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MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/31

In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally

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MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/29

We have a short three-game slate on both sites this afternoon which obviously limits our options, specifically when building multiple lineups. In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally one pitcher on FD and two on DK with a three-player stack and one to two one-off bats) that will find their way into 100% of my lineups. The idea of locking in a core is to limit, for lack of a better term, “randomness” across our lineups. By mixing and matching a few bats around our core across all lineups, we’re able to rule out some tough lineup decisions we may face while not getting completely overwhelmed with a large pool of players. Below I’ve outlined the pitchers, stacks, and one-offs that I’m considering incorporating into my core for tonight. Top Pitchers Michael Fulmer (DET) Fulmer is priced at 7.2K on both sites this afternoon and is the guy that I’m locking in on both FD and DK. Simply put, I don’t trust Danny Duffy against a Tigers team that hit lefties well and I don’t feel the need to pay up for Dallas Keuchel, a guy who in my mind has limited upside, specifically against a dangerous A’s team. Those reasons mainly are what make me lean on Fulmer. The righty was limited to 77 pitches in his last start, his first start in over a month after a DL stint but should be a full go in this outing tonight. At his salary, he will help you pay up for some appealing bats while being productive against a Royals team that he’s had success against. Alec Mills (CHC) Mills is the SP2 play I’m locking in on DK. He’s priced at 5.8K and is coming off of a good outing against the Reds in which he went 5.2 innings, allowed three hits, one earned run, and struck out eight. The wind will play a bit of a factor here blowing in from left at 10-plus miles-per-hour. The Mets have scored 24 runs in their last 9 games and in two of those they scored six and five respectively. The offense is atrocious on a day to day basis. Mills will pitch well and should go five-plus again and earn a win at a great salary. Core Stack Cubs Javy Baez, Anthony Rizzo, David Bote Jason Vargas is a disaster and has been just that of late other than a good start against the Nationals who have pretty much quit as a team, outside of beating the fuck out of the Mets bullpen this past weekend and beating the Phillies bullpen last night. Vargas has been killed by the Orioles and Phillies with a 6.49 and 4.47 FIP respectively. Righties have a .393 wOBA against Vargas and he’s allowed 2.02 HR/9 along with a 17.5 HR/FB rate. Baez has a .397 wOBA, .288 ISO, 31.8 percent HR/FB rate, and a 39 percent hard-hit rate against lefties. Bote, who’s burst onto the scene, has a .428 wOBA, .273 ISO, 48 percent hard-hit rate, and a 25 percent hard-hit rate against southpaws. Rizzo slides in here hitting the ball well over his last 13 games with a 41 percent hard-hit rate and a 37 percent fly-ball rate. Over this stretch, Rizzo has six doubles, five home runs, and seven multi-hit games. God knows what the lineup Joe Maddon throws out here, but ideally, these three bats will be in the top five of the order this afternoon and be productive. Top One-off Bat More often than not these are value/underpriced high upside bats, otherwise, they could be bats that I simply have to have in all of my lineups. At times they’ll serve as salary relief allowing you to mix and match some exposure with higher-priced bats throughout our lineups. Nick Castellanos (DET) Castellanos has been a lefty killer all season and faces one whom he’s had some moderate success against in the past. While he’s 10-36 against Duffy (.278 average for the people that still care about batting average) four of those hits have gone for extra bases (two doubles, one triple, and one home run). Against lefties, this season Castellanos has posted a .460 wOBA, .225 ISO, 51 percent hard-hit rate, and a 23 percent HR/FB rate. Castellanos will be the first outfielder I lock in today. GOOD LUCK!

MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/27

In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally

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MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/25

In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally

This post is only available to members.

MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/24

In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally one pitcher on FD and two on DK with a three-player stack and one to two one-off bats) that will find their way into 100% of my lineups. The idea of locking in a core is to limit, for lack of a better term, “randomness” across our lineups. By mixing and matching a few bats around our core across all lineups, we’re able to rule out some tough lineup decisions we may face while not getting completely overwhelmed with a large pool of players. Below I’ve outlined the pitchers, stacks, and one-offs that I’m considering incorporating into my core for tonight. Top Pitchers Mike Clevinger (CLE) Clevinger is coming off a great start against the Orioles and faces another pathetic offense tonight in the Royals. Clevinger’s numbers have been good all season and especially good on the road. He’s gone at least six innings in three of his last four outings and outside of a start against the Reds has kept his walk rate very low over his last five outings. The Indians will come back off of a shutout loss yesterday against the Red Sox and give Sunshine adequate run supports propelling him to a quality start and win at a fair price on both sites. Mike Foltynewicz (ATL) Folty has been fantastic in his last two starts, one of which came against the Miami Marlins. He’s gone seven and eight innings in his last two outings with nine and seven strikeouts. Walks are always a worry with Folty, but against a Marlins team that has walked just 6.4 percent of the time over the last month, it becomes somewhat of a mute point. Over that same month’s span, Miami has just a .278 wOBA and a .115 ISO and this park shift will be in Folty’s favor. He’s the highest priced pitcher on DK, as he was in his last start when I said he would pitch well, and I was right. He’ll pitch well tonight again and is in play on both sites. Michael Fulmer (DET) Fulmer is almost certainly my guy at SP2 tonight if I’m playing DK taking on the White Sox at 7.7K. He faces the White Sox for the second time this season after pitching well against them on July 7th. Chicago continues to be without Jose Abreu helping Fulmer who will be pitching for the first time since July 14th. With a strong groundball rate and great salary Fulmer is at the top at SP2 for me. UPDATE:  Fulmer may be limited to around 70 pitches tonight which diminishes his upside a little bit. Core Stacks Athletics Khris Davis, Matt Chapman, Matt Olson The A’s have been one of the hottest, if not the hottest team in baseball over the last month and I don’t see them slowing down anytime soon against Jake Odorizzi. Not so much this season, but Odorizzi has a history of being susceptible against the reverse-split and in a ballpark like Target Field, a park that caters to right-handed power hitters, is in a bad spot against Matt Chapman and Khris Davis. Chapman has a .250 ISO, .378 wOBA, and 44.6 percent hard-hit rate against righties. Davis is no slouch either with a .327 ISO, .387 wOBA, and 46.3 percent hard-hit rate. Matt Olson has killed righties all season long with a .239 ISO and .342 wOBA. The A’s get the guaranteed extra at-bat on the road and have a positive park shift to deal with putting them at the top for me tonight. Diamondbacks David Peralta, Eduardo Escobar, Daniel Descalso The Dbacks have scored 14 runs in their last three games and face Erasmo Ramirez who’s due to get beat up a bit. He’s allowed a 45 percent hard-contact rate over his four starts this season but has allowed just one earned run over his last two, against the Astros and Dodgers, two solid offenses. Tonight he takes on another solid offense in the Dbacks who as I said are scoring runs at a high rate right now. Peralta continues to destroy the baseball out of the three hole, Eduardo Escobar has hammered righties all season, and Descalso has a 92-mile-per-hour exit velocity and 62 percent fly-ball rate over his last nine games. I like the lefties in this spot. Top One-off Bats More often than not these are value/underpriced high upside bats, otherwise, they could be bats that I simply have to have in all of my lineups. At times they’ll serve as salary relief allowing you to mix and match some exposure with higher-priced bats throughout our lineups.  Starling Marte (PIT) Over the last two seasons, Wade Miley has allowed nearly two HR/9 to right-handed hitters. Marte has hits in nine of ten games against the Brewers this season, including two doubles, five home runs, and two stolen bases over that stretch. With his ability to steal bases (28 on the season) and power upside (17 home runs, .186 ISO which is a career high), Marte is priced well as a good one-off to plug into your lineups. Ender Inciarte (ATL) In a game in which the Braves should score some runs, Inciarte comes in as a nice value play and should be hitting second in the batting order once again. He has hits in each of his last six games including a 2-4 effort with a home run last night against these same Marlins. What separates Inciarte here is his ability to steal bases. He has 24 steals on the season and Dan Straily, the Marlins’ starter has allowed a 62 percent success rate to opposing base stealers over the last two seasons.   GOOD LUCK!

The return of College DFS

A huge announcement was made today by DraftKings and it sent all of Twitter and me personally into a mad scramble of excitement. Daily Fantasy Sports are BACK for College Football and will also be back for College Basketball later this season. DraftKings currently has a few contests open in their lobby for this weekends College Football games and will no doubt be rolling out some larger contests as the CFB season kicks off next week in full swing.   It has been years since CFB DFS was around and we are going to see a MASSIVE change in the landscape as there are much more advanced optimizers and also a greater level of access to data regarding player usage, injuries, projections, etc. and here as the ScoutFantasySports team we are already working hard to prepare for the upcoming season to provide you with the best DFS advice for the upcoming college sports seasons. As a special celebration gift, we are giving all NFL subscribers access to the CFB season and have extended the NFL early-bird promo of $79 through the college kick off.  Act now to get in on the discount before the full season rates increase!  

MLB DFS: Rob Geriak’s Building Blocks – 8/20

In this article, I’m going to lay out the groundwork to build off in three to five entry max contests. When playing these types of contests, I find that I have the most success when I have a core, (generally one pitcher on FD and two on DK with a three-player stack and one to two one-off bats) that will find their way into 100% of my lineups. The idea of locking in a core is to limit, for lack of a better term, “randomness” across our lineups. By mixing and matching a few bats around our core across all lineups, we’re able to rule out some tough lineup decisions we may face while not getting completely overwhelmed with a large pool of players. Below I’ve outlined the pitchers, stacks, and one-offs that I’m considering incorporating into my core for tonight. Top Pitchers Zack Wheeler (NYM) Wheeler has shaped up as a reliable rotation piece for the Mets, who of late have supported their starters with some offense. Wheeler takes on the team that traded him a number of years ago for Carlos Beltran in the San Francisco Giants, a team that has struggled against right-handed pitching and were dominated by Luis Castillo on Sunday. On the season the Giants have struck out 23.5 percent of the time against righties which is ninth in the majors. They also have just a .302 wOBA and .138 ISO as a team against righties this season. Wheeler has tossed a quality start in four of his last five outings and at 9.1K and 9.3K on FD and DK respectively tonight, he’s a top option for me on both sites. Chris Archer (PIT) Things haven’t exactly gone smoothly for Archer since being traded to the Pirates, but his last start was his best even if the box score and fantasy output say differently. Archer left his start against the Twins with a four to three lead leaving two runners on base only to see the bullpen spoil the quality start and win for him. The Braves travel to Pittsburgh after finishing a four-game home series against the Rockies in which they were swept and managed to score just 13 runs. Archer has generated a plus-50 percent groundball rate over his last two starts as well as a 33 percent K rate in his last outing. The park shift will be in Archer’s favor as will his salary on both sites at 7.9K on FD and 7.8K on DK. Core Stacks Brewers Ryan Braun, Travis Shaw, Mike Moustakas Donger Bailey is back on the bump for the Reds and that means batting practice for the Reds’ opponent, in this case, the Brewers. Against lefties, Bailey has allowed 2.09 HR/9 and a 19.5 HR/FB rate. Travis Shaw and Mike Moustakas immediately come to mind. Shaw has a .344 wOBA and a .285 ISO against right-handed pitching to go along with a 42 percent hard-hit rate. Over his last nine games overall, The Mayor has a 48 percent hard-hit rate and a 52 percent fly-ball rate over his last nine games. Moustakas has a .342 wOBA and a .228 ISO against righties this season and over his last 11 games has a 59 percent fly-ball rate with three doubles and two home runs. Bailey has struggled against righties as well, specifically against Ryan Braun over his career. Braun has 17 hits in 50 at-bats against Bailey with five doubles and four home runs. Bailey, the Reds bullpen, and the hitting conditions of Miller Park are all in the Brewers’ favor tonight. Athletics Matt Chapman, Khris Davis, Matt Olson The A’s have been the hottest team in baseball over the last month-plus and get a home matchup against the Rangers and Bartolo Colon. Colon has allowed 2.47 HR/9 to righties this season putting Matt Chapman and Khris Davis, two guys with great reverse split numbers, great opportunities to put up some big-time production tonight. Chapman has a .372 wOBA and .240 ISO against righties while Davis has a .376 wOBA and .310 ISO with three doubles and seven home runs over his last 13 games. Olson in the hammer from the left side of the plate that will get to Colon and the Rangers bullpen. He has a .349 wOBA and .247 ISO against righties this season and over his current seven-game hitting streak has five doubles and a home run. The cleanup hitter Davis and the cornerstones of the A’s Chapman and Olson are a stack that is nearly impossible to ignore tonight. Top One-off Bats More often than not these are value/underpriced high upside bats, otherwise, they could be bats that I simply have to have in all of my lineups. At times they’ll serve as salary relief allowing you to mix and match some exposure with higher-priced bats throughout our lineups.  Curtis Granderson (TOR) Grandy had the day off on Sunday but in his last three games is five for nine with two doubles and a home run. Over his last nine games, Grandy has posted a 97 mile-per-hour average exit velocity with a 45 percent fly-ball rate. Andrew Cashner has allowed lefties to post a .352 wOBA and has allowed 1.52 HR/9. Granderson has a very manageable salary on both sites in a spot against a bad starting pitcher, a bad bullpen, and more than likely in the leadoff spot. Eddie Rosario (MIN) Rosario has a home run in two of his last three games and has hit in seven straight overall. The White Sox and Lucas Giolito have seen Rosario accredited with nine extra-base hits against them this season. Giolito has allowed a .374 wOBA and 43 percent fly ball rate to lefties this season. Rosario has hit 17 of his 21 home runs against righties this season to go along with a .371 wOBA and .225 ISO against righties.   GOOD LUCK!