2024 Belmont Stakes Betting Breakdown
Horse race handicapping is back with today’s 2024 Belmont Stakes Betting Breakdown! Belmont Stakes 156 features a talented field of 10 entrants highlighted by both the Derby (Mystik Dan) and Preakness (Seize the Grey) winners along with the Derby runner-up (Sierra Leone). With Belmont Park under construction for a new home, the last leg of the Triple Crown has moved north to beautiful Saratoga. Due to the layout of Saratoga’s track, the race normally runs at a distance of 1 ½-mile The race will now be reduced to a length of 1 ¼ miles. In case you are wondering, the Belmont Stakes, normally the longest of the Triple Crown races, will be run at the same distance required in the Kentucky Derby. Oddsmakers have installed Sierra Leone as the 9/5 morning-line favorite. The son of Gun Runner with Flavien Prat abroad will try to earn his fourth win in six career starts for trainer Chad Brown. New shooter and lightly raced Mindframe, who is a perfect 2-for-2 for Todd Pletcher, is listed as the 7/2 second choice on the morning line odds. This son of Constitution, who broke his maiden at Gulfstream Park winning by nearly 14 lengths back in the end of March, followed that up with a 7-length victory at Churchill Downs on May 4. Mystik Dan, who finished second in the Preakness after winning the Derby, is the third overall betting choice at odds of 5-1. Let’s dive right in and take a deeper look at the top contenders as well as some solid value longshots in the FullTime Fantasy 2024 Belmont Stakes Betting Breakdown 2024 Belmont Stakes Time, Location, TV: Racetrack: Saratoga Race Course – Saratoga Springs, New York Date: Saturday, June 8, 2024 Purse: $2,000,000 Distance: 1 ¼ mile, Dirt Race: 12 Post Time: 6:41 p.m. EST / 3:41 PST TV: FOX Image courtesy of @BelmontStakes on X PACE MAKES RACE: PREFERED RUNNING STYLES HORSES OF NOTE: Listed by post number, name, and odds: TOP CONTENDERS BY THE ODDS #9 Sierra Leone (9/5) Sierra Leone ran the longest distance of any horse in the Kentucky Derby and it cost him to come up just short to Mystik Dan. This son of Gun Runner, who won the Risen Star and Blue Grass Stakes, is two “noses” away from being undefeated. Favoritism is merited here. He is easily the horse to beat. Chad Brown has opted to replace jockey Tyler Gaffalione with Flavien Prat. #10 Mindframe (7/2) This unbeaten son of Constitution is one of three entrants that could supply trainer Todd Pletcher with his potential fifth trip to the winner’s circle at the Belmont Stakes. Despite the impressive wins, Mindframe is easily an underlay at these short odds in this step up in class against this quality field. Can not overlook perhaps the best jockey in the country in Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard for the third consecutive time. #3 Mystik Dan (5-1) Mystik Dan is the only horse in the field who will be competing in all three legs of the Triple Crown. After winning the Kentucky Derby this son of Goldencents will try to rebound after being upset by Seize the Grey in the Preakness. Three starts in five weeks results in a better use underneath as a trifecta and/or superfecta ticket target. Should enjoy the cutback in distance relief. #1 Seize the Grey (8-1) This son of Arrogate was visually impressive beating Mystik Dan by 2 ¼-lengths in the Preakness. The question all ‘cappers must answer is whether his win was enhanced by the off-track sloppy conditions a few weeks back. Due to the presence of Mindframe, Dornoch, and The Wine Steward, it’s likely that this entrant for Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lucas will not find an uncontested lead as he did in the Preakness when he took the field wire-to-wire. LONGSHOTS #2 Resilience (10/1) This talented son of Into Mischief finished a disappointing sixth in the Kentucky Derby. The Wood Memorial winner has been training really well in his morning workouts leading up to Belmont and according to respected trainer Bill Mott, he could be sitting on a monster effort on Saturday. The reduction in distance from a 1 ½-mile race to 1 ¼ miles could make a huge difference here. At double-digit odds, he will likely be flying under the radar at the betting windows due to so many big names and experienced winners in the field. #8 Honor Marie (12-1) One of my top targets in the Derby was bounced around horribly at the starting gate, yet still recovered well enough for a respectable 8th-place finish. Those who backed the Derby’s “wise-guy” horse are willing to forgive that effort despite the fact the Belmont Stakes has historically not been a favorable race for deep closers. Will Florent Geroux try to have him more forwardly placed as opposed to closing from the clouds? #5 Antiquarian (12-1) This entry for Todd Pletcher with Johnny V in the saddles, is a true wild card. This son of Preservationist, who heads in off a career-best win in the Peter Pan Stakes back in May, has improved in each of his four career races hitting the board in three of those efforts. #6 Dornoch (15-1) My top-rated horse at the end of 2023 was this full brother to last year’s Kentucky Derby winner Mage. However, he has been a huge disappointment in 2024 finishing fourth in the BlueGrass and 10th in this year’s installment of the Run for the Roses. I expect his connections of Luis Saez and Danny Gargen to send this son of Good Magic right to the lead on Saturday. If he is able to get an uncontested lead, horse racing fans could be in store for a repeat of his top form displayed during wins in the Remsen Stakes and the Fountain of Youth. Can he be trusted despite his recent poor form? Belmont Stakes 156 Formula Rankings TOP TIER #9 Sierra Leone (Top Choice) #2 Resilience (Top Longshot)
Preakness 149: 2024 Betting Breakdown
Horse race handicapping is back with today’s Preakness 149: 2024 Betting Breakdown! Guest contributor: Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X / Twitter. Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan heads a strong field in the 149th Preakness Stakes After watching an upset in
This long-time Vegas handicapper has correctly picked 3 of the last 5 Preakness races. It’s an unheard of performance. Without further ado…
Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan heads a strong field in the 149th Preakness Stakes
After watching an upset in the Kentucky Derby two weeks ago, horse racing fans get treated to the second leg of the Triple Crown in Saturday’s 148th running of the Preakness Stakes.
Mystik Dan, who upset the Run for the Roses field at odds of 19/1, will now take on the role of favoritism after being found at odds of 5/2 in the latest live odds.
Catching Freedom, who finished fourth in the Kentucky Derby is the second overall betting choice at odds of 7/2, joined by Chad Brown’s Tuscan Gold at the top of the betting board at in a highly competitive field of eight entrants.
Who wins the 2024 Preakness and which long odds horse will crack the trifecta? …
To lock in all of the top horse rundowns and exact bets you should place including win, exacta and trifecta wagering,
Kentucky Derby 150: Opening Odds
Contributing Author: Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on Twitter Kentucky Derby 150: Opening Odds The 150th Run For Roses Is A Wide-Open Race In 2024 The post-position draw for the “Fastest Two Minutes in Sports” was drawn a full week ahead of next Saturday’s 2024 installment of the prestigious race. The biggest takeaway from the draw is that it was not favorable for either of the two short morning-line favorites Fierceness (5/2) and Sierra Leone (3-1). The result of the less than ideal positions may result in a wide-open affair that could offer solid investment opportunities for bettors. Be sure to check back here at FullTime Fantasy on Friday as I will have a full betting breakdown with exotic wagers as my Respected Money formula looks to nail the Kentucky Derby winner for the fourth time in the last five years! 2024 KENTUCKY DERBY BETTING PROFILES Fierceness (5/2) POST NUMBER: No. 17 JOCKEY: John Velazquez / TRAINER: Todd Pletcher RECORD: 5 starts: 31-0-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 110 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser The most impressive performance of the Florida Derby that I’ve ever seen came from this year’s Triple Crown candidate: Fierceness. He’s the favorite next Saturday and draws a post position that has NEVER won the Derby (17). Watch his epic race below. Sierra Leone (3-1) POST NUMBER: No. 2 JOCKEY: Tyler Gaffalione / TRAINER: Chad Brown RECORD: 4 starts: 3-1-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 107 RUNNING STYLE: Closer Catching Freedom (8-1) POST NUMBER: No. 4 JOCKEY: Flavien Prat / TRAINER: Brad Cox RECORD: 5 starts: 3-0-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 98 RUNNING STYLE: Closer Forever Young (10-1) POST NUMBER: No. 11 JOCKEY: Ryusei Sakai / TRAINER:Yoshito Yahagi RECORD: 5 starts: 5-0-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: n/a RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Just a Touch (10-1) POST NUMBER: No. 8 JOCKEY: Florent Geroux / TRAINER: Brad Cox RECORD: 3 starts:1-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 105 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Stronghold (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 18 JOCKEY: Antonio Fresu / TRAINER: Phil D’Amato RECORD: 6 starts: 3-3-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 99 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Resilience (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 19 JOCKEY: Junior Alvarado / TRAINER: Bill Mott RECORD: 6 starts: 2-1-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 103 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Mystik Dan (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 3 JOCKEY: Brian Hernandez Jr. / TRAINER: Ken McPeek RECORD: 6 starts: 2-1-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 110 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Encino (20-1) — SCRATCHED POST NUMBER: No. 9 JOCKEY: XXX / TRAINER: Brad Cox RECORD: 4starts: 3-1-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 108 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Honor Marie (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 7 JOCKEY: Ben Curtis / TRAINER: D. Whitworth Beckman RECORD: 5 starts: 2-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 98 RUNNING STYLE: Closer Just Steel (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 6 JOCKEY: Keith Asmussen / TRAINER: D. Wayne Lukas RECORD: 11 starts: 2-4-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 112 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Track Phantom (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 12 JOCKEY: Joel Rosario / TRAINER: Steve Asmussen RECORD: 7 starts: 3-2-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 100 RUNNING STYLE: Pacesetter Dornoch (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 1 JOCKEY: Luis Saez / TRAINER: Danny Gargan RECORD: 6 starts: 3-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 102 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Endlessly (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 14 JOCKEY: Umberto Rispoli / TRAINER: Michael McCarthy RECORD: 6 starts: 5-0-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 103 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Catalytic (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 5 JOCKEY: Jose Ortiz / TRAINER:.Saffie Joseph Jr. RECORD: 3 starts: 1-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 90 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Domestic Product (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 15 JOCKEY: Irad Ortiz Jr. / TRAINER: Chad Brown RECORD: 5 starts: 2-1-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 92 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker T O Password (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 10 JOCKEY: Kazushi Kimura / TRAINER: Daisuke Takayanagi RECORD: 2 starts: 2-0-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: n/a RUNNING STYLE: Pacesetter Grand Mo the First (50-1) POST NUMBER: No. 16 JOCKEY: Emisael Jaramillo / TRAINER: Victor Barboza Jr. RECORD: 6 starts: 2-0-4 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 91 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker West Saratoga (50-1) POST NUMBER: No. 13 JOCKEY: Jesus Castanon / TRAINER: Larry Demeritte RECORD: 10 starts: 2-5-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 93 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Society Man (50-1) POST NUMBER: No. 20 JOCKEY: Frankie Dettori / TRAINER: Danny Gargan RECORD: 5 starts: 1-1-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 99 RUNNING STYLE: Closer ***Epic Ride and Mugatu are the two also-eligible entrants each installed with 50-1 morning line odds should they draw.
Rookie Scouting Profile: Ricky Pearsall
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Ricky Pearsall Ricky Pearsall (WR) Florida Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-1 189 4.41 Round 2 2.10 Adam Thielen College Production A three-star recruit out of Chandler, Arizona, Ricky Pearsall set
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Rookie Scouting Profile: Keon Coleman
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Keon Coleman Keon Coleman (WR) Florida State Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-3 213 4.61 Day 2 2.02 Courtland Sutton College Production A three-sport star out of Opelousas Catholic School in
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Rookie Scouting Profile: Michael Penix Jr.
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. (QB) Washington Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-2 216 4.57* Late 1st 3.10 Tua Tagovailoa * Pro Day College Production Penix was born in Cookeville, TN on May 8, 2000, but was mostly raised in Dade City, Florida. Attended Tampa Bay Technical High School where he compiled 4,243 passing yards and a 61-to-6 TD-to-INT ratio in two seasons as starter. Penix enrolled at Indiana on February 18, 2018 and completed 21-of-34 passes for 219 yards and a score in three games while redshirting. In 2019, Penix started six games and led the Hoosiers to a 5-1 record in those games before a shoulder injury ended his season. Named Indiana’s starter ahead of 2020, Penix again made six starts with a 5-1 record and earned Second-team All-Big-Ten honors before tearing his ACL in a 27-11 home victory against Maryland. 2021 campaign was derailed by a left shoulder injury after five starts. On December 14, 2021, Penix transferred to Washington. Ranked second in FBS with 4,641 passing yards and was named to the All-Pac-12 Second-team in 2022. Concluded college career winning the Maxwell Award, was named Second-team AP All-American, and was a Heisman Trophy finalist after leading the Huskies to the national championship game. Strengths • Strong throwing arm with outstanding accuracy and delivery on deep balls. • Impressive Pro Day measurables. Posted 97th percentile wingspan, 88th percentile hand size, 93rd percentile 40 time, and both his vert and broad jumps were in the top 5th percentile. • Good decision-maker who won’t waste a lot of throws or turn the ball over. Adept at reading through multiple progressions. • Has experience taking snaps under center and in a pro-style offense. • Good feel for pressure. Knows how to step up and get rid of the ball to avoid hits. Only 7.6% of his dropbacks in 2023 resulted in a sack. Concerns • Is already 24 years old with two right ACL tears and major injuries to both shoulders on his resume. • Accuracy drops off when forced outside of the pocket. • Throwing mechanics and release are inconsistent and need refinement. Issues could be further exasperated by the fact that Penix is a southpaw. • College playoffs are good indicators of the best (phenomenal vs. Texas) and worst (struggled vs. Michigan) that Penix brings to the table. • Production in 2023 was helped by an outstanding supporting cast. Fantasy Outlook The two most recent games that Michael Penix played are indicative of his full college resume. There are plenty of positives, like deep-ball accuracy, decision-making, and overall command. However, there are concerns exposed by Michigan that make Penix a polarizing prospect. His draft stock seems to be on the rise. Penix is mocked to the Raiders at 13, which would be good and bad for his 2024 fantasy value. Las Vegas signed Gardner Minshew which could lead to a developmental season for Penix. That’s troubling for a rookie who is already 24. Especially in dynasty formats. Then there are the two major knee and shoulder injuries to consider. That’s a lot of risk for dynasty managers to take into account. Unless Penix falls outside the top 20 in Superflex rookie drafts, I do not anticipate rostering him much. Other Rookie Profiles Caleb Williams Marvin Harrison Jr. Malik Nabers Rome Odunze Brock Bowers Jayden Daniels Brian Thomas Jr. Troy Franklin Xavier Worthy Jonathon Brooks Drake Maye Trey Benson J.J. McCarthy AD Mitchell Ladd McConkey See where Michael Penix Jr. ranks in Jody’s 2024 rookie rankings. The 2024 NFL off-season is underway but it’s not too late to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES & UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site updates! Like and share our new Facebook page! Be sure to pay attention to our giveaways for your shot at some sweet prizes!
Rookie Scouting Profile: Blake Corum
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Blake Corum Blake Corum (RB) Michigan Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 5-9 205 4.53 Round 3-4 2.03 Devonta Freeman College Production The 2019 Gatorade Player of the Year (Maryland) out of
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Rookie Scouting Profile: Ladd McConkey
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Ladd McConkey Ladd McConkey (WR) Georgia Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-0 186 4.39 Round 2 1.09 Diontae Johnson College Production A three-star recruit out of North Murray High School in
Ladd McConkey (WR) Georgia
| Ht. | Wt. | 40-Time | NFL Draft | Dynasty ADP | NFL Comp |
| 6-0 | 186 | 4.39 | Round 2 | 1.09 | Diontae Johnson |
College Production
A three-star recruit out of North Murray High School in Chatsworth, Georgia, where he played quarterback, receiver, defensive back, and special teams, Ladd McConkey accumulated 3,000 yards and scored 36 touchdowns during his senior season. That explosive output led to interest from Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and the hometown Bulldogs, where McConkey enrolled in June of 2020. After redshirting in 2021, McConkey was named to the All-SEC Freshman squad after posting 31/447/5 numbers and an impressive 154.0 QB Rating when targeted for the national champs. In 2022, was named to the Second-team All-SEC team after scoring a team-high seven touchdowns and catching 58-of-76 targets for 762 yards. He missed the opening of his junior year with a back injury, ultimately posing a 30/478/2 line in nine games.
Strengths
• Superlative route-runner with elite start/stop speed out of breaks. Uses excellent technique and feel to manipulate DBs and…
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Rookie Scouting Profile: Adonai Mitchell
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Adonai Mitchell Adonai Mitchell (WR) Texas Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-2 205 4.34 Early 2nd 1.10 Geroge Pickens College Production Adonai “AD” Mitchell was a Second-team All-District star WR (started
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Rookie Scouting Profile: JJ McCarthy
Rookie Scouting Profile: JJ McCarthy J.J. McCarthy (QB) Michigan Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-2 1/2 219 4.60* Top 15 3.02 Alex Smith * estimate College Production A five-star recruit out of La Grange Park, Illinois,
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