TNF Respected Money Breakdown: Jets vs Patriots (Week 11)
Thursday Night Football Respected Money Breakdown: Jets vs Patriots Week 11 TNF: Jets (2-7) visit AFC East-leading Patriots (8-2). Sharp money on the Under. Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season kicks off on Thursday Night featuring a tilt between the Jets (2-7) on a two-game winning streak taking on Drake Maye and the AFC East leading Patriots (8-2). The oddsmakers have New England listed as 13-point home favorites with the total sitting at 43. Despite winning 8 of the last 10 meetings against New York, the Patriots have burned bettors posting a dismal 3-7 ATS mark over that stretch. Dating back to 2022, the series has been lower scoring than the experts in the desert have predicted with the Under cashing in 5 of the last 6 contests, averaging only 28.5 points. The total, which opened at 45, has drawn sharp action dropping the line two full points (43). Week 6: $26,331.41 profit via FullTime + @RespectedMoney YTD: 🔥🔥 40-52 (+15.47 UNITS) 📈 In a less than attractive game, where the steam is heavily on the Under, let’s keep the risk low and target three plus-odds investments! TOP PLAYS WR Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown (+135 – BETMGM) Diggs, the overall WR19 in PPR, is Maye’s clear top target: 61 targets, 50 rec, 554 yds. Ranks 11th in Red Zone Targets (10) and has scored in 3 straight games. Our projections: 75% TD probability vs Jets secondary post-Sauce Gardner. TE Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+165 – BETMGM) Fantasy’s TE15 in PPR draws a Jets defense allowing 7 TDs to TEs. Our projections: 75% TD. Ranks 5th in Air Yards (405), 7th in RZ Targets (9). All 4 TDs this year at home. Austin Hooper likely out (concussion). RB Breece Hall Over 2.5 Receptions (+118 – FanDuel) RB13 in PPR, tied for 13th in RB targets (31). 2+ rec in 7 of 9 games. Garrett Wilson out → more dump-offs. Our projections: 4 receptions. Jets likely trailing → pass-heavy script. 10 RBs already hit 3+ vs NE. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 10 Targets & Target Share by Team | Scott Atkins
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 10 Targets & Target Share by Team Written by Scott Atkins, veteran high-stakes fantasy analyst and contributor to FullTime Fantasy. Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season is in the books, and the targets and Target Share % reveal who’s receiving the looks by the Quarterback, regardless if they turn it into points or not. This breakdown covers all 32 teams across eight divisions, plus the top 10 leaders, to give you a fantasy edge for Week 11. This is a Weekly Member-Only Feature. Use this data to spot breakout candidates and waiver wire targets as the season heats up. Team-by-Team Target Breakdowns AFC East Target & Target Share % AFC North Target & Target Share % AFC South Target & Target Share % AFC West Target & Target Share % NFC East Target & Target Share % NFC North Target & Target Share % NFC South Target & Target Share % NFC West Target & Target Share % Top 10 Target Leaders Top 10 Target Share % Leaders
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 10 RB Snap Counts & Opportunity Share %
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 10 RB Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % Written by Scott Atkins, veteran high-stakes fantasy analyst and contributor to FullTime Fantasy. Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season is in the books, and the snap counts and Opportunity Share % (Backfield Touches %) reveal who’s dominating backfields. This breakdown covers all 32 teams across eight divisions, plus the top 10 leaders, to give you a fantasy edge for Week 11. Snap counts show time on the field, while Opportunity Share % highlights players with the most touches (rushes + receptions) and what backfield usage %. Use this data to spot breakout candidates and waiver wire targets as the season heats up. Team-by-Team Running Back Breakdowns AFC East Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % AFC North Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % AFC South Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % AFC West Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC East Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC North Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC South Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC West Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % Top 10 RB Snap Count Leaders Top 10 RB Opportunity Share % Leaders
FullTime Fantasy: Week 10 Injury Report & Week 11 Waiver Radar
FullTime Fantasy: Week 10 Injury Report & Week 11 Waiver Radar FullTime Fantasy highlights the biggest injuries from Week 10 and the top waiver wire targets for Week 11 Written by Duke Deming Week 10 Injury Report Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) Left Week 10 early with a concussion. Russell Wilson will start if Dart can’t clear protocol. Bam Knight (RB – AZ) Ankle injury, did not return. Emari Demercado steps up as the clear next man up. Davante Adams (WR – LA) Back injury vs SF. Rams optimistic for Week 11, but monitor practice reports. Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) Re-aggravated knee — expected to miss 3-4 weeks. DJ Moore (WR – CHI) Shoulder injury. If he misses time: Rome Odunze, Olamide Zaccheaus, Luther Burden III see big target bumps. Dalton Kincaid (TE – BUF) Hamstring — Dawson Knox becomes the starter if he sits. Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) Knee — day-to-day, has a shot to play Week 11. Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB – WAS) Shoulder — Jacory Croskey-Merritt in line for a huge workload. Week 11 Waiver Wire Radar 1. Troy Franklin (WR – DEN) 37 targets last 4 weeks — Bo Nix’s clear go-to weapon. Caught 5-9 for 40 yards + TD in Week 10. 2. Tez Johnson (WR – TB) 4 catches, 42 yards, 2 TDs Week 10. Rising usage with Bucs’ WR injuries. 3. Tyler Allgeier (RB – ATL) 11 carries, 57 yards, 2 TDs. Red-zone monster — must-add. 4. Emari Demercardo (RB – ATL) 100+ scrimmage yards Week 10. Immediate handcuff + standalone flex if Knight misses time. 5. Cade Otton (TE – TB) 9-82 on 12 targets. Bucs are funneling everything to the TE with WRs hurt. 6. Theo Johnson (TE – NYG) 7-75 on 8 targets. Giants are desperate for any pass-catcher. 7. Joe Flacco (QB – CIN) Coming off bye after 470 yards & 4 TDs in Week 9. Bengals play in shootouts weekly. Week 11 Byes: CIN · DAL · KC · TEN Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 10 On the Mark: Best NFL O/U Prop Picks
Week 10 on the Mark Let’s dive into Week 10 with some explosive player props to maximize your lineups and bankroll via the round robin strategy. This week’s column features a player at each fantasy skill position—the first time I’ve backed one at each major fantasy position this year. Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world Let’s dive right in! QB Justin Herbert over 2.5 passing TDs +240 The exclusive FT rankings are projecting the former Oregon 1st round draft pick for a big week that includes 2.5 plus passing TDs. In the last four games. Herbert has also tossed 3 TDs in the last two consecutive home games and SoFi stadium always has a fast track, there is a ton of value in the +240 number. TE Kyle Pitts over 5.5 receptions +135 I continually sift and weed out the FF player projections to find our members’ value. Pitts is a value in Week 10 as our projections have the talented TE with 7 receptions and the 5.5 plus 135 is great value once again. Since the week, Pitts is averaging 5.75 receptions per game. The most bullish stat that backs this recommendation is the Colts have allowed 60 receptions to TEs 2nd most in the league to only the dreaded Bengals swiss cheese defense. WR Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions +125 The JJ play is probably the most conservative play of the week for the column but you can count on second year QB JJ McCarthy to feed Jefferson the rock, which included 9 targets last week. The Ravens have allowed 111 receptions to WRs, sixth most in the NFL. The Vikings have played on six straight Overs which also bodes well for Jefferson to see lots of action in Kevin O’Connell’s offense scheme. RB James Cook over 99.5 rushing yards +150 One of the most aggressive projections from Fulltime in Week 10 is a huge game from Cook where our data projects him for 123 rushing yards. Every week I search for large discrepancies in our projections and the plus number offered and Cook is very attractive vs the Dolphins. Miami’s 1073 rushing yards allowed to RBs is 3rd most in the league, jump on Cook!! Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 10 Start/Sit Tight Ends: Kincaid, Loveland to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Tight Ends Here’s who deserves a starting spot in Week 10—and who should stay on the bench. By FullTime Fantasy Start Dalton Kincaid Kincaid shut down any concern about inconsistency by becoming the first Bills tight end with multiple 100-yard games in a season in over 40 years. Outside of one down performance, he has offered both floor and ceiling. Miami has been highly vulnerable to tight ends, ranking bottom five in fantasy points, yards and touchdowns allowed to the position. Kincaid already burned them earlier this year and should deliver again. Colston Loveland Loveland broke out with 118 yards and two touchdowns last week, including a highlight-reel, game-winning catch and run. The rookie has earned more involvement, and he draws another appealing matchup against a Giants defense that gives up steady production through the air. In what could quietly become a high-scoring game, Loveland is a playable tight end again. Sit T.J. Hockenson Hockenson found the end zone last week, but the usage remains concerning. In three games with McCarthy, he has totaled just 44 yards. Baltimore hasn’t allowed a passing touchdown in the last two games and rarely gives up much to tight ends. It’s a trap spot. Luke Musgrave Musgrave is stepping into a larger role with Tucker Kraft out, but this isn’t the matchup to roll the dice. Philadelphia has allowed the third-fewest fantasy points and just one touchdown to tight ends. It’s best to see what his involvement looks like before putting him in lineups. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points QB Start em Sit em RB Start em Sit em WR Start em Sit em
Week 10 Start/Sit Wide Receivers: Odunze, Shakir to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Wide Receivers The right start/sit decisions can swing a matchup. By Adam Krautwurst Start Rome Odunze Odunze was blanked in Week 9, but he should rebound quickly. The Giants have been one of the most generous defenses to wideouts, giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to the position and allowing 12 receivers to score at least 14 PPR points. With Caleb Williams expected to attack through the air, Odunze is a strong starting option in all formats. Khalil Shakir Buffalo enters the week with the highest projected point total, and Shakir has the single-best wide receiver matchup according to FantasyPoints Data. Working from the slot, he’ll see a lot of Minkah Fitzpatrick, who is being targeted at one of the highest rates in the league and has allowed the most fantasy points per route run among qualifying corners. Shakir leads the Bills in targets per route and has 15 catches in his last two games. With elite efficiency and a favorable setup, he profiles as a strong WR2. Sit Jordan Addison Addison struggled in his first game with J.J. McCarthy, dropping in target share and finishing with a season-low 8.4 points. Baltimore hasn’t allowed a receiver touchdown in three straight weeks, and McCarthy’s passing volume is limited. Addison’s talent keeps him on the radar, but his reliance on touchdowns makes him risky. He’s a low-end flex. Deebo Samuel Samuel has slumped over his last three games, totaling just 12 catches for 67 yards and failing to score. With Marcus Mariota starting, Samuel has posted 4.9 fantasy points or fewer in two of three previous games. Detroit presents a difficult matchup, making Samuel a starter only in deeper three-receiver formats. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points QB Start em Sit em RB Start em Sit em TE Start em Sit em
Week 10 Start/Sit Running Backs: Judkins, Warren to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Running Backs Injuries, bye weeks, and shifting roles are forcing managers to make tougher lineup calls than ever. By Adam Krautwurst Start Quinshon Judkins Judkins’ Week 8 workload drop was tied to a shoulder issue, but he’s off the injury report and should return to his full role. Before the setback, he handled more than 80 percent of the Browns’ carries from Weeks 3-7 and averaged over 16 PPR points per game—essentially RB1 production. Now he draws a depleted Jets defense that just traded away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams. New York was already bottom-12 against the run before losing its best interior defender. Judkins should jump right back into feature-back status and profiles as a strong RB2 with top-end potential. Jaylen Warren Warren has controlled Pittsburgh’s backfield for three straight weeks, taking nearly 80 percent of the carries and all of the goal-line work. He’s averaging more than 15 fantasy points during that span and has topped 13 in five of seven games overall. He now meets the Chargers, who give up 4.9 yards per carry, allow explosive runs at one of the league’s highest rates, and struggle after contact. With volume and matchup working in his favor, Warren is a clear starter. Sit Alvin Kamara Kamara is having the least productive season of his career, averaging single-digit PPR points and seeing his role shrink. New Orleans’ offensive line isn’t opening holes, and Kamara has just six carries in back-to-back games. Carolina’s defense has held multiple strong rushing attacks in check. With the Saints projected among the lowest-scoring teams of Week 10, Kamara slides into low-upside RB3 territory. Jacory Croskey-Merritt Croskey-Merritt has scored 5.8 or fewer PPR points in four straight games and hasn’t found the end zone since Week 5. He’s been invisible in the passing game with only nine receiving yards over his last four outings. Detroit is a tough matchup, allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to running backs and zero RB touchdowns in their last four contests. Better to avoid him. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points QB Start em Sit em WR Start em Sit em TE Start em Sit em
Week 10 Start/Sit Quarterbacks: Williams, Dart to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Quarterbacks Week 10 is here, and fantasy playoff races are officially taking shape. By Adam Krautwurst Start Caleb Williams Williams is coming off the best fantasy performance of his young career, piling up 280 passing yards, three touchdown throws, 53 rushing yards and even two receptions with another score. Nearly 40 fantasy points won’t be the norm, but the matchup remains enticing. The Giants have surrendered the sixth-most passing yards and the fourth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. They don’t generate pressure consistently and are vulnerable to deep passes. With shaky defenses on both sides, this game could easily turn into a shootout, keeping Williams firmly in play. Jaxson Dart Dart has been outstanding across six starts and continues to produce even without Malik Nabers. He has topped 21 fantasy points in five of those outings, with his “worst” game still at 19.6. His rushing production gives him a strong weekly floor, as he has either run for 55 yards or scored a rushing touchdown in every start. Chicago has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, and four passers have posted at least 26.2 against them. Dart has legitimate top-five upside this week. Sit Trevor Lawrence Even with the addition of Jakobi Meyers, this is a bad spot for Lawrence in one-quarterback leagues. Houston ranks first in fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, and Lawrence has been mediocre historically against the Texans, averaging just 215 yards with five touchdowns and four picks in their last five meetings. He’s only viable in Superflex formats. Jordan Love Love has been a rollercoaster. He has three games under 15 fantasy points in his last four and now faces an Eagles defense that ranks near the top of the league in fewest passing touchdowns allowed and just added reinforcements. With such a low floor, there are safer options available. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points RB Start em Sit em WR Start em Sit em TE Start em Sit em
Vegas vs FullTime: Week 10 NFL Plus-Money TD Props
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 10 Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into November up +14.87 units on the year. According to the experts in the desert, Fantasy managers need to temper expectations for high scoring games on Sunday as the Week 10 slate is projected to be low-scoring with only one game owning a total of 50-plus. While fantasy matchups could very well be a struggle this week, our models still believe there are several players who are offering exploitable value. Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver wire. FullTime Fantasy scored big in Week 6 after combining our award-winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info winning $26,331.41! FullTime Fantasy + @RespectedMoney = $26,331.41 in Week 6 profits! #DFS #FantasyFootball — FullTime Fantasy (@FullTimeFantasy) October 15, 2025 Let’s take a deeper dive into the best Anytime-Touchdown options, by once again focusing on my Vegas Respected Money targets in conjunction with our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections! Top Values By The Projections WR Davante Adams -105 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Adams, who ranks as the overall WR8 in fantasy football in PPR formats, finds a favorable matchup in Week 10 against a 49ers defense that has allowed five receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over their last four games. Adams, who is tied for the league-lead in touchdowns (8), has been red-hot over his last two games finding paydirt five times. Ranking 1st in the NFL in Red Zone Targets (20), 4th in Air Yards (869), and 16th in Target Share (26%), results in a WR our projections demand we invest in, despite just missing our plus-money target price. WR Emeka Egbuka +110 (DraftKings) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) After scoring five touchdowns over his first games, Tampa Bay’s star rookie wideout has failed to score in three straight games. Coming off the bye, Egbuka finds a favorable matchup on Sunday against a Patriots defense allowing an average of 10 receptions and 133.8 yards per game and 10 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. Egbuka, who ranks 1st in Deep Targets (17) and 7th among all wideouts in Air Yards (843) should once again be Baker Mayfield’s top target with both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin both expected to sit once again. WR Drake London +145 (BetMGM) Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) The showdown between the Colts and Falcons from Germany has been assigned with an attractive 48.5-point total. Indianapolis’ secondary, which has struggled to contain opposing wideouts, surrendering an average of 14 receptions for 158.8 yards per game to the position, addressed that issue with the addition of CB Sauce Gardner from the Jets. However, despite the arrival of the star cornerback, we can simply not ignore the output of Drake London over the last month. Atlanta’s WR1, who has received a whopping 50 targets over his last four games, has turned that volume into 31 receptions for 428 yards and 5 touchdowns. Fantasy Football’s overall WR7, who ranks 4th in Target Share (33.2%) and 4th in Red Zone Targets (11), is a player to target on the International stage, as he looks to continue his torrid streak of volume and production. Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory TE Sam LaPorta +190 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) LaPorta sits as the overall TE7 in fantasy football on the strength of ranking 2nd in the NFL with a 92.3% snap percentage. Being on the field at that rate has resulted in an extremely strong 19.0% Target Share, 7th in Route Participation (84.2%) and 7th in Air Yards Share (16.3%). LaPorta, who has scored in three of his last four games, should find plenty of volume in a contest with one of the highest point totals (49.5) on the board. TE Oronde Gadsden II +200 (BetMGM) Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Gadsden has burst onto the fantasy scene ranking as the overall TE1 in PPR formats since Week 6, hauling in 24 receptions for 377 yards and two touchdowns. The immense talented rookie standout who owns a solid 14.7% Target Share, quietly ranks 8th in Air Yards (312) and 6th in Red Zone Targets (9) draws a favorable matchup against a Steelers defense that has allowed six touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Gadsden, who has 5+ receptions and 68+ receiving yards in four straight games should find similar production under the primetime lights of Sunday Night Football. WR Rashid Shaheed +220 (DraftKings) Fulltime Projection: 0.25 (25%) With emerging rookie WR Tory Horton trending towards missing Week 10 against the Cardinals, it is imperative to invest in Sam Darnold’s newest weapon in the passing game. Rashid Shaheed, who was acquired this week from the Saints, should slot in for immediate action opposite Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Look for Darnold to take to the air against an Arizona defense that is allowing 151 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts. Shaheed, who is one the best deep threats in the NFL, is a tremendous value at these Moonshot odds running routes for Darnold who has thrown 2+ touchdown passes in 5 of 8 games this season. Performance Recap Thus far, Vegas vs FullTime projections: 🔥Overall YTD: 37-49 (+14.87 UNITS)📈 Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points