Super Bowl LX Under-The-Radar Prop
Under-The-Radar Respected Money Play For Super Bowl LX Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X Strong data can transform wagering on the Super Bowl from mere speculation into a very profitable process simply by revealing patterns, efficiencies, and probabilities that aren’t always obvious to public bettors. Leveraging metrics can lead to the ability of identifying “hidden” value—where the actual probability of an outcome can exceed the odds offered by oddsmakers. This approach doesn’t guarantee returning to the windows to cash tickets, but it helps minimize decreasing bankrolls over time through evidence-based decisions rather than making investments based solely on bias (fandom) or guesses. In Super Bowl LX, my model lands on a play that is flying under-the-radar. Seattle is favored by 4.5 points across nearly all sportsbooks, which resulted in a projected 69% win probability. However, instead of wagering on the final score, the data leads us to an alternative market involving the outcome of the first quarter. Let’s dive in! A Super Bowl rematch over a decade in the making. #SBLX pic.twitter.com/xrE8WtIGx5 — NFL (@NFL) January 26, 2026 2025 Regular Season: First Quarter Scoring and Defense Data The Seattle Seahawks finished the 2025 regular season with a 14-3 record, scoring a total of 483 points (2nd most in NFC). Below is the breakdown specifically for the first quarter outcomes of all 17 regular season games for Sam Darnold & Co. Seattle 1Q Total Points Average per Game Scoring (Points Scored) 106 6.24 Defense (Points Allowed) 51 3.00 The data supports the Respected Money action, as Seattle was exceptionally strong in the first quarter of games, outscoring opponents by a total of 55 points (106-51). The 106 points ranks #1 in 1Q scoring while the 51 points allowed ranks #2 in 1Q defense. 2025 Postseason: First Quarter Scoring and Defense Data (Two Playoff Games) The Seahawks, as the NFC’s No. 1 seed, had a first-round bye followed by two playoff victories: a 41-6 Divisional Round win over San Francisco and a 31-27 win over the Rams in the NFC Championship. Seattle 1Q Total Points Average per Game Scoring (Points Scored) 27 13.5 Defense (Points Allowed) 3 1.5 Seattle has continued their first-quarter dominance in the playoffs, outscoring opponents 27-3 in the postseason. Respected Money Play: 1st Q Seattle ML -150 Over their 19 games this season, Seattle has scored 133 total points (7.0 per game) while allowing only 54 (2.84 per game). On the flip side, New England, with a young quarterback under center, has started out slow over the first 15 minutes in all three playoff wins, resulting in only 7 points scored, while allowing 10 points. The data here, combined with the likelihood of a conservative gameplan early from Mike Vrabel to protect his young signal-caller, supports a 0.75 unit play on Seattle 1Q ML as well as a 0.25 on Seattle 1Q -0.5 +105. Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 78-101 (+17.31 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Super Bowl 2026 Novelty Props: Best Bets & Odds
Super Bowl LX: Top Super Bowl LX Novelty Prop Bets Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X As millions tune in for the ultimate showdown, Super Bowl novelty props rolled out by sportsbooks around the country will transform the big game from a mere spectacle into your personal playground of excitement and investment opportunity. These often unconventional wagers—ranging from the color of the Gatorade shower to the length of the national anthem—can give even the most casual fan the opportunity to make money without needing any type of models that can accurately predict player stats or game spreads. Beneath the thrilling entertainment aspect of Super Bowl Sunday lies real profit potential. Seattle, who is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS when favored by more than a field goal this season, are favored by 4.5-points over the Patriots in Super Bowl LX. Many sports bettors may opt to back New England who have been road-warriors this season boasting a flawless 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS mark away from Gillette Stadium. Highlighted Respected Money Betting Trend: Since 2004, underdogs are 15-7 ATS in the Super Bowl and are on a 5-0 ATS streak. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Championship Weekend up +17.31 units on the year! Super Bowl LX is set 🏆@Patriots vs @Seahawks pic.twitter.com/RNVFYKVfbI — FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 26, 2026 Top Super Bowl LX Novelty Prop Jersey Number of First Touchdown Scorer – UNDER 11.5 (-125) In this wager, we will be backing the “Jersey Number of the First Touchdown Scorer” will be under 11.5. This investment will essentially involve any of these seven players being the one to cross the goal line first in Super Bowl LX: WR DeMario Douglas – No. 3 WR Stefon Diggs – No. 8 RB Kenneth Walker – No. 9 WR Kayshon Boutte – No. 9 QB Drake Maye – No. 10 WR Cooper Kupp – No. 10 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba – No. 11 In the postseason, Walker, JSN and Kupp have combined to score 7 of Seattle’s 8 offensive touchdowns (87.5%). On the other sideline, Maye, Diggs, Boutte, Douglas have collectively scored 4 of New England’s 5 offensive touchdowns (80%) in all three playoff victories. With these seven skill-position players having combined for 11 of their team’s 13 offensive postseason touchdowns, my model lands on an exceptionally strong positive expected value (+EV) backing “Under” 11.5 in this novelty proposition market. Betting on one of these players, who have accounted for 84.6% of both team’s offensive scores in the playoffs, results in an estimated probability that exceeds the implied probability (55.6%) associated with the -125 odds listed by oddsmakers. Check Back all week as we continue to roll out of top Vegas vs Fulltime Projection targets to help increase your bankroll! Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 78-101 (+17.31 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Super Bowl Squares Best & Worst Numbers 2026 – Odds & Strategy
Super Bowl Squares: The Best & Worst Numbers Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X Picking a square in a Super Bowl Squares pool has become just as much a tradition as stocking up on wings, nachos, pizza, or sliders before the big game. Across the nation, football enthusiasts will be glued to the epic clash between the Seahawks and Patriots, cheering for their squad while crossing fingers that the quarter-end scores line up perfectly for a longshot payout. Lately, sportsbooks have capitalized on the buzz by letting bettors pick their preferred numbers outright, a fresh twist on the classic random assignments in old-school pools. What are traditional Super Bowl Squares? Participating in Super Bowl squares is among the simplest methods for fans who aren’t deeply into football to get involved in the excitement of the championship game. It’s essentially a luck-based activity where participants each get one of 100 spots on a grid. After all spots are filled, digits from 0 to 9 are randomly placed along the top row and left column. The top row’s numbers correspond to one team, and the side columns to the other. Winners are decided by the last digit of each team’s score at the close of the first quarter, halftime, the third quarter, and the final whistle. For instance, if the score at halftime is Seattle 17, New England 6, then the winning square is Seahawks 7, Patriots 6. If the final score is Seattle 36 New England 17, then the winning square is Seahawks 6, Patriots 7. The winners are always determined by the second digit only. For those looking to invest in multiple squares, avoid choosing boxes in the same row or the same column. Why? It simply decreases potentially landing on unfavorable numbers multiple times. Best & Worst Numbers for Super Bowl Squares The most desired numbers are: 0,1, 3, 4, 7. As we know, field goals are worth three points, touchdowns are worth six and point after attempts are worth one. The least desired numbers in Super Bowl squares are easily: 2, 5, 9. If you land on a combination of 2-2 or 5-5 or 9-9, you most likely will be looking to place several fun proposition wagers – since you are facing a major disadvantage of profiting from any square pool. A Super Bowl rematch over a decade in the making. #SBLX pic.twitter.com/xrE8WtIGx5 — NFL (@NFL) January 26, 2026 What Oddsmakers Are Saying If your square doesn’t land on favorable numbers, sportsbooks allow you to select them yourself, rather than relying on the random assignments typical in standard pools. Here are the betting squares odds for the Final Score for Super Bowl LX: (courtesy of Caesars Sports) Per Caesars Sportsbook, the squares with the lowest odds for the final score involve: Seahawks 0, Patriots 7 +1800 Patriots 0, Seahawks 7 +2000 Patriots 7, Seahawks 4 +2200 Patriots 4, Seahawks 7 +2500 Patriots 3, Seahawks 0 +2500 Seahawks 3, Patriots 0 +2500 Seahawks 7, Patriots 3 +2800 Seahawks 3, Patriots 7 +3500 Patriots 0, Seahawks 4 +3000 Seahawks 4, Patriots 1 +3500 On the flip side, the squares with the highest odds for the final score involve: Seahawks 5, Patriots 5 +20000 Patriots 5, Seahawks 5 +20000 Seahawks 2, Patriots 2 +20000 Patriots 2, Seahawks 2 +20000 Seahawks 9, Patriots 9 +10000 Patriots 9, Seahawks 9 +10000 Seahawks 5, Patriots 9 +17500 Patriots 9, Seahawks 5 +17500 If you end up with any of these combos in your standard pools, you’ll probably want to place some lighthearted side bets—like the Gatorade shower color or the national anthem duration—because cashing in on the main prize is a long shot. Traditional Super Bowl Squares vs. Sportsbooks As someone who loves finding higher paying odds, I prefer randomly assigned numbers in traditional square pools rather than the fixed odds offered by sportsbooks. In your neighborhood square pool, the prize money is the same no matter which numbers win. Good luck on all your wagers! Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
NFC Championship Betting: 2 Must-Target Player Props for Rams vs Seahawks
NFC Championship Betting: Must-Target Player Props for Rams vs Seahawks Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X In the latter half of NFL Championship Weekend, a pair of NFC West rivals will square off for the third time this season in the NFC Championship Game. The two teams, which split their regular-season series, are set to clash in the playoffs for just the third time in history—with the Rams claiming victory in both of the earlier historical postseason encounters. The two “evenly matched” teams will square off at Lumen Field with a trip to Super Bowl LV on the line! A legendary season from a legendary QB. Matthew Stafford is an MVP Finalist! 👏 pic.twitter.com/Ycok9jGhZ0 — Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) January 22, 2026 Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Championship Weekend up +16.83 units on the year! LA Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks When: Sunday, January 25 at 6:30 pm ET Moneyline: Rams +120 | Seahawks -140 Spread: Rams +2.5 (-110) | Seahawks -2.5 (-110) Total: 47.5 (-110) Odds courtesy of Circa Sports The Rams (14-5) earned a trip to the NFC Championship Game after a thrilling 20-17 overtime win over the Bears in the divisional round. Since Week 6, the Rams have posted a strong 11-3 straight-up (SU) record, paired with a solid 9-5 against-the-spread (ATS) showing during that period. After securing back-to-back road playoff triumphs over the Panthers and Bears, Los Angeles heads out for their sixth away game in the past eight contests. The Rams boast an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 matchups against Seattle, but they didn’t cover the spread in either of those aforementioned road playoff victories, contributing to a lackluster 1-3 ATS performance across their last four road outings. On the flip side, the top-seeded Seahawks (15-3) head into the NFC championship after a dominant 41-6 thrashing of San Francisco. The Seahawks only blemish over their last impressive 12-1 straight-up (SU) run since mid-October, was a 21-19 loss versus the Rams in Week 11. A career day for Kenneth Walker! 🔹 3 receptions 🔹 145 total yards 🔹 3 TDs pic.twitter.com/4aOQD6jUXT — NFL Fantasy Football (@NFLFantasy) January 18, 2026 Top Player Props QB Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-128, FanDuel) NFL MVP candidate Matthew Stafford, who has thrown a league-high 49 touchdowns this season, has absolutely crushed this betting market, eclipsing oddsmakers demand in 12 of 19 games (63.2%) this season. While the league average is only 1.5, Stafford has thrown 2.6 touchdown passes per game (49/19) this season — best in the NFL. If we throw out last week’s inclement weather game, Stafford has surpassed 1.5 touchdown passes in 12 consecutive games. Stafford, who has thrown for 3,086 yards and 18 touchdowns in 11 games versus the Seahawks in his career, has thrown 2+ touchdowns in both games against Seattle this season – including 457 yards and 3 scores in Week 16 at Lumen Field. View on X RB Kenneth Walker Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110, BetMGM) With the loss of Charbonnet, Walker’s time to shine is front and center. After his backfield mate went down last week, Walker exploded to the tune of 145 total yards and three touchdowns. Oddsmakers have made a sizable adjustment on Walker’s receiving yards, who prior to this game had never been posted higher than 16.5. However, despite the five-yard “tax”, my model has the talented dual-threat back surpassing this line with ease in part due to his expected bell-cow usage. The fourth-year RB, who has surpassed this receiving line in 3 of his last 4 games, will now face a Rams defense that has allowed 20 RBs to clear this mark this season. Walker’s proven prowess in the passing games combined with his increased utilization, results in half unit investments on his ALT markets of 25+ at odds of +102 as well as 30+ at odds of +146 – lines he crushed in Week 16 (64) and Week 11 (44) against the Rams. Check Back all week as we continue to roll out of top Vegas vs Fulltime Projection targets to help increase your bankroll! Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 74-93 (+16.83 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
AFC Championship Betting: 2 Must-Target Player Props for Patriots vs Broncos
AFC Championship Betting: 2 Must-Target Player Props for Patriots vs Broncos Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X NFL Championship weekend kicks off with thrilling action as the top two seeds in the AFC clash for the third time ever in the AFC Championship Game. The Broncos boast a flawless 2-0 record against the Patriots in AFC title games, along with a dominant 4-1 all-time playoff mark versus New England. However, Denver could find it difficult to extend their historical postseason dominance after losing starting QB Bo Nix (ankle) in the club’s victory last week over the Texans. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Championship Weekend up +16.83 units on the year! the stage is set: AFC’s top-2 seeds will face off for the Lamar Hunt Trophy pic.twitter.com/sC09jjFM3l — NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) January 18, 2026 New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos When: Sunday, January 25 at 3:00 pm ET Moneyline: Patriots -250 | Broncos +215 Spread: Patriots -4.5 (-110) | Broncos +4.5 (-110) Total: 42.5 (-110) Odds courtesy of Circa Sports The New England Patriots (16-3) clinched a berth in the AFC Championship Game after a stellar defensive effort propelled them to a 28-16 win against the Houston Texans. The Patriots, riding an impressive 15-1 straight-up (SU) record since late September, have also delivered a strong 13-3 against-the-spread (ATS) performance over that stretch. Following a pair of home playoff victories against the Chargers and Texans, New England hits the road for the first time this postseason. Led by Drake Maye, the Patriots have been dominant away from home this season, posting a perfect 8-0 SU mark on the road along with a 7-1 ATS record in those games. On the other sideline, the top-seeded Broncos (15-3) head into the AFC championship after a dramatic 33-30 overtime victory against Buffalo, where they covered as 1.5-point home favorites. Denver boasts a 14-1 straight-up record across their past 15 outings, though they’ve been just marginally rewarding for bettors with an 8-7 ATS mark over that span. Overall this season, the Broncos sit at 8-10 ATS, but they’ve thrived especially at home, posting a 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS record at Empower Field at Mile High. Respected Money Betting Note: Home ‘dogs are a perfect 3-0 ATS this postseason Top Player Props TE Hunter Henry Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-110, DraftKings) While owning one of the league’s best defenses, Denver has been vulnerable against opposing tight ends, allowing 62 yards per game to the position. Henry, who finished 2nd on New England in: targets (87), receptions (60), receiving yards (768) has been a reliable target for the Patriots rookie signal-caller this season. Henry, who has surpassed this betting line of 42.5 in 11 of his 18 games (61%), has averaged 51.1 yards per game over his last nine and will now face a Denver secondary that surrendered 9 receptions for 115 yards and a touchdown to Bills tight ends last week. A Boutte Beauty ❄️@Patriots | @InsidetheNFL pic.twitter.com/EmdDn83DyR — NFL Films (@NFLFilms) January 19, 2026 WR Kayshon Boutte Over 19.5 Longest Reception (-122, FanDuel) This investment emerges from my model due to two key variables: recent usage and avoiding stud CB Patrick Surtain. With Pats WR1 Stefon Diggs expected to draw Surtain, we will pivot to Kayson Boutte. The third-year wideout, who posted a team-high 83% snap percentage last week against Houston, has emerged as a major passing option for Maye in the playoffs, hauling in a team-high: receptions (7) and receiving yards (141) yards as well as a touchdown in the club’s two postseason wins. The former LSU standout, who has eclipsed this longest reception mark in both playoff games (42,32) will now face a Broncos defense that gave up 40 plays of 20+ receiving yards as well as the 4th-most plays of 40+ receiving yards. With Boutte becoming the Patriots’ clear deep threat, we will also invest a half unit on: over his receiving yards line of 38.5 (-112) as well as a half unit on his ALT 50+ yards at odds of +152 – lines he has easily surpassed in the playoffs (75,66). Check Back all week as we continue to roll out of top Vegas vs Fulltime Projection targets to help increase your bankroll! Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 74-93 (+16.83 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Top NFL Divisional Round Picks: Must-Target Players for Sunday’s Playoff Games
Top NFL Divisional Round Picks: Must-Target Players for Sunday’s Playoff Games Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X The NFL Divisional playoff round concludes on Sunday with two matchups featuring four teams with legitimate Super Bowl aspirations. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Divisional Weekend up +13.12 units on the year! Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots When: Sunday, January 18 at 3:00 pm ET Moneyline: Texans +155 | Patriots -180 Spread: Texans +3 (+100) | Patriots -3 (-120) Total: 40.5 (-110) Odds courtesy of Circa Sports Both the Patriots (14-3) and Texans (12-5) leaned on dominant defenses to clinch their Wild Card Weekend playoff wins. Sparks are sure to fly when Drake Maye and the No. 2-seeded Patriots play host to C.J. Stroud and the No. 5-seeded Texans to their home field on Sunday. The Patriots, who boast an impressive 14-1 SU record since late September, and are also a highly lucrative 12-3 ATS mark over their span. Meanwhile, the Texans are the hottest team in the NFL owning a 10-game winning streak, which is accompanied by a solid 7-3 ATS record. Houston could find it difficult to extend that winning streak after learning that they will be without star WR Nico Collins after he was unable to clear the NFL’s concussion protocol. View on X Top Player Props WR Xavier Hutchinson Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-114 , FanDuel) The third-year wide receiver is poised for an increased role in the divisional round playoff game against the New England Patriots on Sunday, with the loss of Collins. After the big-time performance by Christian Kirk last week, it is highly likely that Vrabel will employ No. 1 corner Christian Gonzalez on the savvy veteran. Hutchinson has historically stepped up in Collins’ absence. In fact, in two games this season without the club’s best offensive weapon in the lineup, he has turned 15 targets into 10 receptions for 153 yards and a touchdown. With 69+ yards in both games without Collins, it is time to invest in the under-the-radar wideout at a projection that he could come close to clearing with just one or two receptions. A deeper dive reveals that the former Iowa State standout has hauled in a long reception of 16+ yards in 9 games this season, including long receptions of 30 and 33 without Collins. LA Rams vs. Chicago Bears When: Sunday, January 18 at 6:30 pm ET Moneyline: Rams -195 | Bears +170 Spread: Rams -3.5 (-110) | Bears +3.5 (-110) Total: 48.5 (-110) Odds courtesy of Circa Sports The Rams (13-5) and Bears (12-6) will square off with inclement weather potentially playing a major factor. Chicago’s forecast for Sunday calls for a high of 21 degrees, with wind chills dipping into the single digits at Soldier Field. Adding to the mix is a high chance for snow, along with strong winds – has resulted in steady sharp steam on the total dropping the opener a full field goal from 51.5 to 48.5 at Circa Sports. The Rams, who snapped a three-game road losing streak last week in their Wild Card over the Panthers and are 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS overall on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Bears are 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in front of their home faithful. View on X Parlay: M. Stafford Over 0.5 INT + C. Williams Over 0.5 INT (+278) There is no denying that Matthew Stafford is in the midst of an MVP caliber season leading the NFL in passing yards (5,011) and touchdowns (49) – boasting an ultra impressive 49:9 touchdown-to-interception ratio. However, 8 of his 9 interceptions have come on the road, including one last week in the Rams 34-31 win over the Panthers. In this play, we will parlay Williams also throwing at least one interception. After throwing 2 interceptions in the Bears 31-27 come-from-behind win over the Packers last week, the dual-threat talent has now thrown 5 interceptions over his last 7 games. With the strong winds and frigid conditions and snow in the forecast, throwing the ball will not be an easy endeavor. Let’s grab the solid +278 odds! Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 68-91 (+13.12 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round: Seahawks vs 49ers – TWO Players To Target
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round: Seahawks vs 49ers – TWO Players To Target Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X Wrapping up Saturday’s NFL Divisional playoff excitement is a heated NFC West rivalry clash, with the 49ers and Seahawks facing off for the third time this season and a berth in the NFC Championship at stake. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Wild Card Weekend up +13.12 units on the year! San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks When: Saturday, January 17 at 8:00 pm ET Moneyline: 49ers +290 | Seahawks -350 Spread: 49ers +7.5 (-115) | Seahawks -7.5 (-105) Total: 45 (-110) Odds courtesy of Circa Sports San Francisco (12-5) punched their ticket to the Divisional Round with a gritty 23-19 Wild Card victory over the Philadelphia Eagles, while the Seahawks enjoyed a bye week as the NFC’s No. 1 seed. The 49ers, who claimed the No. 6 seed in the NFC, boast an impressive 8-2 SU and ATS road record this season. Meanwhile, the Seahawks (14-3), fresh off their first NFC West crown since 2020, have gone 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS at home. While Seattle is 2-1 SU and ATS in their last three against the 49ers, San Francisco owns a 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS over the last 10 meetings, including a 4-0 SU and ATS mark in the last four meetings at Lumen Field. However, San Francisco could find it difficult to extend that streak after losing Pro Bowl TE George Kittle (torn Achilles) in the club’s wild-card win over the Eagles. Top Player Props RB Zach Charbonnet Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-114 , FanDuel) Splitting backfield work with Kenneth Walker III, Charbonnet averaged 45.6 rushing yards per game, while leading the club in touchdowns (12). With the No. 1 seed on the line, Seattle leaned heavily on their third-year back who produced 184 yards and three touchdowns on the ground in the club’s final two regular season games. The former UCLA standout has found success against the 49ers this season: 47 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, followed by 74 yards and a score in Week 18. Charbonnet has surpassed his rushing line in 6 of his last 9 games, averaging 55.6 rushing yards per contest over that span. Facing a San Francisco defense that has allowed 15 opposing running backs to surpass this demand of 46.5 rushing yards this season, coupled with a Seattle offense owning the 4th-highest run plays per game (29.6), results in my model’s strongest prop for this game. TE Jake Tonges Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel) With Kittle out for the season, Tonges is now propelled into a significant role in the 49ers passing attack. The underrated tight end filled in admirably for fantasy managers this season when Kittle missed six regular season games, averaging 44.8 receiving yards per game on the strength of owning a solid 68% snap share. As we know Seattle owns the NFL’s top-ranked defense, but if you dig deeper tight ends have performed well against the Seahawks allowing the sixth-most receiving yards (63.5) to the position. Tonges should also find positive game-script in this matchup with San Francisco installed as a touchdown-plus road underdog, resulting in strong passing volume from Brock Purdy in the second half as they try to keep pace with a high-powered Seattle offense that has scored the most points (483) in the NFC this season. Check Back all week as we continue to roll out of top Vegas vs Fulltime Projection targets to help increase your bankroll! Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 68-91 (+13.12 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round: Buffalo vs Denver – TWO Players To Target
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round: Buffalo vs Denver – TWO Players To Target Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X NFL Divisional playoff action gets under way on Saturday with a double-header of action offering a plethora of investment opportunities. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Wild Card Weekend up +13.12 units on the year! Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos When: Saturday, January 17 at 4:30 pm ET Moneyline: Bills +100 | Broncos -120 Spread: Bills +1 (-110) | Broncos -1 (-110) Total: 45.5 (-110) Odds courtesy of Circa Sports The Bills (13-5) snapped the Jaguars eight-game winning streak last week in the Wild Card round and will now head into Mile High looking to knock off Bo Nix and the No. 1 seed Broncos. The Bills, who are 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS over their last seven games, will take on a Denver squad that is 9-1 SU and 5-5 ATS over their last 10. Both squads have been a financial drain for sports bettors owning sub .500 ATS records – BUF (8-10), DEN (8-9) overall on the season. View on X Top Player Props WR Pat Bryant Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (BetMGM) Bryant has quietly become an integral part of the Broncos offense down the stretch, earning the trust of Bo Nix and the Denver coaching staff. Over his last five games, the rookie wideout owns the second-highest snap share (60.6%) on the club, moving well ahead of Troy Franklin (36.8%). Bryant has surpassed his base of 30.5 in 8 consecutive games (31, 42, 32, 42, 82, 43, 20, 40), which results in solid investment to also ladder his ALT receiving yard market of 40+ (+126) for an additional half unit – a number he has cleared in 5 of his last 8 (62.5%). For an additional half unit, we will target his ALT receptions of 4+ at odds of +135. Oddsmakers have set the former Illinois standout base reception total at 3+ with prohibitive juice of -176 which is a hard pass. Instead we climb his ladder just one rung to 4+, a line he has reached in four of his last five games on the strength of 6.6 targets per game. QB Josh Allen Over 252.5 Pass + Rush Yards (FanDuel) Allen was sensational last week in the Bills’ upset win over Jacksonville in the Wild Card round. The star signal-caller, who combined for 303 yards last week, eclipsed this line in 10 of 16 regular season games (62.5%). With Buffalo limited in terms of true game-changers outside of RB James Cook, my model projects Allen putting the offense on his back yet again in this matchup. The four-time Pro Bowl QB has averaged 50.1 rushing yards per game in 14 career postseason games, while averaging 259.4 passing yards in those contests. With a combined average of 309.5 passing + rushing yards per playoff appearance, it results in the need to invest in his ALT markets of 270+ at odds of +123 as well as 275+ at odds of +148 for a half unit each. He has cleared 270+ in 9 games while surpassing 275+ in 8 games overall this season. Check Back all week as we continue to roll out of top Vegas vs Fulltime Projection targets to help increase your bankroll! Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 68-91 (+13.12 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Vegas vs Fulltime: Top Props For Wild Card Sunday
NFL Playoffs Wild Card Round Player Prop Bets: Sunday Games Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X Following a double-header on Saturday, NFL fans are treated to a triple-header of NFL WildCard playoff action on Sunday. Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Wild Card Weekend up +7.59 units on the year! Buffalo Bills vs. Carolina Panthers When: Sunday, January 11 at 1:00 pm ET Moneyline: Bills -110 | Jaguars -110 Spread: Bills PK (-110) | Jaguars PK (-1110) Total: Over 51.5 (-110) Odds courtesy of Circa Sports The AFC South Champion Jaguars (13-4) head into the playoffs on an eight-game winning streak, which in turn helped compile an outstanding 12-4-1 ATS overall mark in the regular season. Meanwhile, the Bills, who scored the second-most points (481) of any team in the AFC en-route to a 12-5 SU record, burned bettors with a disappointing 8-9 ATS mark. View on X Top Player Prop WR Parker Washington Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (FanDuel) Washington has been sensational over the last three weeks, drawing a whooping 9+ targets from Trevor Lawrence in each game. The third-year wideout has turned those 29 targets into 19 receptions for 347 receiving yards and two touchdowns – helping us cash last week in our ATD wagers at odds of +195! Earning the trust of Lawrence, coupled with earning more snaps out wide in 2-WR sets over Brian Thomas Jr., resulting in an impressive average of 115.7 yards per game over his last three games. Washington has surpassed his base of 50.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), which also results in us in laddering his ALT receiving yards markets of 60+ (+128) and 70+ (+193) for a half unit each. San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles When: Sunday, January 11 at 4:30 pm ET Moneyline: 49ers +205 | Eagles -240 Spread: 49ers +5.5 (-110) | Eagles -5.5 (-110) Total: Over 44.5 Odds courtesy of Circa Sports The defending Super Bowl Champion Eagles host Brock Purdy and the 49ers in a battle of NFC contenders. The Eagles enter the tilt owning a 11-6 SU and 10-7 ATS record, while San Francisco comes in with a 12-5 SU and 11-5 ATS mark. One highlighted trend of note for this game: Under Nick Sirianni, Philadelphia is 19-5 SU and 17-6-1 ATS when installed as a home favorite of a touchdown or less. This game, which opened with Philadelphia as 3.5-point home favorites, has drawn what we call “reverse line movement”. This move by oddsmakers is hidden by the casual bettor. To explain, as of Friday, the public is strongly backing the 49ers as a road ‘dog (70% on the spread, 85% money line) but the line is moving in the “reverse” direction (from -3.5 to -5.5) due to sharp money backing Philadelphia. Top Player Props WR A.J. Brown Over 65.5 Receiving Yards (BetMGM) Brown finished the regular season eclipsing this line of 65.5 receiving yards in five of his last six games and in this showdown with San Francisco he should find plenty of volume. The 49ers, who have recorded a league-low 20 sacks this season, will find it hard to apply pressure to Jalen Hurts, allowing him plenty of time to find his top wideout down the field. San Francisco, who is surrendering 149 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts, have allowed 12 WRs to eclipse his line this season. QB Jalen Hurts Under 32.5 Rushing Yards (DraftKings) For a second investment here, we will make a correlated play to our highlighted note about the lack of pass rush for the 49ers (last in NFL in sacks). Hurts, who is averaging 26.3 rushing yards per game this season, has gone under this line of 32.5 rushing yards in seven of his last 10 games (70%). Facing a 49ers defense that ranks 30th in pressure rate (16.7%), my model projects Hurts to continue his trend of solid OL protection up front thus remaining comfortably under this number. LA Chargers vs. New England When: Sunday, January 11 at 8:15 pm ET Moneyline: Chargers +155 | Patriots -180 Spread: Chargers +3.5 (-115) | Patriots -3.5 (-105) Total: Over 45.5 Odds courtesy of Circa Sports Top Player Props WR Quentin Johnston Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (FanDuel) Johnston closed out the final two games of the regular season in solid form with 9 receptions for 202 yards and a touchdown. Simply can not pass up investing in a line this low when he will be facing a Patriots secondary that is allowing 118.5 yards per game to opposing WRs. A deeper dive reveals that 22 WRs have eclipsed this demand against New England this season – a number that Johnston cleared on just once catch in five games this season. RB Rhamondre Stevenson Over 53.5 Rush+ Rec Yards (BetMGM) Stevenson averaged 98 total yards per game over the final five games of the regular season – highlighted by crushing this line in every one of those five contests (80, 77, 78,102, 153). In fact, since we find such a large disparity, it leads to a half-unit value play in his ALT rush + rec market of 70+ at odds of +167 – also a number he has cleared in his last five as well as being surpassed by 14 opposing RBs against the Chargers this season. Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 61-87 (+7.59 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings
Vegas vs Fulltime: Top Props For Wild Card Saturday
NFL Playoffs Wild Card Round Player Prop Bets: Saturday Games Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Wild Card Weekend up +7.59 units on the year! Rams vs. Panthers When: Saturday, January 10 at 4:30 pm ET Moneyline: Rams (-590) | Panthers (+450) Spread: Rams -10 (-115) | Panthers +10.5 (-105) Total: Over 46 Odds courtesy of Circa Sports The Rams have the chance to close as the biggest road favorites in NFL history if this line continues to remain in the double-digits. Los Angeles will be seeking revenge after suffering a 31-28 loss as a 10-point road favorites earlier this season. The Panthers, who own the worst point differential (-69) of any team in the postseason, will likely find it hard to keep pace with the high-powered Rams who scored the most points (518) of any team in the NFL. Carolina, who has lost six games by double digits this season, will face a Los Angeles squad that is 6-3 ATS on the road this season. Top Player Pops RB Kyren Williams Over 66.5 (DraftKings) Williams finished the regular season sixth in the NFL with 1,252 rushing yards. The veteran running back, who is averaging 73.6 rushing yards per game, has surpassed this demand of 66.5 yards in 10 of 17 games so far this season (58.8%) – highlighted by going over this number in eight of his last 10 (80%) heading into the Wild Card tilt. On Saturday, Williams finds a favorable matchup against a Panthers defense that is allowing 4.6 yards per rush to opposing backs which has resulted in 10 opposing RBs soaring past this line. WR Puka Nacua 8+ receptions (+110 BetMGM) Nacua, who led the NFL with 129 catches, was sensational this season finishing as the overall WR1 in PPR formats. Thanks to ranking 3rd overall in targets (166), the star wideout hauled in 8+ receptions catches in a game eight times this year – highlighted by hitting that mark in three of the Rams’ final four games. The Rams wideout. who was held to just 6 for 72 in Week 13, will be motivated to post his normal gaudy stats in the rematch. Let’s grab the plus-odds! Packers vs. Bears When: Saturday, January 10 at 8:00 pm ET Moneyline: Packers -125 | Bears +105 Spread: Packers -1.5 (-110) | Bears +1.5 (-110) Total: Over 44.5 Odds courtesy of Circa Sports Saturday night’s showdown will feature two NFC North foes playing for the third time this season. In each of the two regular season meetings the home team won-and-covered ATS. Green Bay has dominated this rivalry recently owning a 15-5 SU and 14-6 ATS mark in their last 20 trips to Soldier Field. View on X Top Player Pops Josh Jacobs Anytime TD (-115 FanDuel) Fulltime Fantasy Projection: 0.91 (91%) With inclement weather in the forecast, expect a heavy dose of Jacobs on the ground. Jacobs, who finished as the overall RB13 in fantasy football, scored 14 total touchdowns in 15 regular season games. In this showdown, the veteran back will be facing a Bears run defense that ranks 27th in the NFL in rushing yards (2,287) allowed – while surrendering 14 total touchdowns to opposing running backs. Jacobs, who has battled a knee injury since Week 11 told the media on Wednesday: “My body coming into this game is the best I’ve felt probably in the last six weeks.” The seventh-year back has rushed for 448 yards and scored six touchdowns in eight games against the Bears in his career. Time to invest, he continues that torrid streak. Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 61-87 (+7.59 UNITS) 📈 Points Allowed Depth Charts YTD Points Scored Rankings