Circa Survivor Report: Week 1
Circa Survivor Report: BENGALS DASH DREAMS; KO ONE-THIRD OF CONTEST ANY. GIVEN. SUNDAY. Those three words came back to haunt the 34.2% of the people who backed Cincinnati in Week 1 of the Circa Survivor contest. 4,895 entries picked Joe Burrow and the Bengals to beat New England at home. However, the 7.5-point underdog Patriots pulled off the biggest upset of Week 1 after earning a 16-10 victory. Bengals (-375 ML) were the biggest favorite on the Week 1 slate… They lose outright after closing -8 👍 pic.twitter.com/wWpJrMAAc6 — br_betting (@br_betting) September 8, 2024 Following the news that star WR Tee Higgins (hamstring) would miss the game – coupled with an unhappy Ja’Marr Chase (contract) – New England drew strong support at the betting counters dropping the spread from +9.5 down to +7.5 at Circa. Circa Survivor, which drew a record-breaking $14,266,000 million prize pool this year, proved once again that there is no such thing as a “lock” in the NFL – despite not needing to cover any point spread. #CircaSurvivor 2024 🏈🏆 Week 1 Selections 📄 Complete selections: https://t.co/7AUS2wUrt0 pic.twitter.com/GYVsPNP4lG — Circa Sports (@CircaSports) September 8, 2024 In addition to the Bengals, the Falcons were the next biggest knock-out blow to contestants. Atlanta knocked out another 431 entries (5.7%). 5,519 (39%) of the 14,206 entries were eliminated in Week 1. The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling one that forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread and one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the season. Circa Survivor, which requires a $1,000 entry fee, will be a sweat of a lifetime for those who run deep into the season due to the massive winner-take-all prize pool. In an early look ahead to Week 2, it is expected that: Baltimore (-9.5) vs Las Vegas, LA Chargers (-6.5) at Carolina, Detroit (-7) vs Tampa Bay, Kansas City (-6) vs Cincinnati and Houston (-6.5) vs Chicago – will be among the most heavily chosen teams in the contest. Circa Hotel and Resort in Las Vegas is the proud home of FullTime Fantasy‘s renowned Fantasy Football World Championship! ENTER OUR WEEK 2 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 2 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 2 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 2 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Week 1 Fantasy Football Sleepers
Week 1 Fantasy Football Sleepers The NFL season is just around the corner, and with it, Week 1 of fantasy football is here. But let’s be honest—Week 1 is the wildest and most unpredictable week of the NFL season. Fantasy managers are left guessing how teams will operate, how specific players will be utilized, and how new coaching staffs will adjust the play-calling. What if you start someone who ends up riding the bench all game? What if all those glowing training camp reports were misleading? Don’t worry too much. In Week 1, it’s all about minimizing risk. You want to lean on players with the most secure roles and avoid unnecessary gambles. Of course, not every team has the luxury of such stability, and some situations will require a bit more insight. To help you out, here’s a look at a few Week 1 Fantasy Football Sleepers to start to kick off the 2024-25 NFL season. Baker Mayfield (QB) Tampa Bay Buccaneers You are probably only considering Baker Mayfield if you’re in a 2 QB League. He’s not a top-12 option, and Week 1 is all about starting your strongest players. However, if you’re in a pinch, Mayfield could surprise. The Washington Commanders were the league’s worst pass defense last season, allowing the most passing yards and touchdowns. While the departure of offensive coordinator Dave Canales might hinder the Buccaneers’ offense, Week 1 presents a prime opportunity for Mayfield and the Bucs to exploit a weak Commanders’ defense. Jerome Ford (RB) Cleveland Browns In Week 1 against the Dallas Cowboys, Jerome Ford is set to handle a substantial workload. Given the Browns’ uncertainties at offensive tackle and Dallas’ formidable pass rush, Cleveland is expected to lean heavily on their ground game. The Cowboys’ defense, which ranked 15th in yards per carry allowed last season, is vulnerable enough to make the running game a focal point for the Browns. D’Onta Foreman poses a threat at the goal line, which limits Ford’s ceiling to a mid-tier flex play. Despite this, his strong PPR potential, with 44 receptions last season, makes him a viable starter in deeper leagues. J.K. Dobbins (RB) Los Angeles Chargers J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards, and former Ravens offensive coordinator Greg Roman all came to the Los Angeles Chargers this season. The rotation between Dobbins and Edwards remains uncertain. However, Dobbins was the main back in Baltimore when both were healthy. Dobbins’ injury history is a major concern, particularly his recent Achilles tear from Week 1 of the 2023 season. Achilles injuries can be career-altering for NFL running backs, and it’s unclear if Dobbins will return to form. In Week 1, when Dobbins faces the Las Vegas Raiders, managers in deeper leagues should consider starting him, albeit with tempered expectations as he returns from a significant injury. Dontayvion Wicks (WR) Green Bay Packers Philadelphia’s revamped secondary is the key question for those rostering Green Bay Packers receivers in Week 1. The truth is, we’re venturing into the unknown. Philly’s defense should improve from last year’s dismal performance (ranking 31st in passing yards allowed) with the arrival of new defensive backs and Vic Fangio as the defensive coordinator. This uncertainty makes Packers wideout Dontayvion Wicks an intriguing option in deeper leagues. Additionally, Wicks showed promise as a rookie, racking up 581 yards and 4 touchdowns, and he has the potential to become a key target for Jordan Love in 2024. I included Wicks as a league-winning pick in the latest FullTime Fantasy Podcast. Rashid Shaheed (WR) New Orleans Saints Shaheed is gearing up for a favorable Week 1 matchup against the Carolina Panthers. Managers should be licking their chops at this one, despite the Panthers quietly holding their own against receivers last season. Even with the potential for a positive game script, the Saints are likely to keep their offense aggressive against this division rival, giving Shaheed ample opportunities to make an impact downfield. Expect the Saints to target Shaheed with some big plays early, setting the tone from the get-go. While he may not be a volume target this season, his ability to deliver explosive plays makes him a high-upside WR3/FLEX option. Pat Freiermith (TE) Pittsburgh Steelers One of the major coaching changes in the league is coordinator Arthur Smith, who historically runs a tight-end friendly offense. Pat Freiermuthh will be the beneficiary if that’s how the season plays out. Pat Freiermuth has a favorable matchup against Atlanta’s defense. Freiermuth ranks 10th among TEs in PFF receiving grade. Additionally, he’s facing an Atlanta defense that ranked 32nd in yards per route run allowed vs TEs last year. Therefore, you should feel free to start Freiermuth if you don’t possess one of the elite tight ends. ENTER OUR WEEK 1 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 1 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 1 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 1 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Week 1 NFL Player Props: Malik Nabers Leads the Way
Week 1 NFL Player Props Week 1 is officially underway and it’s that time of week to start pinpointing the best prop bets to exploit heading into Sunday’s slate of action. Last season, this column resulted in +12.6 Units so let’s have another profitable season. Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 1 NFL Player Props to target! Jared Goff OVER 265.5 Passing Yards (-114) Goff topped this line in each of his previous five games of the 2023 season, including in the Wild Card Round against these very same Los Angeles Rams in which he tallied 277 passing yards. With Amon-Ra St. Brown, a healthy Jameson Williams, Sam Laporta, and even Kalif Raymond, the sky is the limit for these Lions. Especially with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery in the backfield. Goff finished the 2023 campaign second in passing yards (4,575) and his home/away splits are eye-popping. He completed over 70% of his pass attempts with a 19:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 107.9 QBR at home. On the road, it was a different story as the signal caller completed just 64.8% of his throws with an 11:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and an 89.5 QBR. Against the Rams, the Lions will surely run the ball but given the weapons at Goff’s disposal, I think he’ll clear this line easily on his home turf. Expect at least one deep connection to Jameson Williams while St. Brown and Laporta will be peppered with targets. Smash the Over. Jordan Love OVER 255.5 Passing Yards (-110) WIN After his breakout season, Jordan Love is set to kick off this campaign against an Eagles team getting a ton of buzz for upgrading its secondary. However, that secondary was the league’s second-worst pass defense in 2023. And although the Eagles snagged two corners with their first two picks, I’m not so sure that they’ll be able to stick with Green Bay’s electric playmakers on the outside in Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, and even Luke Musgrave. If the Packers want to remain competitive in their season opener, the secondary is the area of the field that Love will need to exploit. Philly also swapped out Hassan Reddick for Michael Huff, but their front seven remains largely the same — a group that finished 10th in rushing defense last season. So, the ground game might be tough sledding, which means Love and his receivers will have the best shot moving the ball through the air. Love was a machine late last season, averaging 271 passing yards over his final nine regular season games, throwing for 255+ yards in seven of them. And while RB Josh Jacobs will get his touches, don’t be surprised if some of those handoffs turn into screen passes or dump-offs to keep the Eagles’ fierce front seven on their heels — boosting Love’s yardage even more. Brian Robinson Jr. OVER 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115) WIN Here’s a line that stands out — and not in a good way! It’s set way too low for a clear RB1 like Brian Robinson Jr. Let me break it down: Robinson is the main guy for the Commanders, handling the bulk of the carries. Meanwhile, Austin Ekeler, as talented as he is, plays more of a third-down role, meaning he’s not going to be pounding the rock a ton. Now, even if Robinson isn’t super efficient — let’s say he averages just 3.0 yards per carry — with the kind of volume he’s likely to get (around 13 carries), he’ll still end up pushing past 40 yards. So don’t let a low line fool you! I’ll be wagering multiple units on this one. James Conner OVER 12.5 Rushing Attempts (-120) WIN Get ready for a wild ride because I’m all in on the Cardinals surprising everyone this season! This bet is all about believing in them to rise above expectations. The Cardinals are 6.5-point underdogs heading into Buffalo, and if the Bills completely steamroll them, sure, this might not hit. But I think the Cardinals can hang tough! Last season, James Conner cleared 12.5 rush attempts in 9 of his 13 games. And the only times he didn’t? Those were brutal losses by 19, 14, 23, and 11 points. As long as Arizona doesn’t get blown out, Conner will be fed the ball. Rookie Trey Benson? He’s probably only getting a couple of carries, leaving Conner as the workhorse. So, unless this game turns into a total rout, expect Conner to smash that 12.5-rush-attempt mark! Blake Corum UNDER 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-120) Do we truly think Sean McVay is going to cut back Kyren Williams‘s workload that much? Perhaps later in the season but seven carries for a backup running back still seems like a lot. Especially given that the Lions are favored, the Rams may have to throw the ball late to complete a comeback. This game’s got the highest total of the week at 50.5, so we’re probably in for an exciting, pass-heavy shootout. With all that action, it’s hard to imagine Blake Corum — in his first game — squeezing in seven rush attempts. It’s going to be all about the air show in this one! Nico Collins OVER 65.6 Receiving Yards (-120) WIN Get ready for a big game from Collins! That standout receiver was the third-best in 2023 according to PFF. Sure, Stefon Diggs might take a chunk of the targets, but you can’t overlook what Collins did against Indy last season. He torched them, clearing 100 yards in both matchups, including a jaw-dropping 195-yard performance in Week 18! And it’s not just the Colts. Collins hit this yardage mark in eight games last season when he played over 60% of snaps. And the Colts’ defense hasn’t exactly leveled up. PFF ranked them 21st in coverage. Additionally, two of their worst games were against Houston. Now,
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1 What a way to kick off a new season! After seven months, a rematch of last year’s AFC title game opens the 2024 season. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1 breaks
What a way to kick off a new season! After seven months, a rematch of last year’s AFC title game opens the 2024 season. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 1 breaks down the fantasy and sports betting prospects for the season opener.
Andy Reid’s Kansas City Chiefs were able to squeeze by the Ravens with a 45-yard field goal with three seconds left. That set up the club to win their second consecutive title. However, winning a third gets off to an ominous start against that same Baltimore team thirsting for revenge.
The Ravens enter the 2024 season with the third-highest Super Bowl odds. Only the 49ers and these Chiefs rank higher. These teams are familiar with one another and match up well. But if the Ravens want to prove they can make it back to the big game, they must find a way to win at Arrowhead.
Vegas sees these two teams as evenly matched. The Ravens are the standard three-point underdogs on the road. Additionally, the total of the game has risen to 47.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 15 |
These teams are fairly evenly matched on both sides of the ball. While Baltimore employs a run-first approach, the Chiefs will attack through the air.
On the other side of the ball, these two teams allowed the fewest points in the NFL in 2023. Baltimore ranked sixth overall and led the NLF with 31 turnovers. Conversely, Kansas City surrendered the second-fewest points and ranked fourth versus the pass.
For Baltimore, sticking with their strength should be the game plan. Instead of attacking through the air, the Ravens will attempt to slow down the pace and stick to what they do best. Run the ball.
There are lots of new elements to Kansas City’s offense. Expect Reid to take plenty of downfield shots. However, Baltimore’s secondary is stacked and received reinforcement in the first round with CB Nate Wiggins.
Baltimore Offense
How will Thursday’s Ravens vs. Chiefs game go?
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