KBO – Sun Jul 5th
Sunday’s slate begins at 4:00 AM EST and all five games should play without any rain PPD issues. Tier ($) Position Top Tier Mid Tier Low Tier SP1 Chan Heon Jung (LG) SP2 Mike Wright (NCD) Hui Kwan Yu (DOO) Seung Ho Lee (KIW) C Dong Won Park (KIW) Sung Woo Jang (KTW) 1B Jose Fernandez (DOO) Jae Il Oh (DOO) Tae In Chae (SK) 2B Keon Chang Seo (KIW) 3B Jeong Choi (SK) Dong Hee Han (LOT) SS Ha Seong Kim (KIW) Dixon Machado (LOT) Sung Hyun Kim (SK) OF Aaron Altherr (NCD) Preston Tucker (KIA) Jamie Romak (SK) Jung Hoo Lee (KIW) Han Joon Yoo (KTW) Eun Sung Chae (LG) Jun Hyeok Oh (SK) PITCHING Chan Heong Jung is the lock button arm today for the Twins. Play him with confidence against Samsung. He’s been lights out this year striking out over 23% of his opponents and is holding opponents to a .218 average with great performances over his last 4 starts. SP2 is where we can make a little executive decision and avoid the heavily favored and overpriced Mike Wright for a nice cheap option in Seung Ho Lee from Kiwoom. Combo 1 – Chan Heong Jung / Seung Ho Lee Combo 2 – Chan Heong Jung / Hui Kwan Yu HITTING The Dinos and Heroes are the top stacks to look at today but do not overlook the SK Wyverns. Jamie Romak has been playing well of late and Jeong Choi is always a solid play who should be closer to $6,000. They’re the core for the Wyverns. NC Dinos: Hee Dong Kwon, Sung Bum Na, Aaron Altherr Kiwoom Heroes: Keon Chang Seo, Ha Seong Kim, Jung Hoo Lee, ByungHo Park SK Wyverns: Ji Hoon Choi, Jeong Choi, Jamie Romak, Joon Woo Choi
KBO DFS – Sat 7/4
Happy 4th of July. Instead of watching our pastime we get to bet on Korean Baseball! WEATHER No issues!!!! PITCHING Chris Flexen How about this for a little statistical information for you. Flexen is your -431 favorite today
KBO DFS – Fri. July 3rd
We are going through our re-launch, re-design and overall re-building of what should be one of the most powerful user communities for Daily and Seasonal Fantasy content. I hope you like the changes you see over the weekend and welcome
KBO DFS – July 2nd
The DailyAmbush KBO DFS Dashboard is now LIVE on the FullTime site. You can find it under the DFS – MLB menu and we WILL be adding a TON more dashboards/reports in this month (heck, probably by the 4th). No rain issues on Thursday’s games. PITCHING Tae In Won … Heavy favorite will make him a popular play. I don’t mind rostering against Jeong Choi either. Overall his metrics have been very much improved this season and like the rest of the Lions pitchers has seen a big improvement over the past month. Dan Straily … Should be lower owned than normal in a tough spot today against the very hard Dino’s. But Stud vs Stud can produce strikeouts that we need and Straily coming in lower in ownership can be your pivot off a chalky slate. HITTING TARGETS Doosan Bears There are times in DFS when we should avoid chalk for the massive upside it brings. I don’t believe that this is one of those spots. The Bears are licking their chops despite being on the road in the final game of the series to go off on Kiwoom and Young Gun Jo. Jose Fernandez Jae Il Oh Kyoung Min Hur LG Twins Love getting a pitcher who doesn’t strike anyone else out and that’s what the LG Twins will get today. Hyun Soo Kim Ji Hwan Oh Roberto Ramos
KBO DFS – Wed July 1st
OUCH! That’s all I can about the Hanwha-Kia PPD last night. Got up for my lineup and validated everyone was in and then went back to bed. Dagger as half my lineup was from that game and anyone who followed
The Burning Edge – Rocket Mortgage Classic
I’m going to start with this. Last week was a shit show. Yeah yeah, I had the winner and another top five golfer written up. Who cares, my other picks were garbage and it cost us all money. It’s time
The Power Fade: Rocket Mortgage Classic
The Power Fade – PGA DFS By: Mark Farris Tournament: Rocket Mortgage Classic Course: Detroit Golf Club (Par 72 – 7,340 Yards) Location: Detroit, MI Defending Champion: Nate Lashley (-25) Greens: Primarily Poa Corollary Courses: Keene Trace GC (Barbasol Championship)
KBO DFS – Tue Jun 30th
I gave DK a chance to revitalize their NPB games but the demand just isn’t there. So I am dropping it from my daily articles but if you have questions on it hit me up and I’ll provide any information.
Dongers Club 2020 – Park Projection Tiers, Part 1
Welcome to The Dongers Club 2020 – Park Projection TiersThis is without question my favorite pre-season article to write each season. I am a stadiums person when it comes to Baseball because unlike every other major pro team sport, Baseball is one where the stadium teams play in as home or visitors can benefit each individual differently. Over the years I have used my own views on how stadiums will play based upon Weather, Match-Ups and Player Profiles to profit in DFS more than any other factor. Take your xWOBA, xFIP, xSCHNOZZLE stats and throw them out of the window if you aren’t factoring in the stadiums that the games are being played in. There are park factors that you can download off the internet and then there’s the ultimate breakdown which is the Dongers Club 2020 MLB Stadium Guide. This is the article that in years past has explained to you things like Lefties in Cleveland, RH power hitters in Minnesota, why Atlanta is a righties park and last year gave you Lefties in PNC as the sneaky play of the season. I challenge you to look beyond a table or spreadsheet of data showing which stadium ranks where. Understand how they adapt to each player and then you too can play Mookie Betts the FIRST time he hits 3 homers in Camden Yards, or Ryan Braun every … single … time … he is in Citizens Bank Park. We now have an extremely sad and unique season in that there won’t be as many unique match-ups where we have certain teams/players going to non divisional ballparks where we can benefit from them being in a ballpark that caters to their style of play. You know, like the aforementioned Ryan Braun going to Citizen’s Bank Park which is essentially Cincinnati east for him, only he has a thing for extremely destroying Phillies pitching while there. Or there’s the annual Houston Astros trip to Minnesota, the Seattle Mariners annual trip to Kansas City, those weird but fun to stack Oakland Athletics whenever they come to the east coast (but only for the first game of the series). Yes, sadly we’ll have to wait until 2021 for some of those spots and we quite possibly won’t ever get to see Ryan Braun and his aging career hit as a road hitter in Philadelphia. Something that will happen this year which brings me laughter is how skewed the data will be for these “ballpark factors” that you will find out there on the internet. Sure, a lot of my rankings end up aligning with the statistics which are compiled in the games being played. Because if no lefty ever hit a home run in Cleveland than it certainly would never be a thing. But does the data suddenly align that these stats rank #1 on leaderboards? No. They never will. They won’t because the stats which you are viewing are always including factors with which we do not concern ourselves when it comes to DFS. Factors such as that random late September series with bad pitching or bad hitting all around. That 13th inning game where who knows what guy is pitching and thus he gives up 5 runs in a late inning blowout. Or how about which pitchers end up getting the home or road start in certain stadiums. Everyone knows Yankee Stadium is tiny. Everyone knows the Yankees team hits a ton of home runs. Does everyone know that Yankee Stadium ranked below Tropicana Field in the mighty HR park factors for 2019? They’re not entirely pointless — just entirely useless if simply copy & paste’d. So with that said, I bring you once again the 2020 MLB Ballpark Projections & Tiers. These are tiers which can be viewed in the same manner that you would look at doing tiers for drafting a seasonal draft at each position. They’re going to take into account the obvious about stadiums like hey, Coors Field is a gazillion miles (unofficially) above sea level, the Rockies have some bad bullpen arms and that stadium is gonna produce a lot of offense. But they’re also going to take into account the quality of the team who plays half their games in the stadium, who their likely opponents are this year and oh yeah, who is gonna come into that stadium and rake in a shortened season this year. These aren’t your typical @randomdoucheDFS person on Twitter’s Stadium Rankings. They are unique to The Dongers Club and they are MY PROJECTIONS on which stadiums to focus on. Things such as … The Chase Field Roof Lefties in Cleveland Lefties in Pittsburgh What type of hitter excels in Target Field? South Beach Theory Why Detroit is the real Windy City And this years break out stadium that everyone has been wrong about the past two years. just a few ‘Dongers Club’ stadium theories which have proven to be very profitable for DFS and betting…. Our biggest hit last year was Lefties in PNC Park, the obvious Camden Yards is a top stadium and for the first half of the season Target Field. I won’t unveil the #1 stadium until part three of this series, but it is NOT Coors Field and it is NOT Camden Yards. So what is in store for 2020 Predictions? Let’s go with the first part of this three part series breaking down Stadiums 30-21 … aka, the snoozer club. 30-26: JUST DONT BOTHER TIER This tier has arguably two of the nicest stadiums in the league for watching a game and then two absolute piles of shit ballparks for teams who should be fighting for a playoff berth and are great road teams offensively. 30. Oracle Park – San Francisco 2019 HR Ranking: 30th We begin at the bottom of the list with the beauty that is AT&T, err Oracle Park in San Francisco — home of the Giants — and home of the first stadium with a new dimension configuration
KBO Dongers Club – Jun 28
PITCHING Chris Flexen – Doosan Bears Flexen dominated the Dinos back on May 20th going 8 innings while striking out 10 batters. Nice pitchers park back at home and in a game I project as low scoring between him and Drew Rucinski he gets the edge at home. Flexen has gone 6 strikeouts or more in 4 of his last 8 games while not giving up more than 3 ER in any of those outings. Chan Gyu Lim – LG Twins If you want some risky upside then Lim is your guy. If you want a safe and boring pitcher who is struggling then keep reading for the next player. Chan Gyu Lim should be a lower owned option today because this game has a higher total and he is on the road — but his strikeout ratios do all the talking for me to give him a shot. He just saw SK back on June 11th and only got 5 whifs while giving up 2 HR in that start, however almost every other start around that he’s been much better. Odrisamer Despaigne – KT Wiz The strikeouts have really fallen off for Despaigne who is now below 20% for his strikeout rate this year. His last five starts have all been 5 or fewer K’s per game and not coincidentally he’s giving up more hits and has lost four of his past 5 starts. But today he is the lucky man who gets to face off against the Hanwha Eagles. TOP STACKS I don’t see one team standing out far above the rest today, so I would prefer to limit over exposure onto one team when building lineups today and mix from this pool of spots. The Bears / Dinos game might seem tempting but it’s one I would fade in what I project as a nice pitching match-up. Lotte Giants – Jun Woo Jeon, Ah Seop Son, Dae Ho Lee They do not have a hitter with 10 HR and only have two guys over 4 HR on the season. Power isn’t their strong suit but they should get plenty of guys on base and Ah Seop Son has a good chance of going yard in this matchup. LG Twins – Hyun Soo Kim, Roberto Ramos, Kang Nam Yoo A cold lineup but a nice time to buy low on them. KT Wiz – Mel Rojas Jr, Baek Ho Kang, It’s Chad Bell, hard to ignore them.