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NFL Week 1 Texans at Ravens: DFS & Fantasy Preview

Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens

NFL Week 1 Texans at Ravens: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Ravens – 9.5 Over/Under: 44.0 Baltimore has a primo matchup for their offense in Week 1, and Lamar Jackson has a much better receiving corps heading into 2023. Zay Flower has been getting plenty of hype in training camp for his speed and quickness, and Rashod Bateman looks ready to shine out of the gate. The Ravens have a stud tight end (Mark Andrews) with plenty of firepower at the position off the bench. Baltimore will run the ball a lot against Houston’s run defense, which ranked poorly in 2022. The Texans stroll into this matchup with a high-upside rookie quarterback (C.J. Stroud). They upgraded their tight end position in the offseason by signing Dalton Schultz. Houston has a young group of wideouts – Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and John Metchie that will give defenses fits as the season progresses. With Baltimore expected to have success scoring, the Texans will have to air the ball out to stay in the game. Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1. The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap).  Houston Texans C.J. Stroud Stroud makes his first start in the NFL vs. Ravens defense that ranked 26th in passing yards allowed while minimizing the damage in passing TDs (20). Baltimore did get after the quarterback (48 sacks) in 2022. Over his final 25 starts at Ohio State, Stroud threw 85 touchdown passes with only 12 interceptions. He offered minimal value in the run game. Houston has some intriguing young wide receivers that should help move the chains. Baltimore had a top-tier run defense last year, pointing to the Texans needing to finish drives with passing touchdowns in the red zone. I don’t see a difference-maker gain by Stroud. He needs about 250 passing yards and three scores to pay off. I expect him to be on a low percentage of rosters, making him worth a dart or two. Dameon Pierce Pierce played well in his rookie season (220/939/4 with 30 catches for 165 yards and one touchdown), but he was worthless in the fantasy market after Week 10 (55/167/1 with eight catches for 39 yards) while missing the final four games with an ankle injury. His pass-protecting skills are below par, pointing to Pierce standing on the sideline on passing downs. Houston will rotate in a second back, limiting the ceiling of Pierce. A top run defense should limit his scoring upside. Pierce almost needs 100 yards rushing and two scores to pay off. I have him in my fade column in the DFS market in Week 1 Devin Singletary Most Dameon Pierce supporters don’t respect Singletary. He’s gained over 1,000 combined yards in back-to-back seasons with the high-scoring Bills.  Singletary averaged 38.7 catches over the past three seasons with some value in scoring (14 combined touchdowns in 2021 and 2022). Game flow may favor him in this matchup. He scored over 18.00 fantasy points in PPR formats twice last season.  Nice Collins In the early draft season, Collins ranked 54th at wide receiver, translating to just over 7.00 fantasy points in PPR leagues last year.  He has three career scores over his 24 games with Houston while averaging 2.9 catches for 39 yards.  Last year, Collins scored more than 15.00 fantasy points in one game (5/49/1). His size (6’4” and 215 lbs.) gives Stroud a big target at the goal line, and Collins worked more as a big play receiver (17.8 yards per catch) in college. He needs the best game of his career to be winning play. I’ll pass due to Houston expected to rotate in four wideouts plus service Dalton Schultz with targets at tight end. Robert Woods Veteran wide receiver with an excellent three-year run with the Rams from 2018 to 2020 (86/1,219/6, 90/1,134/2, and 90/936/6). Wood also had success rushing the ball (266/3,289/14) over this span. A torn ACL cost him eight games in 2021, followed by a quiet year with the Titans (53/527/2). At age 31, his best days are behind him. Woods has the resume and experience to post a 5/50/1 game that works for his Week 1 salary. More of a gamble than a winning play in the DFS market. John Metchie The Texans drafted Metchie in the second round in 2022, but he missed all of last season with a battle with promyelocytic leukemia. The year off did help him recover from a torn ACL with Alabama. In his best season in college, Metchie caught 96 balls for 1,142 yards and eight scores on 133 targets.  His stock should rise as the second moves on, but without a starting job, he would only be a flier in the DFS market. Tank Dell Dell was a beast over his final two seasons (90/1,329/12 and 109/1,398/17) at Houston.  His skill set and quickness point to a slot role with the Texans in his rookie year. Dell is undersized (5’8” and 165 lbs.), but he looks ready to handle the next step in his career. Dell had a 5/65/1 game in the preseason before being limited with a slight hamstring issue. For someone looking for a $3,000 salary savior at DraftKings, he should have the opportunity to be a winning play based on game flow. Dalton Schultz Schultz blossomed into a top-12 tight end over the past three seasons at Dallas (63/615/4, 78/808/8, and 57/577/5). The Texans’ tight ends had 77 catches for 959 yards and eight touchdowns on 130 targets in 2022. Schultz scored 19.00 fantasy points or more in three (19.10, 24.60,

NFL Week 1 Titans at Saints: DFS & Fantasy Preview

NFL Week 1 Titans at Saints: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Saints – 3 Over/Under: 41.5 After making the postseason from 2019 to 2021 with a 32-17 record, Tennessee lost its offensive prowess last season (28th in points scored). 

NFL Week 1 Titans at Saints: DFS & Fantasy Preview

Betting Line: Saints – 3

Over/Under: 41.5

After making the postseason from 2019 to 2021 with a 32-17 record, Tennessee lost its offensive prowess last season (28th in points scored).  The Titans have a better foundation for their passing attack by signing DeAndre Hopkins. Treylon Burks and Chigoziem Okonkwo give Ryan Tannehill the tools to have a rebound in his passing stats. Derrick Henry remains a beast, and Tennessee looks to have hit on an upside back running back option (Tyjae Spears) in this year’s draft class.

New Orleans will have the best overall offense in the NFC South if Michael Thomas regains his previous form and stays healthy all season. Derek Carr has sneaky upside, thanks to Chris Olave and the potential growth by A.T. Perry. There have been positive reports about the play of Juwan Johnson in training camp. The combination of Alvin Kamara, Jamaal Williams, and Kendre Williams points to solid production on the ground.

Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1.

The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap). 

Tennessee Titans

Ryan Tannehill

  • Tannehill comes off down seasons (2,536/13) while missing five games with an ankle injury. He averaged only 27.1 pass attempts.
  • The addition of DeAndre Hopkins gives him a trusted WR1 with change-mover ability and scoring upside. 
  • The Titans still want to run the ball and play good defense, but teams will have success passing the ball against them. If Tennessee falls behind early, they will be forced to move the ball via the pass.
  • New Orleans had the second-best pass defense (3,413/7 with 48 sacks) in the league.
  • Treylon Burks and Chigoziem Okonkwo give Tannehill big-play threats.
  • I’m in the camp that this matchup could be higher scoring than expected, giving Tannehill a chance to pay off handsomely in the DFS market. He’s far from a lock, but ownership should be an edge if his ticket comes in.

 

Derrick Henry

 

  • Over his last 40 games, Henry averaged 129.2 yards, 1.1 touches, and 1.75 catches on 25.4 touches (21.27 FPPG in PPR formats). 
  • His yards per carry (4.3 and 4.4) came in well below 2019 (5.1) and 2020 (5.4) due to a step back in play by his offensive line and fewer threats in the passing game.
  • The Titans will get Tyjae Spears involved in some way, but I don’t expect him to be a significant factor in Henry’s role in this matchup.
  • New Orleans had a sharp regression in their play defending the run in 2022 (4.5 yards per carry, leading to 2,218 yards and 14 touchdowns). Offenses ran the ball 28.9 times a game against them.
  • Henry won’t catch many balls, so he needs multiple scores of a long run to post a winning score for his salary. 

 

DeAndre Hopkins…

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NFL Week 1 Buccaneers at Vikings: DFS & Fantasy Preview

Justin Jefferson

NFL Week 1 Buccaneers at Vikings: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Vikings – 6 Over/Under: 45.5 The Tampa Bay Buccaneers waltz into Minnesota with a sharp decline in quarterback play after the retirement of Tom Brady. Baker Mayfield has

NFL Week 1 Buccaneers at Vikings: DFS & Fantasy Preview

Betting Line: Vikings – 6

Over/Under: 45.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers waltz into Minnesota with a sharp decline in quarterback play after the retirement of Tom Brady. Baker Mayfield has a 31-38 record while gaining only 6.8 yards per pass attempt in his career. Last year, Tampa threw the ball 751 times but allowed only 22 sacks. Brady’s ability to get rid of the ball quickly was the most significant factor, not the offensive line. The Bucs will throw the ball a lot less in 2023, with a spike in sacks and bad passing plays. Mike Evans hopes to extend his streak of at least 1,000 receiving yards to 10 seasons. Tampa hopes Rachaad White can make more explosive plays in his second year with the Bucs. Chirs Godwin capitalized on his time with Brady, leading to 202 catches for 2,126 yards and eight touchdowns over the past two years.

Minnesota had the best wide receiver (Justin Jefferson) in the land, based on fantasy ADPs all summer. The Vikings want to attack via the pass, and they added another dynamic wideout (Jordan Addison) in this draft class. The running back position is in transition, but Minnesota hopes Alexander Mattison can carry the RB1 load. T.J. Hockenson played the best ball of his career after arriving midseason to the Vikings. K.J. Osborn gives Kirk Cousins another dependable receiver to move the ball.

Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1.

The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap). 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield

  • Over his last 18 starts. Mayfield passed for more than 235 yards in one game (11/28/2021 – 247/1). He has 18 touchdowns over this span when starting, with 18 interceptions and 57 sacks (525 pass attempts – 10.9%). Tom Brady threw the ball 1,452 times in 2021 and 2022, but he only was sacked 44 times (2.9%). The bottom line with this rant is that the Vikings could be a gold mine in Week 1 despite their poor outlook.
  • The Vikings had the fifth-worst pass defense (22.02 FPPG), with nine teams passing for 300 yards (333/1, 418/2, 326/3, 330/1, 301/2, 382/2, 369/0, 330/3, and 334/1). Their defense finished with 35 sacks.
  • Compared to 2022, the Vikings’ defense should be better in the secondary if Lewis Cine seizes a starting job and one of their young cornerbacks steps up to handle a starting gig. I see a below-par defensive line with three assets on the first two levels of their defense – Marcus Davenport, Danielle Hunter, and Jordan Hicks.
  • As much as I expect Mayfield to fail over the long haul in 2023, Tampa will chase on the scoreboard, and he does have two proven wide receivers and a pass-catching running back.

Rachaad White

  • The Bucs’ running backs had 338 catches for 1,529 yards and 11 touchdowns on 286 targets over the past two seasons. Again, their success was tied to Brady dumping the ball off and the elite number of pass attempts by Tampa Bay.
  • White ranked 35th in running back scoring (142.10) in PPR leagues, gaining 3.7 yards per rush and 5.8 yards per catch. He did secure 50 of his 58 targets.
  • Running backs had 90 catches for 667 yards and four touchdowns on 115 targets against Minnesota in 2022.
  • Game flow should favor him in the passing game, and his salary is low enough that a touchdown added to his expected…

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NFL Week 1 Bengals at Browns: DFS & Fantasy Preview

NFL Week 1 Bengals at Browns: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Bengals – 2 Over/Under: 47.5 The Bengals have an elite quarterback (Joe Burrow) supported by two high-ceiling wideouts (Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins). Their quest heading into 2023

NFL Week 1 Bengals at Browns: DFS & Fantasy Preview

Betting Line: Bengals – 2

Over/Under: 47.5

The Bengals have an elite quarterback (Joe Burrow) supported by two high-ceiling wideouts (Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins). Their quest heading into 2023 is a return to the Super Bowl while bringing home a championship to their fans. In the offseason, Cincinnati tried to upgrade their tight end position (Irv Smith). To continue their rise in the AFC, their defense must stop offenses in the most critical part of the game – the fourth quarter.

It’s showtime for Deshaun Watson after the Browns paid him $230 million in 2022. Cleveland has a stud running back with Nick Chubb, with improving depth and upside at wide receiver – Amari Cooper, Elijah Moore, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Cedric Tillman, and David Bell. In addition, the Browns have a developing tight end (David Njoku).

Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1.

The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap). 

Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow

  • Last year, Burrow scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in four of his first 12 starts (35.50, 44.05, 32.25, and 32.90). The Browns kept him in check (17.80 and 19.95 fantasy points) in his two matchups.
  • In his rookie season, he posted two stellar games (335/3 and 440/4) against Cleveland.
  • The Browns had the best quarterback fantasy defense (15.00 FPPG) in 2022, one notch above Cincinnati’s pass defense.
  • The key for Burrow in this matchup is a longer pass window.
  • His calf issue appears to be healed, but the fantasy market needs to see him in game action before trusting that Burrow is on top of his game.
  • His matchup suggests fading him, but Cinci had too many receiving weapons to avoid Burrow. In addition, the Browns should score in this matchup.
  • He needs at least 300 yards with three touchdowns to be in the mix in the daily games in Week 1.

 

Joe Mixon

  • Mixon’s ticket came in only once last season (Week 6 – 55.10 fantasy points), helping me win $250,000 at DraftKings. He scored between 17.00 and 21.50 fantasy points) in six matchups, none of which would support his current salary.
  • The Bengals will rotate in a second running back, but Mixon may have a more significant role out of the gate.
  • Burrow will use his running backs in the passing game close to the goal line – 103/796/7 on 132 targets. Their backs had the third most catches (103) in the league in 2022.
  • Three times his salary seems reasonable, leaving some upside if Mixon hits on a second touchdown or a bunch of receptions.
  • Viable rotational running back upside in Week 1.

 

Ja’Marr Chase

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NFL Week 1 Panthers at Falcons: DFS & Fantasy Preview

bryce young

NFL Week 1 Panthers at Falcons: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Falcons – 3 Over/Under: 42 Last year, the Falcons led the NFL in rushing attempts, leading to 2,718 yards and 17 scores on the ground. The addition of Bijan Robinson bodes well for repeated success running the ball, but Atlanta needs Desmond Ridder to prove he can move the chains with his arm.  Carolina opens up the season with a rookie quarterback (Bryce Young), who had plenty of success in his time in Alabama. The Panthers don’t have a true WR1, with multiple options vying for targets each week. In 2022, they ran the ball 483 times (12th), leading to a fast-moving clock.  Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1. The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap).  Atlanta Falcons Desmond Ridder Over his first four NFL starts, he went 2-2 while averaging 177 passes. He has two career passing touchdowns (none on the ground). I expect him to be active in the run game. He must snipe a rushing score to support his lower-tier salary.  The Falcons only have one competitive receiving option (Drake London) in Week 1, as I expect the Falcons to limit the snaps of Kyle Pitts early in the season. A Ridder/London requires about 42.00 points at DraftKings and 38.00 at FanDuel to be in play. I need to see Ridder have success passing the ball before riding in the daily games. Bijan Robinson He has the fourth-highest running back salary at DraftKings and sixth at FanDuel. For the running backs on the main slate in Week 1, Robinson has the highest rating in FP/1000 (2.55) at FanDuel while ranking well at DraftKings (2.68).  I view him as a strong play in Week 1. He offers three-down ability with a high probability of scoring vs. the Panthers. With a pair of touchdowns, Robinson has a good chance of being on the winning ticket in his first NFL start. Must start in all formats in the season-long games. Tyler Allgeier Last year, he played well over the final four games (79/431/2 with six catches for 52 yards). The Falcons will rotate him on about 35% of their plays, but Allgeier needs a blowout game to be a viable option at his current price point. Drake London In the early draft season in the high-stakes market, London is the 24th wideout off the table. He played well in his rookie season (72/866/4 on 117 targets), highlighted by his final five starts (6/95, 7/70, 7/96, 5/47, and 6/120). The last four outcomes came with Desmond Ridder at quarterback. London needs a 6/90/1 game to fill his salary bucket. I’m starting London in all leagues that use three wide receiver slots in their starting lineup. Mac Hollins In his fifth season in the NFL, Hollins posted his best year (57/690/4) with the Raiders. Over his previous 65 games, he only had 56 catches for 750 yards and six touchdowns. Hollins had one impact game (8/158/1) in 2022. I don’t see a high volume of targets requiring him to hit on a long score to pay off. Kyle Pitts In his rookie season (68/1,026/1 on 110 targets), Pitts was a big part of the Falcons’ offense. Atlanta threw the ball 573 times in 2021, compared to 415 last season (a drop of 27.6%). Based on this path, Pitts would have finished with 49 catches for 744 yards with the same opportunity in 2022. I don’t see a significant jump in pass attempts for the Falcons this year, and Pitts is coming off a significant knee injury. I expect him to be limited out of the gate, but his salary is low enough to be in play with a 3/40/1 game. Coin toss only while waiting for an update on his role/opportunity in Week 1. Here are some notes from my preseason write-up for the Carolina Panthers Defense. 18th vs. the run in 2022 with 17 rushing touchdowns 23rd against the pass with 25 scores, 10 interceptions, and 35 sacks Weakness on the defensive line, with the linebacking corps being a strength. Their secondary has some question marks coming into 2023. Carolina Panthers Bryce Young First NFL start after tossing 79 touchdowns and 12 interceptions over his final 27 games at Alabama. He won’t be a significant player rushing the ball. To reach a playable number at DraftKings and FanDuel, Young needs at least 250 passing yards and two scores with some value on the ground. His receiving lacks a star out of the gate, leading to him spreading the ball around to multiple receiving options. Miles Sanders In both formats, Sanders needs about 22.00 fantasy points to fill his fantasy bucket. He reached that level (29.60, 31.00, and 28.50) three times in 202s, helped by scoring six of his 11 touchdowns in those matchups. The Panthers will rotate in a second running back, requiring Sanders to be more active in the passing game (28, 26, and 20 catches over the past three seasons) to post a winning score. He can sometimes hit on a long TD, keeping him alive in some matchups if Carolina can play from the lead. I view him as overpriced in the daily games in Week 1. Chuba Hubbard Hubbard had three catches in three of his final five games in 2022. He led the Panthers in running back snaps from Week 15 to Week 18 last season. His best two games (18.90 and 15.30) in fantasy points in PPR formats barely support his opening salary while taking a back seat in touches

NFL Player Prop Bets Week 8

Sam Ehlinger

Grinding through a season-long fantasy football campaign is fun. But every once in a while, a distraction is good. Particularly if you can win some cash. Our NFL Player Prop Bets Week 8 will help you find some potentially lucrative payoffs this weekend. In addition to rooting for your players, rooting for props increases the fun. The fact that just one or two of these hits results in some nice payoffs is even better! Here are some of the NFL Player Props Week 8 that we’ll be targeting. All lines courtesy of DraftKings.   Touchdown Props   Sam Ehlinger (QB) Indianapolis Colts 1TD +390 Ehlinger is a young quarterback who is playing in favor of Matt Ryan because of his mobility. It stands to reason that he could trust his legs more than his arm if he gets down by the goal line. Against the Washington Commanders’ defense, he should get at least a few chances to run one in. A pair of rushing scores would pay a whopping +3500. Jaylen Warren (RB) Pittsburgh Steelers 1TD +550 After a handful of down games, Warren’s odds have risen. Because of that, I’m back in on him. He has looked more dynamic than Najee Harris and has a role in the passing attack. Philadelphia’s defense is a strong matchup for him as well. They shut down wideouts so they will most likely be moving the ball on the ground and with underneath passes.  JaMycal Hasty (RB) Jacksonville Jaguars 1TD +450 James Robinson was traded and no one is quite sure that Travis Etienne is built for an every-down role. Hasty is the clear RB2 now and we’ve already seen him create explosive plays including a 61-yard TD run. There is a chance he gets about 5-8 carries and a couple of targets with Robinson gone.  Ty Johnson (RB) New York Jets 1TD +950 2TD +1000 Speaking of Robinson. He has only been in New York for a few days. Because he was just acquired, Robinson could be eased into the offense. This could open the door for Ty Johnson to get touches. With his odds to score being what they are he’s worth throwing a few dollars on.  Darrell Williams (RB) Arizona Cardinals 1TD +475 Williams is expected back this week and James Conner has been ruled out again. Eno Benjamin has played well as the starter, but let’s not forget that this was expected to be a split-back system in Conner’s absence before Williams went down. There is a chance Benjamin has done enough to secure the starting gig. However, there is also a chance that Williams returns and sees a significant amount of touches. At the very least he should regain the Keaontay Ingram role that banked him two TDs last week.  River Cracraft (WR) Miami Dolphins 1TD +1200 This is one of the two best bets of the week. The odds are crazy here if you’ve been paying attention to Dolphins games this season. Tua Tagovailoa has played four complete games this season. In those four games, Cracraft has caught two TD passes and seen four end zone targets. He also had a TD called back on a penalty against the Vikings with Skylar Thompson under center. Cracraft doesn’t get in the game much at all beyond the 10-yard line, but they play him and target him in and around the end zone.  Nelson Agholor (WR) New England Patriots 1TD +550 Agholor has been quiet as of late. It is the perfect time to take advantage of that with these favorable odds. Over the past two games with Bailey Zappe in he has not caught a single pass and has seen one target in each game. However, in three games with Mac Jones, he saw 14 targets that he turned into 11 receptions, 179 yards, and a TD. Jones favors him over DeVante Parker, who Zappe has been targeting often. He’s worth the risk here.  Jordan Akins (TE) Houston Texans 1TD +450 2TD +4000 Akins is being used like the top receiving tight end in Houston and has longer odds than Brevin Jordan and O.J. Howard this week in a great matchup against the Titans. Also, Akins has had at least two receptions and 20 yards in every game he’s played this season and has scored a TD this season. Finally, last week Akins saw four targets and caught three of them for 68 yards. Nick Vannett (TE) New Orleans Saints 1TD +900 This is the other best bet of the week if Juwan Johnson doesn’t play. The odds haven’t adjusted yet, but Johnson pulled up with a hamstring injury in practice Thursday and has been downgraded to questionable. If Johnson can’t go Vannett at these odds is a great bet. The Saints utilize their TEs a ton and the Raiders can’t stop anyone.  Chris Myarick (TE) New York Giants 1TD +500 The belief here is that Myarick and not Tanner Hudson will serve as the lead pass-catching TE with Daniel Bellinger sidelined. However, Myarick has longer odds than Hudson and could be in a role that has been a big part of New York’s passing attack.    Passing Props   Andy Dalton (QB) New Orleans Saints OVER 246.5 (-105) No team is giving up more passing yards per game than the Raiders, and Dalton is coming off a 361-yard performance. The only concern here is if he struggles early it is possible we see Jameis Winston. However, there is speculation surrounding Winston’s ankle injury.    Rushing Props   Latavius Murray (RB) Denver Broncos OVER 35.5 (-115) At worst, Murray is in a split-back system with Melvin Gordon against a middle-of-the-road Jags defense. With Russell Wilson playing- but likely hampered by a hamstring injury-they will likely lean on the run. Murray should see double-digit carries and eclipse this mark.    Receiving Props   A.J. Brown (WR) Philadelphia Eagles OVER 69.5 (-115) Fresh off a bye week, Brown faces off with the Steelers’ 29th-ranked pass defense. Brown has topped 68 yard

NFL Player Prop Bets Week 7

Wan'Dale Robinson

Grinding through a season-long fantasy football campaign is fun. But every once in a while, a fun distraction is good. Particularly if you can win some cash. Our NFL Player Prop Bets Week 7 will help you find some potentially lucrative payoffs this weekend. In addition to rooting for your players, rooting for props increases the fun. The fact that just one or two of these hits results in some nice payoffs is even better! Here are some of the NFL Player Props Week 7 that we’ll be targeting. All lines courtesy of DraftKings.   Touchdown Props   Zach Wilson (QB) New York Jets 1TD +650 Wilson has the ability to find the endzone, scoring six TDs in 16 career games. Last week was the first time this season he failed to score. This is a particularly good matchup in the red zone for him because it’s unlikely he scores through the air. The Broncos do not allow passing TDs often and Wilson has only thrown one this season. If he scores it will be on the ground.  Mike Boone (RB) Denver Broncos 1TD +380 Boone has the longest odds to score of the three Broncos’ running backs. We don’t know how touches will be handed out this week, but Boone was the RB2 last week based on snaps and touches. He may be the RB1 and he may be the RB3. Those are dice worth rolling on a TD.  Kyle Juszczyk (RB) San Francico 49ers 1TD +750 Juszczyk is one of the most talented fullbacks in the league. He sees plenty of targets and carries in the red zone. Over the past two seasons, he scored eight TDs. He has one so far this season and will find the end zone a few more times. However, you should throw some money down on him this week because it will be a tougher call once CMC is a full go in San Francisco. DeeJay Dallas (RB) Seattle Seahawks 1TD +600 Dallas is going to have a role in this offense despite being the clear RB2. His strengths are pass-catching and down near the goal line. The odds are favorable enough here that you can throw a few dollars on him.  Wan’dale Robinson (WR) New York Giants 1TD +380 You won’t see odds this good for Robinson again this season. He will get more and more involved in the Giants’ offense and will develop into their clear WR1. His TD last week will likely be the first of many. A pair of scores bet would pay back a massive +4000.  Shi Smith (WR) Carolina Panthers 1TD +450 Carolina’s offense is in shambles after trading away Robbie Anderson and Christian McCaffrey this week. Now defenses can completely key in on D.J. Moore. Odds are the Panthers will score at least a few more TDs this season, so we need to find someone whom we think might score some. The pick here is Smith. However, if you want to roll the dice on Terrace Marshall or a TE, by all means, do so.  Marcedes Lewis (TE) Green Bay Packers 1TD +1400 Lewis sees very few targets, but when he does they are usually in the end zone. He only has one catch this year, but it was for a TD. However, he is on the field for 37 percent of snaps and runs sneaky routes in the end zone. With Randall Cobb out, he is more likely to leak out for an underneath TD pass.  Kylen Granson (TE) Indianapolis Colts 1TD +425 The Colts use three TDs. It’s almost impossible to predict which one is going to have the big week. Nonetheless, Granson leads the group in targets and receptions and has the longest odds. He’s yet to score a TD but has had opportunities. Brevin Jordan (TE) Houston Texans 1TD +450 Jordan is back this week after getting hurt early in Week 2. He should slide in as the TE1 in Houston. His proven ability and upside make him a sneaky good bet with his odds up so high because he’s been forgotten about.    Passing Props   Aaron Rodgers (QB) Green Bay Packers OVER 232.5 (-115) Rodgers has been bad this year, but this is a low number against the Commanders. He has topped this number four of the last five weeks against better defenses than Washington’s. That includes games when he topped 250 yards against New England and Tampa Bay   Rushing Props   Tony Pollard (RB) Dallas Cowboys OVER 34.5 (-130) Pollard takes on the Lions this week. It wouldn’t be surprising if he had two carries that for more than this line. The matchup and Pollard’s big play ability make this an easy pick. Also, Detroit has allowed their opponent’s  RB2 to rush for 20-plus yards in four of their five games And none of those backups were as talented as Pollard.    Receiving Props   Alec Pierce (WR) Indianapolis Colts OVER 43.5 (-115) The Titans have given up the ninth-most receiving yards to wideouts this season and they’ve had their bye week. Tennessee allows the most passing yards per game in the league and Pierce gets to play them this week. Excluding Week 1 when he didn’t catch a pass or play much, Pierce has topped this number in every game this season. Also, the last time he played the Titans he posted an 80-yard game. Conversely, this line is oddly low.   ENTER OUR WEEK 7 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Try to stack the team with players you think will do well in Week 10! The highest Week 7 Score wins! (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here are our Weekly Player Rankings to help. It’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one! Just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard! Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the

NFL Player Prop Bets Week 6

New York Giants QB Daniel Jones

Once again, Thursday Night Football let us down, even though we got it right. Not to mention it’s been a crazy first six weeks of NFL and fantasy football action. Our NFL Player Prop Bets Week 5 can help you turn your fortunes around. In addition to rooting for your players, rooting for props increases the fun. The fact that just one or two of these hits results in some nice payoffs is even better! Here are some of the NFL Player Props Week 6 that we’ll be targeting. All lines courtesy of DraftKings.   Touchdown Props Zach Wilson (QB) New York Jets 1TD +700  These are great odds for a quarterback as mobile as Wilson. He has six TDs in 15 career games and two this season, one in each game he’s played. He’s a good bet to score a TD and those odds on two TDs are enticing this week at +7000. Tyrion Davis-Price (RB) San Francisco 49ers 1TD +1000 Davis-Price is expected to return this week and last we saw him he had a 14-carry game. In that game, Jeff Wilson saw 18 carries so it was nearly a full time-split. If TDP plays he has a great opportunity to score a TD. Way better than the odds are indicating. If he does end up being inactive, the bet is canceled, and you consider him for next week. Alec Ingold (RB) Miami Dolphins 1TD +1600 Going back to the well here. Ingold gets carries when the Dolphins are inside the five. He’s going to score a few TDs this year and these odds are too good to pass up. He should be bet on every week until he scores if his role stays the same and his odds stay this high. Deejay Dallas (RB) Seattle Seahawks 1TD +320 Dallas has a chance to have a much larger role in this offense than many are anticipating. With Rashaad Penny and Travis Homer sidelined, Dallas has a real shot to push double-digit touches and goal-line receiving opportunities. Skyy Moore (WR) Kansas City Chiefs 1TD +700 2TD +7000 Moore has seen his snaps rise every week since Week 2 and the Chiefs are starting to find ways to get him the ball in space. He has a good chance to pass Mecole Hardman in snaps this week if the trends continue. Moore is also a dynamic returner, giving him extra opportunities to score. Braxton Berrios (WR) New York Jets 1TD +850 Like Moore, Berrios also has the added bonus of being a returned. The Jets also try to find creative ways to get him the ball and use him in the red zone. He already has a rushing TD this season and the recent trend of creative play calling and trick plays from the Jets makes him an interesting option. James Proche (WR) Baltimore Ravens 1TD +700 With Rashad Bateman out, there has to be a chance that a wide receiver not named Devin Duvernay gets some targets. Proche and Demarcus Robinson both saw two targets last week, however, Proche’s odds make him much more intriguing. This is absolutely a dart throw, but he’s going to be out there running routes with limited mouths to feed. Mike Thomas (WR) Cincinnati Bengals 1TD +295, 2TD +2500 Thomas becomes interesting assuming Tee Higgins is sidelined. Whenever a wideout goes down in Cincinnati, Thomas is the next man up. However, if Higgins is active, this bet should be canceled. When he’s out there, QB Joe Burrow does look his way and he runs routes in the red zone. He doesn’t have a TD yet this year but did have one called back on a penalty. Zach Gentry (TE) Pittsburgh Steelers 1TD +285 Pat Freiermuth has been ruled out this week and Gentry is a big body that’s going to get opportunities. After Freiermuth got hurt last week, Gentry stepped in and saw six targets. It’s also a good matchup against the Bucs who have been exploited by tight ends this year and very tough on everyone else. Adam Trautman (TE) New Orleans Saints 1TD +800 As long as Andy Dalton is starting, which he is this week, Trautman becomes an interesting prop bet option. Jameis Winston clearly favors Juwan Johnson at tight end. But Trautman has seen his targets and snaps jump up significantly with Dalton under center. One of those targets went for a TD just last week. Passing Props Daniel Jones Over 204.5 This is a low number for a matchup against the worst pass defense in the league. So far this season, the The Ravens are giving up a ridiculous 290.2 yards per game, which is the most in the league. Even a below- average performance from Jones should net him more than 205 yards. Rushing Props Eno Benjamin Over 61.5 Benjamin is the last running back standing in Arizona and the matchup this week is as good as it gets. The Seahawks are giving up a league-worst 170.2 rushing yards per game. Conversely, Benjamin is more likely to double that number than fall short. Receiving Props Jakobi Meyer Over 50.5 Meyers has played three games this season and in those three games, he’s posted 55, 95, and 111 receiving yards. Also, Meyers has seen nine targets a game this season. They are force-feeding him the ball because he’s their only decent option at wideout. Meyers should be able to hit this mark with ease.     ENTER OUR WEEK 6 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Try to stack the team with players you think will do well in Week 10! The highest Week 56Score wins! (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here are our Weekly Player Rankings to help. It’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one! Just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard! Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the

NFL Player Prop Bets Week 5

To say it has been a challenging start to the 2022 football season would be an understatement. The good news is there are plenty of ways to overcome a rough first month of fantasy football. Our NFL Player Prop Bets Week 5 can help you turn your fortunes around. In addition to rooting for your players, rooting for props increases the fun. The fact that just one or two of these hits results in some nice payoffs is even better! Here are some of the NFL Player Props Week 5 that we’ll be targeting. All lines courtesy of DraftKings.   Touchdown Props   Jacoby Brissett (QB) Cleveland Browns 1TD +500 2TD +5000 Brissett is consistently one of the better QBs to bet on for TD runs. The Dolphins, Colts, and Patriots used to bring him in just for short-yardage situations when he wasn’t starting. His size, strength, and ability to run always make him a threat to score in the red zone.  Caleb Huntley (RB) Atlanta Falcons 1TD +600 The odds on this seem off to the point that maybe Vegas knows something we don’t. Nevertheless, when Patterson came out last week Huntley split carries evenly with rookie Tyler Allgeier and he was the one to score the TD. These odds are far too good to pass up.  Alen Ingold (RB) Miami Dolphins 1TD +1300 This is one that if you play each week will hit about four times this year. It hasn’t paid off yet, but we’ve seen Ingold get goal-line work in Miami and missed out on one because of a bad call against Buffalo. Mike McDaniel wants to use him as their Kyle Juszczyk and he’s capable of getting the job done.  Kyle Juszczyk (RB) San Francisco 49ers 1TD +700 Speaking of Juszczyk, he’s always a threat to score on the goal line but is also capable of taking a screen or wheel route to the house from outside the 10. His odds are around where I expect Ingold’s odds to be next season and I still love them. A pair of scores would pay a massive +6000. River Cracraft (WR) Miami Dolphins 1TD +650 Cracraft is an end-zone target for Miami. He already has two TDs this season and both Tyreek Hill’s and Jaylen Waddle’s availability is up in the air this week. The only fear here is we don’t know if Teddy Bridgewater will look his way the same way Tua Tagovailoa has.  Daniel Bellinger (TE) New York Giants 1TD +550 2TD +4500 The Giants are running out of people to throw the ball to and Bellinger has a TD this season. He also has eight targets over the past two games. With the news that Daniel Jones is expected to suit up this week, it’s hard to ask for more opportunity than what he has this week with odds above +500.  Donald Parham Jr (TE) Las Angeles Chargers 1TD +500 Parham was expected to be the Chargers’ starter or co-starter at tight end this season before being placed on injured reserve. With how well Gerald Everett has played, Parham has become an afterthought. However, he is set to make his season debut this week and with Keenan Allen still sidelined there could be opportunities for him. This is a bit of a dart throw, but he has flashed reasons to make us throw the dart.  Jordan Akins (TE) Houston Texans 1TD +550 Brevin Jordan is out, Pharaoh Brown was cut, and O.J. Howard isn’t particularly good. Houston’s tight end usage has been erratic and Akins is a proven red-zone commodity. He’s played two weeks this season and already has a touchdown. Akins and Howard are both about as likely as the other to find the end zone, but betting on Akins will bank you more money. In fact, +5500 for two scores.  Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE) Tennessee Titans 1TD +650 Okonkwo was targeted as Tennessee’s  TE1 last week and simply looks like their best option. It is an opportunity for you to get +650 odds this week on a TE1 in an offense that loves to utilize the tight end. He’s worth throwing a few dollars on this Sunday.  Adam Trautman (TE) New Orleans Saints 1TD +900 Trautman is coming off a three-target game, one of which was downfield and another in the red zone. He has fallen behind Juwan Johnson in the pecking order but is still seeing targets. Andy Dalton also seemed to look his way more than Jameis Winston and Dalton will be the starter again this week. He’s definitely worth a wager at +900.   Passing Props   Aaron Rodgers  Over 232.5 This is an easy over. Rodgers and the passing attack looked horrible the last two weeks against the Patriots and Bucs, and he still cleared 250 yards. New York allowed 266 passing yards to Ryan Tannehill in Week 1 but hasn’t faced any legitimate threat since. That will change in London.    Rushing Props   James Robinson Over 62.5 Robinson has only failed to hit this mark once this season and it was against a brutal Eagles defense last week. A game in which Robinson only got eight carries. He averaged 17 carries and 76.6 yards per game in the three previous weeks. This time he gets the Texans who have allowed the most rushing yards to running backs this season at 141 yards per game.    Receiving Props   Robert Woods Over 50.5 Only the Ravens have given up more yards to receivers than the Commanders. And Washington hasn’t had to face Stefon Diggs and Tyreek Hill. With Treylon Burks out, Woods is the WR1 in Tennessee and no one seems to be all that close behind. Conversely, Woods could hit this number in the first half.   ENTER OUR WEEK 5 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Try to stack the team with players you think will do well in Week 10! The highest Week 5 Score wins! (PLUS: You get

NFL Player Prop Bets Week 3

JD McKissic

Now that we have a couple of games in the books, we have a better idea of what to expect from teams and players. That makes our NFL Player prop Bets Week 3 even more appealing. The fantasy football slate has been challenging, but player props only increase the football fun. For this week, we’re looking at touchdown player props that offer large wins. Just hitting one of these bets brings a huge return on investment. Let’s take a look at some of those favorable NFL Player Prop Bets Week 3 to target on this glorious first weekend of football. All lines courtesy of DraftKings.   Touchdown Props   Alec Ingold (RB) Miami Dolphins TD +2000 The Dolphins love using the fullback in their new offense. Ingold is in the game on 37% of the snaps this season and most importantly near the goal line. Miami lacks a true goal-line runner and we’ve already seen Ingold get touches with a chance to score a TD. These odds are an outstanding value. Boston Scott (RB) Philadelphia Eagles TD +400 Scott is utilized heavily in the red zone and we already hit on him in Week 1. He is also a threat to score multiple TDs in this game. He did it twice in nine games last season and totaled seven TDs. Most weeks he’s a strong bet because having four rushing options that are a TD threat drives his odds up. J.D. McKissic (RB) Washington Commanders TD +370 McKissic is a guy who is game-script dependent and it’s likely the Eagles beat up on the Commanders in this one. This should lead to us seeing a lot more of him, particularly in the second half. Coming off a seven-target game he’s a threat to find the end zone if he catches the ball in space inside the 20. This will likely be the heaviest utilization we see from him up to this point. A pair of scores bet would return a massive +3000. Tyler Allgeier (RB) Atlanta Falcons TD +400 Allgeier is going to get about half the carries in this game and his greatest strength coming out of college was his ability to pound the ball into the end zone. He scored 23 TDs at BYU last year. The Falcons’ ability to get near the goal line is a bit scary, but they should manage against the Seahawks this week. Dontrell Hilliard (RB) Tennessee Titans TD +400, 2 TD +4000  We already saw Hilliard score two TDs in his only game this season. He’s a big play threat who can score from anywhere. If you believe the Raiders will win this game, he’s likely to see plenty of work in the second half. With the Raiders having the lead and a bad defense, things line up well for Hilliard and the odds are nice. Jordan Mason (RB) San Francisco 49ers TD +450 The odds are skewed here thanks to the unknown, and you should use them in your favor. We’ve seen the 49ers running backs drop like flies again, per usual. However, we know that last week before getting injured Tyrion Davis-Price carries the ball 14 times, and Mason is expected to slide into his role. These odds are too good to ignore. Braxton Berrios (WR) New York Jets TD +750 Berrios is coming off a six-target game and has the benefit of playing in the most pass-happy offense in the league. Joe Flacco is throwing the ball more than 50 times a game this year. Berrios also has the additional advantage of being a dangerous returner. Cole Beasley (WR) Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD +650 We don’t know how Beasley will be utilized this week, but there’s a real chance he has a significant role thanks to all the injuries and the Mike Evans suspension. If Julio Jones suits up it puts a bit of a damper on this bet. However, if he doesn’t these odds are worth the risk. Mack Hollins (WR) Las Vegas Raiders TD +350, 2 TD +3500 Hollins is a big-bodied wideout playing almost 90% of the snaps and coming off an eight-target game. With Hunter Renfrow ruled out with a concussion, Hollins will see a bump in utilization. He’s a strong candidate to find the end zone in this one against a Titans defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts. David Sills (WR) New York Giants TD +600 Sills is 6-foot-3 and was on the field for 92% of the offensive snaps last week for the Giants. He saw four targets and looks to be an important part of New York’s game plan. Not one wideout was on the field more than him. It’s not farfetched to bet on one of those targets coming in the red zone. Isaiah Likely (TE) Baltimore Ravens TD +450 Likely has seen nine targets through two games and Rashod Bateman was a late-week addition to the injury report. This is a slam dunk option if Bateman is out, but a solid bet either way. We know Bill Belichick is going to scheme up a defense to take away Mark Andrews. This should open up more opportunities for the rookie tight end. Juwan Johnson (TE) New Orleans Saints TD +370 Johnson has separated himself as the clear No. 1 tight end in New Orleans. He’s dominating snaps and targets. With 12 targets through two games and the frame to make plays in the end zone, he’s a good bet to get in this week against a struggling Panthers team. O.J. Howard (TE) Houston Texans TD +425, 2 TD +4000 With Brevin Jordan out, routes and targets should open up for Howard. The team will get Pharoah Brown back this week. However, he’s more of a blocking tight end. Howard already has two TDs on the year and is a candidate to score another in this one.   Passing Props   Tua Tagovailoa Over 262.5 -115 Josh Allen Over 282.5 -115 Jalen Hurts Over 238.5 -115