On the Mark Week 9: Best NFL O/U Props
“On the Mark Week 9” Following another winning column in Week 8, we focus on our attention on Week 9 opportunities amongst many juicy matchups. Each week the decision process of which specific player to back is part of the challenge. Remember each week to focus on a round robin strategy. The players included in the write up will always + value players and round robin strategy is safer and can be excellent multipliers because of the plus money recommendations. Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world Jared Goff 3+ TD passes +207 The Lions are a powerful animal operating on their home turf at Ford field. The Lions are averaging 36.66 PPG and Goff is averaging 2.66 passing TDs at home. The Vikings defense was shredded in Week 8 allowing 37 points and 3 TDs via the pass. In 10 career games vs. the Vikings Goff has thrown 18 TD passes and has a QB rating of 105.1. Exclusive FTF Week 9 players rankings are projecting Goff for 3 TDs. Drake Maye over 30+ rushing yards +125 Not only is the 2nd year field general throwing dimes but he’s also killing it running the rock. If you watch May on tape, his decision making to hit the hole as well as his ability to hit full speed efficiently makes him a dangerous overall weapon. Did you know May is averaging 31.3 rushing yards per game? The Falcons defense is allowing 20.6. Standout FTF projections which have been bullish on May all season are projecting May for 36 plus yards rushing vs. the dirty birds. Michael Pittman Jr 6+ receptions +115 The Colts as a team are getting a lot of recognition and acclaim around the league and from the media. A key cog in the Colts success is Pittman who’s having a career year with Danile Jones under center. Pittman continues to operate as the underneath and middle of the field target of choice for Jones. The Steelers leaky defense is susceptible to WR receptions and has allowed 107 WR receptions, 4th most in the NFL. Pittman is averaging 7.5 receptions and one TD in his last two games. Dak Prescott 3+ TD passes +161 Prescott is having an outstanding year statistically and is a league leader in potentially capturing NFL league MVP. In three career games vs. the Cardinals, Dak has a passer rating of 101.0 and has averaged two TD passes per game. Prescott ranks high on Week 9 Full time data which is forecasting the Dallas signal caller for 300 yards and 3 TDs.
Vegas vs FullTime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime TD Props For Week 9
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 9 Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, is up +17.02 units on the season! The Week 9 slate is projected to be high-scoring with seven games owning totals of 48-plus. With those kinds of projections by the experts in the deserts we have landed on several players that our models believe can help us continue to dominate our fantasy leagues while also increasing our weekly-growing bankrolls. Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver wire. FullTime Fantasy scored big in Week 6 after combining our award-winning winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info winning $26,331.41! FullTime Fantasy + @RespectedMoney = $26,331.41 in Week 6 profits! #DFS #FantasyFootball — FullTime Fantasy (@FullTimeFantasy) October 15, 2025 Let’s take a deeper dive into the best Plus-Money options, by once again focusing on my Vegas Respected Money targets in conjunction with our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections! Top Values By The Projections RB Travis Etienne Jr +100 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Etienne, who ranks as the overall RB20 in fantasy football in PPR formats, finds a favorable matchup in Week 9 against a Raiders defense that has allowed eight rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs in seven games. ETN, who failed to find paydirt in his last three games facing Kansas City, Seattle and the Rams, projects to rebound in a big way in Sin City. TE Tucker Kraft +100 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Kraft, who cashed for us last week among our Moonshot selections, is easily the best weapon at Jordan Love’s disposal, scoring four touchdowns over the last three games. Ranking 2nd in the NFL with a 92.4% snap percentage, has resulted in the 6th-best 20.65% target share. gaining the trust of QB Jordan Love in the Red Zone as the season evolves. Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory TE Tyler Warren +140 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Warren witnessed his three-game scoring streak snapped last week against due to game-script in the Colts blowout win over the Titans. After moderate production, Warren projects to post double-digit PPR fantasy points for the seventh time this season. Warren, who has hauled in 37 receptions for 492 yards and three touchdowns, slots in as the overall TE4 in fantasy football in PPR formats. The immensely talented rookie standout who ranks 5th in Targets (50), 4th in Air Yards (313), 9th in Routes Run (221), 5th in First Read Targets (35) and 4th in Red Zone Targets (35) draws a favorable matchup against a Steelers defense that has allowed six touchdowns to opposing tight ends, including two last week to Tucker Kraft. WR Marvin Harrison Jr +150 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) In Week 9, the Cardinals will face the Cowboys under the primetime lights of Monday Night Football with the highest game total on the board (53.5). MHJ draws the best matchup any opposing wideout can ask for as Dallas has surrendered the most Fantasy points to opposing receivers, while also allowing the most touchdowns (15) to the position. A deeper dive reveals that fantasy football’s overall WR12 has developed into a solid red zone target scoring 21 touchdowns over his last 40 games (52.5%), dating back to 2023. It is imperative to take aim at getting involved with the game with the highest point total (51) on the board. TE Colston Loveland +235 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) From a fantasy perspective, the rookie tight end has been an absolute bust with only 11 receptions for 116 yards and zero touchdowns on the year. However, the matchup this week against a vulnerable Bengals defense that is allowing – the most receiving yards to opposing tight ends this season has surrendered a whopping 10 touchdowns to the position over eight games. Last week, Loveland saw a season-high in targets (5) and yards (38), and my model is all over new season highs in both categories coming on Sunday. Let’s invest in the juicy odds! Performance Recap Thus far, Vegas vs FullTime projections: 🔥Overall YTD: 35-43 (+17.02 UNITS)📈
Thursday Night Football Respected Money Breakdown: Ravens vs Dolphins
Thursday Night Football Respected Money Breakdown: Ravens vs Dolphins As wild as it sounds, Week 9 of the 2025 season is already upon us. The slate gets under way on Thursday Night featuring the long-awaited return of Lamar Jackson and the Ravens (2-5) heading on the road to face Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins (2-6). Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X The oddsmakers have the Ravens installed as 7.5-point road favorites with the total sitting at 51. Week 6 justified the power and accuracy of FullTime Fantasy’s Projections as we enjoyed a sensational score of $26,331.41! This return was accomplished via combination of our award-winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info! FullTime Fantasy + @RespectedMoney = $26,331.41 in Week 6 profits! #DFS #FantasyFootball — FullTime Fantasy (@FullTimeFantasy) October 15, 2025 Let’s keep our highly lucrative 2025 campaign rolling! TOP PLAYS WR Jaylen Waddle Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-112) With Tyreek Hill out for the season, Waddle is the clear WR1 in the Miami passing game attack. Over the last four games, the veteran wideout has been outstanding, slotting in as fantasy football’s overall WR9 in PPR formats – on the strength of 18 receptions for 319 yards and two touchdowns. Game-script will be in Waddle’s favor as Miami will likely be playing from behind, resulting in Tua Tagovailoa being forced to take to the air in the second half. Our projections have Waddle projected for 86 yards, resulting in 22.5 yards of expected value. Waddle, who has exceeded this demand in three of his last four games, has hauled in 3 – 30+ as well as 3 – 40+ yard receptions over that span. In primetime, Waddle will now face a Ravens defense allowing an average of 14 receptions for 159 yards per game to opposing wide receivers. A deeper dive reveals that Baltimore has allowed 7 opposing wide receivers to eclipse this line this season. WR Zay Flowers Over 5.5 Receptions (+103) With Lamar Jackson back under center, fantasy managers should start to see production once again from several Ravens’ skill-position players. Flowers, who owns the 7th-best Target-Share rate of 30.6%, is by far and away the best weapon in the Baltimore aerial attack. Fantasy football’s overall WR25 in PPR formats, has surpassed this demand in 5 of 7 games this season. Our projections have Flowers projected for 6.53 receptions, resulting in solid expected value being offered at plus-odds of +103. Flowers will face a Miami defense that has already allowed 4 opposing WR1’s (M. Pittman, 6; G. Wilson, 7; T. McMillian, 6; and L.McConkey, 7) to eclipse this receptions line this season. TE – Isaiah Likely 25+ ALT Receiving Yards (+114) Week 9’s showdown with Miami will mark the first time this season that Isaiah Likely and Lamar Jackson will both be on the field healthy. Likely draws an extremely favorable matchup against a Dolphins defense that has struggled containing opposing tight ends. Miami, who has allowed the most yards per route run to the position, is surrendering 6.25 receptions and 63.6 yards per game to the position. Despite the presence of Mark Andrews, a deeper dive reveals that Likely leads Baltimore’s TE’s with a 52.3% route rate across the last three games. Rather than pay juice at his 22.5 receiving line, we will instead target his ALT market of 25+ at plus-odds of +114. Performance Recap After eight weeks, Vegas vs FullTime projections is up double-digit units in profits! 🔥Overall YTD: 35-46 (+15.98 UNITS)📈
2025 NFL Week 8 Circa Survivor Recap: Shocking Upsets Trigger Colossal Knockouts
2025 NFL Week 8 Circa Survivor Recap: Shocking Upsets Trigger Colossal Knockouts; Only 11% of Pool Remains Losses By Falcons and Bengals Result In ‘Blood Bath’ Eliminations Amid Bye-Week Armageddon – Picks, Results, and Strategy Insights Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X Circa Survivor entrants encountered Week 8 apocalypse, as two of the top three most selected teams were upset, eviscerating 51% of the pool left standing for a whopping $18.7 million top prize. Atlanta and Cincinnati faced two struggling teams with a combined record of 1-13 heading into Sunday. 2,152 competitors were eliminated when their opponents, the Dolphins and Jets, pulled off stunning upsets no one saw coming. Inspired by the announcement of the sudden passing of former 7-time Pro Bowl center Nick Mangold, the Jets snapped their seven game losing streak by beating the Bengals 39-38, as 7-point road underdogs. Jets snap 7-game skid with 39-38 win over Bengals! Inspired by Nick Mangold tribute. — SNY Jets (@snyjets) October 26, 2025 Thanks to stellar production by running back Breece Hall who accounted for three touchdowns (two rushing, one passing) in the fourth quarter New York earned their first win of the season despite having less than a 2.5% chance of emerging victorious heading into the final 15 minutes of game action. Breece Hall’s 3 TDs in Q4 seal Jets’ 39-38 win over Bengals! First victory of the season. — ESPN Insights (@ESPNInsights) October 26, 2025 During the early Sunday slate, the other major upset of the week came courtesy of Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins overwhelming the Falcons on the road, 34-10. Playing without starting QB Michael Penix Jr. and star wideout Drake London, Miami was able to completely shut down Atlanta’s star running Bijan Robinson, holding fantasy football’s overall RB4 in PPR formats, to his worst production of the season (25 rushing and 23 receiving yards). Dolphins crush Falcons 34-10! Tua Tagovailoa dominates in Week 8 upset. — Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 26, 2025 Circa Survivor, which drew a record-breaking $18,718,000 million prize pool this year, does not require the need to cover any point spread. However, simply picking the straight-up winner is simply not so easy as 16,661 (89%) contestants are out prior to the start of Week 9, leaving only a total of 2,057 entries (10.9%) alive in their hunt for a record-breaking win. Circa Survivor Update: Only 2,057 entries (10.9%) remain after Week 8’s upsets! — Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) October 28, 2025 Favorites once again dominated the week finishing with a 11-2 Straight-up (SU) and Against the Spread (ATS) (84.6%). Overall, favorites maintain a sizable 82-35-1 SU (3 pick-ems) mark, while also holding a 65-53 ATS (55.1%) advantage. Home teams hold a 68-47-1 SU (59.1%) advantage with 5 neutral-site International games, while also owning the more coveted 63-53 ATS (54.3%) edge. Higher scoring games than expected by the experts in the desert resulted in Overs posting an impressive 9-2-2 mark. Overs now hold 65-54-2 (54.6%) edge on the year. The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest which forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. Circa Survivor, which requires a $1,000 entry fee, will once again be a massive sweat for those who run deep into the season due to the massive winner-take-all prize pool. In an early look-ahead to Week 9 it is expected that: LA Rams (-13.5) vs New Orleans, Green Bay (-12) vs Carolina, LA Chargers (-10) at Tennessee, Detroit (-8.5) vs Minnesota and Baltimore (-7.5) vs Miami – will be among the most heavily chosen teams in the contest. tuesday projections for w9 #CircaSurvivor LAR 36% LAC 29% GB 19% BAL 8% DET 3% … — Survivor Atlas 🗺️ (@SurvivorAtlas) October 28, 2025 Circa Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, home to the prestigious Fantasy Football World Championship, continues to deliver world-class content from the best players to help fans win and stay informed. Stay tuned for more expert insights as the season unfolds!
Week 8 On the Mark: Best NFL O/U Prop Picks
Week 8 On the Mark Mark Deming highlights the best over/under prop bets for Week 8, leveraging FullTime Fantasy’s exclusive projections. Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world Michael Pittman Jr, over 5.5 receptions +130 Michael Pittman Jr. has 61 catches for 656 yards and scored five touchdowns in 11 games versus the Titans in his career. Pittman operated as the intermediate target of choice for quarterback Daniel Jones in Week seven and Pittman is averaging 7 targets per game through 7 weeks. Full-time fantasy’s exclusive fantasy rankings are projecting Pittman for seven receptions for 77 yards. Courtland Sutton over 6 1/2 receptions +165 No wide receiver in Week 8 shows more promise according to the full-time projections than WR Courtland Sutton. FTF rankings project Sutton for 7 receptions for over 100 yards in 100% chance at a touchdown. Through seven weeks Cowboys games are averaging 60.14 PPG. The Cowboys high scoring games should provide Sutton favorable game script. Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing touchdowns +150 Patrick Mahomes has a passer rating of 98.6 28 touchdowns in 13 games on Monday night football in his career. The exclusive full-time projections have Mahomes for three passing TDs, the only QB with 3. With WR Rashee Rice back in the lineup, the Chiefs offense is poised to show off on MNF.
Week 8 Vegas vs FullTime: Top Plus-Money TD Props
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 8 Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, is up +17.23 units on the season! Despite the Week 8 “Bye-Mageddon” the slate still offers exploitable lines that can help us continue to dominate our fantasy leagues while also increasing our profits. Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver wire. FullTime Fantasy is fresh off an amazing Week 6 after combining our award-winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info winning $26,331.41! FullTime Fantasy + @RespectedMoney = $26,331.41 in Week 6 profits! #DFS #FantasyFootball — FullTime Fantasy (@FullTimeFantasy) October 15, 2025 Let’s take a deeper dive into the best plus-money options during National Tight End weekend in the NFL, by once again focusing on my Vegas Respected Money targets in conjunction with our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections! Top Values By The Projections TE Tyler Warren +115 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Warren, who has hauled in 33 receptions for 493 yards and three touchdowns, slots in as the overall TE3 in fantasy football in PPR formats. The immensely talented rookie standout who ranks 3rd in Targets (45), 5th in Air Yards (280), 8th in Routes Run (195), 5th in First Read Targets (32) and 3rd in Red Zone Targets (32) draws a favorable matchup against a Titans defense allowing the 3rd-most points (192) to opponents in the AFC through seven games. It is time to invest in arguably the best emerging talent at the position during National Tight End weekend. WR Courtland Sutton +125 Fulltime Projection: 1.0 (100%) My model highlights Denver’s top passing threat finding strong volume against a Cowboys defense allowing the most passing yards (1,822) in the NFL. Dallas is allowing an average of 12 receptions and 166.9 yards per game to opposing wideouts, while also surrendering a whopping 12 touchdowns to the position. A deeper dive reveals that fantasy football’s overall WR12 has developed into a solid red zone target scoring 21 touchdowns over his last 40 games (52.5%), dating back to 2023. It is imperative to take aim at getting involved with the game with the highest point total (51) on the board. RB Tyler Allgeier +135 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Before you panic here, let me explain how a back-up running back lands among our Top 3 plays this week. Allgeier, despite playing behind fantasy football’s overall RB3 Bijan Robinson, has quietly scored a rushing touchdown in two of his last three games. In Week 8, the fourth-year back projects to find a positive game-script with the Falcons, installed as a healthy 8-point home favorite over a struggling Miami club. Allgeier will face a Dolphins defense that is allowing an average of 169.6 total yards per game and six total touchdowns to opposing running backs, and could find a healthy amount of work in the second half if Atlanta is playing from ahead. At solid plus-odds, investing in Atlanta’s RB2 lands as a top value target to score for the fourth time this season. Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory TE Tucker Kraft +140 Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) Kraft, who is quietly averaging 13.3 PPR points per game, has emerged as the most reliable option in the Green Bay passing attack, finding the end zone in back-to-back contests. Ranking 2nd in the NFL with a 92.5% snap percentage, has resulted in the 6th-best 19.5% target share. gaining the trust of QB Jordan Love in the Red Zone as the season evolves. Respected Money Note: Kraft will now face a Steelers defense that has surrendered an average of 67.2 passing yards per game and 4 touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season. RB Rico Dowdle +155 Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) Despite having to once again share the backfield with Chuba Hubbard, Dowdle has outperformed his preseason ADP, sitting as the overall RB11 in PPR formats. The talented back, who quietly sits 3rd in Rushing Yards (551), draws a plus-matchup against a Bills defense that has surrendered multiple rushing touchdowns in three of six games this season to opposing running backs. The healthy +155 odds earns him a spot among our Moonshot investments in Week 8. WR Jake Ferguson +170 Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) Ferguson, who is 2nd in the NFL in targets (58) 2nd in Target Share (22.4%), 2nd in Red Zone Targets (11) and 2nd in First Read Targets (34), now sits as the overall TE1 in fantasy football. On Sunday, the Cowboys No. 2 receiving weapon behind CeeDee Lamb, will now face a Broncos defense that has allowed three receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends over the last three games. Ferguson, who has cashed for us several times already this season as a Moonshot investment, sits tied for second among all players in receiving touchdowns (6). Performance Recap Thus far, Vegas vs FullTime projections: 🔥Overall YTD: 33-42 (+17.23 UNITS)📈
Thursday Night Football Respected Money Breakdown: Vikings vs Chargers
Thursday Night Football Respected Money Breakdown: Vikings vs Chargers Week 8 of the 2025 season gets under way on Thursday Night featuring Justin Jefferson and the Vikings (3-3) heading on the road to face Justin Herbert and the Chargers (4-3). Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X The oddsmakers have the ‘Bolts installed as 3.5-point home favorites with the total sitting at 44.5 FullTime Fantasy is fresh off an amazing Week 6 after combining our award-winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info winning $26,331.41! FullTime Fantasy + @RespectedMoney = $26,331.41 in Week 6 profits! #DFS #FantasyFootball — FullTime Fantasy (@FullTimeFantasy) October 15, 2025 Let’s keep the train rolling! TOP PLAYS QB – Justin Herbert Over 251.5 Passing Yards (-108) Fresh off tossing a career-high 420 passing yards and three touchdowns last week against the Colts, my model ranks Herbert’s passing yards as a very solid play to invest in on Thursday night. Sitting as fantasy football’s overall QB7, Herbert ranks 1st in Passing Attempts (271) and 1st in Passing Yards (1,913). The veteran signal-caller has thrived at home this season averaging 301 passing yards at SoFi Stadium (318 vs Kansas City, 300 vs Denver, 166 vs Washington and 420 vs Indianapolis). Facing a stout Vikings run defense, with a struggling run game, expect Los Angeles to air it out once again under the primetime lights. WR Jordan Addison Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Since returning from his three-game suspension to start the year, Addison has thrived thanks to solid volume from QB Carson Wentz. The Vikings third-year wideout has turned 26 targets into 18 receptions for 283 yards in three games. Listed at 94.3 receiving yards per game this season, Addison will now face a Chargers defense allowing an average of 11.3 receptions for 136.9 yards per game to opposing wide receivers. Dating back to last season, the speedy wideout has surpassed this projection of 54.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 11 regular season games (63.6%). RB – Jordan Mason – Anytime Touchdown (+120) Mason, who sits tied for 9th in rushing touchdowns (4) among all running backs, has been a major contributor in his first season in Minnesota. The veteran back, who has found the end zone in three of his last four games, now draws a favorable matchup against a vulnerable Chargers run defense. Over the last three games, Los Angeles has surrendered an eye-popping 7 rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. At attractive plus-odds, Mason’s Anytime Touchdown value lands a target worthy of attention. TE – Oronde Gadsden Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-114) The rookie tight end has emerged as a top passing weapon in the Chargers offense over the last two games turning 17 targets into 14 receptions for 232 yards and a score. Having eclipsed this projection of 42.5 receiving yards in 3 of 5 games, Gadsden projects as a player the books have failed to fully adjust, due to a solid trio of Chargers wideouts (McConkey, K. Allen and Q. Johnston). Quietly ranking 9th among all tight ends in receiving yards (308), Gadsden is the overall TE2 in fantasy football posting 41.2 PPR points on the strength of being tied for a league-best 5 receptions of 20+ yards (G. Pickens, 5; D.K. Metcalf, 5) over the last two weeks. Performance Recap After seven weeks, Vegas vs FullTime projections is up nearly 20 units in profits! 🔥Overall YTD: 32-39 (+19.45 UNITS)📈 NFL Stats | Player Rankings
Circa Survivor Week 7 Recap: Favorites Win 79%, Minimal Eliminations
Circa Survivor NFL Week 7 Recap: Favorites Dominate with 79% Win Rate, Sparing Major Contest Shakeups Circa Survivor entrants enjoyed a straightforward slate in Week 7 as eight of the nine most selected teams (Chiefs, Patriots, Bears, Broncos, Packers, Browns, Seahawks, Lions and Panthers) all won, resulting in only 204 entrants witnessing their journey come to an end. Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X For the third consecutive week, the Thursday night game resulted in the only real ‘upset’ of the slate, when Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers were upset 33-31, in the “Icy Hot Bowl:”. 181 competitors were eliminated when the Joe Flacco-led Bengals stunned Pittsburgh on a game-winning 36-yard field goal by Evan McPherson with only :11 seconds remaining as 6-point home underdogs. Bengals stun Steelers 33-31 in TNF thriller! McPherson’s 36-yard FG with :11 left seals it. — NFL on FOX (@NFLonFOX) October 16, 2025 The only other ‘mild’ upset of the week came courtesy of Daniel Jones and Colts thrashing the Chargers on the road, 38-24. The look by handicappers was spot on from an offensive perspective, as Justin Herbert threw for a career-best 420 passing yards and three touchdowns, but were done in by a leaky Los Angeles defense that gave up 94 yards and three scores on the ground to the NFL’s leading rusher Jonathan Taylor. Colts dominate Chargers 38-24! Jonathan Taylor shines with 94 yards and 3 TDs. — Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) October 20, 2025 Circa Survivor, which drew a record-breaking $18,718,000 million prize pool this year, does not require the need to cover any point spread. However, simply picking the straight-up winner is not as easy as it appears on paper as 14,477 (77.3%) contestants are out prior to the start of Week 8, leaving only a total of 4,214 entries (22.5%) alive with dreams of glory. Circa Survivor Update: 4,214 entries remain after Week 7, chasing the $18.7M prize pool! — Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) October 20, 2025 Favorites finished with a 11-3 Straight-up (SU) and 9-5 Against the Spread (ATS) edge on the week. Overall, favorites maintain a sizable 77-33-1 SU (3 pick-ems) mark, while also holding a slim 54-51 ATS advantage. Home teams hold a 60-41-1 SU (59.4%) advantage with 5 neutral-site International games, while also owning the more coveted 55-48 ATS (53.4%) edge. Meanwhile, scoring picked up in Week 7, resulting in Overs cashing in 9 of 15 games. Overs now hold the small edge at 56-52 (51.9%) on the year. The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest which forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. Circa Survivor, which requires a $1,000 entry fee, will once again be a massive sweat for those who run deep into the season due to the massive winner-take-all prize pool. In an early look-ahead to Week 8 it is expected that: Indianapolis (14) vs Tennessee, Kansas City (-11) vs Washington, Atlanta (-7) vs Miami, New England (-7) vs Cleveland, Philadelphia (-7) vs NY Giants and Buffalo (-7) at Carolina – will be among the most heavily chosen teams in the contest. Circa Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, home to the prestigious Fantasy Football World Championship, continues to deliver world-class content from the best players to help fans win and stay informed. Stay tuned for more expert insights as the season unfolds!
On the Mark: Week 7 NFL O/U Prop Picks
On the Mark: Week 7 NFL O/U Prop Picks Let’s get into Week 7 “On the Mark” with zero hesitations. My strategy this week involves four emerging players where the plus lines are attractive enough to attack the number. Below you’ll find two WRs and two QBs primed to hit their plus numbers in Week 7. Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world Let’s dive right in! WR George Pickens over 5.5 receptions +220 Pickens’ game logs over a five game span are eye opening: including six TDs, two 130 plus yard receiving games and 50 plus yards receiving in all five games. We must factor in the return of CD Lamb to a certain degree but I would calculate Pickens for five plus catches at home coming off a nine catch game even as WR2. Prescott has always fed multiple mouths and the +220 offering is a calculated risk based on the matchup vs the Commanders. Through Six weeks Cowboys games are averaging 60.33 ppg. QB Drake Maye over 30.5 rushing yards +155 Speaking of streaking players who are heating up enter second year QB Drake Maye into the equation. Maye is getting his confident legs underneath him, entering Week 7 he’s averaging 23 rushing yards per game. With Steffon Diggs a little banged up and a revenge game for Head coach Mike Vrabel look for Maye to extend play with his legs and run more after last week’s 28 rushing yard performance that led to a road win for the Pats. QB Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing TDs +160 The former NFL MVP found his groove last week and gets a mediocre Vegas Raiders defense and the return of Rashee Rice. According to multiple media reports Rice may have been the most dominant player in camp prior to his suspension. Rice will be featured and allow the other KC skill position players the opportunity to flourish as defenses will have to pick their poison. Mahomes has 33 TD passes in 14 career games vs the silver and black. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown over 7.5 receptions +125 In three career games against the Buccaneers, Amon-Ra St. Brown has 33 receptions for 320 yards and 2 touchdowns. His stats include 23 catches for 243 yards and one touchdown in two regular season games, plus 8 catches for 77 yards and one touchdown in a playoff game. In two home games St. Brown is averaging 9 receptions. As always, we will be backing these recommendations in the form of a Round Robin. Unlike other forms of an investment, this is not an all-or-nothing play. In fact, this is a solid form of bankroll protection, simply due to offering lucrative returns in the face of one of the players underperforming and failing to reach the desired projections.
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 7
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 7 Our new series “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, is up +17.45 units on the season. The Week 7 slate, consisting of 14 matchups, offers exploitable lines that can once again increase our bankrolls. Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver wire. Let’s take a deeper dive into the best plus-money options in Week 7 of the 2025 season in comparison to our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections. Top Values By The Projections WR CeeDee Lamb +115 Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%) Out with an ankle injury since Week 3, Lamb returns just in time for a juicy matchup against NFC East foe Washington. Listed with the highest point total on the board (54.5), the experts in the desert expect a shootout and my model projections are completely aligned. Lamb, who has hauled in 38 receptions for 367 yards and five touchdowns in his last five games against the Commanders, should continue that immense production on Sunday. Washington has struggled to contain opposing wideouts allowing an average of 11.5 receptions and 150.8 yards per game, while surrendering six touchdowns to the position. WR Rashee Rice +125 Fulltime Projection: 1.0 (100%) Making his 2025 debut, Rice should hit the ground running against a Raiders defense allowing an average of 13.5 receptions and 161.8 yards per game, while surrendering six touchdowns to the position. Fantasy Football’s overall QB1 through six weeks, Patrick Mahomes, has torched the Raiders tossing 33 touchdowns in just 14 career games against his AFC West rival and he will look to get his star wideout going in his first game back from suspension. Rice, who has scored 9 touchdowns in 20 career games (45%), should find plenty with Kansas City a double-digit home favorite. WR Nico Collins +135 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Collins, who ranks 17th in Target Share (24.8%) and 9th in Red Zone Targets (6) draws an extremely favorable matchup against a banged up Seattle defense that has allowed multiple receiving touchdowns to opposing wideouts (Egbuka, Shepard, B. Thomas Jr, T. Patrick) the last two weeks. Collins, who has scored three touchdowns in five games in 2025, has now scored 18 touchdowns in his last 32 games (56%) dating back to the 2023 season. At solid plus-odds, investing in Houston’s top receiving threat ranks as a top value target to improve his stellar production. Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory WR Ladd McConkey +145 Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%) McConkey, who ranks 2nd in Slot Snaps (204) and 3rd in Routes Run (213) draws a plus-matchup against a Colts defense that is allowing an average of 14 receptions and 162.2 yards per game, while surrendering seven touchdowns to the position. McConkey, who has drawn 16 targets over the two weeks, has scored in back-to-back contests. Expect Justin Herbert to once again lean heavily on his crafty wideout who has a nose for the end zone, scoring 9 touchdowns in just 22 games (40.9%) in the NFL. TE Sam LaPorta +155 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) LaPorta, who is quietly averaging 11.7 PPR points per game this season, sits as the overall TE6 in fantasy football. Ranking 4th in the NFL with a 90.1% snap percentage, has resulted in an extremely strong 19.1% target share and 5 Red Zone Targets. LaPorta, who has scored in consecutive games, has become a top target for Jared Goff scoring a whopping 19 touchdowns in just 39 career games (49.7%). Respected Money Note: LaPorta will now face a Tampa Bay defense that has surrendered 4 touchdowns to opposing tight ends over the last 3 games. WR Chris Olave +210 Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%) Olave has outperformed his preseason ADP, sitting as the overall WR21 in PPR formats. The veteran wideout quietly sits 2nd in Targets (64), 6th in Routes Run (208), 5th in Red Zone Targets (8) and 3rd in First Read Targets (3). In Week 7, Olave draws a favorable matchup against a Bears defense that has surrendered the third-most touchdowns (8) to opposing wide receivers on the year. Despite only scoring once this season, and twice over his last 14 games dating back to last season, the healthy +210 odds earns him among our Moonshot investments for the first time this year. Performance Recap Thus far, Vegas vs FullTime projections: 🔥Overall YTD: 29-35 (+17.45 UNITS)📈