Week 10 Targets & Target Share by Team | Scott Atkins
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 10 Targets & Target Share by Team Written by Scott Atkins, veteran high-stakes fantasy analyst and contributor to FullTime Fantasy. Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season is in the books, and the targets and Target Share % reveal who’s receiving the looks by the Quarterback, regardless if they turn it into points or not. This breakdown covers all 32 teams across eight divisions, plus the top 10 leaders, to give you a fantasy edge for Week 11. This is a Weekly Member-Only Feature. Use this data to spot breakout candidates and waiver wire targets as the season heats up. Team-by-Team Target Breakdowns AFC East Target & Target Share % AFC North Target & Target Share % AFC South Target & Target Share % AFC West Target & Target Share % NFC East Target & Target Share % NFC North Target & Target Share % NFC South Target & Target Share % NFC West Target & Target Share % Top 10 Target Leaders Top 10 Target Share % Leaders
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 10 RB Snap Counts & Opportunity Share %
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 10 RB Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % Written by Scott Atkins, veteran high-stakes fantasy analyst and contributor to FullTime Fantasy. Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season is in the books, and the snap counts and Opportunity Share % (Backfield Touches %) reveal who’s dominating backfields. This breakdown covers all 32 teams across eight divisions, plus the top 10 leaders, to give you a fantasy edge for Week 11. Snap counts show time on the field, while Opportunity Share % highlights players with the most touches (rushes + receptions) and what backfield usage %. Use this data to spot breakout candidates and waiver wire targets as the season heats up. Team-by-Team Running Back Breakdowns AFC East Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % AFC North Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % AFC South Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % AFC West Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC East Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC North Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC South Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % NFC West Snap Counts & Opportunity Share % Top 10 RB Snap Count Leaders Top 10 RB Opportunity Share % Leaders
FullTime Fantasy: Week 10 Injury Report & Week 11 Waiver Radar
FullTime Fantasy: Week 10 Injury Report & Week 11 Waiver Radar FullTime Fantasy highlights the biggest injuries from Week 10 and the top waiver wire targets for Week 11 Written by Duke Deming Week 10 Injury Report Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) Left Week 10 early with a concussion. Russell Wilson will start if Dart can’t clear protocol. Bam Knight (RB – AZ) Ankle injury, did not return. Emari Demercado steps up as the clear next man up. Davante Adams (WR – LA) Back injury vs SF. Rams optimistic for Week 11, but monitor practice reports. Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) Re-aggravated knee — expected to miss 3-4 weeks. DJ Moore (WR – CHI) Shoulder injury. If he misses time: Rome Odunze, Olamide Zaccheaus, Luther Burden III see big target bumps. Dalton Kincaid (TE – BUF) Hamstring — Dawson Knox becomes the starter if he sits. Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) Knee — day-to-day, has a shot to play Week 11. Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB – WAS) Shoulder — Jacory Croskey-Merritt in line for a huge workload. Week 11 Waiver Wire Radar 1. Troy Franklin (WR – DEN) 37 targets last 4 weeks — Bo Nix’s clear go-to weapon. Caught 5-9 for 40 yards + TD in Week 10. 2. Tez Johnson (WR – TB) 4 catches, 42 yards, 2 TDs Week 10. Rising usage with Bucs’ WR injuries. 3. Tyler Allgeier (RB – ATL) 11 carries, 57 yards, 2 TDs. Red-zone monster — must-add. 4. Emari Demercardo (RB – ATL) 100+ scrimmage yards Week 10. Immediate handcuff + standalone flex if Knight misses time. 5. Cade Otton (TE – TB) 9-82 on 12 targets. Bucs are funneling everything to the TE with WRs hurt. 6. Theo Johnson (TE – NYG) 7-75 on 8 targets. Giants are desperate for any pass-catcher. 7. Joe Flacco (QB – CIN) Coming off bye after 470 yards & 4 TDs in Week 9. Bengals play in shootouts weekly. Week 11 Byes: CIN · DAL · KC · TEN Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 10 Circa Survivor Recap: Trusting Carolina In Role of Favorite Proves Costly
2025 NFL Week 10 Circa Survivor Recap Trusting Carolina In Role of Favorite Proves Costly After their 17-7 loss to New Orleans, the Panthers are now 0-11 SU/ATS as a favorite – Picks, Results, and Strategy Insights Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X Stop me if you have heard this before: “two of the top five most selected teams were upset, wiping out a major percentage of the pool.” In Week 10, 751 entrants witnessed their dream of winning the $18.7 million prize in Circa Survivor dashed, when Carolina and Buffalo were shockingly upset. The Panthers, who closed as 6-point home favorites against the Saints, were the most chosen team (490) selected in the pool. Wildly, Carolina continues to make betting history this season. Heading into Sunday, the Panthers were just the second NFL team since 1970 to have a winning record through nine games despite being an underdog in every game, per CBS Sports Research. Well in Week 10, oddsmakers installed them as favorites, a role they rarely encounter. After their 17-7 loss to New Orleans, the Panthers are now 0-11 SU/ATS as a favorite (last winning Sept. 23, 2021, vs Houston, 24-9). Panthers fall to 0-11 SU/ATS as favorites after 17-7 loss to Saints. — My Sports Update (@MySportsUpdate) November 9, 2025 While Carolina was knocking out 27.7% of those still alive, the Dolphins were serving up a shocking 30-13 win over Buffalo as 9-point home underdogs. Miami, who headed into the AFC East tilt losing seven consecutive meetings with the division foe, were led by 225 total yards and two touchdowns by star RB De’Von Achane. The Bills, fresh off an impressive 28-21 win over Kansas City, eliminated 261 contestants (14.8%) who backed them. Dolphins stun Bills 30-13! De’Von Achane 225 total yards & 2 TDs. — Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 9, 2025 Circa Survivor, which drew a record-breaking $18,718,000 prize pool this year, does not require the need to cover any point spread. However, simply picking straight-up winners in the NFL is not so easy as 17,718 (94.6%) contestants are now out prior to the start of Week 11, leaving only 1,000 entries (5%) alive in their quest for the life-changing win. Circa Survivor Update: Only 1,000 entries remain after Week 10 carnage! — Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) November 10, 2025 Heading into Monday Night Football, favorites are 9-4 Straight-up (SU) and 6-6-1 Against the Spread (ATS). Overall, favorites maintain a sizable 99-45-1 SU (3 pick-ems) mark, while also holding a 76-68-1 ATS (52.8%) advantage. Home teams hold a 79-62-1 SU (55.8%) advantage with 6 neutral-site International games, while also owning the more coveted 68-62 ATS (56%) edge. Higher scoring games than expected by the experts in the desert resulted in Overs posting a 7-5 mark. Overs now hold 78-68-2 (53.4%) edge on the year. The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest which forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. Circa Survivor, which requires a $1,000 entry fee, will once again be a massive sweat for those who run deep into the season due to the massive winner-take-all prize pool. In an early look-ahead to Week 11, it is expected that: New England (-10) vs NY Jets, Green Bay (-8) at NY Giants, Houston (-7) at Tennessee and Baltimore (-8.5) at Cleveland – will be among the most heavily chosen teams in the contest. Circa Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, home to the prestigious Fantasy Football World Championship, continues to deliver world-class content from the best players to help fans win and stay informed. Stay tuned for more expert insights as the season unfolds! Favorites YTD: 99-45-1 SU · 76-68-1 ATS (52.8%) Home Teams YTD: 79-62-1 SU · 68-62 ATS (56%) O/U YTD: 78-68-2 (53.4%) Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 10 On the Mark: Best NFL O/U Prop Picks
Week 10 on the Mark Let’s dive into Week 10 with some explosive player props to maximize your lineups and bankroll via the round robin strategy. This week’s column features a player at each fantasy skill position—the first time I’ve backed one at each major fantasy position this year. Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world Let’s dive right in! QB Justin Herbert over 2.5 passing TDs +240 The exclusive FT rankings are projecting the former Oregon 1st round draft pick for a big week that includes 2.5 plus passing TDs. In the last four games. Herbert has also tossed 3 TDs in the last two consecutive home games and SoFi stadium always has a fast track, there is a ton of value in the +240 number. TE Kyle Pitts over 5.5 receptions +135 I continually sift and weed out the FF player projections to find our members’ value. Pitts is a value in Week 10 as our projections have the talented TE with 7 receptions and the 5.5 plus 135 is great value once again. Since the week, Pitts is averaging 5.75 receptions per game. The most bullish stat that backs this recommendation is the Colts have allowed 60 receptions to TEs 2nd most in the league to only the dreaded Bengals swiss cheese defense. WR Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions +125 The JJ play is probably the most conservative play of the week for the column but you can count on second year QB JJ McCarthy to feed Jefferson the rock, which included 9 targets last week. The Ravens have allowed 111 receptions to WRs, sixth most in the NFL. The Vikings have played on six straight Overs which also bodes well for Jefferson to see lots of action in Kevin O’Connell’s offense scheme. RB James Cook over 99.5 rushing yards +150 One of the most aggressive projections from Fulltime in Week 10 is a huge game from Cook where our data projects him for 123 rushing yards. Every week I search for large discrepancies in our projections and the plus number offered and Cook is very attractive vs the Dolphins. Miami’s 1073 rushing yards allowed to RBs is 3rd most in the league, jump on Cook!! Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Adam’s Eye: Week 10 DraftKings DFS Breakdown: Main Slate Cash & GPP Plays
Week 10 DraftKings DFS Breakdown (Main Slate Only) Week 10’s main slate sets up perfectly for balanced roster construction — elite ceilings at the top, strong mid-range plays across every position, and multiple low-cost starters opening value. By Adam Krautwurst, FullTime Fantasy DFS Pro With several backup quarterbacks starting and injuries shaking up backfields across the league, there’s plenty of opportunity to gain an edge with volume-driven plays and smart correlation. You don’t have to overspend at quarterback this week, but paying up for the right ceiling can still separate in tournaments. Whether you want to jam the studs or build around value, Week 10 gives us flexibility — and that usually leads to big scores. Week 10 gives us a rare split slate where value at quarterback and running back is extremely strong, while elite wide receivers are priced at the top of the board. That means the optimal construction for both cash and tournaments will often be: Pay down at QB Consider two value RBs Spend up for elite WR or TE Use concentrated offenses and correlation to separate in GPPs There are multiple paths to lineup builds this week, but the field is going to jam cheap RBs and mid-range WRs. Let’s break down the best plays. TOP CASH GAME PLAYS Quarterback Marcus Mariota – Commanders Dirt-cheap rushing QB taking over for Jayden Daniels · Should be forced to throw trailing Detroit · Already showed efficiency in earlier starts · Likely 6–10 carries + full passing volume Other safe cash options: Jaxson Dart · Drake Maye · J.J. McCarthy You can pay up for Josh Allen, but you don’t have to in cash. Salary relief at QB gives you flexibility everywhere else. Running Backs Rico Dowdle – Panthers 27 touches last week · Dominant snap share · Panthers want to run the ball · Great matchup vs Saints defense giving up TDs on the ground De’Von Achane – Dolphins Back to a near-every-down role · 20 touches and 10 targets last week even in a blowout loss · Bills are soft versus RBs · Cheaper than other top backs but same ceiling Other cash RB options: Christian McCaffrey · Quinshon Judkins · Jaylen Warren Most chalk construction: two cheap RBs + stud WR or TE Wide Receivers Parker Washington – Jaguars Target hog with multiple receivers out · WR1 role but priced like a WR4 · Slot usage avoids Houston perimeter coverage Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Seahawks Top WR projection on the slate · League-leading target share and air-yard share · Arizona can’t cover perimeter or slot — total mismatch Other strong cash WRs: Amon-Ra St. Brown · Puka Nacua · Zay Flowers · Jauan Jennings Tight End Hunter Henry – Patriots Cheap · Highest target share from Drake Maye · Tampa funnels targets to TEs and RBs · Makes salary work in cash builds If paying up in cash: Trey McBride – Arizona’s passing game is extremely concentrated Defense Top cash options: Jaguars · Browns · Panthers · Buccaneers · Jets Jaguars give the best salary relief without sacrificing floor. GPP / TOURNAMENT STRATEGY Most of the field will jam: Value QB · Value RB · Mid-priced WRs So to gain leverage in GPPs: • Pay up at QB (Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson) • Overweight elite WR (JSN, Amon-Ra, Puka) • Consider double-TE builds with McBride or Andrews • Use bring-backs in shootout spots Top GPP Stack #1 Josh Allen + Dalton Kincaid Bring back: De’Von Achane or Tyreek if active Bills total is climbing · Dolphins are a run-funnel and blitz heavy · Allen has slate-breaking ceiling, especially with red-zone rushing Top GPP Stack #2 Marcus Mariota + Deebo Samuel Bring back: Amon-Ra or LaPorta Cheap stack opens salary for stars · Detroit can push Washington into passing script · Deebo is massively under-owned Core Cash Thoughts Mariota + Dowdle + Hunter Henry gives massive salary relief · Lets you jam JSN or McCaffrey · Parker Washington likely chalk — great PPR role Core GPP Thoughts Underweight chalk RBs in some lineups · Overweight elite WR · Allen and Lamar stacks will be under-owned compared to their ceilings Week 10 CASH Lineup QB – Marcus Mariota RB – Rico Dowdle RB – De’Von Achane WR – Rome Odunze WR – Parker Washington WR – Jaxon Smith-Njigba TE – Hunter Henry FLEX – Deebo Samuel DST – Jacksonville Jaguars – Cheap, safe QB with rushing floor – RBs with clear workloads – Elite WR + high-usage WR punt – Cheap TE with stable targets – Safe defense in a favorable game script Week 10 GPP Lineup QB – Josh Allen RB – De’Von Achane RB – Quinshon Judkins WR – Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR – Parker Washington WR – Jauan Jennings TE – Hunter Henry FLEX – Marvin Harrison Jr DST – Cleveland Browns – Allen stack without heavy ownership at WR – Achane gives slate-breaking ceiling – JSN + Harrison Jr correlation from same game – Jennings leverage if SF passing pops – Washington remains efficient value, even at ownership – Saints have high sack and pick potential Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Week 10 Start/Sit Tight Ends: Kincaid, Loveland to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Tight Ends Here’s who deserves a starting spot in Week 10—and who should stay on the bench. By FullTime Fantasy Start Dalton Kincaid Kincaid shut down any concern about inconsistency by becoming the first Bills tight end with multiple 100-yard games in a season in over 40 years. Outside of one down performance, he has offered both floor and ceiling. Miami has been highly vulnerable to tight ends, ranking bottom five in fantasy points, yards and touchdowns allowed to the position. Kincaid already burned them earlier this year and should deliver again. Colston Loveland Loveland broke out with 118 yards and two touchdowns last week, including a highlight-reel, game-winning catch and run. The rookie has earned more involvement, and he draws another appealing matchup against a Giants defense that gives up steady production through the air. In what could quietly become a high-scoring game, Loveland is a playable tight end again. Sit T.J. Hockenson Hockenson found the end zone last week, but the usage remains concerning. In three games with McCarthy, he has totaled just 44 yards. Baltimore hasn’t allowed a passing touchdown in the last two games and rarely gives up much to tight ends. It’s a trap spot. Luke Musgrave Musgrave is stepping into a larger role with Tucker Kraft out, but this isn’t the matchup to roll the dice. Philadelphia has allowed the third-fewest fantasy points and just one touchdown to tight ends. It’s best to see what his involvement looks like before putting him in lineups. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points QB Start em Sit em RB Start em Sit em WR Start em Sit em
Week 10 Start/Sit Wide Receivers: Odunze, Shakir to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Wide Receivers The right start/sit decisions can swing a matchup. By Adam Krautwurst Start Rome Odunze Odunze was blanked in Week 9, but he should rebound quickly. The Giants have been one of the most generous defenses to wideouts, giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to the position and allowing 12 receivers to score at least 14 PPR points. With Caleb Williams expected to attack through the air, Odunze is a strong starting option in all formats. Khalil Shakir Buffalo enters the week with the highest projected point total, and Shakir has the single-best wide receiver matchup according to FantasyPoints Data. Working from the slot, he’ll see a lot of Minkah Fitzpatrick, who is being targeted at one of the highest rates in the league and has allowed the most fantasy points per route run among qualifying corners. Shakir leads the Bills in targets per route and has 15 catches in his last two games. With elite efficiency and a favorable setup, he profiles as a strong WR2. Sit Jordan Addison Addison struggled in his first game with J.J. McCarthy, dropping in target share and finishing with a season-low 8.4 points. Baltimore hasn’t allowed a receiver touchdown in three straight weeks, and McCarthy’s passing volume is limited. Addison’s talent keeps him on the radar, but his reliance on touchdowns makes him risky. He’s a low-end flex. Deebo Samuel Samuel has slumped over his last three games, totaling just 12 catches for 67 yards and failing to score. With Marcus Mariota starting, Samuel has posted 4.9 fantasy points or fewer in two of three previous games. Detroit presents a difficult matchup, making Samuel a starter only in deeper three-receiver formats. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points QB Start em Sit em RB Start em Sit em TE Start em Sit em
Week 10 Start/Sit Running Backs: Judkins, Warren to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Running Backs Injuries, bye weeks, and shifting roles are forcing managers to make tougher lineup calls than ever. By Adam Krautwurst Start Quinshon Judkins Judkins’ Week 8 workload drop was tied to a shoulder issue, but he’s off the injury report and should return to his full role. Before the setback, he handled more than 80 percent of the Browns’ carries from Weeks 3-7 and averaged over 16 PPR points per game—essentially RB1 production. Now he draws a depleted Jets defense that just traded away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams. New York was already bottom-12 against the run before losing its best interior defender. Judkins should jump right back into feature-back status and profiles as a strong RB2 with top-end potential. Jaylen Warren Warren has controlled Pittsburgh’s backfield for three straight weeks, taking nearly 80 percent of the carries and all of the goal-line work. He’s averaging more than 15 fantasy points during that span and has topped 13 in five of seven games overall. He now meets the Chargers, who give up 4.9 yards per carry, allow explosive runs at one of the league’s highest rates, and struggle after contact. With volume and matchup working in his favor, Warren is a clear starter. Sit Alvin Kamara Kamara is having the least productive season of his career, averaging single-digit PPR points and seeing his role shrink. New Orleans’ offensive line isn’t opening holes, and Kamara has just six carries in back-to-back games. Carolina’s defense has held multiple strong rushing attacks in check. With the Saints projected among the lowest-scoring teams of Week 10, Kamara slides into low-upside RB3 territory. Jacory Croskey-Merritt Croskey-Merritt has scored 5.8 or fewer PPR points in four straight games and hasn’t found the end zone since Week 5. He’s been invisible in the passing game with only nine receiving yards over his last four outings. Detroit is a tough matchup, allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to running backs and zero RB touchdowns in their last four contests. Better to avoid him. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points QB Start em Sit em WR Start em Sit em TE Start em Sit em
Week 10 Start/Sit Quarterbacks: Williams, Dart to Start | FullTime
Week 10 Start/Sit: Quarterbacks Week 10 is here, and fantasy playoff races are officially taking shape. By Adam Krautwurst Start Caleb Williams Williams is coming off the best fantasy performance of his young career, piling up 280 passing yards, three touchdown throws, 53 rushing yards and even two receptions with another score. Nearly 40 fantasy points won’t be the norm, but the matchup remains enticing. The Giants have surrendered the sixth-most passing yards and the fourth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. They don’t generate pressure consistently and are vulnerable to deep passes. With shaky defenses on both sides, this game could easily turn into a shootout, keeping Williams firmly in play. Jaxson Dart Dart has been outstanding across six starts and continues to produce even without Malik Nabers. He has topped 21 fantasy points in five of those outings, with his “worst” game still at 19.6. His rushing production gives him a strong weekly floor, as he has either run for 55 yards or scored a rushing touchdown in every start. Chicago has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, and four passers have posted at least 26.2 against them. Dart has legitimate top-five upside this week. Sit Trevor Lawrence Even with the addition of Jakobi Meyers, this is a bad spot for Lawrence in one-quarterback leagues. Houston ranks first in fewest fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, and Lawrence has been mediocre historically against the Texans, averaging just 215 yards with five touchdowns and four picks in their last five meetings. He’s only viable in Superflex formats. Jordan Love Love has been a rollercoaster. He has three games under 15 fantasy points in his last four and now faces an Eagles defense that ranks near the top of the league in fewest passing touchdowns allowed and just added reinforcements. With such a low floor, there are safer options available. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points RB Start em Sit em WR Start em Sit em TE Start em Sit em