2025 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview
2025 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview With an average age of 25.6, the Green Bay Packers are the NFL’s youngest team. Coming off an 11-6 season and postseason berth, Green Bay is poised to be a problem in the NFC for the foreseeable future. Head coach Matt LaFleur retained coordinators Adam Stenavich and Jeff Hafley, ensuring continuity. Momentum remains high, with a top-10 offense (377.2 YPG) and a defense (9th in DVOA) poised for growth. The draft brought reinforcements at receiver and inside the trenches. Jordan Love, extended through 2028, is the franchise cornerstone (4,159 yards, 32 TDs, 2024 PFF grade: 87.4). His 8.2 yards per attempt and 68.7 percent completion rate under pressure highlight his growth in LaFleur’s West Coast scheme. Love’s ability to extend plays (8.9% scramble rate) and deliver in clutch moments makes him a solid fantasy QB2. In his first year with the Packers, RB Josh Jacobs didn’t catch as many passes but still posted overall RB6 numbers thanks to 1,671 scrimmage yards and 16 scores. Green Bay ranked 5th with 30.8 rushing attempts per game. Jacobs also ranked 5th with 62 red-zone touches. That usage keeps him firmly in the RB1 category. The hope is that MarShawn Lloyd can win the change-of-pace role after an injury-marred rookie season. For the first time in 22 years, the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round. Texas speedster Matthew Golden ran the fastest 40 (4.29) of all wideouts in the class. However, Golden’s analytics profile is underwhelming, and a big chunk of his production came in a four-game stretch. He’s a bit of a boom-or-bust pick in redraft leagues. Godlen joins a crowded wideout room with Jayden Reed (55/857/6), Romeo Dobbs (46/601/4), and fellow rookie Savion Williams. Incumbent starter Christian Watson is expected to miss time with another knee injury. The influx of talent will help what was already a deep group, but the Packers need one of their young receivers to step up and become a true No. 1. Luke Musgrave (506 yards) and Tucker Kraft (405 yards, 7 TDs) form a dynamic duo in 12-personnel (25% usage). Kraft has become the clear starter on the heels of an overall TE10 finish. Among all tight ends, Kraft ranked 2nd in yards per route run (2.64), yards per target (10.1), and yards per catch (14.1). Kraft is in the second tier of tight ends, while Musgrave can be left on the waiver wire. Fantasy Grade: B QB Love, Jordan, GB [QB1] An MCL sprain in the season opener cost Jordan Love a pair of starts and hampered his mobility for most of the season. That resulted in an 18 percent dip in Love’s fantasy production. Love topped 300 passing yards once and failed to top 230 in Green Bay’s final six games. The injuries caused accuracy issues, and he only averaged 5.5 yards rushing per game. Love is now healthy, and the addition of WR Matthew Golden in Round One bodes well for Love’s chances at rebounding. The true Love is likely between 2023 and 2024, making him a fringe QB1. ADVICE: Love should bounce back and be a borderline QB1. RB Jacobs, Josh, GB [RB1] Following five seasons with the Raiders, Josh Jacobs’s first season in Green Bay was a success, culminating in a career-high 15 rushing scores and an overall RB6 fantasy finish. Jacobs was efficient, ranking 2nd in yards created (1,287), yards per route run (2.67), and tackles evaded (88). Green Bay’s RB2 role is still unsettled, so we expect Jacobs to remain heavily involved in a Green Bay offense that finished 5th in run plays per game (30.8). That usage gives Jacobs a high floor, making him a strong target in the 2nd or 3rd round. ADVICE: RB1 with a high-volume role that offers a high floor. RB Lloyd, MarShawn, GB [RB2] ADVICE: First, an ankle injury, then appendicitis, limited Lloyd to one game in his rookie season. The 2024 3rd rounder is healthy entering camp and should emerge as Green Bay’s RB2. WR Reed, Jayden, GB [WR1] Jayden Reed was a popular breakout pick last summer, but had a disappointing 2024 showing. Last season, he recorded 55 receptions, 857 yards, and six touchdowns, averaging 12.6 PPR points per game. His 2.20 yards per route run ranked 18th among WRs, with a team-leading 17% target share. Reed’s big-play ability shone with 6.9 yards after catch and three 100+ yard games, though inconsistency (four games under 10 yards) and 10 drops were concerns. With Christian Watson’s injury and first-rounder Matthew Golden in town, Reed is a WR3 who will have some boom weeks and bust performances. ADVICE: Lack of target volume and erratic week-to-week production make Reed a volatile WR3. WR Golden, Matthew, GB [WR2] With 4.29 speed, Matthew Golden brings excitement to a Green Bay receiving corps looking for an alpha threat. It’s been more than two decades since the Packers selected a wide receiver in the first round. Golden still needs development in running a full NFL route tree, but he has the straight-line speed to fill in for Christian Watson, who will miss significant time. His numbers at Houston and Texas don’t pop, but Golden’s speed and landing spot dictate that he’s got the potential to be an appealing target in the middle rounds. ADVICE: Elite speed but still needs refinement. Potentially impactful WR3/4 if he starts in Week 1. WR Doubs, Romeo, GB [WR3] ADVICE: Doubs will enter camp as Green Bay’s No. 3 receiver, but he’s been plagued by inconsistency. A pair of draft picks, including first-round Texas WR Matthew Golden, will push Doubs for playing time. He’s a low-floor WR5/6. TE Kraft, Tucker, GB [TE1] While many anticipated Luke Musgrave emerging as Green Bay’s main tight end, it was Tucker Kraft who blossomed in his sophomore campaign. Kraft played 85.8 percent of the Packers’ snaps and ranked 2nd in yards per target (10.1) and yards per reception (14.1) among tight ends. After seeing 40 targets as
Sunday Playoff Preview
Sunday Playoff Preview The 6-game NFL Wild Card Weekend continues Sunday with a full day of games. FullTime Fantasy‘s Sunday Playoff Preview breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Denver Broncos (10-7) at Buffalo Bills (13-4) Time: 1:00 Eastern Line: Bills -8 Total: 47.5 Money Line: Denver +375, Buffalo -465 Broncos Offense Sean Payton’s offense made huge strides in 2024. Most of that can be attributed to landing Bo Nix in the 2024 NFL Draft. Nix proved to be the perfect fit in Payton’s short-passing attack. The results were the Broncos’ first post-season appearance in eight seasons. However, as eight-point dogs, the run could be brief. Per ESPN, rookie QBs are 0-5 in road playoff games over the last 10 seasons. Speaking of Bo Nix, the matchup is neutral. However, the atmosphere will be inhospitable. Buffalo allowed the 14th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, allowing 28 TD passes and an additional 263/2 on the ground. Nix has the athleticism to escape the pocket against a subpar pass rush, but questions remain about Denver’s supporting cast. Denver employs a full-on committee backfield that is fantasy-unfriendly. Our RDA* projections favor Jaleel McLaughlin to lead the way in touches. However, in a game where the Broncos are 8-point underdogs, McLaughlin and Javonte Williams will be involved as receivers. Rookie Audric Estime came on down the stretch and has a 34% chance of punching in a short-yardage score per our Week 19 rankings. The Bills excel at shutting down slot receivers and are vulnerable on the outside. That favors Courtland Sutton (17% slot rate) well. Sutton (81/1081/8) posted WR15 numbers this season and remains a solid Week 19 start in a game with a positive game script. Marvin Mims became a bigger factor in Denver’s offense as the season developed. Mims is Payton’s big-play threat who can make an impact downfield, out of the backfield, and as a returner. Our RDA* projections like Mims this week. However, slot receiver Devaughn Vele is a fade. Also, fantasy footballers should avoid Denver’s messy tight-end rotation. Payton will use Lucas Krull, Adam Trautman, and Nate Adkins indiscriminately. Additionally, Buffalo allowed just five touchdowns to opposing tight ends all season. Bills Offense Josh Allen is 4-1 in the Wild Card round. And as a sizable home favorite, Allen and the Bills were 6-2 against the spread at home this season. Although Denver’s defense ranks as a top-10 unit against opposing quarterbacks, they allowed an enemy QB to surpass 25 fantasy points in three of their final five games. Therefore, Allen remains the top signal-caller to target in Fantasy Playoff Drafts. RB James Cook was tied for the NFL lead with a Buffalo team-record 16 rushing scores. Conversely, Denver allowed 13 total scores to backs in 17 games. Our RDA* projections have Cook as the RB4 in this slate, with a 65-percent chance of finding the end zone. Ray Davis and Ty Johnson will fill in behind Cook. Johnson offers more pass-catching upside, while Davis will see 5-10 carries. Both have some DFS appeal. Khalil Shakir ran 75% of his routes out of the slot, so he’ll mostly avoid Denver CB Pat Surtain. However, Shakir still has a subpar matchup against Denver slot CB Ja’Quan McMillian. Surtain could potentially shadow Keon Coleman, seriously hampering the rookie’s appeal. Additionally, Amari Cooper has been a non-factor in multiple games and missed practice time due to personal reasons. If the Broncos can contain Buffalo’s wideouts, the tight ends stand to benefit. Dalton Kincaid is our No. 3 tight end in PPR scoring. Also, teammate Dawson Knox has some DFS appeal. I think Denver can hang around in this game, which will benefit the offense. Green Bay Packers (11-6) at Philadelphia (14-3) Time: 4:30 Eastern Line: Eagles -5 Total: 45.5 Money Line: Packers +200, Eagles -240 Packers Offense Game No. 2 is projected to be closer but lower scoring. This is a rematch of a Week 1 contest that Philadelphia won 34-29. The Eagles have won three straight against Green Bay, scoring over 30 points in each contest. There were some questions about the health of both quarterbacks. However, both signal-callers will start. Speaking of Jordan Love, his passing yardage prop is 222.5 yards, and a big lean (-149) on the UNDER 1.5 touchdown passes. Love threw for 260 with a pair of TD strikes in Week 1. However, this is a different Philly defense. The Eagles allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing passers, putting Love near the bottom of our Week 19 quarterbacks. Expect RB Josh Jacobs to get plenty of touches as a runner and receiver. Jacobs had 18 touches for 104 scrimmage yards versus Philly in Week 1. Our RDA* projections see a similar result with a roughly 70-percent shot at hitting pay dirt. Things are more difficult to project for the passing attack. Christian Watson tore his ACL last week and will miss the rest of this season. Subsequently, Jayden Reed is Green Bay’s unquestioned No. 1 wideout. Reed was huge in Week 1, snagging four balls for 138 yards and a score. However, he’s cooled off. Reed hasn’t surpassed 100 yards since Week 9 and has failed to score in his last five. Romeo Doubs is the next man up. Doubs scored nine fantasy points in the season-opening loss to Philadelphia. However, Doubs is a streaky player, with two touchdowns in two games and single-digit PPR points in eight others. Dontayvion Wicks will move up to the WR3 role, giving him some sleeper appeal. No team allowed fewer receiving yards to tight ends (591) than Philadelphia, so it’s a sub-optimal situation for Tucker Kraft. And our RDA* projections agree, projecting Kraft to score an innocuous 6.2 fantasy points. Eagles Offense Jalen Hurts cleared the NFL concussion protocol and practiced in
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14 The fantasy postseason push opens with a premiere game between NFC North contenders. Coincidentally, both teams played last Thursday and come off a full allotment of rest. This should be an exciting game, loaded
The fantasy postseason push opens with a premiere game between NFC North contenders. Coincidentally, both teams played last Thursday and come off a full allotment of rest. This should be an exciting game, loaded with fantasy-relevant players. FullTime Fantasy‘s Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 14 covers all fantasy-relevant for the game.
The Green Bay Packers have won three straight and sit at 9-3. Matt LaFleur’s squad is 4-1 on the road but has struggled against NFC North foes, posting a 1-2 record in divisional play. One of those defeats came one month ago against these same Lions. Evening the score is crucial for the Packers to remain in the hunt for the top overall seed.
Meanwhile, the Lions keep rolling. Detroit has won 10 consecutive games and leads the NFL in scoring. The Lions have been particularly potent at home, where Dan Campbell’s team is averaging over 35 points per game.
Vegas is predicting a good one. Detroit is favored by just 3.5 points and the total of 51.5 is the highest figure of the Week 14 slate.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
These two NFC North rivals are closely matched. They have evenly split their last 10 meetings. Both teams are top-3 in overall offense, top-5 in rushing, and are among the three most potent big-play units.
They are also fairly even on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions allow the second-fewest points per game while Green Bay is 10th. Both squads are top eight against the run, which is a fascinating dynamic with both teams running the ball exceptionally well on offense.
In fact, in their last 10 matchups, these two teams are separated by just .1 yards per rush.
Green Bay and Detroit have a combined record of 30-6. Half of those losses came to NFC North foes.
Green Bay won 29-22 at Ford Field last season and the Lions are looking for payback in a statement game.
Should be a good one.
Green Bay Offense
The Packers lost at home to Detroit last month 24-14. However, the Packers largely beat themselves with a pick-6, six drops, and…
How will Thursday’s Packers vs. Lions game go?
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🦃 Thursday Football Preview: Week 13 🦃
Thursday Football Preview: Week 13 Happy Thanksgiving! It’s hard to believe we’ve already reached Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season. The holiday slates are always wonderful, with a day filled with family, food, and football! FullTime Fantasy’s Thursday Football
How will Thursday’s Thanksgiving games go?
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Friday Night Football Preview
Friday Night Football Preview The Packers and the Eagles will travel to Brazil to open their NFL seasons. This will be a new environment for these teams which always adds a variable NFL teams sometimes underestimate its impact. Which team will be ready to play in the first NFL game in the new continent? Our Friday Night Football Preview breaks down all the fantasy football angles. Additionally, we’ve included a bonus look at Thursday’s Ravens vs. Chiefs contest. Here is FullTime Fantasy‘s first-ever look at a Friday Night Football Preview. What’s New on the Teams Green Bay: Jordan Love emerged down the stretch last year and got paid handsomely for the flashes he showed in limited game action. He’s not a new player, but clearly, he’s thought of differently going into this season than last. Also, the Packers added Josh Jacobs as their new front-line running back after Aaron Jones departed for the Vikings. The Packers seem to have an embarrassment of riches at receiver. However, it’s unclear if they have a dominant WR1 on this team. Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, and Dontayvion Wicks all look like intriguing values in drafts. Additionally, Bo Melton and Grant DuBois have looked interesting as young receivers but their paths to consistent snaps are blocked. Also, two solid tight ends, Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft, proved they could play last year. The amount of targets Love will have to work with could make many of the league’s quarterbacks jealous. Green Bay also used their first-round draft pick on an offensive lineman and it looks like he’ll start this year. Philadelphia: The new shiny piece the Eagles added was Saquon Barkley on offense. They also switched offensive coordinators to Kellen Moore. Moore’s system has tended to pass to the RB more than the Eagles have in their recent history. Defensively, the Eagles also changed coordinators and spent their first two draft picks on pieces to shore up their secondary. Their secondary was a problem last year. Will these young players patch that hole and return Philadelphia’s defense to a competitive standpoint? Players to Watch Philadelphia’s Offense: How much changed to one of the better offenses this year? There is a lot of talk about DeVonta Smith playing more in the slot – how will that impact the target distribution on this team? It’s been a pretty funnel offense with A.J. Brown and Smith accounting for over half the targets from Hurts. Will this change? Can a third receiver emerge? Will they use Barkley in the passing game more than they did D’Andre Swift? Will Shipley: Shipley could be a passing down specialist and if Barkley were to miss time, he’d likely get into a timeshare with Kenneth Gainwell. The interesting question for week 1 waiver wires and drafts still to be completed is will Shipley have an offensive role that could take advantage of his skill set? It’s probably too early in the season to expect Shipley to gain traction but, his snap count should be monitored. Jayden Reed: Due to the log jam at receiver for the Packers and him coming in third at snap share in a scrimmage, Reed doesn’t get the respect his rookie year performance earned last year. This will be our first look at how he is deployed by the Packers this year. Will he look like a lower snap slot-only player or will he figure into 2-WR sets more? Or will they run a ton of 11 personnel and it not matter? Dontayvion Wicks: Wicks looked like the most efficient receiver for the Packers last year. But it also seems like he’ll have a limited role behind the first three receivers. What will Matt LaFleur do with the receiver rotation? Can Wicks see the field and with his play can he force himself into a meaningful snap share? Green Bay’s RB2: AJ Dillon is on IR. MarShawn Lloyd is just starting his return from aggravating his hamstring – it’s not certain he’ll play in Week 1. Emanuel Wilson looks like he’ll be the RB2, but he’s also appeared on the injury report heading into week 1. How much will the Packers be able to utilize a second RB? If so which one and how much? How well will they perform? Green Bay’s TE Rotation: Luke Musgrave vs Tucker Kraft. Kraft is dealing with some back soreness right now, so it’s unclear if that will impact his availability. But assuming they are both available how does the TE rotation look in Green Bay? Will both tight ends counterfeit each other’s opportunity at fantasy goodness or will one emerge and become a TE1 this year? This should be another great game to watch and see how these two teams enter the year and fight for a critical first win of the season. No team with playoff expectations wants to start the year 0-1. Good luck to all the fantasy GMs as they put the pieces to the puzzle together in the NFL’s first Friday Night Football Preview. As a bonus, here is more on Thursday’s season opener. For an in-depth fantasy breakdown and Jody’s best bet, click here. Thursday Night Football Preview The Chiefs and the Ravens lock horns to open up the NFL season this year which will potentially be a preview of the AFC championship game. It’s a critical game for these teams to get off to a good start on the season and should be a great game for fans and fantasy managers alike. What’s New on the Teams Baltimore: It’s well-publicized that that Derrick Henry has come over to take the keys to the power running game. However, the Ravens have three new offensive linemen this year. Will the line be able to perform to previous levels and enable Henry to plow through the defense while they also have to be aware of the threat Lamar Jackson poses as a rushing QB will be a key to this game? Kansas City’s defense is
2024 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview
2024 Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview They know what they’re doing with quarterbacks in Wisconsin. After following in the footsteps of redshirting behind Aaron Rodgers for two years, Jordan Love surpassed Rodgers and led the NFL’s youngest roster to a surprising playoff demolition of the Cowboys. These young Pacers won’t take anybody by surprise in 2024. Love was barely drafted last season. That won’t be the case in 2024 after he posted top-5 fantasy numbers and single-handedly carried many teams to titles with spectacular play down the stretch. Now playing for a lucrative long-term contract extension, Love and his emerging young supporting cast will be hot commodities in fantasy drafts. Speaking of youth, Green Bay added Josh Jacbos to take over as the team’s lead back. Jacobs is over three years younger than Aaron Jones, who was subsequently released. Jacobs also outweighs Jones, giving him more touchdown upside in this explosive offense. Additionally, Jacobs has posted higher PFF receiving grades than Jones in back-to-back seasons, giving Jacobs workhorse potential as an RB1 target. The club also added USC RB MarShawn Lloyd in the third round. Matt LaFleur praised Lloyd’s pass-catching chops and indicated the offense would continue to utilize multiple backs. Green Bay’s youth movement is even more apparent in the receiving corps. Christian Watson is penciled in as the WR1 but must prove he can stay on the field. Watson was limited to nine games with hamstring injuries but has the potential to be a solid value if he slides on draft day due to recency bias. Jayden Reed is just as likely to be the club’s top dog. The second-rounder debuted with 64 grabs for 793 yards and 10 total touchdowns. Starting in Week 7, Reed posted overall WR7 fantasy numbers for the rest of the season. He’s a strong WR2 and can easily be paired with Love in drafts. Romeo Doubs (59/674/8) also made a solid fantasy impact in his sophomore season. However, a lot of that production came from Watson’s absence. Green Bay deployed three-wide personnel on just 63.1% of their snaps, which ranked 18th. Doubs could be over-drafted. LaFleur utilized two tight end sets on 31.6% of Green Bay’s snaps- third-most in football. Tucker Kraft was more effective after missing most of the first half of the season with an ankle injury. Kraft topped double-digit fantasy points in the final four games of the fantasy season. Fellow rookie Luke Musgrave was sidelined with a lacerated kidney during that stretch. Both second-year tight ends will be involved, with Musgrave more likely to emerge as the 1A. This young Packers roster has all the pieces in place to be one of the top-5 fantasy offenses to target in 2024. Quarterbacks QB JORDAN LOVE – SOLID/SAFE PICK It wasn’t the traditional route but Jordan Love’s first season as an NFL starter resulted in a sensational QB5 finish. Love was tremendous down the stretch, posting 27 scores in Green Bay’s final 11 contests. The Packers scored a touchdown on 95% of their goal-to-go situations- a testament to Love’s efficiency. With a deep and versatile group of pass catchers and the addition of first-round OT Jordan Morgan, Love looks poised to continue Green Bay’s elite, long-time quarterback legacy. The Packers are also projected to make the playoffs, which bodes well for Love’s 2024 prospects. It’s also fairly easy to build a Packers stack in most drafts. ADVICE: Top 10 option with safe floor. Running Backs RB JOSH JACOBS – SOLID/SAFE PICK It was no surprise to see Josh Jacobs’s efficiency fall off a cliff after leading the NFL with 393 touches in 2022. Jacobs saw a 28.5% decline in yards per carry and plummeted from 90 missed tackles to just 28. Additionally, Jacobs missed the final four games of the season with a quad injury. Jacobs won’t be asked to do as much with the Packers but Green Bay offensive coordinator Adam Stenavich had glowing remarks about Jacobs’s versatility as a runner, receiver, and protector. Expect fewer touches for Jacbos, but he should rebound on a team with a far superior offense and quarterback. ADVICE: Borderline RB1 who should rebound. RB MARSHAWN LLOYD – FANTASY HANDCUFF Many NFL Draft analysts ranked MarShawn Lloyd as a top-3 running back in this class and his landing spot could hardly be better. The Packers love using multiple backs and Lloyd will fit right in as the change-of-pace option behind Josh Jacobs. Lloyd is an elusive runner with excellent breakaway ability and burst. He ranked third in FBS in PFF’s Elusive Rating in 2023 while averaging a healthy 1.22 yards per route run as a receiver. Lloyd’s profile is similar to Aaron Jones and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him have a significant role right away. ADVICE: Excellent mid-to-late-round sleeper who could see a fantasy-relevant role immediately. RB AJ DILLON – LOW POTENTIAL A solid mid-round sleeper target last summer, Dillon plodded his way to a career-worst 3.4 yards per carry and only cashed in two of his 10 carries inside the five-yard line. Through four seasons, his elusiveness and yards after contact have eroded. With the signing of Josh Jacobs and the drafting of MarShawn Lloyd, Dillon no longer has a viable path to a weekly role. Dillon didn’t draw much interest in free agency and returned to Green Bay where. he’ll have an uncertain role. ADVICE: Dillon has no viable path to touches in Green Bay’s backfield and can be ignored on draft day. Wide Receivers WR JAYDEN REED – SOLID/SAFE PICK Jayden Reed turned heads in his rookie season as the Packers’ go-to slot receiver. Even without a full-time role, he was a magnet for targets, boasting a 25% target rate per route run and 2.06 yards per route (27th). Reed topped all Packers wideouts with 10.6 points per game and 10 touchdowns. Impressively, he finished as a top-12 WR in 33% of his contests, placing 12th, and ranked fourth in fantasy points per snap. Reed has clearly built a rapport with QB
Division Round Playoff Preview: Saturday
After going 5-1 picking the Wild Card games, my Division Round Playoff Preview: Saturday breaks down the upstart Houston Texans traveling to Baltimore, and the Green Bay Packers trip to San Francisco to face the NFC’s top seed. Using our RDA* projections, we can break down each game to find the statistical edge that can give us a leg up in playoff fantasy and daily fantasy lineups. Also, we can determine the best bets to make. Before you place those winning bets, our partner Edge Boost can help you double your entries and payouts! Click below to increase your winnings today. Houston Texans (11-7) at Baltimore Ravens (13-4) Time: 4:30 Eastern Line: Baltimore -9.5 Total: 43.5 Money Line: Texans +340, Ravens -420 Houston Offense Look no further than last week’s thrashing of Cleveland to identify the value of probably rookie-of-the-year C.J. Stroud. Three weeks prior, that same Browns squad destroyed Houston on the same field. However, Stroud missed that game with a concussion. Back and healthy, the No. 2 pick lit up the league’s top defense. But things won’t get easier in the division round. Stroud now must go on the road to face a well-rested Baltimore defense that ceded the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Stroud has also played noticeably better at home and will contend with freezing temperatures and windy conditions. Baltimore ranked 6th against the pass but just 14th versus the run. That could mean a few more opportunities for Devin Singletary. “Motor” led all NFL running backs in the Wild Card round with a 72% snap share. Expect another week of heavy usage, making Singletary a strong option in DFS and playoff lineups. Back in the season opener, Nico Collins reeled in 6-of-11 targets for 80 yards in Houston’s 25-9 loss in Baltimore. This is a favorable game script for Collins, but Houston’s implied total of 17 points is a concern. Our RDA* projections have Collins approaching 12 points on Sunday. Noah Brown was placed on IR. That means No. 2 wideout duties will go to Robert Woods. Woods hasn’t done much this season but did go 10/6/57/0 against the Ravens in the season opener. John Metchie logged 35 snaps and a 13.6% target share last week. Xavier Hutchison was also in on 44% of Houston’s snaps. The Ravens only allowed three touchdowns to tight ends all season. But, with Houston’s receiving corps thin, expect Dalton Schultz to be heavily involved. Schultz has topped four catches in four of Houston’s past five road contests. Baltimore Offense Lamar Jackson had his worst fantasy game of the season against the Texans back in Week 1. He was limited to 169 passing yards and 38 on the ground. While the Texans have made significant strides on that side of the ball, we’re expecting a much different outcome in the rematch. In fact, our RDA* projections have Jackson as the top QB for the slate. The projections indicate Jackson will throw for 228 yards, two scores, and contribute an additional 64 rushing yards. That makes L-Jax a must-start in all fantasy formats paying in Week 20. Those strides Houston made defensively highlight the amazing job DeMeco Ryans did. The Texans improved to 6th in the NFL in run defense. Baltimore will employ a committee backfield. Gus Edwards leads the way but will need a touchdown to pay off. Edwards cedes most pass-catching work to Justice Hill. After cutting Melvin Gordon, don’t discount Dalvin Cook‘s chances of leading this backfield in touches, making him a sneaky DFS option. Zay Flowers is Baltimore’s No. 1 wideout. Only the Jets allowed fewer touchdowns to wideouts (5) than Houston’s 10. Flowers put 17.7 fantasy points on this defense in Week 1. He’s also scored five touchdowns in his last five games. Consider Flowers a strong WR1 play in this slate. After Flowers, it’s trickier. Odell Beckham is the best bet to make an impact downfield. Beckham’s 14% target share easily outpaced the ancillary wideouts. Of those lesser options, Rashod Bateman will see more snaps and targets than Nelson Agholor. Houston’s biggest defensive weakness came against tight ends. Now that we know the Ravens have ruled Mark Andres OUT, Isaiah Likely becomes a locked-in top-4 play this week. His reduced salary makes him particularly appealing in DFS showdown slates. If this game comes down to turnovers, it could swing Houston’s way. The Texans were +10 in turnover differential. The Ravens actually led the league with a +12 margin. However, Houston had an NFL-low 14 giveaways. Most of Houston’s key offensive contributors also have experience in colder weather. I think the Stroud can keep them hanging around in this game and will take the points. Houston +9.5 Green Bay Packers (10-8) at San Francisco 49ers (12-5) Time: 8:15 PM Eastern Line: San Francisco -9.5 Total: 50.5 Money Line: Packers +360, 49ers -450 Green Bay Offense Jordan Love and the Packers are on quite a heater. Green Bay has won four straight, seven of nine, and Love has produced 21 touchdowns and thrown only ONE interception since Week 11. Meanwhile, the 49ers have picked off a league-leading 22 balls this season. However, the Niners have had issues against the pass. The Niners are also below average in pass rush and on third downs. This looks like another favorable game script for Love to keep drives alive and keep the Packers within striking distance. Aaron Jones won many fantasy contests last week. His usage indicated that he was primed to exploit a sagging Dallas defense. San Francisco’s 4th-ranked fantasy run D will be a more formidable opponent. But Jones remains an elite play due to his involvement in the passing game. All of Green Bay’s wide receivers are in play against a subpar San Francisco secondary. Christian Watson returned last week but only played in 41% of Green Bay’s snaps. He did emerge unscathed, so fair to assume we’ll see a bump. Jayden Reed had a rare zero but had a 14% target share. Romeo Doubs had the finest game of his career last week thanks to a massive 29% target share. TE Tucker Kraft tripled Luke Musgrave in snaps
Jody Smith’s Rankings: Divisional Round
Jody Smith’s Rankings: Divisional Round FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home
FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of our FullTime Fantasy Football Rankings: Divisional Round.
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Fantasy Football Rankings: Divisional Round
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Sunday Playoff Preview
After a two-game slate on Saturday, Sunday offers two more playoff games. Our Sunday Playoff Preview breaks down the fantasy, DFS, and sports betting angles for the Packers at the Cowboys and the intriguing night game between the Rams and upstart Lions. Using our RDA* projections, we can break down each game to find the statistical edge that can give us a leg up in playoff fantasy and daily fantasy lineups. Also, we can determine the best bets to make. Before you place those winning bets, our partner Edge Boost can help you double your entries and payouts! Click below to increase your winnings today. Green Bay Packers (9-8) at Dallas Cowboys (12-5) Time: 4:30 PM Eastern Line: Dallas -7 Total: 50.5 Money Line: Packers +270, Cowboys -340 Green Bay Packers Plenty of scoring is expected indoors between a Packers offense that ranked 12th in scoring and a Dallas unit that led the league. The biggest factor in the Packers’ scoring resurgence was QB Jordan Love. Fantasy football’s No. 5 signal-caller, Love tossed multiple scores in eight of his final nine games. However, things won’t be easy against a Dallas defense that ranked 5th overall and against the pass. With A.J. Dillon doubtful, Aaron Jones is a strong contender to approach 20 touches. Additionally, Christian Watson (hamstring)looks iffy. Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs remain solid options, as do the Packers’ rookie tight end duo. The Packers have covered nine of their last 10 games against the Cowboys and straight up won 4-of-5 in Dallas. Dallas Cowboys Dallas took control of the NFC East by winning 7-of-9 just as the Eagles were tanking. Much of the success can be attributed to an offense that has steamrolled opponents at home. The Cowboys led the NFL in scoring and were undefeated at AT&T. CeeDee Lamb was fantasy football’s top wideout in 2023 and sits atop our RDA* projection against a Green Bay secondary that ceded 13 scores to opposing wideouts. Green Bay allowed more sores to running backs. Therefore, Tony Pollard comes in as our No. 2 runner for the week. A Dallas stack led by QB Dak Prescott will be a popular DFS entry. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS at home and the OVER is 10-3 since Week 6. However, Dallas has struggled against the Packers, dropping nine of their last 10 overall. Packers +7 WIN Los Angeles Rams (10-7) at Detroit Lions (12-5) Time: 8:00 PM Eastern Line: Lions -3 Total: 51.5 Money Line Rams +140, Lions -165 Los Angeles Rams Like the second game, Sunday’s finale should feature plenty of scoring. The total of 51.5 points for this game is the highest of the Wild Card slate. For the Rams, QB Matthew Stafford thrived down the stretch as his offense got healthy. Sophomore RB Kyren Williams was a league winner. However, the Lions ranked 2nd in the league against the run. Conversely, Detroit struggled against the pass, ranking 27th. That puts both Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua in play as top-8 wideouts per our RDA* projections. Also, the Rams tend to show up as visitors. LA went 5-3-1 against the spread on the road and the OVER hit in six of nine. Detroit Lions Meanwhile, the Lions are more than capable of running teams out of the building. Detroit ranked 5th in the league in scoring and was an NFL-best 12-5 against the spread this season. QB Jared Goff plays his best ball at home, leading to the Lions covering 10 of their last 13 at Ford Field. Los Angeles allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to running backs. The Lions will heavily feature both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. However, the tough matchup favors Gibbs, who has a more prominent role in the passing attack. Speaking of the aerial game, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown should cook against a Rams’ secondary that surrendered the 9th-most fantasy points to wideouts. Our RDA* projections also favor Jameson Williams to be a sneaky start. There is a lot of history of OVERs in this series and with both teams in 2023. However, I think the Rams can hang around and that half-point is big. RAMS +3.5 WIN Sign Up Before the NFL Playoffs & Double Your Bet Instantly With Edge Boost Offer is up for a limited time only! Special Offer For The FullTime Community: Users who sign up within the next 72 hours will start at $500 in advance limit from EDGE Boost (as opposed to $50). Claim this offer using EdgeBoost now if you sign up before the Texans–Browns game kicks off on Saturday! Click on this link Click “Sign Up Today” & Double Your Bet Instantly! What is EDGE Boost? EDGE Boost is the first Bet Now Pay Later (powered by VISA) provider that enables you to take out a responsible, no-interest advance that you can use to bet on games of your choice at any sportsbook, DFS site, or the FFWC! You are then given four weekly installment payments to repay your advance, and if your wager hits, you double your winnings with no fees. Think of it like Affirm, AfterPay, and other Buy Now Pay Later providers. They want you to win because EDGE makes their money from the VISA fees paid by the sportsbooks. Imagine this: you’re working hard and the paycheck hits just in time for a mini victory dance. But wait, the big leagues – like that playoff FFWC contest or that winning wager on DraftKings – they’re calling your name, and your wallet’s just not in sync. Enter EDGE Boost, your ultimate sidekick! They’ve got your back, matching your deposits akin to those incredible sign-up bonuses from sportsbooks. The best part? It’s a recurring thrill! Keep using it, over and over – it’s like having a superhero’s power at your fingertips. Didn’t hit the jackpot this time? No sweat! You’ve got a generous month to pay them back, no interest, no worries. But hey, when luck’s on your side and that bet strikes gold, imagine this: you’ve got the means to reinvest and double down with PlayFFWC! 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Thursday Football Preview: Week 12
Thursday Football Preview: Week 12 Happy Thanksgiving! Week 12 is always a special holiday slate. And 2023 is no different. We’ve got a full day’s worth of NFL and fantasy football action with three games. Additionally, the first Black Friday
Happy Thanksgiving! Week 12 is always a special holiday slate. And 2023 is no different. We’ve got a full day’s worth of NFL and fantasy football action with three games. Additionally, the first Black Friday game is one day away. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Football Preview: Week 12 previews all three Thanksgiving games from a fantasy, DFS, and sports betting perspective.
Green Bay at Detroit
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Green Bay Packers | 22 | 19 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| Detroit Lions | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Open: DET -7.5, 44.5
Current: DET -8, 47
As always, the Detroit Lions kick off the holiday festivities. However, these aren’t the hapless Lions of years past. Dan Campbell’s squad has the second-best record in football and boasts a balanced, top-5 offense.
QB Jared Goff plays his best football at home and will be amped to rebound off of a subpar Week 11 showing. Meanwhile, Detroit has a pair of elite fantasy running backs primed to feast off of Green Bay’s 28th-ranked run defense.
The matchup isn’t as great for the pass catchers. However, Goff does have 10 TD strikes in six career games against the Packers. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored a touchdown or exceeded 100 receiving yards in all nine games this season. However, Green Bay allows the fourth-fewest fantasy points to wideouts, so it may take double-digit targets for that streak to continue.
For the Packers, Jordan Love is coming off of his two best games. Facing a Lions’ secondary that has yielded the ninth-most fantasy points to the position puts Love in a favorable spot to deliver another week of high-end QB2 numbers.
However, things look lousy for the ground game. Aaron Jones won’t play, leaving the backfield to A.J. Dillon. Dillon has dominated the backfield snaps and touches when Jones has been sidelined. But he’s been ineffective in that role, averaging just 3.6 yards per carry and just one total reception in the three games Jones has missed.
Detroit is also allowing the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson topped double-digit fantasy points against this secondary back in Week 4. Also, Jayden Reed has developed into a solid WR3/4 option who went 3/55/0 in that game.
TE Luke Musgrave is injured and will be replaced by a committee led by Tucker Kraft. The rookie is a cheap DFS option, only.
Green Bay is 2-5 straight up and against the number since opening the season 2-1. They’ve struggled on the road, losing four straight after winning in Chicago to open the 2023 campaign. And it’s been particularly tough against Detroit, who has covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 matchups with Green Bay.
Detroit has won four of their last five against Green Bay. Also, the Lions have covered in five straight Ford Field matchups hosting the Packers. Detroit beat Green Bay by 14 back in Week 4, but I’m not sure it will be that easy in the rematch. The UNDER has hit in five of Green Bay’s last…
How will Thursday’s games go?
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