FFWC High-Stakes Recap: Week 7
With Week 7 now complete, we have reached the Half-Mile Pole in the 2023 Fulltime Fantasy Football FFWC XI regular season. Despite six teams being on a BYE, scoring was up following the lackluster numbers that were posted during Week 6 action. With all 32 teams in action – Week 8 might be a standings “moving week” across all of our leagues. Here is a look at the Top 20 Leaderboards across the four Major FTF Tournaments. FFWC XI World Championship Tournament For a third straight week, the top three teams remain unchanged in the race to claim the $150K FFWC XI Grand Prize. Five new teams joined the FTF World Championship Top 20 Leaderboard following Week 7 action. Despite stumbling slightly, Team Just(in) Time (5-2) continues as the FFWC XI overall leader for a sixth straight week. Simeon Yarbrough and Brian Marzorini posted 133.95 points, which is their lowest single-week total this season. Their FFWC SLOW 4 squad hits the regular season halfway mark with 1230.40 points and a 175.77 weekly average. That’s 46.85 points better than the FFWC X mid-season leader who had 1183.55 points. Mr Yellow Stickers (6-1) remains in second place for the third straight week. Mike Schlissberg’s WC Circa Hybrid 9/9 squad also slipped slightly with 148.50 points. That was still good enough to post a Week 7 head-to-head victory, plus reduce the overall deficit from 27.40 to 12.85 points. Mike leads his league by 142.70 points. Also underperforming slightly, but gaining some ground on the top two leaders, Team Zefurs IV (6-1) retained third place overall. KJ Duke’s squad posted 156.25 points and went from 69.55 to 47.25 points out of first. With the second-place team struggling (98.80), Zefurs IV now leads FFWC Online 9/3 9 PM ET by 140.90 points. Moving up two spots, from sixth to fourth, Fairways and Greens II (6-1) has made an impressive climb into the FFWC XI Top 5. Curtis Hirsch’s FFWC TOP GOLF VEGAS 9/9 squad posted 178.55 points. Sitting 295th overall, after averaging 137.40 points during the first two weeks, Fairways and Greens II has averaged 180.35 points over the last five weeks. Rounding out the top five, Team Honeycutt sits fifth overall for a second straight week. Steve Honeycutt‘s FFWC Online 8/22 9 PM ET squad racked up 175.50 points. Another steady climber, sitting 208th after Week 2 action, Team Honeycutt has averaged 178.04 points over the last five weeks. Our FFWC XI “Shout Out of the Week” goes to Team Draft Guy. Adam Krautwurst’s FFWC Online 8/20 10 PM ET squad posted a Week 7 high 214.10 points. Adams’s squad jumped from 328th to 134th overall and into the fourth playoff qualifying position in his league. This is a classic example of why you should never stop grinding. During any given week, a team can make a huge move. Based on each team entering the overall playoffs with their 14-week average score, Draft Guy is now just 27.15 points behind the FFWC XI leader. After the 200-point plateau wasn’t reached last week, four teams posted at least 202.55 points during Week 7 action. From that group, Team Sanaynay (7-0) racked up 203.45 points in the Circa Vegas TommyG Mayhem league. Chasing the $10K Dominator league prize, Sanaynay is 31.35 points away from having the best record and the most points. If the playoffs started this week, just 24.54 points would separate the Top 100 FFWC XI teams. Down from 17, which had a 6-0 record after Week 6 action, 13 squads still own a perfect 7-0 record. Just two of those teams are currently in the Top 20 overall. Circa Las Vegas Fantasy Championship Scoring was also up slightly in our inaugural FullTime Fantasy Circa LVFC Tournament. The Top 20 leaderboard changed considerably as every position has a new team following the Week 7 action. Five new teams entered the Top 20 list and three of them moved into the Top 10 overall. We have a new FTF Circa LVFC overall leader for the seventh straight week. Moving up two spots, from third to first, Team Leave It In (5-2) completed a climb that started with sitting 548th overall back in Week 1. Mike Moore and Michael Scherneck’s Circa LVFC 9/6 10 PM ET squad racked up 203.35 points. That was the fifth-highest Week 7 LVFC point total. Let down by his explosive Tagovailoa/Mostert/Waddle Dolphins stack (31.9 points), Team 2 Bros DP (5-2) slipped from first to second overall. Robert Dinges Circa LVFC SLOW 5 squad posted 154.20 points. It’s not all bad news for Robert, as he is just 8.60 points out first, and still leads his league by 197.6 points. Making a huge move, Team Reece (6-1) jumped from 30th to third overall. Dustin Reece receives our LFVC “Shout Out of the Week” after piling up a Week 7 high of 245.65 points. That’s the fifth-highest single-week score this season. Miss New Booty III still holds the top mark (265.50) set back in Week 3. Led by Lamar Jackson (39.45), Jordan Addison (31.4), and A.J. Brown (29.7), Team Reece had six starters post at least 22.30 points. Slipping two positions, Team LOB (6-1) dropped from second to fourth overall. Mark Deming’s Circa LVFC 7/16 10:00 PM ET team stumbled to a season-low 134.90 points. RB Raheem Mostert and WR Calvin Ridley, who posted a combined 7.60 points, were the primary causes of the stumble. The good news is Mark still leads his league by 129.50 points. Moving down one position, Team Miller slipped from fourth to fifth place. Jason Miller’s squad posted 151.45 points and has now spent the last five weeks in the LVFC top six overall. Team Miller moved to 7-0 and leads the Circa LVFC 8/27 5 PM ET league by 148.95 points. He also has a two-game lead over Kelce Deez Nutz who has a 5-2 record. We send out a special “Welcome to the Top 20” to team Linda’s Crew. Proudly representing our inaugural Circa LVFC
Week 7 NFL Player Props
Week 7 NFL Player Props Week 6 was another profitable week for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. Including the bonus Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown wager I recommended. We went 5-3 and profited 2.7 units after doubling down on Mostert’s rushing
Week 7 NFL Player Props
Week 6 was another profitable week for the bettors at FullTime Fantasy. Including the bonus Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown wager I recommended. We went 5-3 and profited 2.7 units after doubling down on Mostert’s rushing yard prop. We are now 21-15 (+7.8 units) on the season.
Lamar Jackson surpassed his line by a single yard on Sunday morning and T.J. Hockenson just managed to haul in the six receptions he needed to hit his prop. That said, Mostert and Cooper Kupp shredded their lines as anticipated. Gardner Minshew threw for a ton of yards due to gamescript which I did not anticipate and D.J. Moore missed his line by a meager nine yards, in large part due to Justin Fields exiting the game with a dislocated thumb.
Unfortunately, the week could have been even better if Tony Pollard had done what he should have against a susceptible Los Angeles Chargers defense. Nonetheless, a profitable week is still money in the bank. Let’s continue to build up that bankroll heading into Week 7.
Fantasy football owners have an edge when it comes to prop betting because we are so in tune with individual player performances. As always, remember to odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best values for the prop bets listed below.
Now, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 7 NFL player prop bets and continue our profitable NFL season.
Josh Allen UNDER 21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Surprisingly, Allen has hit his rushing yard prop line just once this entire season. I don’t anticipate that trend changing this week in a game in which the Bills are heavy favorites. On the season (outside of quarterback sneaks), the Bills have only called two designed quarterback runs for Allen. Allen has only rushed the ball more than four times once this entire season back in Week 1. Given the fact that Allen is dealing with a shoulder injury and that the Bills are expected to easily dispatch the New England Patriots, I anticipate the Bills doing everything in their power to prevent an aggravation to Allen’s current injury. He’s not going to run unless he has to. Take the under.
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Week 7 DFS: Wide Receiver Report
Week 7 DFS: Wide Receiver Report Three of the top four wide receivers in Week 6 ranked highly for the season or played well over the previous week or two. Tyreek Hill (28.30 fantasy points) has been on the winning
Three of the top four wide receivers in Week 6 ranked highly for the season or played well over the previous week or two. Tyreek Hill (28.30 fantasy points) has been on the winning ticket on DraftKings three times over the first six games while also being viable in Week 5 (8/181/1). Adam Thielen came into last week with three consecutive visits to the daily winner circle (11/145/1, 7/76, and 11/107/1) in the Millionaire Maker at DraftKings, followed by another winnable day (11/115/1).
Unfortunately, he finished second through 10th in the final standings in the Week 6 Millionaire Maker. Cooper Kupp flashed in his first game back in action in Week 5 (8/112), upping that total last week (7/148/1). Amon-Ra St. Brown (12/124/1) was the best wideout in Week 6, helping a wise team builder win $1,000,000. Only four other wide receivers scored more than 20.00 fantasy points in Week 6.
Here’s a look at the top five wide receivers by scoring average after six games:
- Tyreek Hill (26.80)
- Keenan Allen (24.99)
- Stefon Diggs (23.33)
- Justin Jefferson (22.02)
- Adam Thielen (21.08)
Ja’Marr Chase (20.63), Puka Nacua (20.37), A.J. Brown (20.20), and D.J. Moore (20.03) are also averaging more than 20.00 fantasy points for the season. Cooper Kupp (23.80) also posted top-five wide receiver stats over his first two starts.
Also, before we get into the Week 7 DFS: Wide Receiver Report, check out the QB Report, RB Report, and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Cooper Kupp, LAR (DK – $9,500/FD – $9,700)
The daily games did their best to box DFS players from using Kupp in Week 7. His salary commands 38.00 fantasy points to pay off in DraftKings scoring, a game total he never reached in his epic 2021 season (37.30, 34.00, 37.60, and 34.70 fantasy points in his best four games). Last year, his best two outcomes in fantasy points came in Week 1 (31.80) and Week 2 (32.80). Each roster slot in a DFS lineup has a max value, so a 30+ fantasy game still creates an edge if the other outs a position don’t fix in the lineup box. Kupp was on the field for every play in Week 6.
The Steelers come into Week 7 sitting 29th in wide receiver defense (74/1024/6) with one disaster showing (23/290/2) against the Raiders and Davante Adams (13/172/2). Nico Collins (7/168/2) also posted an impact game. So far this season, Kupp has lined up in the slot for more than half of his plays, inviting a very winnable matchup vs. any Pittsburgh option in coverage. CB Patrick Peterson (16/238/4 on 28 targets per PFF) allowed big plays (14.9 yards per catch) and touchdowns (4). He can’t handle Kupp with one-on-one coverage.
Kupp has an elite floor, and the Rams’ offense has already produced many high-ranking games at running back and wide receiver over the first six weeks. The first stop in team building on Sunday starts with Kupp as 100 receiving yards and at least one score is a likely outcome. Ultimately, it’s about fitting the complementary piece behind him in a daily lineup.
Stefon Diggs, BUF (DK – $8,900/FD – $9,000)
Diggs gained more than 100 yards receiving in four consecutive games (8/111, 6/120/3, 8/121/1, and 10/100) while also posting a top-tier showing in Week 1 (10/102/1). On the year, he averages 11 targets per game, putting him on pace to catch 138 passes for 1,757 yards and 14 touchdowns on 187 targets (all career-highs). He played well in both games (7/92/1 and 7/104/1) vs. New England last season. In 2020, Diggs had one of the better weeks (9/145/3) of his career on the road against the Patriots.
New England is 14th vs. wide receivers (74/864/10 on 110 targets) while playing A.J. Brown (7/79), DeVonta Smith (7/47/1), Tyreek Hill (5/40/1), Garrett Wilson (5/48), CeeDee Lamb (4/36/1), Chris Olave 92/12/1), and Davante Adams (2/29). CB J.C. Jackson blew coverage in Week 1 (3/99/1 on eight targets) vs. Tyreek Hill, something many other cornerbacks have done in 2023. He fell out of favor with the Chargers’ coaching staff, leading to the Patriots picking him up. Over his first two games with New England, he allowed three catches for 21 yards on 10 targets. His success with the Patriots earned him a massive payday from the Chargers.
The Bills need a statement game after losing to the Jaguars in London and lacking an offensive pulse vs. the low-ranking New York Giants defense. His resume with the Bills has been a high floor player (23 games over 55 starts with more than 20.00 fantasy points) while offering the occasional impact game (41.50, 30.20, 44.80, 30.80, and 36.00 fantasy points). Josh Allen looks for him often, but the percentages suggest Diggs…
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Week 7 DFS: Running Back Report
Week 7 DFS: Running Back Report The top production from the running back position continues to flow from the Dolphins’ backfield. Raheem Mostert (132 combined yards with three touchdowns and three catches) was the top fantasy running back in Week
The top production from the running back position continues to flow from the Dolphins’ backfield. Raheem Mostert (132 combined yards with three touchdowns and three catches) was the top fantasy running back in Week 6 (34.20). Only three other running backs scored more than 20.00 fantasy points – Travis Etienne (23.30), Kyren Williams (21.80), and Breece Hall (20.30). The running back pool had more of a steady feel last week as 21 players finished with 10.00 to 19.50 fantasy points.
Only Christian McCaffrey (24.83) and Rahaam Mostert (23.40) are the only running backs averaging more than 20.00 fantasy points over the first six weeks. Travis Etienne (19.22), Kyren Williams (18.52), and Kenneth Walker (18.30) round out the top five backs in scoring average in PPR formats.
Also, check out FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 6 DFS QB Report and TE Report.
Top Tier Options
Austin Ekeler, LAC (DK – $8,600/FD – $9,400)
In Week 1, Ekeler posted a winning game (164 combined yards with one touchdown and four catches on 20 touches) despite only being on the field for 48% of the Chargers’ snaps due to a hamstring injury. After missing three games, he struggled to make an impact against the Cowboys (62 yards with four catches on 18 chances). Ekeler finished with 68% of LA’s snaps. In 2022, he gained 194 combined yards with one touchdown and 11 catches in two games against Kansas City.
The Chiefs allowed fewer than 18.00 fantasy points to running backs over their last five games, moving them to fifth in defense vs. backs (15.43 FPPG). Running backs gain 4.5 yards per rush while scoring only one touchdown with 26 catches for 152 yards and one score on 30 targets. They’ve faced four teams (CHI, NYJ, MIN, and DEN) with questionable play from their lead running back.
Last season, the Chargers’ running backs had 140 catches for 911 yards and seven touchdowns on 179 targets. The change at offensive coordinator has led to a shortfall in this area (14/117/0 on 20 targets) over their first five games. Ekeler offers value on all three downs, but he isn’t in form to support his salary. More of a gamble in Week 7 based on the play of the Chargers’ offense and their matchup.
Josh Jacobs, LV (DK – $7,400/FD – $8,000)
Touchdowns (9) have been challenging for the Raiders’ offense over their first six games. Their offense has turned the ball over 12 times while creating small running lanes (3.0 yards per rush) for their star running back. They’ve yet to rush for more than 100 yards in a game while having a reasonable floor in catches (35) and receiving yards (279). Jacobs averages 22.0 touches a game.
Chicago ranks 28th defending running backs (27.53 FPPG). Despite the appearance of weakness, the Bears played better vs. backs over their last two matchups (WAS – 10/29 with eight catches for 97 yards and MIN – 22/46 with five catches for 35 yards). They allow 3.5 yards per rush, with more risk in the passing game (36/366/4 on 45 targets).
With Jimmy Garoppolo downgraded to doubtful and Chicago playing with a backup quarterback, Vegas set the game total at 37.5. Jacobs should be active again this week, with a chance at a possible score, but his ceiling is limited to the Raiders’ ability to move the ball. His opportunity gives him a chance, but Las Vegas must play a lot better offensively for the lead running back to shine.
Mid-Tier Options
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Week 7 DFS: Tight End Report
Week 7 DFS: Tight End Report Only two tight ends (Travis Kelce – 9/124 and Dalton Schultz – 4/61/1) scored more than 15.00 fantasy points in Week 7. The Falcons’ tight ends continue to produce winning stats over the past
Only two tight ends (Travis Kelce – 9/124 and Dalton Schultz – 4/61/1) scored more than 15.00 fantasy points in Week 7. The Falcons’ tight ends continue to produce winning stats over the past two weeks (Kyle Pitts – 7/87 and 4/43/1 ~ Jonnu Smith – 6/67 and 4/36/1), pushing them to the top 12 in tight end scoring for the season. Ten tight ends scored between 10.00 and 15.00 fantasy points.
Here’s a look at the top five tight ends after six weeks:
- Travis Kelce (88.60)
- Sam LaPorta (79.50)
- T.J. Hockenson (77.40)
- Mark Andrews (71.40)
- Cole Kmet (67.10)
Here are the top plays this week via the Week 7 DFS: Tight End Report. Also, check out the Week 7 DFS: QB Report.
Top Tier Options
Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $8,000/FD – $8,500)
Despite missing one game and playing through some injuries, Kelce regains the top-scoring seat at tight end heading into Week 7. He has a floor of nine targets on four starts while gaining momentum over his last two matchups (10/67/1 and 9/124). The Chiefs only had him on the field for 59% and 69% of their plays over this span (66.4% for the season – 79.8% in 2022). Last year, Kelce had one impact game (6/115/3) against the Chargers on the road (5/51 at home), with the same theme in 2021 (10/191/2 @ LAC – 7/104 in KC).
Los Angeles ranks 10th in tight end defense (19/187/1 on 29 targets) while facing four opponents with low-ranking options (MIA – 3/44, TEN – 4/35, LV – 1/11, and DAL – 1/15). The Chargers did have issues covering T.J. Hockenson (8/78) and the Vikings’ tight ends (10/82/1 on 13 targets) in Week 3.
Kelce hasn’t delivered a game that was three times his current salary at DraftKings in 2023 (24.20, 33.50, and 35.50 last season). The latter two outcomes are needed to fill his salary bucket in Week 7. His path isn’t far off from an 8/100/2 game, so keep an open mind about playing him in the DFS market.
Mid-Tier Options
Mark Andrews, BAL (DK – $5,700/FD – $6,900)
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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 7
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 7 More costly injuries piled up in Week 6. Also, six teams are on bye to hamper the depth. After attacking the waiver wire and being up-to-date on injuries, our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 7 is the next best tool in the arsenal of the well-prepared fantasy football manager. Let’s take a look at some unheralded starts and players to fade in Week 7. Week 7 Byes: Carolina, Cincinnati, Dallas, Houston, New York Jets, Tennessee Quarterbacks Start ‘Em Sam Howell (Washington Commanders) at New York Giants Howell has recently been posting impressive fantasy stats. He has exceeded the 18-point mark in fantasy in four out of his last five games, even surpassing 25 points in one of them. Furthermore, he has registered more than 290 passing yards in three of those games and has thrown multiple passing touchdowns in three of them as well. Howell’s mobility adds another dimension to his value as well. He is facing the Giants, who are ranked in the middle of the pack when it comes to defending against quarterbacks. But New York has allowed some significant performances and won’t pose a formidable defensive threat. Especially considering the numerous teams on bye, Howell represents a compelling choice for this week. Brian Hoyer (Las Vegas Raiders) at Chicago I like whichever Raiders quarterback starts this week. The Bears are currently ranked 29th in terms of fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks, and wide receiver Davante Adams has been calling for the football more. That’s always a good thing for the offense. Additionally, the Bears might be starting Division II QB Tyson Bagent, who should commit turnovers and provide favorable field position for the Raiders’ offense all game. Hoyer is a smart enough veteran to know to get the ball to Adams. Plus, he has the experience to keep the Raiders’ winning streak alive. Sit ‘Em Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) at Kansas City Herbert appears to be struggling recently, as he missed wide-open receivers in the loss to the Cowboys on Monday Night Football, including a deep pass to Keenan Allen. Furthermore, he is facing a formidable Chiefs pass defense on the road, which ranks seventh in terms of allowing fantasy points to quarterbacks. While it may not be necessary to dumpster dive for a replacement for Herbert this week, if there’s another top 12-15 option available, it might be wise to lean in that direction. Fantasy managers forced to stick with Herbert should lower their expectations this week. Running Backs Start ‘Em Brian Robinson (Washington Commanders) at New York Giants Robinson received a heavy workload in the first two weeks of the season when the Commanders were winning games. In those contests, Robinson amassed 37 carries. Over the past four weeks, he has averaged 10 carries per game and has become more involved in the passing game, with eight receptions over the last three weeks. The Commanders are going up against the Giants, who have allowed 5.1 yards per rushing attempt this season, which ranks as the third-highest in the league. While Washington has leaned towards a pass-heavy approach this season when they have a lead, their running rate approaches the league average at 46.5%. As the Commanders are the favorites against the Giants, Robinson is likely to receive both efficient rushes and more volume compared to recent weeks. Jerome Ford (Cleveland Browns) at Indianapolis Ford may not have fully met fantasy managers’ expectations in recent weeks. But he has consistently performed as a top-24 fantasy running back in each of the past four games. That dates back to Nick Chubb’s season-ending injury. Ford has carried the ball at least nine times and caught at least two passes in every game this season. Despite Kareem Hunt’s increasing playing time, Ford’s volume should be sufficient, given the number of injuries at the position and the teams on bye this week. The Browns will be facing the Indianapolis Colts, which is a top-10 matchup. The Colts have allowed nine rushing touchdowns this season, tied for the second most among teams. Sit ‘Em Najee Harris (Pittsburgh Steelers) at Los Angeles Rams Harris has underperformed expectations in four out of the last five weeks, finishing outside the top 35 fantasy running backs in those instances. Despite the numerous injuries at the position and bye weeks, starting Harris might not be wise. Although the Rams have struggled against top-tier running backs, they have fared well against others. Harris has been tackled behind the line of scrimmage on 25.4% of his carries. That is the fifth-worst rate among running backs. Additionally, the Steelers are underdogs, potentially leading to fewer carries for Harris and more pass routes for Jaylen Warren. Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) vs. Atlanta Falcons White has been one of the more disappointing players this season, posting a season-low 38 total yards in Week 6 against the Detroit Lions. He has started to lose touches to Ke’Shawn Vaughn. Also, it remains to be seen whether this trend will continue. However, this week’s matchup dictates it very well could. In Week 7 Tampa hosts the Falcons, who rank third in terms of fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs, White faces another tough challenge. Only three running backs have scored 10.9 PPR or more points against Atlanta this year. And the Falcons have yet to allow a rushing touchdown to a running back. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Rashee Rice (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Los Angeles Chargers Rice is starting to emerge as the Chiefs’ top receiver. Going into Week 7 against the Chargers, Rice has scored at least 11.2 PPR points in each of his last two games, making him a sneaky option as a third fantasy receiver in all leagues for this matchup. Also, the Chargers are the second-most generous team in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, with nine receivers accumulating at least 11.2 PPR points against Los Angeles this year. Rice
Week 7 DFS: Quarterback Report
Week 7 DFS: Quarterback Report Last week, no quarterback scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown formats. Dak Prescott led the way with 27.60 fantasy points, followed by Jared Goff (25.95), Jalen Hurts (25.70), and Tua Tagovailoa
Last week, no quarterback scored more than 30.00 fantasy points in four-point passing touchdown formats. Dak Prescott led the way with 27.60 fantasy points, followed by Jared Goff (25.95), Jalen Hurts (25.70), and Tua Tagovailoa (25.10). Desmond Ridder (22.15) was the best value player in the DFS market. Four other quarterbacks scored between 20.00 and 22.50 fantasy points.
Surprisingly, Justin Herbert is the highest-scoring fantasy quarterback (26.03 FPPG), scoring between 22.35 and 26.05 fantasy points in four of his five starts, with one impact game (33.35). Josh Allen (25.82 FPPG), Jalen Hurts (25.40 FPPG), and Tua Tagovailoa (24.23 FPPG) round out the top four. Ten other quarterbacks are averaging between 20.00 and 23.00 fantasy points.
The top underachievers are Trevor Lawrence (18.11), Dak Prescott (16.88), Geno Smith (16.61), and Joe Burrow (14.37).
Let’s break down this week’s field in the FullTime Fantasy Week 7 DFS: Quarterback Report.
Top-Tier Options
Patrick Mahomes, KC (DK – $8,300/FD – $9,200)
Despite a favorable schedule (DET, JAC, CHI, NYJ, MIN, and DEN) to start the season, the Chiefs scored only 15 offensive touchdowns on their 63 possessions (23.8%) compared to 59 TDs in 2022 over their 180 chances (32.8%). Mahomes passed for more than 300 yards in three matchups (305/2, 303/3, and 306/1) while attempting 41 passes in each of those starts. His wideouts delivered only two games with more than 60 yards receiving (Skyy Moore – 3/70/1 and Rashee Rice – 4/72). In addition, there have been only three games with over four catches by wide receivers (Kadarius Toney – 5/35 and 5/26 and Rashee Rice – 5/59). Over two games in 2022 vs. the Chargers, Mahomes passed for 564 yards and five touchdowns.
Los Angeles comes into Week 7 with the worst quarterback defense (26.09 FPPG) in the league, with two offenses having a high level of success (MIA – 466/4 and MIN – 367/4). They’re allowing 8.5 yards per pass attempt while delivering 21 sacks over the last four weeks. The Chargers’ defense lost the time of possession battle in three of their previous four matchups.
Mahomes rates as the top quarterback in Week 7. But he doesn’t deserve it based on the play of the Chiefs’ offense. He’ll throw many passes, creating plenty of completions and long drives. Unfortunately, the weakness in LA’s defense (secondary vs. wide receivers – 73,1,107/7 ~ 15.2 yards per catch) isn’t an area of strength for Kansas City (70/857/4 on 112 targets ~ 12.2 yards per catch). On the positive side, Rashee Rice looks close to becoming the second option in the passing game. And Travis Kelce is rounding into form. A Mahomes/Rice/Kelce stack costs $21,000 at DraftKings, requiring 84.00 fantasy points to pay off. I can’t dismiss Mahomes as this game has the highest game total (49) on the main slate on Sunday. And his matchup could lead to a spike in points scored.
Josh Allen, BUF (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)
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Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 7
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 7 Last week’s Thursday Night game was a disappointment. With just 27 points scored, the Chiefs/Broncos snooze fest set the template for UNDERS going 11-3 in Week 7. Consequently, Week 7 opens with an intra-conference
Last week’s Thursday Night game was a disappointment. With just 27 points scored, the Chiefs/Broncos snooze fest set the template for UNDERS going 11-3 in Week 7. Consequently, Week 7 opens with an intra-conference battle that opened at a lowly 42.5 and dropped. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 7 breaks down the Saints/Jaguars game from a fantasy, DFS, and sports betting lens.
Doug Pederson’s Jaguars have won three straight after an embarrassing home loss to the Houston Texans. That included a pair of victories in London. Jacksonville is 2-0 on the road. However, few teams have as strong of a home-field advantage as the New Orleans Saints.
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Speaking of the Saints, Dennis Allen’s squad is 3-3 after they too were defeated by Houston. However, that loss came on the road and was much more competitive. New Orleans has scored 20 or fewer points in five of their six games, and looking at the depressed total, it could be another low-scoring Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 7 game to handicap.
Subsequently, the Saints are mere 1-point favorites, with an implied game score of 21-19.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 12 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| New Orleans Saints | 17 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 24 |
Unsurprisingly, Pederson’s Jaguars squad has been better offensively. Jacksonville is averaging 23.7 points per game, which is just behind the Chiefs. The Jags also hold an edge at every skill position, making them the more fantasy-friendly roster.
However, Jacksonville’s offensive line has struggled. The Jaguars have allowed Trevor Lawrence to be sacked 16 times and face too many pressures. Lawrence has only 2.46 seconds to throw the ball, which is the second-lowest time in football. That has resulted in him ranking 26th with a -1.2 completion rate over expectation.
Meanwhile, the Saints rank 6th in total defense. Derek Carr has been serviceable under center. However, Carr has thrown only five touchdown passes and the Saints rank 24th in scoring. Carr also has the fewest rushing yards among any NFL quarterback that has started multiple games.
Scoring will be at a premium.
Jacksonville Offense
As mentioned above, some of Trevor Lawrence‘s…
How will Thursday’s Jaguars vs. Saints game go?
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Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 7
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 7 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is
FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of our FullTime Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 7.
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Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 7
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Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 7
Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 7 By this point into the 2023 season, no roster remains unscathed. Several more key injuries hit hard in Week 6. Also, Week 7 is a brutal bye week slate, with six teams off. That’s going to leave a lot of fantasy football managers scrambling for talent. Our Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 7 has you covered, with key players to target on the wire and FAAB recommendations. FAAB denotes Free Agent Acquisition Budget Week 7 Byes: Carolina, Cincinnati, Dallas, Houston, New York Jets, Tennessee Jeffery Wilson (RB) Miami Dolphins (15% FAAB) – Wilson was a proactive add last week. He did not end up playing on Sunday. However, he is inching closer to being activated. When he is cleared, Wilson will play significant reps in the NFL’s most dynamic offense. Salvon Ahmed (5% FAAB) was able to score 12.4 PPR points in 11 opportunities. However, Wilson is far better and would likely command double-digit touches each week. Chuba Hubbard (RB) Carolina Panthers (13% FAAB) – Miles Sanders has not impressed in 2023. Hubbard drew his first start in Week 6 and turned 20 touches into 90 yards and a touchdown. Hubbard has now played more snaps than Sanders this season. Also, he’s been far more effective. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Hubbard remain the starter when Carolina returns to action in Week 8. Craig Reynolds (RB) Detroit Lions (12% FAAB) – First, Detroit lost Jahmyr Gibbs. Now, David Montgomery could miss multiple games with a rib injury. Reynolds filled in for Montgomery in Tampa, earning 12 touches in the win. There is a good chance Gibbs will return this week. However, Dan Campbell has shown no interest in making Gibbs a workhorse. Expect Reynolds to fill that ‘big back’ role, commanding short-yardage and change-of-pace carries and targets. Also, if Gibbs remains out, Reynolds could be in line for a much bigger workload in Baltimore. Josh Downs (WR) Indianapolis Colts (10% FAAB) – Downs only accumulated 21 receiving yards in Week 6. However, he did secure his first NFL touchdown and commanded eight targets. Downs has now surpassed 13 PPR points in three of his last four contests. Gardner Minshew is far more likely to stand in the pocket and force the ball to his wideouts. That will benefit Downs, who already enters Week 7 as a top-45 fantasy wideout in 2023. Roschon Johnson (RB) Chicago Bears (10% FAAB) – Unfortunately, Johnson didn’t clear the NFL concussion protocol in time to suit up on Sunday. However, there has been some optimism that he will return in Week 7. Justin Fields is doubtful, so Chicago will have to rely on their ground attack. D’Onta Foreman logged 16 touches and a 61% snap rate in Week 6. Johnson was ahead of Foreman on the depth chart and should be the favorite to start once cleared. Jordan Mason (RB) San Francisco 49ers (8% FAAB) – Christian McCaffrey exited Week 6 with an oblique injury. Elijah Mitchell (6% FAAB) was penciled in as San Fran’s RB2 but Mitchell was limited to just seven snaps as he works his way back from a knee injury. If McCaffrey misses time, the starting running back for the 49ers has significant fantasy value. For now, the nod goes to Mason. However, this is a fluid situation. Mitchell should also be viewed as a priority add. Zach Evans (RB) Los Angeles Rams (9% FAAB) – A popular preseason sleeper, Evans has only seen four carries in two games. However, the Rams are battling injuries. Evans could be the next man up for an offense that has overachieved. Also, with the way running backs are going down, Evans and veteran journeyman Royce Freeman (4% FAAB) make sense as proactive adds. UPDATE: Williams has a sprained ankle and is expected to miss Week 7. An MRI today revealed that Rams’ RB Kyren Williams has a sprained ankle that is expected to sideline him for Sunday’s game vs. the Steelers but is not considered a long-term injury, per source. — Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 16, 2023 Kareem Hunt (RB) Cleveland Browns (7% FAAB) – Hunt played a season-high 28 snaps and commanded a healthy 15 touches against San Francisco. He also scored a touchdown in the game. QB Deshaun Watson has no return timetable, so the Browns are likely to continue to emphasize the running game. Hunt is an RB4 that can be added in all formats. Curtis Samuel (WR) Washington Commanders (7% FAAB) – Obligatory mention of Samuel. He’s a weekly addition to this piece yet still remains un-rostered in more than half of fantasy leagues. Samuel has scored in three straight games and gets another premier matchup in Week 7 against the 1-5 Giants. Wan’Dale Robinson (WR) New York Giants (6% FAAB) – New York’s offense is a mess. However, Robison has led the Giants wideouts in target share in each of the last three games. Parris Campbell logged zero snaps against the Bills. That leaves the vast majority of slot reps to Robinson. While you don’t want to go out of your way to spend a ton of money on members of this offense, Robinson will see favorable game scripts and could rack up usable fantasy production as a bye-week replacement. Jonnu Smith (TE) Atlanta Falcons (5% FAAB) – It was okay to be skeptical of Smith’s holding power in September. But the veteran tight end has grabbed 4-plus balls in each of Atlanta’s five games. Smith has scored a minimum of 8.7 PPR points in every game and enters Week 7 as the overall TE8. Kyle Pitts is TE12. We’ve be fawning over the wrong guy. Rashid Shaheed (WR) New Orleans Saints (5% FAAB) – One spot below Josh Downs on the seasonal scoring ranks, Rashid Shaheed had his second-best game of the season in Houston. He only corralled two of his six targets, but Shaheed went for 85 yards and his second TD of the season. Shaheed has run 75 (43%) out of the slot,