KBO – Sun Jul 5th
Sunday’s slate begins at 4:00 AM EST and all five games should play without any rain PPD issues. Tier ($) Position Top Tier Mid Tier Low Tier SP1 Chan Heon Jung (LG) SP2 Mike Wright (NCD) Hui Kwan Yu (DOO) Seung Ho Lee (KIW) C Dong Won Park (KIW) Sung Woo Jang (KTW) 1B Jose Fernandez (DOO) Jae Il Oh (DOO) Tae In Chae (SK) 2B Keon Chang Seo (KIW) 3B Jeong Choi (SK) Dong Hee Han (LOT) SS Ha Seong Kim (KIW) Dixon Machado (LOT) Sung Hyun Kim (SK) OF Aaron Altherr (NCD) Preston Tucker (KIA) Jamie Romak (SK) Jung Hoo Lee (KIW) Han Joon Yoo (KTW) Eun Sung Chae (LG) Jun Hyeok Oh (SK) PITCHING Chan Heong Jung is the lock button arm today for the Twins. Play him with confidence against Samsung. He’s been lights out this year striking out over 23% of his opponents and is holding opponents to a .218 average with great performances over his last 4 starts. SP2 is where we can make a little executive decision and avoid the heavily favored and overpriced Mike Wright for a nice cheap option in Seung Ho Lee from Kiwoom. Combo 1 – Chan Heong Jung / Seung Ho Lee Combo 2 – Chan Heong Jung / Hui Kwan Yu HITTING The Dinos and Heroes are the top stacks to look at today but do not overlook the SK Wyverns. Jamie Romak has been playing well of late and Jeong Choi is always a solid play who should be closer to $6,000. They’re the core for the Wyverns. NC Dinos: Hee Dong Kwon, Sung Bum Na, Aaron Altherr Kiwoom Heroes: Keon Chang Seo, Ha Seong Kim, Jung Hoo Lee, ByungHo Park SK Wyverns: Ji Hoon Choi, Jeong Choi, Jamie Romak, Joon Woo Choi
KBO DFS – Sat 7/4
Happy 4th of July. Instead of watching our pastime we get to bet on Korean Baseball! WEATHER No issues!!!! PITCHING Chris Flexen How about this for a little statistical information for you. Flexen is your -431 favorite today
KBO DFS – Fri. July 3rd
We are going through our re-launch, re-design and overall re-building of what should be one of the most powerful user communities for Daily and Seasonal Fantasy content. I hope you like the changes you see over the weekend and welcome
KBO DFS – July 2nd
The DailyAmbush KBO DFS Dashboard is now LIVE on the FullTime site. You can find it under the DFS – MLB menu and we WILL be adding a TON more dashboards/reports in this month (heck, probably by the 4th). No rain issues on Thursday’s games. PITCHING Tae In Won … Heavy favorite will make him a popular play. I don’t mind rostering against Jeong Choi either. Overall his metrics have been very much improved this season and like the rest of the Lions pitchers has seen a big improvement over the past month. Dan Straily … Should be lower owned than normal in a tough spot today against the very hard Dino’s. But Stud vs Stud can produce strikeouts that we need and Straily coming in lower in ownership can be your pivot off a chalky slate. HITTING TARGETS Doosan Bears There are times in DFS when we should avoid chalk for the massive upside it brings. I don’t believe that this is one of those spots. The Bears are licking their chops despite being on the road in the final game of the series to go off on Kiwoom and Young Gun Jo. Jose Fernandez Jae Il Oh Kyoung Min Hur LG Twins Love getting a pitcher who doesn’t strike anyone else out and that’s what the LG Twins will get today. Hyun Soo Kim Ji Hwan Oh Roberto Ramos
KBO DFS – Wed July 1st
OUCH! That’s all I can about the Hanwha-Kia PPD last night. Got up for my lineup and validated everyone was in and then went back to bed. Dagger as half my lineup was from that game and anyone who followed
KBO DFS – Tue Jun 30th
I gave DK a chance to revitalize their NPB games but the demand just isn’t there. So I am dropping it from my daily articles but if you have questions on it hit me up and I’ll provide any information.
KBO Dongers Club – Jun 28
PITCHING Chris Flexen – Doosan Bears Flexen dominated the Dinos back on May 20th going 8 innings while striking out 10 batters. Nice pitchers park back at home and in a game I project as low scoring between him and Drew Rucinski he gets the edge at home. Flexen has gone 6 strikeouts or more in 4 of his last 8 games while not giving up more than 3 ER in any of those outings. Chan Gyu Lim – LG Twins If you want some risky upside then Lim is your guy. If you want a safe and boring pitcher who is struggling then keep reading for the next player. Chan Gyu Lim should be a lower owned option today because this game has a higher total and he is on the road — but his strikeout ratios do all the talking for me to give him a shot. He just saw SK back on June 11th and only got 5 whifs while giving up 2 HR in that start, however almost every other start around that he’s been much better. Odrisamer Despaigne – KT Wiz The strikeouts have really fallen off for Despaigne who is now below 20% for his strikeout rate this year. His last five starts have all been 5 or fewer K’s per game and not coincidentally he’s giving up more hits and has lost four of his past 5 starts. But today he is the lucky man who gets to face off against the Hanwha Eagles. TOP STACKS I don’t see one team standing out far above the rest today, so I would prefer to limit over exposure onto one team when building lineups today and mix from this pool of spots. The Bears / Dinos game might seem tempting but it’s one I would fade in what I project as a nice pitching match-up. Lotte Giants – Jun Woo Jeon, Ah Seop Son, Dae Ho Lee They do not have a hitter with 10 HR and only have two guys over 4 HR on the season. Power isn’t their strong suit but they should get plenty of guys on base and Ah Seop Son has a good chance of going yard in this matchup. LG Twins – Hyun Soo Kim, Roberto Ramos, Kang Nam Yoo A cold lineup but a nice time to buy low on them. KT Wiz – Mel Rojas Jr, Baek Ho Kang, It’s Chad Bell, hard to ignore them.
KBO/NPB Dongers Club – Sat Jun 28
KBO Eric Jokisch – Kiwoom I was a little shocked to see some of the lower ratings on the Pitchers today from the model that I built and have been using. Someone like Eric Jokisch who got back on track in his last start with a 26.75 is clearly being undervalued because he draws a really good Kia Tigers lineup right now, but as a quality lefty arm I like him to limit them. Jokisch has been a good pitcher at limiting home runs, going deep into games and overall is my favorite arm to ride on this slate. William Cuevas – KT Wiz We should see the highest ownership on the slate for William Cuevas, unless folks suddenly think the Hanwhaaaaaaaaaaaa? Eagles are gonna go on a tear like the Washington Nationals from last season. You don’t think so do you? Nah, me neither. Eagles are the sheep play today, load up on Cuevas. Chan Heon Jung – LG Twins The best third option as a cheaper price play. Other pitchers are in tougher spots/stadiums and Jung has two main bats to worry about on the Wyverns. That said, I don’t TEAMS TO TARGET KT Wiz — You know the main guys here by now…. Mel Rojas Jr and Baek Ho Kang along with any value you want to sprinkle around them. SAMSUNG LIONS — Adrian Sampson stinks but he has been good at limiting power. No worries, the Lions have four guys who can get on base without utilizing power in Ja Wook Koo, Sang Su Kim, Young Jin Choi and Hak Ju Lee. NPB The Nippon league is only five games on DK because one game is later than the others and DK has slightly bumped up the prize pools. I mean, it’s like an inch they gave us, but hey, it is what it is. Hope more of you start to play it. Last night was clear evidence of what I meant in regards to pitching. I highly recommend anyone doing more than one lineup diversify your SP. PITCHING Kazuto Taguchi – YOM Giants – This is the highest favored arm on the slate and so he’ll be heavy chalk. 24% strikeout rate last year against a team with a near 20% strikeout rate. Solid spot. Hiroki Tokoda – Hiroshima Carp – Of the top pitchers on the slate he consistently pitches deep into games and statistically stands out as one of the safer spots. Tsuyoshi Wada – Fukkkkk Hawks TOP NPB TEAMS TO TARGET FUK Hawks – Yanagita / Balentin SAI Lions – Yamakawa / Tonosaki / Nakamura TOM Giants – Sakamota / Maru / Okamoto NPB CHAIRMAN: Hotaka Yamakawa – IF – SAI Lions – $7,400
KBO & NPB Dongers Club – June 26th
This article is for the KBO slate and has notes on the NPB slate as well. Good news there is no bad weather anticipated for Friday’s games. Slate locks at the regular 5:30 AM EST time and is full (5 games). PITCHERS Dan Straily He got PPD and pushed back again which gives a slight pause to consider fading him due to pitchers just being creates of habit but then we realize he’s facing Samsung and they are one of the better teams to target with pitching. Only 12 of the Lions 40 home runs as a team have come on the road this season. Combined with Straily’s incredible strike out rate makes him too hard to pass up because even if he doesn’t rack up the strikeouts for some reason, he shouldn’t give up damage against Samsung. He’s chalk we will eat. Warwick Saupold He’s been a lone half way decent bright spot for the Eagles this year. I know KT Wiz have been on fire but this park has shown to play very well for pitching and at $1300 more than his opponent Heyong Jun So, we’re finding a nice SP pivot which is needed with the 80%+ owned Straily as SP1. Casey Kelly Too pricey for my liking today, the $500 over Saupold isn’t enough for me to go with him, but he’s someone I project to get in the 16-18 point range today and is likely the 2nd highest owned pitcher going after Straily with Heyong Jun So being third highest. KBO STACKS Doosan Bears … The marquee match-up this weekend will be the Dino’s and Bears going at it in Doosan’s home park. A great spot to target for offense is quite the understatement, especially with the pitchers on the bump for Friday night. Hard to argue with the Bears 1-4 right now as all four are over 10 PPG in their last 5. Really like the lefties in this spot. Jose Fernandez, Joo Hwan Choi, Jae Hwan Kim, Jae Il Oh LG Twins … Remember when Roberto Ramos was dirt cheap and homered every day? Feels like forever ago. Well he gets to beat up on a righty who has been hit really hard (.243 ISO) by lefties this season. The Twins project to start four lefties at the top of their order and Ramos/Hyun Soo Kim would be the two power bats to benefit the most. Hyun Soo Kim, Roberto Ramos KIA Tigers … The other game to look at for offense is between the Tigers and Heroes. Preston Tucker has been a machine on weekends, but hasn’t done anything since … wait for it … last Friday. With a day off yesterday I expect Tucker to bounce back and have a nice weekend. Preston Tucker, Ji Wan Na, Ho Ryung Kim HR Calls: Hyun-Soo Kim, Preston Tucker, Jae-Il Oh NPB Slate for Friday I really enjoy the NPB and it’s a shame the first night snuck up on us and it had so much overlay because DraftKings didn’t prepare anyone for it. I believe it could grow, but really if you want to build on a small bankroll this is a good spot to go instead of KBO. PITCHER RANKINGS This is a loaded pitching slate and one to pay up for. You cannot afford on the NPB slates to miss when there’s multiple pitchers going for 25 points. There’s just not enough bats in your lineup to make up the difference between one pitcher getting 25 and yours getting 10 or 12. On FanDuel for MLB you can get away with missing a little on pitcher because the 8 hitters and weighted scoring system towards hitters makes it easier to catch-up a gap. On DK with two pitchers sometimes you can make up scoring with SP2 and the extra two hitters. But with so few spots in your lineup you just cannot afford to get cute and in a pitching dominated league like this, we gotta get over 20 tonight or you won’t cash anywhere. Shota Imanaga (YOK) vs Tigers .. Looks like the best strike-otu upside on the slate and is affordable at only $10,900. The Tigers lineup is mostly lefties as well which gives him a nice LvL boost — including Justin 0 for 4 Bour. Tomoyuki Sugiano (YOM) … Heavy favorite but drawing a game on the road against a team with some power in the Swallows. Coming off a great first game of the season he should rack up strikeouts but is at risk for giving up HR. Takahiro Norimoto (TOH) … Expecting a pitchers duel between the Fighters and Eagles — he’s at home which to me is a nice boost. OFFENSE Unlike pitching, offense to me is fairly clear cut and the spot to go all in with a couple teams on today IMO. Giants — Sakamoto and Okamoto are on fire and both homered again yesterday. Throw in Yoshihiro Maru as a third bat. Lions — Yamakawa, Mori, Nakamura, Tonosaki One off bats Masataka Yoshida (ORI) Tetsuto Yamada (YAK) Yuki Yanagita (FUK) Neftali Soto (YOK) Seiya Suzuki (HIR)
Dongers Club – KBO/NPB – Jun 25th
KBO got rained out last night as we kind of suspected and tonight has a 4 game make-up series beginning at 2:00 AM. It’s got some premium pitching on it as well. The NPB on the other hand is loaded with rookie pitchers and should be a high scoring affair. KBO SP Rankings Dan Straily … Has been dominant and at home even in a game with a little rain is clear #1 Hui Kwan Yu … SK should be a nother target on a short 4 game slate that doesn’t feature Hanwha STACKS KT Wiz / NC Dinos … I dont trust Wright or Bae here and the Wiz were too hot before the PPD Doosan Bears NPB SP Rankings Hirotoshi Takanashi … Man, his stats remind me of Jake Junis. Need I say more? Gives up lots of bombs and strikes out a ton of guys. Faces a team with no power. LETS GO! Takahiro Shiomi NPB STACKS FUK – Hawks Balentien, Yanagita, Uebayashi ORI – Buffaloes Adam Jones Masataka Yoshida – Must play TOH – Eagles Splish Splash Jabari Blash – HR is coming Hideto Asamura Stefen Romero CHAIRMAN: Masataka Yoshida – Orix Buffaloes