Jaguar Lou’s All Day Cheat Sheet
Jaguar Lou’s Early Morning Cheat Sheet – 1/15/18 If you’re not max entering GPP tournaments, I strongly recommend only playing single entry and 3-5 person leagues. Point Guard Elite PG Play: John Wall & Steph Curry Mid-Range PG Play: Dennis Schroder GPP Value/Punt PG play: Jarrett Jack Shooting Guard Elite SG Play: DeMar DeRozan Mid-Range SG Play: Courtney Lee GPP Value/Punt SG Play: Kent Bazemore Small Forward Elite SF Play: Greek Freak Mid-Range SF Play: Josh Richardson GPP Value/Punt SF play: Otto Porter Power Forward Elite PF Play: Ben Simmons & Blake Griffin Mid-Range PF Play: Dario Saric & Serge Ibaka PP Value/Punt PF Play: Domantas Sabonis & James Johnson Center Elite C Play: Personally, fading Embiid – JV allowing min. FP to opposing centers Mid-Range C Play: Enes Kanter GPP Value/Punt C Play: Pau Gasol
NFL DFS – Divisional Round
NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND Now its getting serious folks! Let’s first be really clear on this weekends slate. You should play DraftKings. If you are in a spot where you can’t play DK then I feel bad for you this weekend
Jaguar Lou’s Afternoon Cheat Sheet – 1/12/18
Jaguar Lou’s Early Morning Cheat Sheet – 1/12/18 If you’re not max entering GPP tournaments, I strongly recommend only playing single entry and 3-5 person leagues. Point Guard Elite PG Play: Chris Paul Mid-Range PG Play: Jamal Murray GPP Value/Punt PG play: Spencer Dinwiddie (GPP) Shooting Guard Elite SG Play: Victor Oladipo Mid-Range SG Play: Devin Booker GPP Value/Punt SG Play: Will Barton *Favorite play* Small Forward Elite SF Play: Jimmy Butler Mid-Range SF Play: T.J Warren GPP Value/Punt SF play: Wilson Chandler & Gerald Green Power Forward Elite PF Play: Aaron Gordon Mid-Range PF Play: Ryan Anderson PP Value/Punt PF Play: Dragan Bender & Domantas Sabonis Center Elite C Play: DeMarcus Cousins Mid-Range C Play: Dwight Howard & Marc Gasol GPP Value/Punt C Play: Enes Kanter
Scouting The NBA – 1/12/18
Plays of the Day Value: Gerald Green continues to see solid volume for the run-and-gun Rockets and he should thrive in a meeting with the uptempo Suns tonight. Give him a look in any format as a solid mid-tier option.
JaguarLou’s Top Plays – 1/11/18
Jaguar Lou’s Cheat Sheet – 1/11/18 If you’re not max entering GPP tournaments, I strongly recommend only playing single entry and 3-5 person leagues. Point Guard Elite PG Play: Isaiah Thomas Mid-Range PG Play: Delon Wright GPP Value/Punt PG play: Juwan Evans (GPP) Shooting Guard Elite SG Play: DeMar DeRozan & Lou Williams Mid-Range SG Play: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GPP Value/Punt SG Play: Manu Ginobli Small Forward Elite SF Play: Lebron James Mid-Range SF Play: Brandon Ingram GPP Value/Punt SF play: OG Anunoby/C.J. Miles Power Forward Elite PF Play: LaMarcus Aldridge Mid-Range PF Play: Zach Randolph **better if Griffin doesn’t play** PP Value/Punt PF Play: Jae Crowder Center Elite C Play: DeAndre Jordan Mid-Range C Play: Pau Gasol GPP Value/Punt C Play: Jonas Valanciunas
Jaguar Lou’s Top Play’s – 1/10/18
Jaguar Lou’s Cheat Sheet – 1/10/18 If you’re not max entering GPP tournaments, I strongly recommend only playing single entry and 3-5 person leagues. Point Guard Elite PG Play: Personally, not paying up highest I’m going is Kemba Walker Mid-Range PG Play: Elfrid Payton & Spencer Dinwiddie GPP Value/Punt PG play: Jawun Evans Shooting Guard Elite SG Play: Tyreke Evans Mid-Range SG Play: Lou Williams GPP Value/Punt SG Play: Avery Bradley Small Forward Elite SF Play: Kevin Durant Mid-Range SF Play: Paul George GPP Value/Punt SF play: Gerald Green Power Forward Elite PF Play: Draymond Green Mid-Range PF Play: Rondae Hollis Jefferson PP Value/Punt PF Play: Al-Farouq Aminu Center Elite C Play: DeMarcus Cousins Mid-Range C Play: Steven Adams & DeAndre Jordan GPP Value/Punt C Play: Marcin Gortat
Jaguar Lou’s Top Plays – 1/9/18
Jaguar Lou’s Cheat Sheet – 1/9/18 If you’re not max entering GPP tournaments, I strongly recommend only playing single entry and 3-5 person leagues. Point Guard Elite PG Play: Russell Westbrook Mid-Range PG Play: Elfrid Payton GPP Value/Punt PG play: Delon Wright & Shabazz Napier Shooting Guard Elite SG Play: DeMar DeRozan Mid-Range SG Play: C.J McCollum GPP Value/Punt SG Play: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Small Forward Elite SF Play: Brandon Ingram Mid-Range SF Play: Evan Turner GPP Value/Punt SF play: Wesley Matthews Power Forward Elite PF Play: Aaron Gordon Mid-Range PF Play: Carmelo Anthony PP Value/Punt PF Play: Al-Farouq Aminu & Kelly Olynyk Center Elite C Play: Steven Adams Mid-Range C Play: Willie Cauley Stein GPP Value/Punt C Play: Dirk Nowitzki
Jaguar Lou’s Top Plays – 1/8/18
Jaguar Lou’s Top Picks for 1/8/2018 If you’re not max entering GPP tournaments, I strongly recommend only playing single entry and 3-5 person leagues. PG Darren Collison – 5,600 FD & 5,600 DK Victor Oladipo has a tough matchup tonight against a Bucks team that has allowed 36.2 FP to opposing shooting guards over their last five games, ranking them in the top 10 percent against defending the shooting guard. Conversely, Milwaukee has severe problems guarding the point guard allowing 73.1 FD points to opposing point guards over their last five. That’s a ridiculous number! Darren Collison has the best matchup of the night at reasonable pricing, lock him in. Other GPP PG Option(s): Dennis Schroder & Steph Curry SG Caris LeVert– 6,100 FD & 5,200 DK With DeMarre Carroll sidelined, Caris LeVert should see extended minutes, shot attempts and overall usage. LeVert could very well be relied on to guard DeMar DeRozan, therefore the minutes should be there. Rondae Hollis Jefferson also sees a huge usage bump with DeMarre Carroll out for tonight’s game. Somewhat of a GPP play because it comes with some risk but with Butler, The Greek Freak, Lebron and Golden State on tonight’s slate, you’ll have to save money somewhere – Solid, talented value play. Other GPP SG Option(s): Klay Thompson & Eric Gordon SF Jimmy Butler – 9,700 FD & 8,400 DK Jimmy Butler should be matching up against Lebron James in a high scoring affair for 25 + minutes, do I have to say any more? Foul trouble slightly concerns me but for a discounted price, in terms of elite players, Jimmy Butler is in a nice spot against a Cavs team that has allowed 56.0 FP to opposing Small Forwards over their last ten, tying them for first worst in the league. Other Small Forward Option(s): Giannis Antetokounmpo & Andre Iguodala PF Rondae Hollis-Jefferson –6,900 FD & 5,800 DK With DeMarre Carroll sidelined, Rondae sees a big usage bump, at his reasonable pricing lock him in – his ceiling and floor is just too high tonight not to roster. Blake Griffin is the best Power Forward play of the night in terms of upside but for his price Rondae Hollis Jefferson is a nice play as well against a Toronto Raptors team that often has troubles with the power forward position. I like pairing Rondae in lineups tonight with Jonas Valanciunas, positive correlations. Other Power Forward Option(s): Blake Griffin, Draymond Green & Anthony Davis (All viable cash plays) C DeAndre Jordan – 8,300 FD & 7,800 DK DeAndre Jordan faces a Hawks team that has led the league over their last five games in fantasy points allowed to opposing Centers at 54.5 PPG. I strongly recommend having either Jordan or Blake Griffin in your lineups tonight (That is if you don’t take both which is completely plausible) as this Clippers team is on one leg. I also expect the Hawks to shoot relatively poorly from the field, so I’m expecting a lot of rebounds for either DeAndre Jordan or Blake Griffin…Or both! Other Center Option(s): Jonas Valanciunas (GPP)
Scouting The NBA – 1/8/18
Plays of the Day Value: Tyrone Wallace is dirt cheap and Jawun Evans isn’t much more expensive as the replacement guards for the Clippers with Milos Teodosic (foot) and Austin Rivers (heel) ruled out tonight. They should both play heavy minutes with a good chance to meet value against the weak Hawks defense. Fade: Chris Paul is seeing more usage with James Harden (hamstring) on the shelf, but not necessarily enough to exceed value at his rising price tag. You could fade him in a matchup against Kris Dunn and the feisty young Bulls. Point Guards Steph Curry – (10,500 DK/9,800 FD) Curry has returned from an ankle injury with a mean streak, as he’s shooting (45-77 FG, 28-52 3PT) while averaging 36 PPG over four appearances and some of those huge lines came while playing limited minutes in blowout wins. The Nuggets, ranked seventh in offensive rating, are capable of keeping pace with the high-scoring Warriors and the fact that they rank 27th in opponents FG shooting (.471%) and cough up the sixth-most APG (24.1) this season bodes well for Curry. Spencer Dinwiddie – (6,100 DK/6,000 FD) Dinwiddie has been reliable for the Nets since D’Angelo Russell (knee) hit the shelf and he’s coming off four consecutive solid games. Now he could see even more usage with DeMarre Carroll (knee) out and Caris LeVert (groin) questionable in a matchup against the Raptors, who are actually playing with a lot of pace right now, which has led to solid offensive production from their opponents. Potential Value Jawun Evans – (4,100 DK/5,100 FD) Evans should start with Milos Teodosic (foot) and Austin Rivers (heel) out for the Clippers. Longshot Kris Dunn – (6,600 DK/7,500 FD) Dunn has flashed tremendous upside in the right matchups and the Rockets play at a blinding pace that’s conducive to DFS goodness. Shooting Guards DeMar DeRozan – (8,800 DK/9,100 FD) DeRozan isn’t all that expensive on DK and it’s easy to pay up for him in a prime matchup against the lowly Nets tonight. Brooklyn gives up the third-most 2PTM (31.9) per game this year and DeRozan hits 14.5 twos per game on solid 51.3 percent shooting. He torched the Nets for 31 points on nearly immaculate 14-of-19 FG shooting in a meeting earlier this year and could find the sledding to be even easier with Caris LeVert (groin) doubtful and DeMarre Carroll (knee) questionable tonight. Tyrone Wallace – (3,600 DK/3,500 FD) Wallace managed 13 points, 3 rebounds and 3 steals over 31 minutes against the fast-paced Warriors on Saturday and draws a more favorable matchup tonight against a Hawks team that ranks 28th in defensive rating and coughs up the sixth-most FPPG (43.44) to opposing SGs this season. With Austin Rivers (heel) and Milos Teodosic (foot) ruled out and Blake Griffin (concussion) questionable, the Clippers will offer a lot of values this evening. Potential Value Delon Wright – (4,500 DK/4,800 FD) Wright has upside on FD due to his ability to pile up defensive stats and he’s a solid play against the weak Nets. Longshot Lou Williams – (7,900 DK/8,300 FD) Williams could shoot until his arm falls off if Griffin is inactive in addition to the Clippers starting backcourt. Small Forwards LeBron James – (11,500 DK/11,400 FD) After demolishing Orlando’s weak defense for 33 points, 10 rebounds, nine assists and six steals on Saturday, the King should have another big game on Monday. The Cavs will need another herculean effort from him on the road against a Wolves team that leads the tough Northwest Division this season. Old foe Jimmy Butler could do a solid job keeping James out of the paint, but LeBron is arguably the best passer in the game and he’ll have plenty of scorers around him with Isaiah Thomas expected to suit up for this potential shootout. Joe Harris – (4,200 DK/3,700 FD) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($5.8k, $6.9k) and Allen Crabbe ($4.7k, $4.8k) could offer more upside and more risk with the Nets shorthanded on the wing tonight, but Harris is a good punt play with a decent floor. He was already coming on strong with 56 points and 18 boards over four appearances before producing his first double double with 12 points and 10 boards against the tough Celtics defense on Saturday. Potential Value Taurean Prince – (5,600 DK/5,900 FD) Prince is a solid bet to meet value against an undermanned Clippers team. Longshot Gerald Green – (5,500 DK/5,700 FD) Green is going to get his shots up while playing on the fast-paced Rockets, but his rising price tag makes him a bit riskier. Power Forwards Anthony Davis – (9,700 DK/10,900 FD) Davis has been inconsistent as an option alongside DeMarcus Cousisn and obviously he’s always an injury risk, so he’s best deployed in tournament formats. Tonight’s matchup against the Pistons could become much more favorable for both big men if Andre Drummond (ribs) misses another contest, but Drummond would likely guard Cousins even if active, while The Brow would be free to work against Detroit’s under sized PFs in Anthony Tolliver and Tobias Harris. Domantas Sabonis – (5,300 DK/5,900 FD) While he doesn’t offer enough upside to serve as a strong GPP play, Domantas Sabonis has been as consistent as any forward in the mid-tier price range lately. Even with Victor Oladipo back in the lineup, he went for 22 points over 26 minutes against the Bulls and tonight he’ll face a Bucks team that he burned for 24 points over 32 minutes last Wednesday. Milwaukee ranks dead last in total rebounding and Sabonis is playing well as a stretch 4 or 5 when Myles Turner struggles. Potential Value Montrezl Harrell – (4,300 DK/4,900 FD) Harrell would become a solid value to consider if Blake Griffin is out tonight. Longshot Nikola Mirotic – (5,600 DK/6,500 FD) Mirotic has been up and down lately, but has a chance for a big game against the high-scoring Rockets. Centers
Scouting the NBA – 1/5/18
Plays of the Day Value: Michael Beasley continues to produce for the Knicks with double-digit scoring in four consecutive appearances and he remains cheap on DK ahead of a matchup against an injury-plagued Miami team. Fade: Joel Embiid doesn’t have an injury designation as of yet, but there’s always a chance he sits out tonight’s game after playing 35 minutes on Wednesday. Fade him if you can’t check injury news right up until tip time. Point Guards Kemba Walker – (8,300 DK/8,000 FD) Neither Kemba nor Dwight Howard were needed much down the stretch in a 131-111 victory on Wednesday, but they still both met value. While the Lakers are also struggling after getting blown out by OKC on Wednesday, but could get Lonzo Ball (shoulder) back and will likely have a healthier Brook Lopez (ankle) and Kyle Kuzma (quad) in this contest. Walker averaged 20.8 PPG with a 27.8 percent usage rate over 15 December games and burned the Lakers for a combined 58 points, 13 rebounds and 17 assists while shooting 45.5 percent from the floor over two meetings with the Lakers last season. Terry Rozier – (4,800 DK/4,300 FD) The Celtics would be hard pressed to not give Rozier extended run tonight as he tries to ride his hot streak in a potentially high-scoring matchup with the Wolves. With Jeff Teague (knee) out and Tyus Jones (lips) questionable, the Wolves are shorthanded in the back court, and while Jones should play, he’s been seeing huge minutes with essentially no backup PG and won’t be able to handle Rozier’s energy off the bench, which has led to averages of 15.5 PPG, 5 RPG, 2.7 APG over his last five appearances. Potential Value Ish Smith – (5,800 DK/6,100 FD) Smith should remain reliable with Reggie Jackson (ankle) out indefinitely. Longshot Goran Dragic – (6,600 DK/6,800 FD) Dragic has seen a significant spike in production with Dion Waiters (ankle) out and could be a great GPP play tonight against the Knicks. Shooting Guards Donovan Mitchell – (7,500 DK/7,500 FD) After missing two games with a toe injury, Mitchell’s returned to post 88 points and 16 assists over four appearances. He leads all rookies with a 28.5 percent usage rate and he’ll look to carry the Jazz on the road against a Nuggets team that’s eighth in the NBA in scoring. He only needed to provide 16 points in a blowout win over Denver on Nov. 28 and struggled with foul trouble in a decisive loss to the Nuggets in December, but should put up big numbers if this game remains close down the stretch. Delon Wright – (4,500 DK/4,800 FD) Wright, a third-year man out of Utah, is averaging 13 PPG, 6.25 RPG and 3 STL/BLK per game over his last four appearances, topping out with a career-high performance (25 points, 13 rebounds) over 30 minutes in Chicago on Wednesday. Milwaukee may not seem like an ideal matchup, but the Bucks rank 23rd in defensive rating and are 30th in total rebounding, plus they should sell out to try and stop DeMar DeRozan after he burnt them for 52 points on Monday. Potential Value Wayne Ellington – (4,700 DK/4,900 FD) Ellington is a pure shooter, who comes with some risk, but has also consistently hit value for the shorthanded Heat. Longshot Gary Harris – (6,500 DK/6,800 FD) Harris blew up against the Suns two nights ago and faces a struggling Jazz defense tonight. Small Forwards Kawhi Leonard – (7,600 DK/8,100 FD) Leonard is still on a minutes restriction, but its not as strict as it was a couple weeks ago and he remains reasonably affordable on both main DFS sites. He rested on Wednesday and the Spurs have another B2B set on Sunday-Monday, so Kawhi should get more rest in one of those games and that might allow him to top the 30 minutes he played on Tuesday. With a season-high 25 points on 20 FGA in that contest, Kawhi proved that he can still carry the Spurs offensively and they’ll likely turn back to him after losing to the Sixers with a few starters resting on Wednesday. Michael Beasley – (5,300 DK/6,500 FD) Beasley is crushing it as the lead of the Knicks second unit with a 33.6 percent usage rate to average 1.26 FPs per minute when Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Enes Kanter are off the floor this season. He’s established a solid floor with double-digit points in four consecutive appearances and should remain the Knicks primary perimeter scorer with Hardaway Jr. (leg) out and Porzingis complaining of fatigue. Miami’s defense takes a hit with James Johnson (ankle) hobbled and even the Spurs’ elite unit couldn’t stop B-Easy from pouring in 20 points on 8-of-14 FG shooting Wednesday. Potential Value Evan Turner – (4,400 DK/4,800 FD) Turner is routinely exceeding value and could see an even bigger boost as an option tonight if Damian Lillard (calf) sits. Longshot Tobias Harris – (6,400 DK/6,200 FD) Harris has been consistent, but underwhelming since torching the Pacers for 30 points last week, and we could see him return to that level against the Sixers. Power Forwards Ben Simmons – (8,600 DK/8,600 FD) Simmons exceeded value with 26 points, five rebounds, four assists and three steals over 32 minutes in a tough matchup against the Spurs Wednesday. Joel Embiid (hand) is always questionable to play and if he sits tonight, Simmons would see an increase in usage against a Pistons team that gives up the most FPPG (43.29) to opposing SFs this season and the second-most APG (4.5) to that position over the last month. Simmons provided good peripheral stats with 22 rebounds and 16 assists over two meetings with Detroit this year and would likely score more if Embiid sits. Trey Lyles – (5,400 DK/6,200 FD) Lyles has emerged from the ranks of punt plays to a consistent value option, as he’s met or exceeded value in 9 of his last 10