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2023 Pittsburgh Steelers Outlook

George Pickens

2023  Pittsburgh Steelers Outlook The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview

2023  Pittsburgh Steelers Outlook

The 2023 NFL season is right around the corner and that means fantasy football drafts are underway. Before you assemble your championship dynasty, redraft, or high-stakes squad, FullTime Fantasy members will have an in-depth, player-by-player preview of all 32 teams from football legend Shawn Childs.

Also, check out Jody Smith’s NFL offensive line rankings and exclusive 2023 Strength of Schedule analysis.

Up next in our extensive NFL and fantasy football preview series is Shawn’s deep dive into the 2023 Pittsburgh Steelers Outlook.

— PROJECTIONS —

— Quarterback —

Kenny Pickett

Pickett developed into a stud quarterback in their senior year in college (4,319 yards with 42 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions) after a mediocre career over his first four seasons (7,984 passing yards with 39 touchdowns and 25 interceptions over 39 games). His completion rate (67.2) and yards per pass attempt (8.7) were well above his previous resume (60.4 and 6.8). Over five seasons, he ran the ball 417 times for 801 yards and 20 touchdowns despite gaining only 1.9 yards per carry.

The Pittsburgh Panthers used Pickett almost exclusively out of the shotgun, which fits well with the Steelers. When given a long passing window, he had his eyes up, looking to beat defenses over the top. Pickett showed the ability to make quick pre-snap reads. His arm strength grades well, with enough mobility to make a breaking-free rusher miss with his legs. When asked to roll out to his right, Pickett maintained his accuracy on the move. He won’t be a difference-maker in the run game, but Pickett can pick up some first downs with his legs and offer scoring value on sneaks at the goal line.

At the next level, his most significant challenges will come from a shorter passing window and the overall quality of his supporting cast in the passing game. In a way, he has a Matt Ryan feel with less size but more quickness. Pickett is a pocket passer with a chance to beat expectations by some scouts. 

In his rookie season, he made 13 starts while failing to deliver impact stats in any matchup. Pickett passed for more than 300 yards in Week 5 (327/0) while attempting over 40 passes in three contests. Over his final eight games, he averaged only 180 passing yards with five touchdowns and one interception. His value as a runner (55/237/3) was better than expected. 

Fantasy Outlook: A couple of concussions knocked Pickett out of a couple of starts while costing him one game. His chemistry with Diontae Johnson (52.9% catch rate) and finding him in the end zone (no touchdowns) was a problem. Pittsburgh has a pass-catching back plus six other viable receiving options, giving Pickett a chance to be much better in 2023. His first step in his growth is finishing drives with passing touchdowns in the red zone. The tools to succeed are in place, but I still view him as a gamble QB2 (ranked 21st) in 12-team fantasy formats. For now, a player and offense to watch in the preseason to see if the sum of the parts equals a worthy quarterback investment. 

Mitchell Trubisky

Most football observers think of Trubisky as a first-round bust (2nd overall pick in 2017). After a quiet rookie season (4-8 with seven touches and seven interceptions), he went 27-16 over his next 43 starts, with a pro bowl appearance in 2018. His completion rate (65.3) was respectable over this stretch, but Trubisky settles for too many short passes (6.8 yards per pass attempt). 

Last year, he went 2-3 with Pittsburgh over seven appearances with 1,252 passing yards, four passing touchdowns, and five interceptions. Trubisky lost his momentum in the run game (19/38/2). 

Pittsburgh signed Trubisky to a two-year deal with a base pay of $14 million in 2022 with an upside of $27 million if he hits on all his incentives. They saw enough of his game to extend him for another two seasons in May. 

Fantasy Outlook: Trubisky provides veteran experience at quarterback for the Steelers, but he should open the season behind Kenny Pickett on the depth chart. With no spark in any start last year, Trubisky has much to prove to the fantasy market before earning a bench role. 

Other Options: Mason Rudolph, Tanner Morgan

— Running Backs —

The Steelers’ running backs have seen an increase in rushing attempts in back-to-back seasons, leading to three-year highs in attempts (426), rushing yards (1,798), and yards per carry (4.2). Their backs continue to gain short yards per catch (6.2) while receiving 21.4% of the team’s completions. Pittsburgh’s running back picked up seven passing touchdowns over the past three seasons, with minimal change in their overall scoring (12, 12, and 14 touchdowns).

Najee Harris

In his first season in the NFL, Harris ranked third in fantasy scoring (300.70) in PPR formats. Pittsburgh had him on the field for 81.4% of their plays, leading to a massive workload (381 touches). In essence, Harris had a Le’Veon Bell opportunity in this offense with less explosiveness. Between Week 2 and Week 17, Harris has a floor of 16.80 fantasy points in 13 of his 15 starts. He was a better player at home (1,042 combined yards with five touchdowns and 44 catches) than on the road (653 combined yards with five touchdowns and 32 catches). His only three games with over 100 yards rushing (23/122/1, 26/105, and 28/188/1) came in Pittsburgh.

Harris came into last season with some concerns about a foot injury. He ended up playing all 17 games, leading to 1,263 combined yards, 10 touchdowns, and 41 catches. His yards per rush have been an issue in back-to-back years (3.9 and 3.8), along with his yards per catch (6.3 and 5.6). Last season, Harris gained more than 20 yards on only one of his 313 touches. He finished 14th in running back scoring (225.50) in PPR formats while reaching 20.00 fantasy points in only two outings (27.60 and 20.30). Harris scored seven of his 10 touchdowns over his final eight games.  He had a gamer mentality based on playing through multiple injuries in 2022 (foot, knee, oblique, and hip).

The Steelers have tried to improve their offensive line through the draft and free agency over the past two seasons. The best help for Harris should be the addition of LT Broderick Jones this year.

Fantasy Outlook: The most significant negative for Harris may be the potential value of backup running back Jaylen Warren. He’ll clearly get in the way in the passing game (28/214 on 33 targets), and Warren showed more explosiveness in yards per rush (4.9) and yards per catch (7.6). Harris comes off the board as the 14th running back in the early draft season in the high-stakes market. With 300 touches, he should gain a minimum of 1,300 yards with about a dozen scores and 50 catches. Harris has a high floor and a sneaky ceiling.

Jaylen Warren

Pittsburgh signed Warren as an undrafted free agent in 2022 after showing growth in his play in his final year at Oklahoma State (256/1,216/11 with 25 catches for 225 yards). 

The Steelers gave him a minimal role over his first four games (77 combined yards and seven catches on 17 touches) before showing a spark in a chaser game vs. the Bills (63 yards and four catches). Warren gained more than 75 combined yards in Week 8 and Week 10 with a combined six catches. His season ended with a bump in touches (43) over the final four matchups (35/173/1 and eight catches for 47 yards). 

Overall, Pittsburgh had Warren on the field for 29.4% of their plays compared to 65.7 by Najee Harris.

Fantasy Outlook: With better offensive play by the Steelers, Warren should see his touches increase by 20 to 30%. In early ADP…

 

WHAT CAN WE EXPECT OUT OF THE STEELERS IN 2023?

To finish reading Shawn’s in-depth 2023 team outlook, with in-depth offseason reports, projections, and fantasy outlooks for all players

 

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Check out our FREE profiles of top RB Bijan Robinson and elite WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba to see the kind of in-depth reports you can expect, only from FullTime Fantasy! 

2022 FullTime Fantasy Staff Predictions

The 2022 NFL season is rapidly approaching and that means it is fantasy football draft season. The 2022 FullTime Fantasy Staff Predictions give you all the insight you’ll need to dominate your league’s draft. FullTime Fantasy’s exclusive Preseason Pro Series

The 2022 NFL season is rapidly approaching and that means it is fantasy football draft season. The 2022 FullTime Fantasy Staff Predictions give you all the insight you’ll need to dominate your league’s draft.

FullTime Fantasy’s exclusive Preseason Pro Series offers unique insight from some of the world’s most successful high-stakes players. In addition, we have the reigning No. 1 draft ranker Billy Muzio and former Most Accurate Expert, Jody Smith, assuring that FullTime Fantasy members get the absolute best rankings and analyses that are available anywhere!

Just like when you visit our PreSeason PRO Hub, we polled the FullTime Fantasy staff to present our official preseason staff picks for sleeper, bust, breakout, and comeback players of the year. For transparency, here’s how we’re defining those picks.

  • Sleeper: A player who is being overlooked and will outperform his average draft position (ADP) in 2022.
  • Bust: A player who is highly regarded and will underperform his ADP in 2022.
  • Breakout: A player (rookies included) who will rise up with career-best numbers in 2022 and make a huge impact.
  • Comeback: A player who underperformed or was injured in 2021 and is due for a significant rebound in 2022.

Before you prepare for the real deal, be sure to snag your first free mock draft on us and be eligible for some amazing prizes. Now, let’s get on to the 2022 FullTime Fantasy Staff Predictions.

Our 2022 Breakout Player

Michael Pittman (WR) Indianapolis Colts 

Fresh off the heels of a solid WR18 campaign last season, Michael Pittman checks all the boxes of an ascending player. First, he’s already an elite talent with the size (6-4, 223) to dominate in all facets of the game. Secondly, he fits the third-year wide receiver breakout narrative, although the 88/1,082/6 showing in 2021 indicates he has already arrived. Finally, the upgrade from Carson Wentz to Matt Ryan can not be understated. Ryan has a history of peppering his No. 1 wideouts with targets. If the past is any indicator, Pittman is about to contend for top-5 fantasy numbers in 2022.

Looking at our 2022 Fantasy Football Rankings, we’re all-in on Pittman in 2022. And that’s why he’s our easy pick for 2022 Breakout Player of the Year.

You MUST See the FullTime Staff’s picks for sleeper, bust, and comeback!!

To finish reading this  content… use PROMO CODE – SLEEPER22 to save 22% off our 6-MONTH MEMBERSHIP and

 

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You can read former Rankings Accuracy Champion Jody Smith’s PreSeason Pro FREE to see what it’s all about.

2021 Fantasy Free Agent Tracker (Player Movement)

JuJu Smith Schuster

Welcome to the 2021 fantasy Player Movement tracker! Get up to date with everything that’s went on this off-season. Our fantasy Depth Charts are always kept up to date. Last updated: 5/26/2021 QUARTERBACKS Carson Wentz – Colts (via trade) Sam Darnold – Panthers (via trade) Matthew Stafford – LA Rams (via trade) Jared Goff – Lions (via trade) Teddy Bridgewater – Broncos (via trade) Ryan Fitzmagic – WFT – 1 yr 10m Dak Prescott – Cowboys – 4yr 160m (re-signed) Andy Dalton – da Bears – 1 yr 10m Tyrod Taylor – Texans – 1yr 12.5m Jameis Winston – 1 yr 12m Jacoby Brissett – Dolphins – 1yr 5m Mitchell Trubisky – Bills – 1yr 2.5m Joe Flacco – Eagles – 1yr 3m CJ Beathard – Texans – 2yr 5m Chase Daniel – LA Chargers Tim Boyle – Lions – 1yr 2.5m AJ McCarron – Falcons Colt McCoy – Cardinals – 1yr Nate Sudfeld – 49ers – 1yr RUNNING BACKS Mark Ingram – Texans – 1yr 3m Aaron Jones – Packers – 4yr 48m Carlos Hyde – Jags – 2 yr 6m Malcolm Brown – Dolphins – 1yr 1.7m Jamaal Williams – Lions – 2yr 7.5m Lamar Miller – WFT – 1yr ?$ Kenyan Drake – Raiders – 2yr 14.5m Chris Carson – Seahawks – 3yr 24.6m Phillip Lindsay – Texans – 1yr 3.25m Mike Davis – Falcons – 2yr 5.5m Mike Boone – Broncos – 2yr 2.6m James White – Patriots – 1yr 2.5m Tevin Coleman – NYJets – 1yr 2m Damien Williams – Bears – 1yr ? Matt Breida – Bills – 1yr ? Giovani Bernard – Bucs – 1yr Jerick McKinnon – Chiefs Devontae Booker – Giants – 2yr 6m James Conner – Cardinals – 1yr Wayne Gallman – 49ers – 1yr Brian Hill – Titans – Ryquell Armstead – Giants (via waivers) Corey Clement – Giants WIDE RECEIVERS Allen Robinson – Bears – 1yr 18m (tag) Chris Godwin – Bucs – 1yr 15.9m (tag) Corey Davis – NYJets – 3 yr 37m Nelson Agholor – Patriots – 2 yr 26m Marvin Jones – Jags – 2yr 14.5m Kendrick Bourne – Patriots – 3 yr 22.5m Emmanuel Sanders – Bills – 1yr 6m John Brown – Raiders – 1yr 5.5m Curtis Samuel – WFT – 3yr 34.5m AJ Green – Cardinals – 1yr 6m Will Fuller – Miami Dolphins – 1yr 10m Keelan Cole – NYJets – 1yr 5.5m Breshad Perriman – Lions – 1yr 3m JuJu Smith-Schuster – Steelers – 1yr 8m DeSean Jackson – Rams – 1yr 4.5m Josh Reynolds – Titans – ? Isaiah McKensie – Bills – 1yr 1.15m TY Hilton – Colts – 1yr 10m Kenny Golladay – Giants – 4yr 72m Brandon Powell – Bills Mack Hollins – Dolphins Sammy Watkins – Ravens – 1yr 6m Chris Conley – Texans – 1yr 1.5m Andre Roberts – Texans – 2yr up to 5.95m Andre Erickson – Texans – 1yr Donte Moncrief – Texans – 1yr Phillip Dorsett – Jaguars Tajae Sharpe – Falcons Willie Snead – Raiders Adam Humphries – WFT Marquise Goodwin – Bears – 1yr Tyrell Williams – Lions – 1yr 4.7m David Moore – Panthers – 2yr 4.75m Kelvin Benjamin – Giants TIGHT ENDS Rob Gronkowski – Bucs – 1yr 10m Jonnu Smith – Patriots – 4 yr 50m Hunter Henry – Patriots – 3 yr 37.5m Gerald Everett – Seahawks – 1yr 6m Jared Cook – Chargers – 1yr 6m Kyle Rudolph – Giants – 2yr 14m Tyler Kroft – Jets – 1yr 1.5m Marcedes Lewis – Packers – 2yr 8m Jacob Hollister – Bills – 1yr Josh Oliver – Ravens (via trade) Thaddeus Moss – Bengals (via waiver claim) Ryan Izzo – Texans (via trade) Eric Saubert – Broncos Blake Bell – Chiefs Jeremy Sprinkle – Cowboys Josh Hill – Lions Lee Smith – Falcons (via trade) Dan Arnold – Panthers – 2yr 6m Nick Vannett – Saints – 3yr Darren Fells – Lions – ? Tim Tebow – Jaguars (via un-retirement) – 1yr Ricky Seals-Jones – Football Team KICKERS Randy Bullock – Lions Matt Prater – Cardinals – 2yr 7m Fantasy analysis will be added to the 2021 PLAYER MOVEMENT tracker. Fantasy football is year round with Dynasty Fantasy Football. FFWC Dynasty orphans are SOLD OUT but new Startups are available including our new Superflex w 2TE premium scoring! Teams range from $75 to $500. Learn all about the Dynasty Football World Championships HERE. Visit your account to see our premium member content.