Comeback Player of the Year (2025)
A key piece of advice for winning in fantasy football is to be proactive, not reactive. Staying ahead of your league mates can help you identify the breakouts before they happen. You can also win by recognizing which players are
FullTime Fantasy’s world-famous Fantasy Football Draft Kit is loaded with exclusive content. This includes our unique Preseason Pro series that dives deep into the minds of some of the world’s most successful high-stakes veterans and fantasy experts. Part of the Preseason Pro includes players who are in a position to rebound.
And we hit it out of the park last season when we selected Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow as our 2024 Comeback Player of the Year. All Burrow did was deliver his finest pro season and finish as the overall QB2.🔥
But Burrow isn’t the only comeback player we’ve nailed. Check out our track record:
2024 Comeback Player of the Year: Joe Burrow (finished as QB2).✅
2023 Comeback Player of the Year: Calvin Ridley (finished as WR19).✅
2021 Comeback Player of the Year: James Conner (finished as RB5).✅
We made no official pick in 2022, but have consistently targeted a great rebound option. There were lots of good candidates to bounce back this season. But our staff’s Comebak Player of the Year (2025) is….
WHO IS FULLTIME FANTASY’S 2025 COMEBACK PLAYER OF THE YEAR?
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2025 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview
2025 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview The San Francisco 49ers underwent a significant offseason overhaul, marked by a strategic roster purge and a youth-focused rebuild following a disappointing 6-11 season. The team lost key contributors in free agency and traded WR Deebo Samuel to Washington. In the draft, GM John Lynch leveraged 11 picks, starting with DE Mykel Williams, DT Alfred Collins, and LB Nick Martin to bolster the defense, while adding depth at CB, WR, and RB. Robert Saleh’s return as defensive coordinator signals a shift to a high-pressure scheme, but head coach Kyle Shanahan has work to do on offense. A long-term extension is pending for QB Brock Purdy, who has outplayed his seventh-round billing. Purdy’s numbers dipped in his second season as the starter, but injuries played a big part. He still ranked 12th in fantasy points per game and was cool under pressure. San Francisco projects to have the NFL’s easiest schedule in 2025, which bodes well for Purdy’s fantasy potential. He’s a borderline QB1 that can be targeted late in drafts. RB Christian McCaffrey remains an enigma. Few players have the ceiling that McCaffery offers, but the heavy usage he’s endured has taken a toll. CMC was limited to four games last season and torpedoed most fantasy rosters that invested an early pick on his services. Supposedly healthy, that boom/bust potential remains in 2025. There is significant risk, so limited exposure. Isaac Guerendo and fifth-round Oregon rookie Jordan James are must-have late-round handcuffs. The receiving room will look different with Samuel in DC and Brandon Aiyuk potentially missing time. Aiyuk tore his ACL and MCL on October 20 and could be brought along slowly even if he’s ready by Week 1. If that happens, Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall would be Shanahan’s top wideouts. Jennings broke out last season with a 77/975/6 line good enough for a WR24 finish. He’ll be in good position to be a quality middle-round target. Meanwhile, Pearsall ended his rookie campaign with two strong showings and looks like an appealing late-round sleeper to target. Demarcus Robinson, signed from the Rams, could also factor in early. Uncertainty in the receiving corps will lead to an enhanced target share for TE George Kittle. Fantasy’s TE3 last season, Kittle ranked 7th with 94 targets and 6th in target share (22 percent). An increase in looks would cement his place as the No. 3 fantasy option behind Brock Bowers and Trey McBride. Fantasy Grade: B- QB Purdy, Brock, SF [QB1] Although he finished as a QB1 in fantasy points per game, Brock Purdy took a step back as a passer in his third season. Purdy’s completion rate, touchdowns, and deep-ball accuracy declined. Injuries played a part, both to Purdy and his supporting cast, but opposing defenses also figured him out. Purdy ranked 2nd versus zone coverage but 32nd against man- a trend that will have to be cleaned up in a Kyle Shanahan offense. Additionally, Deebo Samuel was traded, but the return of a healthy RB Christian McCaffrey should help. The extension looms, and Purdy has to take advantage of the league’s easiest schedule in 2025. ADVICE: Fringe QB1 and adequate starter. RB McCaffrey, Christian, SF [RB1] Fantasy managers who burned the 1.01 on Christian McCaffrey last season will undoubtedly shy away in 2025. But at some point, McCaffrey’s league-winning upside will appeal to a manager willing to take the risk of him staying healthy– something he’s struggled to do since 2020. CMC is reportedly fully recovered from the Achilles and knee injuries that limited him to four games. A fully healthy McCaffrey still has elite upside in Kyle Shanahan’s offense, but Isaac Guerendo and fifth-round Oregon rookie Jordan James could see more touches to keep McCaffrey healthy in his waning years. ADVICE: Enormous upside makes McCaffrey an appealing gamble in the 2nd round. RB Guerendo, Isaac, SF [RB2] Isaac Guerendo is a great example of a late-round pick with league-winning upside. Guerendo is the next man up behind the oft-injured Christian McCaffrey. In the four games that Guerendo received double-digit carries last season, he averaged 16.8 fantasy points per game. Despite seeing a stacked front at the highest rate of any RB, Guerendo ranked 6th with 5.8 yards per touch. He’s an elite handcuff target to a player who has missed 37 games in the last five seasons. ADVICE: One of the top handcuffs to target in fantasy football, who could have standalone value as a change-of-pace back. WR Jennings, Jauan, SF [WR1] In 2024, Jauan Jennings posted career-highs with 77 receptions, 975 yards, and six touchdowns, averaging 14.0 PPR points per game. His 2.45 yards per route run ranked 11th among WRs, showcasing efficiency. Jennings thrived as Brock Purdy’s top target, earning an 8.5 targets-per-game average. With Brandon Aiyuk’s recovery uncertain and Deebo Samuel traded, Jennings could lead the 49ers’ receiving corps. Despite competition from George Kittle and Ricky Pearsall, his 32 percent target share signals strong fantasy upside. ADVICE: Asserted himself as a legitimate threat last year and will be San Francisco’s top wideout until Brandon Aiyuk is healthy. WR Pearsall, Ricky, SF [WR2] More than half of Ricky Pearsall’s fantasy production came in Weeks 17 and 18, after San Francisco’s season was over. And the 18.9 PPR points in the season finale came with Josh Dobbs under center. The trade of Deebo Samuel frees up Pearsall to take on a bigger role in his second season. While there’s a lot to like in Pearsall’s athletic measurables, recency bias has made him awfully expensive. However, we’re willing to potentially overpay on the upside. ADVICE: Pearsall will have an opportunity to contribute more, and he’s starting to look like a potential stud. WR Aiyuk, Brandon, SF [WR3] Another star wideout coming off a major knee injury, we would move Brandon Aiyuk up 10-15 spots if we knew he would be healthy and in San Francisco’s lineups for their season opener in Seattle. Aiyuk was having a pretty miserable 2024 campaign
2025 Preseason Pro: Jody Smith (Free)
NFL training camps are underway. That means the fantasy football draft season has finally arrived! Our annual Flagship Feature is called Preseason Pro. This 2025 Preseason Pro: Jody Smith introduces the exclusive insight you can find only at FullTime Fantasy. Here at FullTime Fantasy, we’ve assembled the very best high-stakes players in the world: many of the Top 10 World-Ranked high-stakes players, and one of the top RANKERS in the country — to help you win your Fantasy Football league. No one else in the industry can provide you with this type of information. Additionally, we host the Fantasy Football World Championships, and these players are gracious enough to lend us a hand in promoting the very best content in the industry. Each of them is putting their reputation on the line for all to see and is providing us with their: ONE Top Sleeper, ONE Breakout, ONE Bust ONE Comeback, and ONE late-round Stash & Cash. to help you with your upcoming draft. However, it’s only one per category! They don’t know what anyone else has submitted, so you’re getting the genuine gut check from the best players in the world. High rollers have offered some of them hundreds of dollars for this kind of private advice. And that’s just one opinion. Here you’re getting no less than SEVEN, and Preseason Pro continues to be the elite product of the fantasy season. This year’s Preseason Pro picks are included FREE with your FullTime Fantasy Membership! What makes their opinion so worthy? Simple. They win. Year in and year out, they’re winners. While some may ask, “Why would they help me?”, there is no question that when their pride and integrity are on the line, they step up and make bold calls to help others. When we have questions on Sunday, this is who we call. We’re essentially bringing our high-stakes connections to FullTime Fantasy. When your league is on the line, who do you trust? A magazine that contains out-of-date news? No. Those days are over. Not all experts are considered equal. Starting with Jody Smith, who has more than 15 years of content experience. Jody was also previously Fantasy Pro’s Most Accurate Rankings Expert, and he’s fresh off a No. 2 overall finish in last year’s draft accuracy. Additionally, Jody topped the betting leaderboards in 2020 and holds a top-10 overall ranking for multi-year accuracy. He’s consistently been one of the best in the business for a long time! Finally, Jody recommended Hunter Henry as his late-round stash & cash last August, and Henry posted overall TE11 numbers, making him one of the top values. Let’s see who Jody picks in his 2025 Preseason Pro. JODY SMITH (below) – ADAM KRAUTWURST – IAN RITCHIE – SCOTT ATKINS – ANGELOS LILAS — BREAKOUT — Kenneth Walker (RB) Seattle Seahawks It was hard to narrow this down to one single breakout player for 2025. So as a bonus, I chose one position player and a pair of second-year signal callers. At running back, Ken Walker is already a well-known name in the fantasy community. Last year, he was RB12 in PPR points per game, but missed six games due to oblique and leg injuries. But when he played, Walker was the staff’s preferred backfield option. Zach Charbonnet only averaged four carries in games that Walker started and finished. Per FantasyPoints Data, Walker led all running backs with 0.50 missed tackles forced per attempt, ranked third with 70.9% of his yards coming after contact, and was RB8 in expected fantasy points per game. Those tell the story of an explosive player whose breakout ability has already been displayed. Walker’s involvement in the passing game last season was also encouraging. Despite playing just 11 games, he snagged 46-of-53 targets. He’s going to be the featured back in a Klint Kubiak offense that resulted in Alvin Kamara leading all running backs in targets per game last season.🚀 Seattle’s O-line is a concern, but first-round OG Grey Zabel will be a good fit as a pulling guard in Kubiak’s versatile system. A healthy Walker is top-5 upside and can readily be drafted in the 4th round. I also love J.J. McCarthy and Drake Maye as sophomore quarterbacks with breakout potential. I was high on McCarthy last year, but his season was over before it began. We saw how Kevin O’Connell’s offense, which has ranked top-6 in passing in every season, led to a career resurrection for Sam Darnold. Now it’s McCarthy who has the keys to O’Connell’s offense, and we’re starting to see some of his potential in camp. Drake Maye is a dark horse to lead all QBs in rushing. Despite playing in just 10 full games, Maye ranked 9th among QBs last season with 421 rushing yards. He’s also got a strong arm and will be helped exceptionally by the additions of Mike Vrabel, Josh McDaniels, Stefon Diggs, Kyle Williams, and a vastly improved offensive line. Both of these second-year QBs will contend for QB1 fantasy production and can be drafted in the mid-to-late rounds of most fantasy drafts. — SLEEPER — Jakobi Meyers (WR) Las Vegas Raiders Another season, another year of Jakobi Meyers being overlooked on draft day. He’s been a top-25 wideout in back-to-back seasons and got significant upgrades in coaching and at quarterback. Yet Meyers is still being drafted outside of the top-40 wide receivers, well into the middle rounds. At that point in drafts, Meyers is the ideal fantasy WR3 for managers who already have targeted a tight end/quarterback, and have both backfield spots occupied. Taking WR/WR to open the draft and targeting Meyers in that range allows for a deep weekly lineup. Meyers isn’t flashy, but he’s averaged over 13 fantasy points in three straight seasons. Last year, with arguably the worst quarterback play in the NFL, Meyers posted his first 1000-yard campaign. He absorbed 129 targets in 15 games, even with TE Brock Bowers setting NFL records. Now, the Raiders have made significant changes for the better. Pete Carroll and Chip Kelly will be a boon for an
Dynasty Rankings: 3 Veteran RBs to Fade
As the rookie season heats up and Dynasty Football enthusiasts prepare for the next season, now is an excellent time to trade off aging veterans. Selling players for draft capital is a time-honored tradition in dynasty formats. These Dynasty Rankings:
This feature is courtesy of Frank Taddeo.
Christian McCaffrey (RB) San Francisco 49ers
Last summer, Christian McCaffrey was the near-unanimous No. 1 pick in fantasy football drafts following a stellar 2023 season, where he racked up 2,023 scrimmage yards and 21 touchdowns. However, after appearing in just four games last year, the San Francisco 49ers running back left fantasy managers disappointed.
Looking ahead to 2025, fantasy players should hesitate before using a first-round pick on the three-time Pro Bowler, who has now missed substantial playing time in three of his past five seasons.
The seasoned running back struggled to stay healthy last season, sidelined by Achilles and knee issues. Fantasy managers who selected McCaffrey early were let down, especially as the 49ers appeared to downplay the severity of his injuries during the preseason.
After finishing as the RB69 in PPR leagues last season, fantasy managers should approach McCaffrey with caution rather than slotting him as an RB1 for the upcoming year. His recent injury history and the physical toll of eight NFL seasons make him a questionable value, despite an ADP that still places him among the top five running backs.
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2025 CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY FANTASY FOOTBALL OUTLOOK
Rookie Isaac Guerendo stepped up for the 49ers, delivering four double-digit PPR performances after Week 7. The ex-Louisville star is currently the direct backup to McCaffrey on San Francisco’s depth chart.
Grant Cohn, OnSI’s 49ers reporter, recently noted that head coach Kyle Shanahan hinted at the NFL League meetings about adding another running back in this month’s draft: “We’ll see if we add one in the draft, but you’d like to add one every year.”
Though McCaffrey is only one year removed from a historic 2023 season—where he scored a touchdown in 16 straight games—the 2023 NFL Offensive Player of the Year carries significant risk as a first-round pick.
With injury concerns and potential competition for the lead role, McCaffrey stands out as an overvalued selection who may not deliver the elite RB1 numbers fantasy managers expect.
Check out Frankie’s 3 Underrated Veteran RBs to Target…
To finish reading this article…
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Injury Report: Week 2
Injury Report: Week 2 Week 1 was full of highs and lows- mostly lows. Scoring was down and key injuries played a factor. Some of those will carry over into Week 2. Our Injury Report: Week 2 breaks down all the key fantasy-relevant injuries to monitor. Also, a great starting point for staying updated on the latest injuries is to bookmark our NFL Injury Report. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Christian McCaffrey (RB) San Francisco 49ers – Minutes before Monday Night Football word broke that McCaffrey would be inactive. Shortly after, a report indicated that McCaffrey could also miss Week 2. McCaffrey is dealing with a calf and Achilles issue that prevented him from practicing all summer. Reportedly, he had a setback ahead of Week 1. Subsequently, this is terrible news for fantasy managers who had the 1.01. However, Jordan Mason managers can rejoice. “it was always bothering him to some degree. Sometimes it goes away, sometimes it comes back. & today it was bothering him a little too much to where we didn’t feel good about it.” That doesn’t sound great for Christian McCaffrey. This may linger well into the season.. pic.twitter.com/FGv36BSY6k — Jeff Mueller, PT, DPT (@jmthrivept) September 10, 2024 Puka Nacua (WR) Los Angeles Rams – Another devastating blow for an early 2024 fantasy target, Nacau aggravated the knee injury that hobbled him throughout the preseason. Unfortunately, Nacua has been placed on IR. That means he is destined to miss four-plus games. Cooper Kupp, Demarcus Robinson, and Tyler Johnson will see increased target shares. Jordan Love (QB) Green Bay Packers – Love was hurt in the waning moments of Green Bay’s Week 1 defeat. He hurt his MCL and is expected to miss 2-4 weeks. However, the good news is the Packers did not place Love on IR, so there is some optimism that he’ll return sooner than later. The absence of Love leaves Green Bay’s offense in Malik Willis’s hands. That’s a massive downgrade. De’Von Achane (RB) Miami Dolphins – Achane is dealing with an ankle injury. This injury isn’t considered serious. However, the Dolphins play on Thursday this week, which complicates Achane’s practice availability. We will update Discord when there is clarity. Raheem Mostert (RB) Miami Dolphins – Mostert is OUT with a chest injury. David Njoku (TE) Cleveland Browns – A high-ankle sprain is expected to hobble Njoku for multiple weeks. Jordan Akins will fill in for the Browns and is worth a modest waiver wire bid for desperate fantasy managers. Tee Higgins (WR) Cincinnati Bengals – Higgins missed Cincinnati’s opener with a hamstring injury. Adam Schefter already opined that he expects Downs to miss Week 2. We’ve lowered Higgins in our Week 2 projections. Rome Oduze (WR) Chicago Bears – Chicago’s rookie wideout is dealing with an MCL injury. Expect him to be sidelined for a week or two. UPDATE: He did not practice Wednesday. Bears WR Rome Odunze week-to-week with MCL sprain https://t.co/0QjpRNnmUa pic.twitter.com/PdrJz3GxL9 — Bears Wire (@TheBearsWire) September 10, 2024 Jake Ferguson (TE) Dallas Cowboys – Ferguson is dealing with a bone bruise and MCL ailment. The team said there is a chance Ferguson won’t miss any time. However, if he suits up, we imagine that Ferguson would be deployed in a decoy role. Luke Schoonmaker is the TE2 in Dallas. Russell Wilson (QB) Pittsburgh Steelers – Justin Fields did enough to garner another start. Meanwhile, Wilson is dealing with a calf injury. Our money is on Fields to retain the job. For now, at least. Jordan Addison (WR) Minnesota Vikings – Addison injured his other ankle in the opener. It isn’t a serious injury, but his status will need to be monitored ahead of this week’s game against San Francisco. Josh Downs (WR) Indianapolis Colts – Downs missed Indy’s opener with an ankle injury. We will update his practice participation throughout the week and update the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel. Jauan Jennings (WR) San Francisco 49ers – Jennings is day-to-day with an ankle injury. Audric Estime (RB) Denver Broncos – Placed on IR with an ankle injury. Will miss at least four weeks. Dalton Schultz (TE) Houston Texans – Did not practice Wednesday with an ankle injury. ENTER OUR WEEK 2 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 2 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 2 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 2 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
2024 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview
2024 San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview Throughout the 2024 offseason, there have been more rumors surrounding the San Francisco 49ers receiver room than a Fleetwood Mac album. Brock Purdy (4,280/31/11) is banking on the availability of Deebo Samuel and Brandon
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2023 Lessons Learned & Bridges Burned
Year in Review: 2023 Lessons Learned & Bridges Burned Happy New Year! As we flip the calendar to 2024, now is a good time to look back upon the year that was. 2023 was a memorable one. In both good and bad ways. On the positive side, I’m very proud of the effort I and the FullTime Fantasy team put in. I had my best outcome in rankings in many years. However, that took a lot of effort. I had to refine my process and that meant spending an inordinate amount of time looking at snap counts, target share, matchups, histories, and many other factors. The results speak for themselves. Now that I won’t have to do that for eight months, it’s bittersweet. All that prep work made me a better analyst and gave me something to look forward to. Also, the FullTime Fantasy Discord was busier than ever. I did my best to always answer every question by staying true to my process. Whenever I made the wrong calls, it always bothered me. I also wanted to thank Commish Roy for his omnipresent presence and dedication in Discord and other Fantasy Football World Championship duties. Speaking of the FFWC, I had a Bestball team finish inside the top-5, which is a first. However, to accomplish that in a year like 2023, a little luck had to be involved. Mainly, by avoiding the injury bug that plagued the season. That’s just one of the many takeaways that I’m reflecting back on in my 2023 lessons learned & bridges burned. Lessons Learned In some ways, the process of building some of those winning rosters seems like so long ago. However, in other ways, it feels like only yesterday that we were publishing our 2023 rookie profiles and annual Preseason Pro features. Now is a good time to reflect and see where the process was right and what went wrong. Early QB Drafting is Dead For years, successful fantasy football managers have loaded up on skill position players and taken advantage of the depth at quarterback by value-shopping in the mid-to-late rounds. However, that started to change a couple of seasons ago and was notably different this summer. Elite quarterbacks who stay healthy and deliver 20-plus weekly points started to be drafted earlier and earlier. Guys like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Jalen Hurts started to go off many draft boards in the late-2nd, or early part of Round Three. While those three signal-callers stayed healthy, each of them had fewer fantasy points scored per week than in 2022. Mahomes, in particular, dropped off precipitously and was out-scored by a pair of QBs who went undrafted in most leagues. The QB position also seems as deep as ever, with exciting young players entering the fray. This summer, you won’t see me taking a quarterback before Round 6 in non-Superflex formats. Running Back Revival Another trend that grows in popularity each summer is the WR-heavy draft approach. However, with significant injuries to Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Cooper Kupp, many a #ZeroRB roster was decimated. Meanwhile, Christian McCaffrey led all payers with 24.7 PPR points scored per week. CMC stayed healthy and produced 13-plus fantasy points every week. But he wasn’t the only back who was a difference-maker. In fact, 13 running backs averaged 15-plus PPR points per game. This was up from just nine backs in 2022. Young rushers like Kyren Williams, De’Von Achane, Breece Hall, and Jahmyr Gibbs fortified the position and look like they’ll be significant fantasy contributors for years to come. On the other hand, 19 wideouts hit the same 15 PPR points per game mark. That was the same number as 2022 and one fewer than 2021. An unusual amount of injuries to first-round wide receivers played a big part in that stagnant growth. But, knowing what we went through, gives us reason for pause before we blindly give into group think next summer. Don’t Save FAAB I authored the weekly waiver wire piece. One of the key components of that series is to remind readers early on to think long-term and save plenty of FAAB budget flexibility for December. Unfortunately, in an injury-plagued year like 2023 that also had some amazing talents go undrafted, that sound and responsible advice backfired. Championship teams are littered with significant additions like Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua, Rashee Rice, and Trey McBride who largely were not drafted in July and August. When those players burst onto the scene I advocated caution. I certainly recommended “aggressive” bids of up to 25% of your remaining FAAB to acquire their services. However, that wasn’t near enough. The lesson learned, at least for this unusual year, was to get it while the gettin’ is good. If you blow your budget, you can always resort to trades. Even sacrificing a little in a forced deal is better than watching your league mate hoist the trophy after they seemingly “overbid” for that pair of young Rams’ contributors back in Week 2. Get. Your. Guys. Is there a worse feeling than trying to sneak one of your must-have sleepers by one more round only to watch them get selected two or three spots before it is your pick? That happens far too often and sometimes leads to me going on tilt and blowing an entire draft. While using ADP can be useful, never assume that the other people in your league aren’t reading the same material as you and doing their homework. Don’t be afraid to askew average draft position and take shots on your players. Better to go down with the players you cover than watch someone else score 20-plus points per game with a player that you coveted all summer. I plan on being far more aggressive this year and less concerned with appearances or justifying taking players well ahead of their established draft range. Bridges Burned Were you one of those aforementioned early-QB drafters? Or perhaps you had one of the top-3 picks and snagged
Week 17 NFL Player Props
Week 17 NFL Player Props Another profitable betting week is in the books here at FullTime Fantasy. After going 5-2 in Week 16, we are now 48-35 (+13.8 Units) with just two weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season.
Another profitable betting week is in the books here at FullTime Fantasy. After going 5-2 in Week 16, we are now 48-35 (+13.8 Units) with just two weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season. After a midseason lull, we are once again on a roll with three consecutive weeks of profit. Our Week 17 NFL Player Props aims to keep the winning ways going.
As always, I will list my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 17’s slate of NFL matchups. All 32 teams will be in action with a pivotal matchup between the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys on Saturday and no Monday night game this week. The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings will close out the week on Sunday night at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 17 NFL Player Props and continue our profitable NFL season.
Patrick Mahomes OVER 20.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
After producing just 14 points against the Raiders in Week 16, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are going to be very motivated when they take on a Cincinnati Bengals franchise that has had their number in previous regular season matchups. And despite Kansas City’s struggles on offense last week, the one silver lining was that Mahomes was able to find a lot of running space. The signal caller registered a season-high 10 rushing attempts and tallied 53 yards in the Chiefs’ Christmas Day loss. Nine of those rushing attempts were on quarterback scrambles when Mahomes was under duress from Maxx Crosby and Malcom Kounce.
This week, the Chiefs’ atrocious offensive line will have to block Trey Hendrickson. With Isiah Pacheco likely sidelined, I’m anticipating Mahomes using his legs yet again out of necessity as the Bengals look to bring pressure. It also doesn’t hurt that the Chiefs face a Bengals defense that plays man-to-man coverage at a Top-10 rate. With the defensive backs zoning in on the receivers, there will be fewer eyes on Mahomes if he looks to take off from the pocket. The Bengals have surrendered a lot of yardage to mobile quarterbacks this season. Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Josh Allen, and Brock Purdy averaged 50+ rushing yards per game against the Bengals this season.
Mahomes ranks sixth among quarterbacks in rushing yards this season and has topped this line 10 times this season already. Given the struggles of the offensive line and Cincinnati’s defensive scheme, this looks like a solid wager. Take the Over.
WHAT OTHER PLAYER PROPS LOOK LIKE PROMISING BETS THIS WEEK?…
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Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only
Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only three other backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 16 weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (25.35)
- Raheem Mostert (17.91)
- Rashaad White (16.47)
- Travis Etienne (16.19)
- Breece Hall (15.59)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 17 DFS QB Report.
Elite Option
Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,600/FD – $11,000)
The 49ers had McCaffrey on the field for all of their plays last week, leading to his eighth consecutive game with more than 100 combined yards. He has a touchdown in 13 of his 15 starts with a combined 21 scores. His two impact games (48.70 and 41.70) came against the Cardinals. McCaffrey has a floor of 20.00 fantasy points in eight other matchups. He is on pace to gain 2,190 combined yards with 24 touchdowns and 71 catches on 364 touches.
Washington fell to 29th in running back defense (26.13 FPPG) after allowing more than 28.00 fantasy points to backs in their last eight games. The Jets and Breece Hall drilled the Commanders for 242 combined yards with two touchdowns and 12 catches. Running backs have 16 touchdowns with success in the passing game (82/587/5).
McCaffrey has an excellent matchup, with a high floor in fantasy points. The 49ers should score at will in this game, but they could give their star running back some snaps off if Washington doesn’t put up a fight on the scoreboard.
Second-Tier Options
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
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Week 15 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 15 DFS: Running Back Report The running back position remains inconsistent from week to week in all markets. Ezekiel Elliott seized his starting opportunity to lead the NFL in scoring (27.00 fantasy points) in Week 14. Breece Hall (26.60)
The running back position remains inconsistent from week to week in all markets. Ezekiel Elliott seized his starting opportunity to lead the NFL in scoring (27.00 fantasy points) in Week 14. Breece Hall (26.60) took home the silver medal, followed by James Cook (25.10) and Saquon Barkley (24.10). All four players ranked outside the top 10 at running back before last week. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 14 weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (24.11)
- Raheem Mostert (18.34)
- Travis Etienne (17.45)
- Rachaad White (15.80)
- Alvin Kamara (15.59)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 15 DFS QB Report.
Elite Option
Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,300/FD – $10,500)
Last week, McCaffrey busted a 72-yard run on the 49ers’ first play. Unfortunately, San Francisco gave him the next play off, leading to Jordan Mason sniping the touchdown on the next play. He finished with a productive day in yards (153) but only one catch and no scores. His streak of scoring at least 20.00 fantasy points ended at six games. The 49ers had him on the field for 89% of their plays. McCaffrey’s best outing came in Week 4 (20/106/3 with seven catches for 71 yards and one touchdown) against the Cardinals. After 13 games, he has 17 touchdowns.
Arizona ranks 31st in running back defense (27.93 FPPG), with two disaster showings (SF – 53.70 and LAR – 52.70 fantasy points). Backs scored 18 touchdowns, with some success catching the ball (61/382/6). Four teams rushed for more than 175 yards. Opponents average 31.4 rushes per game while gaining 4.4 yards per carry.
The scoring in the 49ers is all about the cycle of their four best players. McCaffrey has an elite opportunity in snaps and touches, and this matchup points to multiple touchdowns. He looks poised to score 30+ fantasy points while being challenging to fit into a winning lineup.
Top Tier Options
Kyren Williams, LAR (DK – $7,500/FD – $9,600)
Since returning from the injured list, Williams has been a beast in the Rams’ offense. Los Angeles had him on the field for 90%…
WHO ELSE DOES SHAWN THINK ARE MUST-PLAY OPTIONS THIS WEEK?…
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