NFL DFS: Week 10 TE Report
FAVORABLE MATCHUPS (CASH/GPP) Jared Cook (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,500): Cook has been up and down all season leading to two impact games (9/180 and 8/110/2), one steady game (4/74/1), and five boring showings (4/49, 5/31, 4/20, 2/10, and 2/20). Jared averages 6.25 targets per game while being on pace to set career highs in catches (76), yards (988), TDs (6), and targets (100). With Amari Cooper no longer on the roster, Cook will be a top two receiving option for Derek Carr going forward. The Chargers held him to a short game (4/20) in Week 5. LA ranks 15th in the NFL vs. the TE position (37/369/4 on 61 targets) with the 49ers (6/125/1) and the Browns (8/63/1) having the most success. A TE has scored a TD against the Chargers in four of their last five games. Oakland’s passing game appears to be dead in the water, but they will play better at home. I expect a nice showing this week plus LA has some talent at CB forcing Carr to look for his TE more often. Trey Burton (DK – $3,900/FD – $6,100): Burton is the 7th highest scoring TE in PPR leagues after nine weeks despite only have one elite game (9/126/1). Trey has a TD in five of his last seven games while being on pace for 58 catches for 742 yards and ten TDs on 80 targets. The Lions are league average defending TEs (33/417/3) with no team scoring over 17.0 Fantasy points at the TE position. Chicago has the talent to have success running the ball in close, but a play action TE seems very likely in this game. Not a bad swing at this level due to his scoring ability and the Lions may at least push the issue on the scoreboard. MATCHUP RISK / AGAINST THE GRAIN (GPP) O.J. Howard (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,500): Howard doesn’t have an elite opportunity in targets (five per game) or snaps (59.8 percent in his eight games played), but his value has been rock solid in his last six games (18.6, 13.2, 16.2, 11.7, 16.8, and 21.3) in the season-long contests. His best outing of the year came last week (4/53/2) while scoring four TDs in his last four games. This season Tampa TEs have 48 catches for 635 yards and eight TDs on 65 targets. Washington sits 12th in the league vs. TEs (37/333/3 on 58 targets) with no TE scoring over 16.0 Fantasy points. Only a low-teen Fantasy option this week unless he hits on a long play. BAD MATCHUP (AVOID) C.J. Uzomah (DK – $3,700/FD – $5,400): Cinci expected to have Uzomah back in the starting lineup this week after having a bye week to recover from a chest issue. In his last game, C.J. didn’t have a catch vs. a porous Bucs’ defense. Over the last four games, he has ten catches for 110 yards and one TD on 15 targets. The Saints are 6th in NFL vs. TEs (30/338/1 on 48 targets) with seven teams scoring fewer than ten Fantasy points. Easy avoid in all formats. NEUTRAL (ALL FORMATS) Travis Kelce (DK – $7,000/FD – $8,000): Last week Kelce had his second impactful game (7/99/2) of the season while falling one yard short of the three-point bonus for 100 yards at DraftKings. Travis has five catches or more in eight straight games with three games with over 100 yards receiving (7/109/2, 8/114, and 5/100) and six TDs. He averages 8.8 targets per game. The Cardinals are 7th in the NFL defending TEs (28/332/2 on 39 targets) with no TE scoring over 16.0 Fantasy points. Most teams haven’t had to pass to beat the Cardinals plus the best TE they’ve faced in 2018 is George Kittle (5/83 and 5/57). I expect a TD and steady production, but the lack of a battle on the scoreboard should leave him short of delivering an impact score needed to fill his salary bucket. Ron Gronkowski (DK – $5,600/FD – $6,900): Gronkowski has already hurt Fantasy owners in two games in 2018 by not playing. The Patriots have scored 25 TDs over their six-game winning streak, but Rob hasn’t scored a TD since Week 1 when he delivered his only impact game (7/123/1). His yards per catch (15.4) remain strong, but Gronk only averages 6.1 targets per game this season. He’s listed as questionable for this week’s game with back and ankle issues. The Titans have the second best TE defense (30/268/0 on 45 targets) in the league, but they did falter when matched up with the Eagles’ stud TEs (12/125 on 16 targets). Rob has a sliding salary, but a Fantasy owner won’t know his status until just before kickoff on Sunday. Jimmy Graham (DK – $4,600/FD – $6,300): With eight games of work in 2018, a Fantasy owner can easily see that Graham isn’t the player that he once was. He’s on pace for 64 catches for 850 yards and four TDs on 108 targets, which is respectable while offering no impact game this year. His best game came in Week 6 (5/104). Miami fell to 22nd in TE defense (42/453/5 on 59 targets) after allowing five TDs to TEs over the last four games. The Dolphins allowed fewer than 60 yards receiving to TEs in seven of their last eight games with their biggest failure in catches (7) and yards (101) coming in Week 1 vs. the Titans. Possible TD, but he falls more in the steady category in Week 10. His ace in the hole is Aaron Rodgers playing at home and needing a win in the worst way. Jordan Reed (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,200): Reed landed on the injury report this week with a back issue, but the Redskins expect him to play. Just like Rob Gronkowski, Jordan hasn’t scored a TD since Week 1. He has fewer than 45 yards receiving in five straight games while averaging 6.6 targets per game on
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DK Secret Stars – Week 10
The Secret Stars weekly article isn’t suggesting the lineup you should use this week, rather its purpose is to identify players who represent extreme value at their current salaries for the week. Selecting these players will give you an opportunity to use such players as Todd Gurley and Patrick Mahomes in your lineups. Here are our Secret Stars for Week 10:
NFL DFS: Week 9 Primetime
For this weeks primetime breakdown it’s a much different story between the 2 game SNF-MNF slate and the two showdown slates. Why? Well, let’s examine the two games shall we? SNF … Packers at Patriots. Rodgers vs Brady. MNF … Titans at Cowboys. Mariotta vs Prescott. I rest my case. The ownership is obvious for SNF-MNF, it will be on the SNF game as it rightfully should be with those two offenses and Quarterbacks versus two teams who want to slow the game down and run the ball on MNF. There will be lots of desire for folks to take Amari Cooper in his first game with the Cowboys against the Titans, so we can assume he and one of the MNF defenses will gain ownership on that slate. But after that it’s going to be 70% on the SNF Game Favorite plays are in BOLD QUARTERBACKS AAron Rodgers Tom Brady RUNNING BACKS James White Ezekiel Elliott Derrick Henry WIDE RECEIVERS Marquez Valdes-Scantling … I think the BB theory of taking away the other teams best weapon will hold true and Adams will be completely blanketed in this game leaving MVS to do some damage at low ownership. Davante Adams Julian Edelman Josh Gordon Amari Cooper Cordarrelle Patterson TIGHT ENDS Rob Gronkowski – Questionable Jimmy Graham DEFENSES Dallas Tennessee
The Ambush – NFL Week 9 DFS plays from Steve Renner
Lets get ready for week 9 of the NFL DFS season with the AMBUSH plays and get ready to lock in on a unique game-stack this week.
4th and Goal NFL DFS Plays
QUARTERBACK Cam – He will be pretty chalky considering quarterback is spread out week to week. I said on the pod I expect 4 td’s this week whether it’s through the air/ground or combination. He’s been extremely efficient through the air the last 3 weeks, and with his younger receivers now stepping up, the sky’s the limit today for Cam. Goff – He gets Cooper Kupp back this week, which you could tell last week that he missed him. New Orleans are 28th against the pass, and LA should have their way with them considering Gurley will have the majority of their attention. Brees – We Play him whenever he’s at home, no matter who they’re playing. He has 8 touchdowns and 0 interceptions this year at home. Fitzpatrick – Fitzmagic is back in at the starter, and gets a decent matchup in what should be a high scoring game this week. Fitz has 3 games over 400 yards this year, and shouldn’t have a hard time hitting the 300 mark this week. Wilson – I think Wilson will come be overlooked this week with some of the top guys garnering much of the ownership. He’s quietly had 3 straight games with 3 touchdowns. RUNNING BACK McCaffrey – This will be the week Carolina gets CMC involved heavily in the passing game. He’s priced down on both sites, but will have some ownership. Carolina has been most successful when he touches the ball 20+ times, which I think he does this week. Murray – I love Murray this week. Detroit is 32nd in the league against the run, while Murray has scored 4 touchdowns in the last 3 weeks. Cook is expected to play 15-20 snaps, but I don’t think that will effect Murray much. Ekeler – We have to keep an eye on Gordon’s health. He is expected to play, but if he tweaks his hamstring or isn’t 100% we’ll see a lot of Ekeler. I still think he’ll be involved in the passing game, especially with Seattle scoring. Howard – He finally had over 20 Carries last week, and looked good. I don’t think Chicago will need to do much offensively, so game flow should definitely filter to Howard. Peterson – He’s turning back the clocks over the past 3 weeks. With Thompson already ruled out and Bibbs dealing with an injury as well, AP should see all the carries he can handle this week. Others I’m ok with Duke Carson Crowell WIDE RECEIVER Thielen/Brown – Both guys in great spots, so it’s a toss up between the 2. Cooks – Revenge game narrative, back in New Orleans. High scoring game, with a lot of targets to go around. Evans – Fitz loves Evans earlier in the year, and will see double digit targets again this week. Best correlation for Fitz. Kupp – Goff’s security blanket is back this week. This will be a high scoring game, and with Kupp being cheaper than the other WR you can save money while getting a piece of this game. Lockett – His touchdown to catch ratio is ridiculous. He’s scored in every game this year except one. Should see a few more targets with San Diego’s ability to score points. Moore – DJ should get a good amount of targets this week with Torrey Smith out again. Cam hits him on a 40 yard TD Others I’m ok with Sanders T. Williams TIGHT END Howard – has scored double digit points in 4 of 7 games this year. This is a very weak position this week, but Howard has the most upside in a high scoring game. Njoku – 4 straight games being heavily involved in the passing game. KC struggles in the secondary, so Njoku should get in the box this week. Hooper – Atlanta tends to struggle in grass and on the road, so Ryan should lean on his security blanket this week. DEFENSE Bears Dolphins Vikings Redskins
Dr. Roto and Willie Walls Week 9 DFS Plays
NFL DFS: Week 9 Cash Breakdown
Winning in DFS is fun. Dominating in NFL DFS Cash is even better! Dive into the week 9 NFL Cash breakdown and dominate using our projections.
