversion rate. Also, they’re top-10 in offense and defense red-zone efficiency.
The Packers opened as slight favorites. However, the line has shifted to Detroit now being favored.
Detroit Offense
Jared Goff posted a 109.3 QB Rating and tossed 23 of his 29 touchdowns at home last season. Goff played well on the road in Week 1 and…
How will Thursday’s Lions vs. Packers game go?
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NFL Week 1 Packers at Bears: DFS & Fantasy Preview
NFL Week 1 Packers at Bears: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Bears – 2.5 Over/Under: 43.5 The theme for the Packers in 2023 has the sound of a boy band (New Direction) after losing Aaron Rodgers and replacing him
Betting Line: Bears – 2.5
Over/Under: 43.5
The theme for the Packers in 2023 has the sound of a boy band (New Direction) after losing Aaron Rodgers and replacing him with their new Love. The summer reports have been positive for Jordan Love, especially his connection with Christian Watson. The running back position remains in the hands of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. Green Bay added WR Jaylen Reed and TE Luke Musgrove to improve the depth of their passing options.
The Bears have a lot of work to do on the defensive side of the ball, but they have the tools to be a much better offense in 2023. DJ Moore is an upgrade at wideout, and a healthy Darnell Mooney paired with Cole Kmet gives Justin Fields the weapons to push much higher in his pass production. He remains a beast running the ball. Chicago will rotate in three backs out of the gate.
Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1.
The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap).
Green Bay Packers
Jordan Love
- Love came to the NFL with size (6’4” and 225 lbs.) and a strong arm. He’ll make easy deep throws with a flick of his wrist. Love sometimes has a looker feel when waiting for a player to break open. I expect him to succeed if given time to throw and surrounded by talented receivers. His decision-making and reads need improvement while having some concerns with his accuracy.
- In his first chance to see game action with Green Bay in 2021, Love brought a dull feel, leading to 411 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions on his 62 pass attempts.
- He gained 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Last season, Love saw limited snaps over four games (14-for-21 with 195 yards and one touchdown).
- The Bears ranked 26th in quarterback defense (21.36 FPPG). Despite their lower rankings, only one quarterback posted an impact game (39.85 fantasy points). On the positive side, seven quarterbacks scored between 24.90 and 28.90 fantasy points.
- Love is priced in a favorable range, and he does have one explosive wideout. Let the “Magic” happen.
Aaron Jones
- Last year, Jones gained more than 1,400 combined yards for the third time while setting a career-high in catches (59).
- He was a much better player at home (932 combined yards with four touchdowns and 28 catches) than on the road (584 combined yards with three touchdowns and 31 catches).
- Jones gained more than 100 yards in six matchups. Green Bay had him on the field for the same percentage of plays (57.6) while playing two games.
- In Week 2, he posted an impact game (170 combined yards with two touchdowns and three catches) vs. the Bears.
- Chicago had the second-worst defense against running backs.
- The Packers will rotate in two backs, and Love may not get Jones as many targets as in the past with Aaron Rodgers behind center.
- He needs a 25.00 fantasy point game to be in the mix. I’ll take the under…
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2023 Green Bay Packers Outlook
2023 Green Bay Packers Outlook The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player
2023 Green Bay Packers Outlook
The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview of all 32 teams from football legend Shawn Childs.
Also, check out Jody Smith’s NFL offensive line rankings and exclusive 2023 Strength of Schedule analysis.
Up next in our extensive NFL and fantasy football preview series is Shawn’s deep dive into the 2023 Green Bay Packers Outlook.
— Quarterback —
Jordan Love
Love came to the NFL with size (6’4” and 225 lbs.) and a strong arm. He’ll make easy deep throws with a flick of his wrist. Love sometimes has a looker feel when waiting for a player to break open. I expect him to succeed if given time to throw and surrounded by talented receivers. His decision-making and reads need improvement while having some concerns with his accuracy.
I don’t like how he slides in the pocket on some rollout passes, leading to a longer transition time to unload the ball. Love will struggle to break free from a tight pocket under pressure while lacking the release to get the ball out quickly and on time.
Based on 2019, Love didn’t belong in the top college QB conversation. He passed for 3,402 yards with 20 touchdowns, but 17 of his throws ended up in the hands of his opponents. Love also rushed for 175 yards on 81 carries while failing to score on the ground. His stock was trending up after his sophomore season in 2018 (3,567 passing yards and 39 combined touchdowns). However, Love saw his yards per pass attempt fall from 8.6 to 7.2 in 2019.
In his first chance to see game action with Green Bay in 2021, Love brought a dull feel, leading to 411 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions on his 62 pass attempts. He gained 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Last season, Love saw limited snaps over four games (14-for-21 with 195 yards and one touchdown).
Fantasy Outlook: Compared to 2022, the Packers have better receiving weapons at their disposal, and Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs also have a year’s worth of experience under their belt. Love is the 21st quarterback drafted in the high-stakes market in the latter third of June. I see 4,000 combined yards with questions about his ability to deliver passing scores in the red zone. His summer reports and the development of his receivers will determine his 2023 fantasy value.
Sean Clifford
Clifford went 32-16 over five seasons as the starting quarterback for Penn State. His best success in record came in 2019 (10-2) and 2022 (11-2). He improved his completion rate each year, highlighted by his senior year (64.4%). The Nittany Lions used him in RPO plays, leading to 388 rushes for 1,073 yards and 15 touchdowns despite gaining only 2.8 yards per carry.
Fantasy Outlook: Clifford will compete for the Packers’ backup quarterback job with a minimal opportunity unless Jordan Love has an injury.
Other Options: Danny Etling
— Running Backs —
Green Bay’s running backs have been active and productive over the past three seasons. They gained 2,638 combined yards in 2022 with 16 touchdowns and 88 catches or 447.80 fantasy points in PPR formats (26.34 FPPG).
Aaron Jones
In 2021, the Packers had Jones on the field for 620 plays (57.6%) over his 15 games, compared to 410 snaps by A.J. Dillon. He finished with a career-high in catches (52) with 391 receiving yards and six touchdowns. On the downside, Jones averaged only 11.4 rushing attempts, leading to a step back in rushing yards (799) and rushing touchdowns (4). After a short game in Week 1 (22 combined yards with two catches), he played well over the following five weeks (529 combined yards with six touchdowns and 19 catches on 97 touches). However, his play and opportunity (119 touches) regressed over his final nine games (639 combined yards with four touchdowns and 31 catches) while missing two matchups with a knee issue.
Last year, Jones gained more than 1,400 combined yards for the third time while setting a career-high in catches (59). He was a much better player at home (932 combined yards with four touchdowns and 28 catches) than on the road (584 combined yards with three touchdowns and 31 catches). Jones gained more than 100 yards in six matchups. Green Bay had him on the field for the same percentage of plays (57.6) while playing two games.
Fantasy Outlook: Over the past three seasons, Jones ranked 7th (251.60), 11th (230.00), and 5th (258.90) in fantasy scoring in PPR formats. His value in the passing game helps his floor while also offering the explosiveness to deliver impact games when Jones hits a long scoring play. His downside risk comes from regression in rushing touchdowns (6 – 33 from 2018 to 2020) over the past two years. Despite his winning resume, Jones is the 16th running back off the board in June. I’ll set his bar as 1,200 combined yards with seven scores and 45 catches.
A.J. Dillon
Despite an RB2 role for the Packers in 2021, Dillion gained 1,116 combined yards with seven touchdowns and 34 catches on 221 touches (13 per game). Green Bay gave him the best opportunity (65 touches) from Week 10 to Week 12 (315 combined yards with three touchdowns and 13 catches) while gaining only 3.6 yards per carry. Dillon scored seven of his eight touchdowns over his final nine matchups (including the postseason). He finished with better-than-expected results in the passing game (34/313/2).
Last year, Dillion had a similar opportunity (12.6 touches per game) as his rookie season, but he gained 140 fewer yards and six less catches. From Week 2 to Week 11, Dillon failed to reach paydirt, leading to below 10.00 fantasy points in PPR leagues in each matchup. His stock rose over a three-game stretch (17.80, 20.90, and 22.10 fantasy points). He scored six of his seven touchdowns over five games late in the year.
Fantasy Outlook: Dillon ranked 27th in running back scoring (167.60) in PPR leagues. His regression in yards per rush (5.3, 4.3, and 4.1) and yards per catch (10.5, 9.2, and 7.4) suggest questionable value this year due to…
WHAT CAN WE EXPECT OUT OF THE PACKERS IN 2023?
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