2025 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview

2025 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview Head coach Raheem Morris and GM Terry Fontenot return to Atlanta, which will look like a much different team after missing the playoffs. With $30M in cap space, the team focused on defensive upgrades, addressing a pass rush that ranked 28th in pressure rate (29.8%) and a secondary allowing 69.9% completion (32nd in NFL). Free agency additions like EDGE Leonard Floyd, DL Morgan Fox, and S Jordan Fuller, and the first four picks in the 2025 NFL Draft bolstered the defense. Atlanta has not had a winning season since 2017. Their projected win total for 2025: 7.5. Michael Penix Jr., the 2024 No. 8 pick, takes the helm after a rookie season with 775 passing yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions in three starts. His 65.2% completion rate and 7.9 yards per attempt under pressure show promise in Zac Robinson’s quick-read offense. Penix’s arm strength suits deep shots to the wideouts in play-action. Atlanta ranked 6th in pace of play last season, so there’s potential for Penix to be an above-average fantasy option after a trial run to close out 2024. RB Bijan Robinson, a 2024 Pro Bowler, anchors the backfield with 1,456 rushing yards (4.8 YPC) and 425 receiving yards. His 5.6 yards after contact and 68 forced missed tackles (2nd in NFL) drive a run game ranked 11th in EPA/rush. Robinson has not missed an NFL game and finished his sophomore campaign as the RB4. Tyler Allgeier (686 yards, 4.4 YPC, PFF grade: 76.3) complements as a power back, with 28.4 percent of carries gaining 5+ yards. Drake London (100/1,271/9) leads as WR1, with a 2.9 yards per route run (top-10) and 12 contested catches. And London’s usage with Penix as the starter was eye-opening. In those three games, London averaged 11.3 targets, 7.3 grabs, and 117.3 yards. ??Darnell Mooney and Ray-Ray McCloud (469 yards, PFF grade: 70.1) start in 11 personnel, with McCloud’s 5.2 yards after catch adding YAC. Mooney is coming off his best season, with six top-20 weekly performances. It’s time we had ‘the talk’ about Kyle Pitts. While many in the fantasy community are holding out hope, the odds are against Pitts ever living up to the hype. He ranked 25th in fantasy points per game with five weekly TE1 games and seven performances outside of the top 30. Pitts averaged 22 yards per game in Penix’s three starts. Let someone else fall for the Pitts #SZN Part IV. Fantasy Grade: C+ QB Penix Jr., Michael, ATL [QB1] In three late-season starts, Michael Penix finished as the QB30, QB25, and QB7. That three-game sample size led to some interesting results. Penix only completed 58 percent of his attempts and ranked 34th during the stretch in on-target throw rate. However, he also made some eye-opening throws, leading the NFL with a 9.0 big-time throw rate and ranking 2nd in ADOT (10.6). That paints the picture of a volatile young signal-caller with an extremely high ceiling and low floor. With the position being deep, Penix is a risk/reward QB2 in redraft and a Best Ball target to fade. ADVICE: Risky QB2 who will have highlight reel throws and plenty of head-scratchers. QB Cousins, Kirk, ATL [QB2] Atlanta has turned the page on Cousins, who had a disappointing debut with the Falcons. Cousins did not look fully recovered from the Achilles injury that ended his 2023 campaign. With Michael Penix starting, Cousins’s only route to contributing in 2025 is to waive his no-trade clause. Of course, a team would also have to be interested and be willing to take on his considerable salary. For now, Cousins’s only fantasy value is that of a speculative backup to roster in deeper leagues. ADVICE: Will have to wait for an injury to occur to drum up trade interest. RB Robinson, Bijan, ATL [RB1] Robinson checks all the boxes to be fantasy football’s No. 1 player in 2025. He is durable, led the NFL in weighted opportunities (17.4/game), yards created (81.9/game), and was top five in carries, receptions, and touchdowns. Robinson also played the fourth-most snaps and ranked third in red-zone rushes. And in Michael Penix’s three starts, Robinson logged 67 carries for 354 and 6(!) rushing scores. Bijan is an elite runner (ranked 3rd with 83 tackles evaded) and receiver. He’s a three-down workhorse who will see a ton of targets and valuable red-zone touches in an emerging offense. ADVICE: Top-3 pick in every format who has overall RB1 potential. Our 1.01 overall. RB Allgeier, Tyler, ATL [RB2] In the Arthur Smith day, Tyler Allgeier was a thorn in the side of fantasy managers. That isn’t the case now, as Allgeier ceded most work to Bijan Roinson. Allgeier’s touches have declined for three consecutive years. In 2024, he rushed for 644 yards (4.7 YPC) and 3 TDs on 137 carries, adding 17 receptions for 142 yards (6.0 PPG, PPR). His 18-carry, 105-yard Week 6 outburst showed RB2/3 potential, but Bijan Robinson’s dominance (259 carries, 19.0 PPG) caps his role. ADVICE: No longer offers consistent standalone value, but Allegier is a must-have handcuff for fantasy managers lucky enough to snag Bijan Robinson in Round One. WR London, Drake, ATL [WR1] In 2024, London established himself as a force near the goal line, racking up 23 red-zone targets—tied for the third-most in the league. He posted the third-best target rate per route (30 percent) and was thrown to on 41 percent of his routes with rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. under center. While his overall snap rate ticked up slightly in Year Two, a shift toward a more pass-focused offense came with a slight dip in target volume. A key factor in London’s improved production was his increased usage from the slot, jumping from an 18.6 percent slot rate in 2023 to 39.6 percent in 2024. He averaged 23.1 PPG with Penix, a strong indicator of what’s to come. ADVICE: Breakout WR2 with WR1 ceiling—target confidently in Round 2. WR Mooney, Darnell, ATL [WR2] Mooney wound

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 5

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 5 Last week’s NFC East showdown didn’t live up to the hype. However, our Best Bet of New York +6 hit, so we’re content. For Week 5, we move down to the NFC South where

Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4

In Week 3, the AFC East let us down with a non-competitive drubbing. This week, things have more potential with the Dallas Cowboys traveling to New Jersey to face the Giants. Hopefully, the second week in a row in this venue has more scoring. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 4 looks at all the fantasy-relevant players to forecast the game.

It’s always entertaining to watch these two NFC East rivals square off. The Cowboys are reeling after dropping two straight home games. Conversely, they had won their previous 17 at AT&T Stadium. Therefore, they’re probably welcoming a change of scenery. And a game against a foe they’ve defeated in 11 of their last 12 matchups.

Conversely, the Giants are coming off of an upset win in Cleveland. New York’s offense has been more competent after their opener. With some momentum, they’re trying to get to 500 while simultaneously delivering a knockout punch to their hated rivals.

This game opened with Dallas favored by four. However, the line quickly jumped up to Dallas -6. The total stands at 45, up a meager half-point from its opening total.

Matchup

TEAM	OFFENSE	PASS	RUSH	YDS/PLAY	POINTS
Dallas Cowboys	9	1	30	16	6
New York Giants	22	21	19	25	29

The Dallas offensive ranks look good on paper. However, a big chunk of that production came in futile comeback attempts in their past two losses. The lack of balance and inability to run the ball has hurt the Cowboys.

Additionally, the Dallas defense has crumbled.

The Cowboys currently rank 28th in overall defense and have allowed the third-most points. Dallas ranks dead last against the run and has allowed 28-plus points in every game.

New York is surrendering 318 yards of offense per game, which is middle of the pack. However, only three teams have scored fewer points. Look for the Giants to try to slow things down and exploit that struggling defense.

On defense, the Giants rank 13th against the pass. They’re worst against the run (23rd) but don’t expect Dallas to be able to exploit that.

The real question here is can the Cowboys stop the bleeding to cool off Mike McCarthy’s hot seat?

Dallas Offense

Dak Prescott leads the league with 851 passing yards. However, touchdowns have been hard to come by. Prescott has only thrown…

How will Thursday’s Cowboys vs. Giants game go?

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2024 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview

2024 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview Mercifully, the Arthur Smith regime in Atlanta is over. Raheem Morris returns to Atlanta, this time without the interim label. Accompanying Morris from Los Angeles will be new offensive coordinator Zac Robinson. His task is

2024 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview

Mercifully, the Arthur Smith regime in Atlanta is over. Raheem Morris returns to Atlanta, this time without the interim label. Accompanying Morris from Los Angeles will be new offensive coordinator Zac Robinson. His task is simple: actually use the abundance of skill position talent the Falcons have accrued.

Having a quality leader is paramount to accomplishing that goal. Enter new QB Kirk Cousins, a huge improvement over Desmond Ridder. Cousins signed a four-deal with $100 million guaranteed after posting top-10 fantasy points per game numbers in each of his last four campaigns.

Since becoming a starter, Cousins has averaged 4,264 passing yards and 32 total touchdowns per season. Cousins gives the Falcons their best quarterback since prime Matt Ryan. With the weapons around him, Cousins should once again be one of the top fantasy football value targets. However, he is recovering from a season-ending Achilles injury and was ‘stunned’ when the club used the No.8 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft on Michael Penix. It was a questionable move and worth monitoring all summer.

Bijan Robinson was given more than 15 carries just four times in his rookie season, yet still posted over RB8 numbers. That inexplicable lack of usage will change with Zac Robinson calling plays. Zac Robinson comes from a Rams’ system that force-fed their lead back more than any other team. Fantasy managers fortunate enough to draft should be equally excited. B-Rob has the talent to be the No. 1 overall fantasy option in 2024.

The biggest impact Kirk Cousins will have is on an Atlanta passing attack that ranked 26th last season. Cousins has a long history of heavily targeting his No. 1 wideout. This will be huge for Drake London, who should top 130 targets for the first time in his career.

Atlanta also spent big to upgrade one of the thinnest receiving corps in football. Darnell Mooney is a downfield speedster who will benefit from Cousins’s deep-ball accuracy. Moore will function closer to the line of scrimmage, taking the occasional handoff and acting as an outlet option.

The biggest benefactor of the Cousins signing might be TE Kyle Pitts. Despite running only 14.9% of his routes as an in-line tight end, Pitts was criminally underutilized by the previous regime. Pitts should continue to see plenty of reps from the slot and perimeter and is a good bet to see a big boost in target share.

Atlanta has top-10 talent at all three skill positions, giving them a lot of leverage and depth for a creative play-caller. This team should get involved in several “track meet” types of contests. Fantasy managers should not hesitate to target the new dirty birds.

Quarterbacks

QB KIRK COUSINS – QUALITY BACKUP

Because he’s been so consistently productive, averaging over 4,263 passing yards and 32 total touchdowns per season since becoming a starter, Kirk Cousins has been one of the top fantasy values annually. But a torn Achilles and a change of address to Atlanta complicate his 2024 status. As does the baffling choice to draft Michael Penix Jr. We know Cousins can sling it. He’s posted QB1 fantasy points per game numbers in three of the past four seasons. The Falcons also boast some intriguing skill-position talent and the league’s easiest strength of schedule. A healthy Cousins can be an elite fantasy option but fantasy managers have to mitigate significant risk this season. ADVICE: Risk/reward QB2…

Second-Year RB Ascending Early Draft Boards

Second-Year RB Ascending Early Draft Boards THIS RB1 WENT OFF THE BOARD NO. 1 OVERALL IN THE LATEST CIRCA CHAMPIONSHIP DRAFT! Long-time Las Vegas gambler and ranked high-stakes fantasy player Frank Taddeo (@RespectedMoney on X) is always watching Vegas oddsmakers to identify best bets and fantasy values. Thus far in our summer series here at Fulltime Fantasy, we have highlighted several players that have witnessed significant betting and fantasy football draft position movement. We dove into a rookie running back expected to make a major impact, a wideout who may struggle to return fair ADP value as well as an elite running back being faded by oddsmakers. A major component of my success playing high-stakes fantasy football at the FFWC is incorporating player projections of oddsmakers into my NFL model. I began creating my model back in 2010 when I created the only over-the-counter DFS program offered to date in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Year Two Breakout The latest installment leads us to second-year Falcons running back Bijan Robinson. The former Texas Longhorns standout gained 976 rushing yards (57.4 per game) in his rookie season while adding four rushing touchdowns. Bijan Robinson’s rookie season stats: • 17 games • 976 rushing yards • 4.6 yards per carry • 58 catches • 487 receiving yards • 86.1 scrimmage YPG • 8 TDs#Falcons pic.twitter.com/cepuXuVkGp — NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) July 13, 2024 In the air, Robinson hauled in 58 receptions for 487 receiving yards and four additional touchdowns. A deeper dive reveals that Robinson finished tied for second with New Orleans RB Alvin Kamara for the most RB Targets (86) behind only Jets RB Breece Hall (95). The dynamic threat accomplished the impressive feat of finishing ahead of the consensus No. 1 pick Christian McCaffrey (83) in this category – despite questionable usage by the Falcons coaching staff. Fantasy managers are investing premium draft capital in Robinson in early FFWC drafts. The former Doak Walker Award winner owns an ADP of 5.7 / RB2. In the latest Circa Championship draft on 7/13, Robinson was selected No. 1 overall for the first time this fantasy season. He lept over CMC and CeeDee Lamb for the coveted top spot. Vegas Oddsmakers & Early Drafters in Agreement New Falcons Offensive Coordinator Zac Robinson recently revealed Robinson will be featured in a “CMC role” in his sophomore campaign. Vegas insiders and the fantasy community both love the Falcons’ new staff. “Bijan’s such a talented player,” said Zac Robinson. “He’s gonna play running back, first and foremost — and then anyway we can find creative ways to get him the ball like the Niners do with Christian McCaffrey is exactly right.” #Falcons OC Zac Robinson on Bijan Robinson being used like CMC: “Bijan’s such a talented player. He’s gonna play running back, first and foremost — and then any way we can find creative ways to get him the ball like the Niners do with Christian McCaffrey is exactly right.” pic.twitter.com/6x01Gwp3Cv — The Coachspeak Index (@CoachspeakIndex) June 5, 2024 Oddsmakers, who initially installed Robinson with a rushing yard betting projection of 900.5, have raised the tailback up to a betting demand of 1000.5 at DraftKings. The boys behind the betting counter clearly view the comments by the new Falcons staff as more than just “Coach Speak”. “In Circa Championship drafts held in June, I was able to grab Bijan at the back end of Round 1. That late-round value is a thing of the past as the electric talent is now a near-consensus Top 5 pick. ” – Frankie Taddeo Despite the presence of Tyler Allgeier, who often vultured goal line work last season, oddsmakers believe Robinson will receive heavy red zone volume. Robinson, who came off the board No. 1 in the latest Circa Championship draft, has witnessed the juice on his rushing touchdown projection of 6.5 steam from -105 to -130. To infinity and BIJAN. 71 yards! 📺: #ATLvsNO on CBS 📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/X0vcyHUoyR pic.twitter.com/8rd1LDxUcL — NFL (@NFL) January 7, 2024 This headline posted on X by the NFL last season sums up my 2024 fantasy football outlook for Robinson in superb fashion: “To Infinity and BIJAN in 2024.” For the past 15 years, Football Contest Proxy has provided the leading service to submit picks in major Las Vegas football contests from anywhere in the world and built FootballContest.com into the top online destination for football contest info. All you need to do to enter is sign up in person sometime before football season kicks off. FCP does the rest as your proxy – it really is that easy. Simply plan your trip to Vegas and schedule a time with FCP to get signed up for whatever contest(s) you want to enter. As a proxy partner of FullTimeFantasy, you can also SAVE $50 through September 2 by clicking here. Just enter promo code FANTASY at checkout for instant savings, so make your best pick and go with the pros at FootballContest.com!

NFL Week 1 Panthers at Falcons: DFS & Fantasy Preview

NFL Week 1 Panthers at Falcons: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Falcons – 3 Over/Under: 42 Last year, the Falcons led the NFL in rushing attempts, leading to 2,718 yards and 17 scores on the ground. The addition of Bijan Robinson bodes well for repeated success running the ball, but Atlanta needs Desmond Ridder to prove he can move the chains with his arm. Carolina opens up the season with a rookie quarterback (Bryce Young), who had plenty of success in his time in Alabama. The Panthers don’t have a true WR1, with multiple options vying for targets each week. In 2022, they ran the ball 483 times (12th), leading to a fast-moving clock. Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1. The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap). Atlanta Falcons Desmond Ridder Over his first four NFL starts, he went 2-2 while averaging 177 passes. He has two career passing touchdowns (none on the ground). I expect him to be active in the run game. He must snipe a rushing score to support his lower-tier salary. The Falcons only have one competitive receiving option (Drake London) in Week 1, as I expect the Falcons to limit the snaps of Kyle Pitts early in the season. A Ridder/London requires about 42.00 points at DraftKings and 38.00 at FanDuel to be in play. I need to see Ridder have success passing the ball before riding in the daily games. Bijan Robinson He has the fourth-highest running back salary at DraftKings and sixth at FanDuel. For the running backs on the main slate in Week 1, Robinson has the highest rating in FP/1000 (2.55) at FanDuel while ranking well at DraftKings (2.68). I view him as a strong play in Week 1. He offers three-down ability with a high probability of scoring vs. the Panthers. With a pair of touchdowns, Robinson has a good chance of being on the winning ticket in his first NFL start. Must start in all formats in the season-long games. Tyler Allgeier Last year, he played well over the final four games (79/431/2 with six catches for 52 yards). The Falcons will rotate him on about 35% of their plays, but Allgeier needs a blowout game to be a viable option at his current price point. Drake London In the early draft season in the high-stakes market, London is the 24th wideout off the table. He played well in his rookie season (72/866/4 on 117 targets), highlighted by his final five starts (6/95, 7/70, 7/96, 5/47, and 6/120). The last four outcomes came with Desmond Ridder at quarterback. London needs a 6/90/1 game to fill his salary bucket. I’m starting London in all leagues that use three wide receiver slots in their starting lineup. Mac Hollins In his fifth season in the NFL, Hollins posted his best year (57/690/4) with the Raiders. Over his previous 65 games, he only had 56 catches for 750 yards and six touchdowns. Hollins had one impact game (8/158/1) in 2022. I don’t see a high volume of targets requiring him to hit on a long score to pay off. Kyle Pitts In his rookie season (68/1,026/1 on 110 targets), Pitts was a big part of the Falcons’ offense. Atlanta threw the ball 573 times in 2021, compared to 415 last season (a drop of 27.6%). Based on this path, Pitts would have finished with 49 catches for 744 yards with the same opportunity in 2022. I don’t see a significant jump in pass attempts for the Falcons this year, and Pitts is coming off a significant knee injury. I expect him to be limited out of the gate, but his salary is low enough to be in play with a 3/40/1 game. Coin toss only while waiting for an update on his role/opportunity in Week 1. Here are some notes from my preseason write-up for the Carolina Panthers Defense. 18th vs. the run in 2022 with 17 rushing touchdowns 23rd against the pass with 25 scores, 10 interceptions, and 35 sacks Weakness on the defensive line, with the linebacking corps being a strength. Their secondary has some question marks coming into 2023. Carolina Panthers Bryce Young First NFL start after tossing 79 touchdowns and 12 interceptions over his final 27 games at Alabama. He won’t be a significant player rushing the ball. To reach a playable number at DraftKings and FanDuel, Young needs at least 250 passing yards and two scores with some value on the ground. His receiving lacks a star out of the gate, leading to him spreading the ball around to multiple receiving options. Miles Sanders In both formats, Sanders needs about 22.00 fantasy points to fill his fantasy bucket. He reached that level (29.60, 31.00, and 28.50) three times in 202s, helped by scoring six of his 11 touchdowns in those matchups. The Panthers will rotate in a second running back, requiring Sanders to be more active in the passing game (28, 26, and 20 catches over the past three seasons) to post a winning score. He can sometimes hit on a long TD, keeping him alive in some matchups if Carolina can play from the lead. I view him as overpriced in the daily games in Week 1. Chuba Hubbard Hubbard had three catches in three of his final five games in 2022. He led the Panthers in running back snaps from Week 15 to Week 18 last season. His best two games (18.90 and 15.30) in fantasy points in PPR formats barely support his opening salary while taking a back seat in touches

2023 Atlanta Falcons Outlook

2023 Atlanta Falcons Outlook The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview

2023 Atlanta Falcons Outlook

The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview of all 32 teams from football legend Shawn Childs.

Also, check out Jody Smith’s NFL offensive line rankings and exclusive 2023 Strength of Schedule analysis.

Up next in our extensive NFL and fantasy football preview series is Shawn’s deep dive into the 2023 Atlanta Falcons Outlook.

— Quarterback —

Desmond Ridder

Ridder was a four-year starter in college who relied on his legs to make many plays (501/2,180/28). In 2021, he helped Cincinnati to an undefeated regular season (13-0) before bowing out to Alabama in the BCS Championship Series. He had growth in the passing game (3,334 yards with 30 touchdowns and eight interceptions) while finishing with a step back in rushing production (110/355/6 – 3.2 yards per carry). Over his final three seasons, Ridder went 33-4, with three losses coming against Ohio State, Georgia, and Alabama.

His movements in the pocket and the run game have similarities to DeSean Watson, but Ridder doesn’t have the arm strength or accuracy in the deep passing game. He wants to throw first while having the speed and running ability to make chunk plays if Ridder sees an opening at the line of scrimmage. When in rhythm, he’ll make quick decisions over the short areas of the field. Cincinnati lined him up in the shotgun on most plays while using their back more at a safety outlet in the passing game rather than a play-action run threat. When asked to challenge a defense downfield, Ridder chose air over arm strength, which may be a problem in the NFL.

In his rookie season, the Falcons gave him four starts, leading to 764 combined yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. His best showing came in Week 18 (233/2).

Fantasy Outlook: Atlanta already named Ridder their starter for 2023. The Falcons have three upside receiving options (Drake London, Kyle Pitts, and Bijan Robinson), but they will rarely throw the ball more than 30 times in a game. Ridder helps his floor with his value in the run game while being on a path to throw the ball about 475 times if he makes 17 starts. He ranks 22nd at quarterback in late June in the high-stakes market. His starting projection should be around 3,500 combined yards and 25 touchdowns (20 passing and five rushing).
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Other Options: Taylor Heinicke, Logan Franks, Feleipe Franks

— Running Backs —

The Falcons’ ball carriers gained almost a full yard per carry (4.9) more than in 2020 (3.8) and 2021 (3.9). They finished with a gain of 105 carries, 850 yards, and five touchdowns over last year’s rushing stats. As a result, they had a sharp decline in catches (53), receiving yards (333), and targets (66). Their backs gained a combined 2,549 combined yards with 14 touchdowns and 53 catches, leading to 391.9 fantasy points in PPR formats (23.05 per game).

Bijan Robinson

Over 31 games at Texas, Robinson gained 4,215 combined yards with 41 touchdowns and 60 catches. The Longhorns gave him 277 touches in 2022, highlighted by his success in the run game (258/1,580/18). His best pass-catching opportunity came in 2021 (26/295/4). Robinson finished last season with three impact games (20/183/3 with one catch for 19 yards, 30/209/1 with two catches for 34 yards, and 25/243/4).

Robinson ran many of his plays out of the shotgun where he showed patience and a counterpuncher’s mentality. It’s hard to knock him off his feet with arm tackles below the belt. His ability to hesitate in the heat of a tackle leads to surprising plays in tight quarters. Robinson’s flow and movements in the passing game project at an elite level. When seeing daylight early, he hits the gas with the wiggles to make defenders miss at the second level of the defense.

Fantasy Outlook: The fantasy world is in tune with the potential of Robinson in his rookie season based on his third ranking at running back in the high-stakes market. A high opportunity in the run game should be a given, even with Atlanta expected to rotate in a second back. His scoring power and value in the passing game are critical components to his final destination in fantasy scoring. In 2021, Desmond Ridder completed 34 passes for 277 yards and two touchdowns to his running backs in college while attempting 387 passes. For now, I’ll set his bar at 325 touches with 1,800 combined yards, 10 scores, and 50 catches.

Tyler Allgeier

Over his last two seasons at BYU, Allgeier gained 3,104 combined yards with 36 touchdowns and 42 catches on 468 touches. However, his explosiveness regressed in 2021 (5.8 yards per carry – 7.5 in 2020) after receiving a workhorse opportunity (276 rushes) in the run game. His value in the passing game improved over his final two years (14/174 and 28/199).

Allgeier brings size (5’11” and 225 lbs.) to the table, but his game isn’t built around power. He runs with vision while lacking fluidness in his runs and acceleration to make defenses pay for their makes at the first level. However, when given daylight in space, Allgeier will take what is given to him. He can succeed with volume of touches, and his value in the passing game should improve with more experience.

In his rookie season with RB1 snaps for the Falcons, Allgeier gained 1,174 combined yards with four touchdowns and 16 catches on 226 touches. His best value came over his final four starts (70/431/2 with six catches for 52 yards).

Fantasy Outlook: With some quick math based on last year’s stats in Atlanta, Allgeier should see…

WHAT CAN WE EXPECT OUT OF THE FALCONS IN 2023?

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