Thanksgiving DraftKings DFS Breakdown: 3-Game Slate Advice
Thanksgiving DraftKings DFS Breakdown (3-Game Slate) Concentrated Usage + Elite Stacks = Thanksgiving Cash Written by Adam Krautwurst Thanksgiving is all about concentrated usage, correlated stacks, and finding the right value to open up the studs. With only six teams on the slate, ownership condenses fast — so understanding leverage is crucial. The Three Games: Packers at Lions • Chiefs at Cowboys • Bengals at Ravens Quarterbacks Top Ceiling: Patrick Mahomes Highest median & ceiling projection • Cowboys allow league-high QB fantasy • 350+ yards last week • Stacks with Kelce & Rice • Slate-breaking alpha. Top Value: Jordan Love 15 TDs/3 INTs • Historically elite on Thanksgiving • Lions top-10 pace • Best cheap QB with 25+ DK upside. Running Backs Top Ceiling: Derrick Henry Bengals allow MOST RB fantasy • 176+ yards & TDs last 2 games • 130+ ground yards/game allowed • Win Thanksgiving night hammer. Top Value: Javonte Williams 20+ carries last 2 games • 8 games 75+ rush yards • Locked RZ role • Guaranteed usage = underpriced mid-range RB. Wide Receivers Top Ceiling: Amon-Ra St. Brown 28+ DK points at home • 10+ targets in 5/6 • LaPorta out = target monopoly • Best WR1 floor/ceiling combo. Top Value: Mitchell Tinsley Bengals need WR2 behind Chase • 6 targets last week • Burrow pace = spike upside • Best punt WR on slate. Tight Ends Top Ceiling: Travis Kelce 4+ catches in 9/10 • Highest passing volume game • Best Mahomes stack piece. Top Value: Mark Andrews Bengals allow MOST TE fantasy • 13 TE TDs surrendered • 27% RZ share • Best Kelce leverage. Thanksgiving DraftKings Lineup QB: Jordan Love | RB: Derrick Henry | RB: Javonte Williams WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR: Rashee Rice | WR: Mitchell Tinsley TE: Travis Kelce | FLEX: Jameson Williams | DST: Bengals Why it works: Love+ARSB+Jameson game stack • Kelce+Rice Mahomes double • Henry late hammer • Tinsley unlocks the build. Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Vegas vs FullTime: Thanksgiving Day TD Props & Player Props
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Betting Props For Thanksgiving Day! Turkey + Football + Cash = Perfect Holiday Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 42-62 (+6.82 UNITS) 📈 What’s better than turkey and all the fixings on Thanksgiving? Watching NFL games while also making some extra cash on some player props, of course! Before you gather around the table, here are three players who will outperform their lines across the three holiday games — plus our top anytime TD plays. Top Values By The Projections WR Christian Watson Over 51.5 Receiving Yards Watson owns Ford Field: 9-208-1 in his last two Thanksgiving trips (94+ yards both times). Detroit has allowed 11 WRs to clear 51.5 this year. Ladder it: 60+ (+105) | 70+ (+143) | 80+ (+202). WR Rashee Rice Over 74.5 Receiving Yards Coming off 8-141 vs Colts. Cowboys rank 30th vs the pass (252.3 ypg). 52.5 total + improved Dallas run D = Mahomes airs it out. Rice averages 9.4 targets with Pat. RB Chase Brown Over 19.5 Receiving Yards Cleared this in 6 of 11 games — including all last 4 (avg 39.5). With Burrow back, RB16 in PPR has hit 100+ scrimmage yards 5 straight. Top Anytime Touchdowns TE Mark Andrews +107 (Caesars) WR Rashee Rice –120 (DraftKings) WR Ja’Marr Chase –115 (BetMGM) Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Week 13 Fantasy Projections (Updated 11/29)
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Week 13 Injury Report & Waiver Radar
Week 13 Injury Report & Waiver Radar Injuries + Must-Add Week 13 Waiver Targets Written by Duke Deming Injury Report Baker Mayfield (QB – TB) Missed second half with shoulder sprain, seen in sling. Teddy Bridgewater starts if Mayfield can’t go. J.J. McCarthy (QB – MIN) Entered concussion protocol. Max Brosmer in line to start Week 13. Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) Missed Week 12 (toe). Expected back Week 13 — big boost for Bengals pass-catchers. Josh Jacobs (RB – GB) Held out with knee injury. Hopeful for Week 13; if not, Emanuel Wilson gets another huge workload. Alvin Kamara (RB – NO) Exited early with knee injury. Devin Neal steps in if Kamara misses time. Tee Higgins (WR – CIN) Concussion, ruled OUT Thursday vs Baltimore. Drake London (WR – ATL) Missed Week 12 (knee). Falcons playing it safe — likely out again. Matthew Golden (WR – GB) Out Week 12 (shoulder/wrist). Status uncertain for Thursday. Week 13 Waiver Wire Radar 1. Troy Franklin (WR – DEN) Leads Denver WRs in targets, receptions, TDs. Breakout incoming. 2. Christian Watson (WR – GB) Led Packers with 7 targets last week. Elevated role if Golden misses Thursday. 3. Devin Neal (RB – NO) 5 catches, 43 yards when Kamara exited. Immediate starter if Kamara sits. 4. Andres Iosivas (WR – CIN) Becomes clear WR2 Thursday with Higgins out & Burrow back. 5. Chimere Dike (WR – TEN) 5 catches + TD + 90-yard PR TD. Injuries ahead of him = opportunity. 6. Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) 4 catches, 49 yards, TD last week. 6 straight games with 4+ targets. 7. Brenton Strange (TE – JAC) Returned catching all five of his targets for 93 yards and a top-half TE1 finish. 8. Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB – WAS) Taking over lead-back duties + favorable playoff schedule. Desperate? 9. Raheem Mostert (RB – LV) The Ashton Jeanty injury isn’t believed to be serious, but if Carroll chooses a cautious approach, Mostert is next man up. 10. Greg Dortch (WR – ARI) Having any piece of the Brissett comeback tour is a pretty exciting option for any team that’s been riddled with injuries. 11. John Metchie III (WR – NYJ) Led the team with an 88% route share and caught six of seven targets for 65 yards and a touchdown. Looks like the top option on a team that should be playing from behind most games and now with a competent throwing QB. Week 13 Byes: NONE Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Week 12 Targets & Target Share by Team | Scott Atkins
Scott Atkins Breaks Down Week 12 Targets & Target Share by Team Written by Scott Atkins, veteran high-stakes fantasy analyst and contributor to FullTime Fantasy. Week 12 of the 2025 NFL season is in the books, and the targets and Target Share % reveal who’s receiving the looks by the Quarterback, regardless if they turn it into points or not. This breakdown covers all 32 teams across eight divisions, plus the top 10 leaders, to give you a fantasy edge for Week 13. This is a Weekly Member-Only Feature. Use this data to spot breakout candidates and waiver wire targets as the season heats up. Team-by-Team Target Breakdowns AFC East Target & Target Share % AFC North Target & Target Share % AFC South Target & Target Share % AFC West Target & Target Share % NFC East Target & Target Share % NFC North Target & Target Share % NFC South Target & Target Share % NFC West Target & Target Share % Top 11 Target Leaders Top 11 Target Share % Leaders
2025 NFL Week 12 Circa Survivor Recap: Current Entry Value Tops $20,000
2025 NFL Week 12 Circa Survivor Recap: Current Entry Value Tops $20,000 Top 5 Most Selected Teams All Emerge Victorious For 2nd Straight Week Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X Circa Survivor enjoyed a second consecutive stress-free week as favorites dominated the slate, posting a 10-4 SU mark. In Week 12, only 39 entrants were eliminated from winning the $18.7 million prize — the Top Five selections all won for the second straight week. Despite the Raiders limping in at 1-8 over their last nine games, 29 contestants went with Las Vegas against Cleveland. Shedeur Sanders’ NFL debut spoiled those entries as the Browns upset the Raiders 24-10. Browns upset Raiders 24-10 behind Shedeur Sanders’ debut — Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 23, 2025 The majority of the remaining pool (31.7%) rode the 49ers (-7.5) on Monday night — no upset this time. San Francisco cruised 20-9 behind 142 total yards and a TD from Christian McCaffrey. 49ers 20 – Panthers 9 — NFL (@NFL) November 24, 2025 After Week 12, 17,740 entries (94.8%) are eliminated. Only 900 remain (4.8%) — current entry value now exceeds $20,000. Only 900 entries remain (4.8%) – entry value >$20K — Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) November 24, 2025 Favorites now 120-53-1 SU on the season. Unders went 10-4 this week; totals sit exactly .500 (88-88-2). Thanksgiving is its own week in Circa Survivor. Ravens (-7) vs Bengals expected to be the runaway favorite on Turkey Day. Weekend lookahead: Seattle (-10) vs Minnesota, Chargers (-9.5) vs Las Vegas, and New England (-7.5) vs NY Giants expected to be the most popular picks. Circa Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, home to the prestigious Fantasy Football World Championship, continues to deliver world-class content from the best players to help fans win and stay informed. Stay tuned for more expert insights as the season unfolds! Editor’s note: Fulltime has one entry remaining in Circa Survivor. Teams used: CIN, ARI, SEA, BUF, DET, GB, KC, IND, LAR, DEN, NE, SF. Ravens, Bears, Eagles, Chiefs and Cowboys all on the table. Circa Resort & Casino | Fantasy Football World Championship
Week 12 On the Mark: Best NFL O/U Prop Picks
Week 12 “ On the Mark” Red Hot QB + Surprise WR + Alpha TE = Round Robin Gold Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world Week 12 features a red hot QB, a surprise WR, and an Alpha TE. All three recommendations are big plus-money and perfect for round-robin plays. QB Matthew Stafford over 2.5 passing TDs +160 Bucs @ Rams is one of the week’s top fantasy environments. Stafford is averaging 3.75 TD passes over his last four games. Tampa Bay ranks 8th in fantasy points allowed to QBs. WR DeVonta Smith over 65.5 receiving yards +105 FTF projections rank Smith as the overall WR8 this week — ahead of A.J. Brown. Dallas allows the 3rd-most fantasy points to wide receivers. TE George Kittle over 60.5 receiving yards +115 Carolina has been shredded by TEs all season (4th-most yards allowed). Kittle is averaging 58.75 yards over the last two games with an 87.4% snap rate and 24% target share. Points Allowed | Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points
Adam’s Eye: Week 12 DraftKings DFS Breakdown: Main Slate Cash & GPP Plays
Week 12 DraftKings DFS Advice (Main Slate) Condensed Chalk + Elite Stacking Spots = Construction Week Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 12 brings one of the most condensed DraftKings main slates of the season. The Sims are crystal clear: massive chalk, elite stacking spots, and huge value pockets that dictate construction. Mahomes + Chase Brown + McBride dominate ownership, but the leverage paths are wide open. Quarterbacks Top Play – Patrick Mahomes Flagship stack with Rice + Kelce. Condensed offense, rising Kelce RZ work, priced lower than usual → easiest elite QB stack of the year. Top Value – Jacoby Brissett Salary relief king. Clear connection with McBride & Wilson in condensed tree → perfect for jamming multiple stud RBs. GPP Darts: Sam Darnold | Jared Goff — both have stackable trees & high-total games. Running Backs Slate-Breaker – Chase Brown Free square in cash. Highest ownership at RB. Fading = max leverage (and max risk). Other High-Exposure RBs: Emanuel Wilson (cheap RB2 in 33% of optis) Kareem Hunt (salary saver) Alvin Kamara (pass-game volume) Jahmyr Gibbs (still elite if allowed) Wide Receivers Top Exposure WRs 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba — #1 WR in Sims 2. Rashee Rice — mandatory with Mahomes 3. Wan’Dale Robinson — pure volume value 4. Michael Wilson — best salary-saver WR High-Ceiling Leverage: Amon-Ra St. Brown (expensive) | Stefon Diggs (best off-chalk pivot) Tight Ends Trey McBride – TE1 By a Mile Dominates target share, air yards, RZ looks. Clear #1 option with MHJ out. Leverage Plays: Kyle Pitts | Travis Kelce (Mahomes stacks) | Mark Andrews | Noah Fant Week 12 Strategy Summary Cash Core: Mahomes OR Brissett • Chase Brown • JSN • McBride • Rice (if Mahomes) GPP Leverage: Fade Rice → Diggs | Pitts over McBride | Double Mahomes without Kelce | Kamara/Gibbs over Wilson Week 12 DraftKings Lineups LINEUP 1 — Optimal/Chalk (Cash + Small-Field) QB: Patrick Mahomes RB: Chase Brown RB: Emanuel Wilson WR: Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR: Rashee Rice WR: Wan’Dale Robinson TE: Brenton Strange FLEX: Jerry Jeudy DST: New York Jets Why it works: Contains top-3 exposure players. Mahomes-Rice stack. Highest median projection. LINEUP 2 — Leverage Tournament Build QB: Jacoby Brissett RB: Chase Brown RB: Kareem Hunt WR: Stefon Diggs WR: Michael Wilson WR: Jakobi Meyers TE: Trey McBride FLEX: Jaylen Warren DST: Seattle Seahawks Why it works: Brissett + Wilson + McBride correlation. Diggs = best leverage off KC bias. Unique RB pivot with Hunt. Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Week 12 Start/Sit
Week 12 Start/Sit Playoff Push Edition – Who to Trust & Who to Bench Written by Adam Krautwurst Week 12 brings another pivotal stretch of fantasy decisions as injuries, bye weeks and shifting roles continue to reshape lineups. With playoff races tightening, every start or sit call carries extra weight. Here’s a streamlined look at the players you can trust this week—and the ones better left out of your lineup. Start Quarterback Jacoby Brissett Averaging 21.3 fantasy points in five starts — only Allen, Mahomes & Dart are higher. Multiple TDs + 19+ pts every start. Jacksonville is top-5 in passing TDs & fantasy points allowed to QBs. Brock Purdy Returned with 25.3 pts vs Arizona. All three starts this year over 20.8 pts. Carolina has surrendered 26+ to Maye, Tua, Dak & Allen. Top-10 upside again. Running Back Quinshon Judkins 5 TDs in games with 18+ carries. Raiders have allowed 9 rushing TDs. Low-total game = run-heavy script. High-end RB2. TreyVeyon Henderson Last 3 games (Stevenson out): 24.3 ppg, 5 total TDs, top-5 efficiency. Cincinnati allows the most rushing yards & fantasy points to RBs. Smash spot. Wide Receiver Michael Wilson With MHJ out → 15/185 on 18 targets last week. Jacksonville has allowed 9 WRs 12+ PPR pts. Top-15 upside everywhere. Christian Watson Healthy & climbing route rate. Minnesota giving up 33.5 ppg to WRs last 5 weeks. Strong WR3 with spike-week potential. Tight End Kyle Pitts Penix & London out → 97% routes last week. Massive vacated target share vs tiny Saints CBs. Safe top-10. Hunter Henry Cincinnati has allowed the most yards, TDs & fantasy points to TEs since Week 5. Streamable floor. Sit Quarterback Daniel Jones Two straight under 17.5 pts. KC has contained elite QBs at home. Trevor Lawrence Under 20 pts in 3 of last 4. Arizona 7th-fewest QB points allowed. Running Back Javonte Williams Under 11 pts last two games. Philly 2nd-fewest rushing yards allowed since Week 7. Tony Pollard Only 8.9 ppg when Spears plays. Seattle top-5 run defense. Wide Receiver Ricky Pearsall 1 catch, 0 yards last week. Carolina 5th-fewest WR points. Xavier Worthy No game over 10.3 pts since Rice returned. Likely Sauce shadow. Tight End Jake Ferguson Back-seat role + Eagles suffocate TEs. Harold Fannin Jr. Production tanked with Sanders. Raiders top-4 vs TEs. Points Allowed|Player Rankings|YTD Fantasy Points
Vegas vs FullTime: Week 12 NFL Plus-Money TD Props
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 12 Up +10.77 units YTD — 5 plus-money TD scorers locked in Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 41-59 (+10.77 UNITS) 📈 Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Week 12 up +10.77 units on the year. With teams looking to improve their chances to qualify for the playoffs, our models are locked in on several players who have the potential to find paydirt on Sunday. Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Top Values By The Projections TE Trey McBride +100 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Fantasy Football’s overall TE1 in PPR formats finds an exploitable matchup against a Jaguars defense that has allowed 7 receiving TDs to TEs. McBride leads the NFL in targets (99) and has scored six TDs in his last five games. With Marvin Harrison Jr. out again, McBride remains Arizona’s primary weapon. WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba +105 (BetMGM) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Fantasy Football’s overall WR1 in PPR formats faces a Titans defense allowing 9 receiving TDs to WRs. JSN leads the league with a 37.2% target share and has scored in four of his last six games. He ranks 1st in air yards (1,208) and should feast again. WR Stefon Diggs +135 (Bet365) Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Diggs has scored in 3 of his last 4 and is Drake Maye’s clear top target. Highest total on the board (51.5) + 74 career TDs in 155 games = massive value at plus-money. Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory WR Jameson Williams +160 (BetMGM) Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) Quietly Fantasy’s WR29. Goff has fed him 339 yards + 4 TDs over the last four games. Giants allow the 8th-most FPPG to WRs. WR DeVonta Smith +180 (DraftKings) Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Cowboys have allowed 17 receiving TDs to WRs. Smith owns Dallas: 38-500-6 in 9 career games. Moonshot odds on a proven divisional killer. Points Allowed| Player Rankings | YTD Fantasy Points