NFL Week 1 Panthers at Falcons: DFS & Fantasy Preview
NFL Week 1 Panthers at Falcons: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Falcons – 3 Over/Under: 42 Last year, the Falcons led the NFL in rushing attempts, leading to 2,718 yards and 17 scores on the ground. The addition of Bijan Robinson bodes well for repeated success running the ball, but Atlanta needs Desmond Ridder to prove he can move the chains with his arm. Carolina opens up the season with a rookie quarterback (Bryce Young), who had plenty of success in his time in Alabama. The Panthers don’t have a true WR1, with multiple options vying for targets each week. In 2022, they ran the ball 483 times (12th), leading to a fast-moving clock. Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1. The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap). Atlanta Falcons Desmond Ridder Over his first four NFL starts, he went 2-2 while averaging 177 passes. He has two career passing touchdowns (none on the ground). I expect him to be active in the run game. He must snipe a rushing score to support his lower-tier salary. The Falcons only have one competitive receiving option (Drake London) in Week 1, as I expect the Falcons to limit the snaps of Kyle Pitts early in the season. A Ridder/London requires about 42.00 points at DraftKings and 38.00 at FanDuel to be in play. I need to see Ridder have success passing the ball before riding in the daily games. Bijan Robinson He has the fourth-highest running back salary at DraftKings and sixth at FanDuel. For the running backs on the main slate in Week 1, Robinson has the highest rating in FP/1000 (2.55) at FanDuel while ranking well at DraftKings (2.68). I view him as a strong play in Week 1. He offers three-down ability with a high probability of scoring vs. the Panthers. With a pair of touchdowns, Robinson has a good chance of being on the winning ticket in his first NFL start. Must start in all formats in the season-long games. Tyler Allgeier Last year, he played well over the final four games (79/431/2 with six catches for 52 yards). The Falcons will rotate him on about 35% of their plays, but Allgeier needs a blowout game to be a viable option at his current price point. Drake London In the early draft season in the high-stakes market, London is the 24th wideout off the table. He played well in his rookie season (72/866/4 on 117 targets), highlighted by his final five starts (6/95, 7/70, 7/96, 5/47, and 6/120). The last four outcomes came with Desmond Ridder at quarterback. London needs a 6/90/1 game to fill his salary bucket. I’m starting London in all leagues that use three wide receiver slots in their starting lineup. Mac Hollins In his fifth season in the NFL, Hollins posted his best year (57/690/4) with the Raiders. Over his previous 65 games, he only had 56 catches for 750 yards and six touchdowns. Hollins had one impact game (8/158/1) in 2022. I don’t see a high volume of targets requiring him to hit on a long score to pay off. Kyle Pitts In his rookie season (68/1,026/1 on 110 targets), Pitts was a big part of the Falcons’ offense. Atlanta threw the ball 573 times in 2021, compared to 415 last season (a drop of 27.6%). Based on this path, Pitts would have finished with 49 catches for 744 yards with the same opportunity in 2022. I don’t see a significant jump in pass attempts for the Falcons this year, and Pitts is coming off a significant knee injury. I expect him to be limited out of the gate, but his salary is low enough to be in play with a 3/40/1 game. Coin toss only while waiting for an update on his role/opportunity in Week 1. Here are some notes from my preseason write-up for the Carolina Panthers Defense. 18th vs. the run in 2022 with 17 rushing touchdowns 23rd against the pass with 25 scores, 10 interceptions, and 35 sacks Weakness on the defensive line, with the linebacking corps being a strength. Their secondary has some question marks coming into 2023. Carolina Panthers Bryce Young First NFL start after tossing 79 touchdowns and 12 interceptions over his final 27 games at Alabama. He won’t be a significant player rushing the ball. To reach a playable number at DraftKings and FanDuel, Young needs at least 250 passing yards and two scores with some value on the ground. His receiving lacks a star out of the gate, leading to him spreading the ball around to multiple receiving options. Miles Sanders In both formats, Sanders needs about 22.00 fantasy points to fill his fantasy bucket. He reached that level (29.60, 31.00, and 28.50) three times in 202s, helped by scoring six of his 11 touchdowns in those matchups. The Panthers will rotate in a second running back, requiring Sanders to be more active in the passing game (28, 26, and 20 catches over the past three seasons) to post a winning score. He can sometimes hit on a long TD, keeping him alive in some matchups if Carolina can play from the lead. I view him as overpriced in the daily games in Week 1. Chuba Hubbard Hubbard had three catches in three of his final five games in 2022. He led the Panthers in running back snaps from Week 15 to Week 18 last season. His best two games (18.90 and 15.30) in fantasy points in PPR formats barely support his opening salary while taking a back seat in touches
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/25
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/21
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/19
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of view. Obviously, you’re not going to put together a full lineup from the players listed below but that’s not the idea. The idea is to give you an early look and to point you in the right direction. Combined with all of the other articles and resources we have here at FullTime DFS, collectively we’ll have you in a great spot to cash! Top Pitchers Kyle Gibson (MIN) The White Sox have struggled of late as their free fall continues, specifically against right-handed pitching as they have just a .307 wOBA and .123 ISO over the past two weeks; both of which rank in the bottom third of baseball. Gibson has shut the Sox down twice this season already striking out 18 batters over 13 innings while allowing just two earned runs. I expect another good outing for Gibby against the struggling division foe White Sox. Zach Davies (MIL) It’s hard to fathom that we have a pitcher under 5K that I feel good about but here we are with Zach Davies. At $4,200, you have to consider Davies taking on the Cardinals who have the fifth-lowest wOBA and fourth-lowest ISO against righties over the past two weeks. While there is nothing that will “wow” you from Davies, you won’t need much from him at this price. Joe Ross (WSH) At $6,900, Ross will provide some value as an SP2 (not as much as Davies, but enough if you don’t trust Davies) based on what he’s done over his last three starts. Over that span, he’s pitched into the sixth inning all three times and allowed a total of one earned run. The Pirates have been near the bottom in team wOBA and team ISO over the past two weeks against right-handed pitching. While they haven’t been striking out much, targeting the Pirates with Ross tonight is worth considering. Bats to Build Around My top bats on the slate. Not to say that you should force all of these guys into your lineup(s), simply said, these are my favorite bats considering a number of variables. Mike Moustakas (MIL) Moose heads into St. Louis to face a team he’s hit well against this season (7-22, three doubles, three home runs) and does so after hitting three home runs in his past two games. Dakota Hudson has given up nearly two home runs per nine innings to lefties this season and with Moose struggling for the better half of a month, this is a good matchup for him as he begins to heat up. Michael Brantley (HOU) Brantley is red-hot and there’s no reason to believe that won’t continue against Edwin Jackson and the Tigers at home. Brantley has multiple hits in each of his last four games and over the past month is hitting .379 with a .449 wOBA and .305 ISO along with a 47 percent hard-hit rate. He’s as reliable as they come in this powerful offense and this is a great spot for him to continue raking. Eugenio Suarez (CIN) Geno continues to be a stud against left-handed pitching with a .392 wOBA and .281 ISO against southpaws this season. Over his last 49 plate appearances, Geno has been crushing the ball with a 48 percent hard-hit rate, .364 wOBA, and .310 ISO. Lauer has given up nearly a 40 percent hard contact rate and 40 percent fly-ball rate to righties over the past month and Geno should take advantage of him in a great hitting environment. Quick Hits Favorite value bat(s) Manny Machado (SD) Low owned home run Jonathan Schoop (MIN) Position that is weakest/has the most value Catcher: Jason Castro (MIN), Robinson Chirinos / Martin Maldonado (HOU), Mike Zunino (TB) GOOD LUCK!
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/16 – Main Slate
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/14 – Main Slate
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/12
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/9
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/7
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 8/5
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of