INTRODUCTION & WEATHER
Welcome to July. It’s hot and we have wind + heat in Wrigley Field. Actually, they’ve had it the last few days but those games werent really on a main slate so most people weren’t paying attention to them. I was, I saw the weather and expected high scoring games so far, and we got them. That game is going to dictate the entire slate today.
On Sunday we get different sized slates when the Rockies and Rangers are at home and we have the Rangers at home so DK has one extra game — Chicago (Lopez) @ Texas (Hamels)
PITCHING
It’s Sunday and I don’t like much of anything today. J.A. Happ and Steven Matz appear to be the chalk combination on DK and I don’t love Happ’s matchup against the Tigers who really hit lefties well but Happ has always pitched decent on Sunday’s and the Jays are gonna win today.
My guys to get weird today are ….
- Freddy Peralta … No Scooter here for the Reds really boosts Peralta up for me today. I’d rather have him than Snell against those dangerous Astros 1-4 hitters right now.
- Dan Straily … South beach theory, but there’s very little upside. Conforto will take him yard and then he’ll settle in and pitch decent.
- Jake Arrietta … Phillies win, but it’s Jake f’n Arrieta in 97 degree temps. Use with caution
HITTING TARGETS
CATCHERS
- Mitchell C. Garver III … Seriously, he’s 2800 compared to Gattis at 4100 and Garver is in conditions that make me in Coors look like a good pitching choice while Gattis plays in ole Tropicana Field after a Saturday night in Tampa?
- Evan Gattis … It’s Sunday
- Russell Martin … Thanks to Geriak for reminding me he is the Canadien on team on Canada day.
FIRST BASE
- Tony Rizzo in the Hizzo … Lets not over think this on main lineups today.
- Jose Abreu … One of these days he’s gonna explode for 2 HR.
- Joey Votto … Just a dumb narrative.
SECOND BASE
- Brian Dozier … So I have a rule about young hitters homering off young pitchers and old hitters homering off old pitchers and bad hitters homering off bad pitchers and elite hitters homering off elite pitchers. Well, this doesn’t really fit any of these except the old vs old, but this is what I consider douche vs douche home run.
- Javy Baez
- Jose Altuve … Snell is 6’5
- Ryne Sandberg
- Kolten Wong
THIRD BASE
- Alex MVP Bregman
- Travis Mayor Sundays Shaw
- Yangervis Solarte
- Luis Valbuena
SHORTSTOP
- Manny Machado
- Ariana Grande
- What are we doing here? Play Manny.
OUTFIELD – Tier 1
- Adam Jones
- Teoscar Hernandez
- Tommy Pham
- Ryan Braun
- Eddie Rosario … Questionable.
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Mike Trout … Teams have tried to pitch Trout up in the zone more. I would love to see Gausman try to do that today, he can’t. He’ wont.
- Nick Castellanos
- Rhys Hoskins
- Kyle Schwarber
OUTFIELD – Tier 3
- Curtis Granderson
- Robert Grossman
- Jason Heyward
- Aaron Altherr
- Trey Mancini
- Ian Happ
STACKS
THE GAME OF THE DAY
Wrigleyville … This series has been going off with the warm temps in Chicago and it’s 90 again today with heavy winds blowing out and two donkey arms on the hill. Lance Lynn is heavy splits BAD against lefties and lets check, yeah the Cubs have some guys who can go out of the park from that side of the plate in Rizzo, Schwarber and Heyward/Zobrist donkey plays. The Twins on the other hand should NOT be ignored against Lester. Love Dozier and Robbie Grossman today and if Eddie Rosario is in we gotta roll him on a Sunday as well despite the LvL matchup.
MY FAVORITE PIVOT (not really a pivot, get wrigley exposure in my mind)
Orioles … I think they’re overlooked today despite facing a no-name pitcher who is from Richmond, VA… We’re in a trend right now of teams being in good spots but around 8-10% owned going off for double digit runs and Baltimore is my team today. The Angels pen is a little worn down and when they have to come in today during the third inning the Orioles will continue to have fun playing home run derby in Camden Yards and then go back to sucking the rest of the week. Manny, Jones and whoever Buck Showalter puts in the six hole. Even if it’s Chris Davis.
CHALK VALUE STACK
Blue Jays … Rays and Jays Sundays! It’s Canada Day! And it’s Jordan Zimmermann due to get blown up day. Expect the Jays to be a little chalky with higher priced SP lineups with Granderson leading the charge here. Russ Martin is the Canada Day narrative and Teoscar is their best player.
MY SNEAKY STACKS
Phillies … Screw Gio, it’s almost 100 degrees here and this game feels like a 3-0 game that turns into an 8-1 lopsided final and I think folks are gonna ride on the Nats side and I just hate going against the Phils at home on Sunday’s. Screw Gio. Rhys & Alther are gonna go yard here today.
White Sox … They’ll be low owned on DK with the Wrigley game and the Rangers taking the ownership here. White Sox win today.
LONGSHOT SNEAKY
Astros … Snell is 6’5, Bregman is on fire, and Gattis is there to clean it up.
FADES
- Nationals
- Rangers/White Sox
DONGERS CLUB
- Manny Machado – SS – Chairman
- Adam Jones – OF
- Aaron Altherr – OF
- Anthony Rizzo – 1B
- Kyle Schwarber – OF
- Brian Dozier – 2B
- Mitchell C. Garver – C
- Travis Shaw – 3B
- BONUS ………………. Jose Altuve – 2B
