WEATHER
Big concerns with early games in the mid-atlantic region as there will be rain all morning and all day and all night… These games all look dicey and likely high PPD risk…
- Arizona @ Philly … All the Goldy if this game rocks.
- Detroit @ Pittsburgh … If this game plays I like JZimm to pitch well for Detroit.
- Tampa @ Baltimore … If this game plays stack the crap out of the Tampa Rays
again, I expect all 3 to be high risk PPD games.
PITCHING
ACES
- Charlie Morton … He is not quite an ace, but he is priced like one.. I’m not paying his price tag against Trout, Upton and an Albert Pujols chasing 3k hits. He’s in play on FD but not on DK. Nope….
- Shohei Ohtani … No chance in hell I touch him today.
- Robbie Ray .. The real ace on this slate but weather forces me off him. Game likely PPD
MID RANGE
- Kenta Maeda … The idea of rostering Maeda and the guy below together on DK tonight is not what I consider a sexy play, but at home versus the Marlins Maeda should be a popular and no brainer play today in my mind.
- Tanner Roark … When Tanner Roark is going to be the popular play it’s time to consider fading him and going elsewhere. Roark is not a high strikeout guy and although San Francisco has increased K% this year, they’re still not someone I like to pick on, but on a slate when there’s no guy that has that lock 10K upside out there, we can take Roark who’s gonna be in a great ballpark to pitch in.
- Luke Weaver … While Maeda is your safe take it and move on play today, Weaver might be the kid with the most upside against the Mets today. He’s a strike-out machine when he is on but has two major concerns in my mind. First off, Mike Matheney’s use of him and the bullpen could really do damage and second this Mets lineup is not the easiest one to pick on in the world. They’ve calmed down a bit of late but I feel you wanna get a little upside in your tournament pitcher tonight and he would be the guy I am on the most on DK for tournaments today…. and yes, I have the Mets as a sneaky stack below. That should show you my lack of confidence in Weaver tonight.
LONG SHOT
- Kyle Freeland … He’s gonna shut down the Padres tonight in my mind. Very cool temps and day after the Padres went completely off. Everyone will be scared to go here but this game screams a 4-1 Coors flop…. He’s my lock DK SP2.
POSITIONAL TARGETS
CATCHERS
- Jonathan Lucroy
- Sandy Leon
- Yasmani Grandal
Lucroy is my guy here again tonight, he didn’t get the HR I wanted last night however Hamels has been a dead arm for the last 18 months and again I believe Lucroy’s #’s vs Lefties are gonna correct themselves. Grandal is a long shot at a weak position because he hits righties better, but could have some good RBI chances.
FIRST BASE
- Joey Gallo
- Eric Thames
- Justin Smoak
Gallo or Thames is going to be a must own guy tonight in my mind.
SECOND BASE
- DJ LeMahieu
- Jed Lowrie
- Ian Kinsler
Dont love this spot tonight. Lowrie in an Oakland stack, LeMahieu in a Rockies stack. Kinsler as a one off longshot HR call of the night.
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
- Travis Shaw – Favorite pivot off Nolan
- Yangervis Solarte
I don’t play Nolan Arenado with temps below 50, but… well, this matchup screams Nolan. Fade his chalk if you want.
SHORTSTOP
- Trevor Story
- Marcus Semien
- Corey Seager
- Eduardo Nunez
You might just eat the Story chalk here tonight. I like Boston to hit in Toronto tonight and so Nunez is a good guy to get from Boston. Seager is contrarian versus a lefty and had the day off yesterday so he should be ready to rock today.
OUTFIELD – Top Tier
- Mookie Betts
- Charlie Blackmon
- Lorenzo Cain
- Christian Yelich
Wanna play a trend? The trend this year has been take the high owned stud in a not so obvious matchup the day after he played in an ideal matchup and underperformed. Confused? OK. That’s Charlie Blackmon today against a lefty. Chuck Nasty dont care about any splits. He’ll be 20% lower owned today than yesterday though.
OUTFIELD – Mid Tier
- George Springer
- Michael Conforto
- Stephen Piscotty
- Khris Davis (Still hasn’t homered off a lefty on the road. One of the wonders of the world)
- Nomar Mazara
This tier is really deep today on FanDuel. I like these guys a ton more than the value play in a Cold Coors field today… Triggs sucks. Mazara or DeShields has a huge game today.
OUTFIELD – Value Tier
- Delino DeShields
- Jay Bruce – 2900 on FD too cheap
- Chris Taylor
STACKS
Milwaukee Brewers … I hate to say it but I feel they’re going to drop 12 runs on my Royals tonight. Ian Kennedy is someone that I think the industry picks on faaaar too much but this is a perfect spot to jump on him. A heavy HR reliant team in my mind with two guys at the top who will actually slap the ball into the Kauffman Stadium gaps and generate trouble for Kennedy. The Royals bullpen has imploded a ton this year and Cain-Yelich-Thames-Shaw should all be a solid play even against the weak lefties out of the KC bullpen. Fire up the Brew crew exposure tonight. And yeah, Lorenzo Cain return to KC narrative. He’s not angry, but he will be energized.
Texas Rangers … DeShields-Choo-Nomar-Gallo … I love all these guys against Triggs who we should pick on as much as we can and also look at the weak Oakland bullpen for upside. Good hitting conditions here tonight in what should be your #1 target game — well over that place in Denver, CO.
Oakland Athletics … Right back to the Oakland well here. They finally awoke late last night and I think they’ll have no issues beating up Hamels and then the bad Rangers bullpen again here tonight.
SNEAKY
Houston Astros … Nobody will use them against Ohtani. Let me remind you, Ohtani just got rocked and complained of blisters (I guess he has been hanging around the Dodgers pitchers in L.A.). The Astros can mash righties and if he is off the top of the lineup will absolutely DESTROY him. Springer is someone I love because if Ohtani is off Springer will JUMP ON HIM in the first at bat in the bottom of the inning with a BOMB.
New York Mets … It’s fairly warm in St. Louis as well (compared to what we have had so far this season) and the chalk seems to be sliding over to Weaver because of his upside and lack of quality arms on this slate. Cespedes was rumored to be going golfing yesterday to get his swing back. Give me all the Yo after a day on the course and Conforto/Bruce also have the power to jack one out in what normally is not a strong hitters park.
Boston Red Sox … Two bad games on the back end of a west coast trip shouldn’t deter us from going back to Boston today. Despite the history with J.A. Happ they’re playing really confident and I think they can get to Happ today. Betts has been out of his mind and Nunez is a great value play at the bottom of the order.
FADE
San Diego Padres … I have no love for the Pads today.
DONGERS CLUB
- Joey Gallo – 1B – Chairman
- Travis Shaw – 3B
- Lorenzo Cain – OF
- George Springer – OF
- Ian Kinsler – 2B
- Eduardo Nunez – SS
- Charlie Blackmon – OF
- Jonathan Lucroy – C
- BONUS …………………… Eric Thames – 1B
