2025 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview
2025 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview Head coach Raheem Morris and GM Terry Fontenot return to Atlanta, which will look like a much different team after missing the playoffs. With $30M in cap space, the team focused on defensive upgrades, addressing a pass rush that ranked 28th in pressure rate (29.8%) and a secondary allowing 69.9% completion (32nd in NFL). Free agency additions like EDGE Leonard Floyd, DL Morgan Fox, and S Jordan Fuller, and the first four picks in the 2025 NFL Draft bolstered the defense. Atlanta has not had a winning season since 2017. Their projected win total for 2025: 7.5. Michael Penix Jr., the 2024 No. 8 pick, takes the helm after a rookie season with 775 passing yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions in three starts. His 65.2% completion rate and 7.9 yards per attempt under pressure show promise in Zac Robinson’s quick-read offense. Penix’s arm strength suits deep shots to the wideouts in play-action. Atlanta ranked 6th in pace of play last season, so there’s potential for Penix to be an above-average fantasy option after a trial run to close out 2024. RB Bijan Robinson, a 2024 Pro Bowler, anchors the backfield with 1,456 rushing yards (4.8 YPC) and 425 receiving yards. His 5.6 yards after contact and 68 forced missed tackles (2nd in NFL) drive a run game ranked 11th in EPA/rush. Robinson has not missed an NFL game and finished his sophomore campaign as the RB4. Tyler Allgeier (686 yards, 4.4 YPC, PFF grade: 76.3) complements as a power back, with 28.4 percent of carries gaining 5+ yards. Drake London (100/1,271/9) leads as WR1, with a 2.9 yards per route run (top-10) and 12 contested catches. And London’s usage with Penix as the starter was eye-opening. In those three games, London averaged 11.3 targets, 7.3 grabs, and 117.3 yards. ??Darnell Mooney and Ray-Ray McCloud (469 yards, PFF grade: 70.1) start in 11 personnel, with McCloud’s 5.2 yards after catch adding YAC. Mooney is coming off his best season, with six top-20 weekly performances. It’s time we had ‘the talk’ about Kyle Pitts. While many in the fantasy community are holding out hope, the odds are against Pitts ever living up to the hype. He ranked 25th in fantasy points per game with five weekly TE1 games and seven performances outside of the top 30. Pitts averaged 22 yards per game in Penix’s three starts. Let someone else fall for the Pitts #SZN Part IV. Fantasy Grade: C+ QB Penix Jr., Michael, ATL [QB1] In three late-season starts, Michael Penix finished as the QB30, QB25, and QB7. That three-game sample size led to some interesting results. Penix only completed 58 percent of his attempts and ranked 34th during the stretch in on-target throw rate. However, he also made some eye-opening throws, leading the NFL with a 9.0 big-time throw rate and ranking 2nd in ADOT (10.6). That paints the picture of a volatile young signal-caller with an extremely high ceiling and low floor. With the position being deep, Penix is a risk/reward QB2 in redraft and a Best Ball target to fade. ADVICE: Risky QB2 who will have highlight reel throws and plenty of head-scratchers. QB Cousins, Kirk, ATL [QB2] Atlanta has turned the page on Cousins, who had a disappointing debut with the Falcons. Cousins did not look fully recovered from the Achilles injury that ended his 2023 campaign. With Michael Penix starting, Cousins’s only route to contributing in 2025 is to waive his no-trade clause. Of course, a team would also have to be interested and be willing to take on his considerable salary. For now, Cousins’s only fantasy value is that of a speculative backup to roster in deeper leagues. ADVICE: Will have to wait for an injury to occur to drum up trade interest. RB Robinson, Bijan, ATL [RB1] Robinson checks all the boxes to be fantasy football’s No. 1 player in 2025. He is durable, led the NFL in weighted opportunities (17.4/game), yards created (81.9/game), and was top five in carries, receptions, and touchdowns. Robinson also played the fourth-most snaps and ranked third in red-zone rushes. And in Michael Penix’s three starts, Robinson logged 67 carries for 354 and 6(!) rushing scores. Bijan is an elite runner (ranked 3rd with 83 tackles evaded) and receiver. He’s a three-down workhorse who will see a ton of targets and valuable red-zone touches in an emerging offense. ADVICE: Top-3 pick in every format who has overall RB1 potential. Our 1.01 overall. RB Allgeier, Tyler, ATL [RB2] In the Arthur Smith day, Tyler Allgeier was a thorn in the side of fantasy managers. That isn’t the case now, as Allgeier ceded most work to Bijan Roinson. Allgeier’s touches have declined for three consecutive years. In 2024, he rushed for 644 yards (4.7 YPC) and 3 TDs on 137 carries, adding 17 receptions for 142 yards (6.0 PPG, PPR). His 18-carry, 105-yard Week 6 outburst showed RB2/3 potential, but Bijan Robinson’s dominance (259 carries, 19.0 PPG) caps his role. ADVICE: No longer offers consistent standalone value, but Allegier is a must-have handcuff for fantasy managers lucky enough to snag Bijan Robinson in Round One. WR London, Drake, ATL [WR1] In 2024, London established himself as a force near the goal line, racking up 23 red-zone targets—tied for the third-most in the league. He posted the third-best target rate per route (30 percent) and was thrown to on 41 percent of his routes with rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. under center. While his overall snap rate ticked up slightly in Year Two, a shift toward a more pass-focused offense came with a slight dip in target volume. A key factor in London’s improved production was his increased usage from the slot, jumping from an 18.6 percent slot rate in 2023 to 39.6 percent in 2024. He averaged 23.1 PPG with Penix, a strong indicator of what’s to come. ADVICE: Breakout WR2 with WR1 ceiling—target confidently in Round 2. WR Mooney, Darnell, ATL [WR2] Mooney wound
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 5
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 5 Last week’s NFC East showdown didn’t live up to the hype. However, our Best Bet of New York +6 hit, so we’re content. For Week 5, we move down to the NFC South where
In Week 3, the AFC East let us down with a non-competitive drubbing. This week, things have more potential with the Dallas Cowboys traveling to New Jersey to face the Giants. Hopefully, the second week in a row in this venue has more scoring. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 looks at all the fantasy-relevant players to forecast the game.
It’s always entertaining to watch these two NFC East rivals square off. The Cowboys are reeling after dropping two straight home games. Conversely, they had won their previous 17 at AT&T Stadium. Therefore, they’re probably welcoming a change of scenery. And a game against a foe they’ve defeated in 11 of their last 12 matchups.
Conversely, the Giants are coming off of an upset win in Cleveland. New York’s offense has been more competent after their opener. With some momentum, they’re trying to get to 500 while simultaneously delivering a knockout punch to their hated rivals.
This game opened with Dallas favored by four. However, the line quickly jumped up to Dallas -6. The total stands at 45, up a meager half-point from its opening total.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 1 | 30 | 16 | 6 |
| New York Giants | 22 | 21 | 19 | 25 | 29 |
The Dallas offensive ranks look good on paper. However, a big chunk of that production came in futile comeback attempts in their past two losses. The lack of balance and inability to run the ball has hurt the Cowboys.
Additionally, the Dallas defense has crumbled.
The Cowboys currently rank 28th in overall defense and have allowed the third-most points. Dallas ranks dead last against the run and has allowed 28-plus points in every game.
New York is surrendering 318 yards of offense per game, which is middle of the pack. However, only three teams have scored fewer points. Look for the Giants to try to slow things down and exploit that struggling defense.
On defense, the Giants rank 13th against the pass. They’re worst against the run (23rd) but don’t expect Dallas to be able to exploit that.
The real question here is can the Cowboys stop the bleeding to cool off Mike McCarthy’s hot seat?
Dallas Offense
Dak Prescott leads the league with 851 passing yards. However, touchdowns have been hard to come by. Prescott has only thrown…
How will Thursday’s Cowboys vs. Giants game go?
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2024 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview
2024 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview Mercifully, the Arthur Smith regime in Atlanta is over. Raheem Morris returns to Atlanta, this time without the interim label. Accompanying Morris from Los Angeles will be new offensive coordinator Zac Robinson. His task is
Mercifully, the Arthur Smith regime in Atlanta is over. Raheem Morris returns to Atlanta, this time without the interim label. Accompanying Morris from Los Angeles will be new offensive coordinator Zac Robinson. His task is simple: actually use the abundance of skill position talent the Falcons have accrued.
Having a quality leader is paramount to accomplishing that goal. Enter new QB Kirk Cousins, a huge improvement over Desmond Ridder. Cousins signed a four-deal with $100 million guaranteed after posting top-10 fantasy points per game numbers in each of his last four campaigns.
Since becoming a starter, Cousins has averaged 4,264 passing yards and 32 total touchdowns per season. Cousins gives the Falcons their best quarterback since prime Matt Ryan. With the weapons around him, Cousins should once again be one of the top fantasy football value targets. However, he is recovering from a season-ending Achilles injury and was ‘stunned’ when the club used the No.8 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft on Michael Penix. It was a questionable move and worth monitoring all summer.
Bijan Robinson was given more than 15 carries just four times in his rookie season, yet still posted over RB8 numbers. That inexplicable lack of usage will change with Zac Robinson calling plays. Zac Robinson comes from a Rams’ system that force-fed their lead back more than any other team. Fantasy managers fortunate enough to draft should be equally excited. B-Rob has the talent to be the No. 1 overall fantasy option in 2024.
The biggest impact Kirk Cousins will have is on an Atlanta passing attack that ranked 26th last season. Cousins has a long history of heavily targeting his No. 1 wideout. This will be huge for Drake London, who should top 130 targets for the first time in his career.
Atlanta also spent big to upgrade one of the thinnest receiving corps in football. Darnell Mooney is a downfield speedster who will benefit from Cousins’s deep-ball accuracy. Moore will function closer to the line of scrimmage, taking the occasional handoff and acting as an outlet option.
The biggest benefactor of the Cousins signing might be TE Kyle Pitts. Despite running only 14.9% of his routes as an in-line tight end, Pitts was criminally underutilized by the previous regime. Pitts should continue to see plenty of reps from the slot and perimeter and is a good bet to see a big boost in target share.
Atlanta has top-10 talent at all three skill positions, giving them a lot of leverage and depth for a creative play-caller. This team should get involved in several “track meet” types of contests. Fantasy managers should not hesitate to target the new dirty birds.
Quarterbacks
QB KIRK COUSINS – QUALITY BACKUP
Because he’s been so consistently productive, averaging over 4,263 passing yards and 32 total touchdowns per season since becoming a starter, Kirk Cousins has been one of the top fantasy values annually. But a torn Achilles and a change of address to Atlanta complicate his 2024 status. As does the baffling choice to draft Michael Penix Jr. We know Cousins can sling it. He’s posted QB1 fantasy points per game numbers in three of the past four seasons. The Falcons also boast some intriguing skill-position talent and the league’s easiest strength of schedule. A healthy Cousins can be an elite fantasy option but fantasy managers have to mitigate significant risk this season. ADVICE: Risk/reward QB2…
Second-Year RB Ascending Early Draft Boards
Second-Year RB Ascending Early Draft Boards THIS RB1 WENT OFF THE BOARD NO. 1 OVERALL IN THE LATEST CIRCA CHAMPIONSHIP DRAFT! Long-time Las Vegas gambler and ranked high-stakes fantasy player Frank Taddeo (@RespectedMoney on X) is always watching Vegas oddsmakers to identify best bets and fantasy values. Thus far in our summer series here at Fulltime Fantasy, we have highlighted several players that have witnessed significant betting and fantasy football draft position movement. We dove into a rookie running back expected to make a major impact, a wideout who may struggle to return fair ADP value as well as an elite running back being faded by oddsmakers. A major component of my success playing high-stakes fantasy football at the FFWC is incorporating player projections of oddsmakers into my NFL model. I began creating my model back in 2010 when I created the only over-the-counter DFS program offered to date in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Year Two Breakout The latest installment leads us to second-year Falcons running back Bijan Robinson. The former Texas Longhorns standout gained 976 rushing yards (57.4 per game) in his rookie season while adding four rushing touchdowns. Bijan Robinson’s rookie season stats: • 17 games • 976 rushing yards • 4.6 yards per carry • 58 catches • 487 receiving yards • 86.1 scrimmage YPG • 8 TDs#Falcons pic.twitter.com/cepuXuVkGp — NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) July 13, 2024 In the air, Robinson hauled in 58 receptions for 487 receiving yards and four additional touchdowns. A deeper dive reveals that Robinson finished tied for second with New Orleans RB Alvin Kamara for the most RB Targets (86) behind only Jets RB Breece Hall (95). The dynamic threat accomplished the impressive feat of finishing ahead of the consensus No. 1 pick Christian McCaffrey (83) in this category – despite questionable usage by the Falcons coaching staff. Fantasy managers are investing premium draft capital in Robinson in early FFWC drafts. The former Doak Walker Award winner owns an ADP of 5.7 / RB2. In the latest Circa Championship draft on 7/13, Robinson was selected No. 1 overall for the first time this fantasy season. He lept over CMC and CeeDee Lamb for the coveted top spot. Vegas Oddsmakers & Early Drafters in Agreement New Falcons Offensive Coordinator Zac Robinson recently revealed Robinson will be featured in a “CMC role” in his sophomore campaign. Vegas insiders and the fantasy community both love the Falcons’ new staff. “Bijan’s such a talented player,” said Zac Robinson. “He’s gonna play running back, first and foremost — and then anyway we can find creative ways to get him the ball like the Niners do with Christian McCaffrey is exactly right.” #Falcons OC Zac Robinson on Bijan Robinson being used like CMC: “Bijan’s such a talented player. He’s gonna play running back, first and foremost — and then any way we can find creative ways to get him the ball like the Niners do with Christian McCaffrey is exactly right.” pic.twitter.com/6x01Gwp3Cv — The Coachspeak Index (@CoachspeakIndex) June 5, 2024 Oddsmakers, who initially installed Robinson with a rushing yard betting projection of 900.5, have raised the tailback up to a betting demand of 1000.5 at DraftKings. The boys behind the betting counter clearly view the comments by the new Falcons staff as more than just “Coach Speak”. “In Circa Championship drafts held in June, I was able to grab Bijan at the back end of Round 1. That late-round value is a thing of the past as the electric talent is now a near-consensus Top 5 pick. ” – Frankie Taddeo Despite the presence of Tyler Allgeier, who often vultured goal line work last season, oddsmakers believe Robinson will receive heavy red zone volume. Robinson, who came off the board No. 1 in the latest Circa Championship draft, has witnessed the juice on his rushing touchdown projection of 6.5 steam from -105 to -130. To infinity and BIJAN. 71 yards! 📺: #ATLvsNO on CBS 📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/X0vcyHUoyR pic.twitter.com/8rd1LDxUcL — NFL (@NFL) January 7, 2024 This headline posted on X by the NFL last season sums up my 2024 fantasy football outlook for Robinson in superb fashion: “To Infinity and BIJAN in 2024.” For the past 15 years, Football Contest Proxy has provided the leading service to submit picks in major Las Vegas football contests from anywhere in the world and built FootballContest.com into the top online destination for football contest info. All you need to do to enter is sign up in person sometime before football season kicks off. FCP does the rest as your proxy – it really is that easy. Simply plan your trip to Vegas and schedule a time with FCP to get signed up for whatever contest(s) you want to enter. As a proxy partner of FullTimeFantasy, you can also SAVE $50 through September 2 by clicking here. Just enter promo code FANTASY at checkout for instant savings, so make your best pick and go with the pros at FootballContest.com!
Week 18 NFL Player Props
Week 18 NFL Player Props After a three-week winning streak, we finally failed to produce a profitable week in Week 17, finishing 3-4 (-1.2 Units). Fortunately, we are still 51-39 (+12.6 Units) on the 2023 NFL campaign with just one final week to go before the postseason! The FullTime Fantasy Week 18 NFL Player Props looks to conclude the regular season with another winning week. As always, I will list my seven favorite player props of the week as we gear up for Week 18’s slate of NFL matchups. All 32 teams will be in action and the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins will close out the week on Sunday night at Hard Rock Stadium. Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. Finally, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below. Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 18 NFL player props, and continue our profitable NFL season. FullTime Fantasy’s Playoff Fantasy Football Contests Play 1 or play all 3! YOU decide! Emil Kadlec Bestball Playoff Challenge — A FREE Single-Entry contest. Maui Madness Playoff Pick’Em — ($25 or a 5-pack for $100) Playoff Draft World Championship $229 with NEW and improved league prizes! Dak Prescott UNDER 274.5 Passing Yards (-110) It’s tough to bet against Prescott when he’s playing a 4-12 Commanders squad that has allowed at least 27 points in seven consecutive outings but this is a complicated wager. The 11-5 Cowboys can clinch the NFC East and the No. 2 seed in the conference with a victory on Sunday but they also need to be disciplined and scoreboard watching. The Cowboys have a playoff game next week no matter what so the most important thing for Dallas is keeping its stars healthy. If Dallas gets out to a quick lead as I suspect they will, they should lean heavily on the run. Subsequently, Tony Pollard will attempt to bleed as much of the clock as possible and if Dallas has a three-possession lead late in the second half, it would be wise for the Cowboys to bench Prescott to keep him healthy for their postseason run. Although Prescott is capable of smashing this number every single week, particularly with the meteoric rise of CeeDee Lamb, I expect the Cowboys to have such a comfortable lead that Prescott won’t even finish the game. Take the Under. Justin Fields OVER 52.5 Rushing Yards (-120) The Bears may not have a shot at the postseason but don’t think that Justin Fields has nothing to play for as his career with Chicago’s franchise is potentially on the line. This could be his last opportunity to showcase his talent as the Bears could decide to replace Fields in the 2024 NFL Draft. Fields didn’t need any extra motivation against a division rival such as the Packers but now he has it. Back in the first week of the season, Fields surpassed this line during these teams’ first meeting. And since returning from injury, he’s averaged 65.6 rushing yards per game over the past six games. He only managed to average 39.5 rushing yards per game over his first six games. Considering he’s the team’s best rusher, it’s no surprise that the Bears are letting him run with the rock more. The kid is electric and explosive. Finally, Fields can play spoiler and knock the Packers out of the NFL Playoffs. I expect him to ball out in this one and think he will easily surpass this line given Chicago’s options in the backfield. Take the Over. Bijan Robinson OVER 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Robinson has had no problem clearing this number in each of his previous two outings and despite a matchup with a very tough New Orleans Saints defense, I anticipate the Falcons to lean on their star running back when their season is on the line this week. Although the Falcons coaching staff often leaves me scratching my head, I think they know that their best chances at winning are by getting the ball in the electric rookie’s hands. In Week 16, Bijan produced 72 rushing yards and last week against the Bears, he tallied 75 yards on the ground. Perhaps more importantly, B-Rob motored for 91 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries in his previous and only meeting with the Saints. New Orleans has a very stout front seven but I think Robinson gets it done with this low line. Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Contract incentives can sometimes play a role in finding valuable player props. Interestingly enough, Gibbs needs 85 rushing yards to reach the 1,000 mark while teammate David Montgomery needs 25 more rushing yards. They could become just the eighth duo of teammates to each 1,000 rushing yards in a season. Of course, 85 rushing yards is a lot so that might not happen but I am betting on Gibbs’ motivation to at least get close to that number. The rookie has had a great campaign and has been one of the most explosive backs in the entire NFL since Halloween. During that nine-game span, Gibbs is averaging 74.2 rushing yards per game. And this week, he faces a Minnesota Vikings defense that was dominated by Aaron Jones and Green Bay’s offensive line last week. Jones finished with 120 yards. Over the past three weeks, Green Bay has surrendered 133.3 rushing yards per game. While Montgomery might get some of the short-yardage opportunities, I think Dan Campbell has figured out that Gibbs is the more talented playmaker and Gibbs should see 15+ touches on Sunday. Also, he tends to rip off big runs so I expect no different against a Vikings team that has nothing left to play for. Justin Jefferson OVER 87.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Jefferson hasn’t had the season he was hoping for; between an injury to his star quarterback
Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 17 DFS: Running Back Report Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only
Breece Hall (43.10 fantasy points) turned in a beast game in Week 16, giving him the top ranking. Christian McCaffrey (25.10) and Jahmyr Gibbs (25.00) finished second and third in running back scoring. Only three other backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average after 16 weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (25.35)
- Raheem Mostert (17.91)
- Rashaad White (16.47)
- Travis Etienne (16.19)
- Breece Hall (15.59)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 17 DFS QB Report.
Elite Option
Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,600/FD – $11,000)
The 49ers had McCaffrey on the field for all of their plays last week, leading to his eighth consecutive game with more than 100 combined yards. He has a touchdown in 13 of his 15 starts with a combined 21 scores. His two impact games (48.70 and 41.70) came against the Cardinals. McCaffrey has a floor of 20.00 fantasy points in eight other matchups. He is on pace to gain 2,190 combined yards with 24 touchdowns and 71 catches on 364 touches.
Washington fell to 29th in running back defense (26.13 FPPG) after allowing more than 28.00 fantasy points to backs in their last eight games. The Jets and Breece Hall drilled the Commanders for 242 combined yards with two touchdowns and 12 catches. Running backs have 16 touchdowns with success in the passing game (82/587/5).
McCaffrey has an excellent matchup, with a high floor in fantasy points. The 49ers should score at will in this game, but they could give their star running back some snaps off if Washington doesn’t put up a fight on the scoreboard.
Second-Tier Options
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Week 16 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 16 DFS: Running Back Report Christian McCaffrey (41.70) led Week 15 in fantasy scoring, giving him 100.40 fantasy points in his two games vs. the Cardinals. James Cooks (36.10) posted the runner-up scores, followed by Kyren Williams (26.80). Six
Christian McCaffrey (41.70) led Week 15 in fantasy scoring, giving him 100.40 fantasy points in his two games vs. the Cardinals. James Cooks (36.10) posted the runner-up scores, followed by Kyren Williams (26.80). Six other running backs scored between 20.00 and 25.00 fantasy points in PPR scoring. Here are the top five backs by scoring average after 15 weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (25.36)
- Raheem Mostert (18.34)
- Travis Etienne (16.91)
- Rachaad White (16.24)
- Alvin Kamara (15.62)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 16 DFS QB Report.
Top Tier Options
Rachaad White, TB (DK – $7,400/FD – $7,700)
White comes into this week as the highest-priced running back due to the highest options not playing on the main slate on Sunday. He scored seven touchdowns over the past seven games, gaining 765 yards with 21 catches (20.79 FPPG in DraftKings scoring). White averaged 21.57 touches over this span. His only game with more than 20.00 fantasy points at home came in Week 2 (21.30).
The Jaguars slipped to 17th in running back defense (23.16 FPPG), with three teams scoring more than 30.00 fantasy points. Over the past six weeks, they allowed seven touchdowns to rushers with fading value defending the run (168/816 – 4.9 yards per carry). Running backs have 94 catches for 654 yards and one score on 115 targets.
The Bucs’ offense played better over the past two weeks (nine touchdowns and four field goals over 21 possessions) while playing six of their last eight games on the road. White comes off back-to-back 20+ fantasy points game while trending much higher in the run game over his previous four matchups (15/100, 20/84/1, 25/102, and 21/89 – 4.6 yards per rush). He has a solid floor and an untapped ceiling. The SHARPS will ride this BAMF to the winner circle in Week 16.
Bijan Robinson, ATL (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,100)
In the most crucial week in the season-long games in the high-stakes market, Robinson gave his fantasy supporters…
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Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 9 DFS: Running Back Report Jahmyr Gibbs (29.90 fantasy points) was the highest-scoring running back in Week 8 in PPR formats, coming on the heels of another top-showing (11/68/1 with nine catches for 58 yards). Christian McCaffrey (29.80) and
Jahmyr Gibbs (29.90 fantasy points) was the highest-scoring running back in Week 8 in PPR formats, coming on the heels of another top-showing (11/68/1 with nine catches for 58 yards). Christian McCaffrey (29.80) and Gus Edwards (29.40) filled out the running back trifecta. Five other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Alvin Kamara (24.57) and Travis Etienne (23.97) averaged the most fantasy points per game in PPR formats over the past three weeks. Here are the top five running backs by scoring average over the first eight weeks:
- Christian McCaffrey (25.30)
- Travis Etienne (20.49)
- Raheem Mostert (19.64)
- Kenneth Walker (16.09)
- Zack Moss (15.65)
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 9 DFS QB Report and TE Report.
Top-Tier Options
Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,100/FD – $9,200)
The excellent opportunity continued in Week 8 for Kamara. He gained 110 combined yards with two touchdowns and four catches on 21 touches against the Colts. The Saints gave him the ball 125 times over his first five starts, leading to 110 yards and 7.8 catches per game. Taysom Hill sniped three rushing touchdowns over the past two weeks while also stealing 14 rushes for 81 yards.
Chicago ranks 27th in running back defense (25.54 FPPG), with most of their struggles coming over the first three games (34.50, 23.20, and 46.30 fantasy points). The Bears continue to play well vs. the run (193/630/4 – 3.3 yards per carry), but backs have 48 catches for 497 yards and five touchdowns on 61 targets.
Kamara holds his floor in most weeks due to his value in the passing game. His rising salary requires more than 32.00 fantasy points at DraftKings, but he can’t reach that level without at least one long play and a touchdown. New Orleans will get Jamaal Williams involved, and Hill has been stealing away his explosiveness. Playing well, and the Saints’ offense should score in this game.
Saquon Barkley, NYG (DK – $7,900/FD – $8,600)
The Giants’ offense has been dismal in seven of the eight games, leading them averaging only 11.9 points per game. Over the last three weeks, Barkley has been a big part of New York’s game plan (81/298 with 19 catches for 46 yards and one touchdown on 91 touches). Daniel Jones returns this week, along with LT Andrew Thomas, breathing life into all offensive players for the Giants. Barkley posted one playable game (27.20 fantasy points) in Week 2.
Las Vegas fell to 29th in running back defense (27.34 FPPG) after struggling over the past three weeks (31.80, 40.80, and 38.50 fantasy points). The Raiders allow 4.5 yards per rush, with backs scoring 11 touchdowns. Over the past two games, Chicago and Detroit rushed for 395 yards with three touchdowns. Running backs have 42 catches for 267 yards and one score on 56 targets.
With Daniel Jones back in the starting lineup, Barkley will see…
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Week 7 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 7 DFS: Running Back Report The top production from the running back position continues to flow from the Dolphins’ backfield. Raheem Mostert (132 combined yards with three touchdowns and three catches) was the top fantasy running back in Week
The top production from the running back position continues to flow from the Dolphins’ backfield. Raheem Mostert (132 combined yards with three touchdowns and three catches) was the top fantasy running back in Week 6 (34.20). Only three other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points – Travis Etienne (23.30), Kyren Williams (21.80), and Breece Hall (20.30). The running back pool had more of a steady feel last week as 21 players finished with 10.00 to 19.50 fantasy points.
Only Christian McCaffrey (24.83) and Rahaam Mostert (23.40) are the only running backs averaging more than 20.00 fantasy points over the first six weeks. Travis Etienne (19.22), Kyren Williams (18.52), and Kenneth Walker (18.30) round out the top five backs in scoring average in PPR formats.
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 6 DFS QB Report and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Austin Ekeler, LAC (DK – $8,600/FD – $9,400)
In Week 1, Ekeler posted a winning game (164 combined yards with one touchdown and four catches on 20 touches) despite only being on the field for 48% of the Chargers’ snaps due to a hamstring injury. After missing three games, he struggled to make an impact against the Cowboys (62 yards with four catches on 18 chances). Ekeler finished with 68% of LA’s snaps. In 2022, he gained 194 combined yards with one touchdown and 11 catches in two games against Kansas City.
The Chiefs allowed fewer than 18.00 fantasy points to running backs over their last five games, moving them to fifth in defense vs. backs (15.43 FPPG). Running backs gain 4.5 yards per rush while scoring only one touchdown with 26 catches for 152 yards and one score on 30 targets. They’ve faced four teams (CHI, NYJ, MIN, and DEN) with questionable play from their lead running back.
Last season, the Chargers’ running backs had 140 catches for 911 yards and seven touchdowns on 179 targets. The change at offensive coordinator has led to a shortfall in this area (14/117/0 on 20 targets) over their first five games. Ekeler offers value on all three downs, but he isn’t in form to support his salary. More of a gamble in Week 7 based on the play of the Chargers’ offense and their matchup.
Josh Jacobs, LV (DK – $7,400/FD – $8,000)
Touchdowns (9) have been challenging for the Raiders’ offense over their first six games. Their offense has turned the ball over 12 times while creating small running lanes (3.0 yards per rush) for their star running back. They’ve yet to rush for more than 100 yards in a game while having a reasonable floor in catches (35) and receiving yards (279). Jacobs averages 22.0 touches a game.
Chicago ranks 28th defending running backs (27.53 FPPG). Despite the appearance of weakness, the Bears played better vs. backs over their last two matchups (WAS – 10/29 with eight catches for 97 yards and MIN – 22/46 with five catches for 35 yards). They allow 3.5 yards per rush, with more risk in the passing game (36/366/4 on 45 targets).
With Jimmy Garoppolo downgraded to doubtful and Chicago playing with a backup quarterback, Vegas set the game total at 37.5. Jacobs should be active again this week, with a chance at a possible score, but his ceiling is limited to the Raiders’ ability to move the ball. His opportunity gives him a chance, but Las Vegas must play a lot better offensively for the lead running back to shine.
Mid-Tier Options
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Week 6 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 6 DFS: Running Back Report Travis Etienne (36.40) was the top running back in Week 5 after posting his best game (184 combined yards with two touchdowns and four catches) of his career. Zack Moss (33.50) and Breece Hall
Travis Etienne (36.40) was the top running back in Week 5 after posting his best game (184 combined yards with two touchdowns and four catches) of his career. Zack Moss (33.50) and Breece Hall (28.40) were the only other backs with impact games. Moss was a surprise due to Jonathan Taylor’s return to action for the Colts. Hall hit on 72-yard touchdown, setting up his big day (22/177/1 with three catches for 17 yards). Only two other running backs (De’Von Achane – 22.50 and David Montgomery – 20.90) scored more than 20.00 fantasy points. Here are the top five running backs over the first five weeks in PPR formats:
- Christian McCaffrey – 134.80
- Rahaam Mostert – 106.20
- De’Von Achane – 102.70
- Travis Etienne – 92.00
- Kenneth Walker – 73.60
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 6 DFS QB Report and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Christian McCaffrey, SF (DK – $9,500/FD – $10,300)
Last week, the 49ers’ running backs combined for 224 yards with three touchdowns and six catches, but McCaffrey had his worst fantasy game (14.80) of the season due to game score. He still had 21 touches while extending his touchdown streak to 14 games. Over his first two road starts, McCaffrey averaged 152 yards with one touchdown and three catches.
Cleveland has the fourth-best running back defense (14.00 FPPG). They’ve allowed only 3.2 yards per rush, with backs scoring two touchdowns. The Browns won the time of possession battle by a wide margin over the first three weeks, leading to their defense facing only 56 rushing attempts vs. Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and Tennessee. Running backs have 17 catches for 123 yards on 24 targets vs. Cleveland.
With Deshaun Watson not playing again this week, the 49ers have a good chance of playing from the lead with favorable field position on many drives. McCaffrey has a high floor and scoring upside (the 49ers’ running backs have 10 touchdowns after five games), but he needs…
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