NFL Player Prop Bets Week 1
Because there is little to go on, Week 1 is always the most difficult week to forecast. Both from a fantasy and betting perspective. Still, it’s one of the busiest slates, and our NFL Player Prop Bets Week 1 looks
Like forecasting, the early lines available have been erratic. They’ll stabilize once the season begins. For this week, we’re looking at touchdown player props that offer large returns. Just hitting one of these bets brings a huge return on investment.
Let’s take a look at some of those favorable NFL Player Prop Bets Week 1 to target on this glorious first weekend of football.
All lines courtesy of DraftKings.
Tom Brady (QB) Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Rush TD +800
Brady is famous for his one-yard QB dives into the end zone. He’s good for about three a year. There is a good chance he falls in for a score because he does it a handful of times every year. Despite his age, he continues to try the sneak on the goal line. Brady is also +8000 to punch in two scores.
Damien Williams (RB) Atlanta Falcons – Anytime TD +550
Everything we’ve heard out of Atlanta points to Williams having a shot to lead the Falcons in carries. However, the odds have Tyler Allgeier is the more likely to score a TD, which he is not. Williams will have a prominent role in this offense and has a shot at goal-line carries. Gambling on a pair of scores returns a huge +5500.
What other player props do we like this week?
To finish reading this content… use PROMO CODE – SLEEPER22 to save 22% off our 6-MONTH MEMBERSHIP and
GO PRO! Join FullTime Fantasy.
NFL DraftKings Bargains: Week 5
If you’re spending your Saturday night watching sports and setting DK lineups this piece may help you find the missing component for those trying to fill the cheap DK spot. Let’s not overthink these calls but below identify a few reasons why the following players may work in your cash and tournament lineups. Good luck!! Running Backs Brandon Bolden (New England Patriots) $4000 His week 4 performance vs. Tampa (six grabs for 51) can’t be ignored. The veteran RB continues his pursuit of becoming the Pats receiving RB with James White on IR. The Pat’s should continue this trend vs the Texans. Khalil Herbert (Chicago Bears) $4000 A wild card play for those looking for a profitable gamble. Herbert is a dynamic pass-catcher who flashed during the preseason. Williams will be the primary ball carrier but enters the game dinged and Herbert could pair well with Fields skill set. Samaje Perine (Cincinnati Bengals) $4000 Mixon’s injury history plays into Perine’s favor. Perine is a capable receiver in a game that could be higher scoring than the Vegas total of 50.5. Wide Receivers Randall Cobb (Green Bay Packers) $4000 With Marquez Valdes-Scantling on IR, Cobb found the fountain of youth last week with two TDs. As mentioned above this contest could be loose and players in this game could be difference-makers. The playing surface in Cincinnati favors the athletic veteran WR. Kadarius Toney (New York Giants) $4000 The Giants’ first-round draft pick is starting to pay dividends. Toney, the third WR taken in the 2021 draft, has a diverse skillset and is naturally athletic. The nine targets and 13 yards per reception average from Week 4 could be a repeat in Week 5 vs the Dallas pass defense that ranks bottom three in the league in yards allowed. Amon-Ra St. Brown (Detroit Lions) $3500 St. Brown is starting to get the snaps and the rookie WR from USC doesn’t lack confidence. St. Brown saw season-highs in snaps, targets, receptions, and yards last week vs. Chicago. The Lions will be playing catch up vs the Vikes affording the rookie potential opportunities in positive game scripts and potential garbage time. John Ross (New York Giants) $3400 Another first-round talent in the Giants WR core Ross is a great contrarian play based on metrics, injuries, and momentum. Josh Reynolds (Tennessee Titans) $3300 Reynolds always showed flashes on the Rams and is now healthy at getting playing time with injuries to Titan WR’s. Reynolds saw 9 targets last week. Tight Ends Hunter Henry (New England Patriots) $3700 New England’s offense is committed to featuring TE’s under Josh McDaniels game planning. The Texans rank 2nd worst in the league defending TEs. Henry’s fantasy production has increased each week consecutively and he faces a ripe 5 matchup. Zach Ertz (Philadelphia Eagles) $3400 Ertz saw season highs in targets, receptions, and yards last week vs the Chiefs. He also has a TD reception nullified. The Eagles will be throwing often in Week 5 and Hurts continues to value the veteran TE come game day. Maxx Williams (Arizona Cardinals) $3400 Williams has been active in the Cardinal offense and would see more looks if Chase Edmonds is ruled out. Jonnu Smith (New England Patriots) $3300 The Patriots feature the TE position, and Smith has a chance for a big game against the Texas defense. Cameron Brate (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) $3300 QB Tom Brady and Brate missed on several occasions vs. the Patriots in week 4. Week 5 could be a get-right game for Brate as Brady values the TE in the red zone. THESE DFS PICKS ARE FREE THIS WEEK BUT IS TYPICALLY RESERVED FOR PREMIUM MEMBERS. Are you seriously still on the sidelines? Proven track record to help you win. Join the fun and Become a FULLTIME MEMBER! We’re chatting 24/7 in our Discord and when you join, you get access to exclusive Member Only perks such as: Access to our customized rankings and projections, deep-dive downloads, waiver wire suggestions, private Who Do I Start Advice, our WR/CB Matchups report, a Survivor Contest, Member area chat in our Discord and to top it all off, 5 free monthly drafts into our Weekly Draft Contests! That’s just the tip of the iceberg! JOIN the Fun, and Get Yourself to the Championship. The TD30 coupon code to save 30% expires this Sunday. It’s your last chance to save 30%! Do it now! ENTER OUR WEEK 5 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Try to stack the team with players you think will do well in Week 5! The highest Week 5 Score wins! (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 5 Player Rankings to help. It’s a bestball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one! Just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard! Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! The Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 5 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Week 4 NFL DraftKings Bargains
Oftentimes we build that monster Draftkings lineup for Sunday and the most challenging final roster spot is the cheap or undervalued flex position. When it comes to season-long leagues, you might be the team with Tee Higgins, Jerry Jeudy, and Dalvin Cook and need to play your bench options now. That’s not an issue in DFS games. Let’s look at Draftkings pass-catchers priced at $4000 and under that could be difference-makers. Don’t underestimate ten points when trying to win a Draftkings contest or a seasonal head-to-head game. This week you’ll see many opportunities and values with tight ends, an emerging position in NFL play-calling, but still quite affordable pricing on Draftkings. Wide Receivers Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Tennessee Titans) $3200 – Would you be surprised if Ryan Tannehill features the second-year WR against a raw Jets defense? His underrated Week 3 stat line (4/56/1 on 4 targets) can’t be ignored in this particular matchup vs the Jets. The chunk yards and red-zone looks along with the $3200 price make Westbrook appealing. Westbrook picked up via high-stakes waivers from many successful players so sometimes you should follow the trail. Van Jefferson (Los Angeles Rams) $3900 – Van Jefferson’s DNA bolds well for success given the fact his father (an NFL wide receivers coach for 10-plus years) and he’s finally getting significant playing time. I’ve heard a lot of enthusiasm from players who hold large shares of Jefferson in high stakes. This game should be loose with Stafford vs. Kyler Murray potential and Jefferson could surprise. Coming off of a game where he played 77% of his team’s snaps, Jefferson is in a great spot to produce for minimal cost. K.J. Osbourne (Minnesota Vikings) $3700 – Keep an eye on the injury to Vikings’ tight end Tyler Conklin. In Week 3, Minnesota found a hole in the Seattle secondary and exposed it with Conklin, who took opportunities away from Osborne. Conklin has been dinged up this week. I think the Browns, roster-wise, trump the Vikings and envision Cousins playing catch up. That should lead to ample targets for Osbourne, and a profitable return on investment. DeSean Jackson (Los Angeles Rams) $3800 – In Week 3, Matthew Stafford missed D-Jax twice on long throws that could have been TDs or huge gains. On one of the misconnections, Jackson burned Tampa’s secondary, confirming he still has world-class speed left in his game. Stafford finally connected for a 75 -ard TD and the veteran WR ended with a solid 3/120/1 line. If your league rewards long TDs or you seek the upside DK player in your lineup, roll the dice on D-Jax Braxton Berrios (New York Jets) $3700 – If you like the targets, then Berrios could be a crafty play, especially if Jamison Crowder is out. Throw away last week’s game vs Denver and Berrios is averaging six targets from rookie Zach Wilson. Couple this with a Tennessee pass defense that distinctly ranks in the bottom-4 worst defenses vs. opposing wideouts with 680 yards surrendered so far, and you might have a solid sleeper here in Berrios. Tight Ends Mike Gesicki (Miami Dolphins) $4000 – If you look into Giseicki’s games from last year, you’ll notice he was quite streaky. This week you’ve probably seen Twitter blowing up with “Jacoby Brissett feeds tight ends” examples. The veteran Brissett prefers the check-down game and Giseicki’s 12 targets from Week 3 could be in play, plus Giseicki has a history of big home games. Dawson Knox (Buffalo Bills) $3600 – For just $3600, you should put some thought into inserting Knox into your lineups versus Houston. Only Baltimore and Miami have allowed more yards to TEs and the Texans’ 21 receptions to the position thus far is tied for second-most. With thunderstorms expected at Highmark stadium, I think this gives Knox an advantage to the TE who has scored TDs in two straight and his a ripe matchup. Austin Hooper (Cleveland Browns) $3700 – At the conclusion of the 2020 season, when the Browns were thin at WR, Baker Mayfield started to lean on Austin Hooper and that formula is back in play in Week 4. Once again these types of player selections have a goal of 10-plus points, which can be the difference. Hooper has hit this mark consecutive weeks and the matchup with the Vikings bolds well, as Minnesota has allowed 222 yards to TEs, 7th most. Zach Ertz (Philadelphia Eagles $3500 – Ertz is coming off a Week 3 performance that demonstrated his potential in three phases: targets (7), yards (53), and a touchdown. When considering a lower-end TE, not being TD-dependent helps mitigate risk. Kansas City has allowed 232 receiving yards to TEs through three games, fifth-most in the league. If you value game script data, then Ertz is also appealing. The matchup with the Chiefs should see plenty of scoring potential and has an over/under of 54.5, the highest of the Week 4 slate. Dalton Schultz (Dallas Cowboys) $3400 – For my money, Dalton Schultz was definitely keyed in with Dak Prescott in his Monday Night Football breakout game- an outing that won people lots of money. Talk about riding the hot hand as Schultz emerged as one of Dallas’ main receiving threats in the absence of Michael Gallup. Both Dallas and Carolina are hot and have aggressive play-calling, which gives the game a leg up in terms of desired players in specific matchups in Week 4. The $3400 price is kinda disrespectful to boot. The 2021 NFL season is well underway but it’s not too late to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES & UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site
NHL DFS: Point Shot Cheat Sheet – 8/19
Today’s slate locks at 4:00 PM EST CENTERS WINGS DEFENSE TOP $ Patrice Bergeron (BOS) Elias Pettersson (VAN) Brad Marchand (BOS) Brendan Gallagher (MTL) Shea Weber (MTL) Dougie Hamilton (CAR) MID $ Bo Horvat (VAN) Nazem Kadri (COL) Taylor Hall (ARI) Brock Boeser (VAN) David Perron (STL) Quinn Hughes (VAN) Torey Krug (BOS) VALUE $ David Krejci (BOS) Nick Suzuki (MTL) Derek Stepan (ARI) Clayton Keller (ARI) Jake Debrusk (BOS) Jonathan Drouin (MTL) Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI) Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) Justin Faulk (STL) Favorite Line Stacks *Note: Lines are subject to change depending on morning skate lines. Revert to the chat and/or look for updates here for any impact they may have. Vancouver Canucks Miller – Pettersson – Boeser Montreal Canadiens Tatar – Suzuki – Gallagher Value Line Stack Boston Bruins Debrusk – Krejci – Kase Arizona Coyotes Hall – Stepan – Keller Top Goalies Darcy Kuemper (ARI) – Kuemper and the Yotes had their brains beaten in last time out but that too me was just a blip for this strong defensive team. Kuemper has been seeing a ton of shots, his salary is still low, and the upside that comes with him is immense. Jacob Markstrom (VAN) – Markstrom has been strong and has been dealt two tough-luck losses in a row. Markstrom has stopped at least 34 shots in each of his last three games and at $7600 he’s in a great position to pay off. Carey Price (MTL) – It’s do or die for Montreal as the Habs have gone scoreless in each of their last two games. Price hasn’t seen a lot of work in each of his last two outings but that could change tonight assuming the Montreal plays with a little bit more urgency in the neutral zone and offensive zone making the pace here a little more up and down. GOOD LUCK!!
NHL DFS: Slap Shot – 8/18
With another four games of NHL Playoff hockey today DraftKings once again has some very rewarding tournaments available to follow along and sweat the action. Flyers v Canadiens – Flyers up 2-1 Flames v Stars – Series tied 2-2 Caps
NHL DFS: Point Shot Cheat Sheet – 8/17
Today’s slate locks at 3:00 PM EST CENTERS WINGS DEFENSE TOP $ Patrice Bergeron (BOS) Brayden Point (TB) Nikita Kucherov (TB) Brad Marchand (BOS) Dougie Hamilton (CAR) Victor Hedman (TB) MID $ Bo Horvat (VAN) Nazem Kadri (COL) Taylor Hall
NHL DFS: Point Shot Cheat Sheet – 8/16
Today’s slate locks at 6:30 PM EST CENTERS WINGS DEFENSE TOP $ Bo Horvat (VAN) William Karlsson (VGK) Max Pacioretty (VGK) Patrick Kane (CHI) Shea Theodore (VGK) Shea Weber (MTL) MID $ Jonathan Toews (CHI) Brendan Gallagher (MTL) Jonathan Marchessault (VGK) Brock Boeser (VAN) Quinn Hughes (VAN) Jeff Petry (MTL) Nate Schmidt (VGK) VALUE $ Nick Suzuki (MTL) Kirby Dach (CHI) Dylan Strome (CHI) Alex Debrincat (CHI) Jonathan Drouin (MTL) Duncan Keith (CHI) Justin Faulk (STL) Chris Tanev (VAN) Favorite Line Stacks *Note: Lines are subject to change depending on morning skate lines. Revert to the chat and/or look for updates here for any impact they may have. Montreal Canadiens Tatar – Suzuki – Gallagher Vegas Golden Knights Marchessault – Karlsson – Smith Vancouver Canucks Miller – Pettersson – Boeser Value Line Stack Montreal Canadiens Drouin – Kotkaniemi – Armia Vancouver Canucks Pearson – Horvat – Eriksson Top Goalies Carey Price (MTL) – As the playoffs roll on and this series continues, Price comes in off a 30-save shutout last time out and he looked like he could’ve stopped 50 if given the chance. Pure dominance from Price and with a friendly salary still, I look for his strong play to continue. Jacob Markstrom (VAN) – Speaking of confidence, Markstrom has been solid between the pipes winning two in a row against the defending cup champions. On the other side, St. Louis has all kinds of questions going on in their net and doesn’t look like the same team we saw come on last season. GOOD LUCK!!
NHL DFS: Point Shot Cheat Sheet – 8/15
Today’s slate locks at 3:00 PM EST CENTERS WINGS DEFENSE TOP $ Nathan MacKinnon (COL) William Karlsson (VGK) Mark Stone (VGK) Patrick Kane (CHI) Jonathan Marchessault (VGK) Shea Theodore (VGK) MID $ Pierre-Luc Dubois (CBJ) Paul Stastny (VGK) Oliver Bjorkstrand (CBJ) Phil Kessel (ARI) Seth Jones (CBJ) VALUE $ Boone Jenner (CBJ) Kirby Dach (CHI) Clayton Keller (ARI) Alex Tuch (VGK) Nick Foligno (CBJ) Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI) Connor Murphy (CHI) Brayden McNabb (VGK) Favorite Line Stacks *Note: Lines are subject to change depending on morning skate lines. Revert to the chat and/or look for updates here for any impact they may have. Vegas Golden Knights Pacioretty (check on status, if OUT, Chandler Stephenson should replace) – Karlsson – Stone Arizona Coyotes Hall – Stepan – Keller Value Line Stack Columbus Blue Jackets Texier – Dubois – Bjorkstrand Top Goalies Joonas Korpisalo (CBJ) – Everyone is going to go Tampa and Vegas on this slate. On such a short slate, being different is going to be paramount and in this case, Korpi and the Jackets are playing with a ton of confidence right now after a big win in game two and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Columbus comes in ready to roll. Robin Lehner (VGK) – We’re not getting Lehner at any kind of discount here as DK has priced him up to $8400. With that said, I don’t think Chicago has what it takes on the ice or behind the bench to come back in this series against an, in my opinion, far superior Golden Knights unit. GOOD LUCK!!
NHL DFS: Point Shot Cheat Sheet – 8/14
Today’s slate locks at 2:00 PM EST CENTERS WINGS DEFENSE TOP $ Mathew Barzal (NYI) Elias Pettersson (VAN) Alex Ovechkin (WSH) Brendan Gallagher (MTL) Vladimir Tarasenko (STL) Shea Weber (MTL) Alex Pietrangelo (STL) MID $ Ryan O’Reilly (STL) Nazem Kadri
NHL DFS: Point Shot Cheat Sheet – 8/13
CENTERS WINGS DEFENSE TOP $ Patrice Bergeron (BOS) Brayden Point (TB) Max Pacioretty (VGK) David Pastrnak (BOS) Shea Theodore (VGK) Victor Hedman (TB) Seth Jones (CBJ) MID $ Pierre-Luc Dubois (CBJ) Tyler Seguin (DAL) Brad Marchand (BOS) Jonathan Marchessault