Week 12 On the Mark: Best NFL O/U Prop Picks
Week 12 “ On the Mark” Red Hot QB + Surprise WR + Alpha TE = Round Robin Gold Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world Week 12 features a red hot QB, a surprise WR, and an Alpha TE. All three recommendations are big plus-money and perfect for round-robin plays. QB Matthew Stafford over 2.5 passing TDs +160 Bucs @ Rams is one of the week’s top fantasy environments. Stafford is averaging 3.75 TD passes over his last four games. Tampa Bay ranks 8th in fantasy points allowed to QBs. WR DeVonta Smith over 65.5 receiving yards +105 FTF projections rank Smith as the overall WR8 this week — ahead of A.J. Brown. Dallas allows the 3rd-most fantasy points to wide receivers. TE George Kittle over 60.5 receiving yards +115 Carolina has been shredded by TEs all season (4th-most yards allowed). Kittle is averaging 58.75 yards over the last two games with an 87.4% snap rate and 24% target share. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 12 Start/Sit
Week 12 Start/Sit Playoff Push Edition – Who to Trust & Who to Bench Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 12 brings another pivotal stretch of fantasy decisions as injuries, bye weeks and shifting roles continue to reshape lineups. With playoff races tightening, every start or sit call carries extra weight. Here’s a streamlined look at the players you can trust this week—and the ones better left out of your lineup. Start Quarterback Jacoby Brissett Averaging 21.3 fantasy points in five starts — only Allen, Mahomes & Dart are higher. Multiple TDs + 19+ pts every start. Jacksonville is top-5 in passing TDs & fantasy points allowed to QBs. Brock Purdy Returned with 25.3 pts vs Arizona. All three starts this year over 20.8 pts. Carolina has surrendered 26+ to Maye, Tua, Dak & Allen. Top-10 upside again. Running Back Quinshon Judkins 5 TDs in games with 18+ carries. Raiders have allowed 9 rushing TDs. Low-total game = run-heavy script. High-end RB2. TreyVeyon Henderson Last 3 games (Stevenson out): 24.3 ppg, 5 total TDs, top-5 efficiency. Cincinnati allows the most rushing yards & fantasy points to RBs. Smash spot. Wide Receiver Michael Wilson With MHJ out → 15/185 on 18 targets last week. Jacksonville has allowed 9 WRs 12+ PPR pts. Top-15 upside everywhere. Christian Watson Healthy & climbing route rate. Minnesota giving up 33.5 ppg to WRs last 5 weeks. Strong WR3 with spike-week potential. Tight End Kyle Pitts Penix & London out → 97% routes last week. Massive vacated target share vs tiny Saints CBs. Safe top-10. Hunter Henry Cincinnati has allowed the most yards, TDs & fantasy points to TEs since Week 5. Streamable floor. Sit Quarterback Daniel Jones Two straight under 17.5 pts. KC has contained elite QBs at home. Trevor Lawrence Under 20 pts in 3 of last 4. Arizona 7th-fewest QB points allowed. Running Back Javonte Williams Under 11 pts last two games. Philly 2nd-fewest rushing yards allowed since Week 7. Tony Pollard Only 8.9 ppg when Spears plays. Seattle top-5 run defense. Wide Receiver Ricky Pearsall 1 catch, 0 yards last week. Carolina 5th-fewest WR points. Xavier Worthy No game over 10.3 pts since Rice returned. Likely Sauce shadow. Tight End Jake Ferguson Back-seat role + Eagles suffocate TEs. Harold Fannin Jr. Production tanked with Sanders. Raiders top-4 vs TEs. Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Vegas vs FullTime: Week 12 NFL Plus-Money TD Props
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 12 Up +10.77 units YTD — 5 plus-money TD scorers locked in Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 41-59 (+10.77 UNITS) 📈 Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Week 12 up +10.77 units on the year. With teams looking to improve their chances to qualify for the playoffs, our models are locked in on several players who have the potential to find paydirt on Sunday. Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Top Values By The Projections TE Trey McBride +100 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Fantasy Football’s overall TE1 in PPR formats finds an exploitable matchup against a Jaguars defense that has allowed 7 receiving TDs to TEs. McBride leads the NFL in targets (99) and has scored six TDs in his last five games. With Marvin Harrison Jr. out again, McBride remains Arizona’s primary weapon. WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba +105 (BetMGM) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Fantasy Football’s overall WR1 in PPR formats faces a Titans defense allowing 9 receiving TDs to WRs. JSN leads the league with a 37.2% target share and has scored in four of his last six games. He ranks 1st in air yards (1,208) and should feast again. WR Stefon Diggs +135 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Diggs has scored in 3 of his last 4 and is Drake Maye’s clear top target. Highest total on the board (51.5) + 74 career TDs in 155 games = massive value at plus-money. Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory WR Jameson Williams +160 (BetMGM) Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) Quietly Fantasy’s WR29. Goff has fed him 339 yards + 4 TDs over the last four games. Giants allow the 8th-most FPPG to WRs. WR DeVonta Smith +180 (DraftKings) Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Cowboys have allowed 17 receiving TDs to WRs. Smith owns Dallas: 38-500-6 in 9 career games. Moonshot odds on a proven divisional killer. Points Allowed| Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 11 Targets & Target Share by Team | Scott Atkins
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 11 Targets & Target Share by Team Written by Scott Atkins, veteran high-stakes fantasy analyst and contributor to FullTime Fantasy. Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season is in the books, and the targets and Target Share % reveal who’s receiving the looks by the Quarterback, regardless if they turn it into points or not. This breakdown covers all 32 teams across eight divisions, plus the top 10 leaders, to give you a fantasy edge for Week 12. This is a Weekly Member-Only Feature. Use this data to spot breakout candidates and waiver wire targets as the season heats up. Team-by-Team Target Breakdowns AFC East Target & Target Share % AFC North Target & Target Share % AFC South Target & Target Share % AFC West Target & Target Share % NFC East Target & Target Share % NFC North Target & Target Share % NFC South Target & Target Share % NFC West Target & Target Share % Top 11 Target Leaders Top 11 Target Share % Leaders
Projections (Updated 11/22)
FullTime Fantasy is proud to offer you fully downloadable team and player projections & rankings.
FullTime Fantasy: Week 11 Injury Report & Week 12 Waiver Radar
FullTime Fantasy: Week 11 Injury Report & Waiver Radar Top Week 11 Injuries + Must-Add Waiver Targets for Week 12 Written by Duke Deming Week 11 Injury Report Aaron Rodgers (QB – PIT) Left Week 11 game early with a wrist injury and did not return. Mason Rudolph will get the start in Week 12 if Rodgers is unable to play. Michael Penix Jr. (QB – ATL) Sustained a knee injury in Week 11. Penix Jr. is expected to have season-ending surgery; Kirk Cousins will take over at quarterback. Dillon Gabriel (QB – CLE) Left Week 11 with a concussion. If he can’t clear protocol, Shadeur Sanders gets the start in Week 12. Josh Jacobs (RB – GB) Suffered knee injury in Week 11 and did not return. Expected to miss time (not season-ending). Emanuel Wilson gets high-volume workload. Jaylen Warren (RB – PIT) Left Week 11 early with an ankle injury. Kenneth Gainwell will see a high workload if Warren can’t go in Week 12. Kimani Vidal (RB – LAC) Left with a thigh injury but returned. Omarion Hampton is expected back soon → Vidal’s stock is dropping. Calvin Ridley (WR – TEN) Suffered a broken fibula. Out for the season. Elic Ayomanor steps into the WR1 role. Drake London (WR – ATL) PCL sprain → expected to miss at least one game. Darnell Mooney becomes the clear WR1 next week. Week 12 Waiver Wire Radar 1. Emanuel Wilson (RB – GB) Steps in as RB1 while Josh Jacobs is sidelined. Large volume + goal-line work expected. 2. Kenneth Gainwell (RB – PIT) 7 catches, 81 yards, 2 TDs in Week 11. Huge role if Jaylen Warren misses time. 3. Michael Wilson (WR – AZ) Monster 15/185 line. Clear WR1 while Marvin Harrison Jr. is out. 4. Sean Tucker (RB – TB) 140 total yards & 3 TDs in Week 11. Increased role if Bucky Irving remains out. 5. Darnell Mooney (WR – ATL) Becomes WR1 while Drake London (PCL) sits. Immediate must-start. 6. Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) At least 4 targets in five straight. Safe floor for desperate TE rooms. 7. Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB – WAS) Has taken over lead-back duties. Favorable playoff schedule. Week 12 Byes: DEN, LAC, MIA, WAS Points Allowed| Player Rankings| YTD Fantasy Points
Week 11 On the Mark: Best NFL O/U Prop Picks
Week 11 “ On the Mark” 4 Plus-Money Props – Round Robin Ready Written by Mark Deming — @YoMarkDeming on X Week 11 features a pair of top rated QBs and two pivotal pass catchers that are involved in huge Week 11 matchups. All the recommendations are plus numbers which are excellent for round robin strategies and payouts. Matt Stafford over 2.5 passing TDs +160 Stafford is combining pin point throws, football IQ and impressive mobility and having an outstanding season. The combination of WR twin towers Nacua and Adams also gives Stafford a huge edge. The Seattle defense enters Week 11 with much acclaim and deservingly so but you can throw on the Seattle’s 20th ranked pass defense who’s missing safety Julian Love. Stafford is averaging 4.33 TD passes per game over his last 3 games. Josh Allen over 259.5 passing + rushing yards +100 It’s a pivotal and absolute must win for Josh Allen’s Bills. I’m anticipating Allen goes old school and puts on his super man cape to do whatever it takes to win which means big plays and more rush attempts. The Bucs 2295 passing yards allowed ranks 8th most and 215 rushing yards to QBs is 11th most. Allen is also due for a monster performance when it matters most. Khalil Shakir over 55.5 receiving yards +110 Shakir is a key cog in the Bills offense and this is a must win game for the Bills. In four home games Sakir is averaging 55.5 receiving yards. Tampa Bay’s defense has allowed 1140 yards to WRs, 5th most in the league. Rashee Rice over 7.5 receptions +125 Look for Rice to be heavily involved in the quick pass game with the Broncos elite speed on defense. Since his return from suspension Rice is averaging 6.66 receptions per game. The Broncos will be without star DB Patrick Surtain which should give Rice a major advantage in the pass game. You may be surprised the Broncos defense has allowed 117 receptions to WR’s 8th most in the league. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 11 Start/Sit
Week 11 Start/Sit Full QB, RB, WR, TE Matchup Guide Written by Adam Krautwurst Start Quarterback Aaron Rodgers Rodgers has settled into more of a steady player, but he remains productive in favorable matchups — and this one qualifies. The Bengals have surrendered the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season, with all but three passers topping 19 points. When these teams met in Week 7, Rodgers threw for 249 yards and four touchdowns, totaling 22.5 fantasy points. He’s touchdown-dependent at this stage, but Cincinnati’s defense — which has allowed the most passing TDs in the league — keeps him firmly in the mix. Joe Flacco Flacco continues to defy expectations, throwing for 342 yards and three scores against Pittsburgh in Week 7, then torching Chicago for 470 yards and four touchdowns in Week 9. Through four starts with Cincinnati, he’s averaging over 30 fantasy points per game. His time as the starter may be limited with Joe Burrow nearing a return, but Flacco should be locked in this week against the Steelers, who have allowed five quarterbacks to post at least 23 fantasy points. Running Back Woody Marks Marks’ rookie campaign has been inconsistent, but he’s starting to show promise with 73 total yards per game over his last two outings. He faces a Titans defense that’s been vulnerable to running backs, allowing 12 rushing touchdowns (tied for most in the NFL) and the second-highest fantasy points per game to the position. RJ Harvey With J.K. Dobbins sidelined, Harvey should see his biggest workload of the season. In his lone game with double-digit touches, he delivered 98 total yards and a touchdown on 19 touches. He’s been an effective receiver lately, scoring three times through the air in his last four games. While Kansas City’s defense is tough on running backs, Harvey’s expanded role puts him on the flex radar this week. Wide Receiver Jauan Jennings Jennings enters Week 11 on a roll, with 10 receptions, 112 yards, and two touchdowns over his last two games. The Cardinals have allowed at least one receiver to top 12 PPR points in every contest this season, and with 11 receivers reaching that mark overall, Jennings has a good chance to stay hot against Arizona’s shaky secondary. Tyler Lockett Lockett has quickly carved out a bigger role with the Raiders following Jakobi Meyers’ departure. He led the team in targets last week against Denver and now faces a Cowboys defense that’s allowed a league-high 16 receiving touchdowns. His chemistry with Geno Smith makes him a viable flex play in this matchup. Tight End Dawson Knox With Dalton Kincaid sidelined by a hamstring injury, Knox slides back into a full-time role. His red-zone rapport with Josh Allen gives him a path to fantasy relevance, especially in what could turn into a high-scoring game. Pat Freiermuth No team has been more generous to tight ends than the Bengals, who have allowed 12 touchdowns to the position — five more than any other defense. Freiermuth found the end zone the last time these teams met, and he remains the top fantasy option among Pittsburgh’s tight ends. Sit Quarterback Sam Darnold Darnold has been a better real life QB than fantasy, scoring 10 points or fewer in two of his past three games while committing six turnovers in that stretch. The Rams have allowed only three quarterbacks to surpass 20 fantasy points this season. Darnold is best left for two-QB formats. Bo Nix Nix has exceeded 250 passing yards only twice all year and relies heavily on touchdowns to deliver value. He now faces a well-rested Chiefs defense that ranks top five in fewest passing yards and touchdowns allowed. Kansas City should make life difficult, leaving Nix as a risky start. Running Back Tyrone Tracy Tracy continues to split work with Devin Singletary, but the matchup with Green Bay isn’t favorable. The Packers have been stout against the run, and with uncertainty under center, offensive efficiency could be limited. Tracy’s volume alone may not be enough to trust him this week. Tony Pollard Pollard has struggled to produce, scoring a combined 14 points in his past two games and losing touches to Tyjae Spears. Houston’s run defense ranks among the league’s best, and Pollard managed only 10 points against them earlier this season. At best, he’s a low-end flex in Week 11. Wide Receiver Tetairoa McMillan It’s been a frustrating rookie season for McMillan, who’s topped 100 yards only once and found the end zone twice. The Panthers’ passing game limits his ceiling, and a tough matchup against Atlanta’s disciplined secondary doesn’t help. He’s best left on the bench. Courtland Sutton Sutton’s production has cratered after a strong start, averaging just 45 yards per game over his last five with a single touchdown. The Chiefs have allowed the fewest receiving yards to wideouts, and Bo Nix has favored Troy Franklin lately. Fade Sutton in Week 11. Tight End David Njoku Njoku’s recent touchdown streak masks concerning usage — just two targets last week despite 32 team pass attempts. Harold Fannin Jr. continues to outproduce him, and a matchup with Baltimore’s elite defense limits his scoring chances. Njoku’s floor is dangerously low. Cade Otton Otton’s recent uptick in usage faces a major roadblock against Buffalo, who’ve allowed the fewest receptions and yards to tight ends this season. With such a difficult matchup, Otton’s ceiling and floor are both limited. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 11 Vegas vs FullTime: +EV TD Props | FullTime Fantasy
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 11 Up +12.47 units YTD — Targeting 5 plus-money TD scorers Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Week 11 up +12.47 units on the year. The experts in the desert are projecting low-scoring games this week with no games owning a total in the 50’s. While fantasy matchups could find low scoring head-2-head matchups, our models still believe there are several players who are offering exploitable value. Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver waiver. FullTime Fantasy scored big in Week 6 after combining our award-winning winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info winning $26,331.41! Let’s take a deeper dive into the best plus-dds Anytime-Touchdown options, by once again focusing on my Vegas Respected Money targets in conjunction with our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections! Top Values By The Projections WR Jaylen Waddle +105 (Ceasars) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Ranking 11th in Air Yards (867), our projections have Waddle eclipsing the 100-yard receiving plateau in the NFL’s first-ever regular-season game in Spain. Waddle, who ranks as the overall WR11 in fantasy football in PPR formats, finds a favorable matchup in Week 11 against a struggling Commanders defense that has allowed 5 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over their last two games. Waddle, who owns a strong 22.5% Target Share, has scored in two of his last three games. Waddle projected for 100+ yds in Spain — Vikings Fan Page (@vikingzfanpage) November 15, 2025 WR Justin Jefferson +120 (BetMGM) Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Jefferson, who has disappointingly only scored two touchdowns this season, said this week he needs to get back into “savage mode”. When a player of this magnitude makes this kind of statement, we need to listen. On Sunday, Jettas finds a favorable matchup against a Bears defense allowing an average of 10.6 receptions and 160 yards per game and 13 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. Jefferson, who ranks 1st in Deep Targets (18), 2nd in Snap Share (96.1%), 5th in Targets (84), 5th in Air Yards (991) should draw plenty of volume and red-zone looks from JJ McCarthy in the NFC North clash with Chicago. Jefferson: “I need to get back into savage mode” — PFF (@PFF) November 13, 2025 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba +135 (DraftKings) Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) The NFC West tilt between the Rams and Seahawks has drawn early sharp money on the over, driving the total up from 47.5 to 49. Los Angeles’ secondary has been stout against the pass, surrendering only 6 touchdowns in 9 games against opposing wide receivers. However, we can simply not ignore the output of JSN this season. Fantasy Football’s overall WR1, who leads the NFL in receiving yards (1,041), has scored a touchdown in 4 of his last 5 games. JSN, who ranks 1st in Target Share (38.8%), 1st in Air Yards (1,091), and 1st in Deep Targets (18), is a player to target in the late window, as he looks to continue his quest for a record-breaking season. Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory TE Oronde Gadsden II +220 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Gadsden, who ranks as the overall TE2 in PPR formats since Week 6, gave all fantasy managers a scare when he was forced to leave last week’s showdown with the Steelers. Thankfully, the emerging rookie play-maker only suffered a quad bruise and will be in the lineup for Week 11 against Jacksonville. Gadsden, who owns a solid 15.1% Target Share, quietly ranks 4th in Red Zone Targets (11) draws a favorable matchup against a Jaguars defense that has allowed 6 touchdowns to opposing tight ends over the last three games. Gadsden lands as our top moonshot in Week 11, in a rebound spot. WR Tyler Allgeier +230 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) Fantasy managers who own shares of Bijan Robinson will not be happy with this Moonshot investment. Despite leading the Falcons in rushing yards (679), and ranking as Fantasy Football’s overall RB5, Robinson does not lead his team in rushing touchdowns. That distinction quietly belongs to backup Tyler Allgeier who has posted 6 rushing scores, while Robinson has only added two on the ground. In Week 11, Allgeier who has scored three TDs over his last three games, will now face a Carolina team that is allowing 4.8 yards per rush to opposing RB’s this season. A deeper dive also reveals that Allgeier thrives playing against his NFC South foe, scoring 4 TDs in 7 career games against the Panthers. Thus far, Vegas vs FullTime projections: 🔥🔥Overall YTD: 40-55 (+12.47 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Projections (Updated 11/16 8am ET)
FullTime Fantasy is proud to offer you fully downloadable team and player projections & rankings.