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On the Mark: Week 4 NFL Over/Under Prop Picks

On The Mark: Best Prop Bets

On the Mark: After a very successful 2-1 “Mark” in Week 3 (+2.53 units), we have our sights locked on several players ready to outperform their projections before the calendar flips to October. After a successful 2-1 “Mark” in Week 3 (+2.53 units), Mark Deming targets players set to outperform projections before October. Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked fantasy player in the world. Let’s dive right in! Nico Collins Over 6.5 Receptions (+200) Collins heads into Week 4 boasting some impressive stats. He’s one of just two wide receivers forecasted for 7+ receptions and 110+ receiving yards, per our award-winning FullTime Projections, this week. Across five career matchups against Tennessee, Collins has racked up 21 catches for 286 yards and two touchdowns. Fresh off a stellar Week 3 performance of eight receptions for 109 yards and a score, let’s invest in him to carry over that momentum with a healthy plus-odds opportunity. Patrick Mahomes Over 37.5 Passing Attempts (+165) According to our comprehensive FullTime Fantasy data, Mahomes is projected to lead all quarterbacks in pass attempts during Week 4, with an estimated 41 pass attempts. Since the start of the 2024 season, Mahomes has exceeded 38 pass attempts in 10 games. In the last three matchups where the Ravens visited Arrowhead Stadium, the games have averaged 51 total points scored. Prior to their Week 3 tilt against the Lions—where Baltimore leaned heavily on a dominant rushing attack—opposing quarterbacks were averaging 45.5 pass attempts against the Ravens’ vulnerable defense. Omarion, Hampton Over 80 Rushing Yards (+165) With veteran RB Najee Harris out for the season due to injury, the Chargers’ focus on a ground-and-pound philosophy opens the door for Hampton to step up as a true bell-cow RB1. Before Harris went down, the team looked ready to roll with a committee approach in the backfield. The talented rookie is now poised to deliver some monster rushing production, commencing with an enticing Week 4 clash against the Giants – who’ve been coughing up 153 rushing yards per game over their first three contests. Fire him up in all lineups! Christian McCaffrey Over 50 Receiving Yards (+115) Based upon an in-depth data deep dive, San Francisco star RB Christian McCaffrey is poised for a strong receiving performance on Sunday against Jacksonville, as our FullTime Projections predicts 7+ receptions out of the backfield. CMC, who boasts an average of 8.5 yards per reception in his career, has posted 8 receptions of 20+ yards over the last three seasons. Facing a Jacksonville defense that is allowing an average of 5.9 yards per catch to opposing running backs through three games, let’s grab the plus-odds on an elite RB to eclipse a projection he has surpassed in all three games thus far this season. NFL Stats | Player Rankings  

NFL Week 3 On the Mark: Elite Fantasy Football Prop Bets

NFL Week 3 On the Mark: Elite Fantasy Football Prop Bets Dive into NFL Week 3 elite fantasy football prop bets with expert picks like Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes for maximum value! Written by former #1 Ranked Fantasy Player in the World, Mark Deming. QB Lamar Jackson 3+ TD passes (+180) The Monday Night Football matchup featuring the Lions and Ravens finds the highest listed point total for Week 3, at 53.5. Jackson enters the showdown fresh off a four-TD passing performance in the blowout win over Cleveland. The +180 alternative market is definitely within the star signal-caller’s range, and this game has the potential for a primetime shootout. Jackson has thrown 3+ passing touchdowns in 26 games in his career, 14 of which have taken place at home. The Lions have surrendered two TD passes to opposing QBs in each of their first two games, and I anticipate Jackson being locked in for this primetime matchup. QB Patrick Mahomes 40+ Rushing Yards (+189) Week 3 shockingly brings about a must-win situation for the struggling 0-2 Chiefs. Due to the ongoing suspension of star wide receiver Rashee Rice, Mahomes has been scrambling more frequently than usual. Through the first two games, Mahomes has racked up 123 rushing yards. The three-time Super Bowl MVP is the type of leader who puts everything on the line to secure a Chiefs victory. Since entering the league in 2017, the league’s most dangerous signal-caller has reached this plateau in 20 career games, including the postseason. After surpassing this demand in both games this season, let’s invest in Mahomes eclipsing the 40-yard mark for a third consecutive matchup. RB Jahmyr Gibbs 5+ Receptions (+173) Gibbs’ involvement in Detroit’s passing game has been just what fantasy managers envisioned when they invested high draft capital to land the coveted running back in drafts this summer. Through the first two weeks, he has hauled in 13 receptions, highlighted by an eye-popping 10 receptions in Week 1 against the Packers. Detroit’s newly revamped offensive line could face tough sledding against a strong Ravens’ pass rush on Monday night, potentially forcing Goff into a healthy dose of check down passes to Gibbs out of the backfield. Strategy Insight This week’s installment of the “On the Mark” series focuses on three elite fantasy football talents, who can all exceed their base productions. While all three of these highlighted players will obviously be in all starting lineups, a round robin investment could also prove to be quite lucrative.

Week 2 Fantasy Football Team & Player Projections

Weekly Projections

FullTime Fantasy Sports is proud to offer you projections & rankings brought to you by the Fantasy Football “Rainman” Shawn Childs!

FullTime Fantasy is proud to offer you in-depth 2025 Fantasy Football Projections & rankings, consistently updated by our fantasy football team. Start your season off with a bang and DOMINATE your competition!

Updated: September 11, 2025

Note: These spreadsheets vary by appearance depending on the device and browser you use. Due to the size and dimensions of the projections, it may be best to download the file. We recommend using Google Docs, Microsoft Excel or any spreadsheet-compatible app/program to view.

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2025 Fantasy Football Team & Player PROJECTIONS
Not only do members get downloadable projections by team, position and player, they also get a weekly recap of what’s changed for all 32-teams around the league. We’re watching as each week unfolds all the way to kickoff just like you and now you get to read our thought process behind those performances and whether they should impact our projections.

To see the projections for each position along with updated Depth Charts as well as many of the popular scoring systems like DraftKings, Fanduel, Underdog and more, become a member of Fulltime Fantasy!

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2025 Preseason Pro: Kimra Schleicher

breakout player of the year (2025)

Fantasy football draft season has finally arrived! Our annual Flagship Feature is called Preseason Pro. This 2025 Preseason Pro: Kimra Schleicher continues the exclusive insight you can find only at FullTime Fantasy. Here at FullTime Fantasy, we’ve assembled the very

Fantasy football draft season has finally arrived! Our annual Flagship Feature is called Preseason Pro. This 2025 Preseason Pro: Kimra Schleicher continues the exclusive insight you can find only at FullTime Fantasy.

Here at FullTime Fantasy, we’ve assembled the very best high-stakes players in the world: 5 of the Top 10 World-Ranked players, and one of the top RANKERS in the country — to help you win your Fantasy Football league.

Nobody else in the industry can bring you this type of information. Also, we host the Fantasy Football World Championships, and these players are gracious enough to lend us a hand to help promote the very best content in the industry.

Each of them is putting their reputation on the line for all to see and is providing us with their:

ONE Top SleeperONE BreakoutONE Bust

ONE Comebackand ONE late-round Stash & Cash.

to help you with your upcoming draft. However, it’s only one per category! They don’t know what anyone else has submitted, so you’re getting the genuine gut check from the best players in the world. High rollers have offered some of them hundreds of dollars for this kind of private advice. And that’s just for just one opinion.

This year’s Preseason Pro picks are included FREE with your FullTime Fantasy Membership!

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What makes their opinion so worthy? Simple. They win. Year in and year out, they’re winners. While some may ask, “Why would they help me?”, there is no question that when their pride and integrity are on the line, they step up and make bold calls to help others. When we have questions on Sunday, this is who we call. We’re essentially bringing our high-stakes connections to FullTime Fantasy.

When your league is on the line, who do you trust? A magazine that contains out-of-date news? No. Those days are over. Not all experts are considered equal

Up next is the 2016 Fantasy Football World Champion, Kimra Schleicher. Kimra (Sellerberg, IN), boasts five top-10 finishes in the FFWC and was the first woman to ever win the coveted title of Fantasy Football World Champion.

Per Kimra: “My fantasy career started with a leap of faith, has been fueled by persistence, and enhanced with the help of others to whom I am forever grateful. Winning has been my consistent goal; its realization is a most extraordinary experience!” Now, FullTime Fantasy Members get exclusive insight from the champ herself via our 2025 Preseason Pro: Kimra Schleicher.

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WHO WILL BE KIMRA’S SLEEPER, BUST, COMEBACK, AND LATE-ROUND STATSH FOR THE UPCOMING FANTASY FOOTBALL SEASON?

 

To finish reading Kimra’s Preseason Pro picks (and to get ALL of our PROS PICKS) for Sleeper, Bust, Breakout, Comeback, and Stash & Cash for 2025…

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Fantasy Football Breakouts

Fantasy Football Breakouts

Fantasy Football Breakouts  This post is courtesy of Shawn Childs and Fantasy Sports on SI.  Success in fantasy football hinges on identifying a core group of players poised for breakout seasons. Each year, the player pool shifts, creating unique draft dynamics and opportunities. Securing high-value players at a discount early in drafts sets the stage for smarter decisions at other positions. In PPR leagues, I categorize positional rankings into 60-point tiers. A breakout player exceeds expectations by at least two tiers (120+ fantasy points). Below is a breakdown of average fantasy points for key positions in PPR formats (based on 4-point passing TD scoring for QBs): QB1: ~375 points RB1: ~270 points RB2: ~210 points RB3: ~160 points RB4: ~110 points WR1: ~290 points WR2: ~225 points WR3: ~190 points WR4: ~160 points TE1: ~190 points TE2: ~120 points Top-tier players significantly outscore the average at their position. For example, over the past two seasons, CeeDee Lamb (405.2 points) and Ja’Marr Chase (403.0 points) averaged over 400 points in PPR, creating a 120-point edge over the median WR1. This demonstrates the massive impact elite performers can have compared to their draft peers. Top Breakout Candidates for 2025 RB TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots Henderson has surged up draft boards after a strong preseason with the Patriots. Initially a sixth-round pick (RB20) in early July high-stakes drafts, his ADP has climbed to the third round (pick 25–47, ADP 35) over the last three days, ranking him as RB14. His rising cost demands a 2024 Bucky Irving-like breakout (Irving was a 10th-round steal last year). Henderson’s value lies in home leagues where he may still be undervalued, but his ceiling depends on New England significantly increasing his touches. WR Emeka Egbuka, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Drafted 19th overall in the 2025 NFL Draft, Egbuka joined a potent Tampa Bay offense but faced a crowded depth chart with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Jalen McMillan. In early July, he was the WR45 with an eighth-round ADP, offering excellent value. Recent injuries—Godwin’s delayed ankle recovery and McMillan’s four-game absence due to a neck injury—have elevated Egbuka to WR33 (ADP 60, minimum pick 50). With WR2-level snaps and targets, he has room to outperform his draft position significantly. WR Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers The trade of Deebo Samuel, coupled with Jauan Jennings’ calf issue and Brandon Aiyuk’s knee surgery recovery, has opened the door for Pearsall. As San Francisco’s top-drafted receiver, he carries a mid-tier WR3 price tag. Over the past six weeks, his ADP has risen five spots, just ahead of Egbuka. Despite injury risks and inconsistent 2024 performances (e.g., 8/141/1, 6/69/1), Pearsall’s opportunity makes him a breakout candidate. WR Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears Odunze, a sixth-round pick in July (ADP 50–69), has slipped behind Pearsall, Egbuka, and Hunter in recent drafts (ADP 66, range 59–76). His 2024 stats (54/734/3) and continuity with QB Caleb Williams give him a solid foundation. Chicago’s new offensive scheme showed promise in the preseason, but multiple receiving options (e.g., DJ Moore, Keenan Allen) could cap his ceiling. Still, Odunze’s potential suggests a future 100/1,500/10 season. WR Travis Hunter, Jacksonville Jaguars Hunter, a Heisman Trophy winner (96/1,258/15 in 2024), brings unmatched talent and versatility, playing both receiver and cornerback. His ADP (WR33–34) has remained steady, reflecting cautious optimism. Despite a quiet preseason (2/9/0 in one game, sidelined by a minor injury in another), Hunter is Jacksonville’s clear No. 2 option. The new coaching staff, led by Tampa Bay’s former offensive coordinator, sets him up for success. His elite route-running, vision, and playmaking ability point to a high-volume NFL career akin to Antonio Brown. Breakout Tote Board TreVeyon Henderson: Talented but no longer a value due to his rising ADP. Consider Omarion Henderson as a cheaper alternative. Emeka Egbuka: Rising ADP reflects growing target share, but Godwin’s return could limit his ceiling. Ricky Pearsall: Prime opportunity, but injury concerns and consistency are risks. Rome Odunze: Strong candidate for WR2 production, but Chicago’s crowded receiving corps may cap his output. Check out FullTime Fantasy’s choice for Breakout Player of the Year. Hint: he’s mentioned in this piece.   WARNING! Don’t let a fancy website fool you! You need trustworthy rankings to win at fantasy football. We’ve got them! 150+ websites ranked us Top 2 in the industry for our draft rankings. Get expert advice from Captain Jody Smith and our team of high-stakes winners. Use code JODY30 for 30% off your first two months. Ready to bring home that championship? Click NOW!

Scott Atkins’ 2025 Fantasy Football Rankings w/ Tiers & Commentary

wilson-garrett

Scott Atkins provides his quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end positional rankings, updated in real time!

Scott will be providing and adjusting his 2025 fantasy football rankings with commentary every day based on all the evolving news so check back often. Each position will have an updated date so you know you have fresh positional rankings.

Follow Scott on Twitter @ScottFantasy

Fantasy High Stakes player and FullTime Co-Founder Scott Atkins, is hooking you up with his positional rankings! These rankings will tell you who is trending up, who is trending down, and who you should target on draft day! Scott’s Tiered Positional Rankings with Comments are a must read and print for your big draft.

 

GET SCOTT ATKINS’ RANKINGS

And find out who his TARGETS and FADES are at each position!

 

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