2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Betting Odds: Fernando Mendoza Massive Favorite
2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Betting Odds: Fernando Mendoza Massive Favorite Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X With the Seattle Seahawks dominant Super Bowl LX victory in the books, it is now time for NFL fans and fantasy football managers to turn their attention to the 2026 NFL Draft. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, finished up +21.23 units on the 2025 NFL season! History tells us that quarterbacks typically have an advantage over other positions when it comes to being the top overall draft pick. Dating back to 2000, 19 quarterbacks have been selected No. 1 overall in the NFL draft. Quarterbacks selected No. 1 overall (2000–2025): 2001: Michael Vick (Falcons) 2002: David Carr (Texans) 2003: Carson Palmer (Bengals) 2004: Eli Manning (Chargers, traded to Giants) 2005: Alex Smith (49ers) 2007: JaMarcus Russell (Raiders) 2009: Matthew Stafford (Lions) 2010: Sam Bradford (Rams) 2011: Cam Newton (Panthers) 2012: Andrew Luck (Colts) 2015: Jameis Winston (Buccaneers) 2016: Jared Goff (Rams) 2018: Baker Mayfield (Browns) 2019: Kyler Murray (Cardinals) 2020: Joe Burrow (Bengals) 2021: Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) 2023: Bryce Young (Panthers) 2024: Caleb Williams (Bears) 2025: Cam Ward (Titans) Travon Walker (2022, Jaguars), Myles Garrett (2017, Browns), Jadeveon Clowney (2014, Texans), Mario Williams (2006, Texans) and Courtney Brown (2000, Browns) are the only defensive players to earn the distinguished honor over that span. On the offensive side of the ball, Eric Fisher (2013, Chiefs) and Jake Long (2008, Dolphins) are the only non-quarterback players to get tabbed No. 1 overall. The draft order for the first 30 picks are set ahead of #SBLX. NFL Scouting Combine: February 23 – March 2 (Indianapolis, IN) NFL Draft: April 23-25 (Pittsburgh, PA) pic.twitter.com/ED8GcdeMfJ — NFL Football Operations (@NFLFootballOps) January 26, 2026 As of now, the betting market for the 2026 NFL Draft’s No. 1 overall pick lists Indiana star signal-caller Fernando Mendoza as the top overall betting favorite at prohibitive odds of -7000. Current No. 1 Overall Betting Odds (DraftKings) Fernando Mendoza (QB, Indiana): -10000 Trinidad Chambliss (QB, Ole Miss): +4500 Rueben Bain Jr. (EDGE, Miami): +5000 Arvell Reese (LB/EDGE, Ohio State): +6000 Ty Simpson (QB, Alabama): +9000 Jordyn Tyson (WR, Arizona State): +10000 Keldric Faulk (DE, Auburn): +12000 David Bailey (LB, EDGE, South Carolina): +12000 Carnell Tate (WR, Ohio State): +12000 Caleb Downs (S, Ohio State): +12000 Overwhelming Prohibitive Betting Favorite QB, Fernando Mendoza (Indiana) The Heisman Trophy winner led Indiana to a historic national championship season. Mendoza’s 6-5, 225 lbs frame, combined with his accuracy, arm talent, and leadership have many pundits and oddsmakers convinced that the Las Vegas Raiders will select him first overall. New head coach Klint Kubiak’s biggest focus will be re-building a Raiders offense that finished last in total offense and scoring. In his first season with the Silver and Black veteran QB Geno Smith was a complete bust, throwing a league-high 17 interceptions. We will have a full breakdown of the fantasy impact of Mendoza joining a Raiders offense that already consists of young studs Ashton Jeanty and Brock Bowers here at Fulltime Fantasy leading up to the NFL Draft! The Raiders’ offense could look scary next season under new HC Klint Kubiak AND the No. 1 overall pick in the draft 😈 Will they select the Heisman and Natty winner Fernando Mendoza to team up with Ashton Jeanty and Brock Bowers? 🎰 pic.twitter.com/iNI3acR79d — Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) February 9, 2026 Respected Money Betting Breakdown Even if the Raiders trade the No. 1 overall pick to QB-needy teams like the Jets or Cardinals, Mendoza will still be the top pick, resulting in poor standalone betting value. The overwhelming prohibitive odds of -10000 make any investment involving Mendoza in this market, even as a leg in parlay investments a hard pass. We will have better spots to make NFL Draft investments in the weeks leading up to the 2026 NFL Draft which will take place on April 23. Be sure to be a Fulltime Fantasy premium subscriber! Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Super Bowl LX WR Player Props: Oddsmakers Priced Too Low
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Super Bowl Squares Best & Worst Numbers 2026 – Odds & Strategy
Super Bowl Squares: The Best & Worst Numbers Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X Picking a square in a Super Bowl Squares pool has become just as much a tradition as stocking up on wings, nachos, pizza, or sliders before the big game. Across the nation, football enthusiasts will be glued to the epic clash between the Seahawks and Patriots, cheering for their squad while crossing fingers that the quarter-end scores line up perfectly for a longshot payout. Lately, sportsbooks have capitalized on the buzz by letting bettors pick their preferred numbers outright, a fresh twist on the classic random assignments in old-school pools. What are traditional Super Bowl Squares? Participating in Super Bowl squares is among the simplest methods for fans who aren’t deeply into football to get involved in the excitement of the championship game. It’s essentially a luck-based activity where participants each get one of 100 spots on a grid. After all spots are filled, digits from 0 to 9 are randomly placed along the top row and left column. The top row’s numbers correspond to one team, and the side columns to the other. Winners are decided by the last digit of each team’s score at the close of the first quarter, halftime, the third quarter, and the final whistle. For instance, if the score at halftime is Seattle 17, New England 6, then the winning square is Seahawks 7, Patriots 6. If the final score is Seattle 36 New England 17, then the winning square is Seahawks 6, Patriots 7. The winners are always determined by the second digit only. For those looking to invest in multiple squares, avoid choosing boxes in the same row or the same column. Why? It simply decreases potentially landing on unfavorable numbers multiple times. Best & Worst Numbers for Super Bowl Squares The most desired numbers are: 0,1, 3, 4, 7. As we know, field goals are worth three points, touchdowns are worth six and point after attempts are worth one. The least desired numbers in Super Bowl squares are easily: 2, 5, 9. If you land on a combination of 2-2 or 5-5 or 9-9, you most likely will be looking to place several fun proposition wagers – since you are facing a major disadvantage of profiting from any square pool. A Super Bowl rematch over a decade in the making. #SBLX pic.twitter.com/xrE8WtIGx5 — NFL (@NFL) January 26, 2026 What Oddsmakers Are Saying If your square doesn’t land on favorable numbers, sportsbooks allow you to select them yourself, rather than relying on the random assignments typical in standard pools. Here are the betting squares odds for the Final Score for Super Bowl LX: (courtesy of Caesars Sports) Per Caesars Sportsbook, the squares with the lowest odds for the final score involve: Seahawks 0, Patriots 7 +1800 Patriots 0, Seahawks 7 +2000 Patriots 7, Seahawks 4 +2200 Patriots 4, Seahawks 7 +2500 Patriots 3, Seahawks 0 +2500 Seahawks 3, Patriots 0 +2500 Seahawks 7, Patriots 3 +2800 Seahawks 3, Patriots 7 +3500 Patriots 0, Seahawks 4 +3000 Seahawks 4, Patriots 1 +3500 On the flip side, the squares with the highest odds for the final score involve: Seahawks 5, Patriots 5 +20000 Patriots 5, Seahawks 5 +20000 Seahawks 2, Patriots 2 +20000 Patriots 2, Seahawks 2 +20000 Seahawks 9, Patriots 9 +10000 Patriots 9, Seahawks 9 +10000 Seahawks 5, Patriots 9 +17500 Patriots 9, Seahawks 5 +17500 If you end up with any of these combos in your standard pools, you’ll probably want to place some lighthearted side bets—like the Gatorade shower color or the national anthem duration—because cashing in on the main prize is a long shot. Traditional Super Bowl Squares vs. Sportsbooks As someone who loves finding higher paying odds, I prefer randomly assigned numbers in traditional square pools rather than the fixed odds offered by sportsbooks. In your neighborhood square pool, the prize money is the same no matter which numbers win. Good luck on all your wagers! Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
NFL CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS Week 21 Fantasy Projections (Updated 1/23)
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DIVISIONAL Week 20 Fantasy Projections (Updated 1/14)
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WILDCARD Week 19 Fantasy Projections (Updated 1/6)
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The 2026 Playoff Draft World Championship
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Week 18 Fantasy Projections (Updated 1/3)
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Week 17 Fantasy Projections (Updated 12/27)
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Week 16 On the Mark: Best NFL O/U Prop Picks
Week 16 “On the Mark” – Best Prop Bets Written by Mark Deming @yomarkdeming on X Let’s get into week 16 and cash some winners. After compiling the exclusive, full-time fantasy data and projections, you will find five different players to attack in Week 16 player props. In the first strategy below, you’ll find aggressive plus numbers with all of the plus money and higher benchmarks. On the second strategy, you will find the more conservative minus payouts on the same five players with less aggressive benchmarks. We recommend the round robin format for each or both recommendations. Each player included in the article are Alpha players in the offense or heavily involved in the offensive game plan as well as all the players correlate with FTF elite projections. Try using 80-90% of your bank roll on the round robin and 10-20% on a parlay is a smart way to play with upside. Attached are examples of the round robin and parlay tickets per the below recommendations that you can tail in the amount that works for you. Aggressive + Money Strategy (Round Robin 2×2 / by 2’s – 80-90% bankroll | Five player parlay – 10-20% bankroll) Bills Josh Allen over 215.5 passing yards -105 Patriots Drake Maye over 246.5 passing yards +100 Falcons Bijan Robinson over 139.5 rushing and receiving combined +120 Dolphins Devon Achane over 125.5 rushing and receiving combined +125 49ers George Kittle over 77.5 receiving yards +140 Conservative – Money Strategy (Round Robin 2×2 / by 2’s – 80-90% bankroll | Five player parlay – 10-20% bankroll) Falcons Bijan Robinson over 122.5 combined rushing and receiving yards -170 Dolphins Devon Achane over 105.5 combined rushing and receiving yards -165 Patriots Drake Maye over 231.5 passing yards -145 Bills Josh Allen over 201.5 passing yards -150 49ers George Kittle over 57.5 receiving yards -185 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings