2025 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Preview
2025 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Preview After ranking 9th in both passing and rushing last season, the 2025 Buffalo Bills return mostly intact. Most of Buffalo’s offseason changes came on the defensive side of the ball. They released Von Miller, traded Kaiir Elam, and added DE Joey Bosa. Additionally, the first three picks in the 2025 NFL Draft bolstered Sean McDermott’s defense. However, extensions for Josh Allen and Khalil Shakir assure that the Bills should remain a potent offense for years to come. Allen’s numbers dipped a bit in 2024. He had his lowest passing yards (3,731) and touchdown (28) output in five years. However, Allen ran for a dozen scores and finished as a top-3 fantasy quarterback for the fifth consecutive season. He remains an elite option and is one of the safest bets on draft day for fantasy managers willing to secure an elite signal caller early. RB James Cook posted his second-straight 1,000-yard rushing season and tied for the league lead with 16 rushing scores. His overall production was down from 2023, and he is now seeking a long-term extension as he enters the final year of his rookie deal. Seeing such a huge spike in one-year touchdowns and potentially missing offseason reps due to the contract impasse are concerns. But the Bills did not address running back in the draft, making Cook a strong RB2 with RB1 upside. Ray Davis chipped in 631 scrimmage yards and six scores in a secondary role. Depending on how the Cook contract situation plays out, Davis looks like a strong late-round value target. The Bills didn’t add any significant depth at wideout, ignoring the position until the 7th round. Fresh off his extension, Khalil Shakir looks secure as the No. 1 wideout. Shakir had the best season of his career and ranked 12th in the NFL with a 72.1 percent slot rate. But after Shakir, things are less predictable. Speedy Joshua Palmer’s three-year, $29 million deal indicates he is locked into the WR2 role and will act as Allen’s downfield playmaker. Amari Cooper is a free agent, freeing up more potential playing time for Keon Coleman. Curtis Samuel adds depth and could surpass Coleman if the second-year wideout doesn’t become more consistent. After a strong rookie showing, Dalton Kincaid fell off. He missed four games with a knee injury and wasn’t utilized downfield as much. Dawson Knox also remained involved, averaging a career-high 14.1 yards per reception. Kincaid still posted the 13th-best PFF grade for tight ends with more than 30 targets, so there’s reason to think Kincaid can be a borderline TE1 again if he remains healthy. Fantasy Grade: B QB Allen, Josh, BUF [QB1] Josh Allen’s numbers dipped in 2024, yet he still ranked inside the top-3 fantasy signal-callers for the fifth consecutive season and won an NFL MVP. That consistency puts Allen in elite company and is why he’s our top QB in 2025. After surpassing 4,000 passing yards for four straight seasons, Allen slipped to 3,731 with 28 scores last season. However, he supplemented that with elite rushing production, including 12 rushing scores. That dual-threat capability and tremendous durability make Allen one of the safest bets in fantasy. The Bills having a top-5 easiest schedule this year only cements Allen’s elite status. ADVICE: Elite option in every format worthy of an early selection. RB Cook, James, BUF [RB1] After never topping two rushing touchdowns in a season, James Cook exploded for a league-high (tied) 16 scores in 2024 en route to an overall RB8 finish. Cook topped 1,000 rushing yards for the second consecutive season, ranked 3rd in EPA (+40.1), and was top-12 in broken tackle rate (11.1 percent). Understandably, Cook is looking for some long-term security, but as long as he’s back in the lineup for the season opener, he remains a quality RB2 in a potent Buffalo offense that produced an NFL-best 32 rushing touchdowns last season. ADVICE: Last season’s TD output looks like an outlier, which could lead to Cook being overdrafted. RB Davis, Ray, BUF [RB2] In 2024, Ray Davis rushed for 442 yards (3.9 YPC) and three touchdowns on 113 carries, adding three receiving TDs (17 receptions, 5.9 PPG, PPR). His Week 18 start (15/64/1, 2/1/1) and Week 6 outburst (20/97, 3/55) show RB2 upside if James Cook (RB9, 5.2 YPC) misses time. At 5-8 and weighing 211 pounds, with a 4.52 40-yard dash, Davis’s 3.81 yards after contact (751 total) highlight his power. Buffalo was top 10 in rushing and led the NFL in rushing scores, so Davis should be on the fantasy radar as a potentially valuable reserve. ADVICE: Handcuff target who will occasionally post standalone flex numbers. RB Johnson, Ty, BUF [RB3] ADVICE: Buffalo ranked 8th with 28.9 rushes per game. Johnson did see 25 targets last year and averaged over five yards per carry, but he is squarely behind James Cook and Ray Davis in the touch pecking order. WR Shakir, Khalil, BUF [WR1] In his third season, Khalil Shakir topped the Bills’ receivers with 76 receptions, 821 yards, and four touchdowns on 100 targets, ranking 37th in PPR wide receiver scoring (182.5 points). His standout games (nine catches for 107 yards and five catches for 106 yards with a touchdown) showed reliability over explosive plays, surpassing 10 fantasy points in 14 of 18 starts, making him a steady flex option in three-receiver leagues. With seven or fewer targets in 73.7 percent of games, Shakir’s 78.3 percent catch rate highlighted his efficiency. His four-year, $60.2 million extension in February 2025 underscores Buffalo’s confidence in his growth. ADVICE: Reliable WR3 with 1,000-yard potential. WR Palmer, Joshua, BUF [WR2] In 2024, Joshua Palmer underwhelmed in the Chargers’ run-first attack. Palmer had three standout games (4 catches for 63 yards; 2 for 63 yards, 1 TD; 6 for 78 yards) but saw four or fewer targets in 10 of 15 games. His 15.3 yards per catch (15.0 in 2023) highlights his deep-threat role, unlike his 2022 career highs (72 catches,
Injury Report: Conference Championship (Updated)
Injury Report: Conference Championship We are down to the final four, so the reported injuries have cooled significantly. However, with so much on the line playing Playoff Fantasy Football, monitoring injuries is as important as ever. Our Injury Report: Conference Championship will update you on the latest from around the NFL. Also, don’t forget to check out weekly rankings before you finalize this week’s lineups. Bookmarking our NFL Injury Report is also a great way to stay updated on the latest injuries. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Jalen Hurts (QB) Philadelphia Eagles – There was no setback last week for Hurts (knee), who participated in Wednesday’s walk-thru practice. He will be good-to-go against Washington. UPDATE: Hurts will start. A.J. Brown (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Listed as limited, but it was a veteran rest day. No concerns. UPDATE: Brown will start, as expected. Dallas Goedert (TE) Philadelphia Eagles – Goedert missed a pair of practices with an ankle ailment. However, he will start on Sunday. Zach Ertz (TE) Washington Commanders – Veteran rest day on Wednesday. UPDATE: Ertz is good to go. Dalton Kincaid (TE) Buffalo Bills – Kincaid (knee) participated fully in Wednesday’s walk-through. Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – No injury designation. Britain Covey (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Covey (neck) returned to practice, opening the 21-day window in which he can be activated from IR. Mecole Hardman (WR) Kansas City Chiefs – Andy Reid said that Hardman (knee) will not play again this season. Every other Kanas City player practiced in full. Christian Benford (CB) Buffalo Bills – Benford is in the NFL’s concussion protocol but was able to practice in a limited capacity Wednesday. That’s a good sign that he is trending toward playing this week. LB Matt Milano (hamstring) and S Taylor Rapp (hip) are also questionable. Sam Cosmi (RG) Washington Commanders – Big loss for Washginton’s offensive line. Cosmi tore his ACL in Detroit and will miss the rest of the season. Sam Cosmi suffered a torn ACL in last night’s game Here’s to a quick recovery, 76 💪 pic.twitter.com/xobue5uupy — Washington Commanders (@Commanders) January 19, 2025 Quinyon Mitchell (CB) Washington Commanders – Mitchell is dealing with a shoulder injury but is expected to play. Dion Dawkins (LT) Buffalo Bills – Missed Wednesday’s walk-through with an undisclosed illness. Bobby Wagner (LB) Washington Commanders – Missed Wednesday’s practice with an ankle ailment. However, there is no concern he will miss Sunday’s game. FullTime Fantasy’s Playoff Fantasy Football Contests Play 1 or play all 3! YOU decide! Emil Kadlec Memorial Playoff Pick ‘Em — A FREE Single-Entry Contest. Maui Madness Playoff Pick’Em — ($25 or a 5-pack for $100) Playoff Draft World Championship $229 with NEW and improved league prizing! Maui Madness is still accepting entries until Conference Championship Weekend. The contest determines the winner by using your highest two weekly scores. While most fantasy football leagues have already concluded, that does not mean the fun is over. In fact, the best is yet to come for one skilled fantasy player! That person who can build the best fantasy lineup for the playoffs will win the grand prize of: A Trip for Four to Maui! The Grand Prize includes: • Resort Accommodations for 6 nights in Maui’s Five-Star Kaanapali Alii Resort (2BR-2BA) • Airfare for Four anywhere in the continental U.S. (up to $1000 for each person roundtrip airfare* • Grand Prize package worth an estimated $10,000! *certain date restrictions may apply 1 ENTRY = $25 5-PACK = $100 (that’s a $25 savings!) Find full scoring here.
AFC Championship Preview
AFC Championship Preview We are down to the final four. FullTime Fantasy‘s AFC Championship Preview breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective for Sunday’s Bills vs. Chiefs showdown. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Buffalo Bills (15-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (16-2) Time: 6:30 Eastern Line: Chiefs -2 Total: 47.5 Money Line: Bills +110, Chiefs -125 Bills Offense The Buffalo Bills have come up short in their quest to return to the Super Bowl for the first time since losing four straight to open the 1990s. Unfortunately, their biggest obstacle has been the two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs, who have appeared in seven consecutive AFC title games. Is this the year that the Bills go on the road and finally do it? For that to happen, Josh Allen must play like he did in Week 11, when the Bills beat KC 30-21. Buffalo outgained Kansas City 366-259 in that game and forced a pair of interceptions. Allen sealed the victory with a 2-yard TD run on fourth down. Buffalo has defeated Kansas City four straight times in the regular season. However, the Chiefs have eliminated Buffalo from the playoffs three times. Allen must avoid turnovers to give his team a shot at toppling Goliath. RDA* projections for the week like RB James Cook. However, the Chiefs boasted the stingiest defense in the league for opposing running back. KC held Cook to 20 yards on nine carries in Week 11. However, Cook punched in two touchdowns to salvage his fantasy outing. Ray Davis and Ty Johnson will spell Cook, with Johnson playing more of a role in the passing game. Both are in ‘DFS dart throw’ territory. Khalil Shakir leads Buffalo’s receiving corp. Shakir caught eight balls for 70 yards against the Chiefs and our RDA* projections have Shakir as our WR5 for the week. He’ll mostly be facing off against Kansas City slot corner Chamarri Conner, who allows the most fantasy points per route (0.36) in the secondary. It’s hard to trust Buffalo’s other wideouts. Amari Cooper has caught two balls for eight yards in the postseason. Rookie Keon Coleman plays future snaps but has also done next to nothing in the playoffs. Expect the Bills to utilize a ton of ’12’ sets with Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox. Defending the tight end position has been problematic for the Chiefs, who surrendered the fourth-most fantasy points to the position. Knox caught four for 40 against Kansas City previously, a game that Kincaid missed. Our RDA* projections have the duo combining to catch seven passes for 71 yards with a 38-percent shot at a score. Chiefs Offense Chiefs’ fatigue is real. Just open up your favorite social media source and look for the ubiquitous referee/Patrick Mahomes memes. With seven straight appearances in this game, people are over it. And Vegas thinks the Bills have a real shot in this game. It should be an instant classic. Speaking of Patrick Mahomes, he averages 260.4 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and seven INTs in five career regular-season meetings against the Bills. However, in the postseason, Mahomes jumps up to 306 yards with eight TDs and no interceptions in three postseason outings. His passing prop is 252.5 yards with a stellar -154 line on the OVER 1.5 TDs. Any Reid will employ a committee backfield. We keep waiting for Isiah Pacheco to take the lead but it’s just not happening. Kareem Hunt continues to be a major factor and seems to be the preferred short-yardage option. Our RDA* projections came out higher on Pacheco, but Hunt seems like the better value. Isiah Pacheco’s post-injury productivity raises questions for the Chiefs’ ground game. (via @ShowMeFB) https://t.co/Sh5sNMt3UL — Arrowhead Addict (@ArrowheadAddict) January 24, 2025 It’s also difficult to decipher who is Kansas City’s No. 1 receiver. The matchup is a good one for the group, though. Buffalo allowed the 13th-most fantasy points to the position. Xavier Worthy is the best bet and has been surging. He’s averaged eight targets per game since putting a 4/61/1 line on Buffalo in Week 11. Vegas has Worthy’s scrimmage yard total at 56.5 yards. However, our RDA* projections are higher, so we like the value this week. While Worthy has excelled, DeAndre Hopkins has eroded. Nuk hasn’t scored double-digit fantasy points since Week 14 and didn’t even catch a pass against Houston last week. He only caught three balls for 29 yards against the Bills in Week 11. This week’s total looks inviting but Hopkins’s lack of production over the last month is concerning. Vegas favors Hollywood Brown to be a better start than Hopkins. Brown’s receiving prop (39.5) and TD odds (+260) are higher. Also, our RDA* projections agree, projecting Hollywood to outscore Nuk 10.4 to 8.4 in PPR. It’s January, so expect Travis Kelce to play out. Our No. 1 tight end for Week 21, Kelce has scored in back-to-back games and is coming off his highest yardage total of the season. Conversely, the Bills were middle-of-the-pack, allowing 12.0 fantasy points per game to opposing TEs. Notable AFC Championship Preview betting takeaways per Ben Fawks and ESPN Bet: 71.4% of bets and 73.5% of handle are on Bills (+2, opened +1) 67.7% of bets and 50.5% of handle are on Bills ML (+110) 72.6% of bets and 59.3% of handle are on OVER (47.5, opened 48.5) FullTime Fantasy’s Playoff Fantasy Football Contests Play 1 or play all 3! YOU decide! Emil Kadlec Memorial Playoff Pick ‘Em — A FREE Single-Entry Contest. Maui Madness Playoff Pick’Em — ($25 or a 5-pack for $100) Playoff Draft World Championship $229 with NEW and improved league prizing! Maui Madness is still accepting entries until Conference Championship Weekend. The contest determines the winner by using your highest two weekly scores. While most fantasy football leagues have already
Sunday Playoff Preview
Sunday Playoff Preview The Divisional Round continues Sunday with a pair of games. FullTime Fantasy‘s Sunday Playoff Preview breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Los Angeles Rams (11-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) Time: 3:00 Eastern Line: Eagles -6 Total: 44 Money Line: Rams +233, Eagles -273 Rams Offense The Rams pulled off the “home” upset last week in Arizona, but traveling into freezing Philadelphia is different. Stafford has been significantly better since getting Puka Nacua back into the lineups. However, a forecast of sub-freezing temperatures and a 70% chance of snow doesn’t bode well. Therefore, Stafford’s RDA* projections aren’t favorable. Matthew Stafford outdoors in the rain or snow: 1-8 54.6 completion % 14 TD 11 INT 76.0 rating (via @TBagleySports) pic.twitter.com/Cp17f3IkDt — SPORTSRADIO 94WIP (@SportsRadioWIP) January 16, 2025 Only Kansas City allowed fewer fantasy points to running backs than Philadelphia. However, Kyren Williams remains a good play due to his position-leading snap-share. Additionally, Williams is a three-down back and a dependable short-yardage option with a nose for the stripe. Puka Nacua caught 9-of-13 targets for 117 scoreless yards against the Eagles in Week 12. He remains the focal point of LA’s offense but should expect more intense coverage from an improving Philly secondary. However, with the volume potential is this game as the Rams’ only reliable pass-catcher, Nacua tops our RDA* projections. Back in the day, Cooper Kupp was that dependable, volume-driven option in LA’s offense. However, his efficiency eroded to the point that Kupp barely factored into the Rams’ offense over the past month. With a tough matchup and adverse conditions, I wouldn’t bet on a rebound here. Demarcus Robinson will be the main WR3 and offers some DFS appeal. At tight end, Tyler Higbee is rounding into shape. Higbee was the TE13 in the final three regular-season weeks. Additionally, he reeled in all five of his targets for 58 yards in the Wild Card win. Conversely, this is a tough matchup for Higbee, as the Eagles allowed just 9.3 fantasy points per game to the position–second-fewest in the league. Eagles Offense Jalen Hurts essentially missed Philadelphia’s final three regular-season contests and looked rusty last week. That said, no Eagles fans are complaining about a 22-10 victory. That same formula worked in Week 12 when Hurts and the Eagles beat the Rams 37-20 despite modest numbers from Hurts. Also, weather could force the Eagles to a more ground-based approach. Especially considering they posted 314 rushing yards against this opponent in Week 12. Saquon Barkley was the main catalyst of that thrashing, running for 255 yards and two touchdowns. We’re projecting about half of that production in the rematch. However, Barkley still tops our Week 20 RDA* projections. Despite destroying the Rams on the ground, A.J. Brown still caught six balls for 109 yards and a TD in his previous outing with the Rams. Brown remains an elite option against a secondary that ceded 20 touchdowns to wideouts in 2024. DeVonta Smith missed Week 12 but has been heating up. Smith has topped 50 yards in four consecutive games, including a pair of outings with 100-plus and three combined TDs. In a game where weather could hamper downfield attempts, Smith’s underneath role could be key. Dallas Goedert is a sneaky pick to have a big game. The Rams allowed 15.2 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends–the third-highest mark in the NFL. Baltimore Ravens (13-5) at Buffalo Bills (14-4) Time: 6:30 Eastern Line: Ravens -1 Total: 51..5 Money Line: Bills -106, Ravens -114 Ravens Offense Sunday’s Main Event takes place in the late window, as the Bills and Ravens square off to earn a trip to next week’s AFC title game. Buffalo has not won in the Divisional round since 2020 and will be home underdogs to a Ravens squad that humbled them 35-10 back in Week 4. In that game, Lamar Jackson only threw for 156 yards and two scores. However, he ran for 54 and another score en route to a weekly QB6 finish. The forecast calls for 13 degrees with a 50/50 shot at snow but that won’t necessarily be a hindrance to Jackson and company. Vegas set a line of 278.5 total yards with a lean on three total scores. Fantasy’s overall RB1, Derrick Henry ran for 199 and scored two total touchdowns in Week 4 against this defense. The Bills have shored up that run D since September but still surrendered the sixth-most fantasy points to the position. Henry is -200 to revisit the end zone in this game a yardage prop of 106.5 yards. While the rushing attack is locked in, things are more uncertain through the air. Mainly because of the health of Zay Flowers, who missed the Wild Card game with a knee injury. Flowers hasn’t practiced all week and is doubtful to play. Even if he does, he would be limited. Our RDA* projections are modest, mainly because of the baked-in risk. Rashod Bateman will see an increase in targets and remains the best bet to score. However, his volume is fairly modest, so Bateman is rather TD-dependent. Still, the Bills were below-average defending wideouts, and the 51.5-point total indicates a solid game script. All other Baltimore wideouts are relegated to low-cost DFS dart throws. Mark Andrews is our TE3 for the week, projected to score 11.9 PPR points. Additionally, the Ravens will also use Isaiah Likely liberally in place of the aforementioned ancillary wide receivers. Likely didn’t do much against Buffalo (1/26/0) previously, but has a Vegas yardage prop of 36.5. Bills Offense After a brutal start, Baltimore’s pass defense has greatly improved. Josh Allen can supplement that with plenty of rushing production, but the Ravens have allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards to quarterbacks. This seems like a
Sunday Playoff Preview
Sunday Playoff Preview The 6-game NFL Wild Card Weekend continues Sunday with a full day of games. FullTime Fantasy‘s Sunday Playoff Preview breaks down the slate from a fantasy football and sports betting perspective. And just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean the fun is over. FFWC Playoff Fantasy Football is a great way to extend the fantasy fun and win amazing prizes! Denver Broncos (10-7) at Buffalo Bills (13-4) Time: 1:00 Eastern Line: Bills -8 Total: 47.5 Money Line: Denver +375, Buffalo -465 Broncos Offense Sean Payton’s offense made huge strides in 2024. Most of that can be attributed to landing Bo Nix in the 2024 NFL Draft. Nix proved to be the perfect fit in Payton’s short-passing attack. The results were the Broncos’ first post-season appearance in eight seasons. However, as eight-point dogs, the run could be brief. Per ESPN, rookie QBs are 0-5 in road playoff games over the last 10 seasons. Speaking of Bo Nix, the matchup is neutral. However, the atmosphere will be inhospitable. Buffalo allowed the 14th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, allowing 28 TD passes and an additional 263/2 on the ground. Nix has the athleticism to escape the pocket against a subpar pass rush, but questions remain about Denver’s supporting cast. Denver employs a full-on committee backfield that is fantasy-unfriendly. Our RDA* projections favor Jaleel McLaughlin to lead the way in touches. However, in a game where the Broncos are 8-point underdogs, McLaughlin and Javonte Williams will be involved as receivers. Rookie Audric Estime came on down the stretch and has a 34% chance of punching in a short-yardage score per our Week 19 rankings. The Bills excel at shutting down slot receivers and are vulnerable on the outside. That favors Courtland Sutton (17% slot rate) well. Sutton (81/1081/8) posted WR15 numbers this season and remains a solid Week 19 start in a game with a positive game script. Marvin Mims became a bigger factor in Denver’s offense as the season developed. Mims is Payton’s big-play threat who can make an impact downfield, out of the backfield, and as a returner. Our RDA* projections like Mims this week. However, slot receiver Devaughn Vele is a fade. Also, fantasy footballers should avoid Denver’s messy tight-end rotation. Payton will use Lucas Krull, Adam Trautman, and Nate Adkins indiscriminately. Additionally, Buffalo allowed just five touchdowns to opposing tight ends all season. Bills Offense Josh Allen is 4-1 in the Wild Card round. And as a sizable home favorite, Allen and the Bills were 6-2 against the spread at home this season. Although Denver’s defense ranks as a top-10 unit against opposing quarterbacks, they allowed an enemy QB to surpass 25 fantasy points in three of their final five games. Therefore, Allen remains the top signal-caller to target in Fantasy Playoff Drafts. RB James Cook was tied for the NFL lead with a Buffalo team-record 16 rushing scores. Conversely, Denver allowed 13 total scores to backs in 17 games. Our RDA* projections have Cook as the RB4 in this slate, with a 65-percent chance of finding the end zone. Ray Davis and Ty Johnson will fill in behind Cook. Johnson offers more pass-catching upside, while Davis will see 5-10 carries. Both have some DFS appeal. Khalil Shakir ran 75% of his routes out of the slot, so he’ll mostly avoid Denver CB Pat Surtain. However, Shakir still has a subpar matchup against Denver slot CB Ja’Quan McMillian. Surtain could potentially shadow Keon Coleman, seriously hampering the rookie’s appeal. Additionally, Amari Cooper has been a non-factor in multiple games and missed practice time due to personal reasons. If the Broncos can contain Buffalo’s wideouts, the tight ends stand to benefit. Dalton Kincaid is our No. 3 tight end in PPR scoring. Also, teammate Dawson Knox has some DFS appeal. I think Denver can hang around in this game, which will benefit the offense. Green Bay Packers (11-6) at Philadelphia (14-3) Time: 4:30 Eastern Line: Eagles -5 Total: 45.5 Money Line: Packers +200, Eagles -240 Packers Offense Game No. 2 is projected to be closer but lower scoring. This is a rematch of a Week 1 contest that Philadelphia won 34-29. The Eagles have won three straight against Green Bay, scoring over 30 points in each contest. There were some questions about the health of both quarterbacks. However, both signal-callers will start. Speaking of Jordan Love, his passing yardage prop is 222.5 yards, and a big lean (-149) on the UNDER 1.5 touchdown passes. Love threw for 260 with a pair of TD strikes in Week 1. However, this is a different Philly defense. The Eagles allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing passers, putting Love near the bottom of our Week 19 quarterbacks. Expect RB Josh Jacobs to get plenty of touches as a runner and receiver. Jacobs had 18 touches for 104 scrimmage yards versus Philly in Week 1. Our RDA* projections see a similar result with a roughly 70-percent shot at hitting pay dirt. Things are more difficult to project for the passing attack. Christian Watson tore his ACL last week and will miss the rest of this season. Subsequently, Jayden Reed is Green Bay’s unquestioned No. 1 wideout. Reed was huge in Week 1, snagging four balls for 138 yards and a score. However, he’s cooled off. Reed hasn’t surpassed 100 yards since Week 9 and has failed to score in his last five. Romeo Doubs is the next man up. Doubs scored nine fantasy points in the season-opening loss to Philadelphia. However, Doubs is a streaky player, with two touchdowns in two games and single-digit PPR points in eight others. Dontayvion Wicks will move up to the WR3 role, giving him some sleeper appeal. No team allowed fewer receiving yards to tight ends (591) than Philadelphia, so it’s a sub-optimal situation for Tucker Kraft. And our RDA* projections agree, projecting Kraft to score an innocuous 6.2 fantasy points. Eagles Offense Jalen Hurts cleared the NFL concussion protocol and practiced in
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2 After a sluggish Week 1, this week’s AFC East showdown has some potential. The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins are loaded with fantasy football talent. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2
After a sluggish Week 1, this week’s AFC East showdown has some potential. The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins are loaded with fantasy football talent. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 2 looks at all the fantasy-relevant players to forecast the game.
Miami predictable moved the ball at will against Jacksonville. However, the Dolphins were held to 20 points. Now, there are health concerns and a formidable opponent to deal with on short rest.
Meanwhile, the Bills overcame a two-score early deficit to beat the Cardinals at home. Only six teams allowed more yards per carry in Week 1 than the Bills. That’s potentially troublesome against a Miami offense that leads the league in passing and has an imposing backfield. However, the Dolphins are short-handed with Raheem Mostert.
This game opened with Buffalo being half-point road favorites. However, the line has flipped. Miami is now favored by two. The total also dipped from 51.5 to 49 points.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Buffalo Bills | 12 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 4 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 18 |
Buffalo Offense
After one week, Josh Allen finds himself in his usual spot as the leading fantasy signal caller. The volume wasn’t there but Allen…
How will Thursday’s Bills vs. Dolphins game go?
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2024 Fantasy Football Team Outlooks
Welcome to our 2020 Fantasy Football Team Outlook series. Check out our statistical and in-depth analysis for EVERY player on EVERY NFL roster!
2024 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Preview
2024 Buffalo Bills Fantasy Preview The Bills still have one of the top QBs in the NFL, Josh Allen. However, this offense will look much different without Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Allen was the top quarterback in fantasy football last year, so expectations remain high despite the wholesale changes in the passing attack. Will free-agent acquisitions Curtis Samuel and Mack Hollins, along with second-round draft pick Keon Coleman be enough to give the Bills the same firepower in the passing game this year? Time will tell. Buffalo did hang on to Khalil Shakir and spoke glowingly about his potential and new role. Plus, the franchise signed Chase Claypool to a one-year deal, which should help the receiver room. Buffalo has two very talented tight ends, Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox. Knox opened 2023 as the starter but a wrist injury opened the door for Kincaid to become a pivotal piece of the offense. Kincaid ended the season as the TE11 after tallying 73 receptions (80.2% catch rate) for 673 yards and two TDs. Absent Diggs and Davis, Kincaid could be Josh Allen’s go-to option in 2024. Despite the loss of two critical weapons, many pundits still think the Bills have a shot at a Super Bowl appearance in 2024 under Sean McDermott. “Look around the league,” said Rich Gannon. “They have a top-five situation. They have an outstanding quarterback and a terrific football coach. It’s rare to have both in the same city.” Fortunately for Buffalo, Josh Allen isn’t the only one who balled out last year. RB James Cook eclipsed 1,100 rushing yards and averaged 4.7 yards per tote. He totaled 1,567 scrimmage yards but only found the end zone as a runner twice. However, he made up for that in the passing game. The youngster hauled in 44-of-54 targets for 445 receiving yards and an additional four touchdowns. Although the Bills drafted RB Ray Davis out of Kentucky with their fourth-round selection, Cook doesn’t have a lot of competition in the backfield. Cook will likely see 250+ touches in 2024 as the Bills will rely more on the running game. However, Josh Allen could easily vulture some touchdowns near the goal line. Still, Cook should wrack up a ton of yardage and it’s fair to expect positive regression to the mean in terms of touchdown output. Outside of Allen, Cook is the team’s most intriguing player from a fantasy perspective. Quarterback QB JOSH ALLEN – STUD (LOW RISK) Although he failed to throw for 30 touchdowns for the first time in four years, Josh Allen’s career-best 15 rushing scores helped lead him to another overall QB1 finish. Adversity is at hand in 2024, with Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis gone. Second-round rookie WR Keon Coleman joins Curtis Samuel and standout TE Dalton Kincaid in a new-look offense, Meanwhile, the Bills fortified what was already a strength by selecting three offensive linemen in this year’s draft. That hints at a more run-based approach. That would suit Allen fine. Since entering the league he’s averaged 601 yards and 8.8 scores on the ground each season. ADVICE: QB1 In all formats Running Backs RB JAMES COOK – SOLID/SAFE PICK Cook saw a big boost in touches and playing time after the Bills brought in Joe Brady to run the offense. From Week 10 on, Cook averaged 15.5 fantasy points per game, including the playoffs. He really shined as a receiver, ranking eighth overall with 445 receiving yards and four scores. However, Cook had a whopping seven dropped passes and four fumbles and he has only rushed for two touchdowns in each of his two seasons. Additionally, the Bills invested a fourth-round pick Kentucky RB Ray Davis, who catches the ball well and can contribute in short yardage. ADVICE: Still on the RB1 radar but with some risk RB RAY DAVIS – FANTASY HANDCUFF ADVICE: Davis has the size to factor in on early downs and in short yardage right away. Buffalo had 21 RB carries inside the 5-yard line last season and James Cook only commanded five of those. Excellent late-round sleeper with RB2 value if Cook misses time. Wide Receivers WR CURTIS SAMUEL – BYE WEEK FILL-IN Curtis Samuel has been remarkably consistent, posting WR44 and WR48 overall numbers in his final two seasons in Washington. Samuel ran the 12th-highest slot rate (68.7%) last season but with Khalil Shakir expected to take the majority of inside reps, Samuel will be thrust into perimeter duties. That’s a questionable role for a player who ranked 93rd in ADOT and 91st in yards per catch. The upgrade at quarterback potentially helps, but Samuel’s fantasy prospects would improve if he were utilized closer to the line of scrimmage. It remains to be seen how the Bills will employ their new addition. ADVICE: Middling WR4 with some modes value if he becomes Buffalo’s slot receiver WR KHALIL SHAKIR – SLEEPER (UNDERVALUED) Khalil Shakir made big strides in his second season, with a pair of 100-yard games. Shakir took on a larger role in the final month of the season, averaging 12.5 fantasy points per game in Buffalo’s final five contests (including playoffs). Josh Allen showed a real connection with his young receiver, boasting a league-best 95.6% catchable target rate and 133.6 QB Rating when targeting Shakir. With Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis gone, Shakir has a clear path to slot duties and a big boost in opportunities in his pivotal third season. Shakir is a popular late-round sleeper with WR3 upside. ADVICE: Shakir is one of the top late-round sleepers to target in 2024 fantasy drafts. WR KEON COLEMAN – SUPER SLEEPER (HIGH RISK/POTENTIAL) Buffalo’s staff was enamored with Keon Coleman throughout the draft process and got their man the opening pick of Round 2. Coleman (6-3, 213) has excellent size, slot/perimeter versatility, and is an outstanding athlete who has the frame to be a potent red-zone weapon. And the Bills are counting on Coleman to be a significant part of their offense right away. After trading away Stefon
Division Round Playoff Preview: Sunday
By the time this slate is over, we will know which two teams will battle it out for their respective conference championships. Our Division Round Playoff Preview: Sunday looks at the Bucs vs. Lions and Chiefs at Bills contests from a fantasy football and sports betting lens. Using our RDA* projections, we can break down each game to find the statistical edge that can give us a leg up in playoff fantasy and daily fantasy lineups. Also, we can determine the best bets to make. Before you place those winning bets, our partner Edge Boost can help you double your entries and payouts! Click below to increase your winnings today. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-8) at Detroit Lions (13-5) Time: 3:00 Eastern Line: Lions -7 Total: 49.5 Money Line: Buccaneers +250, Lions -300 Tampa Bay Offense Few people projected the Buccaneers to be playing in Week 20 when Tampa was sitting at 5-7. However, behind a strong defense and the heady play of QB Baker Mayfield, the Bucs rallied to win six of their last seven games and earned their spot into the divisional round of the NFC postseason. Their reward is a trip to Detroit to take on the surging Lions. Detroit boasted the league’s No. 2 run defense in 2023. Meanwhile, Tampa ranked dead last in the NFL in rushing. Subsequently, don’t expect a big rushing performance out of RB Rachaad White. However, White ranked fourth among all running backs with 64 grabs, so he’s plenty capable of producing PPR points in a game with a solid over/under of 49.5 The matchup is much more appealing for the receivers. Mike Evans led the league with 13 touchdown grabs but went scoreless in Week 6 against this secondary. Chris Godwin fared better in that game, snagging 6-of-7 targets for 77 yards. Both are solid options in a game where Tampa is projected to score over 21 points. Our RDA* projections have Tampa’s dynamic duo as top-5 wideouts this week. WR3 Trey Palmer was out-snapped by David Moore last week against the Eagles. Both have some appeal as cheap DFS options against a defense that yielded the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers per FullTime Fantasy’s points-allowed tool. Tight end Cade Otton saw a career-high 11 targets last week. He won’t play that big of a role against a Detroit defense that is more credible defending tight ends. However, all four of Otton’s touchdowns this season came on the road, which gives him some appeal as a low-cost flex option in daily lineups. Detroit Offense We all know Jared Goff tends to play better at home. However, Goff’s season-high total of 353 passing yards came back in Week 6 against the Buccaneers. Except that game was in Florida. Our updated RDA* projections for Week 20 predict Goff to have the most passing yards (268) of any signal caller this weekend. This game should feature a fearsome battle in the trenches. Detroit ranked fifth in rushing. Meanwhile, the Bucs ranked fifth against the run. Regardless of the imposing matchup, we’re not shying away from inserting Jahmyr Gibbs into our lineups. Gibbs has produced seven touchdowns in Detroit’s last six games. Additionally, both of his 100-plus yard rushing efforts came in this building. David Montgomery is also a top-4 play in our RDA* projections. But, it should be noted that Montgomery did nothing against Tampa Bay in their previous meetings- a game where Gibbs didn’t play. Our No. 1 wide receiver this week in full PPR formats is Amon-Ra St. Brown. With 18-plus PPR points in five straight, St. Brown is on a heater. Also, he destroyed the Bucs back in Week 6, snagging 12-of-15 targets for 124 yards and a score. With Kalif Raymond ruled OUT, Josh Reynolds will act as Detroit’s safety valve. Jameson Williams also has appeal as the Lions’ big-play threat. TE Sam LaPorta is questionable but played just fine last week. Only Denver allowed more fantasy points to tight ends than Tampa this season, so LaPorta looks appealing once word breaks that he is good-to-go. Many of the defenders who helped the Buccaneers win a title just three years ago make up the core of a Bucs’ defense that allowed the seventh-fewest points in football this season. Tampa ranked fifth against the run and the Buccaneers were a sparkling 8-1 against the spread on the road. Subsequently, I think they can keep this to a one-score game. Bucs +7 Kansas City Chiefs (12-6) at Buffalo Bills (12-6) Time: 6:30 PM Eastern Line: Buffalo -3 Total: 45.5 Money Line: Chiefs +130, Bills -150 Kansas City Offense The 2023 Chiefs are a long way off from last year’s championship roster. While the defense has more than lived up to the billing, it’s surprisingly been the offense that has regressed. Kansas City fell to ninth in yards and 15th in scoring. QB Patrick Mahomes had his worst fantasy season and tossed a career-high 14 picks. Also, this will be the first road playoff game of his career and it comes against a red-hot Buffalo team eager to avenge recent postseason losses to Mahomes. RDA* projections expect a big game out of Isiah Pacheco. The sophomore sensation is projected to have the second-most rushing attempts this week and comes in as our No. 2 running back. Pacheco ranked 19th with 4.5 yards per carry and should be able to find plenty of running room against a Bills’ defense that was 27th in that category. As has been the case all season, the receiving corps is uncertain. Rashee Rice has been the only dependable option for Mahomes. Meanwhile, Buffalo ranked seventh against the pass. Rice is a solid option, but KC’s other wideout are all gambles with extremely low floors. Buffalo allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends. Plus, with Travis Kelce‘s struggles, it’s not the best matchup. Kelce’s DFS salary makes him a cost-prohibitive choice, even if he is one of the safest starts of the slate. Buffalo Offense Only three teams allowed fewer fantasy points to quarterbacks than Kansas City. However, Josh Allen has been matchup-proof. Particularly at home. Allen has scored
Jody Smith’s Rankings: Divisional Round
Jody Smith’s Rankings: Divisional Round FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home
FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of our FullTime Fantasy Football Rankings: Divisional Round.
Ranking You Can Trust
Our staff was ranked No. 1 last season, with not one but TWO analysts inside the top 10. With projections powered by NFBC Hall-of-Fame writer Shawn Childs and former FantasyPro’s Most Accurate Expert Jody Smith, FullTime Fantasy Members get instant access to reliable and trustworthy weekly rankings.
Additionally, Jody and Adam Krautwurst co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live-streamed weekly on YouTube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries.
Fantasy Football Rankings: Divisional Round
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