Saturday Wild Card DraftKings DFS Strategy (2-Game Slate)
Saturday Wild Card DraftKings DFS Strategy (2-Game Slate) Written by guest contributor Shawn Childs On Saturday, DraftKings has a two-game slate with a $20 entry fee, and the winner takes home half a million dollars. I’m a fan of these types of contests, as long as I can narrow the player pool to three or four foundation players. Many times, the key to winning is finding the one low-priced player to fill the roster. Paying up for a defense tends to be a losing part of the equation. Rams Key Players The Los Angeles Rams have the best team on both sides of the ball based on points scored (518) and points allowed (346). Their offense runs through a top-tier passing game, two elite wideouts, and a heavy volume of chances for their tight ends. Matthew Stafford (DK – $6,900) 4,707 passing yards with 46 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He averaged 21.96 fantasy points per game at DraftKings. I have him projected to pass for 264 yards with 2.5 passing scores. He is the clear-cut advantage at quarterback on this slate, but a 4X outcome requires him to pass for over 300 yards with at least three touchdowns. Puka Nacua (DK – $8,700) The best wide receiver in the NFL caught 129 passes for 1,715 yards and 10 touchdowns with 10 rushes for 105 yards and another score. He averaged 24.63 fantasy points per game at DraftKings. His floor almost ensures that Puka is a top-three wide receiver on this slate, but playing him requires finding value at multiple other positions. Davante Adams (DK – $6,500) After a three-game vacation, Adams should regain his scoring ways against the Panthers. He tends to play second fiddle in targets in the LA’s offense, while being their top option at the goal line (14 TDs over 14 games). He averaged 16.14 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring. Over the last 11 games, the Rams have featured their tight ends in the passing game, leading to 81 catches for 939 yards and 14 touchdowns on 150 targets. With Davante Adams on the sidelines, they had three active games (7/88/1, 8/107/1, and 9/127/3 on 38 combined targets). Here’s the breakdown of tight end success over the past 11 weeks: Colby Parkinson (DK – $3,700) – 39 catches for 397 yards and eight touchdowns on 51 targets. Terreance Ferguson (DK – $2,700) – 10 catches for 210 yards and three touchdowns on 24 targets. Tyler Higbee (DK – $3,200) – 15 catches for 179 yards and two touchdowns on 21 targets (six missed games). Davis Allen (DK – $2,500) – 17 catches for 153 yards and one touchdown on 24 targets. Last week, the Rams running back took over the NFL lead in rushing yards (2,138) while ranking fifth in rushing touchdowns (17). They gained 5.0 yards per rush, but sit close to the bottom of the league in receiving stats (44/317/3 on 64 targets). Kyren Williams (DK – $6,400) The Rams settled into a two-back rotation, with Williams on the field for 68.0% of their plays. He averaged 17.4 touches per game and 15.78 FPPG in DraftKings scoring, which paints only a 2X outcome. Blake Corum (DK – $5,400) Over the second half of the season, the Rams gave Corum a bump in playing time. Los Angeles had him on the field for 29.2% of their plays for the year, which was closer to 33% over their last nine games. He averaged 13.18 fantasy points over the Rams’ final six contests. Stacking the Rams’ passing game will be popular on this two-game slate. Adams and a tight end are most likely to score a passing touchdown. A running back split limits the ceiling of both players. If the Rams score four touchdowns, one of their backs has a higher chance of landing on the winning ticket. Panthers Key Players The Carolina Panthers slipped through the back door of the playoffs after losing their final two games to the Seattle Seahawks and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They were outscored by 69 points this year. Their best offensive showing in points (31) came against the Rams in Week 13. The Panthers ranked 27th in passing yards (3,304) and 18th in passing touchdowns (24). They gained only 6.4 yards per pass attempt, with minimal success on the ground (59/214/1 – 3.6 yards per rush). Bryce Young (DK – $5,000) Over 16 games, he averaged 14.94 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring. He passed for fewer than 200 yards in 75% of his games. Despite his bleak outlook, Young offered playable value in four contests (26.30, 19.50, 34.80, and 22.50 fantasy points). He beat the Rams for 229 combined yards in Week 13 with three passing touchdowns. Midseason, Carolina sat atop the running back rushing rankings, but they finished 15th in rushing yards (1,763). They scored only eight touchdowns on the ground, with league-average success in the receiving stats (72/533/4 on 92 targets). Rico Dowdle (DK – $5,500) There hasn’t been a winning sighting of Dowdle in the DFS market since Week 9. When at his best, he delivered three impact outcomes (35.40, 36.90, and 31.10 fantasy points). On the year, Dowdle averaged 13.31 FPPG in DraftKings scoring (10.70 over his last eight matchups). The Panthers had him on the field for 55.7% of their plays. Chuba Hubbard (DK – $4,500) Hubbard played well over his first three games (46.20 fantasy points in DraftKings scoring) while receiving 53 touches. Over his last 12 games, Carolina averaged only 6.68 fantasy points per game, with only two touchdowns. Carolina’s wide receivers caught 179 passes for 2,133 yards and 15 touchdowns on 289 targets this year, ranking them 18th in wide receiver scoring (482.30 fantasy points) in PPR formats. Tetairoa McMillan (DK – $6,000) In his rookie season, McMillan finished as the 15th-ranked wide receiver (70/1,014/7 on 122 targets). He had one impact game (12/130/2), with no other contest supporting a 4X outcome for his current salary. His ceiling would be much higher
Week 18 DraftKings DFS Sunday Main Slate Breakdown
Week 18 DraftKings DFS Strategy (Main Slate) Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 18 is always about who is actually trying to win. Teams playing for division titles or seeding should be prioritized, while eliminated teams can still provide value if usage is concentrated (ex: Tank Bigsby, Michael Mayer). Key Slate Principles Motivation > matchup (AFC South race is critical) Trevor Lawrence is elite chalk worth eating Running back value opens the slate Be cautious with Rams until Saturday’s result Cheap tight end value (Mayer) enables stars Quarterback Breakdown Cash Anchor: Trevor Lawrence QB1 since Week 11. Jaguars have highest implied total (29.5). Eight passing TDs + four rushing TDs in three games. Titans offer little resistance. Value Pivot: C.J. Stroud Texans also playing for AFC South. Colts defense collapsing. Efficiency keeps floor intact at reduced volume. Strong salary relief option. Running Back Breakdown Spend-Up: Bijan Robinson Falcons have nothing to lose. Chasing a historic yardage milestone. Saints allow top-10 rushing production. Massive ceiling in low-pressure environment. Value Smash: Tank Bigsby Eagles expected to rest starters. Washington allows 145+ rush YPG. Bigsby projected to lead backfield. Excellent point-per-dollar play. Wide Receiver Strategy Elite Ceiling: Puka Nacua ONLY playable if Rams still have seeding to play for. Cardinals allowing 35 PPG recently. Davante Adams expected to sit. 48 targets in last four games. Stack-Friendly Value: Jakobi Meyers Perfect Lawrence pairing. 8.5 targets per game over last four. Titans secondary vulnerable. Strong floor + TD equity. Tight End Outlook Best Value: Michael Mayer 90%+ snap rate without Bowers. 10 targets last week. Salary too low for role. Allows multiple elite plays elsewhere. GPP Ceiling: Trey McBride Legendary season. Bengals-level matchup quality. Elite ceiling in GPPs. Defense Notes Best combinations of price + motivation: Chiefs, Vikings, Eagles, Raiders (salary saver). Week 18 DraftKings Lineups LINEUP 1 — Cash / Single Entry Build QB – Trevor Lawrence ($6,400) RB – Bijan Robinson ($8,700) RB – Tank Bigsby ($5,400) WR – Puka Nacua ($9,000)* WR – Jakobi Meyers ($5,600) WR – Luther Burden ($5,300) TE – Michael Mayer ($3,500) FLEX – Darius Slayton ($4,100) DST – New York Jets ($2,000) *Only play Puka if Rams still have seeding incentive after Saturday. Why this works: Lawrence + Meyers chalk stack. Bijan ceiling without opportunity cost. Bigsby + Mayer unlock roster. Strong floor across all positions. Ideal for cash or single-entry contests. LINEUP 2 — Tournament Build with Leverage QB – C.J. Stroud ($5,400) RB – Bijan Robinson ($8,700) RB – Tank Bigsby ($5,400) WR – Ja’Marr Chase ($8,500) WR – Jakobi Meyers ($5,600) WR – Courtland Sutton ($5,900) TE – Michael Mayer ($3,500) FLEX – Jayden Higgins ($4,500) DST – Jets ($2,000) Why this works: Lower-owned QB with division motivation. Chase ceiling at suppressed ownership. Same RB value core as chalk builds. Jets DST won’t get the Bills starters all game. Final Week 18 DFS Notes Confirm motivation Sunday morning Be ready to pivot off Rams if resting Don’t overthink Lawrence chalk RB value defines roster construction Late news matters more than projections Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Week 17 DraftKings DFS Sunday Main Slate Breakdown
Week 17 DraftKings DFS Strategy (Main Slate) Written by Adam Krautwurst (currently ranked #1 in the World Championship Leaderboard) Week 17 is a motivation + matchup slate, which is critical this late in the season. Teams still fighting for seeding (Eagles, Bengals, Jaguars, Patriots) offer far more stability than eliminated squads sleepwalking to the finish line. Pricing has also softened across the slate, allowing stars-and-scrubs builds to thrive. Core Slate Takeaways QB pricing is fair, not cheap → prioritize matchup over raw value Saquon Barkley is the best RB play on the slate Ja’Marr Chase remains underpriced for his usage Michael Mayer at $2,500 is a lineup unlock You can comfortably pay up at RB/WR without sacrificing roster balance Quarterback Strategy Top QB: Drake Maye Jets allow top-7 QB fantasy production. Patriots still playing for top seeding. Efficient, aggressive offense. Rushing ability provides ceiling + floor. Value QB: Jacoby Brissett Bengals allow 30.5 PPG (worst in NFL). Bounce-back spot after low-volume week. Still capable of 40+ pass attempts. Strong pairing with Chase bring-backs. Running Back Strategy Core RB: Saquon Barkley Bills are a run-funnel defense. Eagles still fighting for NFC positioning. 5.3 YPC and TDs in three straight games. Strong leverage over Jonathan Taylor chalk. Value RB: Ashton Jeanty 25-touch role with Bowers on IR. Giants dead last vs the run. Only offensive weapon left. Massive workload security. Wide Receiver Breakdown WR Anchor: Ja’Marr Chase 49 targets in four games. Cardinals allowing 34.7 PPG recently. Zero TD regression coming. Still not priced like a true WR1 overall. Best Value WR: Jakobi Meyers 43 targets in six games. Colts missing top two CBs. Jacksonville still playing for division. Price far too low for role. Tight End Strategy Spend-Up: Trey McBride Bengals allow most FPPG to TEs. Game environment screams shootout. Elite ceiling in GPPs. Salary Lock: Michael Mayer Minimum price with Bowers on IR. 90%+ snap rate without Bowers. Allows double-RB + elite WR builds. Cash and GPP viable. Defense Notes Best value defenses: Browns, Raiders, Giants, Steelers. Week 17 DraftKings Lineups LINEUP 1 — Balanced Chalk with High Floor QB – Drake Maye ($6,800) RB – Saquon Barkley ($7,600) RB – Ashton Jeanty ($6,100) WR – Ja’Marr Chase ($8,300) WR – Jakobi Meyers ($5,300) WR – Stefon Diggs ($5,800) TE – Michael Mayer ($2,500) FLEX – Khalil Shakir ($5,100) DST – Cleveland Browns ($2,500) Why this works: Barkley + Chase provide elite raw points. Mayer unlocks the entire build. Strong matchup across every position. Ideal for cash or single-entry contests. LINEUP 2 — Tournament Build with Ceiling Correlation QB – Jacoby Brissett ($5,700) RB – Saquon Barkley ($7,600) RB – Tyrone Tracy Jr. ($5,400) WR – Ja’Marr Chase ($8,300) WR – Brian Thomas ($5,200) WR – Jakobi Meyers ($5,300) TE – Michael Mayer ($2,500) FLEX – Trey McBride ($7,500) DST – Browns ($2,500) Why this works: Bengals stack leverage via Chase. Brissett ceiling at suppressed ownership. Strong late-slate upside if CIN–ARI shoots out. Final Week 17 DFS Notes Michael Mayer is the most important salary decision Barkley > Taylor this week Chase is still underpriced for volume Favor teams with playoff motivation Don’t over-stack bad teams unless price forces it Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Week 16 DraftKings DFS Sunday Main Slate Breakdown
Week 16 DraftKings DFS Strategy (Main Slate) Written by Adam Krautwurst @adam_krautwurst on X Week 16 is shaping up as a “pay-down at QB, pay-up everywhere else” slate. Injuries, benchings, and late-season chaos have opened multiple viable quarterbacks under $6K, and the opportunity cost of paying up at QB is simply too high given the elite skill-position ceilings available. Core Slate Themes Cheap QB + elite skill players is optimal Multiple RBs and WRs capable of 30+ DK points Tight end is either Trey McBride or a value pivot like Darren Waller Defensive pricing allows easy salary relief Quarterback Strategy Top Overall QB: Bo Nix Jaguars allow top-10 QB FPPG. Denver throwing volume is massive (34–45 attempts weekly). Sneaky overall QB1 upside in a 47.5 total. Perfect for balanced builds. Best Value / Cash QB: C.J. Stroud Raiders weak in pressure rate. Texans offense efficient even in wins. High floor, lower ownership than ultra-cheap QBs. Ideal when stacking elite RB + WR combos. Minshew / Ewers are viable punts, but Stroud and Nix are the safest ways to attack cheap QB builds. Running Back Breakdown Core RB1: Jahmyr Gibbs Massive target share. TD equity (16 TDs). Lions will scheme touches regardless of matchup. Underpriced compared to ceiling. Best Value RB: Aaron Jones Sr. Giants are dead last vs the run. Jones dominates routes vs Jordan Mason. $5,200 is far too cheap for receiving role. Cash-game lock. Other viable pivots: Bijan Robinson (leverage), James Cook III, Bucky Irving, Woody Marks. Wide Receiver Targets Elite WR Anchor: Ja’Marr Chase No Tee Higgins = nuclear usage. 16 targets last week. Game-script proof. One of the safest WR floors in DFS. Best Value WR: DK Metcalf Lions allow most WR FPPG recently. Steelers forced to pass. Price hasn’t adjusted. High-leverage ceiling play. Other strong options: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Justin Jefferson, Jameson Williams, Michael Wilson. Tight End Strategy Pay-Up Option: Trey McBride Leads entire NFL in receptions. Matchup doesn’t matter. Worth building around even at $7,600. Value Pivot: Darren Waller Massive TD target share against league worst defense. Bengals bleeding points. Strong GPP alternative to McBride. Defense Notes Best salary-adjusted defenses: Jets (elite value), Chiefs, Texans, Bills, Giants. Week 16 DraftKings Lineups (Main Slate) LINEUP 1 — Balanced Build with Elite Ceiling QB – Jacoby Brissett RB – Jahmyr Gibbs RB – Aaron Jones Sr. WR – Marquis Brown WR – DK Metcalf WR – Michael Wilson TE – Trey McBride FLEX – Audric Estime DST – Las Vegas Raiders Why this works: Cheap QB + elite skill players. McBride + Chase provide positional advantage. Estime is a super cheap source of touches. Raiders DST gives salary relief without punting upside. LINEUP 2 — Stars & Scrubs with Safe Floor (Cash / Small-Field GPP) QB – Bo Nix RB – Jahmyr Gibbs RB – Audric Estime WR – Ja’Marr Chase WR – Justin Jefferson WR – DK Metcalf TE – Darren Waller FLEX – Keenan Allen DST – NY Jets Why this works: Massive raw-point ceiling. Dual elite WRs. Waller provides TE leverage vs McBride chalk. Final DFS Notes Do not overthink QB — the slate is won with skill players Prioritize volume + matchup over name value McBride is worth eating chalk Waller is the best leverage TE Gibbs + Jones is an elite RB pairing Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Week 15 DraftKings DFS Sunday Main Slate Breakdown
Week 15 DraftKings DFS Strategy Overview (Main Slate) Expert Picks by Adam as of December 14, 2025! Written by Adam It’s Sunday morning, December 14, 2025, and Week 15 brings a massive 13-game DraftKings DFS main slate! With bye weeks behind us, raw points are critical, but roster stability is key as playoff-contending teams offer safer usage, while eliminated teams provide value through pricing inefficiencies. Let’s break down the strategy. 🔑 Quarterback Strategy ⭐ Top Spend-Up: Matthew Stafford – Highest team total (30 points) – Best game environment (54.5 O/U) – Lions funnel production to QBs and WRs – Elite stacking options: Puka Nacua / Davante Adams Stafford is your primary tournament QB this week. 💰 Best Value: Marcus Mariota – $5,000 salary opens everything – Rushing floor + pass volume – Giants allow top-5 QB fantasy points – Ideal for CMC + Puka builds 🏃♂️ Running Back Breakdown 🔒 Core Play: Christian McCaffrey – Highest usage RB in football – Leads all RBs in targets & red-zone touches – Titans defense is non-threatening – Playable in all formats 💸 Best Value: Woody Marks – 87% snap share last game – 26 carries in relief role – Cardinals allow 2nd-most RB FPPG recently – Monitor practice, but elite salary-adjusted upside Other RBs to Mix In: – Jahmyr Gibbs (GPP pivot) – Derrick Henry (touchdown equity) – Kenneth Walker III (leverage) 📡 Wide Receiver Targets 🔥 WR1 Priority: Puka Nacua – Nuclear ceiling – Lions allow most WR FPPG – Adams doesn’t hurt his volume – Lock-button play if salary allows 💰 Best Value: Jakobi Meyers – 28 targets in 4 weeks – TDs in 3 straight games – Jets defense collapsing – Excellent mid-tier floor + ceiling Other Strong Options: – Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Ja’Marr Chase – Nico Collins – Wan’Dale Robinson 🧩 Tight End Strategy ⭐ Best Overall: George Kittle – Titans weak vs. TEs – 49ers implied for 28.5 points – Strong playoff usage profile 💸 Best Value: Harold Fannin Jr. – 26% target share last week – Rookie QB safety valve – Allows stars-and-scrubs builds 🛡️ Defense Notes Cash-game friendly defenses: – Texans – Bears – Eagles – Saints (value) – Raiders (cheap) 🧱 Week 15 DraftKings Lineups (Main Slate) 🔥 LINEUP 1 — High-Total Stack + CMC (GPP / Cash Hybrid) QB – Matthew Stafford RB – Travis Etienne RB – Woody Marks WR – Puka Nacua WR – Jakobi Meyers WR – Wan’Dale Robinson TE – Harold Fannin Jr. FLEX – Tyler Warren DST – Raiders D ✅ Stafford–Puka stack ✅ Etienne smash spot ✅ Salary relief at TE & DST ✅ Strong floor with tournament-winning ceiling 🔥 LINEUP 2 — Stars & Scrubs with Value QB (GPP Focus) QB – Marcus Mariota RB – Christian McCaffrey RB – Derrick Henry WR – Puka Nacua WR – Deebo Samuel WR – Jauan Jennings TE – Isaiah Likely FLEX – Andre losivas DST – Raiders D ✅ Mariota rushing floor ✅ Double-elite RB build ✅ Smash matchup at Tight End ✅ High raw-point upside across all positions
Week 14 DraftKings DFS Sunday Main Slate Breakdown
Week 14 DraftKings Main Slate DFS Breakdown Optimal Picks, Stacks, and Lineups for Week 14 Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 14 delivers one of the most condensed DFS landscapes of the season, with the Sims pointing to clear positional priorities and roster construction trends. This is a slate where RB chalk is unavoidable, mid-range WRs carry the highest median projection, and value QBs unlock nearly every optimal build. If you build around these structural trends, you’re already ahead of most of the field. Quarterback Strategy Top Ceiling — Josh Allen Allen is the only QB on the slate with true separation in ceiling projection. Even without double-stacking, his rushing role and TD equity make him a standalone tournament winner. The Sims prefer pairing him with: – Chris Olave – Tre Tucker – A cheap TE (Barner / Johnson) This keeps salary balanced while capturing Allen’s ceiling. Top Values — Mayfield & Darnold – Baker Mayfield — Ideal in balanced, RB-heavy builds. – Sam Darnold — Shows up in multiple optimal stack combinations, especially with JSN. – Marcus Mariota is a sneaky hybrid play, bringing rushing upside at a low salary. Running Back Breakdown This slate is defined by two absolute core plays: – Aaron Jones Sr. — Slate’s Most Important Play Jones is essentially mandatory. His role, matchup, and price combination make him the top value on the entire slate. – Josh Jacobs — RB2 With Massive Exposure Combines elite usage with touchdown equity. One of the safest and highest-ceiling RBs on the slate. Mid-Tier RBs with Strong Projection These help differentiate builds without sacrificing median points: – Bucky Irving – James Cook III Top Leverage RB – Kenneth Walker III — Strong GPP pivot who correlates well with Darnold + JSN stacks. Wide Receiver Pool Ceiling WR — Ja’Marr Chase True ceiling in a possible shootout game. Strongest Mid-Tier Play — Michael Wilson A reliable WR with elite target share and a clean fit in almost any lineup construction. Salary Smoothers – Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Romeo Doubs – Tre Tucker These players appear frequently as secondary stack pieces or flexible salary fillers. High-Ceiling WRs for Lineup Differentiation – Jaylen Waddle – Puka Nacua Tight End Overview A condensed TE slate with three clear paths: – ✔️ AJ Barner — Best Value Cheap and widely used to open salary for studs. – ✔️ Brock Bowers — Premium Option When lineups fade a top WR, Bowers becomes the best ceiling replacement. – ✔️ Mid-Range Consistency – Juwan Johnson – Cade Otton – Harold Fannin Jr. (sneaky value) If Dalton Kincaid plays then jam him in!! Top Week 14 DFS Stacks 1️⃣ Baker Mayfield + Emeka Egbuka + Cade Otton A budget-friendly stack that lets you jam in Aaron Jones Sr., Jacobs, and even Chase. 2️⃣ Sam Darnold + Jaxon Smith-Njigba + Kenneth Walker III Game-script correlated and extremely salary efficient. 3️⃣ Tyrod Taylor + Adonai Mitchell + Breece Hall Low-owned tournament structure with high ceiling. Lineup 1 — RB Core + Mid-Tier Stack (Cash / Small-Field GPP) QB — Baker Mayfield RB — Aaron Jones Sr. RB — Josh Jacobs WR — Michael Wilson WR — Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR — Romeo Doubs TE — Cade Otton FLEX — Bucky Irving DST — (Any salary-compatible DST) Why it works: – Locks in the slate’s two most important RBs. – Uses the optimal Mayfield + Otton structure. – Balanced salary with strong floors at every position. Lineup 2 — GPP Stack With Leverage QB — Sam Darnold RB — Aaron Jones Sr. RB — James Cook III WR — Michael Wilson WR — Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR — Chris Olave TE — Tyler Warren FLEX — AJ Barner DST — (Any salary-compatible DST) Why it works: – Darnold + JSN + Barner = high correlation leverage. – Tyler Warren with best matchup of elite TEs. – Jones Sr. remains a required foundational piece. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 13 DraftKings DFS Sunday Main Slate Breakdown
Week 13 DraftKings DFS Breakdown (Main Slate Only) Defined Slate: Value QBs + RB Chalk + WR Efficiency Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 13 brings one of the most defined DFS slates of the season. Kimani Vidal headlines as the most dominant value while De’Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba provide slate-breaking upside. Key Slate Notes: Kimani Vidal = slate’s most important play • Darnold→JSN stacks = winning combo • Achane+Waddle = best ceiling duo Quarterbacks Top Play: Sam Darnold Stacks with JSN + Barner • Cheap for 2 stud RBs • Condensed target tree = cash/GPP king. Best Value: Tyrod Taylor Dual-threat floor • Enables Achane+Vidal • GPP spike with Mitchell/Metchie. Tournament Ceiling: C.J. Stroud Collins + Schultz correlation • Low ownership leverage. Running Backs 1. Kimani Vidal (CORE PLAY) Volume + salary + role = cannot fade in cash. 2. De’Von Achane Best ceiling on slate • One-play slate-breaker. 3. Breece Hall Strong usage + Jets passing leverage. GPP Leverage: Bijan Robinson Massive upside + low ownership pivot. Wide Receivers Jaylen Waddle — WR1 by exposure One-off or correlated • Elite ceiling. Chris Olave Elite volume • Best mid-range WR. Jaxon Smith-Njigba Darnold stack partner • Top mid-range play. Khalil Shakir Salary saver • Unlocks Achane+Vidal. Tight Ends Oronde Gadsden II — Chalk TE TE1 by exposure • Salary efficiency. Kyle Pitts — Best Leverage Sky-high ceiling • Optimal Gadsden fade. Dalton Schultz Perfect Stroud stack piece. Top Week 13 DFS Stacks 1️⃣ Sam Darnold + Jaxon Smith-Njigba + A.J. Barner 2️⃣ Tyrod Taylor + Adonai Mitchell + John Metchie III 3️⃣ C.J. Stroud + Nico Collins + Dalton Schultz 4️⃣ Tyler Shough + Chris Olave Week 13 DraftKings Lineups LINEUP 1 — Chalk + Ceiling (Cash / Small Field) QB: Sam Darnold | RB: Kimani Vidal | RB: De’Von Achane WR: Quentin Johnston | WR: Jaylen Waddle | WR: Khalil Shakir TE: Oronde Gadsden II | FLEX: Jaylen Warren | DST: Value Defense Why it works: Double-chalk RB floor • Warren RB1 upside • Waddle/Johnston WR1 ceilings • Shakir unlocks everything. LINEUP 2 — GPP Pivot Build (Large Field) QB: Tyrod Taylor | RB: Kimani Vidal | RB: Bijan Robinson WR: Chris Olave | WR: Jaylen Waddle | WR: John Metchie III TE: Kyle Pitts | FLEX: De’Von Achane | DST: Titans D Why it works: Vidal chalk + Bijan pivot • Achane FLEX hammer • Tyrod+Metchie low-owned stack • Pitts Gadsden leverage. Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Thanksgiving DraftKings DFS Breakdown: 3-Game Slate Advice
Thanksgiving DraftKings DFS Breakdown (3-Game Slate) Concentrated Usage + Elite Stacks = Thanksgiving Cash Written by Adam Krautwurst Thanksgiving is all about concentrated usage, correlated stacks, and finding the right value to open up the studs. With only six teams on the slate, ownership condenses fast — so understanding leverage is crucial. The Three Games: Packers at Lions • Chiefs at Cowboys • Bengals at Ravens Quarterbacks Top Ceiling: Patrick Mahomes Highest median & ceiling projection • Cowboys allow league-high QB fantasy • 350+ yards last week • Stacks with Kelce & Rice • Slate-breaking alpha. Top Value: Jordan Love 15 TDs/3 INTs • Historically elite on Thanksgiving • Lions top-10 pace • Best cheap QB with 25+ DK upside. Running Backs Top Ceiling: Derrick Henry Bengals allow MOST RB fantasy • 176+ yards & TDs last 2 games • 130+ ground yards/game allowed • Win Thanksgiving night hammer. Top Value: Javonte Williams 20+ carries last 2 games • 8 games 75+ rush yards • Locked RZ role • Guaranteed usage = underpriced mid-range RB. Wide Receivers Top Ceiling: Amon-Ra St. Brown 28+ DK points at home • 10+ targets in 5/6 • LaPorta out = target monopoly • Best WR1 floor/ceiling combo. Top Value: Mitchell Tinsley Bengals need WR2 behind Chase • 6 targets last week • Burrow pace = spike upside • Best punt WR on slate. Tight Ends Top Ceiling: Travis Kelce 4+ catches in 9/10 • Highest passing volume game • Best Mahomes stack piece. Top Value: Mark Andrews Bengals allow MOST TE fantasy • 13 TE TDs surrendered • 27% RZ share • Best Kelce leverage. Thanksgiving DraftKings Lineup QB: Jordan Love | RB: Derrick Henry | RB: Javonte Williams WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR: Rashee Rice | WR: Mitchell Tinsley TE: Travis Kelce | FLEX: Jameson Williams | DST: Bengals Why it works: Love+ARSB+Jameson game stack • Kelce+Rice Mahomes double • Henry late hammer • Tinsley unlocks the build. Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Adam’s Eye: Week 12 DraftKings DFS Breakdown: Main Slate Cash & GPP Plays
Week 12 DraftKings DFS Advice (Main Slate) Condensed Chalk + Elite Stacking Spots = Construction Week Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 12 brings one of the most condensed DraftKings main slates of the season. The Sims are crystal clear: massive chalk, elite stacking spots, and huge value pockets that dictate construction. Mahomes + Chase Brown + McBride dominate ownership, but the leverage paths are wide open. Quarterbacks Top Play – Patrick Mahomes Flagship stack with Rice + Kelce. Condensed offense, rising Kelce RZ work, priced lower than usual → easiest elite QB stack of the year. Top Value – Jacoby Brissett Salary relief king. Clear connection with McBride & Wilson in condensed tree → perfect for jamming multiple stud RBs. GPP Darts: Sam Darnold | Jared Goff — both have stackable trees & high-total games. Running Backs Slate-Breaker – Chase Brown Free square in cash. Highest ownership at RB. Fading = max leverage (and max risk). Other High-Exposure RBs: Emanuel Wilson (cheap RB2 in 33% of optis) Kareem Hunt (salary saver) Alvin Kamara (pass-game volume) Jahmyr Gibbs (still elite if allowed) Wide Receivers Top Exposure WRs 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba — #1 WR in Sims 2. Rashee Rice — mandatory with Mahomes 3. Wan’Dale Robinson — pure volume value 4. Michael Wilson — best salary-saver WR High-Ceiling Leverage: Amon-Ra St. Brown (expensive) | Stefon Diggs (best off-chalk pivot) Tight Ends Trey McBride – TE1 By a Mile Dominates target share, air yards, RZ looks. Clear #1 option with MHJ out. Leverage Plays: Kyle Pitts | Travis Kelce (Mahomes stacks) | Mark Andrews | Noah Fant Week 12 Strategy Summary Cash Core: Mahomes OR Brissett • Chase Brown • JSN • McBride • Rice (if Mahomes) GPP Leverage: Fade Rice → Diggs | Pitts over McBride | Double Mahomes without Kelce | Kamara/Gibbs over Wilson Week 12 DraftKings Lineups LINEUP 1 — Optimal/Chalk (Cash + Small-Field) QB: Patrick Mahomes RB: Chase Brown RB: Emanuel Wilson WR: Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR: Rashee Rice WR: Wan’Dale Robinson TE: Brenton Strange FLEX: Jerry Jeudy DST: New York Jets Why it works: Contains top-3 exposure players. Mahomes-Rice stack. Highest median projection. LINEUP 2 — Leverage Tournament Build QB: Jacoby Brissett RB: Chase Brown RB: Kareem Hunt WR: Stefon Diggs WR: Michael Wilson WR: Jakobi Meyers TE: Trey McBride FLEX: Jaylen Warren DST: Seattle Seahawks Why it works: Brissett + Wilson + McBride correlation. Diggs = best leverage off KC bias. Unique RB pivot with Hunt. Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Adam’s Eye: Week 11 DraftKings DFS Breakdown: Main Slate Cash & GPP Plays
WEEK 11 DRAFTKINGS DFS ADVICE (MAIN SLATE ONLY) Wide-Open Slate: Value QBs + Mid-Tier Upside + GPP Leverage Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 11 brings one of the most wide-open DraftKings main slates we’ve seen all season. With several powerhouse offenses removed from the player pool and injuries shaking up depth charts yet again, DFS players are forced to dig deeper into value QBs, mid-range RBs, and overlooked WRs who project for expanded roles. This is the kind of slate where smart correlation, embracing chalk in the right spots, and leveraging under-owned ceiling plays can separate you from the field. Whether you’re building for cash games or large-field GPPs, Week 11 offers plenty of clear value—and just enough volatility—to create a real edge. Quarterback Targets 1. J.J. McCarthy — Vikings Strongest value projection on the slate. Mobility + play-action deep shots = ideal DK scoring. Perfect for builds that need salary relief to jam in elite RBs/WRs. 2. Davis Mills — Texans Projects well because his stacking partners (Nico Collins, Dalton Schultz) are high-usage and affordable. Texans-Panthers should be sneaky pace-up. He’s cheap, allowing double-stud RB or double-elite WR builds. 3. Matthew Stafford — Rams Best ceiling among the non-prohibited QBs. Strong correlation with Puka Nacua. Rams/Seahawks has sneaky shootout potential. Running Backs 1. Jaylen Warren — Steelers Highest expected ownership Controls passing-down work + steady carries. Opponent matchup neutral → his salary-adjusted projection smashes anyway. 2. Christian McCaffrey — 49ers Highest non-restricted-ceiling RB on the slate. Workhorse usage—and Giants can’t stop elite RBs. Massive floor/ceiling; top spend-up option. 3. Chase Brown — Bengals Cheap layout RB with growing snap share. High exposure due to price + matchup. Ideal FLEX or value RB2. Leverage: Bijan Robinson (Falcons) — massively lower ownership than CMC but with similar usage upside. Wide Receivers 1. Michael Wilson — Cardinals One of the highest exposure WRs on the slate. Salary relief + full route participation. Strong role stability, perfect chalk value. 2. Ja’Marr Chase — Bengals Still the top WR ceiling on the slate. Flacco (if starting) hyper-targets him. Bears secondary is burnable. 3. Puka Nacua — Rams Smash pairing with Stafford. Volume remains elite even with Kupp active. Secondary Tier: Drake London — Falcons D.K. Metcalf — Seahawks Nico Collins — Texans Tight Ends 1. Kyle Pitts — Falcons TE1 by exposure. Atlanta’s passing tree is condensed. Underpriced for athleticism + volume. 2. Trey McBride — Cardinals Target monster again. High route rate + elite TE share. 3. Dalton Schultz — Texans Major stacking value with Mills. Texans’ WR injuries boost his usage. Top Stacks 1. J.J. McCarthy + T.J. Hockenson Cheap → allows elite RB/WR builds. High Sims correlation. 2. Davis Mills + Nico Collins + Dalton Schultz Value triple stack. Lets you pay up at RB and WR. 3. Matthew Stafford + Puka Nacua Highest non-restricted QB/WR ceiling. WEEK 11 DRAFTKINGS MAIN SLATE LINEUPS LINEUP 1 — Optimal/Hybrid (CEILING + STABILITY) QB: Joe Flacco – Bengals RB: Jaylen Warren — Steelers RB: Christian McCaffrey — 49ers WR: Michael Wilson — Cardinals WR: Drake London — Falcons WR: Tee Higgins — Bengals TE: Kyle Pitts — Falcons FLEX: Chase Brown — Bengals DST: Titans D Why it works: Warren + McCaffrey = elite floor/ceiling RB combo. Higgins + Pitts + London give explosive WR/TE upside. Flacco keeps salary manageable. LINEUP 2 — GPP STACK (Upside, Correlation, Leverage) QB: Matthew Stafford — Rams RB: Jaylen Warren — Steelers RB: Bijan Robinson — Falcons WR: Puka Nacua — Rams WR: Ja’Marr Chase — Bengals WR: Michael Wilson — Cardinals TE: Trey McBride — Cardinals FLEX: D.K. Metcalf — Seahawks DST: Carolina Panthers Why it works: Stafford + Nacua is the cleanest high-ceiling stack available.. Shaheed offers a cheap bring back for Rams-Seahawks game Wilson/Kittle gives cheap correlation. Metcalf adds tournament-breaking volatility. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points