Week 6 NFL Player Props
Week 6 NFL Player Props For the fourth time in five weeks, we had a profitable weekend of wagering. We were one Terry McLaurin dropped pass from a 6-1 slate but we’ll have to suffice for a 5-2 record in
Week 6 NFL Player Props
For the fourth time in five weeks, we had a profitable weekend of wagering. We were one Terry McLaurin dropped pass from a 6-1 slate but we’ll have to suffice for a 5-2 record in Week 5. Still, due to our triple-unit bet on Jayden Reed, we had a massive +3.8-Unit week and are now +7.0 units and 21-13 on the season as we gear up for Week 6 NFL Player Props.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 6 NFL Player Props!
Jayden Daniels OVER 223.5 Passing Yards (-110)
This game boasts a 51.5-point total, the second-highest on the slate. The Commanders’ rookie QB is off to a scorching start, and the numbers back it up. The Ravens have been giving up an NFL-worst 304 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, and Daniels has exceeded expectations four games in a row with 226, 254, 233, and 238 yards against the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, and Browns, respectively.
Jayden Daniels will finish what we started and be the Franchise QB the city deserves. @JayD__5 🫡 pic.twitter.com/p69G0xUadX
— Robert Griffin III (@RGIII) October 10, 2024
Offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury has been dialing up game plans that make life as smooth as possible for Daniels, and there’s no reason to think that will change in this matchup. Expect the rookie to stay hot and capitalize on a vulnerable Ravens defense! Baltimore put up a massive 41 points in Week 5 so expect Daniels to air it out in an attempt to keep up with Lamar Jackson and company. I may even sprinkle an extra unit on this wager as I expect Baltimore to shut down the run but struggle in the secondary.
Jordan Love…
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Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 5 NFL Player Props Week 4 was our first unprofitable week of the season. After beginning the year with three consecutive successful betting weekends, a 2-5 record last week brought us down to +3.2 Units. Let’s see if we
Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 4 was our first unprofitable week of the season. After beginning the year with three consecutive successful betting weekends, a 2-5 record last week brought us down to +3.2 Units. Let’s see if we can get back in the winning column with our Week 5 NFL Player Props. We are now 16-11 in the young season.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 5 NFL Player Props!
Jordan Love OVER 257.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The Los Angeles Rams’ defense has struggled across the board, but their pass defense is especially concerning. They’ve allowed the most yards per completion (12.6) and air yards per attempt (10.3) in the league, and now they face Jordan Love, who ranks fourth among all quarterbacks in average depth of target.
After missing Weeks 2 and 3, Love returned last Sunday, shaking off a slow first half to rack up 389 passing yards by the end of the game—following up his 260-yard performance against the Eagles in Week 1. Love and the Packers are primed for another big outing, and they get a bonus boost from the Rams’ defensive scheme. According to Pro Football Focus, the Rams run zone defense at the eighth-highest rate in the NFL, but they rank 28th or worse in defensive success rate, yards per reception, and yards allowed per coverage snap when in zone.
Green Bay excels against zone defenses, and their wide receivers—Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, and Romeo Doubs—are thriving. All three are in the Top 25 in yards per catch vs. zone and in the Top 30 in yards per route run against zone coverage, making them a dangerous trio for this matchup.
The only real threat to this passing total is if the Packers open up a huge lead and go run-heavy, but with their defense also struggling, this game could stay competitive enough for Love to keep airing it out all four quarters…
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Week 4 NFL Player Props
Week 4 NFL Player Props Week 3 is in the books and we are cooking after a third consecutive profitable week. After beginning the season 9-4 (+6.3 Units), we produced a 5-2 record in Week 3 (+2.6 Units) due to
Week 4 NFL Player Props
Week 3 is in the books and we are cooking after a third consecutive profitable week. After beginning the season 9-4 (+6.3 Units), we produced a 5-2 record in Week 3 (+2.6 Units) due to a double-unit bet on Jauan Jennings after a pivot from George Kittle (who was a surprise inactive on Sunday). On the season, we are now 14-6 (70% conversion rate) and +8.9 Units! Let’s see if we can keep the momentum going with our Week 4 NFL Player Props.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 4 NFL prop bets! Like last week, I’ll be featuring one Thursday Night Football wager since our Week 3 TNF Anytime Touchdown bet cashed!
Lamar Jackson OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Coming off a heavy workload, Derrick Henry may take a bit of a backseat this week, with Lamar Jackson poised to steal the spotlight—just like we saw in Baltimore’s season opener. And given the context of this matchup, it makes sense. The Bills’ front seven has shown some vulnerability, especially when it comes to stopping the run, despite their impressive 3rd-place rank in Run Defense Win Rate. A closer look reveals they sit at a lowly 26th in PFF’s Run Defense Grade, signaling potential cracks in their armor.
Lamar has cleared this line in two of three games this season. The two times he did it, he decimated the line with 122 rushing yards in Week 1 and 87 rushing yards in Week 3. He’s averaging 84.6 rushing yards per game through three weeks of the season and is going to need to use his legs to keep the chains moving.
#Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is rushing at a RECORD PACE after three games⚡️
Jackson could shatter his record if he keeps it up📈#RavensFlock #NFL pic.twitter.com/UUe3jsom4q
— Football Forever (@fballforeverhq) September 25, 2024
What makes this matchup even more intriguing is Buffalo’s defensive scheme. Their tendency to anchor linebackers in coverage while relying heavily on just their front four to generate pressure leaves them exposed, especially against mobile quarterbacks like Jackson. Baltimore’s offensive line, which ranks above league average in both Run Block Win Rate and PFF Grade, is well-positioned to keep Buffalo’s pressure at bay. With minimal resistance up front, Lamar Jackson should have plenty of opportunities to take advantage of open rushing lanes…
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High-Stakes Draft Sees Anthony Richardson Go QB1
High-Stakes Draft Sees Anthony Richardson Go QB1 In Latest Circa Championship Draft In the latest Circa Las Vegas Fantasy Championship draft on Saturday night, managers witnessed the first real shock of the 2024 fantasy football season. Indianapolis Colts dual-threat quarterback Anthony Richardson was drafted as the overall QB1. The second-year signal-caller shockingly came off the board at 5.8 a near full round ahead of Josh Allen (6.6) as well as two rounds ahead of Patrick Mahomes (7.2), C.J. Stroud (7.6) and Jalen Hurts (7.9). Betting Movement Series: Big Expectations For Rookie RB | Elite RB Vegas is Fading | RB Ascending Up Early Draft Boards | WR Who May Struggle To Fulfill ADP value Is a player who has only played in four career NFL games worthy of being drafted first among all quarterbacks in re-draft leagues in 2024? Let’s dive in. Play Dynasty? Take a shot and become Dynasty King! $299 Entry, $2,875 in lg prizes + $10K Grand Prize w a $2K Dynasty King Bonus! Richardson Goes QB1 Obviously, fantasy managers are high on Richardson after seeing him throw for three touchdowns while also rushing for four touchdowns prior to suffering a season-ending shoulder injury in Week 5 against the Titans. The talented quarterback has seen his stock rise this summer owning an ADP of 74.2 / QB4. Last month, Richardson was the overall QB6 but has since moved ahead of both C.J. Stroud and Joe Burrow. However, this past weekend the hype reached a fever pitch when the former Flordia Gator stand-out came off the board ahead of arguably the best players at the position. Richardson has fantasy managers all-in as their QB1 due to his recent comments that he will not shy away from running the ball despite being injured last season on a rushing attempt. “My legs have always been one of my superpowers,” said Richardson recently. “So, trying to take that away from me, I don’t think that’s a good thing for this offense. It’s just more so me playing a little bit smarter and learning how to take care of myself and my teammates. Knowing when to make the right play and knowing when to try to get the extra few yards. Don’t take my legs away, but just be more smart.” #Colts QB Anthony Richardson on HC Shane Steichen trusting him to make the right reads as a runner: “My legs always been one of my superpowers. So, trying to take that away from me, I don’t think that’s a good thing for this offense.” Adds that Jonathan Taylor will help, too. pic.twitter.com/Hs3n85n0pA — James Boyd (@RomeovilleKid) July 25, 2024 WHAT ARE THE ODDSMAKERS SAYING? Despite only a small size, oddsmakers are bullish on Richardson in betting markets listing him with a passing yards betting projection of 3200.5 at DraftKings. The biggest move involving Richardson involves his passing touchdown number which opened at 15.5 but has since steamed to 18.5. His rushing yards betting demand has risen from 500.5 to 550.5 while his rushing touchdown number has held steady at 7.5 “Despite intriguing rushing talent, I am not willing to draft Richardson ahead of Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts.” – Frankie Taddeo In comparison, Josh Allen has betting projections of 3750.5 passing yards, 27.5 passing touchdowns, 480.5 rushing yards, and 9.5 rushing touchdowns. Despite only having a betting rushing yards projection of 329.5, Patrick Mahomes owns the highest passing yards demand of 4350.5 as well as the highest passing touchdowns number at 34.5. Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts owns a passing yards number of 3600.5, 22.5 passing touchdowns, 550.5 rushing yards, and 9.5 rushing touchdowns projection. Purely from a statistical betting perspective, it is very hard to defend drafting Richardson ahead of any of the top three options. Anthony Richardson has two rushing TDs less than six minutes into the game! 📺: #INDvsHOU on FOX⁰📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/FhXtx7w3wW pic.twitter.com/QfJYDVcoD2 — NFL (@NFL) September 17, 2023 There may be no bigger boom or bust pick at the quarterback position in 2024 than Richardson. His current ADP at the FFWC of QB4, behind only Allen, Hurts and Mahomes seems a bit high to me. While being in the same tier as Jackson, Stroud, Burrow, Love, and Prescott I will certainly own shares of A-Rich, but I will not be investing premium round draft capital nor will I ever draft him ahead of Allen, Hurts, or Mahomes. Get on the Road to the World Championships for just $50 by visiting the FFWC Draft Lobby today! Here’s how it works: Entering and winning a $50 Starter League will earn you a seat at the 2025 Las Vegas Fantasy Championships ($349 entry). Winning that league will win you a seat at the 2026 World Championships. –OR– Skip the line and directly enter the 2024 World Championships ($1,925 entry) today by securing your spot with a $200 deposit! GET THE LATEST FANTASY TIPS AND CONTEST UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter to win Weekly Prizes + Breaking Fantasy news & updates!
2024 Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Preview
2024 Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Preview There was a lot of adversity in Indianapolis in 2023. Still, the Colts were a dropped pass away from winning the AFC South. Despite missing his prized rookie signal-caller for most of the campaign, in
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Fantasy Football Injury Report
Fantasy Football Injury Report Another week, another round of impactful injuries. Approaching the mid-point of 2023 and it’s unlikely any roster hasn’t been affected. All we can do is reinforce through the waiver wire and stay proactive. Our Fantasy Football Injury Report for Week 7 will keep you updated on the news and offer advice on how to persevere. Also, a great starting point for staying updated on the latest injuries is to bookmark our NFL Injury Report. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Now, let’s break down all the latest fantasy-relevant injury news in this week’s Fantasy Football Injury Report for Week 7. We will continually update this list. Week 7 Byes: Carolina, Cincinnati, Dallas, Houston, New York Jets, Tennessee Christian McCaffrey (RB) San Francisco 49ers – In a season filled with big names getting hurt, perhaps no injury would hit as hard as losing the overall RB1, Christian McCaffrey. He exited Week 6 with an oblique injury and had an MRI on Monday. Fortunatley, Kyle Shanahan opined that CMC is “day-to-day,” so a major injury was avoided. However, that doesn’t mean fantasy managers shouldn’t be proactive. Elijah Mitchell and Jordan Mason should be scooped up off waivers. Anthony Richardson (QB) Indianapolis Colts – Unfortunately, Richardson’s rookie season will end prematurely. Colts owner Jim Irsay said that Richardson is expected to have season-ending surgery on his sprained AC joint. Subsequently, Gardner Minshew will assume the starting job. Minshew offers weekly QB2 upside. However, Richardson is relegated to dynasty hold. Kyren Williams (RB) Los Angeles Rams – Although Williams will miss one game, fantasy managers can breathe a sigh of relief. Williams avoided a major injury. He has a minor sprained ankle. Backup Ronnie Rivers wasn’t as fortunate. Subsequently, Rivers is a candidate for IR. As a result, Zach Evans becomes one of the most coveted Week 7 waiver wire targets. An MRI today revealed that Rams’ RB Kyren Williams has a sprained ankle that is expected to sideline him for Sunday’s game vs. the Steelers but is not considered a long-term injury, per source. — Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 16, 2023 Justin Fields (QB) Chicago Bears – Fields dislocated his thumb. He’s doubtful for Week 7. In fact, Fields could miss multiple weeks, as he is unable to grip the ball. Therefore, there is no concrete return timetable. We don’t recommend targeting whoever steps in as Chicago’s backup signal caller. David Montgomery (RB) Detroit Lions – A rib injury will force Montgomery to miss 1-2 games. Also, Jahmyr Gibbs missed last week with a hamstring injury. If Gibbs is healthy, he would be on the RB2 radar. However, Gibbs didn’t excel when Montgomery missed Week 3. Conversely, Craig Reynolds looks like a good bet for a prominent role this week in Baltimore. Trevor Lawrence (QB) Jacksonville Jaguars – Lawrence injured his knee last week but was able to finish the game. He has practiced with a brace all week. The Jags play on Thursday, but Lawrence is expected to be under center. However, we may see fewer runs for Lawrence, capping his fantasy upside in a tough matchup. Deebo Samuel (WR) San Francisco 49ers – Samuel is day-to-day. The injury is not long-term. #49ers injury updates from Kyle Shanahan: Christian McCaffrey: Is undergoing imaging now to determine what’s up with ribs/oblique. Deebo Samuel: He’s day to day with a shoulder injury. Trent Williams: It’s NOT a high ankle. He’s day to day, too. — Matt Maiocco (Threads @maiocconbcs) (@MaioccoNBCS) October 16, 2023 Deshaun Watson (QB) Cleveland Browns – Watson (shoulder) is week-to-week. Last week, the Browns medical staff cleared Watson. However, reports indicate that Watson is having trouble getting power behind any throws. Cleveland was off in Week 5, so Watson’s inability to start last Sunday is worrisome. We will have more in the FullTime Fantasy Discord as the week progresses. Zay Jones (WR) Jacksonville Jaguars – Jones missed Week 6 with a knee injury and did not practice Tuesday. There’s almost no chance he plays Thursday. Jimmy Garoppolo (QB) Las Vegas Raiders – A back injury knocked Garoppolo out of the Raiders’ Week 6 victory. However, the severity is unknown. The team is still awaiting further test results. We’ll have more in Discord later this week. Damien Harris (RB) Buffalo Bills – A scary situation in Buffalo seems to have a promising conclusion. Harris was taken off the field in an ambulance. However, he did give a thumbs-up before heading to a local hospital. Currently, Harris is in the league’s concussion protocol. While Harris is absent, expect more work for Latavius Murray. Daniel Jones (QB) New York Giants – Jones is still dealing with symptoms from his neck injury. In addition, Jones previously had a cervical injury that cost him six games in 2021. Also, the 1-5 Giants have little hope of contending, plus they have a quality backup in Tyrod Taylor. In conclusion, don’t expect Jones back in Week 7, and expect more of Taylor under center. Ryan Tannehill (QB) Tennessee Titans – A high-ankle sprain knocked Tannehill out of Tennessee’s Week 6 loss. However, the Titans are off this week. That gives Tannehill a full two weeks to recover. If the veteran can’t play in Week 8, Malik Willis will start. Subsequently, that would be a downgrade for the supporting cast. Jamaal Williams (RB) New Orleans Saints – Williams (hamstring) is nearing a return. However, with Alvin Kamara soaking up touches, it is fair to wonder if Williams will have much, if any role when he does. Diontae Johnson (WR) Pittsburgh Steelers – Finally, we try to end on a positive. It sounds like the Steelers will welcome back Anthony McFarland and Diontae Johnson this week. Also, TE Pat Freiermuth should return. The #Steelers have designated WR Diontae Johnson and RB Anthony McFarland Jr. to return from injured reserve. Both will practice this week and I
NFL Week 1 Jaguars at Colts: DFS & Fantasy Preview
NFL Week 1 Jaguars at Colts: DFS & Fantasy Preview Betting Line: Jaguars – 4.5 Over/Under: 45.5 The Jaguars have an ascending offense led by Trevor Lawrence. He had growth in all areas in his sophomore season, but he lacked big plays (only three completions of 40 yards or more). Calvin Ridley looks locked and loaded to have a big year after sitting on the sideline since the fifth week of 2021. Last year, Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram had career seasons in their first year with the Jaguars. Travis Etienne looks poised to push higher up the running back rankings, even with Tank Bigsby commanding some touches in his rookie campaign. Indianapolis had a black cloud hanging over their preseason due to Jonathan Taylor wanting to be traded. After placing him on the injured reserve for four games, the Colts lack identity at running back. Anthony Richardson will get plenty of carries in his first NFL start, but can he throw the ball well enough early in his career to deliver wins for Indy? The combination of Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce, and Josh Downs has an upside feel. The question is whether or not Richardson will attempt more than 30 passes in many games to support his top receivers in the fantasy market. Note: The fantasy points per $1,000 are based on the early projections for Week 1. The above grid shows the top players excepted to contribute in Week 1 in the fantasy games. I listed each player’s salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, plus their fantasy points expected per $1,000 of salary invested. In GPP (grand prize pools) events, the goal is to find players with a chance to score four times their salary at DraftKings ($50,000 salary cap and three times at FanDuel ($60,000 salary cap). Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence Lawrence finished seventh in quarterback scoring (20.83 FPPG) in 2022 while delivering two impact games (37.10 and 32.00) in fantasy points. In two starts vs. the Colts, he gained 432 combined yards with five scores. The addition of Calvin Ridley gives a higher chance of delivering passing touchdowns and adding length to his yards per pass attempt (7.0 in 2022 and 6.0 in 2021). Lawrence adds value to his stat line by running the ball (73/334/2 and 62/291/5). Indy allowed 25 passing touchdowns last year with 10 interceptions and 44 sacks. I don’t see this game turning into a shootout due to the Colts’ lack of an explosive passing quarterback. Lawrence has the tools to shine, and he may hit on a 50+ yard touchdown in this matchup. His salary requires at least 25.00 fantasy points to be viable. I expect Lawrence to finish close to this number in Week 1. Travis Etienne The Jaguars ran the ball 32.3 times a game in the preseason, leading to 420 yards and seven rushing touchdowns. Etienne rushed for more than 100 yards in six games last year (including in the playoffs). He scored over 20.00 fantasy points in only three games (25.20, 26.60, and 23.00). Jacksonville gave him 20+ touches in five matchups. He finished 17th in running back scoring (208.10) despite a slow start over his first four games (34/144 and 8/81), while James Robinson (51/230/3 with 6/33/1) played well over the first three weeks. The Jaguars will rotate in a second back, leading to Etienne seeing about 60% of the team’s snaps. To reach a winning score in more weeks, Etienne must score more often and be more active in the passing game. Not ideal for Week 1, but he has the wheels to hit on a long TD, keeping in the explosive mix. Tank Bigsby Over his last 25 games at Auburn, Bigsby rushes for 2,069 yards and 20 touches on 402 carries while chipping in the passing game (51/364 on 76 targets). He ranked third in the preseason in rushing yards (159) on 28 carries. Bigsby didn’t score while losing one ball at the goal line. I get the buzz in the preseason, but Etienne is the dynamic back in this offense. He is overpriced in Week 1 for his expected opportunity. Calvin Ridley Over the summer, Ridley flashed speed and quickness in training camp while offering elite route running. He continues to shoot up draft boards, and I support his movement. When at his best in 2020 (90/1,374/9 on 143 targets), Ridley was the fifth highest scoring wideout (283.90). He gained more than 100 yards in eight games (9/130/2, 7/109/2, 5/110, 8/136, 5/108, 8/124/1, 10/163/1, and 5/130). The Jaguars’ wide receiver had 238 catches for 2,670 yards and 19 touchdowns on 369 targets last year. The addition of Ridley will undoubtedly push them higher in all categories in 2023. Based on his salary at DraftKings and FanDuel, Ridley should glow like a beacon in the night. Ridley needs a 7/100/1 game to place him in the money in the DFS market. His one negative is the Jaguars may not need to throw the ball much in the second half. Read more about the FullTime Fantasy’s staff feelings about Calvin Ridley in 2023 here. Christian Kirk Kirk set career highs in catches (84), receiving yards (1,108), touchdowns (8), and targets (133) in his first year with the Jaguars. Unfortunately, Ridley is now the true WR1 for Jacksonville. On the positive side, Kirk will see weaker coverage. He gained over 100 yards in three games (6/117, 9/105/2, and 6/104/1) in 2022 with three other 20+ fantasy weeks (6/78/2, 8/76/1, and 6/99/1) in PPR formats. Kirk only had 11 targets in his two games (6/78/2 and 4/24/1) vs. the Colts. With Ridley expected to be popular in the DFS market in Week 1, Kirk could be the against-the-grain play. His salary requires about 22.00 fantasy points to be an option. Zay Jones Jones outperformed expectations in 2022 (82/823/5 on 121 targets) while working close to the line of scrimmage (10.0 yards per catch). He posted two impact games (11/145 and 6/109/3) plus three competitive
2023 Indianapolis Colts Outlook
2023 Indianapolis Colts Outlook The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview
2023 Indianapolis Colts Outlook
The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview of all 32 teams from football legend Shawn Childs.
Also, check out Jody Smith’s NFL offensive line rankings and exclusive 2023 Strength of Schedule analysis.
Up next in our extensive NFL and fantasy football preview series is Shawn’s deep dive into the 2023 Indianapolis Colts Outlook.
— Offense —
Game flow led to Indianapolis throwing 80 more pass attempts than the previous season (524). In 2021, the Colts ran a balanced offense, thanks to the elite season by Jonathan Taylor. Their new coaching staff wants to run that ball based on their game plan in Philly. Ultimately, the number of starts by Anthony Richardson sets the tone for their game plan.
— Quarterback —
Anthony Richardson
After limited playing time in 2021 (930 combined yards with nine touchdowns and five interceptions), Richardson made 12 starts for the Florida Gators last year. He ran the ball exceptionally well (103/654/9) while finishing with weakness in his completion rate (53.8) and low pass attempts per game (27.3). His passing stats (2,549 yards with 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions) didn’t showcase a star passer.
Richardson has an electric flow when running the ball that puts him closer to Lamar Jackson than Jalen Hurts. When in the open field, he has the feel to set up defenders and the acceleration to pick up big chunks of yards. Richardson throws with touch and accuracy downfield when his breaking receiver has a wide window of daylight. His challenge comes when throwing timing routes over the short areas of the field.
Fantasy Outlook: The Colts’ quarterbacks only ran the ball 46 times for 165 yards and one touchdown last season. Richardson should beat those totals in about three games. In the early draft season, he is the 17th-ranked quarterback despite no clear information about the number of games he will start. However, the bet and his floor come from his running ability. But Richardson can’t be a difference-maker without throwing the ball better. The new Colts’ head coach invested in Richardson, meaning he’ll quickly move into the starting lineup. I expect 12 to 13 starts, with his best play coming late in the season.
Gardner Minshew
Over his first two seasons, Minshew went 7-13 as the starting quarterback for Jacksonville. His touchdown to interception ratio (37:11) graded well while averaging 240 passing yards per game. A thumb issue led to him losing his starting job over the second half of 2020.
Minshew appeared in nine games over the past two seasons for the Eagles. He completed 62.5% of his passes for 1,102 with seven touchdowns and four interceptions while chipping in with 16 rushes for 24 yards and one score. In his two starts in 2022, Minshew threw for 629 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions.
Fantasy Outlook: His experience in Philadelphia suggests that Indy may use Minshew as their starting quarterback in September. I don’t expect him to be drafted in 2023, but he may surprise in short spurts.
Other Options: Sam Ehlinger
— Running Backs —
The Colts’ running backs lost 0.89 yards per rush and 2.18 yards per catch from their 2021 stats. They scored 15 fewer touchdowns while gaining 2,301 combined yards with 99 catches. Over the past three seasons, their backs averaged 519 touches, with elite scoring in fantasy points (32.02) in PPR leagues in 2020 and 2021. A certain rookie running quarterback could steal rushing attempts and touchdowns.
Jonathan Taylor
The Colts gave Taylor about 50% of their running back snaps over the first five weeks in 2021, leading to less value than expected running the ball (73/327/2). However, he did shine twice (6/60 and 3/116/1) over this span catching the ball. Indy gave him more than 80% of their snaps over their final eight games. Taylor had a floor of 95 combined yards over his last 12 games while turning into a beast running the ball (259/1,484/16). His role in the passing game dwindled over his final five contests (4/24). He finished the year first in running back scoring (375.10) in PPR leagues with 2,171 combined yards, 20 touchdowns, and 40 catches.
Last season, Taylor kicked in the door in Week 1 (175 combined yards with one touchdown and four catches on 35 touches). He picked up a toe issue in late September, followed by an ankle injury that later required surgery. Taylor missed six games while posting an empty showing (one catch for 13 yards) in Week 15. His only other game of value came in Week 10 (22/147/1 with two catches for 16 yards). In his 10 full starts, Indy gave him 21.9 touches per game.
Fantasy outlook: Taylor is big and fast with an electric ceiling in scoring, but he needs better quarterback plays to extend drives and create more scoring chances. After a down season, Taylor is the fourth running back drafted with an ADP of 12 in PPR formats in the high-stakes market. Indianapolis should give him all the carries he can handle. Expect a floor of 1,500 combined yards with a dozen scores and a run at 50 catches. I expect his stock to rise as the draft season moves closer to September.
Evan Hull
Over his final two seasons at Northwestern, Hull delivered two productive years (196/1,009/7 with 33 catches for 264 yards and two touchdowns and 221/913/5 with 55 catches for 546 yards and two scores). He gained over 200 yards twice (24/220/4 and 22/216/2) in college, with eight showing with more than 100 rushing yards.
Fantasy Outlook: Based on the structure of the backup Colts’ running backs…
WHAT CAN WE EXPECT OUT OF THE COLTS IN 2023?
To finish reading Shawn’s in-depth 2023 team outlook, with in-depth offseason reports, projections, and fantasy outlooks for all players
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